ASSET

REAL · Ethereum · gru_s9

token id: #914
symbol: ASSET
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99e980265bf36516c442be982df1772a6ccb3233
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

165

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

53.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0359

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0066

actual +0.0055

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.18042	0.180151	-0.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.18043	0.180183	-0.14%	0.18042	-0.01%	0.0013	✓	0.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.18359	0.183346	-0.13%	0.18043	-1.72%	0.0162	✓	0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.184295	0.184083	-0.12%	0.18359	-0.38%	0.0027	✓	0.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.182895	0.182675	-0.12%	0.184295	+0.77%	0.0087	✗	0.02
2026-10-16	oos	0.178165	0.178019	-0.08%	0.182895	+2.65%	0.0271	✗	0.02
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.18198	-0.09%	0.178165	-2.19%	0.0211	✓	0.02
2026-10-14	oos	0.18487	0.184649	-0.12%	0.18215	-1.47%	0.0137	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.182	0.181835	-0.09%	0.18487	+1.58%	0.0162	✗	-0.02
2026-10-12	oos	0.1805	0.180295	-0.11%	0.182	+0.83%	0.0097	✗	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.18504	0.184846	-0.11%	0.1805	-2.45%	0.0241	✓	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.18501	0.184833	-0.10%	0.18504	+0.02%	0.0012	✗	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.182435	0.182255	-0.10%	0.18501	+1.41%	0.0150	✗	-0.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.1874	0.187179	-0.12%	0.182435	-2.65%	0.0257	✓	-0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.185	0.18481	-0.10%	0.1874	+1.30%	0.0142	✗	0.02
2026-10-06	oos	0.19033	0.190169	-0.08%	0.185	-2.80%	0.0278	✓	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.178	0.177874	-0.07%	0.19033	+6.93%	0.0677	✗	0.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.1936	0.1934	-0.10%	0.178	-8.06%	0.0831	✓	-0.01
2026-10-03	oos	0.194695	0.194296	-0.20%	0.1936	-0.56%	0.0034	✓	-0.01
2026-10-02	oos	0.202175	0.201905	-0.13%	0.194695	-3.70%	0.0363	✓	-0.01
2026-10-01	oos	0.197955	0.197708	-0.12%	0.202175	+2.13%	0.0223	✗	-0.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.2008	0.200465	-0.17%	0.197955	-1.42%	0.0126	✓	0.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.19782	0.197532	-0.15%	0.2008	+1.51%	0.0165	✗	0.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.195415	0.195128	-0.15%	0.19782	+1.23%	0.0136	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.2026	0.202379	-0.11%	0.195415	-3.55%	0.0361	✓	-0.09
2026-09-26	oos	0.22275	0.222507	-0.11%	0.2026	-9.05%	0.0937	✓	-0.10
2026-09-25	oos	0.22897	0.228649	-0.14%	0.22275	-2.72%	0.0258	✓	-0.10
2026-09-24	oos	0.23369	0.233433	-0.11%	0.22897	-2.02%	0.0196	✓	-0.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.24311	0.242711	-0.16%	0.23369	-3.87%	0.0379	✓	-0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.238275	0.237984	-0.12%	0.24311	+2.03%	0.0198	✗	-0.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.247279	-0.23%	0.238275	-3.86%	0.0378	✓	-0.15
2026-09-20	oos	0.24671	0.245647	-0.43%	0.24785	+0.46%	0.0183	✗	-0.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.23124	0.230731	-0.22%	0.24671	+6.69%	0.0668	✗	-0.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.23163	0.231183	-0.19%	0.23124	-0.17%	0.0009	✓	-0.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.23271	0.232213	-0.21%	0.23163	-0.46%	0.0059	✗	-0.15
2026-09-16	oos	0.2335	0.232803	-0.30%	0.23271	-0.34%	0.0000	✓	-0.15
2026-09-15	oos	0.24225	0.241686	-0.23%	0.2335	-3.61%	0.0338	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.24074	0.240316	-0.18%	0.24225	+0.63%	0.0054	✗	-0.08
2026-09-13	oos	0.240105	0.239556	-0.23%	0.24074	+0.26%	0.0063	✗	-0.08
2026-09-12	oos	0.2405	0.239839	-0.27%	0.240105	-0.16%	0.0007	✓	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.24871	0.247785	-0.37%	0.2405	-3.30%	0.0298	✓	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.25068	0.249828	-0.34%	0.24871	-0.79%	0.0038	✓	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.24441	0.244093	-0.13%	0.25068	+2.57%	0.0252	✗	-0.06
2026-09-08	oos	0.245365	0.245116	-0.10%	0.24441	-0.39%	0.0029	✓	-0.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.24287	0.24275	-0.05%	0.245365	+1.03%	0.0107	✗	-0.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.245	0.244915	-0.03%	0.24287	-0.87%	0.0096	✓	-0.08
2026-09-05	oos	0.245875	0.245767	-0.04%	0.245	-0.36%	0.0025	✓	-0.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.252975	0.252818	-0.06%	0.245875	-2.81%	0.0277	✓	-0.07
2026-09-03	oos	0.26135	0.261285	-0.02%	0.252975	-3.20%	0.0342	✓	-0.09
2026-09-02	oos	0.25512	0.255022	-0.04%	0.26135	+2.44%	0.0269	✗	-0.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.26499	0.264673	-0.12%	0.25512	-3.72%	0.0369	✓	-0.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.252875	0.252746	-0.05%	0.26499	+4.79%	0.0454	✗	-0.13
2026-08-30	oos	0.259595	0.259154	-0.17%	0.252875	-2.59%	0.0215	✓	-0.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.24012	0.240087	-0.01%	0.259595	+8.11%	0.0765	✗	-0.22
2026-08-28	oos	0.233425	0.233477	+0.02%	0.24012	+2.87%	0.0292	✓	-0.22
2026-08-27	oos	0.24205	0.242159	+0.05%	0.233425	-3.56%	0.0447	✗	-0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.2484	0.248404	+0.00%	0.24205	-2.56%	0.0220	✗	-0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.24627	0.246208	-0.02%	0.2484	+0.86%	0.0104	✗	-0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.25147	0.251465	-0.00%	0.24627	-2.07%	0.0226	✓	-0.29
2026-08-23	oos	0.25364	0.253691	+0.02%	0.25147	-0.86%	0.0047	✗	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.258565	0.25866	+0.04%	0.25364	-1.90%	0.0174	✗	-0.25
2026-08-21	oos	0.253835	0.25394	+0.04%	0.258565	+1.86%	0.0138	✓	-0.26
2026-08-20	oos	0.2488	0.24875	-0.02%	0.253835	+2.02%	0.0428	✗	-0.32
2026-08-19	oos	0.251865	0.251634	-0.09%	0.2488	-1.22%	0.0060	✗	-0.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.257515	0.256939	-0.22%	0.251865	-2.19%	0.0022	✓	-0.32
2026-08-17	oos	0.263055	0.262419	-0.24%	0.257515	-2.11%	0.0178	✓	-0.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.261825	0.261082	-0.28%	0.263055	+0.47%	0.0167	✗	-0.36
2026-08-15	oos	0.26281	0.262069	-0.28%	0.261825	-0.37%	0.0020	✓	-0.36
2026-08-14	oos	0.26914	0.268287	-0.32%	0.26281	-2.35%	0.0204	✓	-0.34
2026-08-13	oos	0.26543	0.264631	-0.30%	0.26914	+1.40%	0.0139	✗	-0.42
2026-08-12	oos	0.257655	0.256977	-0.26%	0.26543	+3.02%	0.0325	✗	-0.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.26611	0.265243	-0.33%	0.257655	-3.18%	0.0300	✓	-0.53
2026-08-10	oos	0.258425	0.257643	-0.30%	0.26611	+2.97%	0.0297	✗	-0.43
2026-08-09	oos	0.258105	0.257346	-0.29%	0.258425	+0.12%	0.0035	✓	-0.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.262765	0.261901	-0.33%	0.258105	-1.77%	0.0151	✓	-0.55
2026-08-07	oos	0.2584	0.257536	-0.33%	0.262765	+1.69%	0.0203	✗	-0.60
2026-08-06	oos	0.2601	0.259211	-0.34%	0.2584	-0.65%	0.0024	✓	-0.58
2026-08-05	oos	0.26411	0.263134	-0.37%	0.2601	-1.52%	0.0146	✓	-0.57
2026-08-04	oos	0.25658	0.255688	-0.35%	0.26411	+2.93%	0.0370	✗	-0.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.267695	0.266533	-0.43%	0.25658	-4.15%	0.0337	✓	-0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.266015	0.26478	-0.46%	0.267695	+0.63%	0.0107	✗	-0.51
2026-08-01	oos	0.258765	0.257673	-0.42%	0.266015	+2.80%	0.0370	✗	-0.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.26543	0.264141	-0.49%	0.258765	-2.51%	0.0210	✓	-0.45
2026-07-30	oos	0.26337	0.262135	-0.47%	0.26543	+0.78%	0.0014	✓	-0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.27105	0.269511	-0.57%	0.26337	-2.83%	0.0204	✓	-0.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.27033	0.269017	-0.49%	0.27105	+0.27%	0.0077	✗	-0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.27	0.268675	-0.49%	0.27033	+0.12%	0.0066	✗	-0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.27424	0.272545	-0.62%	0.27	-1.55%	0.0153	✓	-0.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.285335	0.283385	-0.68%	0.27424	-3.89%	0.0296	✓	-0.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.27427	0.27267	-0.58%	0.285335	+4.03%	0.0461	✗	-0.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.28433	0.282263	-0.73%	0.27427	-3.54%	0.0322	✓	-0.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.27796	0.276341	-0.58%	0.28433	+2.29%	0.0249	✗	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.28398	0.281941	-0.72%	0.27796	-2.12%	0.0157	✓	-0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.28799	0.285651	-0.81%	0.28398	-1.39%	0.0016	✓	-0.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.27379	0.272318	-0.54%	0.28799	+5.19%	0.0578	✗	-0.23
2026-07-18	oos	0.281705	0.280067	-0.58%	0.27379	-2.81%	0.0231	✓	-0.23
2026-07-17	oos	0.28486	0.282873	-0.70%	0.281705	-1.11%	0.0012	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.27849	0.27657	-0.69%	0.28486	+2.29%	0.0299	✗	-0.21
2026-07-15	oos	0.252995	0.251966	-0.41%	0.27849	+10.08%	0.0975	✗	-0.18
2026-07-14	oos	0.26841	0.267176	-0.46%	0.252995	-5.74%	0.0553	✓	-0.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.26562	0.264408	-0.46%	0.26841	+1.05%	0.0229	✗	-0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.26993	0.268689	-0.46%	0.26562	-1.60%	0.0165	✓	-0.22
2026-07-11	oos	0.27867	0.277117	-0.56%	0.26993	-3.14%	0.0264	✓	-0.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.27803	0.276845	-0.43%	0.27867	+0.23%	0.0054	✗	-0.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.27415	0.273076	-0.39%	0.27803	+1.42%	0.0212	✗	-0.21
2026-07-08	oos	0.28	0.278812	-0.42%	0.27415	-2.09%	0.0141	✓	-0.18
2026-07-07	oos	0.29089	0.289597	-0.44%	0.28	-3.74%	0.0375	✓	-0.22
2026-07-06	oos	0.28952	0.288176	-0.46%	0.29089	+0.47%	0.0069	✗	-0.23
2026-07-05	oos	0.29238	0.290875	-0.51%	0.28952	-0.98%	0.0033	✓	-0.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.29104	0.289432	-0.55%	0.29238	+0.46%	0.0118	✗	-0.21
2026-07-03	oos	0.29352	0.291587	-0.66%	0.29104	-0.84%	0.0001	✓	-0.19
2026-07-02	oos	0.292	0.28983	-0.74%	0.29352	+0.52%	0.0157	✗	-0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.27333	0.271733	-0.58%	0.292	+6.83%	0.0780	✗	-0.24
2026-06-30	oos	0.280855	0.27873	-0.76%	0.27333	-2.68%	0.0151	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.24758	0.246242	-0.54%	0.280855	+13.44%	0.1294	✗	-0.08
2026-06-28	oos	0.25	0.248764	-0.49%	0.24758	-0.97%	0.0042	✓	-0.05
2026-06-27	oos	0.250875	0.249537	-0.53%	0.25	-0.35%	0.0014	✓	-0.06
2026-06-26	oos	0.25667	0.255076	-0.62%	0.250875	-2.26%	0.0167	✓	-0.05
2026-06-25	oos	0.258	0.256174	-0.71%	0.25667	-0.52%	0.0021	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.26441	0.261752	-1.01%	0.258	-2.42%	0.0161	✓	-0.08
2026-06-23	oos	0.243305	0.241672	-0.67%	0.26441	+8.67%	0.0895	✗	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.25176	0.249402	-0.94%	0.243305	-3.36%	0.0261	✓	-0.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.25175	0.250008	-0.69%	0.25176	+0.00%	0.0075	✗	-0.05
2026-06-20	oos	0.24887	0.247088	-0.72%	0.25175	+1.16%	0.0178	✗	-0.06
2026-06-19	oos	0.245725	0.244064	-0.68%	0.24887	+1.28%	0.0201	✗	-0.05
2026-06-18	oos	0.25078	0.248927	-0.74%	0.245725	-2.02%	0.0128	✓	-0.01
2026-06-17	oos	0.265975	0.263554	-0.91%	0.25078	-5.71%	0.0525	✓	-0.11
2026-06-16	oos	0.27077	0.268038	-1.01%	0.265975	-1.77%	0.0105	✓	-0.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.27511	0.272001	-1.13%	0.27077	-1.58%	0.0062	✓	-0.17
2026-06-14	oos	0.274525	0.271478	-1.11%	0.27511	+0.21%	0.0146	✗	-0.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.27333	0.270129	-1.17%	0.274525	+0.44%	0.0185	✗	-0.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.282715	0.278877	-1.36%	0.27333	-3.32%	0.0194	✓	-0.05
2026-06-11	oos	0.281995	0.277482	-1.60%	0.282715	+0.26%	0.0187	✗	-0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.26464	0.261117	-1.33%	0.281995	+6.56%	0.0810	✗	-0.12
2026-06-09	oos	0.256955	0.253036	-1.52%	0.26464	+2.99%	0.0444	✗	-0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.23368	0.231317	-1.01%	0.256955	+9.96%	0.1039	✗	-0.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.2178	0.215865	-0.89%	0.23368	+7.29%	0.0791	✗	-0.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.21444	0.212617	-0.85%	0.2178	+1.57%	0.0246	✗	-0.01
2026-06-05	oos	0.21939	0.216794	-1.18%	0.21444	-2.26%	0.0109	✓	0.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.23152	0.227065	-1.92%	0.21939	-5.24%	0.0471	✓	-0.29
2026-06-03	oos	0.1936	0.19183	-0.91%	0.23152	+19.59%	0.1869	✗	-0.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.18198	0.180201	-0.98%	0.1936	+6.39%	0.0622	✗	-0.24
2026-06-01	oos	0.16522	0.163866	-0.82%	0.18198	+10.14%	0.1223	✗	0.26
2026-05-31	oos	0.169535	0.167806	-1.02%	0.16522	-2.55%	0.0152	✓	0.01
2026-05-30	oos	0.17431	0.172256	-1.18%	0.169535	-2.74%	0.0159	✓	-0.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.177695	0.175355	-1.32%	0.17431	-1.90%	0.0115	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.178315	0.175721	-1.45%	0.177695	-0.35%	0.0132	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.180295	0.177301	-1.66%	0.178315	-1.10%	0.0166	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.164055	0.161416	-1.61%	0.180295	+9.90%	0.1307	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.17311	0.169796	-1.91%	0.164055	-5.23%	0.0158	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.17411	0.170547	-2.05%	0.17311	-0.57%	0.0114	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.18742	0.183122	-2.29%	0.17411	-7.10%	0.0547	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.185295	0.180932	-2.35%	0.18742	+1.15%	0.0194	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.181295	0.176533	-2.63%	0.185295	+2.21%	0.0759	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.17322	0.168852	-2.52%	0.181295	+4.66%	0.0702	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.18601	0.18108	-2.65%	0.17322	-6.88%	0.0536	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.19024	0.184314	-3.12%	0.18601	-2.22%	0.0115	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.17619	0.170677	-3.13%	0.19024	+7.97%	0.1145	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.19502	0.186495	-4.37%	0.17619	-9.66%	0.0479	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.15268	0.147386	-3.47%	0.19502	+27.73%	0.2922	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.116155	0.113907	-1.94%	0.15268	+31.45%	0.3182	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10455	0.103003	-1.48%	0.116155	+11.10%	0.0978	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.12761	0.123309	-3.37%	0.10455	-18.07%	0.1501	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.10276	0.101214	-1.50%	0.12761	+24.18%	0.2471	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.08032	0.08	-0.40%	0.10276	+27.94%	0.2561	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.08549	0.084922	-0.66%	0.08032	-6.05%	0.0747	✓	1.00