SAFFRONFI

? · · gru_s8

token id: #442
symbol: SAFFRONFI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-02-14
predictions: 1,812

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0491

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0068

actual +0.0040

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	102.67	101.9353	-0.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-21	oos	102.885	102.3054	-0.56%	102.67	-0.21%	0.0016	✓	0.87
2026-10-20	oos	102.625	102.0105	-0.60%	102.885	+0.25%	0.0028	✓	0.87
2026-10-19	oos	105.395	104.4347	-0.91%	102.625	-2.63%	0.0293	✓	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	103.45	102.3333	-1.08%	105.395	+1.88%	0.0313	✗	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	103.575	102.5551	-0.98%	103.45	-0.12%	0.0019	✓	0.89
2026-10-16	oos	105.99	104.8163	-1.11%	103.575	-2.28%	0.0106	✓	0.89
2026-10-15	oos	105.38	104.0839	-1.23%	105.99	+0.58%	0.0250	✗	0.90
2026-10-14	oos	105.55	104.3521	-1.13%	105.38	-0.16%	0.0037	✓	0.90
2026-10-13	oos	108.61	107.0158	-1.47%	105.55	-2.82%	0.0030	✓	0.90
2026-10-12	oos	107.51	105.7323	-1.65%	108.61	+1.02%	0.0121	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	110.54	108.9095	-1.48%	107.51	-2.74%	0.0072	✓	0.86
2026-10-10	oos	110.135	109.2513	-0.80%	110.54	+0.37%	0.0039	✓	0.85
2026-10-09	oos	110.245	109.3769	-0.79%	110.135	-0.10%	0.0031	✓	0.85
2026-10-08	oos	109.26	108.4156	-0.77%	110.245	+0.90%	0.0079	✗	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	114.1	113.0593	-0.91%	109.26	-4.24%	0.0175	✓	0.87
2026-10-06	oos	112.01	111.1836	-0.74%	114.1	+1.87%	0.0500	✗	0.90
2026-10-05	oos	109.91	109.0836	-0.75%	112.01	+1.91%	0.0287	✗	0.91
2026-10-04	oos	112.355	111.5371	-0.73%	109.91	-2.18%	0.0067	✓	0.91
2026-10-03	oos	112.38	111.4311	-0.84%	112.355	-0.02%	0.0107	✓	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	114.17	113.1643	-0.88%	112.38	-1.57%	0.0095	✓	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	114.48	113.4788	-0.87%	114.17	-0.27%	0.0098	✗	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	120.395	119.0725	-1.10%	114.48	-4.91%	0.0540	✓	0.96
2026-09-29	oos	117.48	116.2278	-1.07%	120.395	+2.48%	0.0362	✗	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	115.535	114.276	-1.09%	117.48	+1.68%	0.0256	✗	0.95
2026-09-27	oos	116.9	115.6157	-1.10%	115.535	-1.17%	0.0109	✓	0.97
2026-09-26	oos	118.39	117.0102	-1.17%	116.9	-1.26%	0.0015	✓	0.97
2026-09-25	oos	120.05	118.5427	-1.26%	118.39	-1.38%	0.0050	✓	0.97
2026-09-24	oos	118.01	116.5525	-1.24%	120.05	+1.73%	0.0329	✗	0.97
2026-09-23	oos	120.23	118.633	-1.33%	118.01	-1.85%	0.0053	✓	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	121.06	119.4857	-1.30%	120.23	-0.69%	0.0268	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	120.92	119.3455	-1.30%	121.06	+0.12%	0.0187	✗	0.97
2026-09-20	oos	116.805	116.0129	-0.68%	120.92	+3.52%	0.0275	✓	1.06
2026-09-19	oos	114.55	114.1315	-0.37%	116.805	+1.97%	0.0241	✗	1.05
2026-09-18	oos	115.35	115.1584	-0.17%	114.55	-0.69%	0.0100	✓	1.06
2026-09-17	oos	112.23	112.9032	+0.60%	115.35	+2.78%	0.0435	✗	1.13
2026-09-16	oos	113.31	114.0972	+0.69%	112.23	-0.95%	0.0195	✗	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	116.825	117.658	+0.71%	113.31	-3.01%	0.0462	✗	1.15
2026-09-14	oos	122.08	122.6225	+0.44%	116.825	-4.30%	0.0112	✗	1.10
2026-09-13	oos	123.545	124.2771	+0.59%	122.08	-1.19%	0.0367	✗	1.06
2026-09-12	oos	130.19	130.7227	+0.41%	123.545	-5.10%	0.0502	✗	1.04
2026-09-11	oos	131.485	132.0547	+0.43%	130.19	-0.98%	0.0150	✗	1.05
2026-09-10	oos	139.39	139.7706	+0.27%	131.485	-5.67%	0.0704	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	136.155	136.4848	+0.24%	139.39	+2.38%	0.0458	✓	1.10
2026-09-08	oos	146.19	146.0935	-0.07%	136.155	-6.86%	0.0681	✓	1.10
2026-09-07	oos	152.695	152.2151	-0.31%	146.19	-4.26%	0.0314	✓	1.10
2026-09-06	oos	160.67	159.6546	-0.63%	152.695	-4.96%	0.0266	✓	1.15
2026-09-05	oos	161.42	160.8422	-0.36%	160.67	-0.46%	0.0083	✓	1.15
2026-09-04	oos	147.05	147.3426	+0.20%	161.42	+9.77%	0.0888	✓	1.24
2026-09-03	oos	175.98	175.3497	-0.36%	147.05	-16.44%	0.1536	✓	1.14
2026-09-02	oos	176.43	176.2448	-0.10%	175.98	-0.26%	0.0626	✓	1.22
2026-09-01	oos	174.19	174.1449	-0.03%	176.43	+1.29%	0.0145	✗	1.22
2026-08-31	oos	166.31	166.4051	+0.06%	174.19	+4.74%	0.0640	✓	1.23
2026-08-30	oos	170.38	170.3713	-0.01%	166.31	-2.39%	0.0364	✓	1.07
2026-08-29	oos	169.63	169.4286	-0.12%	170.38	+0.44%	0.0133	✗	1.06
2026-08-28	oos	179.52	179.1688	-0.20%	169.63	-5.51%	0.0601	✓	1.07
2026-08-27	oos	191.01	190.4742	-0.28%	179.52	-6.02%	0.0271	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	211.81	210.8762	-0.44%	191.01	-9.82%	0.1160	✓	1.09
2026-08-25	oos	217.1	215.9314	-0.54%	211.81	-2.44%	0.0262	✓	1.09
2026-08-24	oos	229.97	228.6344	-0.58%	217.1	-5.60%	0.0454	✓	1.11
2026-08-23	oos	278.67	276.2875	-0.85%	229.97	-17.48%	0.2028	✓	1.21
2026-08-22	oos	287.94	285.3786	-0.89%	278.67	-3.22%	0.0344	✓	1.22
2026-08-21	oos	319.02	315.5746	-1.08%	287.94	-9.74%	0.0723	✓	1.18
2026-08-20	oos	306.52	301.7093	-1.57%	319.02	+4.08%	0.0363	✓	1.31
2026-08-19	oos	270.36	266.3898	-1.47%	306.52	+13.37%	0.0751	✗	1.25
2026-08-18	oos	239.18	235.8398	-1.40%	270.36	+13.04%	0.0548	✗	1.19
2026-08-17	oos	216.8	214.4691	-1.08%	239.18	+10.32%	0.1054	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	226.32	223.6775	-1.17%	216.8	-4.21%	0.0634	✓	1.25
2026-08-15	oos	226.73	224.0067	-1.20%	226.32	-0.18%	0.0139	✗	1.25
2026-08-14	oos	229.55	226.3129	-1.41%	226.73	-1.23%	0.0010	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	211.17	208.4244	-1.30%	229.55	+8.70%	0.1055	✗	1.26
2026-08-12	oos	200.27	197.3701	-1.45%	211.17	+5.44%	0.0673	✗	1.25
2026-08-11	oos	174.33	172.6769	-0.95%	200.27	+14.88%	0.1505	✗	1.20
2026-08-10	oos	181.34	179.3552	-1.09%	174.33	-3.87%	0.0213	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	176.56	174.617	-1.10%	181.34	+2.71%	0.0554	✗	1.21
2026-08-08	oos	172.5	170.4927	-1.16%	176.56	+2.35%	0.0361	✗	1.21
2026-08-07	oos	160.685	158.5682	-1.32%	172.5	+7.35%	0.0839	✗	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	136.26	135.3154	-0.69%	160.685	+17.93%	0.1610	✗	1.12
2026-08-05	oos	130.39	129.5783	-0.62%	136.26	+4.50%	0.0562	✗	1.14
2026-08-04	oos	131.76	130.8826	-0.67%	130.39	-1.04%	0.0141	✓	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	131.56	130.6419	-0.70%	131.76	+0.15%	0.0027	✓	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	130.19	129.2225	-0.74%	131.56	+1.05%	0.0185	✗	1.19
2026-08-01	oos	118.78	118.1278	-0.55%	130.19	+9.61%	0.0839	✗	1.14
2026-07-31	oos	112.25	111.7673	-0.43%	118.78	+5.82%	0.0620	✗	1.14
2026-07-30	oos	116.04	115.4391	-0.52%	112.25	-3.27%	0.0054	✗	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	105.37	105.069	-0.29%	116.04	+10.13%	0.0856	✗	1.07
2026-07-28	oos	106.24	105.9381	-0.28%	105.37	-0.82%	0.0062	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	104.86	104.5993	-0.25%	106.24	+1.32%	0.0130	✗	1.08
2026-07-26	oos	110.42	110.0966	-0.29%	104.86	-5.04%	0.0220	✓	1.05
2026-07-25	oos	107.48	107.2015	-0.26%	110.42	+2.74%	0.0126	✗	1.05
2026-07-24	oos	106.4	106.155	-0.23%	107.48	+1.02%	0.0090	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	109.16	108.901	-0.24%	106.4	-2.53%	0.0076	✓	1.04
2026-07-22	oos	111.91	111.6397	-0.24%	109.16	-2.46%	0.0059	✓	1.05
2026-07-21	oos	113.12	112.8433	-0.24%	111.91	-1.07%	0.0015	✓	1.05
2026-07-20	oos	109.55	109.2928	-0.23%	113.12	+3.26%	0.0141	✗	1.03
2026-07-19	oos	112.77	112.4654	-0.27%	109.55	-2.86%	0.0348	✓	1.04
2026-07-18	oos	113.49	113.1774	-0.28%	112.77	-0.63%	0.0018	✓	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	111.33	111.0472	-0.25%	113.49	+1.94%	0.0072	✗	1.04
2026-07-16	oos	115.02	114.6786	-0.30%	111.33	-3.21%	0.0317	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	118.58	118.1739	-0.34%	115.02	-3.00%	0.0111	✓	1.08
2026-07-14	oos	115.64	115.2798	-0.31%	118.58	+2.54%	0.0328	✗	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	114.74	114.3785	-0.32%	115.64	+0.78%	0.0382	✓	1.15
2026-07-12	oos	115.92	115.5357	-0.33%	114.74	-1.02%	0.0203	✗	1.16
2026-07-11	oos	117.23	116.8081	-0.36%	115.92	-1.12%	0.0070	✓	1.26
2026-07-10	oos	117.69	117.2193	-0.40%	117.23	-0.39%	0.0074	✗	1.31
2026-07-09	oos	105.24	105.0062	-0.22%	117.69	+11.83%	0.0951	✗	1.26
2026-07-08	oos	106.33	106.0888	-0.23%	105.24	-1.03%	0.0277	✓	1.31
2026-07-07	oos	109.19	108.8978	-0.27%	106.33	-2.62%	0.0005	✓	1.35
2026-07-06	oos	111.53	111.1618	-0.33%	109.19	-2.10%	0.0034	✓	1.36
2026-07-05	oos	108.29	107.9881	-0.28%	111.53	+2.99%	0.0236	✗	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	108.45	108.1182	-0.31%	108.29	-0.15%	0.0088	✓	1.33
2026-07-03	oos	103.55	103.3124	-0.23%	108.45	+4.73%	0.0369	✗	1.29
2026-07-02	oos	99.23	99.0761	-0.16%	103.55	+4.35%	0.0227	✗	1.29
2026-07-01	oos	97.2	97.0987	-0.10%	99.23	+2.09%	0.0106	✓	1.29
2026-06-30	oos	96.72	96.6588	-0.06%	97.2	+0.50%	0.0273	✓	1.35
2026-06-29	oos	101.52	101.3711	-0.15%	96.72	-4.73%	0.0098	✓	1.35
2026-06-28	oos	100.1	99.983	-0.12%	101.52	+1.42%	0.0028	✓	1.57
2026-06-27	oos	100.63	100.4974	-0.13%	100.1	-0.53%	0.0090	✗	1.68
2026-06-26	oos	101.07	100.9306	-0.14%	100.63	-0.44%	0.0011	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	102.07	101.9319	-0.14%	101.07	-0.98%	0.0169	✓	1.69
2026-06-24	oos	102.095	101.9449	-0.15%	102.07	-0.02%	0.0390	✗	1.78
2026-06-23	oos	105.73	105.5228	-0.20%	102.095	-3.44%	0.0152	✗	1.79
2026-06-22	oos	115.65	115.2816	-0.32%	105.73	-8.58%	0.0502	✓	1.76
2026-06-21	oos	120.06	119.6111	-0.37%	115.65	-3.67%	0.0537	✓	1.78
2026-06-20	oos	123.13	122.5644	-0.46%	120.06	-2.49%	0.0060	✗	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	114.46	114.0825	-0.33%	123.13	+7.57%	0.0563	✗	1.71
2026-06-18	oos	116.8	116.3716	-0.37%	114.46	-2.00%	0.0327	✓	1.72
2026-06-17	oos	124.21	123.5141	-0.56%	116.8	-5.97%	0.0142	✓	1.69
2026-06-16	oos	118.04	117.4331	-0.51%	124.21	+5.23%	0.0872	✗	1.73
2026-06-15	oos	101.84	101.5647	-0.27%	118.04	+15.91%	0.1679	✗	1.76
2026-06-14	oos	103.36	103.0585	-0.29%	101.84	-1.47%	0.0272	✓	1.78
2026-06-13	oos	100.71	100.4628	-0.25%	103.36	+2.63%	0.0066	✓	1.78
2026-06-12	oos	99.61	99.4017	-0.21%	100.71	+1.10%	0.0119	✓	1.79
2026-06-11	oos	102.23	101.9676	-0.26%	99.61	-2.56%	0.0227	✓	1.79
2026-06-10	oos	96.72	96.6076	-0.12%	102.23	+5.70%	0.0041	✓	1.79
2026-06-09	oos	100.91	100.7398	-0.17%	96.72	-4.15%	0.0338	✓	1.79
2026-06-08	oos	113.22	112.7811	-0.39%	100.91	-10.87%	0.0732	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	111.28	110.8315	-0.40%	113.22	+1.74%	0.0277	✗	1.69
2026-06-06	oos	97.28	97.2105	-0.07%	111.28	+14.39%	0.0744	✗	1.54
2026-06-05	oos	97.76	97.6999	-0.06%	97.28	-0.49%	0.0002	✓	1.51
2026-06-04	oos	102.42	102.2205	-0.19%	97.76	-4.55%	0.0239	✗	1.54
2026-06-03	oos	102.84	102.6485	-0.19%	102.42	-0.41%	0.0034	✗	1.53
2026-06-02	oos	105.23	104.9282	-0.29%	102.84	-2.27%	0.0419	✗	1.55
2026-06-01	oos	103	102.6368	-0.35%	105.23	+2.17%	0.1458	✗	1.79
2026-05-31	oos	105.02	104.5849	-0.41%	103	-1.92%	0.0417	✗	1.83
2026-05-30	oos	106.24	105.7705	-0.44%	105.02	-1.15%	0.0025	✓	1.73
2026-05-29	oos	104.52	104.0752	-0.43%	106.24	+1.65%	0.0111	✗	1.73
2026-05-28	oos	102	101.5992	-0.39%	104.52	+2.47%	0.0318	✗	1.73
2026-05-27	oos	102.77	102.3246	-0.43%	102	-0.75%	0.0157	✗	1.74
2026-05-26	oos	108.9	108.2778	-0.57%	102.77	-5.63%	0.0176	✓	1.72
2026-05-25	oos	115.21	114.394	-0.71%	108.9	-5.48%	0.0200	✓	1.57
2026-05-24	oos	114.49	113.6522	-0.73%	115.21	+0.63%	0.0080	✗	1.58
2026-05-23	oos	112.58	111.7819	-0.71%	114.49	+1.70%	0.0174	✗	1.53
2026-05-22	oos	104.65	104.1204	-0.51%	112.58	+7.58%	0.0540	✗	1.52
2026-05-21	oos	108.61	107.9533	-0.60%	104.65	-3.65%	0.0108	✗	1.52
2026-05-20	oos	110.37	109.6739	-0.63%	108.61	-1.59%	0.0112	✓	1.53
2026-05-19	oos	109.45	108.8227	-0.57%	110.37	+0.84%	0.0002	✓	1.52
2026-05-18	oos	113.34	112.6154	-0.64%	109.45	-3.43%	0.0251	✓	1.49
2026-05-17	oos	110.42	109.8092	-0.55%	113.34	+2.64%	0.0406	✗	1.49
2026-05-16	oos	106.5	106.0321	-0.44%	110.42	+3.68%	0.0540	✗	1.50
2026-05-15	oos	109.69	109.1909	-0.45%	106.5	-2.91%	0.0066	✓	1.51
2026-05-14	oos	110.74	110.2947	-0.40%	109.69	-0.95%	0.0328	✗	1.52
2026-05-13	oos	113.12	112.6215	-0.44%	110.74	-2.10%	0.0496	✓	1.47
2026-05-12	oos	113.72	113.2827	-0.38%	113.12	-0.53%	0.0210	✗	1.50
2026-05-11	oos	116.68	116.2804	-0.34%	113.72	-2.54%	0.0001	✓	1.46
2026-05-10	oos	119.15	118.7701	-0.32%	116.68	-2.07%	0.0101	✓	1.32
2026-05-09	oos	117.27	116.8931	-0.32%	119.15	+1.60%	0.0053	✓	1.29
2026-05-08	oos	123.47	122.9594	-0.41%	117.27	-5.02%	0.0551	✓	1.32
2026-05-07	oos	112.43	112.2374	-0.17%	123.47	+9.82%	0.0924	✗	1.28
2026-05-06	oos	127.76	127.3266	-0.34%	112.43	-12.00%	0.1059	✓	1.04
2026-05-05	oos	120	119.7288	-0.23%	127.76	+6.47%	0.0575	✗	1.14
2026-05-04	oos	126.2	125.7708	-0.34%	120	-4.91%	0.0620	✓	1.14
2026-05-03	oos	125.4	124.988	-0.33%	126.2	+0.64%	0.0103	✓	1.22
2026-05-02	oos	124.74	124.4019	-0.27%	125.4	+0.53%	0.0099	✗	1.21
2026-05-01	oos	129.15	128.7145	-0.34%	124.74	-3.41%	0.0385	✓	1.25
2026-04-30	oos	128.21	127.7417	-0.37%	129.15	+0.73%	0.0201	✓	1.24
2026-04-29	oos	125.68	125.2673	-0.33%	128.21	+2.01%	0.0141	✗	1.25
2026-04-28	oos	131.47	130.9327	-0.41%	125.68	-4.40%	0.0320	✓	1.20
2026-04-27	oos	129.98	129.5237	-0.35%	131.47	+1.15%	0.0313	✗	1.20
2026-04-26	oos	135.23	134.7161	-0.38%	129.98	-3.88%	0.0157	✓	1.19
2026-04-25	oos	135.68	135.0935	-0.43%	135.23	-0.33%	0.0145	✓	1.18
2026-04-24	oos	130.23	129.7418	-0.37%	135.68	+4.18%	0.0419	✗	1.18
2026-04-23	oos	136.62	136.0222	-0.44%	130.23	-4.68%	0.0311	✓	1.18
2026-04-22	oos	137.55	136.8876	-0.48%	136.62	-0.68%	0.0031	✓	1.18
2026-04-21	oos	135.85	135.0928	-0.56%	137.55	+1.25%	0.0104	✓	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	135.23	134.4197	-0.60%	135.85	+0.46%	0.0031	✓	1.18
2026-04-19	oos	130.85	130.049	-0.61%	135.23	+3.35%	0.0071	✗	1.17
2026-04-18	oos	134.07	133.2757	-0.59%	130.85	-2.40%	0.0117	✗	1.18
2026-04-17	oos	147.48	146.4584	-0.69%	134.07	-9.09%	0.0677	✓	1.16
2026-04-16	oos	142.63	141.59	-0.73%	147.48	+3.40%	0.0113	✗	1.16
2026-04-15	oos	146.59	145.3658	-0.84%	142.63	-2.70%	0.0241	✓	1.16
2026-04-14	oos	140.56	139.4157	-0.81%	146.59	+4.29%	0.0399	✗	1.16
2026-04-13	oos	144.36	142.9916	-0.95%	140.56	-2.63%	0.0130	✓	1.15
2026-04-12	oos	128.35	127.3673	-0.77%	144.36	+12.47%	0.0684	✗	1.12
2026-04-11	oos	141.28	139.9444	-0.95%	128.35	-9.15%	0.0512	✓	1.09
2026-04-10	oos	145.62	143.906	-1.18%	141.28	-2.98%	0.0197	✓	1.07
2026-04-09	oos	133.67	132.1765	-1.12%	145.62	+8.94%	0.0793	✗	1.06
2026-04-08	oos	117.18	116.2343	-0.81%	133.67	+14.07%	0.1294	✗	1.04
2026-04-07	oos	124.07	122.8432	-0.99%	117.18	-5.55%	0.0353	✓	1.04
2026-04-06	oos	120.16	119.0046	-0.96%	124.07	+3.25%	0.0035	✓	1.04
2026-04-05	oos	124.07	122.6979	-1.11%	120.16	-3.15%	0.0186	✓	1.04
2026-04-04	oos	124.07	122.6311	-1.16%	124.07	+0.00%	0.0142	✓	1.03
2026-04-03	oos	119.27	118.0702	-1.01%	124.07	+4.02%	0.0445	✗	1.02
2026-04-02	oos	131.68	129.9485	-1.31%	119.27	-9.42%	0.0868	✓	1.03
2026-04-01	oos	148.48	145.1878	-2.22%	131.68	-11.31%	0.0794	✓	1.01
2026-03-31	oos	133.71	130.5049	-2.40%	148.48	+11.05%	0.1307	✗	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	94.86	93.7056	-1.22%	133.71	+40.96%	0.3354	✗	0.91
2026-03-29	oos	68.22	67.9837	-0.35%	94.86	+39.05%	0.3231	✗	0.85
2026-03-28	oos	68.28	68.0607	-0.32%	68.22	-0.09%	0.0070	✗	0.85
2026-03-27	oos	68.72	68.5152	-0.30%	68.28	-0.64%	0.0030	✓	0.85
2026-03-26	oos	78.04	77.675	-0.47%	68.72	-11.94%	0.0933	✓	0.82
2026-03-25	oos	83.59	83.0746	-0.62%	78.04	-6.64%	0.0334	✓	0.80
2026-03-24	oos	81.88	81.399	-0.59%	83.59	+2.09%	0.0179	✗	0.80
2026-03-23	oos	80.19	79.7594	-0.54%	81.88	+2.11%	0.0301	✗	0.80
2026-03-22	oos	77.44	77.1592	-0.36%	80.19	+3.55%	0.0038	✗	0.80
2026-03-21	oos	80.04	79.75	-0.36%	77.44	-3.25%	0.0170	✓	0.80
2026-03-20	oos	82.16	81.8335	-0.40%	80.04	-2.58%	0.0040	✓	0.80
2026-03-19	oos	82.11	81.8637	-0.30%	82.16	+0.06%	0.0030	✓	0.80
2026-03-18	oos	83.59	83.3442	-0.29%	82.11	-1.77%	0.0007	✓	0.83
2026-03-17	oos	88.2	87.8887	-0.35%	83.59	-5.23%	0.0193	✓	0.83
2026-03-16	oos	92.75	92.3756	-0.40%	88.2	-4.91%	0.0357	✓	0.82
2026-03-15	oos	87.93	87.7015	-0.26%	92.75	+5.48%	0.0334	✗	0.81
2026-03-14	oos	83.97	83.8468	-0.15%	87.93	+4.72%	0.0300	✗	0.79
2026-03-13	oos	85.52	85.4176	-0.12%	83.97	-1.81%	0.0202	✓	0.77
2026-03-12	oos	86.84	86.7711	-0.08%	85.52	-1.52%	0.0190	✓	0.77
2026-03-11	oos	86.34	86.3157	-0.03%	86.84	+0.58%	0.0026	✗	0.76
2026-03-10	oos	100.48	100.3056	-0.17%	86.34	-14.07%	0.1526	✓	0.76
2026-03-09	oos	101.39	101.2374	-0.15%	100.48	-0.90%	0.0244	✓	0.76
2026-03-08	oos	103.17	103.0473	-0.12%	101.39	-1.73%	0.0451	✓	0.79
2026-03-07	oos	99.77	99.683	-0.09%	103.17	+3.41%	0.0501	✗	0.81
2026-03-06	oos	104.975	104.7999	-0.17%	99.77	-4.96%	0.0390	✓	0.81
2026-03-05	oos	110.03	109.7456	-0.26%	104.975	-4.59%	0.0122	✓	0.81
2026-03-04	oos	110.59	110.2322	-0.32%	110.03	-0.51%	0.0184	✗	0.81
2026-03-03	oos	100.21	100.0941	-0.12%	110.59	+10.36%	0.0525	✗	0.77
2026-03-02	oos	101.99	101.8414	-0.15%	100.21	-1.75%	0.0106	✓	0.77
2026-03-01	oos	101.96	101.8518	-0.11%	101.99	+0.03%	0.0409	✓	0.93
2026-02-28	oos	106.48	106.2684	-0.20%	101.96	-4.24%	0.0232	✓	1.00
2026-02-27	oos	104.9	104.7361	-0.16%	106.48	+1.51%	0.0002	✓	1.00
2026-02-26	oos	110.4	110.1042	-0.27%	104.9	-4.98%	0.0238	✓	1.00
2026-02-25	oos	110.78	110.47	-0.28%	110.4	-0.34%	0.0068	✗	1.00
2026-02-24	oos	110.32	110.112	-0.19%	110.78	+0.42%	0.0578	✓	1.07
2026-02-23	oos	115.54	115.2703	-0.23%	110.32	-4.52%	0.0347	✓	1.06
2026-02-22	oos	118.83	118.4308	-0.34%	115.54	-2.77%	0.0239	✗	1.07
2026-02-21	oos	126.83	126.2434	-0.46%	118.83	-6.31%	0.0552	✓	1.06
2026-02-20	oos	123.41	122.875	-0.43%	126.83	+2.77%	0.0321	✗	1.05
2026-02-19	oos	119.42	118.9832	-0.37%	123.41	+3.34%	0.0208	✗	1.05
2026-02-18	oos	124.21	123.6498	-0.45%	119.42	-3.86%	0.0436	✓	1.06
2026-02-17	oos	118.775	118.2795	-0.42%	124.21	+4.58%	0.0652	✗	1.04
2026-02-16	oos	121.49	120.8434	-0.53%	118.775	-2.23%	0.0037	✓	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	121.42	120.75	-0.55%	121.49	+0.06%	0.0051	✓	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	128.2	127.2616	-0.73%	121.42	-5.29%	0.0324	✓	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	132.58	131.5093	-0.81%	128.2	-3.30%	0.0399	✓	1.02
2026-02-12	oos	136.93	135.7752	-0.84%	132.58	-3.18%	0.0643	✓	1.05
2026-02-11	oos	148.8	146.6286	-1.46%	136.93	-7.98%	0.0548	✓	1.11
2026-02-10	oos	146.95	144.4578	-1.70%	148.8	+1.26%	0.0591	✗	1.12
2026-02-09	oos	113.17	112.3662	-0.71%	146.95	+29.85%	0.2904	✗	1.18
2026-02-08	oos	76.9	77.3613	+0.60%	113.17	+47.17%	0.3834	✓	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	68.03	68.7513	+1.06%	76.9	+13.04%	0.0955	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	63.97	64.8107	+1.31%	68.03	+6.35%	0.0676	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	60.66	61.6426	+1.62%	63.97	+5.46%	0.0959	✗	1.14
2026-02-04	oos	74.61	75.5503	+1.26%	60.66	-18.70%	0.0635	✗	1.04
2026-02-03	oos	75.54	76.5085	+1.28%	74.61	-1.23%	0.0124	✓	1.05
2026-02-02	oos	92.03	92.8777	+0.92%	75.54	-17.92%	0.1661	✗	1.04
2026-02-01	oos	91.49	92.5222	+1.13%	92.03	+0.59%	0.0247	✗	0.85
2026-01-31	oos	105.93	106.8298	+0.85%	91.49	-13.63%	0.1379	✗	0.76
2026-01-30	oos	112.79	113.5197	+0.65%	105.93	-6.08%	0.0177	✗	0.77
2026-01-29	oos	130	130.3575	+0.27%	112.79	-13.24%	0.1411	✗	0.76
2026-01-28	oos	128.92	129.1655	+0.19%	130	+0.84%	0.0509	✓	0.83
2026-01-27	oos	150.08	149.8471	-0.16%	128.92	-14.10%	0.1509	✓	0.85
2026-01-26	oos	156.06	155.8278	-0.15%	150.08	-3.83%	0.0457	✓	0.83
2026-01-25	oos	162.48	162.3061	-0.11%	156.06	-3.95%	0.0557	✓	0.85
2026-01-24	oos	168.06	167.5615	-0.30%	162.48	-3.32%	0.0066	✓	0.84
2026-01-23	oos	163.68	163.4185	-0.16%	168.06	+2.68%	0.0318	✗	0.86
2026-01-22	oos	163.14	163.0213	-0.07%	163.68	+0.33%	0.0039	✗	0.87
2026-01-21	oos	161.03	161.0692	+0.02%	163.14	+1.31%	0.0118	✓	0.89
2026-01-20	oos	159.15	159.386	+0.15%	161.03	+1.18%	0.0005	✓	0.91
2026-01-19	oos	164.44	164.3513	-0.05%	159.15	-3.22%	0.0127	✗	0.95
2026-01-18	oos	173.43	173.0709	-0.21%	164.44	-5.18%	0.0409	✓	0.89
2026-01-17	oos	175.07	174.6471	-0.24%	173.43	-0.94%	0.0083	✗	0.98
2026-01-16	oos	174.31	173.972	-0.19%	175.07	+0.44%	0.0103	✗	0.97
2026-01-15	oos	182.76	182.2597	-0.27%	174.31	-4.62%	0.0437	✓	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	192.53	191.7666	-0.40%	182.76	-5.07%	0.0339	✓	1.00
2026-01-13	oos	196.14	195.5247	-0.31%	192.53	-1.84%	0.0320	✓	1.01
2026-01-12	oos	186.46	186.4464	-0.01%	196.14	+5.19%	0.0114	✗	0.87
2026-01-11	oos	209.79	209.4483	-0.16%	186.46	-11.12%	0.1196	✓	0.97
2026-01-10	oos	255.69	254.6443	-0.41%	209.79	-17.95%	0.1995	✓	1.04
2026-01-09	oos	263.33	262.1952	-0.43%	255.69	-2.90%	0.0225	✓	1.68
2026-01-08	oos	274.74	273.4477	-0.47%	263.33	-4.15%	0.0284	✓	1.65
2026-01-07	oos	285.03	283.5635	-0.51%	274.74	-3.61%	0.0272	✓	1.58
2026-01-06	oos	294.16	292.4577	-0.58%	285.03	-3.10%	0.0147	✗	1.53
2026-01-05	oos	292.13	290.4565	-0.57%	294.16	+0.69%	0.0150	✗	1.50
2026-01-04	oos	301.38	299.5466	-0.61%	292.13	-3.07%	0.0637	✓	1.50
2026-01-03	oos	300.78	298.8327	-0.65%	301.38	+0.20%	0.0061	✓	1.48
2026-01-02	oos	304.74	302.4738	-0.74%	300.78	-1.30%	0.0164	✓	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	299.75	297.6659	-0.70%	304.74	+1.66%	0.0025	✓	1.54
2025-12-31	oos	294.44	292.4898	-0.66%	299.75	+1.80%	0.0019	✓	1.61
2025-12-30	oos	287.39	285.5975	-0.62%	294.44	+2.45%	0.0468	✗	1.60
2025-12-29	oos	295.675	293.8082	-0.63%	287.39	-2.80%	0.0457	✓	1.61
2025-12-28	oos	289.84	288.0772	-0.61%	295.675	+2.01%	0.0401	✗	1.61
2025-12-27	oos	295.85	293.9627	-0.64%	289.84	-2.03%	0.0153	✓	1.53
2025-12-26	oos	299.19	297.2039	-0.66%	295.85	-1.12%	0.0139	✓	1.60
2025-12-25	oos	308.69	306.5812	-0.68%	299.19	-3.08%	0.0267	✓	1.61
2025-12-24	oos	299.73	297.7167	-0.67%	308.69	+2.99%	0.0442	✗	1.61
2025-12-23	oos	302.23	300.1117	-0.70%	299.73	-0.83%	0.0047	✓	1.65
2025-12-22	oos	317.89	315.2698	-0.82%	302.23	-4.93%	0.0214	✓	1.62
2025-12-21	oos	307.91	305.3455	-0.83%	317.89	+3.24%	0.0418	✗	1.63
2025-12-20	oos	301.61	299.053	-0.85%	307.91	+2.09%	0.0233	✗	1.65
2025-12-19	oos	307.38	304.5499	-0.92%	301.61	-1.88%	0.0140	✓	1.66
2025-12-18	oos	280.98	278.724	-0.80%	307.38	+9.40%	0.0479	✗	1.65
2025-12-17	oos	308.54	305.747	-0.91%	280.98	-8.93%	0.0702	✓	1.63
2025-12-16	oos	310.03	307.0311	-0.97%	308.54	-0.48%	0.0356	✗	1.62
2025-12-15	oos	307.59	304.5772	-0.98%	310.03	+0.79%	0.0094	✓	1.64
2025-12-14	oos	308	304.7073	-1.07%	307.59	-0.13%	0.0432	✗	1.68
2025-12-13	oos	289.37	286.2667	-1.07%	308	+6.44%	0.1132	✗	1.71
2025-12-12	oos	302.6	299.1178	-1.15%	289.37	-4.37%	0.0327	✓	1.72
2025-12-11	oos	300.2	296.6741	-1.17%	302.6	+0.80%	0.0626	✗	1.73
2025-12-10	oos	325.26	321.0215	-1.30%	300.2	-7.70%	0.0766	✓	1.74
2025-12-09	oos	332.52	327.5479	-1.50%	325.26	-2.18%	0.0051	✓	1.71
2025-12-08	oos	324	318.3519	-1.74%	332.52	+2.63%	0.0058	✓	1.70
2025-12-07	oos	289.54	284.9184	-1.60%	324	+11.90%	0.1238	✗	1.69
2025-12-06	oos	285.71	280.9594	-1.66%	289.54	+1.34%	0.0087	✓	1.69
2025-12-05	oos	288.1	283.3006	-1.67%	285.71	-0.83%	0.0099	✓	1.69
2025-12-04	oos	296.1	289.8313	-2.12%	288.1	-2.70%	0.0451	✗	1.68
2025-12-03	oos	314.86	307.7032	-2.27%	296.1	-5.96%	0.0140	✓	1.66
2025-12-02	oos	306.26	297.143	-2.98%	314.86	+2.81%	0.0184	✓	1.70
2025-12-01	oos	248.06	243.979	-1.65%	306.26	+23.46%	0.1389	✗	1.56
2025-11-30	oos	301.5	293.5776	-2.63%	248.06	-17.72%	0.1054	✓	1.36
2025-11-29	oos	318.94	307.26	-3.66%	301.5	-5.47%	0.0121	✓	1.34
2025-11-28	oos	263.41	252.9688	-3.96%	318.94	+21.08%	0.2328	✗	1.34
2025-11-27	oos	197.85	193.3765	-2.26%	263.41	+33.14%	0.3152	✗	1.35
2025-11-26	oos	168.18	167.3454	-0.50%	197.85	+17.64%	0.1554	✗	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	164.31	163.9773	-0.20%	168.18	+2.36%	0.0211	✓	1.31
2025-11-24	oos	162.32	162.0754	-0.15%	164.31	+1.23%	0.0278	✗	1.32
2025-11-23	oos	163.89	163.7988	-0.06%	162.32	-0.96%	0.0312	✓	1.33
2025-11-22	oos	164.41	164.5702	+0.10%	163.89	-0.32%	0.0380	✗	1.37
2025-11-21	oos	165.91	166.106	+0.12%	164.41	-0.90%	0.0041	✗	1.37
2025-11-20	oos	172.66	172.6823	+0.01%	165.91	-3.91%	0.0167	✗	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	175.95	175.6748	-0.16%	172.66	-1.87%	0.0587	✗	1.37
2025-11-18	oos	163.42	163.6139	+0.12%	175.95	+7.67%	0.0949	✓	1.41
2025-11-17	oos	161.65	162.0242	+0.23%	163.42	+1.09%	0.0037	✗	1.40
2025-11-16	oos	162.59	162.819	+0.14%	161.65	-0.58%	0.0239	✓	1.39
2025-11-15	oos	158.28	158.5014	+0.14%	162.59	+2.72%	0.0455	✓	1.40
2025-11-14	oos	169.12	169.2843	+0.10%	158.28	-6.41%	0.0829	✗	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	199.31	198.1928	-0.56%	169.12	-15.15%	0.0920	✓	1.26
2025-11-12	oos	205.325	203.9043	-0.69%	199.31	-2.93%	0.0024	✓	1.25
2025-11-11	oos	212.15	210.1602	-0.94%	205.325	-3.22%	0.0072	✓	1.20
2025-11-10	oos	224.5	221.7707	-1.22%	212.15	-5.50%	0.0126	✓	1.12
2025-11-09	oos	259.1	255.968	-1.21%	224.5	-13.35%	0.1455	✓	1.18
2025-11-08	oos	331.17	326.4097	-1.44%	259.1	-21.76%	0.2633	✓	1.39
2025-11-07	oos	350.58	345.0862	-1.57%	331.17	-5.54%	0.0283	✓	1.32
2025-11-06	oos	370.07	363.8686	-1.68%	350.58	-5.27%	0.0642	✓	1.39
2025-11-05	oos	371.54	363.0163	-2.29%	370.07	-0.40%	0.0543	✗	1.40
2025-11-04	oos	304.82	298.1031	-2.20%	371.54	+21.89%	0.1905	✗	1.27
2025-11-03	oos	270.06	265.4859	-1.69%	304.82	+12.87%	0.2116	✗	1.50
2025-11-02	oos	266.28	261.6365	-1.74%	270.06	+1.42%	0.0889	✗	1.56
2025-11-01	oos	248.47	244.1694	-1.73%	266.28	+7.17%	0.0799	✗	1.56
2025-10-31	oos	248.1	243.9527	-1.67%	248.47	+0.15%	0.0115	✓	1.52
2025-10-30	oos	250.71	246.4884	-1.68%	248.1	-1.04%	0.0111	✓	1.54
2025-10-29	oos	257.46	252.7183	-1.84%	250.71	-2.62%	0.0161	✓	1.53
2025-10-28	oos	252.05	247.0725	-1.97%	257.46	+2.15%	0.0816	✗	1.57
2025-10-27	oos	239.2	234.2497	-2.07%	252.05	+5.37%	0.0897	✗	1.58
2025-10-26	oos	227.29	222.6304	-2.05%	239.2	+5.24%	0.0782	✗	1.59
2025-10-25	oos	218.51	213.7766	-2.17%	227.29	+4.02%	0.0202	✓	1.61
2025-10-24	oos	205.15	200.2043	-2.41%	218.51	+6.51%	0.0786	✗	1.58
2025-10-23	oos	186.69	182.9589	-2.00%	205.15	+9.89%	0.1014	✗	1.56
2025-10-22	oos	179.88	176.6265	-1.81%	186.69	+3.79%	0.0188	✗	1.58
2025-10-21	oos	231.08	223.7813	-3.16%	179.88	-22.16%	0.2074	✓	1.53
2025-10-20	oos	211.08	204.7357	-3.01%	231.08	+9.48%	0.1532	✗	1.60
2025-10-19	oos	175.62	171.5171	-2.34%	211.08	+20.19%	0.1832	✗	1.41
2025-10-18	oos	174.8	170.2697	-2.59%	175.62	+0.47%	0.0115	✓	1.43
2025-10-17	oos	153.19	149.8649	-2.17%	174.8	+14.11%	0.1441	✗	1.40
2025-10-16	oos	160.52	156.4605	-2.53%	153.19	-4.57%	0.0011	✓	1.38
2025-10-15	oos	162.23	156.5038	-3.53%	160.52	-1.05%	0.0584	✗	1.39
2025-10-14	oos	126.05	123.4947	-2.03%	162.23	+28.70%	0.3044	✗	1.56
2025-10-13	oos	150.14	144.4658	-3.78%	126.05	-16.05%	0.1078	✓	1.48
2025-10-12	oos	130.685	124.4909	-4.74%	150.14	+14.89%	0.1847	✗	1.48
2025-10-11	oos	69.25	68.3426	-1.31%	130.685	+88.71%	0.6223	✗	0.68
2025-10-10	oos	66.89	66.0165	-1.31%	69.25	+3.53%	0.0614	✗	0.69
2025-10-09	oos	71.07	69.7145	-1.91%	66.89	-5.88%	0.0053	✓	0.63
2025-10-08	oos	59.61	58.986	-1.05%	71.07	+19.22%	0.1963	✗	0.75
2025-10-07	oos	60.94	60.0613	-1.44%	59.61	-2.18%	0.0200	✓	0.78
2025-10-06	oos	55.75	55.1843	-1.01%	60.94	+9.31%	0.1233	✗	0.89
2025-10-05	oos	60.7	59.6596	-1.71%	55.75	-8.15%	0.0768	✓	0.94
2025-10-04	oos	52.43	51.7737	-1.25%	60.7	+15.77%	0.1513	✗	0.90
2025-10-03	oos	47.75	47.011	-1.55%	52.43	+9.80%	0.1081	✗	0.89
2025-10-02	oos	40.17	39.8853	-0.71%	47.75	+18.87%	0.1688	✗	0.80
2025-10-01	oos	38.88	38.5734	-0.79%	40.17	+3.32%	0.0276	✗	0.79
2025-09-30	oos	36.28	36.0577	-0.61%	38.88	+7.17%	0.0482	✗	0.69
2025-09-29	oos	36.75	36.5037	-0.67%	36.28	-1.28%	0.0034	✓	1.05
2025-09-28	oos	41.4	40.9211	-1.16%	36.75	-11.23%	0.1279	✓	1.07
2025-09-27	oos	34.835	34.571	-0.76%	41.4	+18.85%	0.1596	✗	0.91
2025-09-26	oos	29	28.9047	-0.33%	34.835	+20.12%	0.1867	✗	0.89
2025-09-25	oos	28.34	28.2509	-0.31%	29	+2.33%	0.0208	✗	0.88
2025-09-24	oos	30.515	30.3805	-0.44%	28.34	-7.13%	0.0385	✓	0.80
2025-09-23	oos	29.99	29.8614	-0.43%	30.515	+1.75%	0.0122	✗	0.80
2025-09-22	oos	30.78	30.6436	-0.44%	29.99	-2.57%	0.0165	✓	0.79
2025-09-21	oos	32.635	32.4756	-0.49%	30.78	-5.68%	0.0371	✓	0.74
2025-09-20	oos	33.01	32.8373	-0.52%	32.635	-1.14%	0.0029	✓	0.80
2025-09-19	oos	33.75	33.556	-0.57%	33.01	-2.19%	0.0168	✓	0.81
2025-09-18	oos	33.315	33.1175	-0.59%	33.75	+1.31%	0.0294	✗	0.85

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.