TENDIES

TENDIES · Robinhood · gru_s8

token id: #799
symbol: TENDIES
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x45242320dbb855eea8fd36804c6487e10e97fcf9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-16
predictions: 267

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 89 predictions shown

direction hit

62.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1258

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0078

actual -0.0216

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004573	0.004521	-1.14%	–	pending	–	–	2.70
2026-10-20	oos	0.004425	0.004378	-1.08%	0.004573	+3.33%	0.0509	✗	2.47
2026-10-19	oos	0.00342	0.003417	-0.10%	0.004425	+29.40%	0.2267	✗	2.40
2026-10-18	oos	0.0035	0.003497	-0.08%	0.00342	-2.29%	0.0177	✓	2.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.00385	0.003846	-0.10%	0.0035	-9.09%	0.1111	✓	2.19
2026-10-16	oos	0.003762	0.003761	-0.01%	0.00385	+2.34%	0.0265	✗	2.22
2026-10-15	oos	0.004347	0.00434	-0.16%	0.003762	-13.46%	0.1260	✓	2.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.004939	0.004922	-0.35%	0.004347	-11.99%	0.1394	✓	2.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.005042	0.005022	-0.40%	0.004939	-2.04%	0.0255	✗	2.26
2026-10-12	oos	0.004456	0.004455	-0.02%	0.005042	+13.15%	0.0872	✗	2.22
2026-10-11	oos	0.005425	0.005403	-0.40%	0.004456	-17.86%	0.1432	✓	2.12
2026-10-10	oos	0.005468	0.005452	-0.30%	0.005425	-0.79%	0.0244	✓	2.12
2026-10-09	oos	0.004698	0.004697	-0.02%	0.005468	+16.39%	0.1426	✗	2.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.005044	0.005045	+0.02%	0.004698	-6.86%	0.0934	✗	2.13
2026-10-07	oos	0.005198	0.005195	-0.06%	0.005044	-2.96%	0.0117	✗	2.15
2026-10-06	oos	0.006669	0.006643	-0.39%	0.005198	-22.06%	0.1919	✓	1.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.007464	0.007422	-0.57%	0.006669	-10.65%	0.1021	✓	1.98
2026-10-04	oos	0.006732	0.006711	-0.31%	0.007464	+10.87%	0.1242	✗	2.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.006723	0.006708	-0.22%	0.006732	+0.14%	0.0384	✓	2.04
2026-10-02	oos	0.006885	0.006871	-0.20%	0.006723	-2.36%	0.0276	✓	2.04
2026-10-01	oos	0.008486	0.008448	-0.45%	0.006885	-18.87%	0.1965	✓	2.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.008463	0.008433	-0.35%	0.008486	+0.27%	0.0245	✓	2.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.008951	0.008918	-0.37%	0.008463	-5.45%	0.0504	✓	1.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.00977	0.009723	-0.47%	0.008951	-8.38%	0.0871	✓	1.99
2026-09-27	oos	0.010303	0.010248	-0.53%	0.00977	-5.18%	0.0241	✓	1.98
2026-09-26	oos	0.011222	0.011144	-0.69%	0.010303	-8.19%	0.0795	✓	1.98
2026-09-25	oos	0.010876	0.010817	-0.55%	0.011222	+3.18%	0.0292	✗	1.98
2026-09-24	oos	0.010248	0.010212	-0.35%	0.010876	+6.13%	0.0699	✗	2.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.01068	0.010642	-0.36%	0.010248	-4.04%	0.0379	✓	1.99
2026-09-22	oos	0.011668	0.011614	-0.46%	0.01068	-8.47%	0.0419	✓	1.97
2026-09-21	oos	0.013417	0.013328	-0.67%	0.011668	-13.04%	0.1241	✓	1.93
2026-09-20	oos	0.012814	0.012753	-0.47%	0.013417	+4.71%	0.0843	✓	2.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.013697	0.013617	-0.58%	0.012814	-6.45%	0.0590	✓	2.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.014911	0.014789	-0.81%	0.013697	-8.14%	0.0859	✓	2.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.011718	0.011698	-0.17%	0.014911	+27.24%	0.1402	✗	1.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.01202	0.011994	-0.22%	0.011718	-2.51%	0.0280	✓	1.78
2026-09-15	oos	0.01274	0.0127	-0.32%	0.01202	-5.65%	0.0682	✓	1.79
2026-09-14	oos	0.014146	0.014081	-0.46%	0.01274	-9.94%	0.0417	✓	1.73
2026-09-13	oos	0.013051	0.012998	-0.41%	0.014146	+8.39%	0.0546	✗	1.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.014048	0.013985	-0.45%	0.013051	-7.10%	0.0590	✓	1.67
2026-09-11	oos	0.016721	0.016612	-0.65%	0.014048	-15.99%	0.1688	✓	1.65
2026-09-10	oos	0.018437	0.018257	-0.98%	0.016721	-9.31%	0.1025	✓	1.68
2026-09-09	oos	0.01575	0.015656	-0.60%	0.018437	+17.06%	0.2068	✗	1.92
2026-09-08	oos	0.016751	0.016631	-0.72%	0.01575	-5.98%	0.0504	✓	1.91
2026-09-07	oos	0.016325	0.016209	-0.71%	0.016751	+2.61%	0.0487	✗	1.93
2026-09-06	oos	0.017816	0.017678	-0.78%	0.016325	-8.37%	0.0501	✓	1.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.021024	0.020822	-0.96%	0.017816	-15.26%	0.1680	✓	1.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.01957	0.019414	-0.80%	0.021024	+7.43%	0.0759	✗	1.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.029397	0.028905	-1.67%	0.01957	-33.43%	0.3609	✓	1.47
2026-09-02	oos	0.033181	0.032062	-3.37%	0.029397	-11.40%	0.1850	✓	1.97
2026-09-01	oos	0.017887	0.017714	-0.97%	0.033181	+85.50%	0.6302	✗	2.14
2026-08-31	oos	0.01556	0.015457	-0.66%	0.017887	+14.96%	0.1809	✗	2.34
2026-08-30	oos	0.01848	0.018294	-1.01%	0.01556	-15.80%	0.1896	✓	2.41
2026-08-29	oos	0.017954	0.017764	-1.06%	0.01848	+2.93%	0.0574	✗	2.45
2026-08-28	oos	0.01445	0.014351	-0.68%	0.017954	+24.25%	0.2116	✗	2.44
2026-08-27	oos	0.016556	0.016431	-0.76%	0.01445	-12.72%	0.0563	✓	2.34
2026-08-26	oos	0.017784	0.01759	-1.09%	0.016556	-6.91%	0.0982	✓	2.40
2026-08-25	oos	0.015549	0.015427	-0.78%	0.017784	+14.37%	0.1270	✗	2.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.020972	0.020634	-1.61%	0.015549	-25.86%	0.2702	✓	2.21
2026-08-23	oos	0.018399	0.018113	-1.55%	0.020972	+13.98%	0.1124	✗	2.14
2026-08-22	oos	0.01375	0.013635	-0.84%	0.018399	+33.81%	0.2816	✗	2.08
2026-08-21	oos	0.01328	0.013177	-0.77%	0.01375	+3.54%	0.0784	✗	2.19
2026-08-20	oos	0.01453	0.014351	-1.23%	0.01328	-8.60%	0.3230	✓	3.49
2026-08-19	oos	0.01378	0.013578	-1.46%	0.01453	+5.44%	0.1464	✓	4.10
2026-08-18	oos	0.009565	0.009534	-0.33%	0.01378	+44.07%	0.1866	✗	2.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01009	0.010047	-0.42%	0.009565	-5.20%	0.0576	✓	2.66
2026-08-16	oos	0.01105	0.010996	-0.48%	0.01009	-8.69%	0.1796	✓	3.63
2026-08-15	oos	0.01269	0.012603	-0.69%	0.01105	-12.92%	0.1212	✓	3.56
2026-08-14	oos	0.01476	0.014637	-0.83%	0.01269	-14.02%	0.1434	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.01771	0.017521	-1.07%	0.01476	-16.66%	0.1643	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.01887	0.01865	-1.17%	0.01771	-6.15%	0.0519	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.02139	0.021083	-1.43%	0.01887	-11.78%	0.1090	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.02278	0.02238	-1.76%	0.02139	-6.10%	0.0393	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.01943	0.019158	-1.40%	0.02278	+17.24%	0.1877	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.02054	0.020201	-1.65%	0.01943	-5.40%	0.0380	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.0169	0.016692	-1.23%	0.02054	+21.54%	0.2072	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.01809	0.017845	-1.35%	0.0169	-6.58%	0.0641	✓	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.02558	0.024958	-2.43%	0.01809	-29.28%	0.3166	✓	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.02012	0.019711	-2.03%	0.02558	+27.14%	0.2520	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.01793	0.01759	-1.89%	0.02012	+12.21%	0.1252	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.01447	0.014292	-1.23%	0.01793	+23.91%	0.2273	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.01273	0.012628	-0.80%	0.01447	+13.67%	0.1245	✗	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.01294	0.012829	-0.86%	0.01273	-1.62%	0.0068	✓	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.01824	0.017858	-2.09%	0.01294	-29.06%	0.2924	✓	1.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.01305	0.012923	-0.97%	0.01824	+39.77%	0.3317	✗	1.00
2026-07-28	oos	0.00984	0.009793	-0.48%	0.01305	+32.62%	0.2864	✗	1.00
2026-07-27	oos	0.01129	0.011224	-0.58%	0.00984	-12.84%	0.1340	✓	1.00
2026-07-26	oos	0.01333	0.013233	-0.73%	0.01129	-15.30%	0.1333	✓	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	0.01339	0.01329	-0.75%	0.01333	-0.45%	0.0131	✓	1.00