8=======>

2022-09-11 · +1d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1851
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.58%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
88.5%
in alpha space · 67.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.62%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.6069+0.16%16.58+0.00%0.0219✗0.791.5M2022-09-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.899-0.05%1.84-3.16%0.0439✓0.4861k2022-09-12
TRXTRONTron0.064190.064144-0.07%0.063883-0.48%0.0167✓0.49123k2022-09-12
ELAElastosEthereum1.6551.6536-0.09%1.622-1.99%0.0386✓0.7536k2022-09-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.85180.85101-0.09%0.85428+0.29%0.0166✓0.7913k2022-09-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02550.025471-0.11%0.02488-2.43%0.0526✓1.132,9142022-09-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131930.013177-0.12%0.013154-0.30%0.0236✓0.85920k2022-09-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03960.039546-0.14%0.04+1.01%0.0064✓0.692,1832022-09-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.07535-0.15%0.07199-4.60%0.0718✓1.0124k2022-09-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,831.7221,799.89-0.15%22,402.71+2.62%0.0015✓1.00473.4M2022-09-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012930.012911-0.15%0.01294+0.08%0.0148✓0.66233k2022-09-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.021267-0.15%0.02102-1.31%0.0272✓0.60206k2022-09-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5150.514091-0.18%0.483-6.21%0.0941✓1.234,2692022-09-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,663.6021,625.14-0.18%22,320.80+3.03%0.0080✗0.9213k2022-09-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06275.0533-0.19%5.0452-0.35%0.0032✓0.06117k2022-09-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.23120.230749-0.20%0.2257-2.38%0.0419✓0.7766k2022-09-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.674638-0.20%0.672-0.59%0.0335✓1.153.5M2022-09-12
NANOnanopayBase0.9277880.925871-0.21%0.914216-1.46%0.0351✓0.8749k2022-09-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0423220.042233-0.21%0.042673+0.83%0.0033✓0.5323k2022-09-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9632.9568-0.21%2.943-0.67%0.0451✓1.572.9M2022-09-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.050693-0.21%0.0516+1.57%0.0066✓0.94234k2022-09-12
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.08e-7-0.21%9.10e-7+0.00%0.0172✓0.7515k2022-09-12
XVSVenusEthereum5.15.0891-0.21%4.98-2.35%0.0440✓0.86859k2022-09-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143820.143511-0.21%0.14211-1.19%0.0411✓1.21151k2022-09-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.137502-0.22%0.1347-2.25%0.0495✓1.122.9M2022-09-12
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.08e-7-0.22%9.00e-7-1.10%0.0281✓0.741.7M2022-09-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.4168-0.23%1.43+0.70%0.0129✗-0.14124k2022-09-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063090.006295-0.23%0.006234-1.19%0.0196✓0.3830k2022-09-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,766.951,762.80-0.23%1,716.71-2.84%0.0619✓1.37575.8M2022-09-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1830.182557-0.24%0.1839+0.49%0.0228✓1.171,7442022-09-12
DASHDashDash48.3548.2328-0.24%47.17-2.44%0.0501✓1.08321k2022-09-12
GTGateEthereum4.33014.3195-0.24%4.3839+1.24%0.0041✓0.73690k2022-09-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09410.093868-0.25%0.0915-2.76%0.0511✓0.9914k2022-09-12
XMRMoneroMonero159.22158.8252-0.25%163.77+2.86%0.0053✗0.981.3M2022-09-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.351690.350814-0.25%0.35436+0.76%0.0178✓1.0834k2022-09-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29230.291548-0.26%0.2917-0.21%0.0257✓1.022.6M2022-09-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029040.002896-0.26%0.003106+6.96%0.0466✗0.901.2M2022-09-12
MOVRMoonriverBase12.886612.853-0.26%12.665-1.72%0.0411✓1.0222k2022-09-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331390.330522-0.26%0.31623-4.57%0.0623✓0.70326k2022-09-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.30663.2978-0.27%3.2933-0.40%0.0283✓1.0419k2022-09-12
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21060.210038-0.27%0.2053-2.52%0.0526✓1.15108k2022-09-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.644.6276-0.27%4.55-1.94%0.0329✓0.621.4M2022-09-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.803760.801556-0.27%0.79422-1.19%0.0386✓1.14584k2022-09-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.099426-0.27%0.1027+3.01%0.0064✗1.01336k2022-09-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29290.292091-0.28%0.2976+1.60%0.0092✓1.0883k2022-09-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.7822.7739-0.29%2.756-0.93%0.0268✓0.79586k2022-09-12
SOLSolanaSolana35.0134.9081-0.29%37.46+7.00%0.0394✗1.2154.5M2022-09-12
KCSKuCoinnative9.7559.7266-0.29%9.715-0.41%0.0235✓0.861.2M2022-09-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0637030.063517-0.29%0.063958+0.40%0.0192✓1.011.3M2022-09-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009440.009412-0.29%0.00905-4.13%0.0641✓0.963.2M2022-09-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016360.001631-0.29%0.001651+0.92%0.0055✓0.686,5532022-09-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03930.039184-0.29%0.0397+1.02%0.0133✓1.0288k2022-09-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06110.060919-0.30%0.06-1.80%0.0373✓0.8682k2022-09-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.45454.2924-0.30%54.609+0.28%0.0166✓0.87275k2022-09-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.3408-0.30%4.285-1.58%0.0226✓0.372.2M2022-09-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1143870.114035-0.31%0.113859-0.46%0.0244✓0.896.4M2022-09-12
ADACardanoCardano0.51010.508527-0.31%0.5014-1.71%0.0401✓1.0138.3M2022-09-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.555060.55334-0.31%0.563+1.43%0.0173✓1.3439k2022-09-12
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6391.343-0.31%90.99-0.70%0.0435✓1.535.6M2022-09-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97480.971724-0.32%0.9591-1.61%0.0459✓1.27899k2022-09-12
DODODODOEthereum0.13330.132877-0.32%0.1319-1.05%0.0380✓1.191.4M2022-09-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21410.213417-0.32%0.2063-3.64%0.0620✓1.09138k2022-09-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037810.037689-0.32%0.0373-1.35%0.0380✓1.0745k2022-09-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.637.6052-0.32%7.42-2.75%0.0532✓1.10230k2022-09-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.1861.9782-0.32%61.41-1.24%0.0362✓1.0413.5M2022-09-12
ZENHorizenBase16.4716.4165-0.32%16.48+0.06%0.0285✓1.2584k2022-09-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.151303-0.33%0.1518+0.00%0.0226✓1.00110k2022-09-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02751.0241-0.33%1.0045-2.24%0.0340✓0.572.6M2022-09-12
ZECZcashZcash64.2764.0519-0.34%62.92-2.10%0.0483✓1.181.2M2022-09-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.046481-0.34%0.04747+1.78%0.0044✗0.6414k2022-09-12
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015580.001553-0.34%0.001626+4.36%0.0263✗0.77353k2022-09-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.4113-0.34%5.33-1.84%0.0322✓0.662.0M2022-09-12
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4916.4685-0.35%6.659+2.59%0.0071✓1.406.9M2022-09-12
DIADIAEthereum0.405260.403846-0.35%0.39977-1.35%0.0363✓1.0132k2022-09-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.31451.3099-0.35%1.3976+6.32%0.0371✗1.071.0M2022-09-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.5120.510197-0.35%0.4948-3.36%0.0611✓1.18384k2022-09-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6490.646712-0.35%0.648-0.15%0.0246✓1.03178k2022-09-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5430.541082-0.35%0.542-0.18%0.0299✓1.2274k2022-09-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.988.9478-0.36%8.95-0.33%0.0153✓0.602.4M2022-09-12
SCSiacoinnative0.004190.004175-0.36%0.0042+0.24%0.0184✓0.95103k2022-09-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4054.3891-0.36%4.238-3.79%0.0490✓0.542.3M2022-09-12
PROPropyEthereum0.720.7174-0.36%0.73+1.39%0.0114✗0.2346k2022-09-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06450.064264-0.37%0.0667+3.41%0.0106✗1.0379k2022-09-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30572.2973-0.37%2.1488-6.80%0.0962✓1.1413k2022-09-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42550.423924-0.37%0.408-4.11%0.0669✓1.11202k2022-09-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.08631.0822-0.38%1.091+0.44%0.0118✓0.7734k2022-09-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1831.1785-0.38%1.143-3.38%0.0709✓1.564.4M2022-09-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.30291.298-0.38%1.2695-2.56%0.0519✓1.151.1M2022-09-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074140.073853-0.39%0.074-0.19%0.0015✓0.14378k2022-09-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44450.44277-0.39%0.4436-0.20%0.0283✓1.1781k2022-09-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05010.049903-0.39%0.0492-1.80%0.0443✓1.17536k2022-09-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06620.065935-0.40%0.0654-1.21%0.0399✓1.23555k2022-09-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10270.102286-0.40%0.1013-1.36%0.0295✓0.772,6892022-09-12
STEEMSteemnative0.2350.234052-0.40%0.2355+0.21%0.0163✓0.87503k2022-09-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03720.037049-0.41%0.0399+7.26%0.0516✗0.877,8252022-09-12
FTTFTXEthereum27.8927.7753-0.41%28.46+2.04%0.0020✓1.026.8M2022-09-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7027.6702-0.41%7.664-0.49%0.0310✓1.1710.0M2022-09-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32640.325051-0.41%0.3237-0.83%0.0296✓0.995.9M2022-09-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6920.6044-0.41%21.37+3.29%0.0011✓1.3718.0M2022-09-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2022.1929-0.42%2.171-1.41%0.0431✓1.2832k2022-09-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2311.1825-0.42%11.02-1.87%0.0498✓1.36298k2022-09-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33280.33136-0.43%0.3346+0.54%0.0173✓1.0575k2022-09-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012990.000012933-0.44%0.00001288-0.85%0.0304✓1.021.0M2022-09-12
XEMNEMnative0.0467850.046578-0.44%0.046711-0.16%0.0202✓0.8928k2022-09-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177890.177098-0.45%0.17731-0.33%0.0263✓1.07268k2022-09-12
QNTQuantEthereum108.82108.3343-0.45%106.65-1.99%0.0403✓0.953.5M2022-09-12
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2554.9989-0.45%54.73-0.94%0.0382✓1.298,9662022-09-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013670.001361-0.46%0.001323-3.23%0.0500✓0.842.2M2022-09-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23030.229232-0.46%0.2346+1.87%0.0000✓0.8957k2022-09-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51570.51327-0.47%0.5129-0.54%0.0228✓0.85418k2022-09-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5171.5098-0.47%1.534+1.12%0.0131✓1.1271k2022-09-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0065370.006505-0.48%0.006356-2.76%0.0406✓0.672,0442022-09-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.049463-0.48%0.0493-0.80%0.0253✓0.85138k2022-09-12
BANDBandEthereum1.3691.3625-0.48%1.352-1.24%0.0405✓1.27343k2022-09-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.283626-0.48%0.275-3.51%0.0511✓0.78563k2022-09-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92411.9148-0.49%1.962+1.97%0.0045✓1.1223k2022-09-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023320.023207-0.49%0.0228-2.23%0.0451✓1.069.7M2022-09-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.051743-0.49%0.0513-1.35%0.0388✓1.17190k2022-09-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,194.9310,144.12-0.50%9,751.47-4.35%0.0767✓1.444.2M2022-09-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2511.2447-0.50%1.279+2.24%0.0030✓0.931.1M2022-09-12
HIVEHivenative0.57920.576296-0.50%0.5802+0.17%0.0093✓0.62826k2022-09-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3137870.312213-0.50%0.32043+2.12%0.0005✓0.99471k2022-09-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2783.2614-0.51%3.245-1.01%0.0147✓0.38720k2022-09-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1737.1366-0.51%6.926-3.44%0.0560✓1.014.3M2022-09-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.037.989-0.51%7.758-3.39%0.0585✓1.1317.5M2022-09-12
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8964.871-0.51%5.093+4.02%0.0188✗1.001.4M2022-09-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12540.124739-0.53%0.1144-8.77%0.1026✓0.62191k2022-09-12
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8474.8214-0.53%4.863+0.33%0.0310✓1.53129k2022-09-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1396.1062-0.53%5.948-3.11%0.0433✓0.663.1M2022-09-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.1680.167102-0.53%0.1642-2.26%0.0517✓1.321,0012022-09-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11560.114969-0.55%0.1141-1.30%0.0302✓0.88169k2022-09-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218870.021766-0.55%0.022018+0.60%0.0045✓0.6212k2022-09-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.991.979-0.55%1.935-2.76%0.0669✓1.7260k2022-09-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.5638.3466-0.55%38.45-0.29%0.0382✓1.5910.6M2022-09-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.8381.8278-0.56%1.803-1.90%0.0401✓1.02627k2022-09-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.35129.6206-0.56%128.87-1.14%0.0364✓1.194.4M2022-09-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.1270.12628-0.57%0.1916+50.87%0.4168✗0.0183k2022-09-12
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,656.911,647.50-0.57%1,615.21-2.52%0.0456✓1.003.4M2022-09-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.291460.289797-0.57%0.2943+0.97%0.0077✓0.9015k2022-09-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.73510.73089-0.57%0.7419+0.93%0.0247✓1.53226k2022-09-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.00771.9962-0.57%1.9123-4.75%0.0649✓0.851.4M2022-09-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86630.861282-0.58%0.8638-0.29%0.0275✓1.18946k2022-09-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9740.968338-0.58%0.97-0.41%0.0293✓1.201.5M2022-09-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.682005-0.58%0.67-2.33%0.0456✓1.08111k2022-09-12
STXStacksnative0.39030.388027-0.58%0.3879-0.61%0.0282✓1.08324k2022-09-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5614.4745-0.59%14.22-2.34%0.0485✓1.19925k2022-09-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.736.6894-0.60%6.71-0.30%0.0099✓0.502.1M2022-09-12
KSMKusamaHydration51.951.5853-0.61%52.21+0.60%0.0142✓1.02395k2022-09-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0239730.023826-0.61%0.024035+0.26%0.0068✗0.07455k2022-09-12
METISMetisEthereum31.9831.7812-0.62%29.93-6.41%0.1040✓1.70168k2022-09-12
XTZTezosTezos1.68551.6749-0.63%1.6565-1.72%0.0385✓1.06241k2022-09-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.20830.206963-0.64%0.2014-3.31%0.0531✓1.003.2M2022-09-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11670.115938-0.65%0.1286+10.20%0.0717✗1.242.5M2022-09-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5014.4711-0.66%4.524+0.51%0.0127✓0.95286k2022-09-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.88850.882517-0.67%0.8948+0.71%0.0267✓1.5794k2022-09-12
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.6114-0.71%2.46-6.46%0.0758✓0.62262k2022-09-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.715.5888-0.71%15.12-3.69%0.0567✓1.011.8M2022-09-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67894.6443-0.74%4.5628-2.48%0.0333✓0.618.1M2022-09-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15450.153358-0.74%0.1547+0.13%0.0175✓1.02336k2022-09-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9318.7892-0.74%18.23-3.70%0.0443✓0.55384k2022-09-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36190.359204-0.75%0.3514-2.90%0.0525✓1.1872k2022-09-12
FLOWFlownative2.1162.1002-0.75%2.102-0.66%0.0360✓1.43967k2022-09-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.3124-0.75%2.19-6.01%0.0877✓1.29227k2022-09-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.576.5191-0.77%6.38-2.89%0.0356✓0.542.1M2022-09-12
OPTIMOptimism1.4021.3911-0.78%1.267-9.63%0.1380✓1.732.7M2022-09-12
XECeCashnative0.000045620.000045264-0.78%0.00004597+0.77%0.0074✓0.882.5M2022-09-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0241.016-0.78%1.01-1.37%0.0164✓0.412.7M2022-09-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.69915.5749-0.79%15.53-1.08%0.0364✓1.3018.7M2022-09-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.008373-0.80%0.00833-1.30%0.0356✓1.18406k2022-09-12
APEApeCoinEthereum5.6825.6357-0.82%5.492-3.34%0.0622✓1.416.4M2022-09-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.59412.4825-0.89%12.34-2.02%0.0212✓0.3816.0M2022-09-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174140.17256-0.91%0.17256-0.91%0.0202✓0.783512022-09-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065210.064617-0.91%0.06474-0.72%0.0304✓1.251.3M2022-09-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4176.3564-0.95%6.556+2.17%0.0060✓0.966.2M2022-09-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.006610.006545-0.98%0.00621-6.05%0.0691✓0.64911k2022-09-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5950.589151-0.98%0.569-4.37%0.0647✓1.1664k2022-09-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6481.6315-1.00%1.563-5.16%0.0750✓1.2443k2022-09-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.30e-77.22e-7-1.02%7.49e-7+2.61%0.0137✗0.862.3M2022-09-12
FISStafiEthereum0.35010.346529-1.02%0.3627+3.60%0.0185✗1.057782022-09-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.14687.0738-1.02%7.0049-1.99%0.0125✓0.109.1M2022-09-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.456780.451885-1.07%0.44028-3.61%0.0520✓1.01379k2022-09-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073070.072285-1.07%0.06915-5.36%0.0695✓0.977022022-09-12
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.018280.018078-1.10%0.018489+1.14%0.0034✓1.008742022-09-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.60947.5226-1.14%7.6604+0.67%0.0117✗0.2511.9M2022-09-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.4429-1.17%1.41-3.42%0.0507✓1.0779k2022-09-12
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0113140.011181-1.17%0.012004+6.10%0.0452✗1.006302022-09-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5130.506921-1.19%0.481-6.24%0.0799✓1.067,7812022-09-12
XVGVergenative0.003810.003746-1.69%0.00357-6.30%0.0741✓1.01481k2022-09-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.33080.32484-1.80%0.4093+23.73%0.2114✗0.7684k2022-09-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.000431380.00041986-2.67%0.0003-30.46%0.3457✓0.372.1M2022-09-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.26110.250637-4.01%0.2164-17.12%0.1676✓0.8024k2022-09-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.