AVAAI

? · · gru_s9

token id: #791
symbol: AVAAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-03-04
predictions: 1,740

Track record at +30d

assessed

361

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

46.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2050

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0362

actual +0.0398

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.008125	0.007775	-4.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-21	oos	0.008075	0.0077	-4.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.53
2026-10-20	oos	0.00756	0.007154	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.007405	0.007099	-4.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.00711	0.006827	-3.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-17	oos	0.007295	0.006929	-5.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-16	oos	0.00736	0.00708	-3.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.00747	0.007219	-3.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-14	oos	0.007585	0.007339	-3.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-13	oos	0.007845	0.00765	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-12	oos	0.008115	0.007872	-2.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.00849	0.008346	-1.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.008855	0.008667	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.45
2026-10-09	oos	0.008635	0.008507	-1.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-08	oos	0.009345	0.009112	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-07	oos	0.009275	0.009143	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.00931	0.009255	-0.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.45
2026-10-05	oos	0.00941	0.00934	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-04	oos	0.00963	0.009561	-0.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.009195	0.009185	-0.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.009955	0.009853	-1.02%	–	pending	–	–	-0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.00995	0.009846	-1.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.47
2026-09-30	oos	0.009625	0.009509	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-29	oos	0.00986	0.009699	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-09-28	oos	0.010215	0.009963	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-09-27	oos	0.00985	0.009687	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.01024	0.010018	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.00975	0.009656	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.009845	0.009813	-0.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.009825	0.009813	-0.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-09-22	oos	0.010185	0.010231	+0.45%	0.008125	-20.23%	0.2440	✗	-0.58
2026-09-21	oos	0.011175	0.011024	-1.35%	0.008075	-27.74%	0.3245	✓	-0.44
2026-09-20	oos	0.01132	0.010751	-5.02%	0.00756	-33.22%	0.3407	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.009885	0.009814	-0.72%	0.007405	-25.09%	0.2780	✓	-0.49
2026-09-18	oos	0.00951	0.009536	+0.27%	0.00711	-25.24%	0.2869	✗	-0.48
2026-09-17	oos	0.00962	0.009454	-1.73%	0.007295	-24.17%	0.2275	✓	-0.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.00954	0.009428	-1.17%	0.00736	-22.85%	0.2130	✓	-0.51
2026-09-15	oos	0.01028	0.009986	-2.86%	0.00747	-27.33%	0.2528	✓	-0.45
2026-09-14	oos	0.01038	0.010066	-3.03%	0.007585	-26.93%	0.2637	✓	-0.45
2026-09-13	oos	0.00893	0.008935	+0.05%	0.007845	-12.15%	0.0869	✗	-0.55
2026-09-12	oos	0.00878	0.008727	-0.61%	0.008115	-7.57%	0.0422	✓	-0.54
2026-09-11	oos	0.00872	0.008562	-1.82%	0.00849	-2.64%	0.0338	✗	-0.52
2026-09-10	oos	0.007835	0.007836	+0.02%	0.008855	+13.02%	0.1650	✓	-0.53
2026-09-09	oos	0.008415	0.008444	+0.35%	0.008635	+2.61%	0.0541	✓	-0.60
2026-09-08	oos	0.008665	0.008584	-0.94%	0.009345	+7.85%	0.1076	✗	-0.56
2026-09-07	oos	0.00862	0.008557	-0.73%	0.009275	+7.60%	0.1093	✗	-0.56
2026-09-06	oos	0.00832	0.008363	+0.52%	0.00931	+11.90%	0.1462	✓	-0.62
2026-09-05	oos	0.00847	0.00846	-0.12%	0.00941	+11.10%	0.1511	✗	-0.62
2026-09-04	oos	0.00848	0.008578	+1.15%	0.00963	+13.56%	0.1622	✓	-0.56
2026-09-03	oos	0.008545	0.008549	+0.04%	0.009195	+7.61%	0.0970	✓	-0.58
2026-09-02	oos	0.0081	0.00791	-2.35%	0.009955	+22.90%	0.2803	✗	-0.57
2026-09-01	oos	0.00816	0.007852	-3.77%	0.00995	+21.94%	0.2858	✗	-0.53
2026-08-31	oos	0.008515	0.008388	-1.49%	0.009625	+13.04%	0.1720	✗	-0.56
2026-08-30	oos	0.00861	0.008541	-0.80%	0.00986	+14.52%	0.1796	✗	-0.49
2026-08-29	oos	0.008825	0.008717	-1.23%	0.010215	+15.75%	0.1811	✗	-0.35
2026-08-28	oos	0.009015	0.00872	-3.27%	0.00985	+9.26%	0.1501	✗	-0.35
2026-08-27	oos	0.008675	0.008389	-3.30%	0.01024	+18.04%	0.2157	✗	-0.32
2026-08-26	oos	0.008715	0.008475	-2.76%	0.00975	+11.88%	0.1603	✗	-0.32
2026-08-25	oos	0.0089	0.008542	-4.02%	0.009845	+10.62%	0.1642	✗	-0.31
2026-08-24	oos	0.00901	0.008563	-4.96%	0.009825	+9.05%	0.1583	✗	-0.31
2026-08-23	oos	0.008855	0.008271	-6.59%	0.010185	+15.02%	0.2394	✗	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.00889	0.008208	-7.67%	0.011175	+25.70%	0.3436	✗	-0.30
2026-08-21	oos	0.00965	0.009159	-5.09%	0.01132	+17.31%	0.2239	✗	-0.34
2026-08-20	oos	0.01943	0.016038	-17.46%	0.009885	-49.13%	0.5918	✓	1.01
2026-08-19	oos	0.014135	0.01202	-14.96%	0.00951	-32.72%	0.3308	✓	0.63
2026-08-18	oos	0.012725	0.01088	-14.50%	0.00962	-24.40%	0.2051	✓	0.49
2026-08-17	oos	0.01269	0.010764	-15.18%	0.00954	-24.82%	0.2039	✓	0.50
2026-08-16	oos	0.013505	0.011303	-16.31%	0.01028	-23.88%	0.2026	✓	0.58
2026-08-15	oos	0.013505	0.011427	-15.39%	0.01038	-23.14%	0.2217	✓	0.58
2026-08-14	oos	0.01464	0.012059	-17.63%	0.00893	-39.00%	0.4229	✓	0.62
2026-08-13	oos	0.01464	0.011974	-18.21%	0.00878	-40.03%	0.4377	✓	0.65
2026-08-12	oos	0.01266	0.010412	-17.76%	0.00872	-31.12%	0.3072	✓	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.00852	0.007761	-8.91%	0.007835	-8.04%	0.1067	✓	0.62
2026-08-10	oos	0.00858	0.007802	-9.07%	0.008415	-1.92%	0.0606	✓	0.67
2026-08-09	oos	0.00846	0.007681	-9.21%	0.008665	+2.42%	0.0102	✓	0.58
2026-08-08	oos	0.00894	0.007951	-11.06%	0.00862	-3.58%	0.0349	✓	0.59
2026-08-07	oos	0.0084	0.007493	-10.80%	0.00832	-0.95%	0.0052	✓	0.51
2026-08-06	oos	0.0089	0.007761	-12.80%	0.00847	-4.83%	0.0298	✓	0.54
2026-08-05	oos	0.008635	0.007502	-13.12%	0.00848	-1.80%	0.0085	✓	0.54
2026-08-04	oos	0.0085	0.007441	-12.45%	0.008545	+0.53%	0.0232	✓	0.48
2026-08-03	oos	0.00825	0.007394	-10.38%	0.0081	-1.82%	0.0001	✓	0.46
2026-08-02	oos	0.00774	0.007018	-9.32%	0.00816	+5.43%	0.0706	✓	0.40
2026-08-01	oos	0.00771	0.00688	-10.77%	0.008515	+10.44%	0.1225	✗	0.40
2026-07-31	oos	0.007635	0.006925	-9.31%	0.00861	+12.77%	0.1322	✗	0.40
2026-07-30	oos	0.00719	0.006664	-7.32%	0.008825	+22.74%	0.1913	✗	0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.007175	0.00663	-7.60%	0.009015	+25.64%	0.1936	✗	0.58
2026-07-28	oos	0.007545	0.006805	-9.80%	0.008675	+14.98%	0.1235	✗	0.52
2026-07-27	oos	0.00718	0.006653	-7.33%	0.008715	+21.38%	0.1573	✗	0.52
2026-07-26	oos	0.00804	0.007235	-10.01%	0.0089	+10.70%	0.1252	✗	0.45
2026-07-25	oos	0.008155	0.007338	-10.02%	0.00901	+10.48%	0.1198	✗	0.42
2026-07-24	oos	0.008755	0.007701	-12.04%	0.008855	+1.14%	0.0449	✓	0.49
2026-07-23	oos	0.00817	0.007364	-9.86%	0.00889	+8.81%	0.1003	✓	0.52
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.007487	-9.63%	0.00965	+16.48%	0.1613	✗	0.54
2026-07-21	oos	0.00929	0.008107	-12.73%	0.01943	+109.15%	0.8241	✗	0.54
2026-07-20	oos	0.008425	0.007558	-10.29%	0.014135	+67.77%	0.6077	✗	0.30
2026-07-19	oos	0.010075	0.00853	-15.33%	0.012725	+26.30%	0.4000	✗	0.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.00858	0.007537	-12.16%	0.01269	+47.90%	0.5234	✗	0.48
2026-07-17	oos	0.0072	0.00659	-8.48%	0.013505	+87.57%	0.7259	✗	0.50
2026-07-16	oos	0.006605	0.00623	-5.68%	0.013505	+104.47%	0.7796	✗	0.50
2026-07-15	oos	0.006445	0.006136	-4.80%	0.01464	+127.15%	0.8867	✗	0.63
2026-07-14	oos	0.00651	0.006153	-5.48%	0.01464	+124.88%	0.8822	✗	0.63
2026-07-13	oos	0.006445	0.006005	-6.82%	0.01266	+96.43%	0.7339	✗	0.66
2026-07-12	oos	0.00661	0.006092	-7.84%	0.00852	+28.90%	0.3376	✗	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.005985	0.005748	-3.97%	0.00858	+43.36%	0.3988	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.006075	0.005809	-4.38%	0.00846	+39.26%	0.3655	✗	0.93
2026-07-09	oos	0.00596	0.005661	-5.02%	0.00894	+50.00%	0.4320	✗	0.92
2026-07-08	oos	0.00582	0.005599	-3.80%	0.0084	+44.33%	0.3677	✗	0.91
2026-07-07	oos	0.005875	0.005625	-4.25%	0.0089	+51.49%	0.4449	✗	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.00595	0.005708	-4.06%	0.008635	+45.13%	0.4052	✗	0.93
2026-07-05	oos	0.005985	0.005747	-3.98%	0.0085	+42.02%	0.3848	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	0.00595	0.005697	-4.25%	0.00825	+38.66%	0.3648	✗	0.91
2026-07-03	oos	0.005965	0.005678	-4.80%	0.00774	+29.76%	0.2961	✗	0.88
2026-07-02	oos	0.005235	0.005048	-3.56%	0.00771	+47.28%	0.4069	✗	0.80
2026-07-01	oos	0.00587	0.005664	-3.51%	0.007635	+30.07%	0.2560	✗	0.91
2026-06-30	oos	0.00581	0.005604	-3.55%	0.00719	+23.75%	0.1570	✗	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.005865	0.005641	-3.82%	0.007175	+22.34%	0.1845	✗	0.93
2026-06-28	oos	0.00615	0.005839	-5.06%	0.007545	+22.68%	0.1893	✗	0.95
2026-06-27	oos	0.00522	0.005092	-2.46%	0.00718	+37.55%	0.2843	✗	0.98
2026-06-26	oos	0.005615	0.005446	-3.00%	0.00804	+43.19%	0.3061	✗	0.98
2026-06-25	oos	0.006115	0.005891	-3.67%	0.008155	+33.36%	0.2515	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.005745	0.005564	-3.14%	0.008755	+52.39%	0.4013	✗	1.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.006925	0.006443	-6.97%	0.00817	+17.98%	0.2017	✗	0.95
2026-06-22	oos	0.006105	0.005816	-4.73%	0.008285	+35.71%	0.3185	✗	1.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.00552	0.005382	-2.50%	0.00929	+68.30%	0.4933	✗	1.04
2026-06-20	oos	0.005575	0.005435	-2.52%	0.008425	+51.12%	0.4230	✗	1.01
2026-06-19	oos	0.005625	0.005517	-1.93%	0.010075	+79.11%	0.5834	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.005965	0.005818	-2.47%	0.00858	+43.84%	0.3577	✗	1.03
2026-06-17	oos	0.0062	0.006019	-2.93%	0.0072	+16.13%	0.1879	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.006445	0.006215	-3.57%	0.006605	+2.48%	0.0899	✗	1.02
2026-06-15	oos	0.006055	0.005955	-1.64%	0.006445	+6.44%	0.1087	✗	1.25
2026-06-14	oos	0.00592	0.005823	-1.63%	0.00651	+9.97%	0.1251	✗	1.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.005765	0.005688	-1.34%	0.006445	+11.80%	0.1712	✗	1.35
2026-06-12	oos	0.005605	0.005538	-1.19%	0.00661	+17.93%	0.1725	✗	1.41
2026-06-11	oos	0.005835	0.005752	-1.43%	0.005985	+2.57%	0.0351	✗	1.42
2026-06-10	oos	0.00564	0.005583	-1.00%	0.006075	+7.71%	0.0239	✗	1.42
2026-06-09	oos	0.00566	0.005603	-1.01%	0.00596	+5.30%	0.0280	✗	1.42
2026-06-08	oos	0.00503	0.005031	+0.02%	0.00582	+15.71%	0.1655	✓	1.50
2026-06-07	oos	0.00482	0.004833	+0.26%	0.005875	+21.89%	0.1948	✓	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.00463	0.004671	+0.88%	0.00595	+28.51%	0.1649	✓	1.53
2026-06-05	oos	0.00478	0.004806	+0.54%	0.005985	+25.21%	0.1544	✓	1.59
2026-06-04	oos	0.00502	0.005021	+0.01%	0.00595	+18.53%	0.1880	✓	1.60
2026-06-03	oos	0.00608	0.005973	-1.75%	0.005965	-1.89%	0.0351	✗	1.52
2026-06-02	oos	0.00593	0.005835	-1.61%	0.005235	-11.72%	0.0219	✗	1.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.00592	0.005821	-1.68%	0.00587	-0.84%	0.3317	✗	1.86
2026-05-31	oos	0.007	0.006801	-2.85%	0.00581	-17.00%	0.2554	✗	1.80
2026-05-30	oos	0.00695	0.006773	-2.55%	0.005865	-15.61%	0.2242	✗	1.81
2026-05-29	oos	0.00684	0.006664	-2.57%	0.00615	-10.09%	0.2983	✗	1.80
2026-05-28	oos	0.006745	0.006556	-2.81%	0.00522	-22.61%	0.1356	✗	1.78
2026-05-27	oos	0.006985	0.006848	-1.96%	0.005615	-19.61%	0.1751	✗	1.75
2026-05-26	oos	0.00688	0.006792	-1.27%	0.006115	-11.12%	0.3224	✗	1.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.00712	0.007033	-1.23%	0.005745	-19.31%	0.2610	✗	1.96
2026-05-24	oos	0.006995	0.006931	-0.92%	0.006925	-1.00%	0.4028	✗	1.96
2026-05-23	oos	0.00723	0.007163	-0.93%	0.006105	-15.56%	0.1821	✗	1.89
2026-05-22	oos	0.00717	0.007074	-1.33%	0.00552	-23.01%	0.0870	✗	1.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.00747	0.007383	-1.17%	0.005575	-25.37%	0.0792	✗	1.91
2026-05-20	oos	0.00715	0.007088	-0.87%	0.005625	-21.33%	0.1484	✗	1.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.006985	0.006922	-0.90%	0.005965	-14.60%	0.2316	✗	1.91
2026-05-18	oos	0.00721	0.007101	-1.51%	0.0062	-14.01%	0.2027	✗	1.91
2026-05-17	oos	0.00716	0.007045	-1.61%	0.006445	-9.99%	0.2235	✗	1.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.00792	0.007792	-1.62%	0.006055	-23.55%	0.0550	✗	1.87
2026-05-15	oos	0.008605	0.008341	-3.07%	0.00592	-31.20%	0.0012	✓	1.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.009	0.008806	-2.15%	0.005765	-35.94%	0.0045	✓	1.86
2026-05-13	oos	0.009115	0.008773	-3.75%	0.005605	-38.51%	0.0282	✓	1.90
2026-05-12	oos	0.01031	0.009735	-5.58%	0.005835	-43.40%	0.0790	✓	1.83
2026-05-11	oos	0.008235	0.008173	-0.75%	0.00564	-31.51%	0.1799	✗	1.93
2026-05-10	oos	0.008425	0.008396	-0.34%	0.00566	-32.82%	0.1586	✗	1.93
2026-05-09	oos	0.0091	0.008922	-1.96%	0.00503	-44.73%	0.0861	✓	1.98
2026-05-07	oos	0.008435	0.008298	-1.62%	0.00463	-45.11%	0.0484	✓	1.96
2026-05-06	oos	0.00761	0.007736	+1.65%	0.00478	-37.19%	0.0013	✓	1.66
2026-05-05	oos	0.007865	0.007884	+0.24%	0.00502	-36.17%	0.1062	✗	1.45
2026-05-04	oos	0.00863	0.008419	-2.45%	0.00608	-29.55%	0.0032	✓	1.46
2026-05-01	oos	0.00842	0.008177	-2.88%	0.007	-16.86%	0.0747	✓	1.31
2026-04-30	oos	0.007465	0.007263	-2.71%	0.00695	-6.90%	0.0036	✓	1.20
2026-04-29	oos	0.00896	0.008492	-5.22%	0.00684	-23.66%	0.1773	✓	1.22
2026-04-28	oos	0.00955	0.008888	-6.93%	0.006745	-29.37%	0.2314	✓	1.19
2026-04-27	oos	0.009655	0.009122	-5.52%	0.006985	-27.65%	0.2192	✓	1.19
2026-04-26	oos	0.008935	0.008574	-4.04%	0.00688	-23.00%	0.1756	✓	1.21
2026-04-25	oos	0.007945	0.0077	-3.08%	0.00712	-10.38%	0.0722	✓	1.19
2026-04-24	oos	0.008115	0.007884	-2.85%	0.006995	-13.80%	0.1122	✓	1.19
2026-04-23	oos	0.008985	0.008643	-3.80%	0.00723	-19.53%	0.1536	✓	1.18
2026-04-22	oos	0.008285	0.00805	-2.83%	0.00717	-13.46%	0.0732	✓	1.18
2026-04-21	oos	0.00987	0.009365	-5.12%	0.00747	-24.32%	0.2455	✓	1.25
2026-04-20	oos	0.009995	0.009432	-5.63%	0.00715	-28.46%	0.3038	✓	1.27
2026-04-19	oos	0.008755	0.008366	-4.44%	0.006985	-20.22%	0.2298	✓	1.26
2026-04-18	oos	0.01023	0.009467	-7.46%	0.00721	-29.52%	0.2920	✓	1.24
2026-04-17	oos	0.01058	0.009667	-8.63%	0.00716	-32.33%	0.3052	✓	1.24
2026-04-16	oos	0.009235	0.00879	-4.81%	0.00792	-14.24%	0.1504	✓	1.20
2026-04-15	oos	0.008915	0.008487	-4.80%	0.008605	-3.48%	0.0522	✓	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.00885	0.008356	-5.59%	0.009	+1.69%	0.0327	✓	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.00846	0.008198	-3.10%	0.009115	+7.74%	0.0308	✓	1.19
2026-04-12	oos	0.007195	0.007029	-2.31%	0.01031	+43.29%	0.2421	✗	1.09
2026-04-11	oos	0.00799	0.007756	-2.93%	0.008235	+3.07%	0.0598	✓	1.07
2026-04-10	oos	0.0085	0.00817	-3.88%	0.008425	-0.88%	0.0971	✓	1.08
2026-04-09	oos	0.00848	0.008098	-4.51%	0.0091	+7.31%	0.0091	✓	1.08
2026-04-08	oos	0.00788	0.007583	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-04-07	oos	0.007705	0.00745	-3.31%	0.008435	+9.47%	0.0097	✓	1.07
2026-04-06	oos	0.007535	0.007198	-4.47%	0.00761	+1.00%	0.1282	✓	1.10
2026-04-05	oos	0.00697	0.006755	-3.08%	0.007865	+12.84%	0.0218	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.007145	0.006853	-4.09%	0.00863	+20.78%	0.0430	✗	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.007545	0.007156	-5.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.00692	0.006605	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.00696	0.006612	-4.99%	0.00842	+20.98%	0.0878	✗	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.00588	0.005743	-2.34%	0.007465	+26.96%	0.1373	✗	1.12
2026-03-30	oos	0.00583	0.005677	-2.62%	0.00896	+53.69%	0.3145	✗	1.12
2026-03-28	oos	0.0065	0.006336	-2.53%	0.009655	+48.54%	0.2490	✗	1.12
2026-03-26	oos	0.00699	0.00677	-3.15%	0.007945	+13.66%	0.0245	✓	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.00744	0.007161	-3.75%	0.008115	+9.07%	0.0331	✓	1.11
2026-03-24	oos	0.00665	0.006529	-1.83%	0.008985	+35.11%	0.2056	✗	1.09
2026-03-23	oos	0.006775	0.006647	-1.89%	0.008285	+22.29%	0.1130	✗	1.09
2026-03-22	oos	0.00665	0.006471	-2.69%	0.00987	+48.42%	0.2912	✗	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.00658	0.006387	-2.94%	0.009995	+51.90%	0.3408	✗	1.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.006735	0.006538	-2.93%	0.008755	+29.99%	0.2409	✗	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.00703	0.006825	-2.92%	0.01023	+45.52%	0.3152	✗	1.12
2026-03-18	oos	0.00754	0.007312	-3.02%	0.01058	+40.32%	0.2851	✗	1.07
2026-03-17	oos	0.00968	0.00923	-4.64%	0.009235	-4.60%	0.0154	✓	0.97
2026-03-16	oos	0.00966	0.009147	-5.31%	0.008915	-7.71%	0.0250	✓	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.00812	0.00786	-3.20%	0.00885	+8.99%	0.1006	✗	0.98
2026-03-14	oos	0.0071	0.006993	-1.51%	0.00846	+19.15%	0.1506	✗	0.91
2026-03-13	oos	0.00702	0.006944	-1.08%	0.007195	+2.49%	0.0379	✗	0.92
2026-03-12	oos	0.00747	0.007359	-1.49%	0.00799	+6.96%	0.0493	✗	0.93
2026-03-10	oos	0.0094	0.009081	-3.39%	0.00848	-9.79%	0.0924	✓	0.92
2026-03-08	oos	0.0069	0.006806	-1.36%	0.007705	+11.67%	0.0467	✗	0.90
2026-03-07	oos	0.008	0.007841	-1.99%	0.007535	-5.81%	0.0602	✓	0.87
2026-03-06	oos	0.00777	0.007659	-1.43%	0.00697	-10.30%	0.1055	✓	0.86
2026-03-05	oos	0.00777	0.007722	-0.62%	0.007145	-8.04%	0.0319	✓	0.88
2026-03-04	oos	0.008	0.007962	-0.48%	0.007545	-5.69%	0.0204	✗	0.90
2026-03-03	oos	0.00719	0.007135	-0.76%	0.00692	-3.76%	0.0123	✓	0.86
2026-03-02	oos	0.00896	0.008725	-2.63%	0.00696	-22.32%	0.2172	✓	0.83
2026-02-28	oos	0.007825	0.007718	-1.37%	0.00583	-25.50%	0.2779	✓	0.78
2026-02-27	oos	0.007995	0.007839	-1.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-02-26	oos	0.00808	0.007917	-2.02%	0.0065	-19.55%	0.1833	✓	0.79
2026-02-25	oos	0.00843	0.008192	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-02-24	oos	0.006895	0.006865	-0.44%	0.00699	+1.38%	0.0284	✓	0.66
2026-02-23	oos	0.00707	0.007021	-0.70%	0.00744	+5.23%	0.0057	✓	0.65
2026-02-22	oos	0.0073	0.007294	-0.08%	0.00665	-8.90%	0.1196	✓	0.64
2026-02-21	oos	0.00756	0.007547	-0.17%	0.006775	-10.38%	0.1357	✓	0.66
2026-02-20	oos	0.007695	0.007663	-0.42%	0.00665	-13.58%	0.1405	✓	0.64
2026-02-19	oos	0.0076	0.00755	-0.65%	0.00658	-13.42%	0.1558	✓	0.64
2026-02-18	oos	0.00738	0.007356	-0.33%	0.006735	-8.74%	0.1275	✓	0.66
2026-02-17	oos	0.00772	0.007651	-0.89%	0.00703	-8.94%	0.1079	✓	0.65
2026-02-16	oos	0.00775	0.007678	-0.92%	0.00754	-2.71%	0.0406	✓	0.66
2026-02-15	oos	0.00758	0.007541	-0.51%	0.00968	+27.70%	0.2026	✗	0.65
2026-02-14	oos	0.00798	0.007887	-1.16%	0.00966	+21.05%	0.1588	✗	0.62
2026-02-13	oos	0.00777	0.007694	-0.97%	0.00812	+4.50%	0.0190	✗	0.61
2026-02-12	oos	0.007225	0.007202	-0.31%	0.0071	-1.73%	0.0568	✓	0.58
2026-02-11	oos	0.006995	0.006977	-0.26%	0.00702	+0.36%	0.0279	✓	0.60
2026-02-10	oos	0.007205	0.007147	-0.80%	0.00747	+3.68%	0.0291	✗	0.61
2026-02-09	oos	0.00743	0.007337	-1.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-02-08	oos	0.007305	0.007216	-1.22%	0.0094	+28.68%	0.2673	✗	0.63
2026-02-07	oos	0.00745	0.007389	-0.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-02-06	oos	0.00764	0.007557	-1.08%	0.0069	-9.69%	0.0484	✓	0.64
2026-02-05	oos	0.0071	0.007176	+1.07%	0.008	+12.68%	0.0653	✓	0.63
2026-02-04	oos	0.008245	0.008022	-2.70%	0.00777	-5.76%	0.0011	✓	0.48
2026-02-03	oos	0.008465	0.008184	-3.33%	0.00777	-8.21%	0.0217	✓	0.46
2026-02-02	oos	0.00849	0.008206	-3.35%	0.008	-5.77%	0.0161	✓	0.52
2026-02-01	oos	0.00988	0.0092	-6.88%	0.00719	-27.23%	0.1729	✓	0.62
2026-01-31	oos	0.00818	0.007973	-2.53%	0.00896	+9.54%	0.2174	✗	0.76
2026-01-30	oos	0.00799	0.007812	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-01-29	oos	0.00854	0.008225	-3.69%	0.007825	-8.37%	0.1540	✗	0.88
2026-01-28	oos	0.00866	0.00842	-2.77%	0.007995	-7.68%	0.2423	✗	0.97
2026-01-27	oos	0.00907	0.008802	-2.96%	0.00808	-10.92%	0.1912	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.00863	0.008389	-2.79%	0.00843	-2.32%	0.2548	✗	0.96
2026-01-24	oos	0.00918	0.008882	-3.25%	0.00707	-22.98%	0.0828	✗	0.97
2026-01-23	oos	0.00991	0.009567	-3.46%	0.0073	-26.34%	0.0094	✓	0.93
2026-01-22	oos	0.00946	0.00915	-3.27%	0.00756	-20.08%	0.0709	✗	0.95
2026-01-21	oos	0.01008	0.009694	-3.83%	0.007695	-23.66%	0.0317	✓	0.96
2026-01-20	oos	0.00853	0.008263	-3.13%	0.0076	-10.90%	0.1672	✗	0.91
2026-01-19	oos	0.00937	0.009086	-3.03%	0.00738	-21.24%	0.0683	✗	0.83
2026-01-18	oos	0.01061	0.010257	-3.33%	0.00772	-27.24%	0.0192	✓	0.81
2026-01-17	oos	0.01091	0.010563	-3.18%	0.00775	-28.96%	0.0548	✓	0.79
2026-01-16	oos	0.01143	0.010951	-4.19%	0.00758	-33.68%	0.1186	✓	0.76
2026-01-15	oos	0.01061	0.01027	-3.20%	0.00798	-24.79%	0.0072	✓	0.78
2026-01-14	oos	0.01078	0.010455	-3.02%	0.00777	-27.92%	0.0265	✓	0.79
2026-01-13	oos	0.0109	0.010552	-3.19%	0.007225	-33.72%	0.0762	✓	0.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.01092	0.010425	-4.53%	0.006995	-35.94%	0.1219	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.01061	0.010065	-5.13%	0.007205	-32.09%	0.0795	✓	0.92
2026-01-10	oos	0.01035	0.010014	-3.25%	0.00743	-28.21%	0.0632	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.0103	0.009941	-3.48%	0.007305	-29.08%	0.0547	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.00995	0.009608	-3.44%	0.00745	-25.13%	0.0148	✓	0.88
2026-01-07	oos	0.01011	0.009769	-3.37%	0.00764	-24.43%	0.2257	✗	1.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.01065	0.010252	-3.74%	0.0071	-33.33%	0.3698	✗	1.84
2026-01-05	oos	0.01071	0.010409	-2.81%	0.008245	-23.02%	0.2324	✗	1.85
2026-01-04	oos	0.01088	0.010531	-3.21%	0.008465	-22.20%	0.1455	✗	1.91
2026-01-03	oos	0.01056	0.010223	-3.19%	0.00849	-19.60%	0.0865	✗	1.93
2026-01-02	oos	0.01001	0.009729	-2.80%	0.00988	-1.30%	0.3154	✗	1.91
2026-01-01	oos	0.00981	0.009532	-2.84%	0.00818	-16.62%	0.0777	✗	1.91
2025-12-31	oos	0.00922	0.00899	-2.49%	0.00799	-13.34%	0.0430	✓	1.90
2025-12-30	oos	0.00912	0.008928	-2.10%	0.00854	-6.36%	0.0408	✗	1.90
2025-12-29	oos	0.00901	0.008816	-2.16%	0.00866	-3.88%	0.0617	✓	1.88
2025-12-28	oos	0.00913	0.00892	-2.30%	0.00907	-0.66%	0.0097	✓	1.89
2025-12-27	oos	0.00926	0.009036	-2.42%	0.00863	-6.80%	0.0552	✓	1.84
2025-12-26	oos	0.00933	0.00909	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.00897	0.008808	-1.80%	0.00918	+2.34%	0.0018	✓	1.82
2025-12-24	oos	0.00947	0.009237	-2.46%	0.00991	+4.65%	0.0317	✗	1.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.00969	0.009392	-3.08%	0.00946	-2.37%	0.0352	✓	1.84
2025-12-22	oos	0.01004	0.009748	-2.91%	0.01008	+0.40%	0.0168	✓	1.84
2025-12-21	oos	0.00998	0.009629	-3.51%	0.00853	-14.53%	0.1144	✓	1.84
2025-12-20	oos	0.0105	0.010075	-4.05%	0.00937	-10.76%	0.1614	✓	1.90
2025-12-19	oos	0.01023	0.009834	-3.87%	0.01061	+3.71%	0.0398	✓	1.90
2025-12-18	oos	0.01094	0.01032	-5.67%	0.01091	-0.27%	0.1573	✓	1.99
2025-12-17	oos	0.01009	0.009684	-4.02%	0.01143	+13.28%	0.0388	✓	2.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.01143	0.010673	-6.62%	0.01061	-7.17%	0.1716	✓	1.96
2025-12-15	oos	0.00933	0.009101	-2.46%	0.01078	+15.54%	0.0479	✓	1.89
2025-12-14	oos	0.00819	0.00804	-1.84%	0.0109	+33.09%	0.1507	✗	1.95
2025-12-13	oos	0.00886	0.008684	-1.99%	0.01092	+23.25%	0.2092	✗	1.94
2025-12-12	oos	0.00883	0.008671	-1.80%	0.01061	+20.16%	0.1891	✗	1.94
2025-12-11	oos	0.00935	0.009184	-1.78%	0.01035	+10.70%	0.1655	✗	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.01041	0.010223	-1.79%	0.0103	-1.06%	0.0403	✗	1.97
2025-12-09	oos	0.01022	0.010048	-1.68%	0.00995	-2.64%	0.0256	✗	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.01078	0.010576	-1.89%	0.01011	-6.22%	0.0589	✓	2.02
2025-12-07	oos	0.01075	0.010657	-0.86%	0.01065	-0.93%	0.0736	✓	2.02
2025-12-06	oos	0.01164	0.011518	-1.05%	0.01071	-7.99%	0.1765	✓	2.06
2025-12-05	oos	0.01061	0.010591	-0.18%	0.01088	+2.54%	0.0223	✓	2.07
2025-12-04	oos	0.01177	0.011755	-0.12%	0.01056	-10.28%	0.0738	✓	2.04
2025-12-03	oos	0.01243	0.012411	-0.15%	0.01001	-19.47%	0.1372	✓	2.04
2025-12-02	oos	0.01279	0.012692	-0.77%	0.00981	-23.30%	0.1978	✓	2.09
2025-12-01	oos	0.01306	0.012783	-2.12%	0.00922	-29.40%	0.3591	✓	2.31
2025-11-30	oos	0.01361	0.013168	-3.25%	0.00912	-32.99%	0.3147	✓	2.38
2025-11-29	oos	0.012045	0.012029	-0.13%	0.00901	-25.20%	0.1904	✓	2.36
2025-11-28	oos	0.01104	0.011119	+0.71%	0.00913	-17.30%	0.1173	✗	2.36
2025-11-27	oos	0.011235	0.011283	+0.43%	0.00926	-17.58%	0.1053	✗	2.36
2025-11-26	oos	0.01114	0.011162	+0.20%	0.00933	-16.25%	0.0965	✗	2.32
2025-11-25	oos	0.01105	0.011095	+0.41%	0.00897	-18.82%	0.2084	✗	2.39
2025-11-24	oos	0.01073	0.010777	+0.44%	0.00947	-11.74%	0.1114	✗	2.40
2025-11-23	oos	0.00993	0.010023	+0.94%	0.00969	-2.42%	0.0508	✗	2.38
2025-11-22	oos	0.01035	0.010451	+0.97%	0.01004	-3.00%	0.1517	✗	2.50
2025-11-21	oos	0.00991	0.010052	+1.44%	0.00998	+0.71%	0.1095	✗	2.49
2025-11-20	oos	0.01144	0.011482	+0.37%	0.0105	-8.22%	0.1395	✗	2.45
2025-11-19	oos	0.01182	0.011841	+0.18%	0.01023	-13.45%	0.0495	✗	2.58
2025-11-18	oos	0.01244	0.012409	-0.25%	0.01094	-12.06%	0.0893	✗	2.57
2025-11-17	oos	0.012795	0.012658	-1.07%	0.01009	-21.14%	0.0556	✓	2.59
2025-11-16	oos	0.011855	0.011827	-0.23%	0.01143	-3.58%	0.1501	✗	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.01158	0.011546	-0.30%	0.00933	-19.43%	0.0553	✗	2.67
2025-11-14	oos	0.01169	0.011651	-0.33%	0.00819	-29.94%	0.1660	✓	2.69
2025-11-13	oos	0.012335	0.012213	-0.99%	0.00886	-28.17%	0.0419	✓	2.83
2025-11-12	oos	0.01321	0.013004	-1.56%	0.00883	-33.16%	0.0521	✓	2.83
2025-11-11	oos	0.01342	0.013216	-1.52%	0.00935	-30.33%	0.0382	✓	2.87
2025-11-10	oos	0.01488	0.014473	-2.73%	0.01041	-30.04%	0.0654	✗	2.80
2025-11-09	oos	0.014945	0.014527	-2.79%	0.01022	-31.62%	0.0114	✓	2.79
2025-11-08	oos	0.01458	0.014174	-2.78%	0.01078	-26.06%	0.0703	✗	2.85
2025-11-07	oos	0.01479	0.014312	-3.23%	0.01075	-27.32%	0.1422	✗	3.22
2025-11-06	oos	0.014025	0.013619	-2.89%	0.01164	-17.01%	0.2497	✗	3.22
2025-11-05	oos	0.01395	0.013522	-3.07%	0.01061	-23.94%	0.2513	✗	3.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.0129	0.012569	-2.57%	0.01177	-8.76%	0.2504	✗	3.26
2025-11-03	oos	0.013235	0.012863	-2.81%	0.01243	-6.08%	0.4229	✗	3.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.01428	0.013774	-3.54%	0.01279	-10.43%	0.6097	✗	3.58
2025-11-01	oos	0.015055	0.014424	-4.19%	0.01306	-13.25%	0.7729	✗	3.58
2025-10-31	oos	0.01473	0.014104	-4.25%	0.01361	-7.60%	0.6503	✗	3.56
2025-10-30	oos	0.013045	0.012578	-3.58%	0.012045	-7.67%	0.5779	✗	3.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.01405	0.013597	-3.23%	0.01104	-21.42%	0.4564	✗	3.48
2025-10-28	oos	0.013935	0.013461	-3.40%	0.011235	-19.38%	0.5794	✗	3.58
2025-10-27	oos	0.01474	0.014109	-4.28%	0.01114	-24.42%	0.5936	✗	3.58
2025-10-26	oos	0.015345	0.014598	-4.87%	0.01105	-27.99%	0.6921	✗	3.58
2025-10-25	oos	0.015695	0.014872	-5.24%	0.01073	-31.63%	0.5441	✗	3.70
2025-10-24	oos	0.01405	0.013647	-2.87%	0.00993	-29.32%	0.5886	✗	3.68
2025-10-23	oos	0.013835	0.013398	-3.16%	0.01035	-25.19%	0.7098	✗	3.69
2025-10-22	oos	0.013455	0.013041	-3.08%	0.00991	-26.35%	0.5989	✗	3.72
2025-10-21	oos	0.012415	0.012162	-2.04%	0.01144	-7.85%	0.7826	✗	3.75
2025-10-20	oos	0.012795	0.012534	-2.04%	0.01182	-7.62%	0.6616	✗	3.80
2025-10-19	oos	0.012955	0.012621	-2.58%	0.01244	-3.98%	0.5669	✗	3.71
2025-10-18	oos	0.013675	0.013224	-3.30%	0.012795	-6.44%	0.5386	✗	3.76
2025-10-17	oos	0.01244	0.012242	-1.59%	0.011855	-4.70%	0.4268	✗	3.74
2025-10-16	oos	0.012935	0.012716	-1.70%	0.01158	-10.48%	0.3742	✗	3.76
2025-10-15	oos	0.013855	0.013574	-2.03%	0.01169	-15.63%	0.4611	✗	3.84
2025-10-14	oos	0.014675	0.014311	-2.48%	0.012335	-15.95%	0.3396	✗	3.85
2025-10-13	oos	0.015605	0.015044	-3.59%	0.01321	-15.35%	0.3556	✗	3.86
2025-10-12	oos	0.01386	0.013596	-1.91%	0.01342	-3.17%	0.4010	✗	3.74
2025-10-11	oos	0.012495	0.012242	-2.03%	0.01488	+19.09%	0.3659	✗	3.86
2025-10-10	oos	0.00968	0.00921	-4.85%	0.014945	+54.39%	0.7980	✗	4.12
2025-10-09	oos	0.018125	0.017774	-1.94%	0.01458	-19.56%	0.3275	✗	3.02
2025-10-08	oos	0.01968	0.019321	-1.83%	0.01479	-24.85%	0.2526	✗	2.93
2025-10-07	oos	0.018695	0.018307	-2.07%	0.014025	-24.98%	0.2798	✗	3.02
2025-10-06	oos	0.020405	0.020179	-1.11%	0.01395	-31.63%	0.1893	✗	3.05
2025-10-05	oos	0.018995	0.018812	-0.96%	0.0129	-32.09%	0.2178	✗	3.03
2025-10-04	oos	0.019065	0.018795	-1.42%	0.013235	-30.58%	0.0749	✗	3.06
2025-10-03	oos	0.019705	0.019352	-1.79%	0.01428	-27.53%	0.0079	✓	3.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.019045	0.018644	-2.11%	0.015055	-20.95%	0.0687	✗	3.08
2025-10-01	oos	0.01877	0.018386	-2.05%	0.01473	-21.52%	0.0273	✗	3.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.01776	0.017323	-2.46%	0.013045	-26.55%	0.1161	✓	3.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.017835	0.017453	-2.14%	0.01405	-21.22%	0.0850	✓	3.42
2025-09-28	oos	0.018995	0.018432	-2.97%	0.013935	-26.64%	0.3022	✓	3.57
2025-09-27	oos	0.018745	0.018353	-2.09%	0.01474	-21.37%	0.3618	✓	3.62
2025-09-26	oos	0.01917	0.018797	-1.95%	0.015345	-19.95%	0.3601	✓	3.63
2025-09-25	oos	0.017775	0.01737	-2.28%	0.015695	-11.70%	0.1877	✓	3.62
2025-09-24	oos	0.019315	0.018822	-2.55%	0.01405	-27.26%	0.2154	✓	3.75
2025-09-23	oos	0.01906	0.018523	-2.82%	0.013835	-27.41%	0.2273	✓	3.77
2025-09-22	oos	0.019105	0.018537	-2.97%	0.013455	-29.57%	0.1476	✓	3.70
2025-09-21	oos	0.02267	0.021905	-3.37%	0.012415	-45.24%	0.3449	✓	3.60
2025-09-20	oos	0.024065	0.023062	-4.17%	0.012795	-46.83%	0.4220	✓	3.65
2025-09-19	oos	0.02346	0.0224	-4.52%	0.012955	-44.78%	0.3204	✓	3.63
2025-09-18	oos	0.02366	0.022494	-4.93%	0.013675	-42.20%	0.1729	✓	3.67
2025-09-17	oos	0.023985	0.022754	-5.13%	0.01244	-48.13%	0.2687	✓	3.73
2025-09-16	oos	0.022655	0.021428	-5.42%	0.012935	-42.90%	0.2181	✓	3.73
2025-09-15	oos	0.02217	0.020952	-5.49%	0.013855	-37.51%	0.2620	✓	3.74
2025-09-14	oos	0.02363	0.022229	-5.93%	0.014675	-37.90%	0.3414	✓	3.76
2025-09-13	oos	0.02563	0.023921	-6.67%	0.015605	-39.11%	0.4047	✓	3.74
2025-09-12	oos	0.025755	0.024	-6.81%	0.01386	-46.19%	0.5155	✓	3.74
2025-09-11	oos	0.024105	0.022552	-6.44%	0.012495	-48.16%	0.4328	✓	3.74
2025-09-10	oos	0.02493	0.023159	-7.10%	0.00968	-61.17%	0.8391	✓	3.78
2025-09-09	oos	0.02357	0.022176	-5.91%	0.018125	-23.10%	0.5381	✓	3.86

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.