STONK

STONK · Solana · gru_s8

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 22 predictions shown

direction hit

66.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0778

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0063

actual -0.0331

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.12218	0.120424	-1.44%	–	pending	–	–	3.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.12545	0.123457	-1.59%	0.12218	-2.61%	0.0075	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.114195	0.113149	-0.92%	0.12545	+9.86%	0.0898	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.1019	0.101063	-0.82%	0.114195	+12.07%	0.1242	✗	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.10575	0.104903	-0.80%	0.1019	-3.64%	0.0367	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.11242	0.111653	-0.68%	0.10575	-5.93%	0.0529	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.12122	0.120605	-0.51%	0.11242	-7.26%	0.0627	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.110945	0.11035	-0.54%	0.12122	+9.26%	0.0871	✗	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.12159	0.120869	-0.59%	0.110945	-8.75%	0.0670	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.131815	0.131072	-0.56%	0.12159	-7.76%	0.0916	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.14763	0.146691	-0.64%	0.131815	-10.71%	0.0835	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	0.139145	0.138259	-0.64%	0.14763	+6.10%	0.0564	✗	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	0.140195	0.139423	-0.55%	0.139145	-0.75%	0.0064	✓	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.154645	0.153853	-0.51%	0.140195	-9.34%	0.1033	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.171875	0.171252	-0.36%	0.154645	-10.02%	0.0828	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.216735	0.215983	-0.35%	0.171875	-20.70%	0.2016	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.194225	0.193579	-0.33%	0.216735	+11.59%	0.1154	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.229225	0.228317	-0.40%	0.194225	-15.27%	0.1529	✓	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.217215	0.216024	-0.55%	0.229225	+5.53%	0.0387	✗	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.24939	0.247532	-0.75%	0.217215	-12.90%	0.1335	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.255775	0.254317	-0.57%	0.24939	-2.50%	0.0155	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.24725	0.245806	-0.58%	0.255775	+3.45%	0.0244	✗	1.00