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2022-08-20 · +1d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1851
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.27%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.5%
in alpha space · 28.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.1311.14+0.79%1.176+3.98%0.0006✓1.723.7M2022-08-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021520.02164+0.56%0.02263+5.16%0.0287✓0.9013.9M2022-08-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7462.7599+0.51%3.111+13.29%0.0920✓1.565.1M2022-08-21
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20230.203027+0.36%0.2119+4.75%0.0250✓1.00146k2022-08-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5690.570745+0.31%0.611+7.38%0.0463✓1.232,9182022-08-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5961.6007+0.30%1.724+8.02%0.0528✓1.20126k2022-08-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2496.2671+0.29%6.413+2.62%0.0079✓0.8510.1M2022-08-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068290.068486+0.29%0.06849+0.29%0.0198✗1.122.4M2022-08-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,539.618,561.96+0.26%8,749.39+2.46%0.0026✓1.367.3M2022-08-21
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0365.0464+0.21%5.19+3.06%0.0041✓1.3510.9M2022-08-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31050.311123+0.20%0.3366+8.41%0.0585✓1.14110k2022-08-21
DODODODOEthereum0.1310.131242+0.18%0.1393+6.34%0.0421✓0.992.1M2022-08-21
METISMetisEthereum32.4532.4975+0.15%34.76+7.12%0.0343✓1.86383k2022-08-21
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0047.0125+0.12%7.211+2.96%0.0052✓1.2810.7M2022-08-21
GITCOINGITCOIN2.3142.3166+0.11%2.478+7.09%0.0456✓1.2213k2022-08-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5251.5267+0.11%1.562+2.43%0.0014✓1.21156k2022-08-21
C98Coin98Ethereum0.41040.41078+0.09%0.4286+4.43%0.0228✓1.1074k2022-08-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0573.0593+0.08%3.174+3.83%0.0255✓0.64803k2022-08-21
BANDBandEthereum1.2991.2999+0.07%1.352+4.08%0.0173✓1.24518k2022-08-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99951.0001+0.06%1.0248+2.53%0.0015✗1.455.0M2022-08-21
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.156860.156945+0.05%0.16409+4.61%0.0069✓2.126672022-08-21
QTUMQtumQtum3.34613.3478+0.05%3.4692+3.68%0.0182✓0.9848k2022-08-21
FLOWFlownative2.1242.125+0.05%2.163+1.84%0.0056✗1.311.2M2022-08-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.16830.168363+0.04%0.1768+5.05%0.0310✓1.011,7442022-08-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47420.474372+0.04%0.4896+3.25%0.0119✓1.11386k2022-08-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.362.3607+0.03%2.48+5.08%0.0275✓1.23259k2022-08-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139090.139126+0.03%0.14385+3.42%0.0116✓1.22250k2022-08-21
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16730.167327+0.02%0.1759+5.14%0.0261✓1.341,3642022-08-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.6812.6819+0.02%13.18+3.94%0.0187✓1.112.6M2022-08-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3056.3059+0.01%6.459+2.44%0.0074✓0.935.3M2022-08-21
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86170.861757+0.01%0.8737+1.39%0.0055✗1.082.2M2022-08-21
ZENHorizenBase15.8415.8396-0.00%16.73+5.62%0.0351✗1.10125k2022-08-21
CBKCobakEthereum0.941440.94136-0.01%0.96387+2.38%0.0064✗0.9712k2022-08-21
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0962.0956-0.02%2.17+3.53%0.0045✗1.71122k2022-08-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10640.106375-0.02%0.109+2.44%0.0117✗0.713,9702022-08-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1522.1514-0.03%2.229+3.58%0.0149✗1.1660k2022-08-21
SUSHISushiEthereum1.171.1696-0.03%1.21+3.42%0.0122✗1.221.1M2022-08-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10290.102865-0.03%0.108+4.96%0.0297✗1.073.8M2022-08-21
STXStacksnative0.38960.389416-0.05%0.395+1.39%0.0055✓1.11493k2022-08-21
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38380.383613-0.05%0.3841+0.08%0.0216✓1.28190k2022-08-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06590.065868-0.05%0.0696+5.61%0.0386✗0.93126k2022-08-21
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.084855-0.05%0.0898+5.77%0.0393✗0.979,9252022-08-21
COMPCompoundEthereum49.2349.1977-0.07%50.91+3.41%0.0124✗1.2316k2022-08-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.1470.146899-0.07%0.1499+1.97%0.0022✗1.01149k2022-08-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1314.12-0.07%14.47+2.41%0.0027✗1.221.4M2022-08-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05030.050261-0.08%0.0514+2.19%0.0051✗0.97827k2022-08-21
NANOnanopayBase0.8965170.895716-0.09%0.927762+3.49%0.0213✗0.7877k2022-08-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022440.022416-0.11%0.02257+0.58%0.0086✓0.87444k2022-08-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,139.2321,114.13-0.12%21,518.62+1.79%0.0012✓1.00469.5M2022-08-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4630.462395-0.13%0.47+1.51%0.0016✓1.019,8012022-08-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007250.00724-0.13%0.00947+30.62%0.2494✗1.07435k2022-08-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.25490.254535-0.14%0.2628+3.10%0.0151✗0.9583k2022-08-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12260.122418-0.15%0.1381+12.64%0.1104✗0.574.1M2022-08-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.356030.355464-0.16%0.37086+4.17%0.0252✗0.9795k2022-08-21
ADACardanoCardano0.45130.450581-0.16%0.4624+2.46%0.0073✗1.0542.0M2022-08-21
ZECZcashZcash62.9262.8195-0.16%64.62+2.70%0.0082✗1.132.0M2022-08-21
DIADIAEthereum0.399830.39918-0.16%0.41334+3.38%0.0181✗0.9470k2022-08-21
MANADecentralandEthereum0.831830.830467-0.16%0.85255+2.49%0.0098✗0.93560k2022-08-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.128.1066-0.17%8.2+0.99%0.0084✓1.12638k2022-08-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.077040.076912-0.17%0.07522-2.36%0.0434✓1.1929k2022-08-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045160.045085-0.17%0.04674+3.50%0.0235✗0.7116k2022-08-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22070.220329-0.17%0.224+1.50%0.0014✓1.0172k2022-08-21
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7080.706802-0.17%0.728+2.82%0.0138✗0.88271k2022-08-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014460.001443-0.18%0.001501+3.80%0.0265✗0.719,7092022-08-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1810.180682-0.18%0.187+3.31%0.0154✗1.06608k2022-08-21
GMTGMTEthereum0.7990.797591-0.18%0.804+0.63%0.0173✓1.42398k2022-08-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.007130.007117-0.18%0.00718+0.70%0.0027✓0.651.3M2022-08-21
SCSiacoinnative0.004150.004142-0.18%0.00421+1.45%0.0017✓1.00152k2022-08-21
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.041.0381-0.18%1.072+3.08%0.0106✗1.211.1M2022-08-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.040227-0.18%0.0412+2.23%0.0078✗0.9111k2022-08-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28420.283682-0.18%0.2949+3.76%0.0219✗0.953.6M2022-08-21
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8430.841446-0.18%0.876+3.91%0.0323✗0.454.4M2022-08-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058660.005855-0.19%0.005915+0.83%0.0021✓0.692,6422022-08-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.8332.7671-0.19%33.76+2.83%0.0046✗1.4216.5M2022-08-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.36990.369181-0.19%0.3918+5.92%0.0371✗1.26223k2022-08-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.567470.566364-0.19%0.58884+3.77%0.0160✗1.2946k2022-08-21
DASHDashDash45.7545.6603-0.20%46.8+2.30%0.0074✗0.97521k2022-08-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3016860.301091-0.20%0.308829+2.37%0.0060✗1.09884k2022-08-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12230.122057-0.20%0.1243+1.64%0.0000✓1.0239k2022-08-21
STEEMSteemnative0.23310.23263-0.20%0.2375+1.89%0.0046✗0.90550k2022-08-21
KSMKusamaHydration48.5448.4411-0.20%50.64+4.33%0.0272✗0.97560k2022-08-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2287.2132-0.20%7.434+2.85%0.0120✗1.0214.0M2022-08-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04580.045706-0.21%0.0473+3.28%0.0170✗0.97201k2022-08-21
XVSVenusEthereum5.885.8676-0.21%5.91+0.51%0.0080✓0.851.6M2022-08-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0685-0.22%1.0912+1.90%0.0056✗0.8756k2022-08-21
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7982.6086-0.22%85.89+3.74%0.0120✗1.526.4M2022-08-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9026.8867-0.22%7.08+2.58%0.0087✗1.0719.5M2022-08-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.153.9786-0.22%55.68+2.92%0.0133✗0.9913.1M2022-08-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.09560.095385-0.22%0.1011+5.75%0.0416✗0.93430k2022-08-21
XMRMoneroMonero149.22148.882-0.23%154.56+3.58%0.0198✗0.991.2M2022-08-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033930.003385-0.23%0.003742+10.29%0.0854✗0.831.0M2022-08-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.297240.296539-0.24%0.30199+1.60%0.0005✓1.0513k2022-08-21
ETHEthereumEthereum1,575.761,572.04-0.24%1,617.84+2.67%0.0051✗1.33534.1M2022-08-21
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017260.001722-0.24%0.001778+3.01%0.0166✗0.87806k2022-08-21
TRXTRONTron0.0658570.0657-0.24%0.065924+0.10%0.0071✓0.59179k2022-08-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5570.55566-0.24%0.572+2.69%0.0088✗1.1390k2022-08-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009240.009217-0.25%0.00945+2.27%0.0116✗0.756.2M2022-08-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6760.6743-0.25%0.7+3.55%0.0210✗0.92333k2022-08-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.341.3366-0.26%1.39+3.73%0.0219✗0.97182k2022-08-21
SOLSolanaSolana35.2935.1992-0.26%36.48+3.37%0.0151✗1.1675.2M2022-08-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.019.9842-0.26%10.41+4.00%0.0208✗1.18318k2022-08-21
XVGVergenative0.003280.003272-0.26%0.00326-0.61%0.0221✓1.04520k2022-08-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.05230.052164-0.26%0.054+3.25%0.0167✗1.00253k2022-08-21
KCSKuCoinnative9.3729.3468-0.27%9.628+2.73%0.0128✗0.951.9M2022-08-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.221.2167-0.27%1.243+1.89%0.0039✗0.982.2M2022-08-21
XECeCashnative0.000038990.000038884-0.27%0.00003955+1.44%0.0013✓0.881.8M2022-08-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0694280.069237-0.28%0.069279-0.21%0.0176✓1.021.9M2022-08-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.060031-0.28%0.0597-0.83%0.0226✓0.96112k2022-08-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51720.515734-0.28%0.5133-0.75%0.0195✓0.83713k2022-08-21
PROPropyEthereum0.730.727903-0.29%0.73+0.00%0.0041✓0.39105k2022-08-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.061.0568-0.30%1.0512-0.83%0.0251✓1.1112k2022-08-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37130.370166-0.31%0.3848+3.64%0.0197✗1.07175k2022-08-21
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068880.068668-0.31%0.07057+2.45%0.0128✗0.819772022-08-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30030.299362-0.31%0.3062+1.96%0.0061✗0.938.2M2022-08-21
ELAElastosEthereum1.8571.8512-0.31%1.876+1.02%0.0037✓0.96156k2022-08-21
XEMNEMnative0.0450830.044941-0.31%0.046233+2.55%0.0133✗0.8534k2022-08-21
XYMSymbolnative0.0491230.048966-0.32%0.051048+3.92%0.0323✗0.5330k2022-08-21
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.742.7312-0.32%2.76+0.73%0.0017✓0.5093k2022-08-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1090190.10867-0.32%0.110977+1.80%0.0056✗0.877.4M2022-08-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06680.066586-0.32%0.0675+1.05%0.0079✓1.211.3M2022-08-21
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.77e-7-0.32%9.30e-7+5.68%0.0443✗0.8018k2022-08-21
UMAUMAEthereum2.8242.8148-0.33%2.914+3.19%0.0199✗0.83749k2022-08-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.0452.865-0.33%54.958+3.62%0.0257✗0.74349k2022-08-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.78114.3894-0.34%119.67+4.26%0.0255✗1.105.0M2022-08-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.07695.0595-0.34%5.1185+0.82%0.0091✗0.14171k2022-08-21
QNTQuantEthereum104.84104.4793-0.34%110.77+5.66%0.0436✗0.843.4M2022-08-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7220.719514-0.34%0.722+0.00%0.0211✓1.384.8M2022-08-21
MOVRMoonriverBase13.707113.6594-0.35%14.1071+2.92%0.0153✗0.9544k2022-08-21
XTZTezosTezos1.56291.5574-0.35%1.6327+4.47%0.0274✗1.11494k2022-08-21
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.67e-7-0.35%9.00e-7+3.45%0.0232✗0.803.3M2022-08-21
GTGateEthereum4.43554.4198-0.35%4.5693+3.02%0.0196✗0.77836k2022-08-21
ORCAOrcaSolana0.86120.858129-0.36%0.8569-0.50%0.0279✓1.49224k2022-08-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.06170.061479-0.36%0.0654+6.00%0.0419✗1.12303k2022-08-21
API3Api3Ethereum1.861.8533-0.36%1.914+2.90%0.0159✗0.92657k2022-08-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.290.288929-0.37%0.288-0.69%0.0162✓0.73878k2022-08-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86461.8575-0.38%1.9484+4.50%0.0290✗1.0636k2022-08-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14930.14873-0.38%0.1556+4.22%0.0275✗0.99616k2022-08-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021560.021475-0.39%0.02191+1.62%0.0055✗0.8213k2022-08-21
FTTFTXEthereum26.6926.5793-0.41%27.72+3.86%0.0251✗0.958.6M2022-08-21
FORTFortaEthereum0.26760.266478-0.42%0.2705+1.08%0.0025✓0.98145k2022-08-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10970.109235-0.42%0.1115+1.64%0.0053✗0.86274k2022-08-21
FISStafiEthereum0.36660.365024-0.43%0.3715+1.34%0.0013✓0.911922022-08-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.305140.303826-0.43%0.32001+4.87%0.0358✗0.90366k2022-08-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,129.2021,037.58-0.43%21,631.30+2.38%0.0109✗0.957,5932022-08-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.322.2027-0.44%22.97+3.00%0.0108✗1.3024.7M2022-08-21
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026420.026305-0.44%0.0271+2.57%0.0072✗1.273,2032022-08-21
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.260149-0.44%0.2611-0.08%0.0035✓0.0181k2022-08-21
LUNATerraTerra 20.000088070.000087667-0.46%0.00009038+2.62%0.0149✗0.88327k2022-08-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.23610.1891-0.46%10.644+3.99%0.0241✗1.1010.8M2022-08-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068550.006823-0.46%0.006771-1.23%0.0161✓0.4757k2022-08-21
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana3.81153.7938-0.46%4.1353+8.50%0.0684✗1.00169k2022-08-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037450.037276-0.47%0.03818+1.95%0.0063✗1.0023k2022-08-21
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3835-0.47%1.38-0.72%0.0018✓-0.04105k2022-08-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6110.608062-0.48%0.636+4.09%0.0250✗1.12103k2022-08-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4118.3204-0.49%18.97+3.04%0.0223✗0.701.8M2022-08-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10340.102887-0.50%0.1006-2.71%0.0352✓0.72220k2022-08-21
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.3971-0.53%2.38-1.24%0.0224✓0.86833k2022-08-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.898.8416-0.54%8.93+0.45%0.0022✓0.442.2M2022-08-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012910.000012835-0.58%0.00001348+4.42%0.0329✗0.91827k2022-08-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.370190.368013-0.59%0.37078+0.16%0.0121✓1.10426k2022-08-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039560.039308-0.64%0.0402+1.62%0.0077✗0.832,6252022-08-21
HIVEHivenative0.54280.539312-0.64%0.5638+3.87%0.0285✗0.891.9M2022-08-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.075.0369-0.65%5.04-0.59%0.0068✓0.421.1M2022-08-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.825.782-0.65%5.94+2.06%0.0206✗0.362.9M2022-08-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.18320.181966-0.67%0.1872+2.18%0.0137✗0.821.3M2022-08-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.36491.3556-0.68%1.3019-4.62%0.0578✓0.981.2M2022-08-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.06521.0579-0.68%1.0779+1.19%0.0089✗0.554.3M2022-08-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015070.001496-0.75%0.001518+0.74%0.0011✓0.781.6M2022-08-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0146880.014576-0.76%0.014659-0.20%0.0050✓0.601.9M2022-08-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4874.4521-0.78%4.479-0.18%0.0003✓0.361.6M2022-08-21
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8690.862201-0.78%0.919+5.75%0.0423✗1.211.1M2022-08-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.48593.4564-0.85%3.6812+5.60%0.0536✗0.531.5M2022-08-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.336.275-0.87%6.35+0.32%0.0051✓0.381.9M2022-08-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.526.4628-0.88%6.56+0.61%0.0080✓0.391.3M2022-08-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78711.7712-0.89%1.7908+0.21%0.0088✓1.11667k2022-08-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01770.017542-0.90%0.01736-1.92%0.0218✓0.64155k2022-08-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0224990.022295-0.91%0.023427+4.12%0.0473✗0.13240k2022-08-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4086.3467-0.96%6.594+2.90%0.0360✗0.134.5M2022-08-21
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.091570.090678-0.97%0.09106-0.56%0.0026✓0.09959k2022-08-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.038982-1.06%0.0377-4.31%0.0507✓0.9777k2022-08-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.6641.1826-1.15%44.36+6.48%0.0578✗0.931.8M2022-08-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2390.236159-1.19%0.2298-3.85%0.0516✓1.36110k2022-08-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9193.8682-1.30%5.094+29.98%0.2588✗0.92127k2022-08-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36064.302-1.34%4.9686+13.94%0.1415✗0.142.1M2022-08-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.0514.9545-1.91%5.101+0.99%0.0281✗0.062.1M2022-08-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.69225.5644-2.24%5.9198+4.00%0.0591✗0.162.1M2022-08-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain10.89410.6427-2.31%12.738+16.93%0.1723✗0.421.4M2022-08-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.06e-76.88e-7-2.58%7.12e-7+0.88%0.0214✓0.76164k2022-08-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.