BATON
baton · Solana · gru_s9
- token id
- #670
- symbol
- BATON
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- Hg5Ja55T5wESq4vyFoiVCMeHXtGyVA69X2UHq8hgpump
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-13
- predictions
- 90
Track record at +1d
assessed
29
of 30 predictions shown
direction hit
48.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2753
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0402
actual +0.0485
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00772 | 0.007576 | -1.87% | – | pending | – | – | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00768 | 0.00752 | -2.09% | 0.00772 | +0.52% | 0.0374 | ✗ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.007125 | 0.006989 | -1.90% | 0.00768 | +7.79% | 0.0436 | ✗ | 3.79 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.00669 | 0.006557 | -1.99% | 0.007125 | +6.50% | 0.0909 | ✗ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00824 | 0.00806 | -2.18% | 0.00669 | -18.81% | 0.2163 | ✓ | 3.92 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.009189 | 0.008962 | -2.47% | 0.00824 | -10.33% | 0.0783 | ✓ | 3.89 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.011797 | 0.01131 | -4.13% | 0.009189 | -22.11% | 0.1793 | ✓ | 3.72 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.008406 | 0.008207 | -2.37% | 0.011797 | +40.34% | 0.3383 | ✗ | 3.61 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.012632 | 0.01219 | -3.50% | 0.008406 | -33.45% | 0.3152 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.012615 | 0.012177 | -3.48% | 0.012632 | +0.13% | 0.0202 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.016412 | 0.015576 | -5.09% | 0.012615 | -23.13% | 0.1874 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.012334 | 0.011817 | -4.19% | 0.016412 | +33.06% | 0.3192 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.012115 | 0.0116 | -4.25% | 0.012334 | +1.81% | 0.0569 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.014529 | 0.013679 | -5.85% | 0.012115 | -16.61% | 0.1317 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.008748 | 0.008384 | -4.16% | 0.014529 | +66.08% | 0.5690 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.009494 | 0.009014 | -5.06% | 0.008748 | -7.86% | 0.0031 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.008108 | 0.007752 | -4.40% | 0.009494 | +17.09% | 0.2053 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01241 | 0.011568 | -6.79% | 0.008108 | -34.66% | 0.3466 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.003733 | 0.00358 | -4.08% | 0.01241 | +232.50% | 1.2225 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0029 | 0.002816 | -2.90% | 0.003733 | +28.71% | 0.2790 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.004281 | 0.004062 | -5.12% | 0.0029 | -32.26% | 0.3328 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00275 | 0.002675 | -2.71% | 0.004281 | +55.67% | 0.4547 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.004067 | 0.003878 | -4.65% | 0.00275 | -32.39% | 0.3429 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.003193 | 0.00306 | -4.16% | 0.004067 | +27.39% | 0.2824 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.002944 | 0.002801 | -4.87% | 0.003193 | +8.46% | 0.1431 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.001742 | 0.001711 | -1.77% | 0.002944 | +69.00% | 0.5420 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.002018 | 0.001954 | -3.17% | 0.001742 | -13.66% | 0.1185 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.001114 | 0.001033 | -7.27% | 0.002018 | +81.10% | 0.6729 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.001269 | 0.00118 | -7.01% | 0.001114 | -12.21% | 0.0576 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.001973 | 0.001928 | -2.26% | 0.001269 | -35.68% | 0.3972 | ✓ | 1.00 |