ASSET

REAL · Ethereum · gru_s9

token id: #914
symbol: ASSET
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99e980265bf36516c442be982df1772a6ccb3233
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

160

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

51.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1056

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0268

actual +0.0344

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.17994	0.178889	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.179535	0.17862	-0.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.18043	0.179277	-0.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.18359	0.182516	-0.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.184295	0.183427	-0.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.182895	0.181975	-0.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-16	oos	0.178165	0.177457	-0.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.181357	-0.44%	0.17994	-1.21%	0.0082	✓	0.02
2026-10-14	oos	0.18487	0.183872	-0.54%	0.179535	-2.89%	0.0244	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.182	0.181283	-0.39%	0.18043	-0.86%	0.0048	✓	-0.02
2026-10-12	oos	0.1805	0.17958	-0.51%	0.18359	+1.71%	0.0221	✗	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.18504	0.184224	-0.44%	0.184295	-0.40%	0.0001	✓	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.18501	0.184232	-0.42%	0.182895	-1.14%	0.0074	✓	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.182435	0.181664	-0.42%	0.178165	-2.34%	0.0195	✓	-0.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.1874	0.186375	-0.55%	0.18215	-2.80%	0.0229	✓	-0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.185	0.184137	-0.47%	0.18487	-0.07%	0.0043	✓	0.02
2026-10-06	oos	0.19033	0.189662	-0.35%	0.182	-4.38%	0.0415	✓	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.178	0.177361	-0.36%	0.1805	+1.40%	0.0186	✗	0.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.1936	0.192932	-0.35%	0.18504	-4.42%	0.0421	✓	-0.01
2026-10-03	oos	0.194695	0.193399	-0.67%	0.18501	-4.97%	0.0445	✓	-0.01
2026-10-02	oos	0.202175	0.200986	-0.59%	0.182435	-9.76%	0.0970	✓	-0.01
2026-10-01	oos	0.197955	0.196756	-0.61%	0.1874	-5.33%	0.0489	✓	-0.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.2008	0.199098	-0.85%	0.185	-7.87%	0.0734	✓	0.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.19782	0.196295	-0.77%	0.19033	-3.79%	0.0319	✓	0.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.195415	0.193796	-0.83%	0.178	-8.91%	0.0860	✓	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.2026	0.201713	-0.44%	0.1936	-4.44%	0.0389	✓	-0.09
2026-09-26	oos	0.22275	0.221984	-0.34%	0.194695	-12.59%	0.1308	✓	-0.10
2026-09-25	oos	0.22897	0.227982	-0.43%	0.202175	-11.70%	0.1197	✓	-0.10
2026-09-24	oos	0.23369	0.232902	-0.34%	0.197955	-15.29%	0.1620	✓	-0.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.24311	0.242164	-0.39%	0.2008	-17.40%	0.1883	✓	-0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.238275	0.23819	-0.04%	0.19782	-16.98%	0.1879	✓	-0.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.247355	-0.20%	0.195415	-21.16%	0.2411	✓	-0.15
2026-09-20	oos	0.24671	0.244135	-1.04%	0.2026	-17.88%	0.1807	✓	-0.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.23124	0.229992	-0.54%	0.22275	-3.67%	0.0267	✓	-0.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.23163	0.230517	-0.48%	0.22897	-1.15%	0.0012	✓	-0.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.23271	0.230886	-0.78%	0.23369	+0.42%	0.0266	✗	-0.15
2026-09-16	oos	0.2335	0.231359	-0.92%	0.24311	+4.12%	0.0649	✗	-0.15
2026-09-15	oos	0.24225	0.240256	-0.82%	0.238275	-1.64%	0.0041	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.24074	0.239447	-0.54%	0.24785	+2.95%	0.0425	✗	-0.08
2026-09-13	oos	0.240105	0.238555	-0.65%	0.24671	+2.75%	0.0378	✗	-0.08
2026-09-12	oos	0.2405	0.238868	-0.68%	0.23124	-3.85%	0.0287	✓	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.24871	0.246404	-0.93%	0.23163	-6.87%	0.0585	✓	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.25068	0.248372	-0.92%	0.23271	-7.17%	0.0653	✓	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.24441	0.243537	-0.36%	0.2335	-4.46%	0.0438	✓	-0.06
2026-09-08	oos	0.245365	0.244908	-0.19%	0.24225	-1.27%	0.0109	✓	-0.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.24287	0.243084	+0.09%	0.24074	-0.88%	0.0097	✗	-0.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.245	0.245454	+0.19%	0.240105	-2.00%	0.0256	✗	-0.08
2026-09-05	oos	0.245875	0.246244	+0.15%	0.2405	-2.19%	0.0266	✗	-0.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.252975	0.253213	+0.09%	0.24871	-1.69%	0.0203	✗	-0.07
2026-09-03	oos	0.26135	0.262257	+0.35%	0.25068	-4.08%	0.0508	✗	-0.09
2026-09-02	oos	0.25512	0.255837	+0.28%	0.24441	-4.20%	0.0451	✗	-0.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.26499	0.265105	+0.04%	0.245365	-7.41%	0.0763	✗	-0.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.252875	0.25384	+0.38%	0.24287	-3.96%	0.0433	✗	-0.13
2026-08-30	oos	0.259595	0.259601	+0.00%	0.245	-5.62%	0.0490	✗	-0.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.24012	0.241223	+0.46%	0.245875	+2.40%	0.0235	✓	-0.22
2026-08-28	oos	0.233425	0.234979	+0.67%	0.252975	+8.38%	0.0789	✓	-0.22
2026-08-27	oos	0.24205	0.244034	+0.82%	0.26135	+7.97%	0.0717	✓	-0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.2484	0.24969	+0.52%	0.25512	+2.71%	0.0161	✓	-0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.24627	0.247215	+0.38%	0.26499	+7.60%	0.0659	✓	-0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.25147	0.252735	+0.50%	0.252875	+0.56%	0.0010	✓	-0.29
2026-08-23	oos	0.25364	0.255111	+0.58%	0.259595	+2.35%	0.0172	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.258565	0.26031	+0.67%	0.24012	-7.13%	0.0769	✗	-0.25
2026-08-21	oos	0.253835	0.255727	+0.75%	0.233425	-8.04%	0.0929	✗	-0.26
2026-08-20	oos	0.2488	0.249571	+0.31%	0.24205	-2.71%	0.0001	✓	-0.32
2026-08-19	oos	0.251865	0.251371	-0.20%	0.2484	-1.38%	0.0317	✗	-0.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.257515	0.255226	-0.89%	0.24627	-4.37%	0.0266	✗	-0.32
2026-08-17	oos	0.263055	0.260528	-0.96%	0.25147	-4.40%	0.0346	✗	-0.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.261825	0.25882	-1.15%	0.25364	-3.13%	0.0553	✗	-0.36
2026-08-15	oos	0.26281	0.259827	-1.13%	0.258565	-1.62%	0.0685	✗	-0.36
2026-08-14	oos	0.26914	0.26577	-1.25%	0.253835	-5.69%	0.0274	✗	-0.34
2026-08-13	oos	0.26543	0.262242	-1.20%	0.2488	-6.27%	0.0061	✓	-0.42
2026-08-12	oos	0.257655	0.254835	-1.09%	0.251865	-2.25%	0.0436	✗	-0.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.26611	0.262594	-1.32%	0.257515	-3.23%	0.0101	✓	-0.53
2026-08-10	oos	0.258425	0.25511	-1.28%	0.263055	+1.79%	0.0345	✗	-0.43
2026-08-09	oos	0.258105	0.25487	-1.25%	0.261825	+1.44%	0.0103	✓	-0.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.262765	0.259244	-1.34%	0.26281	+0.02%	0.0026	✓	-0.55
2026-08-07	oos	0.2584	0.254735	-1.42%	0.26914	+4.16%	0.0371	✗	-0.60
2026-08-06	oos	0.2601	0.256448	-1.40%	0.26543	+2.05%	0.0268	✗	-0.58
2026-08-05	oos	0.26411	0.260339	-1.43%	0.257655	-2.44%	0.0210	✓	-0.57
2026-08-04	oos	0.25658	0.252764	-1.49%	0.26611	+3.71%	0.0471	✗	-0.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.267695	0.263282	-1.65%	0.258425	-3.46%	0.0153	✓	-0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.266015	0.26146	-1.71%	0.258105	-2.97%	0.0022	✓	-0.51
2026-08-01	oos	0.258765	0.254505	-1.65%	0.262765	+1.55%	0.0468	✗	-0.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.26543	0.260719	-1.78%	0.2584	-2.65%	0.0056	✓	-0.45
2026-07-30	oos	0.26337	0.258829	-1.72%	0.2601	-1.24%	0.0016	✓	-0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.27105	0.26558	-2.02%	0.26411	-2.56%	0.0033	✓	-0.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.27033	0.265027	-1.96%	0.25658	-5.09%	0.0317	✓	-0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.27	0.264527	-2.03%	0.267695	-0.85%	0.0112	✓	-0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.27424	0.268318	-2.16%	0.266015	-3.00%	0.0152	✓	-0.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.285335	0.278651	-2.34%	0.258765	-9.31%	0.0788	✓	-0.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.27427	0.268217	-2.21%	0.26543	-3.22%	0.0145	✓	-0.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.28433	0.277483	-2.41%	0.26337	-7.37%	0.0534	✓	-0.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.27796	0.271986	-2.15%	0.27105	-2.49%	0.0111	✓	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.28398	0.277355	-2.33%	0.27033	-4.81%	0.0353	✓	-0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.28799	0.280604	-2.56%	0.27	-6.25%	0.0436	✓	-0.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.27379	0.267903	-2.15%	0.27424	+0.16%	0.0257	✗	-0.23
2026-07-18	oos	0.281705	0.275399	-2.24%	0.285335	+1.29%	0.0337	✗	-0.23
2026-07-17	oos	0.28486	0.277847	-2.46%	0.27427	-3.72%	0.0123	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.27849	0.271626	-2.46%	0.28433	+2.10%	0.0499	✗	-0.21
2026-07-15	oos	0.252995	0.247786	-2.06%	0.27796	+9.87%	0.1186	✗	-0.18
2026-07-14	oos	0.26841	0.262837	-2.08%	0.28398	+5.80%	0.0816	✗	-0.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.26562	0.260008	-2.11%	0.28799	+8.42%	0.1107	✗	-0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.26993	0.264391	-2.05%	0.27379	+1.43%	0.0381	✗	-0.22
2026-07-11	oos	0.27867	0.272492	-2.22%	0.281705	+1.09%	0.0366	✗	-0.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.27803	0.272539	-1.98%	0.28486	+2.46%	0.0434	✗	-0.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.27415	0.268878	-1.92%	0.27849	+1.58%	0.0371	✗	-0.21
2026-07-08	oos	0.28	0.274255	-2.05%	0.252995	-9.64%	0.0735	✓	-0.18
2026-07-07	oos	0.29089	0.284608	-2.16%	0.26841	-7.73%	0.0529	✓	-0.22
2026-07-06	oos	0.28952	0.283023	-2.24%	0.26562	-8.26%	0.0697	✓	-0.23
2026-07-05	oos	0.29238	0.285264	-2.43%	0.26993	-7.68%	0.0547	✓	-0.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.29104	0.283571	-2.57%	0.27867	-4.25%	0.0152	✓	-0.21
2026-07-03	oos	0.29352	0.285148	-2.85%	0.27803	-5.28%	0.0204	✓	-0.19
2026-07-02	oos	0.292	0.283059	-3.06%	0.27415	-6.11%	0.0271	✓	-0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.27333	0.26592	-2.71%	0.28	+2.44%	0.0606	✗	-0.24
2026-06-30	oos	0.280855	0.272066	-3.13%	0.29089	+3.57%	0.0815	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.24758	0.241175	-2.59%	0.28952	+16.94%	0.1874	✗	-0.08
2026-06-28	oos	0.25	0.243578	-2.57%	0.29238	+16.95%	0.1862	✗	-0.05
2026-06-27	oos	0.250875	0.243958	-2.76%	0.29104	+16.01%	0.1794	✗	-0.06
2026-06-26	oos	0.25667	0.248833	-3.05%	0.29352	+14.36%	0.1673	✗	-0.05
2026-06-25	oos	0.258	0.249537	-3.28%	0.292	+13.18%	0.1583	✗	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.26441	0.253993	-3.94%	0.27333	+3.37%	0.0720	✗	-0.08
2026-06-23	oos	0.243305	0.235102	-3.37%	0.280855	+15.43%	0.1768	✗	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.25176	0.241797	-3.96%	0.24758	-1.66%	0.0196	✓	-0.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.25175	0.242656	-3.61%	0.25	-0.70%	0.0269	✓	-0.05
2026-06-20	oos	0.24887	0.239351	-3.82%	0.250875	+0.81%	0.0431	✗	-0.06
2026-06-19	oos	0.245725	0.236415	-3.79%	0.25667	+4.45%	0.0796	✗	-0.05
2026-06-18	oos	0.25078	0.240934	-3.93%	0.258	+2.88%	0.0677	✗	-0.01
2026-06-17	oos	0.265975	0.254216	-4.42%	0.26441	-0.59%	0.0331	✓	-0.11
2026-06-16	oos	0.27077	0.257989	-4.72%	0.243305	-10.14%	0.0656	✓	-0.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.27511	0.261239	-5.04%	0.25176	-8.49%	0.0430	✓	-0.17
2026-06-14	oos	0.274525	0.260552	-5.09%	0.25175	-8.30%	0.0402	✓	-0.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.27333	0.259017	-5.24%	0.24887	-8.95%	0.0403	✓	-0.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.282715	0.266757	-5.64%	0.245725	-13.08%	0.0822	✓	-0.05
2026-06-11	oos	0.281995	0.264871	-6.07%	0.25078	-11.07%	0.0552	✓	-0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.26464	0.250595	-5.31%	0.265975	+0.50%	0.0653	✗	-0.12
2026-06-09	oos	0.256955	0.242677	-5.56%	0.27077	+5.38%	0.1170	✗	-0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.23368	0.223027	-4.56%	0.27511	+17.73%	0.2126	✗	-0.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.2178	0.208505	-4.27%	0.274525	+26.04%	0.2772	✗	-0.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.21444	0.205912	-3.98%	0.27333	+27.46%	0.2839	✗	-0.01
2026-06-05	oos	0.21939	0.209301	-4.60%	0.282715	+28.86%	0.3006	✗	0.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.23152	0.217356	-6.12%	0.281995	+21.80%	0.2593	✗	-0.29
2026-06-03	oos	0.1936	0.185921	-3.97%	0.26464	+36.69%	0.3405	✗	-0.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.18198	0.174397	-4.17%	0.256955	+41.20%	0.3691	✗	-0.24
2026-06-01	oos	0.16522	0.158195	-4.25%	0.23368	+41.44%	0.4219	✗	0.26
2026-05-31	oos	0.169535	0.16079	-5.16%	0.2178	+28.47%	0.3051	✗	0.01
2026-05-30	oos	0.17431	0.164277	-5.76%	0.21444	+23.02%	0.2656	✗	-0.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.177695	0.166686	-6.20%	0.21939	+23.46%	0.4588	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.178315	0.166391	-6.69%	0.23152	+29.84%	0.4719	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.180295	0.167	-7.37%	0.1936	+7.38%	0.2966	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.164055	0.151324	-7.76%	0.18198	+10.93%	0.3133	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.17311	0.157889	-8.79%	0.16522	-4.56%	0.1253	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.17411	0.158211	-9.13%	0.169535	-2.63%	0.1143	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.18742	0.16947	-9.58%	0.17431	-6.99%	0.0664	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.185295	0.167669	-9.51%	0.177695	-4.10%	0.0860	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.181295	0.162589	-10.32%	0.178315	-1.64%	0.1458	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.17322	0.15571	-10.11%	0.180295	+4.08%	0.1882	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.18601	0.167065	-10.19%	0.164055	-11.80%	0.0058	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.19024	0.169604	-10.85%	0.17311	-9.00%	0.0165	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.17619	0.157265	-10.74%	0.17411	-1.18%	0.1073	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.19502	0.171048	-12.29%	0.18742	-3.90%	0.1102	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.15268	0.136519	-10.59%	0.185295	+21.36%	0.3523	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.116155	0.107771	-7.22%	0.181295	+56.08%	0.5647	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10455	0.098273	-6.00%	0.17322	+65.68%	0.5899	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.12761	0.115568	-9.44%	0.18601	+45.76%	0.5232	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.10276	0.097483	-5.14%	0.19024	+85.13%	0.7289	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.08032	0.07892	-1.74%	0.17619	+119.36%	0.8632	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.08549	0.083127	-2.76%	0.19502	+128.12%	0.8849	✗	1.00