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2022-07-26 · +1d

gru_s9 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0086
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.43%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.1%
in alpha space · 42.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+8.00%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,261.5721,300.46+0.18%22,962.59+8.00%0.0018✓1.00395.4M2022-07-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07630.076435+0.18%0.0809+6.03%0.0376✗1.236,3652022-07-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48870.489534+0.17%0.5154+5.46%0.0366✗1.14350k2022-07-27
ZECZcashZcash55.7555.8413+0.16%61.75+10.76%0.0015✓1.291.4M2022-07-27
SCSiacoinnative0.003960.003966+0.15%0.00426+7.58%0.0320✗1.35106k2022-07-27
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.5584+0.15%1.6434+5.61%0.0456✗1.28492k2022-07-27
KCSKuCoinnative9.6649.6776+0.14%10.224+5.79%0.0311✗1.122.1M2022-07-27
XECeCashnative0.00003920.000039248+0.12%0.0000419+6.89%0.0260✗1.191.8M2022-07-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6490.649776+0.12%0.708+9.09%0.0074✗1.21758k2022-07-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.288.2898+0.12%8.8+6.28%0.0291✗1.15241k2022-07-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.04770.047755+0.11%0.0514+7.76%0.0404✗1.48109k2022-07-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,133.3021,157.07+0.11%22,891.50+8.32%0.0037✓0.9819k2022-07-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0625680.062637+0.11%0.067138+7.30%0.0198✗1.161.8M2022-07-27
FLOWFlownative1.5961.5977+0.11%1.776+11.28%0.0086✓1.26379k2022-07-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00097250.000973524+0.11%0.001066+9.66%0.0093✗1.301.7M2022-07-27
NANOnanopayBase0.8970470.897988+0.10%0.963744+7.44%0.0049✗0.9857k2022-07-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008379+0.10%0.00854+2.03%0.0525✗0.931.4M2022-07-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008680.008689+0.10%0.0091+4.84%0.0300✗0.994.2M2022-07-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04060.04064+0.10%0.0433+6.65%0.0421✗1.377,5232022-07-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068940.006901+0.10%0.006764-1.89%0.0632✗0.5642k2022-07-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.13440.134529+0.10%0.1445+7.51%0.0260✗1.2784k2022-07-27
DASHDashDash43.9944.0322+0.10%48.06+9.25%0.0023✓1.11517k2022-07-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.046643+0.09%0.0521+11.80%0.0076✓1.34765k2022-07-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6510.651595+0.09%0.712+9.37%0.0288✗1.5372k2022-07-27
STXStacksnative0.39480.395152+0.09%0.4135+4.74%0.0531✗1.28606k2022-07-27
GTGateEthereum4.01664.02+0.09%4.1939+4.41%0.0132✗0.72919k2022-07-27
TRXTRONTron0.0653390.065393+0.08%0.068748+5.22%0.0114✗0.80382k2022-07-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049050.049089+0.08%0.05302+8.09%0.0356✗1.46747k2022-07-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.5811.5823+0.08%1.753+10.88%0.0035✓1.29619k2022-07-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014320.001433+0.08%0.001486+3.77%0.0449✗1.0520k2022-07-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2894490.289669+0.08%0.307853+6.36%0.0390✗1.301.0M2022-07-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27630.276502+0.07%0.2981+7.89%0.0174✗1.202.7M2022-07-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026830.026849+0.07%0.02867+6.86%0.0323✗1.2715k2022-07-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,449.631,450.65+0.07%1,636.40+12.88%0.0246✓1.25354.3M2022-07-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006290.006294+0.07%0.01109+76.31%0.4886✓1.01352k2022-07-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.09490.094962+0.07%0.1029+8.43%0.0227✗1.34491k2022-07-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09720.097264+0.07%0.1112+14.40%0.0291✓1.362.4M2022-07-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3215.3242+0.06%5.655+6.28%0.0253✗1.111.9M2022-07-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.35121.352+0.06%1.4426+6.76%0.0468✗1.45540k2022-07-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08310.083145+0.05%0.0856+3.01%0.0367✗0.85148k2022-07-27
ZENHorizenBase15.1715.1782+0.05%16.08+6.00%0.0491✗1.3997k2022-07-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22450.224619+0.05%0.2375+5.79%0.0415✗1.26119k2022-07-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12050.120562+0.05%0.1293+7.30%0.0075✗1.013.1M2022-07-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11260.112657+0.05%0.1197+6.31%0.0171✗1.015,4502022-07-27
XVGVergenative0.003420.003422+0.05%0.00356+4.09%0.0641✗1.35539k2022-07-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7826.7853+0.05%7.687+13.34%0.0287✓1.258.7M2022-07-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1055780.105626+0.05%0.112668+6.72%0.0131✗1.016.7M2022-07-27
PROPropyEthereum0.760.760333+0.04%0.78+2.63%0.0208✗0.6083k2022-07-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.317390.317522+0.04%0.33765+6.38%0.0319✗1.21400k2022-07-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.05691.0573+0.04%1.1075+4.79%0.0380✗1.1045k2022-07-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.94118.9774+0.03%127.39+7.10%0.0208✗1.164.0M2022-07-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20850.208565+0.03%0.2257+8.25%0.0367✗1.5099k2022-07-27
FTTFTXEthereum27.0727.0783+0.03%29.43+8.72%0.0100✓0.9510.5M2022-07-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.107628+0.03%0.1138+5.76%0.0285✗1.09362k2022-07-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6620.662169+0.03%0.719+8.61%0.0141✗1.25149k2022-07-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1831.1832+0.02%1.316+11.24%0.0107✓1.241.2M2022-07-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.366150.36622+0.02%0.39357+7.49%0.0230✗1.24113k2022-07-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3446.3452+0.02%6.864+8.20%0.0198✗1.2816.2M2022-07-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86271.863+0.02%2.0057+7.68%0.0208✗1.2324k2022-07-27
AAVEAaveEthereum81.2681.2738+0.02%94.7+16.54%0.0253✓1.668.1M2022-07-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04730.047307+0.01%0.0502+6.13%0.0351✗1.23256k2022-07-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.2722+0.01%1.355+6.53%0.0385✗1.322.4M2022-07-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3110.311041+0.01%0.3287+5.69%0.0358✗1.187.5M2022-07-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11950.119515+0.01%0.126+5.44%0.0495✗1.3354k2022-07-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.81580.815883+0.01%0.8899+9.08%0.0240✗1.441.4M2022-07-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6360.63606+0.01%0.695+9.28%0.0140✓0.97360k2022-07-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3292.3292+0.01%2.727+17.09%0.0231✓1.7592k2022-07-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2042.2042+0.01%2.549+15.65%0.0362✓1.4237k2022-07-27
ADACardanoCardano0.46830.468329+0.01%0.5113+9.18%0.0103✗1.2741.4M2022-07-27
MOVRMoonriverBase12.190512.191+0.00%13.2156+8.41%0.0117✗1.2073k2022-07-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5530.553012+0.00%0.595+7.59%0.0376✗1.4483k2022-07-27
BANDBandEthereum1.4081.408+0.00%1.523+8.17%0.0335✗1.45303k2022-07-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.271.27-0.00%1.38+8.66%0.0290✓1.46912k2022-07-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017410.01741-0.00%0.01805+3.68%0.0228✓0.77324k2022-07-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53720.537182-0.00%0.5756+7.15%0.0228✓1.19642k2022-07-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5211.5209-0.00%1.639+7.76%0.0369✓1.45212k2022-07-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27980.279787-0.00%0.3134+12.01%0.0246✗1.1570k2022-07-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3012.3008-0.01%2.441+6.08%0.0120✓0.92105k2022-07-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.953.8938-0.01%59.04+9.54%0.0025✗1.1513.5M2022-07-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.09465.094-0.01%5.1981+2.03%0.0051✗0.20219k2022-07-27
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.70e-7-0.01%9.20e-7+5.75%0.0088✓0.845.9M2022-07-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03310.033095-0.01%0.0357+7.85%0.0193✓1.2368k2022-07-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.23690.236865-0.01%0.2485+4.90%0.0377✓1.1162k2022-07-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1970.19697-0.02%0.207+5.08%0.0698✓1.55834k2022-07-27
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7585.757-0.02%6.826+18.55%0.0383✗1.7111.5M2022-07-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.19862.1982-0.02%2.3441+6.62%0.0045✗0.78884k2022-07-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.10350.10348-0.02%0.1142+10.34%0.0139✗1.10617k2022-07-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07880.078785-0.02%0.0823+4.44%0.0516✓1.24162k2022-07-27
XMRMoneroMonero151.3151.2582-0.03%161.72+6.89%0.0191✓1.121.2M2022-07-27
KSMKusamaHydration58.1358.1139-0.03%62.3+7.17%0.0233✓1.21231k2022-07-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.14440.144358-0.03%0.15339+6.23%0.0612✓1.58176k2022-07-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.43e-73.43e-7-0.03%3.55e-7+3.57%0.0404✓0.99229k2022-07-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.391.3896-0.03%1.5+7.91%0.0328✓1.42122k2022-07-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3152.3141-0.04%2.4306+4.99%0.0274✓0.99806k2022-07-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.275893-0.04%0.294+6.52%0.0178✓1.06620k2022-07-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36680.366653-0.04%0.3958+7.91%0.0280✓1.3673k2022-07-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.1515.1427-0.05%16.79+10.83%0.0033✓1.381.3M2022-07-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.5952.5937-0.05%2.741+5.63%0.0311✓1.12597k2022-07-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06210.062067-0.05%0.0654+5.31%0.0240✓0.99156k2022-07-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058670.005864-0.05%0.005933+1.12%0.0583✓0.913,1552022-07-27
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.9773-0.05%5.31+6.63%0.0458✓1.44939k2022-07-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.94.8972-0.06%5.05+3.06%0.0194✓0.65514k2022-07-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010870.000010864-0.06%0.00001154+6.16%0.0370✓1.271.0M2022-07-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.262.2587-0.06%2.55+12.83%0.0045✗1.52184k2022-07-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14870.148611-0.06%0.1577+6.05%0.0397✓1.29379k2022-07-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068690.068649-0.06%0.07332+6.74%0.0096✗0.731,5492022-07-27
STEEMSteemnative0.23350.233355-0.06%0.2449+4.88%0.0419✓1.17768k2022-07-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.05860.058562-0.07%0.0633+8.02%0.0334✓1.44342k2022-07-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.7120.6963-0.07%23.4+12.99%0.0006✓1.6027.5M2022-07-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18020.180074-0.07%0.1896+5.22%0.0567✓1.411,0652022-07-27
COMPCompoundEthereum48.1448.1062-0.07%54.92+14.08%0.0259✗1.3932k2022-07-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028020.028-0.07%0.02999+7.03%0.0359✓1.361,2882022-07-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030040.003002-0.07%0.003099+3.16%0.0463✓1.021.0M2022-07-27
SOLSolanaSolana36.2936.2626-0.08%40.24+10.88%0.0010✓1.3781.1M2022-07-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.2279.2197-0.08%10.316+11.80%0.0071✗1.3713.2M2022-07-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03940.039369-0.08%0.04101+4.09%0.0347✓0.981,9372022-07-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.84890.8482-0.08%0.8888+4.70%0.0463✓1.211.2M2022-07-27
DIADIAEthereum0.398220.397889-0.08%0.43281+8.69%0.0257✗0.7651k2022-07-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43510.434723-0.09%0.4706+8.16%0.0069✓1.1242k2022-07-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.878770.877958-0.09%0.956+8.79%0.0196✓1.36392k2022-07-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.95.8945-0.09%6.27+6.27%0.0397✓1.32248k2022-07-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6780.677251-0.11%0.728+7.37%0.0634✓1.765.2M2022-07-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.364.355-0.12%4.6+5.50%0.0079✗0.61555k2022-07-27
DODODODOEthereum0.14280.142626-0.12%0.1526+6.86%0.0320✓1.292.8M2022-07-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.58554.5181-0.12%57.973+6.21%0.0033✓0.84369k2022-07-27
XYMSymbolnative0.0524420.052377-0.12%0.054158+3.27%0.0144✓0.6218k2022-07-27
ELAElastosEthereum1.5451.543-0.13%1.593+3.11%0.0174✓0.64223k2022-07-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.11282.11-0.13%2.2453+6.27%0.0065✓0.89971k2022-07-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7513.746-0.13%3.909+4.21%0.0039✓0.601.1M2022-07-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.5876.5775-0.14%7.151+8.56%0.0152✓1.285.3M2022-07-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403990.403333-0.16%0.40309-0.22%0.1147✓1.48592k2022-07-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.16861.1667-0.16%1.3251+13.39%0.0136✗1.485.1M2022-07-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.3977-0.17%1.42+1.43%0.0024✓0.24319k2022-07-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.1850.184689-0.17%0.1847-0.16%0.1104✓1.431,6202022-07-27
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6556.6432-0.18%8.035+20.74%0.0864✗1.355.7M2022-07-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1643-0.18%3.1-2.21%0.0612✓0.5377k2022-07-27
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.261281-0.20%0.2616-0.08%0.0002✓0.0131k2022-07-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,861.886,848.20-0.20%7,170.14+4.49%0.0588✓1.364.0M2022-07-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.292850.292265-0.20%0.3082+5.24%0.0507✓1.359,6072022-07-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.972.964-0.20%3.75+26.26%0.1053✗1.693.7M2022-07-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025070.025019-0.20%0.0269+7.30%0.0500✓1.5912.6M2022-07-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019890.019849-0.21%0.02029+2.01%0.0594✓1.06136k2022-07-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044310.044218-0.21%0.04622+4.31%0.0273✓0.9315k2022-07-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0141890.014159-0.21%0.014597+2.88%0.0391✓0.901.2M2022-07-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6913.6825-0.23%3.913+6.01%0.0197✗0.531.9M2022-07-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0772.0721-0.23%2.286+10.06%0.0137✓1.45132k2022-07-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0186060.018561-0.24%0.019996+7.47%0.0372✗0.48163k2022-07-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41540.41434-0.26%0.4491+8.11%0.0351✓1.50220k2022-07-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8510.848824-0.26%0.835-1.88%0.0740✓0.751.1M2022-07-27
GMTGMTEthereum0.9010.898677-0.26%0.967+7.33%0.0643✓1.79551k2022-07-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.607290.605709-0.26%0.65033+7.09%0.0496✓1.5780k2022-07-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1783.1693-0.27%3.31+4.15%0.0034✓0.611.5M2022-07-27
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.42250.421325-0.28%0.456+7.93%0.0021✓1.00224k2022-07-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26932.2629-0.28%2.5415+11.99%0.0049✓1.579,1162022-07-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2613.2519-0.28%3.422+4.94%0.0022✓0.69488k2022-07-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06580.065611-0.29%0.07649+16.25%0.0540✗1.2927k2022-07-27
XEMNEMnative0.0445030.044365-0.31%0.048196+8.30%0.0097✓1.2022k2022-07-27
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.67e-7-0.32%9.20e-7+5.75%0.0178✓1.0025k2022-07-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.177.1465-0.33%7.99+11.44%0.0755✗0.47704k2022-07-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092060.000091731-0.36%0.00009892+7.45%0.0695✓1.88715k2022-07-27
CBKCobakEthereum0.964640.96118-0.36%1.019+5.63%0.0289✓1.139,1202022-07-27
QTUMQtumQtum3.68813.6748-0.36%4.1269+11.90%0.0333✗1.0826k2022-07-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201520.020074-0.39%0.021274+5.57%0.0188✓1.006,9032022-07-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4720.470144-0.39%0.488+3.39%0.0538✓1.1811k2022-07-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.29010.288957-0.39%0.2994+3.21%0.0576✓1.21337k2022-07-27
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09040.090043-0.40%0.09551+5.65%0.0180✓1.00722k2022-07-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06530.065031-0.41%0.0689+5.51%0.0255✓1.08264k2022-07-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7520.748663-0.44%0.815+8.38%0.0338✓1.543,6872022-07-27
QNTQuantEthereum92.9692.5389-0.45%97.1+4.45%0.0314✓1.033.7M2022-07-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.162440.161647-0.49%0.1755+8.04%0.1065✓2.451,1272022-07-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.94950.944545-0.52%0.9751+2.70%0.0412✓0.953.5M2022-07-27
FISStafiEthereum0.45780.455343-0.54%0.3958-13.54%0.2369✓1.263902022-07-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.034.0081-0.54%4.18+3.72%0.0138✓0.73612k2022-07-27
METISMetisEthereum27.7627.6054-0.56%33.64+21.18%0.1207✗1.00164k2022-07-27
HIVEHivenative0.50060.497647-0.59%0.5342+6.71%0.0208✓1.191.5M2022-07-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.116.0041-0.60%16.85+4.66%0.0171✓0.892.2M2022-07-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81220.807261-0.61%0.9749+20.03%0.0641✗1.62209k2022-07-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.812.7206-0.62%15.48+20.94%0.0875✗1.411.3M2022-07-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.904410.897915-0.72%1.0309+13.98%0.0615✗0.9910k2022-07-27
OPTIMOptimism0.8260.819471-0.79%1.051+27.24%0.1115✗1.781.1M2022-07-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9113.8731-0.97%3.73-4.63%0.1110✓0.95638k2022-07-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.7821.5409-1.10%21.26-2.39%0.1311✓1.53454k2022-07-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.614.5563-1.17%5.13+11.28%0.0730✗0.59713k2022-07-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.1624.8522-1.22%32.94+30.92%0.1819✗1.301.3M2022-07-27
RADRadworksEthereum2.652.5559-3.55%3.04+14.72%0.0891✗1.10157k2022-07-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.