8=======>

2022-08-31 · +1d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0287
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.15%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.9%
in alpha space · 39.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.43%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0319.2389+1.10%21.47+12.82%0.1067✓0.701.6M2022-09-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.032.0325+0.12%1.97-2.96%0.0334✗0.5193k2022-09-01
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.8583-0.03%4.91+1.03%0.0070✗0.851.5M2022-09-01
CBKCobakEthereum0.896560.895997-0.06%0.8799-1.86%0.0224✓1.0113k2022-09-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.15942.1577-0.08%2.2908+6.09%0.0551✗1.1213k2022-09-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029940.002991-0.09%0.002879-3.84%0.0422✓0.921.1M2022-09-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020260.020233-0.13%0.02063+1.83%0.0159✗0.8311.1M2022-09-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066180.06609-0.14%0.06737+1.80%0.0155✗0.877702022-09-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.03471.0332-0.14%1.06+2.45%0.0204✗1.22996k2022-09-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4750.474261-0.16%0.489+2.95%0.0255✗1.202,7102022-09-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7465.737-0.16%5.77+0.42%0.0021✗0.869.1M2022-09-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0431280.043058-0.16%0.042711-0.97%0.0103✓0.5227k2022-09-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062110.062007-0.17%0.06427+3.48%0.0313✗1.072.0M2022-09-01
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32030.319736-0.18%0.3184-0.59%0.0091✓1.17138k2022-09-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30410.303554-0.18%0.3074+1.09%0.0080✗1.07107k2022-09-01
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7614.7523-0.18%4.764+0.06%0.0032✓1.348.5M2022-09-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.667.6458-0.19%7.62-0.52%0.0080✓1.08430k2022-09-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.15310.152812-0.19%0.149-2.68%0.0300✓1.121,5282022-09-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0122.0082-0.19%2.05+1.89%0.0158✗1.1342k2022-09-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013580.013553-0.20%0.01325-2.43%0.0255✓0.67201k2022-09-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.006190.006178-0.20%0.00616-0.48%0.0056✓0.641.0M2022-09-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05950.059378-0.21%0.058-2.52%0.0272✓0.87101k2022-09-01
ZECZcashZcash59.8859.7553-0.21%58.98-1.50%0.0180✓1.161.7M2022-09-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9151.9109-0.21%1.955+2.09%0.0157✗1.6883k2022-09-01
MOVRMoonriverBase12.3812.353-0.22%12.1573-1.80%0.0201✓0.9730k2022-09-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.035622-0.22%0.0367+2.80%0.0265✗0.799,5472022-09-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024550.024495-0.22%0.02463+0.33%0.0000✓1.283,4352022-09-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,990.4019,944.24-0.23%20,192.40+1.01%0.0084✗0.9415k2022-09-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.081909-0.23%0.0821+0.00%0.0017✓0.9411k2022-09-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334160.333348-0.24%0.34021+1.81%0.0162✗0.9945k2022-09-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10030.100053-0.25%0.0996-0.70%0.0076✓0.722,5272022-09-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,048.2619,997.67-0.25%20,133.65+0.43%0.0025✓1.00504.7M2022-09-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.771910.7699-0.26%0.78027+1.08%0.0097✗0.88509k2022-09-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136980.136612-0.27%0.13757+0.43%0.0019✓1.20190k2022-09-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4132.3218-0.27%32.92+1.57%0.0119✗1.5112.7M2022-09-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056680.005653-0.27%0.005808+2.46%0.0241✗0.692,1952022-09-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131760.01314-0.27%0.013315+1.05%0.0105✗0.63932k2022-09-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03490.034804-0.28%0.0353+1.15%0.0103✗0.9186k2022-09-01
DASHDashDash44.5544.4268-0.28%44.79+0.54%0.0040✗0.97438k2022-09-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.05770.05754-0.28%0.0557-3.47%0.0373✓1.13258k2022-09-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.14450.144098-0.28%0.1435-0.69%0.0085✓1.02130k2022-09-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072740.072537-0.28%0.07449+2.41%0.0216✗1.1626k2022-09-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6730.671101-0.28%0.674+0.15%0.0008✓1.214.1M2022-09-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.08990.089645-0.28%0.0925+2.89%0.0273✗0.95381k2022-09-01
STXStacksnative0.3650.36396-0.28%0.3628-0.60%0.0081✓1.16384k2022-09-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.67230.670383-0.29%0.6827+1.55%0.0123✗1.39226k2022-09-01
NANOnanopayBase0.8946030.89203-0.29%0.9001+0.61%0.0055✗0.8360k2022-09-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.416788-0.29%0.414-0.96%0.0110✓1.027,9102022-09-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008580.008555-0.29%0.00869+1.28%0.0126✗0.725.5M2022-09-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.551180.549559-0.29%0.54872-0.45%0.0071✓1.3135k2022-09-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0612770.061096-0.30%0.062347+1.75%0.0158✗1.061.5M2022-09-01
COMPCompoundEthereum47.1446.9935-0.31%48.03+1.89%0.0165✗1.259,8512022-09-01
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.127203-0.31%0.1272-0.31%0.0044✓1.031.7M2022-09-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.231776-0.31%0.2309-0.69%0.0076✓0.9076k2022-09-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21120.210541-0.31%0.2105-0.33%0.0046✓1.0358k2022-09-01
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1426.1222-0.32%6.315+2.82%0.0255✗1.308.9M2022-09-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038450.038325-0.33%0.03845+0.00%0.0002✓0.812,7072022-09-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18240.181799-0.33%0.1809-0.82%0.0108✓1.382,2912022-09-01
SOLSolanaSolana31.531.3951-0.33%31.62+0.38%0.0022✓1.1665.9M2022-09-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13941.1356-0.34%1.1439+0.39%0.0036✗0.881.3M2022-09-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1319.0652-0.34%19.3+0.89%0.0067✗1.2922.5M2022-09-01
XMRMoneroMonero149.22148.7132-0.34%154.26+3.38%0.0323✗1.021.3M2022-09-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.317940.316855-0.34%0.31561-0.73%0.0074✓0.81340k2022-09-01
BANDBandEthereum1.2751.2706-0.34%1.292+1.33%0.0116✗1.19460k2022-09-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.651.6443-0.35%1.693+2.61%0.0252✗0.93579k2022-09-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.94270.939428-0.35%0.9424-0.03%0.0020✓1.21912k2022-09-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.048231-0.35%0.0486+0.41%0.0034✓0.99781k2022-09-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06220.06198-0.35%0.0612-1.61%0.0181✓1.28908k2022-09-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0440.043844-0.36%0.0441+0.23%0.0017✓0.96147k2022-09-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,021.078,988.73-0.36%9,216.45+2.17%0.0192✗1.386.0M2022-09-01
ADACardanoCardano0.44580.444201-0.36%0.4576+2.65%0.0257✗0.9437.1M2022-09-01
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015030.001498-0.36%0.00149-0.86%0.0092✓0.97424k2022-09-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035190.035062-0.36%0.03497-0.63%0.0069✓1.0140k2022-09-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1680.167383-0.37%0.171+1.79%0.0173✗0.97324k2022-09-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155680.155107-0.37%0.15694+0.81%0.0031✓2.035722022-09-01
DIADIAEthereum0.37170.37032-0.37%0.37505+0.90%0.0086✗0.9540k2022-09-01
TRXTRONTron0.0634280.063192-0.37%0.063287-0.22%0.0011✓0.61142k2022-09-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045930.045756-0.38%0.0454-1.15%0.0108✓0.7115k2022-09-01
QTUMQtumQtum3.1493.1369-0.38%3.1819+1.05%0.0099✗1.0125k2022-09-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.24470.243765-0.38%0.2424-0.94%0.0096✓0.9475k2022-09-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.660464-0.38%0.669+0.90%0.0092✗0.86228k2022-09-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.1418-0.38%2.28+6.05%0.0577✗1.14217k2022-09-01
QNTQuantEthereum96.4796.0935-0.39%95.02-1.50%0.0149✓0.863.5M2022-09-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9592.9473-0.40%2.931-0.95%0.0121✓1.543.7M2022-09-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5221.516-0.40%1.533+0.72%0.0062✗1.1870k2022-09-01
STEEMSteemnative0.22910.228188-0.40%0.2258-1.44%0.0144✓0.90489k2022-09-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34620.344819-0.40%0.346-0.06%0.0019✓1.25176k2022-09-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1043650.103947-0.40%0.105077+0.68%0.0074✗0.817.0M2022-09-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.8453.6229-0.40%57.56+6.91%0.0667✗0.9812.6M2022-09-01
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2470.246003-0.40%0.2187-11.46%0.1176✓-0.0091k2022-09-01
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.66e-7-0.41%8.80e-7+1.15%0.0121✗0.7916k2022-09-01
KCSKuCoinnative9.0018.9638-0.41%9.143+1.58%0.0158✗0.951.4M2022-09-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10260.102174-0.42%0.1049+2.24%0.0218✗1.073.1M2022-09-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6286.6-0.42%6.927+4.51%0.0439✗1.0517.4M2022-09-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9222.9097-0.42%2.946+0.82%0.0103✗0.50650k2022-09-01
KSMKusamaHydration47.4247.2193-0.42%47.43+0.02%0.0003✓0.99522k2022-09-01
XEMNEMnative0.0439410.043753-0.43%0.044086+0.33%0.0040✓0.8529k2022-09-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13240.131834-0.43%0.1398+5.59%0.0564✗0.523.5M2022-09-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95350.949416-0.43%0.9574+0.41%0.0063✗0.493.6M2022-09-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.110.0567-0.43%10.09-0.10%0.0019✓1.22313k2022-09-01
RARESuperRareEthereum0.2010.20013-0.43%0.2038+1.39%0.0139✗1.00116k2022-09-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.52569-0.44%0.527-0.19%0.0020✓1.0576k2022-09-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28090.279663-0.44%0.2842+1.17%0.0121✗0.953.1M2022-09-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.280757-0.44%0.276-2.13%0.0202✓0.72668k2022-09-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.7282.716-0.44%2.735+0.26%0.0033✓0.87706k2022-09-01
METISMetisEthereum31.0330.8928-0.44%30.57-1.48%0.0186✓1.90288k2022-09-01
ZENHorizenBase15.5315.4613-0.44%15.87+2.19%0.0214✗1.11107k2022-09-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064950.006466-0.44%0.006401-1.45%0.0119✓0.4158k2022-09-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.256.2221-0.45%6.313+1.01%0.0109✗0.864.9M2022-09-01
GTGateEthereum4.30084.2816-0.45%4.3083+0.17%0.0029✓0.77798k2022-09-01
RADRadworksEthereum2.132.1204-0.45%2.24+5.16%0.0516✗0.76287k2022-09-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.05030.050074-0.45%0.0506+0.60%0.0063✗0.97217k2022-09-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28850.287192-0.45%0.2936+1.77%0.0182✗0.906.0M2022-09-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,554.001,546.93-0.46%1,586.23+2.07%0.0192✗1.38660.9M2022-09-01
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.8097-0.46%1.789-1.60%0.0154✓0.91121k2022-09-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.4234-0.46%1.461+2.17%0.0211✗1.17116k2022-09-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0337.0006-0.46%7.184+2.15%0.0215✗1.0410.9M2022-09-01
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83270.828829-0.46%0.8299-0.34%0.0031✓1.041.7M2022-09-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.10282-0.47%0.1013-1.94%0.0185✓0.86188k2022-09-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.91551.6714-0.47%52.447+1.02%0.0117✗0.74302k2022-09-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.298090.296677-0.47%0.297461-0.21%0.0020✓1.09547k2022-09-01
AAVEAaveEthereum84.8584.4459-0.48%86.42+1.85%0.0166✗1.526.2M2022-09-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79391.7853-0.48%1.803+0.50%0.0053✗1.0830k2022-09-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013420.001335-0.50%0.001346+0.31%0.0047✓0.792.1M2022-09-01
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.76e-7-0.50%8.90e-7+1.14%0.0129✗0.791.9M2022-09-01
SCSiacoinnative0.004040.00402-0.50%0.00402-0.50%0.0042✓0.99144k2022-09-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21840.217296-0.51%0.2265+3.71%0.0359✗1.30135k2022-09-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.057102-0.52%0.0569-0.87%0.0075✓0.9398k2022-09-01
PROPropyEthereum0.730.726184-0.52%0.71-2.74%0.0238✓0.2979k2022-09-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12360.122954-0.52%0.124+0.32%0.0040✓1.0423k2022-09-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2717.1779-0.53%17.1-0.98%0.0075✓0.69818k2022-09-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72761.7184-0.54%1.7801+3.04%0.0312✗0.961.2M2022-09-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45940.456939-0.54%0.4685+1.98%0.0201✗1.14383k2022-09-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012080.000012014-0.54%0.00001229+1.74%0.0187✗0.95776k2022-09-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.512191-0.55%0.514-0.19%0.0013✓1.1483k2022-09-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6630.659355-0.55%0.668+0.75%0.0089✗0.98207k2022-09-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023040.022912-0.55%0.02281-1.00%0.0079✓0.81459k2022-09-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021520.0214-0.56%0.021111-1.90%0.0170✓0.8113k2022-09-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2051.1982-0.57%1.198-0.58%0.0044✓0.991.6M2022-09-01
OPTIMOptimism1.1291.1225-0.57%1.178+4.34%0.0409✗1.713.2M2022-09-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13950.138701-0.57%0.141+1.08%0.0122✗1.01509k2022-09-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.512.4278-0.58%13.45+7.60%0.0745✗1.061.9M2022-09-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0646-0.58%1.047-2.22%0.0203✓0.8644k2022-09-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35130.349215-0.59%0.3534+0.60%0.0073✗1.07116k2022-09-01
XTZTezosTezos1.51081.5016-0.61%1.5398+1.92%0.0203✗1.12296k2022-09-01
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.081490.080979-0.63%0.08-1.83%0.0124✓0.05451k2022-09-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.3016-0.64%1.32+0.76%0.0102✗0.91111k2022-09-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.16114.4136-0.65%116.73+1.36%0.0152✗1.144.6M2022-09-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50540.502079-0.66%0.5023-0.61%0.0028✓0.75544k2022-09-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.311720.309664-0.66%0.30195-3.13%0.0297✓1.0512k2022-09-01
HIVEHivenative0.55730.55359-0.67%0.5486-1.56%0.0126✓0.841.1M2022-09-01
FTTFTXEthereum26.7326.5487-0.68%26.91+0.67%0.0094✗0.977.3M2022-09-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3374.3063-0.71%4.31-0.62%0.0012✓0.482.0M2022-09-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7433.7161-0.72%3.853+2.94%0.0321✗0.97259k2022-09-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007990.007925-0.81%0.00795-0.50%0.0016✓1.12477k2022-09-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.848.7684-0.81%9.54+7.92%0.0823✗0.491.9M2022-09-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0475.9976-0.82%6.087+0.66%0.0128✗0.484.4M2022-09-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1414.0224-0.83%14.02-0.85%0.0049✓1.10909k2022-09-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11610.115119-0.84%0.117+0.78%0.0131✗0.73216k2022-09-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4390.435202-0.87%0.4267-2.80%0.0246✓1.15100k2022-09-01
FLOWFlownative2.0722.0536-0.89%2.047-1.21%0.0090✓1.351.3M2022-09-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.82511.7194-0.89%12.73+7.65%0.0780✗1.1111.4M2022-09-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.910.9018-0.90%0.974+7.03%0.0754✗0.374.0M2022-09-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001560.001546-0.92%0.001534-1.67%0.0106✓0.709,0932022-09-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.14631.1357-0.93%1.1541+0.68%0.0096✗1.534.5M2022-09-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.7423-1.00%4.79+0.00%0.0077✓0.531.1M2022-09-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4494.4044-1.00%4.485+0.81%0.0171✗0.242.3M2022-09-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.346491-1.00%0.3455-1.29%0.0068✓0.94347k2022-09-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.21790.215508-1.10%0.2143-1.65%0.0092✓0.843.1M2022-09-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.615.548-1.10%5.79+3.21%0.0408✗0.452.0M2022-09-01
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.82764.7723-1.15%4.8782+1.05%0.0177✗1.00150k2022-09-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.05164.0039-1.18%4.1452+2.31%0.0321✗0.604.2M2022-09-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.76.6178-1.23%6.91+3.13%0.0412✗0.481.7M2022-09-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.46.3204-1.24%6.87+7.34%0.0813✗0.502.1M2022-09-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.5-1.32%1.53+0.66%0.0203✗-0.13128k2022-09-01
XECeCashnative0.000044520.000043922-1.34%0.00004614+3.64%0.0456✗0.861.7M2022-09-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80145.7185-1.43%5.5317-4.65%0.0337✓0.10115k2022-09-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00512.7936-1.63%12.927-0.60%0.0082✓0.529.7M2022-09-01
XVGVergenative0.003350.003291-1.75%0.00318-5.07%0.0387✓1.01486k2022-09-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90230.883468-2.09%0.8971-0.58%0.0091✓1.45167k2022-09-01
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0781.0548-2.15%1.059-1.76%0.0013✓1.261.5M2022-09-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.25e-79.05e-7-2.24%8.97e-7-3.04%0.0117✓0.831.3M2022-09-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.62946.4532-2.66%6.7053+1.14%0.0374✗0.235.4M2022-09-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0303140.029471-2.78%0.026903-11.25%0.0917✓0.13280k2022-09-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.86117.5853-3.51%7.8225-0.49%0.0293✓0.367.0M2022-09-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000221560.000211946-4.34%0.00027606+24.60%0.2611✗0.74429k2022-09-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.