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2022-08-14 · +1d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1610
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.06%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.5%
in alpha space · 71.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.90%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016880.000016467-2.45%0.00001525-9.66%0.0681✓0.96679k2022-08-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.26e-74.17e-7-1.95%7.43e-7+74.48%0.5825✗0.68150k2022-08-15
FISStafiEthereum0.49050.481141-1.91%0.4936+0.63%0.0333✗0.851382022-08-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9325.821-1.87%5.456-8.02%0.0628✓0.211.1M2022-08-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048790.048068-1.48%0.04885+0.12%0.0254✗1.0220k2022-08-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.69323.6404-1.43%3.6239-1.88%0.0004✓0.451.9M2022-08-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.18110.178617-1.37%0.1968+8.67%0.1047✗0.861.1M2022-08-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.2738.7433-1.34%40+1.86%0.0420✗1.111.7M2022-08-15
OPTIMOptimism1.441.421-1.32%1.569+8.96%0.1164✗1.923.7M2022-08-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.45881.4439-1.02%1.4669+0.56%0.0248✗1.001.0M2022-08-15
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0080.998184-0.97%0.99-1.79%0.0028✓1.221.3M2022-08-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.53783.5038-0.96%3.4246-3.20%0.0199✓0.331.6M2022-08-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3546.2937-0.95%6.023-5.21%0.0430✓0.103.5M2022-08-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9443.9066-0.95%3.896-1.22%0.0051✓0.86124k2022-08-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.2421.054-0.88%20.58-3.11%0.0165✓0.702.2M2022-08-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.092810.092009-0.86%0.09505+2.41%0.0435✗1.222.2M2022-08-15
FLOWFlownative2.8322.8082-0.84%2.71-4.31%0.0241✓1.27754k2022-08-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.126.0694-0.83%6.38+4.25%0.0530✗0.341.4M2022-08-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.16083.1353-0.81%3.0966-2.03%0.0078✓0.511.3M2022-08-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38921.379-0.74%1.3341-3.97%0.0202✓1.436.4M2022-08-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100140.000099413-0.73%0.00009691-3.23%0.0163✓1.02336k2022-08-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.1927.9967-0.69%27.9-1.03%0.0090✗1.3830.5M2022-08-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8213.7958-0.66%3.694-3.32%0.0128✓1.595.3M2022-08-15
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00190.995397-0.65%1.0012-0.07%0.0201✗1.58296k2022-08-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative41.5741.3076-0.63%41.97+0.96%0.0284✗1.3816.5M2022-08-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,226.8311,156.69-0.62%11,093.56-1.19%0.0064✗1.336.5M2022-08-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.2610.1995-0.59%9.92-3.31%0.0177✓1.11638k2022-08-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.08170.081227-0.58%0.076696-6.12%0.0481✓1.031.8M2022-08-15
RADRadworksEthereum2.552.5358-0.56%2.46-3.53%0.0219✓0.93636k2022-08-15
API3Api3Ethereum2.3872.374-0.54%2.455+2.85%0.0423✗0.97607k2022-08-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5314.4516-0.54%15.12+4.06%0.0563✗1.232.6M2022-08-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014320.001424-0.53%0.001637+14.36%0.1472✗0.861.5M2022-08-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7530.749034-0.53%0.718-4.65%0.0312✓1.232,7912022-08-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48370.481159-0.53%0.4715-2.52%0.0101✓1.13190k2022-08-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.0017.959-0.52%7.794-2.59%0.0117✓1.025.5M2022-08-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.58811.5287-0.51%11.408-1.55%0.0000✓1.1713.2M2022-08-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12750.126852-0.51%0.1145-10.20%0.0945✓0.88220k2022-08-15
QNTQuantEthereum118.61118.0079-0.51%113.47-4.33%0.0314✓0.873.8M2022-08-15
GMTGMTEthereum0.9810.976101-0.50%1.053+7.34%0.0890✗1.46407k2022-08-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1872.1761-0.50%2.119-3.11%0.0163✓1.14169k2022-08-15
METISMetisEthereum43.2643.0483-0.49%40.9-5.46%0.0335✓1.95385k2022-08-15
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8828.8389-0.48%8.475-4.58%0.0302✓1.3110.0M2022-08-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.425.3941-0.48%5.44+0.37%0.0109✗0.272.0M2022-08-15
HIVEHivenative0.62130.618374-0.47%0.6251+0.61%0.0198✗0.992.4M2022-08-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.07030.069974-0.46%0.067-4.69%0.0337✓1.07225k2022-08-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.065.0373-0.45%4.97-1.78%0.0099✓0.401.3M2022-08-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.710150.70697-0.45%0.71526+0.72%0.0237✗1.3349k2022-08-15
DIADIAEthereum0.492650.490466-0.44%0.47474-3.64%0.0283✓0.4770k2022-08-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13930.138683-0.44%0.1342-3.66%0.0228✓1.123.9M2022-08-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0670.066705-0.44%0.0659-1.64%0.0023✓1.09877k2022-08-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47930.477205-0.44%0.4503-6.05%0.0461✓1.32242k2022-08-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18420.1834-0.43%0.1799-2.33%0.0093✓1.10586k2022-08-15
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51990.517659-0.43%0.4992-3.98%0.0243✓1.33213k2022-08-15
AAVEAaveEthereum107.44106.9788-0.43%107.14-0.28%0.0156✗1.567.1M2022-08-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.176.1438-0.42%6.12-0.81%0.0008✓0.341.0M2022-08-15
UMAUMAEthereum3.4463.4314-0.42%3.305-4.09%0.0297✓0.87640k2022-08-15
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.170285-0.42%0.168-1.75%0.0044✓1.012.6M2022-08-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008650.008614-0.41%0.0085-1.73%0.0032✓1.12463k2022-08-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3411.3355-0.41%1.311-2.24%0.0073✓1.231.1M2022-08-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.2358.2015-0.41%8.417+2.21%0.0337✗0.868.3M2022-08-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.8111.7622-0.40%11.94+1.10%0.0253✗1.14305k2022-08-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08830.087946-0.40%0.0886+0.34%0.0176✗1.1329k2022-08-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25550.254485-0.40%0.2573+0.70%0.0232✗1.35132k2022-08-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12840.12789-0.40%0.1261-1.79%0.0059✓0.91328k2022-08-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5618.4886-0.38%18.18-2.05%0.0061✓1.191.6M2022-08-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.978.9356-0.38%8.78-2.12%0.0165✓0.111.8M2022-08-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,935.851,928.52-0.38%1,899.39-1.88%0.0032✓1.32522.8M2022-08-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.41180.410249-0.38%0.4009-2.65%0.0131✓1.10100k2022-08-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6990.696403-0.37%0.681-2.58%0.0115✓1.20115k2022-08-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9391.9318-0.37%1.893-2.37%0.0099✓1.15203k2022-08-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029260.029152-0.37%0.02883-1.47%0.0021✓1.0014.3M2022-08-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08090.080602-0.37%0.0788-2.60%0.0123✓1.151.4M2022-08-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.063.0489-0.36%3.32+8.50%0.0967✗1.27244k2022-08-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198460.019775-0.36%0.020413+2.86%0.0333✗0.17230k2022-08-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0255820.025492-0.35%0.025193-1.52%0.0042✓0.8413k2022-08-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004190.004175-0.35%0.004238+1.15%0.0222✗0.801.0M2022-08-15
SOLSolanaSolana44.8944.734-0.35%43.72-2.61%0.0120✓1.2178.8M2022-08-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.744-0.34%1.72-1.71%0.0044✓1.04190k2022-08-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1024.088-0.34%3.991-2.71%0.0218✓0.242.2M2022-08-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.376550.375291-0.33%0.35764-5.02%0.0402✓0.88439k2022-08-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049420.049255-0.33%0.04763-3.62%0.0262✓0.812,5822022-08-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8390.836236-0.33%0.819-2.38%0.0124✓0.93370k2022-08-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.22840.227654-0.33%0.2205-3.46%0.0221✓1.091,7402022-08-15
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021020.002095-0.32%0.002105+0.14%0.0137✗1.001.0M2022-08-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1544.1406-0.32%4.131-0.55%0.0007✓0.331.7M2022-08-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.12121.1176-0.32%1.1419+1.85%0.0277✗0.683.9M2022-08-15
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3686.3478-0.32%6.215-2.40%0.0089✓1.3612.8M2022-08-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8870.884195-0.32%0.857-3.38%0.0226✓0.96280k2022-08-15
RARESuperRareEthereum0.28540.284502-0.31%0.2678-6.17%0.0515✓1.00108k2022-08-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.778.7427-0.31%8.649-1.38%0.0008✓1.1119.3M2022-08-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.042667-0.31%0.0425-0.70%0.0052✗1.0176k2022-08-15
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085720.08546-0.30%0.08417-1.81%0.0131✓0.241.1M2022-08-15
IMXImmutableEthereum1.09621.093-0.30%1.0393-5.19%0.0393✓1.222.3M2022-08-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.45139.0404-0.29%137.34-1.51%0.0022✓1.125.1M2022-08-15
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19170.191143-0.29%0.18875-1.54%0.0076✗2.236712022-08-15
ADACardanoCardano0.57010.568446-0.29%0.5501-3.51%0.0232✓1.0642.0M2022-08-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025730.025657-0.28%0.02686+4.39%0.0535✗0.85209k2022-08-15
XEMNEMnative0.0538060.053658-0.28%0.053067-1.37%0.0026✓0.9343k2022-08-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36420.363204-0.27%0.3578-1.76%0.0062✓0.978.3M2022-08-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8082.8006-0.26%2.725-2.96%0.0115✓1.75144k2022-08-15
FTTFTXEthereum30.8430.7585-0.26%30.85+0.03%0.0114✗0.939.8M2022-08-15
ZENHorizenBase20.1420.0873-0.26%20.11-0.15%0.0118✗1.18124k2022-08-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.07650.076301-0.26%0.0707-7.58%0.0652✓1.22350k2022-08-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3741170.373148-0.26%0.371538-0.69%0.0054✗1.08916k2022-08-15
KSMKusamaHydration58.8758.7193-0.26%57.71-1.97%0.0080✓1.04524k2022-08-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.481.4762-0.26%1.44-2.70%0.0131✓1.301.2M2022-08-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5340.532642-0.25%0.519-2.81%0.0169✓1.0014k2022-08-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.28680.286086-0.25%0.2853-0.52%0.0056✗0.9370k2022-08-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8653.8557-0.24%3.69-4.53%0.0376✓0.701.1M2022-08-15
XECeCashnative0.000046140.00004603-0.24%0.00004601-0.28%0.0077✗0.902.1M2022-08-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.39162.2441-0.24%61.418-1.56%0.0068✓0.73354k2022-08-15
ELAElastosEthereum2.0392.0343-0.23%2.01-1.42%0.0030✓1.00189k2022-08-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05410.053975-0.23%0.0544+0.55%0.0168✗0.99237k2022-08-15
COMPCompoundEthereum63.0462.8956-0.23%62.03-1.60%0.0023✓1.2835k2022-08-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055380.055254-0.23%0.05379-2.87%0.0203✓0.7316k2022-08-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14770.147375-0.22%0.1474-0.20%0.0100✗1.0946k2022-08-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.64811.6445-0.22%1.6772+1.77%0.0311✗1.27540k2022-08-15
XTZTezosTezos1.82261.8186-0.22%1.8279+0.29%0.0153✗1.13467k2022-08-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.11660.116349-0.22%0.1148-1.54%0.0040✓1.04499k2022-08-15
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07351.0713-0.21%1.0534-1.88%0.0078✓1.00574k2022-08-15
C98Coin98Ethereum0.53440.533295-0.21%0.5236-2.02%0.0081✓1.1359k2022-08-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7732.7674-0.20%2.73-1.55%0.0030✓1.1862k2022-08-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010370.010349-0.20%0.01073+3.47%0.0437✗0.845.6M2022-08-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60940.608175-0.20%0.5965-2.12%0.0125✓0.76784k2022-08-15
SCSiacoinnative0.004990.00498-0.20%0.00488-2.20%0.0107✓1.06145k2022-08-15
GTGateEthereum5.05495.0449-0.20%4.9822-1.44%0.0059✓0.73882k2022-08-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16410.163777-0.20%0.1569-4.39%0.0368✓0.674.4M2022-08-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.367520.3668-0.20%0.36134-1.68%0.0051✓1.0913k2022-08-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.085233-0.20%0.0835-2.22%0.0125✓0.89130k2022-08-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.081150.080993-0.19%0.08413+3.67%0.0450✗0.778802022-08-15
XVSVenusEthereum6.426.4078-0.19%6.3-1.87%0.0074✓1.061.4M2022-08-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156770.015647-0.19%0.016006+2.10%0.0285✗0.652.1M2022-08-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.2071.2047-0.19%1.2127+0.47%0.0166✗1.1013k2022-08-15
GITCOINGITCOIN3.0773.0713-0.19%3.3016+7.30%0.0844✗1.3413k2022-08-15
XMRMoneroMonero168.04167.7317-0.18%163.5-2.70%0.0166✓0.991.2M2022-08-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.404750.404012-0.18%0.41114+1.58%0.0262✗0.96479k2022-08-15
FORTFortaEthereum0.29960.299055-0.18%0.2975-0.70%0.0046✗1.08189k2022-08-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.51.4973-0.18%1.47-2.00%0.0183✓0.01132k2022-08-15
BANDBandEthereum1.7321.729-0.17%1.711-1.21%0.0015✓1.33460k2022-08-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9320.930386-0.17%0.947+1.61%0.0224✗0.524.4M2022-08-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.31222.3083-0.17%2.3338+0.93%0.0207✗1.0838k2022-08-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34670.346117-0.17%0.3448-0.55%0.0054✗1.023.6M2022-08-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8740.872565-0.16%0.87-0.46%0.0103✗1.464.4M2022-08-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07210.071983-0.16%0.0692-4.02%0.0319✓0.83119k2022-08-15
BTTCBTTC0.000001010.000001008-0.16%9.90e-7-1.98%0.0114✓0.785.7M2022-08-15
NANOnanopayBase1.05681.0552-0.16%1.0171-3.75%0.0297✓0.7777k2022-08-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9558.941-0.16%8.787-1.88%0.0077✓1.0713.7M2022-08-15
QTUMQtumQtum4.19064.1841-0.15%4.042-3.55%0.0255✓1.0053k2022-08-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.4428-0.15%1.47+1.73%0.0278✗1.022.6M2022-08-15
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.260722-0.14%0.2613+0.08%0.0023✗0.0155k2022-08-15
STEEMSteemnative0.27230.271913-0.14%0.2752+1.07%0.0204✗0.93551k2022-08-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017620.017595-0.14%0.01742-1.14%0.0036✓0.71155k2022-08-15
XVGVergenative0.004030.004024-0.14%0.00403+0.00%0.0111✗1.08517k2022-08-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.1763.0835-0.14%60.69-3.93%0.0292✓1.0513.6M2022-08-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26930.268939-0.13%0.2726+1.23%0.0226✗1.0091k2022-08-15
MOVRMoonriverBase16.201916.1812-0.13%15.8559-2.14%0.0114✓0.9959k2022-08-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,209.7024,178.94-0.13%23,840.30-1.53%0.0054✓0.977,5932022-08-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.224722-0.12%0.226+0.44%0.0167✗1.22657k2022-08-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1256460.125491-0.12%0.123528-1.69%0.0076✓0.917.2M2022-08-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.699152-0.12%0.72+2.86%0.0411✗1.29137k2022-08-15
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032290.032252-0.12%0.03112-3.62%0.0240✓1.292,9912022-08-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006720.006712-0.11%0.006721+0.01%0.0053✗0.4555k2022-08-15
STXStacksnative0.49170.49115-0.11%0.4859-1.18%0.0005✓1.13808k2022-08-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017920.00179-0.11%0.001789-0.17%0.0062✗0.769,0932022-08-15
ZECZcashZcash73.7173.6406-0.09%73.84+0.18%0.0131✗1.152.3M2022-08-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0564530.056401-0.09%0.055866-1.04%0.0050✓0.5136k2022-08-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.17730.177145-0.09%0.1756-0.96%0.0028✗1.28243k2022-08-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.20581.2048-0.08%1.184-1.81%0.0086✓0.9712k2022-08-15
KCSKuCoinnative10.64610.6372-0.08%10.526-1.13%0.0017✓0.982.0M2022-08-15
DASHDashDash55.0855.0382-0.08%53.17-3.47%0.0257✓0.98574k2022-08-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.17160.171487-0.07%0.1994+16.20%0.1601✗1.03131k2022-08-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.444750.444458-0.07%0.44286-0.42%0.0055✗1.01109k2022-08-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,316.7124,301.40-0.06%24,097.82-0.90%0.0006✓1.00472.7M2022-08-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59470.594374-0.05%0.5804-2.40%0.0136✓1.12365k2022-08-15
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001010.000001009-0.05%0.000001-0.99%0.0025✓0.7721k2022-08-15
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.982.9786-0.05%2.96-0.67%0.0015✓0.52102k2022-08-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.26061.26-0.05%1.2755+1.19%0.0205✗0.9256k2022-08-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.12745.1256-0.04%5.3846+5.02%0.0505✗0.13233k2022-08-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3270.326897-0.03%0.324-0.92%0.0016✓0.811.1M2022-08-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.099471-0.03%0.1007+1.21%0.0216✗1.039,7202022-08-15
PROPropyEthereum0.810.809852-0.02%0.82+1.23%0.0162✗0.41105k2022-08-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04720.047195-0.01%0.045-4.66%0.0389✓0.9711k2022-08-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008249-0.01%0.00821-0.48%0.0011✗0.641.6M2022-08-15
TRXTRONTron0.0703490.070348-0.00%0.068965-1.97%0.0144✓0.61192k2022-08-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067130.006715+0.03%0.006763+0.74%0.0135✓0.723,2222022-08-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13080.130858+0.04%0.129-1.38%0.0071✗0.793,9702022-08-15
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21120.211297+0.05%0.2114+0.09%0.0134✓1.421,3132022-08-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.