BATON
baton · Solana · gru_s9
- token id
- #670
- symbol
- BATON
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- Hg5Ja55T5wESq4vyFoiVCMeHXtGyVA69X2UHq8hgpump
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-13
- predictions
- 93
Track record at +1d
assessed
30
of 31 predictions shown
direction hit
50.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2653
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0292
actual +0.0460
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.00808 | 0.007921 | -1.97% | – | pending | – | – | 3.82 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0081 | 0.007942 | -1.95% | 0.00808 | -0.25% | 0.0084 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00768 | 0.007533 | -1.91% | 0.0081 | +5.47% | 0.0229 | ✗ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.007125 | 0.006996 | -1.81% | 0.00768 | +7.79% | 0.0427 | ✗ | 3.79 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.00669 | 0.006565 | -1.87% | 0.007125 | +6.50% | 0.0898 | ✗ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00824 | 0.008082 | -1.91% | 0.00669 | -18.81% | 0.2191 | ✓ | 3.92 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.009189 | 0.009003 | -2.03% | 0.00824 | -10.33% | 0.0829 | ✓ | 3.89 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.011797 | 0.011426 | -3.14% | 0.009189 | -22.11% | 0.1895 | ✓ | 3.72 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.008406 | 0.008242 | -1.95% | 0.011797 | +40.34% | 0.3340 | ✗ | 3.61 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.012632 | 0.012305 | -2.59% | 0.008406 | -33.45% | 0.3246 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.012615 | 0.01228 | -2.66% | 0.012632 | +0.13% | 0.0118 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.016412 | 0.015718 | -4.23% | 0.012615 | -23.13% | 0.1965 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.012334 | 0.011934 | -3.25% | 0.016412 | +33.06% | 0.3094 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.012115 | 0.011698 | -3.45% | 0.012334 | +1.81% | 0.0486 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.014529 | 0.013752 | -5.35% | 0.012115 | -16.61% | 0.1371 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.008748 | 0.008468 | -3.20% | 0.014529 | +66.08% | 0.5590 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.009494 | 0.009111 | -4.04% | 0.008748 | -7.86% | 0.0138 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.008108 | 0.007828 | -3.46% | 0.009494 | +17.09% | 0.1955 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01241 | 0.011595 | -6.57% | 0.008108 | -34.66% | 0.3489 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.003733 | 0.003641 | -2.44% | 0.01241 | +232.50% | 1.2055 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0029 | 0.002855 | -1.56% | 0.003733 | +28.71% | 0.2653 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.004281 | 0.004117 | -3.83% | 0.0029 | -32.26% | 0.3464 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00275 | 0.002704 | -1.67% | 0.004281 | +55.67% | 0.4440 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.004067 | 0.003925 | -3.50% | 0.00275 | -32.39% | 0.3548 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.003193 | 0.003095 | -3.06% | 0.004067 | +27.39% | 0.2710 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.002944 | 0.002838 | -3.61% | 0.003193 | +8.46% | 0.1299 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.001742 | 0.001712 | -1.74% | 0.002944 | +69.00% | 0.5418 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.002018 | 0.001961 | -2.78% | 0.001742 | -13.66% | 0.1225 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.001114 | 0.001081 | -2.97% | 0.002018 | +81.10% | 0.6276 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.001269 | 0.001238 | -2.44% | 0.001114 | -12.21% | 0.1057 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.001973 | 0.001952 | -1.06% | 0.001269 | -35.68% | 0.4094 | ✓ | 1.00 |