ARK

ARK · native · gru_s9

token id: #261
symbol: ARK
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-26
predictions: 3,270

Track record at +30d

assessed

359

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

71.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1396

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0118

actual -0.0248

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.173565	0.162965	-6.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-20	oos	0.17451	0.163302	-6.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.173985	0.162408	-6.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.16914	0.159324	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.173255	0.162721	-6.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.17946	0.167414	-6.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.170128	-6.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.18125	0.168468	-7.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.19077	0.174935	-8.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-12	oos	0.188815	0.173195	-8.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.20696	0.186048	-10.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-10	oos	0.21283	0.191334	-10.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-09	oos	0.21456	0.193091	-10.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-08	oos	0.22464	0.197848	-11.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	0.2145	0.190027	-11.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.208695	0.190725	-8.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.21823	0.197982	-9.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.22409	0.202669	-9.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.231185	0.203302	-12.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-02	oos	0.21165	0.189386	-10.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.243225	0.210603	-13.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.26057	0.219823	-15.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-29	oos	0.251205	0.215499	-14.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	0.23865	0.204304	-14.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.247355	0.214598	-13.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-26	oos	0.260575	0.220209	-15.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-09-25	oos	0.25433	0.213402	-16.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.1933	0.171989	-11.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.15873	0.147062	-7.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.158	0.14666	-7.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-21	oos	0.154	0.14294	-7.18%	0.173565	+12.70%	0.2397	✗	0.99
2026-09-20	oos	0.15176	0.142281	-6.25%	0.17451	+14.99%	0.1807	✗	1.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.15344	0.143308	-6.60%	0.173985	+13.39%	0.1860	✗	1.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.142255	0.13456	-5.41%	0.16914	+18.90%	0.2137	✗	1.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.13709	0.130359	-4.91%	0.173255	+26.38%	0.2127	✗	1.12
2026-09-16	oos	0.149755	0.138874	-7.27%	0.17946	+19.84%	0.1803	✗	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	0.145165	0.135784	-6.46%	0.18215	+25.48%	0.1999	✗	1.13
2026-09-14	oos	0.168585	0.151998	-9.84%	0.18125	+7.51%	0.1333	✗	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.13775	0.129521	-5.97%	0.19077	+38.49%	0.3153	✗	0.91
2026-09-12	oos	0.132925	0.128483	-3.34%	0.188815	+42.05%	0.3330	✗	0.92
2026-09-11	oos	0.114605	0.114504	-0.09%	0.20696	+80.59%	0.5168	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.11005	0.110349	+0.27%	0.21283	+93.39%	0.5826	✓	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.117645	0.117745	+0.09%	0.21456	+82.38%	0.5526	✓	0.90
2026-09-08	oos	0.116325	0.116811	+0.42%	0.22464	+93.11%	0.6182	✓	0.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.114495	0.115714	+1.06%	0.2145	+87.34%	0.5719	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.1178	0.120176	+2.02%	0.208695	+77.16%	0.4972	✓	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.1176	0.119871	+1.93%	0.21823	+85.57%	0.5367	✓	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.117595	0.119942	+2.00%	0.22409	+90.56%	0.5533	✓	0.87
2026-09-03	oos	0.11391	0.118159	+3.73%	0.231185	+102.95%	0.6330	✓	0.91
2026-09-02	oos	0.10991	0.112147	+2.03%	0.21165	+92.57%	0.5531	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.10899	0.112391	+3.12%	0.243225	+123.16%	0.6872	✓	0.92
2026-08-31	oos	0.110155	0.114669	+4.10%	0.26057	+136.55%	0.7642	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.1093	0.113795	+4.11%	0.251205	+129.83%	0.7245	✓	0.91
2026-08-29	oos	0.111545	0.11805	+5.83%	0.23865	+113.95%	0.6476	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.112455	0.117554	+4.53%	0.247355	+119.96%	0.6730	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.114335	0.120785	+5.64%	0.260575	+127.90%	0.7245	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.11256	0.118402	+5.19%	0.25433	+125.95%	0.7100	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.106795	0.114663	+7.37%	0.1933	+81.00%	0.4591	✓	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.107195	0.115454	+7.70%	0.15873	+48.08%	0.2603	✓	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.108375	0.115571	+6.64%	0.158	+45.79%	0.2203	✓	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.115931	+6.85%	0.154	+41.94%	0.1794	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.106915	0.117722	+10.11%	0.15176	+41.94%	0.2217	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.097025	0.104791	+8.00%	0.15344	+58.14%	0.2923	✓	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.09194	0.096236	+4.67%	0.142255	+54.73%	0.2648	✓	0.82
2026-08-18	oos	0.08602	0.087899	+2.18%	0.13709	+59.37%	0.3158	✓	0.78
2026-08-17	oos	0.08748	0.088937	+1.67%	0.149755	+71.19%	0.3909	✓	0.78
2026-08-16	oos	0.08796	0.088788	+0.94%	0.145165	+65.04%	0.3421	✓	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.08962	0.0902	+0.65%	0.168585	+88.11%	0.4516	✓	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.088395	0.088982	+0.66%	0.13775	+55.83%	0.2763	✓	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.090045	0.090607	+0.62%	0.132925	+47.62%	0.2232	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.089295	0.089356	+0.07%	0.114605	+28.34%	0.0857	✓	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.09124	0.091651	+0.45%	0.11005	+20.62%	0.0295	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	0.092525	0.093112	+0.63%	0.117645	+27.15%	0.0650	✓	0.83
2026-08-09	oos	0.093465	0.094418	+1.02%	0.116325	+24.46%	0.0477	✓	0.85
2026-08-08	oos	0.094535	0.095789	+1.33%	0.114495	+21.11%	0.0117	✓	0.84
2026-08-07	oos	0.094245	0.095379	+1.20%	0.1178	+24.99%	0.0311	✓	0.84
2026-08-06	oos	0.09463	0.095335	+0.75%	0.1176	+24.27%	0.0262	✓	0.85
2026-08-05	oos	0.093025	0.094098	+1.15%	0.117595	+26.41%	0.0447	✓	0.85
2026-08-04	oos	0.093385	0.094133	+0.80%	0.11391	+21.98%	0.0105	✗	0.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.094775	0.09503	+0.27%	0.10991	+15.97%	0.0241	✗	0.86
2026-08-02	oos	0.09291	0.093086	+0.19%	0.10899	+17.31%	0.0128	✗	0.86
2026-08-01	oos	0.092585	0.092431	-0.17%	0.110155	+18.98%	0.0139	✓	0.84
2026-07-31	oos	0.09376	0.093277	-0.52%	0.1093	+16.57%	0.0204	✓	0.84
2026-07-30	oos	0.09442	0.093862	-0.59%	0.111545	+18.14%	0.0078	✗	0.87
2026-07-29	oos	0.09288	0.092109	-0.83%	0.112455	+21.08%	0.0331	✗	0.84
2026-07-28	oos	0.09666	0.095296	-1.41%	0.114335	+18.29%	0.0109	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.097625	0.095766	-1.90%	0.11256	+15.30%	0.0217	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.10425	0.102716	-1.47%	0.106795	+2.44%	0.1038	✓	0.78
2026-07-25	oos	0.1036	0.102038	-1.51%	0.107195	+3.47%	0.1122	✓	0.78
2026-07-24	oos	0.102	0.099925	-2.03%	0.108375	+6.25%	0.0708	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.10346	0.101231	-2.15%	0.1085	+4.87%	0.0643	✓	0.79
2026-07-22	oos	0.105135	0.104095	-0.99%	0.106915	+1.69%	0.1064	✓	0.78
2026-07-21	oos	0.10553	0.104871	-0.62%	0.097025	-8.06%	0.1508	✓	0.78
2026-07-20	oos	0.102865	0.102092	-0.75%	0.09194	-10.62%	0.1503	✓	0.75
2026-07-19	oos	0.102685	0.101814	-0.85%	0.08602	-16.23%	0.1686	✓	0.75
2026-07-18	oos	0.105435	0.104385	-1.00%	0.08748	-17.03%	0.1729	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.10409	0.102933	-1.11%	0.08796	-15.50%	0.1441	✓	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.104335	0.103203	-1.09%	0.08962	-14.10%	0.1318	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.1069	0.105696	-1.13%	0.088395	-17.31%	0.1574	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.107745	0.107015	-0.68%	0.090045	-16.43%	0.1535	✓	0.79
2026-07-13	oos	0.10499	0.103691	-1.24%	0.089295	-14.95%	0.1641	✓	0.80
2026-07-12	oos	0.107	0.105799	-1.12%	0.09124	-14.73%	0.1454	✓	0.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.1078	0.10626	-1.43%	0.092525	-14.17%	0.1402	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.1084	0.106716	-1.55%	0.093465	-13.78%	0.1417	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.10599	0.104106	-1.78%	0.094535	-10.81%	0.1182	✓	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.10426	0.103221	-1.00%	0.094245	-9.61%	0.1243	✓	0.80
2026-07-07	oos	0.106835	0.10587	-0.90%	0.09463	-11.42%	0.1240	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.110765	0.109625	-1.03%	0.093025	-16.02%	0.1716	✓	0.79
2026-07-05	oos	0.110715	0.109587	-1.02%	0.093385	-15.65%	0.1657	✓	0.78
2026-07-04	oos	0.11172	0.110228	-1.34%	0.094775	-15.17%	0.1558	✓	0.79
2026-07-03	oos	0.112	0.110322	-1.50%	0.09291	-17.04%	0.1839	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.1092	0.10723	-1.80%	0.092585	-15.22%	0.1627	✓	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.10592	0.103737	-2.06%	0.09376	-11.48%	0.1365	✓	0.76
2026-06-30	oos	0.11245	0.109745	-2.41%	0.09442	-16.03%	0.2347	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.110405	0.107456	-2.67%	0.09666	-12.45%	0.1649	✓	0.83
2026-06-27	oos	0.112845	0.109054	-3.36%	0.097625	-13.49%	0.1615	✓	0.84
2026-06-26	oos	0.10684	0.105231	-1.51%	0.10425	-2.42%	0.0808	✓	0.84
2026-06-25	oos	0.10414	0.102744	-1.34%	0.1036	-0.52%	0.0534	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.106585	0.105107	-1.39%	0.102	-4.30%	0.0709	✓	0.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.108595	0.106878	-1.58%	0.10346	-4.73%	0.0640	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.11121	0.109411	-1.62%	0.105135	-5.46%	0.0673	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.11287	0.110987	-1.67%	0.10553	-6.50%	0.0931	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.116545	0.114591	-1.68%	0.102865	-11.74%	0.1209	✓	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	0.113975	0.112422	-1.36%	0.102685	-9.91%	0.1067	✓	0.85
2026-06-18	oos	0.115755	0.113599	-1.86%	0.105435	-8.92%	0.1006	✓	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.121285	0.119566	-1.42%	0.10409	-14.18%	0.1313	✓	0.85
2026-06-16	oos	0.1241	0.122223	-1.51%	0.104335	-15.93%	0.1342	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.124935	0.123102	-1.47%	0.1069	-14.44%	0.1204	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.1246	0.122442	-1.73%	0.107745	-13.53%	0.1184	✓	0.86
2026-06-13	oos	0.121495	0.120618	-0.72%	0.10499	-13.58%	0.1079	✓	0.90
2026-06-12	oos	0.11965	0.118977	-0.56%	0.107	-10.57%	0.1090	✓	0.91
2026-06-11	oos	0.121415	0.120405	-0.83%	0.1078	-11.21%	0.1136	✓	0.90
2026-06-10	oos	0.120205	0.119294	-0.76%	0.1084	-9.82%	0.1351	✓	0.92
2026-06-09	oos	0.115155	0.11489	-0.23%	0.10599	-7.96%	0.1028	✓	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.14344	0.138076	-3.74%	0.112	-21.92%	0.1884	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.14843	0.142015	-4.32%	0.1092	-26.43%	0.1925	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.15781	0.151392	-4.07%	0.10592	-32.88%	0.2184	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.156685	0.149817	-4.38%	0.11245	-28.23%	0.0969	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.151745	0.147039	-3.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-29	oos	0.149	0.144463	-3.04%	0.110405	-25.90%	0.1020	✓	0.79
2026-05-28	oos	0.14687	0.144109	-1.88%	0.112845	-23.17%	0.0824	✓	0.79
2026-05-27	oos	0.151	0.148378	-1.74%	0.10684	-29.25%	0.1593	✓	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.15437	0.151879	-1.61%	0.10414	-32.54%	0.1887	✓	0.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.15909	0.156574	-1.58%	0.106585	-33.00%	0.1945	✓	0.80
2026-05-24	oos	0.158125	0.156705	-0.90%	0.108595	-31.32%	0.2012	✓	0.80
2026-05-23	oos	0.163095	0.160599	-1.53%	0.11121	-31.81%	0.2202	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.15824	0.155836	-1.52%	0.11287	-28.67%	0.1797	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.16376	0.162094	-1.02%	0.116545	-28.83%	0.1786	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.16008	0.160601	+0.33%	0.113975	-28.80%	0.1828	✗	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	0.1582	0.158574	+0.24%	0.115755	-26.83%	0.1547	✗	0.80
2026-05-18	oos	0.16315	0.163151	+0.00%	0.121285	-25.66%	0.1530	✗	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.162445	0.163556	+0.68%	0.1241	-23.60%	0.1426	✗	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.166865	0.168924	+1.23%	0.124935	-25.13%	0.1697	✗	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.17048	0.173583	+1.82%	0.1246	-26.91%	0.1792	✗	0.82
2026-05-14	oos	0.1781	0.183003	+2.75%	0.121495	-31.78%	0.2222	✗	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.17641	0.178575	+1.23%	0.11965	-32.18%	0.2092	✗	0.86
2026-05-12	oos	0.18261	0.185826	+1.76%	0.121415	-33.51%	0.2262	✗	0.84
2026-05-11	oos	0.189155	0.193101	+2.09%	0.120205	-36.45%	0.2364	✗	0.83
2026-05-10	oos	0.18791	0.195792	+4.19%	0.115155	-38.72%	0.2954	✗	0.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.179	0.186405	+4.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.1802	0.191609	+6.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-05-05	oos	0.177505	0.189977	+7.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-05-04	oos	0.175	0.184472	+5.41%	0.14344	-18.03%	0.0102	✓	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.17779	0.182356	+2.57%	0.14843	-16.51%	0.0255	✗	1.10
2026-05-01	oos	0.17355	0.177687	+2.38%	0.156685	-9.72%	0.0580	✗	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.17367	0.174672	+0.58%	0.151745	-12.62%	0.1033	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.17556	0.17571	+0.09%	0.149	-15.13%	0.1294	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.181895	0.181498	-0.22%	0.14687	-19.26%	0.1700	✓	1.11
2026-04-27	oos	0.17189	0.175676	+2.20%	0.151	-12.15%	0.1062	✗	1.12
2026-04-26	oos	0.176575	0.182093	+3.12%	0.15437	-12.58%	0.1238	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.173675	0.178665	+2.87%	0.15909	-8.40%	0.1102	✗	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.17244	0.177276	+2.80%	0.158125	-8.30%	0.1072	✗	1.12
2026-04-23	oos	0.171695	0.177904	+3.62%	0.163095	-5.01%	0.0632	✗	1.13
2026-04-22	oos	0.172625	0.178368	+3.33%	0.15824	-8.33%	0.0792	✗	1.13
2026-04-21	oos	0.17375	0.176421	+1.54%	0.16376	-5.75%	0.0922	✗	1.14
2026-04-20	oos	0.17181	0.174034	+1.29%	0.16008	-6.83%	0.1074	✗	1.13
2026-04-19	oos	0.16685	0.167465	+0.37%	0.1582	-5.18%	0.1002	✗	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1744	0.176318	+1.10%	0.16315	-6.45%	0.0951	✗	1.11
2026-04-17	oos	0.17886	0.181492	+1.47%	0.162445	-9.18%	0.1153	✗	1.11
2026-04-16	oos	0.175965	0.176591	+0.36%	0.166865	-5.17%	0.0994	✗	1.11
2026-04-15	oos	0.17247	0.173932	+0.85%	0.17048	-1.15%	0.0811	✗	1.11
2026-04-14	oos	0.168605	0.170688	+1.24%	0.1781	+5.63%	0.0564	✗	1.11
2026-04-13	oos	0.17076	0.171985	+0.72%	0.17641	+3.31%	0.0445	✗	1.11
2026-04-12	oos	0.16379	0.162116	-1.02%	0.18261	+11.49%	0.0266	✓	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.16851	0.168793	+0.17%	0.189155	+12.25%	0.0126	✗	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.17066	0.170988	+0.19%	0.18791	+10.11%	0.0398	✗	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.16953	0.168998	-0.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.168575	0.167717	-0.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.171065	0.170773	-0.17%	0.179	+4.64%	0.0738	✓	1.13
2026-04-06	oos	0.16605	0.163769	-1.37%	0.1802	+8.52%	0.0931	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.166055	0.163335	-1.64%	0.177505	+6.90%	0.0958	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.165295	0.163409	-1.14%	0.175	+5.87%	0.1252	✓	1.13
2026-04-03	oos	0.16679	0.164382	-1.44%	0.17779	+6.60%	0.1027	✓	1.13
2026-04-02	oos	0.160885	0.158543	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-01	oos	0.16651	0.164851	-1.00%	0.17355	+4.23%	0.1057	✓	1.13
2026-03-31	oos	0.16275	0.161298	-0.89%	0.17367	+6.71%	0.0531	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.16123	0.159124	-1.31%	0.17556	+8.89%	0.0460	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.15744	0.155927	-0.96%	0.181895	+15.53%	0.0112	✓	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.161465	0.159875	-0.98%	0.17189	+6.46%	0.1018	✓	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.161995	0.160401	-0.98%	0.176575	+9.00%	0.0966	✓	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.166535	0.165576	-0.58%	0.173675	+4.29%	0.0908	✓	1.14
2026-03-25	oos	0.1729	0.173033	+0.08%	0.17244	-0.27%	0.0981	✗	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	0.17146	0.171229	-0.13%	0.171695	+0.14%	0.1165	✓	1.14
2026-03-23	oos	0.17144	0.171592	+0.09%	0.172625	+0.69%	0.1066	✗	1.14
2026-03-22	oos	0.164175	0.163264	-0.55%	0.17375	+5.83%	0.0731	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.17075	0.169901	-0.50%	0.17181	+0.62%	0.0988	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.176025	0.175651	-0.21%	0.16685	-5.21%	0.1040	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.17606	0.175511	-0.31%	0.1744	-0.94%	0.0978	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.17895	0.179126	+0.10%	0.17886	-0.05%	0.0923	✗	1.15
2026-03-17	oos	0.18915	0.189062	-0.05%	0.175965	-6.97%	0.0907	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.18851	0.190339	+0.97%	0.17247	-8.51%	0.0978	✗	1.15
2026-03-15	oos	0.17487	0.176974	+1.20%	0.168605	-3.58%	0.0691	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.17057	0.172107	+0.90%	0.17076	+0.11%	0.0576	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.17268	0.173899	+0.71%	0.16379	-5.15%	0.0569	✗	1.13
2026-03-12	oos	0.17447	0.175307	+0.48%	0.16851	-3.42%	0.0798	✗	1.13
2026-03-11	oos	0.17011	0.171547	+0.84%	0.17066	+0.32%	0.0491	✗	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.165995	0.167447	+0.87%	0.16953	+2.13%	0.0167	✗	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.163925	0.16449	+0.34%	0.168575	+2.84%	0.0183	✗	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.162995	0.163057	+0.04%	0.171065	+4.95%	0.0508	✗	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.164055	0.16446	+0.25%	0.16605	+1.22%	0.0173	✗	1.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.169885	0.170116	+0.14%	0.166055	-2.25%	0.0391	✗	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.171755	0.173084	+0.77%	0.165295	-3.76%	0.0142	✓	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.17464	0.176327	+0.97%	0.16679	-4.49%	0.0382	✓	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.172185	0.172108	-0.04%	0.160885	-6.56%	0.0421	✓	1.19
2026-03-02	oos	0.17192	0.172058	+0.08%	0.16651	-3.15%	0.0203	✗	1.19
2026-03-01	oos	0.171345	0.170752	-0.35%	0.16275	-5.02%	0.0918	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.175335	0.174874	-0.26%	0.16123	-8.04%	0.0771	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.17458	0.173923	-0.38%	0.15744	-9.82%	0.1013	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.17904	0.178469	-0.32%	0.161465	-9.82%	0.0790	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.18074	0.180377	-0.20%	0.161995	-10.37%	0.0779	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.170555	0.170913	+0.21%	0.166535	-2.36%	0.1128	✗	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.172325	0.172526	+0.12%	0.1729	+0.33%	0.1162	✗	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.18046	0.179968	-0.27%	0.17146	-4.99%	0.0995	✓	1.21
2026-02-21	oos	0.185815	0.184939	-0.47%	0.17144	-7.74%	0.1266	✓	1.21
2026-02-20	oos	0.184385	0.183661	-0.39%	0.164175	-10.96%	0.1097	✓	1.21
2026-02-19	oos	0.182425	0.181879	-0.30%	0.17075	-6.40%	0.0979	✓	1.22
2026-02-18	oos	0.181725	0.181271	-0.25%	0.176025	-3.14%	0.1019	✓	1.22
2026-02-17	oos	0.189235	0.187811	-0.75%	0.17606	-6.96%	0.1071	✓	1.19
2026-02-16	oos	0.191405	0.189537	-0.98%	0.17895	-6.51%	0.0982	✓	1.19
2026-02-15	oos	0.189955	0.187826	-1.12%	0.18915	-0.42%	0.0788	✓	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.20493	0.201214	-1.81%	0.18851	-8.01%	0.1482	✓	1.18
2026-02-13	oos	0.20067	0.197244	-1.71%	0.17487	-12.86%	0.1872	✓	1.18
2026-02-12	oos	0.18518	0.184537	-0.35%	0.17057	-7.89%	0.1630	✓	1.15
2026-02-11	oos	0.181585	0.180691	-0.49%	0.17268	-4.90%	0.1094	✓	1.13
2026-02-10	oos	0.18496	0.184003	-0.52%	0.17447	-5.67%	0.0813	✓	1.13
2026-02-09	oos	0.182105	0.181239	-0.48%	0.17011	-6.59%	0.0651	✓	1.14
2026-02-08	oos	0.18154	0.180898	-0.35%	0.165995	-8.56%	0.0809	✓	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.18568	0.184852	-0.45%	0.163925	-11.72%	0.1068	✓	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.18501	0.18407	-0.51%	0.162995	-11.90%	0.0457	✓	1.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.160015	0.163137	+1.95%	0.164055	+2.52%	0.0707	✗	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.20325	0.200167	-1.52%	0.169885	-16.42%	0.1025	✓	0.89
2026-02-03	oos	0.20823	0.20409	-1.99%	0.171755	-17.52%	0.1164	✓	0.86
2026-02-02	oos	0.21705	0.210101	-3.20%	0.17464	-19.54%	0.1169	✓	0.86
2026-02-01	oos	0.2103	0.204346	-2.83%	0.172185	-18.12%	0.0698	✓	0.86
2026-01-31	oos	0.219565	0.212455	-3.24%	0.17192	-21.70%	0.0879	✓	0.93
2026-01-30	oos	0.23511	0.226086	-3.84%	0.171345	-27.12%	0.0518	✓	0.92
2026-01-29	oos	0.23785	0.229939	-3.33%	0.175335	-26.28%	0.0563	✓	0.92
2026-01-28	oos	0.255955	0.248188	-3.03%	0.17458	-31.79%	0.0835	✓	0.89
2026-01-27	oos	0.26027	0.251214	-3.48%	0.17904	-31.21%	0.0900	✓	0.89
2026-01-26	oos	0.25924	0.249781	-3.65%	0.18074	-30.28%	0.0934	✓	0.88
2026-01-25	oos	0.24934	0.240155	-3.68%	0.170555	-31.60%	0.0799	✓	0.87
2026-01-24	oos	0.25788	0.249293	-3.33%	0.172325	-33.18%	0.0915	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.25693	0.248592	-3.25%	0.18046	-29.76%	0.0772	✓	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	0.259115	0.250759	-3.22%	0.185815	-28.29%	0.0603	✓	0.87
2026-01-20	oos	0.26255	0.252059	-4.00%	0.182425	-30.52%	0.0803	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.26284	0.254169	-3.30%	0.181725	-30.86%	0.0260	✓	0.93
2026-01-18	oos	0.27386	0.264729	-3.33%	0.189235	-30.90%	0.0307	✓	0.93
2026-01-17	oos	0.28892	0.278338	-3.66%	0.191405	-33.75%	0.0790	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.28677	0.276521	-3.57%	0.189955	-33.76%	0.0745	✓	0.92
2026-01-15	oos	0.28772	0.277303	-3.62%	0.20493	-28.77%	0.0141	✓	0.92
2026-01-14	oos	0.29702	0.285769	-3.79%	0.20067	-32.44%	0.0367	✓	0.92
2026-01-13	oos	0.296395	0.285417	-3.70%	0.18518	-37.52%	0.0881	✓	0.94
2026-01-12	oos	0.27538	0.265277	-3.67%	0.181585	-34.06%	0.1012	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.2824	0.27019	-4.32%	0.18496	-34.50%	0.1212	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.28944	0.275089	-4.96%	0.182105	-37.08%	0.1753	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.28973	0.275694	-4.84%	0.18154	-37.34%	0.1654	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.29088	0.275277	-5.36%	0.18568	-36.17%	0.1230	✓	0.99
2026-01-07	oos	0.29302	0.275232	-6.07%	0.18501	-36.86%	0.0873	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	0.2836	0.269187	-5.08%	0.160015	-43.58%	0.0240	✓	1.24
2026-01-05	oos	0.28016	0.266573	-4.85%	0.20325	-27.45%	0.0372	✓	1.23
2026-01-03	oos	0.27195	0.25836	-5.00%	0.21705	-20.19%	0.0008	✓	1.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.27572	0.260148	-5.65%	0.2103	-23.73%	0.0199	✓	1.23
2026-01-01	oos	0.26246	0.249401	-4.98%	0.219565	-16.34%	0.0189	✓	1.21
2025-12-31	oos	0.257905	0.245375	-4.86%	0.23511	-8.84%	0.0048	✓	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.264	0.253883	-3.83%	0.23785	-9.91%	0.0107	✓	1.21
2025-12-29	oos	0.264925	0.253693	-4.24%	0.255955	-3.39%	0.0190	✓	1.20
2025-12-28	oos	0.26149	0.251203	-3.93%	0.26027	-0.47%	0.0186	✓	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.26159	0.25554	-2.31%	0.25924	-0.90%	0.0084	✓	1.18
2025-12-26	oos	0.250025	0.245116	-1.96%	0.24934	-0.27%	0.0270	✗	1.17
2025-12-25	oos	0.250575	0.245123	-2.18%	0.25788	+2.92%	0.0254	✗	1.17
2025-12-24	oos	0.25811	0.251493	-2.56%	0.25693	-0.46%	0.0033	✓	1.17
2025-12-23	oos	0.25794	0.251457	-2.51%	0.259115	+0.46%	0.0027	✓	1.19
2025-12-22	oos	0.26017	0.253716	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2025-12-21	oos	0.25406	0.248442	-2.21%	0.26255	+3.34%	0.0596	✗	1.17
2025-12-20	oos	0.258335	0.251779	-2.54%	0.26284	+1.74%	0.0129	✓	1.19
2025-12-19	oos	0.25433	0.247695	-2.61%	0.27386	+7.68%	0.0277	✗	1.19
2025-12-18	oos	0.24288	0.237917	-2.04%	0.28892	+18.96%	0.0676	✗	1.18
2025-12-17	oos	0.253725	0.247267	-2.55%	0.28677	+13.02%	0.0269	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.2625	0.254412	-3.08%	0.28772	+9.61%	0.0232	✓	1.18
2025-12-15	oos	0.26616	0.2552	-4.12%	0.29702	+11.59%	0.0140	✓	1.20
2025-12-14	oos	0.2745	0.266535	-2.90%	0.296395	+7.98%	0.0126	✓	1.19
2025-12-13	oos	0.28291	0.274229	-3.07%	0.27538	-2.66%	0.0080	✓	1.18
2025-12-12	oos	0.28005	0.271298	-3.13%	0.2824	+0.84%	0.0324	✗	1.18
2025-12-11	oos	0.28642	0.277562	-3.09%	0.28944	+1.05%	0.0699	✗	1.18
2025-12-10	oos	0.292285	0.281358	-3.74%	0.28973	-0.87%	0.0491	✗	1.19
2025-12-09	oos	0.29326	0.282179	-3.78%	0.29088	-0.81%	0.0518	✗	1.18
2025-12-08	oos	0.284875	0.274289	-3.72%	0.29302	+2.86%	0.0580	✗	1.17
2025-12-07	oos	0.28704	0.27896	-2.82%	0.2836	-1.20%	0.0258	✓	1.17
2025-12-06	oos	0.29035	0.281668	-2.99%	0.28016	-3.51%	0.0653	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.296505	0.287913	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.292345	0.285571	-2.32%	0.27195	-6.98%	0.0288	✓	1.23
2025-12-03	oos	0.29318	0.286918	-2.14%	0.27572	-5.96%	0.0071	✓	1.23
2025-12-02	oos	0.287035	0.280781	-2.18%	0.26246	-8.56%	0.0322	✓	1.24
2025-12-01	oos	0.27774	0.271617	-2.20%	0.257905	-7.14%	0.0699	✓	1.29
2025-11-30	oos	0.296985	0.28931	-2.58%	0.264	-11.11%	0.0633	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.31041	0.299381	-3.55%	0.264925	-14.65%	0.0692	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.2863	0.28003	-2.19%	0.26149	-8.67%	0.0256	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.282945	0.279231	-1.31%	0.26159	-7.55%	0.0156	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.274165	0.271537	-0.96%	0.250025	-8.80%	0.0375	✓	1.26
2025-11-25	oos	0.273475	0.270896	-0.94%	0.250575	-8.37%	0.0757	✓	1.30
2025-11-24	oos	0.27588	0.27278	-1.12%	0.25811	-6.44%	0.0456	✓	1.30
2025-11-23	oos	0.27126	0.26761	-1.35%	0.25794	-4.91%	0.0462	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.25884	0.258425	-0.16%	0.26017	+0.51%	0.0531	✓	1.34
2025-11-21	oos	0.26148	0.259654	-0.70%	0.25406	-2.84%	0.0768	✓	1.34
2025-11-20	oos	0.26911	0.26697	-0.80%	0.258335	-4.00%	0.0600	✓	1.33
2025-11-19	oos	0.27749	0.274738	-0.99%	0.25433	-8.35%	0.0237	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.28673	0.282532	-1.46%	0.24288	-15.29%	0.0318	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.289155	0.284475	-1.62%	0.253725	-12.25%	0.0181	✓	1.46
2025-11-16	oos	0.289095	0.285487	-1.25%	0.2625	-9.20%	0.0180	✗	1.47
2025-11-15	oos	0.29537	0.292742	-0.89%	0.26616	-9.89%	0.0522	✗	1.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.29554	0.292182	-1.14%	0.2745	-7.12%	0.0398	✗	1.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.300075	0.296669	-1.14%	0.28291	-5.72%	0.1075	✗	1.57
2025-11-12	oos	0.31321	0.309207	-1.28%	0.28005	-10.59%	0.0862	✗	1.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.32233	0.315821	-2.02%	0.28642	-11.14%	0.0692	✗	1.56
2025-11-10	oos	0.311865	0.308482	-1.08%	0.292285	-6.28%	0.1723	✗	1.60
2025-11-07	oos	0.31026	0.304304	-1.92%	0.28704	-7.48%	0.1451	✗	1.53
2025-11-06	oos	0.285505	0.282465	-1.06%	0.29035	+1.70%	0.2162	✗	1.49
2025-11-05	oos	0.274	0.27328	-0.26%	0.296505	+8.21%	0.3136	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.26582	0.266533	+0.27%	0.292345	+9.98%	0.2428	✓	1.55
2025-11-03	oos	0.27914	0.279358	+0.08%	0.29318	+5.03%	0.2585	✓	1.60
2025-11-02	oos	0.318915	0.318177	-0.23%	0.287035	-10.00%	0.1883	✗	1.52
2025-11-01	oos	0.320415	0.319813	-0.19%	0.27774	-13.32%	0.2322	✗	1.53
2025-10-31	oos	0.309865	0.311297	+0.46%	0.296985	-4.16%	0.2474	✓	1.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.308515	0.309566	+0.34%	0.31041	+0.61%	0.2728	✓	1.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.319275	0.319863	+0.18%	0.2863	-10.33%	0.1791	✓	1.52
2025-10-28	oos	0.31918	0.322628	+1.08%	0.282945	-11.35%	0.2002	✓	1.56
2025-10-27	oos	0.328305	0.331141	+0.86%	0.274165	-16.49%	0.1727	✓	1.56
2025-10-26	oos	0.33998	0.341592	+0.47%	0.273475	-19.56%	0.1999	✓	1.56
2025-10-25	oos	0.33173	0.331427	-0.09%	0.27588	-16.84%	0.1880	✗	1.58
2025-10-24	oos	0.327525	0.326986	-0.16%	0.27126	-17.18%	0.2036	✗	1.59
2025-10-23	oos	0.32564	0.325331	-0.10%	0.25884	-20.51%	0.1877	✗	1.59
2025-10-22	oos	0.31558	0.315396	-0.06%	0.26148	-17.14%	0.1856	✗	1.59
2025-10-21	oos	0.32218	0.321299	-0.27%	0.26911	-16.47%	0.1801	✗	1.59
2025-10-20	oos	0.332165	0.330454	-0.52%	0.27749	-16.46%	0.1242	✗	1.58
2025-10-19	oos	0.327595	0.325901	-0.52%	0.28673	-12.47%	0.1138	✗	1.54
2025-10-18	oos	0.32185	0.319587	-0.70%	0.289155	-10.16%	0.1344	✗	1.54
2025-10-17	oos	0.3212	0.318529	-0.83%	0.289095	-10.00%	0.0920	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	0.337535	0.333636	-1.16%	0.29537	-12.49%	0.0685	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	0.352265	0.347508	-1.35%	0.29554	-16.10%	0.0787	✗	1.51
2025-10-14	oos	0.36235	0.356665	-1.57%	0.300075	-17.19%	0.0189	✗	1.51
2025-10-13	oos	0.38349	0.374821	-2.26%	0.31321	-18.33%	0.0082	✓	1.49
2025-10-12	oos	0.385365	0.377458	-2.05%	0.32233	-16.36%	0.0045	✓	1.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.35246	0.345593	-1.95%	0.311865	-11.52%	0.0406	✓	1.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.35363	0.3472	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2025-10-09	oos	0.42924	0.420794	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.438	0.430609	-1.69%	0.31026	-29.16%	0.1425	✓	1.04
2025-10-07	oos	0.439955	0.429462	-2.39%	0.285505	-35.11%	0.2261	✓	1.01
2025-10-06	oos	0.452595	0.444333	-1.83%	0.274	-39.46%	0.2997	✓	1.00
2025-10-05	oos	0.44116	0.434094	-1.60%	0.26582	-39.75%	0.2941	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	0.443395	0.435768	-1.72%	0.27914	-37.04%	0.3046	✓	1.01
2025-10-03	oos	0.451335	0.444076	-1.61%	0.318915	-29.34%	0.2279	✓	1.02
2025-10-02	oos	0.45289	0.441876	-2.43%	0.320415	-29.25%	0.2272	✓	1.03
2025-10-01	oos	0.433395	0.42315	-2.36%	0.309865	-28.50%	0.2376	✓	0.93
2025-09-30	oos	0.424195	0.410926	-3.13%	0.308515	-27.27%	0.2375	✓	0.95
2025-09-29	oos	0.41666	0.40367	-3.12%	0.319275	-23.37%	0.1931	✓	1.07
2025-09-28	oos	0.42299	0.406809	-3.83%	0.31918	-24.54%	0.2496	✓	1.12
2025-09-27	oos	0.415515	0.398251	-4.15%	0.328305	-20.99%	0.2380	✓	1.14
2025-09-26	oos	0.42021	0.401833	-4.37%	0.33998	-19.09%	0.2164	✓	1.14
2025-09-25	oos	0.40847	0.392259	-3.97%	0.33173	-18.79%	0.1946	✓	1.13
2025-09-24	oos	0.43509	0.419178	-3.66%	0.327525	-24.72%	0.2243	✓	1.09
2025-09-23	oos	0.442055	0.421229	-4.71%	0.32564	-26.33%	0.2384	✓	1.11
2025-09-22	oos	0.42058	0.399708	-4.96%	0.31558	-24.97%	0.1836	✓	1.13
2025-09-21	oos	0.45137	0.432139	-4.26%	0.32218	-28.62%	0.2266	✓	1.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.462155	0.441354	-4.50%	0.332165	-28.13%	0.2329	✓	1.12
2025-09-19	oos	0.453095	0.432512	-4.54%	0.327595	-27.70%	0.2077	✓	1.12
2025-09-18	oos	0.47161	0.44751	-5.11%	0.32185	-31.76%	0.2300	✓	1.13
2025-09-17	oos	0.466725	0.441915	-5.32%	0.3212	-31.18%	0.2163	✓	1.14
2025-09-16	oos	0.458205	0.433699	-5.35%	0.337535	-26.34%	0.1630	✓	1.14
2025-09-15	oos	0.459515	0.437103	-4.88%	0.352265	-23.34%	0.1691	✓	1.15
2025-09-14	oos	0.494815	0.459735	-7.09%	0.36235	-26.77%	0.2146	✓	1.19
2025-09-13	oos	0.45655	0.435127	-4.69%	0.38349	-16.00%	0.1190	✓	1.21
2025-09-12	oos	0.453335	0.433691	-4.33%	0.385365	-14.99%	0.1072	✓	1.22
2025-09-11	oos	0.4556	0.436982	-4.09%	0.35246	-22.64%	0.1637	✓	1.22
2025-09-10	oos	0.45231	0.434432	-3.95%	0.35363	-21.82%	0.1951	✓	1.22
2025-09-09	oos	0.449115	0.428066	-4.69%	0.42924	-4.43%	0.1056	✓	1.24
2025-09-08	oos	0.450765	0.427219	-5.22%	0.438	-2.83%	0.0947	✓	1.25
2025-09-07	oos	0.42992	0.409086	-4.85%	0.439955	+2.33%	0.0363	✓	1.23
2025-09-06	oos	0.42645	0.40502	-5.03%	0.452595	+6.13%	0.0350	✓	1.18
2025-09-05	oos	0.42821	0.404664	-5.50%	0.44116	+3.02%	0.0435	✓	1.18
2025-09-04	oos	0.425515	0.408924	-3.90%	0.443395	+4.20%	0.0383	✓	1.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.