PROLOGUE
Prologue · Robinhood · gru_s8
- token id
- #747
- symbol
- PROLOGUE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-30
- predictions
- 132
Track record at +7d
assessed
37
of 44 predictions shown
direction hit
67.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2458
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0320
actual -0.1660
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001409 | 0.001294 | -8.17% | – | pending | – | – | 3.56 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.001988 | 0.001903 | -4.29% | – | pending | – | – | 3.49 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003266 | 0.003249 | -0.51% | – | pending | – | – | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003638 | 0.003603 | -0.95% | – | pending | – | – | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003952 | 0.003905 | -1.20% | – | pending | – | – | 3.88 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.004829 | 0.004672 | -3.26% | – | pending | – | – | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.005071 | 0.004889 | -3.59% | – | pending | – | – | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.004854 | 0.004735 | -2.45% | 0.001409 | -70.96% | 1.2646 | ✓ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004327 | 0.004292 | -0.82% | 0.001988 | -54.06% | 0.7615 | ✓ | 4.08 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004935 | 0.004854 | -1.64% | 0.003266 | -33.82% | 0.4012 | ✓ | 4.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005705 | 0.00549 | -3.77% | 0.003638 | -36.25% | 0.3271 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.004834 | 0.004797 | -0.75% | 0.003952 | -18.24% | 0.1170 | ✓ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.004975 | 0.004945 | -0.60% | 0.004829 | -2.92% | 0.0289 | ✗ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005437 | 0.005379 | -1.07% | 0.005071 | -6.74% | 0.0811 | ✓ | 4.20 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005456 | 0.00539 | -1.19% | 0.004854 | -11.03% | 0.0152 | ✓ | 4.32 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005941 | 0.005796 | -2.46% | 0.004327 | -27.17% | 0.1647 | ✓ | 4.41 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005721 | 0.005614 | -1.87% | 0.004935 | -13.74% | 0.0832 | ✗ | 4.43 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005961 | 0.005828 | -2.23% | 0.005705 | -4.29% | 0.1264 | ✗ | 4.44 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005959 | 0.005853 | -1.78% | 0.004834 | -18.89% | 0.0921 | ✓ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006944 | 0.006764 | -2.59% | 0.004975 | -28.36% | 0.2006 | ✓ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007509 | 0.007294 | -2.87% | 0.005437 | -27.59% | 0.1224 | ✓ | 4.52 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.008083 | 0.007826 | -3.18% | 0.005456 | -32.51% | 0.3452 | ✓ | 4.65 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.007228 | 0.007033 | -2.70% | 0.005941 | -17.80% | 0.2738 | ✓ | 4.68 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00827 | 0.008013 | -3.10% | 0.005721 | -30.82% | 0.3641 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00852 | 0.008259 | -3.07% | 0.005961 | -30.03% | 0.3499 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.00893 | 0.008651 | -3.13% | 0.005959 | -33.27% | 0.3766 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010942 | 0.010482 | -4.21% | 0.006944 | -36.54% | 0.4166 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01306 | 0.012308 | -5.76% | 0.007509 | -42.50% | 0.4996 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.011093 | 0.010591 | -4.52% | 0.008083 | -27.13% | 0.2605 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.010161 | 0.009788 | -3.68% | 0.007228 | -28.86% | 0.2729 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.010187 | 0.0098 | -3.80% | 0.00827 | -18.82% | 0.1328 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.008994 | 0.008628 | -4.07% | 0.00852 | -5.27% | 0.0525 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.008861 | 0.008504 | -4.02% | 0.00893 | +0.78% | 0.0104 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.00998 | 0.00947 | -5.11% | 0.010942 | +9.64% | 0.1055 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.008086 | 0.007741 | -4.26% | 0.01306 | +61.51% | 0.4229 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.007527 | 0.00726 | -3.55% | 0.011093 | +47.38% | 0.3213 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.00747 | 0.007209 | -3.49% | 0.010161 | +36.02% | 0.2118 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009209 | 0.008762 | -4.85% | 0.010187 | +10.62% | 0.0484 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.007935 | 0.007614 | -4.04% | 0.008994 | +13.35% | 0.1113 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.008396 | 0.00802 | -4.48% | 0.008861 | +5.54% | 0.0496 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.008184 | 0.007816 | -4.50% | 0.00998 | +21.94% | 0.1980 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00674 | 0.0065 | -3.56% | 0.008086 | +19.97% | 0.2207 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.007021 | 0.006797 | -3.20% | 0.007527 | +7.20% | 0.1298 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.009219 | 0.008859 | -3.90% | 0.00747 | -18.97% | 0.1334 | ✓ | 1.00 |