BILL

Billions Network · Ethereum · gru_s9

token id: #325
symbol: BILL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1110919016846972056ab995054d65560d5f05e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-04
predictions: 489

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

162

of 163 predictions shown

direction hit

58.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0635

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0023

actual -0.0195

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.007325	0.00727	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-21	oos	0.0071	0.007042	-0.81%	0.007325	+3.17%	0.0374	✗	0.86
2026-10-20	oos	0.00565	0.005662	+0.21%	0.0071	+25.66%	0.2179	✓	0.65
2026-10-19	oos	0.005755	0.005774	+0.33%	0.00565	-1.82%	0.0305	✗	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.006	0.006019	+0.32%	0.005755	-4.08%	0.0434	✗	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.006795	0.006806	+0.16%	0.006	-11.70%	0.1314	✗	0.70
2026-10-16	oos	0.007205	0.007213	+0.11%	0.006795	-5.69%	0.0587	✗	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.007285	0.007292	+0.09%	0.007205	-1.10%	0.0065	✗	0.72
2026-10-14	oos	0.00821	0.008209	-0.01%	0.007285	-11.27%	0.1244	✓	0.73
2026-10-13	oos	0.0086	0.008597	-0.04%	0.00821	-4.53%	0.0305	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.01038	0.010342	-0.36%	0.0086	-17.15%	0.2000	✓	0.94
2026-10-11	oos	0.009855	0.009842	-0.13%	0.01038	+5.33%	0.0669	✗	0.58
2026-10-10	oos	0.0099	0.009886	-0.14%	0.009855	-0.45%	0.0070	✓	0.42
2026-10-09	oos	0.00937	0.009361	-0.10%	0.0099	+5.66%	0.0542	✗	0.40
2026-10-08	oos	0.00964	0.009626	-0.14%	0.00937	-2.80%	0.0310	✓	0.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.01117	0.01114	-0.27%	0.00964	-13.70%	0.1383	✓	0.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.010975	0.01097	-0.05%	0.01117	+1.78%	0.0280	✗	0.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.01145	0.011441	-0.08%	0.010975	-4.15%	0.0406	✓	0.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.01129	0.011289	-0.01%	0.01145	+1.42%	0.0178	✗	0.42
2026-10-03	oos	0.01108	0.011074	-0.05%	0.01129	+1.90%	0.0109	✗	0.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.01105	0.011043	-0.06%	0.01108	+0.27%	0.0021	✗	0.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.011535	0.011535	+0.00%	0.01105	-4.20%	0.0413	✗	0.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.011565	0.011563	-0.02%	0.011535	-0.26%	0.0082	✓	0.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.0114	0.011403	+0.03%	0.011565	+1.45%	0.0145	✓	0.41
2026-09-28	oos	0.01148	0.011486	+0.05%	0.0114	-0.70%	0.0084	✗	0.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.01244	0.012446	+0.05%	0.01148	-7.72%	0.0744	✗	0.53
2026-09-26	oos	0.013185	0.013186	+0.00%	0.01244	-5.65%	0.0585	✗	0.57
2026-09-25	oos	0.01327	0.013267	-0.02%	0.013185	-0.64%	0.0082	✓	0.53
2026-09-24	oos	0.01353	0.013523	-0.06%	0.01327	-1.92%	0.0170	✓	0.54
2026-09-23	oos	0.01228	0.012295	+0.12%	0.01353	+10.18%	0.0957	✓	0.55
2026-09-22	oos	0.01402	0.014017	-0.02%	0.01228	-12.41%	0.1213	✓	0.51
2026-09-21	oos	0.01394	0.013943	+0.02%	0.01402	+0.57%	0.0082	✓	0.59
2026-09-20	oos	0.01375	0.013714	-0.26%	0.01394	+1.38%	0.0261	✓	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.01427	0.01422	-0.35%	0.01375	-3.64%	0.0331	✓	0.65
2026-09-18	oos	0.014045	0.013989	-0.40%	0.01427	+1.60%	0.0172	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.01383	0.013759	-0.51%	0.014045	+1.55%	0.0147	✓	0.61
2026-09-16	oos	0.01285	0.012809	-0.32%	0.01383	+7.63%	0.0751	✗	0.59
2026-09-15	oos	0.01248	0.012456	-0.19%	0.01285	+2.96%	0.0268	✗	0.59
2026-09-14	oos	0.012675	0.012657	-0.14%	0.01248	-1.54%	0.0066	✗	0.61
2026-09-13	oos	0.01265	0.01265	-0.00%	0.012675	+0.20%	0.0088	✓	0.61
2026-09-12	oos	0.013375	0.013356	-0.14%	0.01265	-5.42%	0.0507	✓	0.60
2026-09-11	oos	0.01402	0.013987	-0.23%	0.013375	-4.60%	0.0452	✓	0.61
2026-09-10	oos	0.012625	0.012647	+0.17%	0.01402	+11.05%	0.0980	✓	0.58
2026-09-09	oos	0.01339	0.013391	+0.00%	0.012625	-5.71%	0.0463	✗	0.56
2026-09-08	oos	0.014445	0.014433	-0.08%	0.01339	-7.30%	0.0737	✓	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.01516	0.015147	-0.09%	0.014445	-4.72%	0.0421	✓	0.65
2026-09-06	oos	0.01528	0.015281	+0.00%	0.01516	-0.79%	0.0020	✓	0.63
2026-09-05	oos	0.01551	0.01551	+0.00%	0.01528	-1.48%	0.0190	✗	0.64
2026-09-04	oos	0.01564	0.015642	+0.01%	0.01551	-0.83%	0.0098	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.0167	0.016709	+0.05%	0.01564	-6.35%	0.0536	✗	0.63
2026-09-02	oos	0.01642	0.01641	-0.06%	0.0167	+1.71%	0.0141	✓	0.63
2026-09-01	oos	0.01824	0.018233	-0.04%	0.01642	-9.98%	0.1040	✓	0.65
2026-08-31	oos	0.0193	0.019305	+0.02%	0.01824	-5.49%	0.0490	✗	0.52
2026-08-30	oos	0.0188	0.018807	+0.04%	0.0193	+2.66%	0.0195	✓	0.55
2026-08-29	oos	0.019765	0.019782	+0.08%	0.0188	-4.88%	0.0476	✗	0.45
2026-08-28	oos	0.02019	0.020205	+0.07%	0.019765	-2.11%	0.0242	✗	0.44
2026-08-27	oos	0.02032	0.020356	+0.18%	0.02019	-0.64%	0.0061	✓	0.46
2026-08-26	oos	0.02017	0.02021	+0.20%	0.02032	+0.74%	0.0019	✓	0.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.01949	0.019546	+0.29%	0.02017	+3.49%	0.0286	✓	0.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.020445	0.020508	+0.31%	0.01949	-4.67%	0.0481	✗	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.02114	0.021191	+0.24%	0.020445	-3.29%	0.0435	✗	0.48
2026-08-22	oos	0.02075	0.020798	+0.23%	0.02114	+1.88%	0.0124	✓	0.45
2026-08-21	oos	0.02138	0.021439	+0.27%	0.02075	-2.95%	0.0250	✗	0.47
2026-08-20	oos	0.01991	0.019941	+0.15%	0.02138	+7.38%	0.0408	✓	0.41
2026-08-19	oos	0.02008	0.020086	+0.03%	0.01991	-0.85%	0.0243	✗	0.30
2026-08-18	oos	0.0193	0.019286	-0.07%	0.02008	+4.04%	0.0264	✗	0.20
2026-08-17	oos	0.02017	0.020157	-0.07%	0.0193	-4.31%	0.0438	✓	0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.02032	0.020296	-0.12%	0.02017	-0.74%	0.0088	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.02096	0.020942	-0.09%	0.02032	-3.05%	0.0298	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.02163	0.02161	-0.09%	0.02096	-3.10%	0.0306	✓	0.08
2026-08-13	oos	0.023	0.022975	-0.11%	0.02163	-5.96%	0.0594	✓	0.13
2026-08-12	oos	0.023085	0.023061	-0.10%	0.023	-0.37%	0.0027	✓	0.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.02499	0.024937	-0.21%	0.023085	-7.62%	0.0764	✓	0.38
2026-08-10	oos	0.02517	0.025115	-0.22%	0.02499	-0.72%	0.0027	✓	0.38
2026-08-09	oos	0.02452	0.024478	-0.17%	0.02517	+2.65%	0.0316	✗	0.26
2026-08-08	oos	0.02494	0.024906	-0.14%	0.02452	-1.68%	0.0154	✓	0.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.02412	0.024101	-0.08%	0.02494	+3.40%	0.0342	✗	0.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.02391	0.023889	-0.09%	0.02412	+0.88%	0.0069	✗	0.29
2026-08-05	oos	0.02408	0.024058	-0.09%	0.02391	-0.71%	0.0044	✓	0.33
2026-08-04	oos	0.023105	0.023094	-0.05%	0.02408	+4.22%	0.0390	✗	0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.02324	0.023224	-0.07%	0.023105	-0.58%	0.0097	✓	0.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.0239	0.023877	-0.10%	0.02324	-2.76%	0.0268	✓	0.45
2026-08-01	oos	0.02446	0.024422	-0.15%	0.0239	-2.29%	0.0270	✓	0.46
2026-07-31	oos	0.02385	0.023817	-0.14%	0.02446	+2.56%	0.0271	✗	0.46
2026-07-30	oos	0.02413	0.024092	-0.16%	0.02385	-1.16%	0.0037	✗	0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.02339	0.023357	-0.14%	0.02413	+3.16%	0.0268	✗	0.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.02374	0.023704	-0.15%	0.02339	-1.47%	0.0137	✓	0.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.02262	0.022592	-0.12%	0.02374	+4.95%	0.0485	✗	0.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.02508	0.025037	-0.17%	0.02262	-9.81%	0.0920	✓	0.37
2026-07-25	oos	0.02666	0.0266	-0.22%	0.02508	-5.93%	0.0655	✓	0.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.02872	0.028596	-0.43%	0.02666	-7.17%	0.0715	✓	0.43
2026-07-23	oos	0.0314	0.03114	-0.83%	0.02872	-8.54%	0.0750	✓	0.39
2026-07-22	oos	0.02487	0.024808	-0.25%	0.0314	+26.26%	0.2437	✗	0.51
2026-07-21	oos	0.02548	0.025415	-0.26%	0.02487	-2.39%	0.0184	✓	0.51
2026-07-20	oos	0.02403	0.023963	-0.28%	0.02548	+6.03%	0.0522	✗	0.46
2026-07-19	oos	0.02517	0.025106	-0.26%	0.02403	-4.53%	0.0477	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.02514	0.025072	-0.27%	0.02517	+0.12%	0.0047	✗	0.48
2026-07-17	oos	0.02324	0.023149	-0.39%	0.02514	+8.18%	0.0765	✗	0.43
2026-07-16	oos	0.02658	0.026547	-0.12%	0.02324	-12.57%	0.1339	✓	0.45
2026-07-15	oos	0.03422	0.034224	+0.01%	0.02658	-22.33%	0.2477	✗	0.35
2026-07-14	oos	0.04152	0.041443	-0.19%	0.03422	-17.58%	0.1901	✓	0.34
2026-07-13	oos	0.05978	0.058527	-2.10%	0.04152	-30.55%	0.3886	✓	1.06
2026-07-12	oos	0.04947	0.04899	-0.97%	0.05978	+20.84%	0.2279	✗	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.04091	0.040855	-0.14%	0.04947	+20.92%	0.1920	✗	1.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.03927	0.039238	-0.08%	0.04091	+4.18%	0.0485	✗	1.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.03782	0.037798	-0.06%	0.03927	+3.83%	0.0202	✗	1.20
2026-07-08	oos	0.03755	0.037522	-0.08%	0.03782	+0.72%	0.0102	✓	1.21
2026-07-07	oos	0.03992	0.039882	-0.10%	0.03755	-5.94%	0.0398	✓	1.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.04289	0.042792	-0.23%	0.03992	-6.92%	0.0570	✓	1.17
2026-07-05	oos	0.04247	0.042426	-0.10%	0.04289	+0.99%	0.0032	✗	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.041285	0.041248	-0.09%	0.04247	+2.87%	0.0201	✗	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.04114	0.041097	-0.10%	0.041285	+0.35%	0.0059	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.04516	0.045042	-0.26%	0.04114	-8.90%	0.1119	✓	1.27
2026-07-01	oos	0.04335	0.043236	-0.26%	0.04516	+4.18%	0.0118	✗	1.27
2026-06-30	oos	0.04451	0.044339	-0.38%	0.04335	-2.61%	0.0555	✓	1.36
2026-06-29	oos	0.05502	0.054467	-1.00%	0.04451	-19.10%	0.1701	✓	1.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.04397	0.043833	-0.31%	0.05502	+25.13%	0.2161	✗	0.98
2026-06-27	oos	0.03909	0.039063	-0.07%	0.04397	+12.48%	0.1260	✗	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.04091	0.040871	-0.10%	0.03909	-4.45%	0.0434	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.04133	0.041306	-0.06%	0.04091	-1.02%	0.0147	✓	1.01
2026-06-24	oos	0.04503	0.044976	-0.12%	0.04133	-8.22%	0.0643	✓	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.05072	0.050633	-0.17%	0.04503	-11.22%	0.0947	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.056125	0.055984	-0.25%	0.05072	-9.63%	0.0830	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.05784	0.057677	-0.28%	0.056125	-2.97%	0.0363	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	0.05615	0.056036	-0.20%	0.05784	+3.01%	0.0444	✗	0.82
2026-06-19	oos	0.05866	0.058531	-0.22%	0.05615	-4.28%	0.0518	✓	0.88
2026-06-18	oos	0.06372	0.063513	-0.33%	0.05866	-7.94%	0.0886	✓	0.96
2026-06-17	oos	0.06622	0.065991	-0.35%	0.06372	-3.78%	0.0120	✓	0.93
2026-06-16	oos	0.06792	0.067678	-0.36%	0.06622	-2.50%	0.0053	✓	0.92
2026-06-15	oos	0.07033	0.070063	-0.38%	0.06792	-3.43%	0.0220	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0738	0.073431	-0.50%	0.07033	-4.70%	0.0514	✓	0.96
2026-06-13	oos	0.07298	0.072599	-0.52%	0.0738	+1.12%	0.0031	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.0734	0.072985	-0.57%	0.07298	-0.57%	0.0145	✓	1.04
2026-06-11	oos	0.06964	0.069341	-0.43%	0.0734	+5.40%	0.0573	✗	1.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.0631	0.063026	-0.12%	0.06964	+10.36%	0.0697	✗	0.89
2026-06-09	oos	0.0706	0.070363	-0.34%	0.0631	-10.62%	0.1054	✓	0.92
2026-06-08	oos	0.06982	0.069618	-0.29%	0.0706	+1.12%	0.0346	✗	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	0.07435	0.074052	-0.40%	0.06982	-6.09%	0.0552	✓	0.95
2026-06-06	oos	0.07222	0.072112	-0.15%	0.07435	+2.95%	0.0114	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.07	0.07001	+0.01%	0.07222	+3.17%	0.0342	✓	1.06
2026-06-04	oos	0.07362	0.073497	-0.17%	0.07	-4.92%	0.0056	✓	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.08668	0.086163	-0.60%	0.07362	-15.07%	0.1535	✓	1.03
2026-06-02	oos	0.08178	0.081402	-0.46%	0.08668	+5.99%	0.1029	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.08854	0.087836	-0.79%	0.08178	-7.63%	0.0039	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.08049	0.080141	-0.43%	0.08854	+10.00%	0.1309	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.07362	0.073588	-0.04%	0.08049	+9.33%	0.0923	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.07056	0.070718	+0.22%	0.07362	+4.34%	0.0347	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.08394	0.083843	-0.12%	0.07056	-15.94%	0.1705	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.07896	0.07908	+0.15%	0.08394	+6.31%	0.0705	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0908	0.090519	-0.31%	0.07896	-13.04%	0.1165	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.08888	0.088523	-0.40%	0.0908	+2.16%	0.0440	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.11267	0.111174	-1.33%	0.08888	-21.11%	0.2274	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.09772	0.096996	-0.74%	0.11267	+15.30%	0.1455	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08794	0.087737	-0.23%	0.09772	+11.12%	0.0919	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.076	0.07553	-0.62%	0.08794	+15.71%	0.1796	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.0859	0.08524	-0.77%	0.076	-11.53%	0.1157	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.11193	0.111083	-0.76%	0.0859	-23.26%	0.2663	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.1522	0.150446	-1.15%	0.11193	-26.46%	0.2934	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.15665	0.154776	-1.20%	0.1522	-2.84%	0.0108	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.14328	0.141974	-0.91%	0.15665	+9.33%	0.1073	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.1738	0.171486	-1.33%	0.14328	-17.56%	0.1676	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.20844	0.203702	-2.27%	0.1738	-16.62%	0.1335	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.1831	0.179158	-2.15%	0.20844	+13.84%	0.1290	✗	1.00