SODA

SODAX · Ethereum · gru_s8

token id: #607
symbol: SODA
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x4a1c82744cddee675a255fb289cb0917a482e7c7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-14
predictions: 180

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 60 predictions shown

direction hit

54.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0748

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0053

actual -0.0103

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00903	0.008998	-0.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-20	oos	0.00922	0.009187	-0.36%	0.00903	-2.06%	0.0159	✓	0.45
2026-10-19	oos	0.009435	0.009385	-0.53%	0.00922	-2.28%	0.0238	✓	0.46
2026-10-18	oos	0.00924	0.009209	-0.33%	0.009435	+2.11%	0.0252	✗	0.46
2026-10-17	oos	0.009955	0.009886	-0.69%	0.00924	-7.18%	0.0712	✓	0.47
2026-10-16	oos	0.00921	0.009177	-0.36%	0.009955	+8.09%	0.0821	✗	0.49
2026-10-15	oos	0.00979	0.009744	-0.47%	0.00921	-5.92%	0.0527	✓	0.47
2026-10-14	oos	0.009835	0.009788	-0.48%	0.00979	-0.46%	0.0030	✓	0.47
2026-10-13	oos	0.009835	0.00979	-0.46%	0.009835	+0.00%	0.0137	✗	0.49
2026-10-12	oos	0.01042	0.010351	-0.66%	0.009835	-5.61%	0.0595	✓	0.51
2026-10-11	oos	0.009465	0.009418	-0.49%	0.01042	+10.09%	0.1156	✗	0.62
2026-10-10	oos	0.009	0.008956	-0.49%	0.009465	+5.17%	0.0496	✗	0.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.009095	0.00905	-0.49%	0.009	-1.04%	0.0083	✓	0.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.009145	0.009094	-0.56%	0.009095	-0.55%	0.0062	✓	0.61
2026-10-07	oos	0.009585	0.009522	-0.65%	0.009145	-4.59%	0.0290	✓	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.00934	0.009288	-0.56%	0.009585	+2.62%	0.0493	✗	0.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.00901	0.008961	-0.54%	0.00934	+3.66%	0.0431	✗	0.68
2026-10-04	oos	0.009785	0.009725	-0.61%	0.00901	-7.92%	0.0707	✓	0.65
2026-10-03	oos	0.00857	0.008515	-0.64%	0.009785	+14.18%	0.1272	✗	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.00839	0.008339	-0.61%	0.00857	+2.15%	0.0257	✗	0.58
2026-10-01	oos	0.0089	0.008849	-0.58%	0.00839	-5.73%	0.0509	✓	0.56
2026-09-30	oos	0.0103	0.010234	-0.64%	0.0089	-13.59%	0.1490	✓	0.61
2026-09-29	oos	0.01182	0.011747	-0.62%	0.0103	-12.86%	0.1309	✓	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.013025	0.01293	-0.73%	0.01182	-9.25%	0.0910	✓	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.01418	0.014046	-0.94%	0.013025	-8.15%	0.0693	✓	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.013	0.012912	-0.68%	0.01418	+9.08%	0.0934	✗	0.54
2026-09-25	oos	0.01406	0.013953	-0.76%	0.013	-7.54%	0.0728	✓	0.53
2026-09-24	oos	0.01284	0.012748	-0.72%	0.01406	+9.50%	0.1000	✗	0.57
2026-09-23	oos	0.0138	0.013673	-0.92%	0.01284	-6.96%	0.0629	✓	0.56
2026-09-22	oos	0.014495	0.01427	-1.55%	0.0138	-4.79%	0.0222	✓	0.53
2026-09-21	oos	0.012945	0.012764	-1.39%	0.014495	+11.97%	0.1299	✗	0.59
2026-09-20	oos	0.010485	0.010396	-0.85%	0.012945	+23.46%	0.2123	✗	0.11
2026-09-19	oos	0.010525	0.010433	-0.88%	0.010485	-0.38%	0.0051	✓	0.11
2026-09-18	oos	0.009745	0.009674	-0.73%	0.010525	+8.00%	0.0838	✗	0.12
2026-09-17	oos	0.009605	0.009548	-0.59%	0.009745	+1.46%	0.0171	✗	0.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.00964	0.009586	-0.56%	0.009605	-0.36%	0.0018	✓	0.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.011075	0.010994	-0.73%	0.00964	-12.96%	0.1319	✓	0.07
2026-09-14	oos	0.011995	0.011872	-1.03%	0.011075	-7.67%	0.0718	✓	-0.07
2026-09-13	oos	0.01129	0.01122	-0.62%	0.011995	+6.24%	0.0689	✗	-0.12
2026-09-12	oos	0.012015	0.011933	-0.68%	0.01129	-6.03%	0.0494	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.012345	0.012264	-0.66%	0.012015	-2.67%	0.0212	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.011905	0.011837	-0.57%	0.012345	+3.70%	0.0332	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.012875	0.012788	-0.67%	0.011905	-7.53%	0.0490	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.015315	0.015122	-1.26%	0.012875	-15.93%	0.1588	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012585	0.012495	-0.71%	0.015315	+21.69%	0.2117	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.012795	0.012687	-0.85%	0.012585	-1.64%	0.0076	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.01463	0.014362	-1.83%	0.012795	-12.54%	0.1219	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.01162	0.011589	-0.27%	0.01463	+25.90%	0.2311	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.00913	0.009151	+0.23%	0.01162	+27.27%	0.2586	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.00859	0.008631	+0.48%	0.00913	+6.29%	0.0062	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.01134	0.011363	+0.20%	0.00859	-24.25%	0.2786	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.01109	0.011116	+0.23%	0.01134	+2.25%	0.0349	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.01266	0.012677	+0.13%	0.01109	-12.40%	0.1452	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.01401	0.014027	+0.12%	0.01266	-9.64%	0.0952	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0142	0.014219	+0.13%	0.01401	-1.34%	0.0199	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.01418	0.01421	+0.21%	0.0142	+0.14%	0.0301	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.014915	0.014942	+0.18%	0.01418	-4.93%	0.0680	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.01639	0.016407	+0.10%	0.014915	-9.00%	0.1017	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.01672	0.01673	+0.06%	0.01639	-1.97%	0.0148	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.017095	0.017099	+0.03%	0.01672	-2.19%	0.0384	✗	1.00