RE
RE · Ethereum · gru_s8
- token id
- #279
- symbol
- RE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x526526528f35ac738177003b8773b402b8df8143
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-18
- predictions
- 351
Track record at +1d
assessed
116
of 117 predictions shown
direction hit
56.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0458
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0067
actual -0.0094
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.39085 | 0.388788 | -0.53% | – | pending | – | – | 1.02 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.3878 | 0.386057 | -0.45% | 0.39085 | +0.79% | 0.0151 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.38025 | 0.378711 | -0.40% | 0.3878 | +1.99% | 0.0119 | ✗ | 0.88 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.3807 | 0.379174 | -0.40% | 0.38025 | -0.12% | 0.0047 | ✗ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.3939 | 0.39216 | -0.44% | 0.3807 | -3.35% | 0.0365 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.4072 | 0.405304 | -0.47% | 0.3939 | -3.27% | 0.0272 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.41905 | 0.416943 | -0.50% | 0.4072 | -2.83% | 0.0172 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.42225 | 0.420272 | -0.47% | 0.41905 | -0.76% | 0.0087 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.43205 | 0.429939 | -0.49% | 0.42225 | -2.27% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.42635 | 0.424286 | -0.48% | 0.43205 | +1.34% | 0.0041 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.44755 | 0.445159 | -0.53% | 0.42635 | -4.74% | 0.0245 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.4449 | 0.442536 | -0.53% | 0.44755 | +0.60% | 0.0037 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.4408 | 0.43848 | -0.53% | 0.4449 | +0.93% | 0.0109 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.4381 | 0.435656 | -0.56% | 0.4408 | +0.62% | 0.0032 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.4626 | 0.459885 | -0.59% | 0.4381 | -5.30% | 0.0334 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.4822 | 0.479201 | -0.62% | 0.4626 | -4.06% | 0.0147 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.5048 | 0.501304 | -0.69% | 0.4822 | -4.48% | 0.0370 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.5176 | 0.514008 | -0.69% | 0.5048 | -2.47% | 0.0112 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.50915 | 0.50567 | -0.68% | 0.5176 | +1.66% | 0.0073 | ✗ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.5062 | 0.502814 | -0.67% | 0.50915 | +0.58% | 0.0103 | ✗ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.5149 | 0.51099 | -0.76% | 0.5062 | -1.69% | 0.0062 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.4815 | 0.478541 | -0.61% | 0.5149 | +6.94% | 0.0621 | ✗ | 0.72 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.47595 | 0.472497 | -0.73% | 0.4815 | +1.17% | 0.0197 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.46175 | 0.459177 | -0.56% | 0.47595 | +3.08% | 0.0342 | ✗ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.4892 | 0.486 | -0.65% | 0.46175 | -5.61% | 0.0408 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.49105 | 0.488045 | -0.61% | 0.4892 | -0.38% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.47765 | 0.475011 | -0.55% | 0.49105 | +2.81% | 0.0295 | ✗ | 0.96 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.4691 | 0.4666 | -0.53% | 0.47765 | +1.82% | 0.0266 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.4464 | 0.444161 | -0.50% | 0.4691 | +5.09% | 0.0545 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.4724 | 0.469959 | -0.52% | 0.4464 | -5.50% | 0.0305 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.46815 | 0.465949 | -0.47% | 0.4724 | +0.91% | 0.0189 | ✗ | 1.12 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.45915 | 0.456965 | -0.48% | 0.46815 | +1.96% | 0.0552 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.46645 | 0.464092 | -0.51% | 0.45915 | -1.57% | 0.0096 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.459 | 0.456826 | -0.47% | 0.46645 | +1.62% | 0.0153 | ✗ | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.444 | 0.442541 | -0.33% | 0.459 | +3.38% | 0.0400 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.44075 | 0.439405 | -0.31% | 0.444 | +0.74% | 0.0064 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.41745 | 0.416887 | -0.13% | 0.44075 | +5.58% | 0.0447 | ✗ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.4368 | 0.435645 | -0.26% | 0.41745 | -4.43% | 0.0076 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.4253 | 0.424623 | -0.16% | 0.4368 | +2.70% | 0.0019 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.4416 | 0.440627 | -0.22% | 0.4253 | -3.69% | 0.0265 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.4528 | 0.451614 | -0.26% | 0.4416 | -2.47% | 0.0235 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.4323 | 0.431574 | -0.17% | 0.4528 | +4.74% | 0.0351 | ✗ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4244 | 0.42389 | -0.12% | 0.4323 | +1.86% | 0.0539 | ✗ | 1.52 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.45435 | 0.453126 | -0.27% | 0.4244 | -6.59% | 0.0623 | ✓ | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.462 | 0.460589 | -0.31% | 0.45435 | -1.66% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4594 | 0.458135 | -0.28% | 0.462 | +0.57% | 0.0323 | ✗ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4504 | 0.449348 | -0.23% | 0.4594 | +2.00% | 0.0124 | ✗ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.4372 | 0.436524 | -0.15% | 0.4504 | +3.02% | 0.0283 | ✗ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4678 | 0.466872 | -0.20% | 0.4372 | -6.54% | 0.0360 | ✓ | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4633 | 0.461999 | -0.28% | 0.4678 | +0.97% | 0.0679 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.4791 | 0.477503 | -0.33% | 0.4633 | -3.30% | 0.0283 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.489 | 0.487425 | -0.32% | 0.4791 | -2.02% | 0.0068 | ✗ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.4687 | 0.467282 | -0.30% | 0.489 | +4.33% | 0.0270 | ✗ | 1.60 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.4914 | 0.489773 | -0.33% | 0.4687 | -4.62% | 0.0324 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.51565 | 0.513869 | -0.35% | 0.4914 | -4.70% | 0.0528 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.5365 | 0.534743 | -0.33% | 0.51565 | -3.89% | 0.0132 | ✗ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.5266 | 0.524621 | -0.38% | 0.5365 | +1.88% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.5521 | 0.549285 | -0.51% | 0.5266 | -4.62% | 0.0524 | ✓ | 1.62 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.53905 | 0.536301 | -0.51% | 0.5521 | +2.42% | 0.0384 | ✗ | 1.63 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.5417 | 0.538346 | -0.62% | 0.53905 | -0.49% | 0.0250 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.5018 | 0.498926 | -0.57% | 0.5417 | +7.95% | 0.0680 | ✗ | 1.63 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.5242 | 0.520332 | -0.74% | 0.5018 | -4.27% | 0.0098 | ✓ | 1.62 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.51015 | 0.505735 | -0.87% | 0.5242 | +2.75% | 0.0978 | ✓ | 1.90 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.5374 | 0.528828 | -1.60% | 0.51015 | -5.07% | 0.1578 | ✓ | 2.33 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.3976 | 0.394818 | -0.70% | 0.5374 | +35.16% | 0.1988 | ✗ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.4054 | 0.402388 | -0.74% | 0.3976 | -1.92% | 0.0170 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.4192 | 0.41588 | -0.79% | 0.4054 | -3.29% | 0.0705 | ✓ | 1.75 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.4616 | 0.457379 | -0.91% | 0.4192 | -9.19% | 0.0822 | ✓ | 1.72 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.4469 | 0.442779 | -0.92% | 0.4616 | +3.29% | 0.0404 | ✗ | 1.72 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.44 | 0.435492 | -1.02% | 0.4469 | +1.57% | 0.0382 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.4319 | 0.427675 | -0.98% | 0.44 | +1.88% | 0.0280 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.41915 | 0.415031 | -0.98% | 0.4319 | +3.04% | 0.0431 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.4086 | 0.404455 | -1.01% | 0.41915 | +2.58% | 0.0462 | ✗ | 1.76 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.40445 | 0.400266 | -1.03% | 0.4086 | +1.03% | 0.0470 | ✗ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.4089 | 0.403941 | -1.21% | 0.40445 | -1.09% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.38965 | 0.385563 | -1.05% | 0.4089 | +4.94% | 0.0583 | ✗ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.39565 | 0.391296 | -1.10% | 0.38965 | -1.52% | 0.0220 | ✓ | 1.84 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.38465 | 0.380511 | -1.08% | 0.39565 | +2.86% | 0.0487 | ✗ | 1.86 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.385 | 0.38098 | -1.04% | 0.38465 | -0.09% | 0.0064 | ✓ | 1.86 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.40515 | 0.400785 | -1.08% | 0.385 | -4.97% | 0.0577 | ✓ | 1.91 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.4209 | 0.416228 | -1.11% | 0.40515 | -3.74% | 0.0260 | ✓ | 1.91 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.4414 | 0.436524 | -1.10% | 0.4209 | -4.64% | 0.0595 | ✓ | 1.98 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.4421 | 0.437266 | -1.09% | 0.4414 | -0.16% | 0.0114 | ✗ | 1.98 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.44585 | 0.440439 | -1.21% | 0.4421 | -0.84% | 0.0669 | ✗ | 2.12 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.496 | 0.48853 | -1.51% | 0.44585 | -10.11% | 0.1207 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.4515 | 0.446123 | -1.19% | 0.496 | +9.86% | 0.1042 | ✗ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.44995 | 0.444998 | -1.10% | 0.4515 | +0.34% | 0.0090 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.4815 | 0.47546 | -1.25% | 0.44995 | -6.55% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 2.25 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.5458 | 0.537226 | -1.57% | 0.4815 | -11.78% | 0.1501 | ✓ | 2.52 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.5818 | 0.569621 | -2.09% | 0.5458 | -6.19% | 0.0511 | ✓ | 2.54 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.5535 | 0.54249 | -1.99% | 0.5818 | +5.11% | 0.1101 | ✗ | 2.68 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.4747 | 0.466626 | -1.70% | 0.5535 | +16.60% | 0.2189 | ✗ | 3.05 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.3954 | 0.394113 | -0.33% | 0.4747 | +20.06% | 0.2070 | ✗ | 3.24 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.375 | 0.374805 | -0.05% | 0.3954 | +5.44% | 0.0106 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.3923 | 0.392011 | -0.07% | 0.375 | -4.41% | 0.0713 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.3954 | 0.395214 | -0.05% | 0.3923 | -0.78% | 0.0016 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.4476 | 0.446465 | -0.25% | 0.3954 | -11.66% | 0.1355 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.4905 | 0.488266 | -0.46% | 0.4476 | -8.75% | 0.0889 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.4868 | 0.48458 | -0.46% | 0.4905 | +0.76% | 0.0269 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.5268 | 0.523638 | -0.60% | 0.4868 | -7.59% | 0.0688 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.5264 | 0.523713 | -0.51% | 0.5268 | +0.08% | 0.0369 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.55705 | 0.553494 | -0.64% | 0.5264 | -5.50% | 0.0268 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.5811 | 0.577128 | -0.68% | 0.55705 | -4.14% | 0.0349 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.57485 | 0.571116 | -0.65% | 0.5811 | +1.09% | 0.0229 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.5845 | 0.580897 | -0.62% | 0.57485 | -1.65% | 0.0254 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.603 | 0.599244 | -0.62% | 0.5845 | -3.07% | 0.0399 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.6298 | 0.625458 | -0.69% | 0.603 | -4.26% | 0.0193 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.6573 | 0.652298 | -0.76% | 0.6298 | -4.18% | 0.0244 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.6457 | 0.640845 | -0.75% | 0.6573 | +1.80% | 0.0188 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.6332 | 0.628583 | -0.73% | 0.6457 | +1.97% | 0.0190 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.6217 | 0.617286 | -0.71% | 0.6332 | +1.85% | 0.0164 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.6877 | 0.681387 | -0.92% | 0.6217 | -9.60% | 0.1084 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.5835 | 0.579992 | -0.60% | 0.6877 | +17.86% | 0.1453 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.6483 | 0.643705 | -0.71% | 0.5835 | -10.00% | 0.1225 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.7829 | 0.772204 | -1.37% | 0.6483 | -17.19% | 0.1473 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.6058 | 0.601771 | -0.67% | 0.7829 | +29.23% | 0.2516 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.6924 | 0.686333 | -0.88% | 0.6058 | -12.51% | 0.1171 | ✓ | 1.00 |