POD
Dolphin · Base · gru_s8
- token id
- #186
- symbol
- POD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0xed664536023d8e4b1640c394777d34abaff1df8f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-05-11
- predictions
- 252
Track record at +1d
assessed
81
of 84 predictions shown
direction hit
51.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0984
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0067
actual +0.0082
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.5976 | 0.592615 | -0.83% | – | pending | – | – | 1.39 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.5995 | 0.59526 | -0.71% | 0.5976 | -0.32% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 1.39 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.6579 | 0.652006 | -0.90% | 0.5995 | -8.88% | 0.1030 | ✓ | 1.46 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.5335 | 0.530687 | -0.53% | 0.6579 | +23.32% | 0.1970 | ✗ | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.5441 | 0.541105 | -0.55% | 0.5335 | -1.95% | 0.0114 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.61085 | 0.606741 | -0.67% | 0.5441 | -10.93% | 0.1195 | ✓ | 1.38 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.6536 | 0.648641 | -0.76% | 0.61085 | -6.54% | 0.0580 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.7113 | 0.704921 | -0.90% | 0.6536 | -8.11% | 0.0654 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.7195 | 0.712535 | -0.97% | 0.7113 | -1.14% | 0.0108 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.66875 | 0.662862 | -0.88% | 0.7195 | +7.59% | 0.1089 | ✗ | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.68615 | 0.679466 | -0.97% | 0.66875 | -2.54% | 0.0404 | ✓ | 1.49 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.61085 | 0.605889 | -0.81% | 0.68615 | +12.33% | 0.1644 | ✗ | 1.71 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.59675 | 0.592118 | -0.78% | 0.61085 | +2.36% | 0.0154 | ✗ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.6003 | 0.595622 | -0.78% | 0.59675 | -0.59% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 1.71 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.5809 | 0.576773 | -0.71% | 0.6003 | +3.34% | 0.0224 | ✗ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.66895 | 0.663532 | -0.81% | 0.5809 | -13.16% | 0.1031 | ✓ | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.73025 | 0.72378 | -0.89% | 0.66895 | -8.39% | 0.0393 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.7983 | 0.790375 | -0.99% | 0.73025 | -8.52% | 0.0756 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.87205 | 0.860096 | -1.37% | 0.7983 | -8.46% | 0.0624 | ✓ | 1.38 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.78375 | 0.771316 | -1.59% | 0.87205 | +11.27% | 0.0960 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.56005 | 0.556001 | -0.72% | 0.78375 | +39.94% | 0.3397 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.42495 | 0.419916 | -1.18% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.3388 | 0.33502 | -1.12% | 0.42495 | +25.43% | 0.2377 | ✗ | 1.36 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.3664 | 0.362521 | -1.06% | 0.3388 | -7.53% | 0.0401 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.3979 | 0.393137 | -1.20% | 0.3664 | -7.92% | 0.0651 | ✓ | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.3583 | 0.353073 | -1.46% | 0.3979 | +11.05% | 0.0505 | ✗ | 1.06 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.3161 | 0.311997 | -1.30% | 0.3583 | +13.35% | 0.1393 | ✗ | 1.05 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.31685 | 0.312601 | -1.34% | 0.3161 | -0.24% | 0.0074 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.2885 | 0.285742 | -0.96% | 0.31685 | +9.83% | 0.0802 | ✗ | 0.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.2564 | 0.255341 | -0.41% | 0.2885 | +12.52% | 0.1207 | ✗ | 0.51 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.2937 | 0.291516 | -0.74% | 0.2564 | -12.70% | 0.1333 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.3089 | 0.305853 | -0.99% | 0.2937 | -4.92% | 0.0141 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.30325 | 0.30079 | -0.81% | 0.3089 | +1.86% | 0.0152 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.2928 | 0.291084 | -0.59% | 0.30325 | +3.57% | 0.0438 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.3036 | 0.301698 | -0.63% | 0.2928 | -3.56% | 0.0302 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.3418 | 0.337972 | -1.12% | 0.3036 | -11.18% | 0.1166 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.3149 | 0.31235 | -0.81% | 0.3418 | +8.54% | 0.1194 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.3033 | 0.301391 | -0.63% | 0.3149 | +3.82% | 0.0477 | ✗ | 1.86 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.2584 | 0.258391 | -0.00% | 0.3033 | +17.38% | 0.1763 | ✗ | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.2653 | 0.264951 | -0.13% | 0.2584 | -2.60% | 0.0047 | ✗ | 1.90 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.28175 | 0.281285 | -0.17% | 0.2653 | -5.84% | 0.0709 | ✓ | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.3224 | 0.321712 | -0.21% | 0.28175 | -12.61% | 0.1378 | ✓ | 2.62 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.3468 | 0.34635 | -0.13% | 0.3224 | -7.04% | 0.0203 | ✓ | 2.60 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.3219 | 0.322035 | +0.04% | 0.3468 | +7.74% | 0.0778 | ✗ | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.3456 | 0.345776 | +0.05% | 0.3219 | -6.86% | 0.0679 | ✗ | 3.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.3517 | 0.35197 | +0.08% | 0.3456 | -1.73% | 0.0139 | ✓ | 2.15 |
| 2026-06-26 | oos | 0.34005 | 0.337786 | -0.67% | – | pending | – | – | 2.52 |
| 2026-06-25 | oos | 0.2972 | 0.295744 | -0.49% | 0.34005 | +14.42% | 0.1274 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-06-24 | oos | 0.3087 | 0.306928 | -0.57% | 0.2972 | -3.73% | 0.0197 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-06-23 | oos | 0.3033 | 0.301566 | -0.57% | 0.3087 | +1.78% | 0.0914 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-06-22 | oos | 0.3263 | 0.323951 | -0.72% | 0.3033 | -7.05% | 0.0143 | ✓ | 2.50 |
| 2026-06-21 | oos | 0.3344 | 0.331543 | -0.85% | 0.3263 | -2.42% | 0.0448 | ✓ | 2.57 |
| 2026-06-20 | oos | 0.2912 | 0.289465 | -0.60% | 0.3344 | +14.84% | 0.1855 | ✗ | 2.66 |
| 2026-06-19 | oos | 0.3186 | 0.315993 | -0.82% | 0.2912 | -8.60% | 0.1146 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-06-18 | oos | 0.2782 | 0.276635 | -0.56% | 0.3186 | +14.52% | 0.1156 | ✗ | 2.72 |
| 2026-06-17 | oos | 0.2869 | 0.28511 | -0.62% | 0.2782 | -3.03% | 0.0430 | ✗ | 2.74 |
| 2026-06-16 | oos | 0.3279 | 0.32454 | -1.02% | 0.2869 | -12.50% | 0.0752 | ✓ | 2.67 |
| 2026-06-15 | oos | 0.2881 | 0.286055 | -0.71% | 0.3279 | +13.81% | 0.1636 | ✗ | 2.70 |
| 2026-06-14 | oos | 0.3328 | 0.329201 | -1.08% | 0.2881 | -13.43% | 0.1582 | ✓ | 2.88 |
| 2026-06-13 | oos | 0.3402 | 0.335234 | -1.46% | 0.3328 | -2.18% | 0.0672 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2026-06-12 | oos | 0.2506 | 0.249119 | -0.59% | 0.3402 | +35.75% | 0.2742 | ✗ | 2.69 |
| 2026-06-11 | oos | 0.2836 | 0.280718 | -1.02% | 0.2506 | -11.64% | 0.1124 | ✓ | 2.76 |
| 2026-06-10 | oos | 0.2301 | 0.229091 | -0.44% | 0.2836 | +23.25% | 0.1316 | ✗ | 2.42 |
| 2026-06-09 | oos | 0.2123 | 0.21179 | -0.24% | 0.2301 | +8.38% | 0.0868 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-08 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.213301 | -0.28% | 0.2123 | -0.75% | 0.0174 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-07 | oos | 0.2183 | 0.217556 | -0.34% | 0.2139 | -2.02% | 0.0132 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-06 | oos | 0.1647 | 0.165222 | +0.32% | 0.2183 | +32.54% | 0.2391 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-05 | oos | 0.1805 | 0.180932 | +0.24% | 0.1647 | -8.75% | 0.0910 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-04 | oos | 0.2083 | 0.208227 | -0.03% | 0.1805 | -13.35% | 0.0985 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-03 | oos | 0.263 | 0.261535 | -0.56% | 0.2083 | -20.80% | 0.2239 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-02 | oos | 0.2161 | 0.215778 | -0.15% | 0.263 | +21.70% | 0.2380 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-01 | oos | 0.2555 | 0.253756 | -0.68% | 0.2161 | -15.42% | 0.0931 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-31 | oos | 0.2595 | 0.257418 | -0.80% | 0.2555 | -1.54% | 0.0237 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-30 | oos | 0.2701 | 0.267476 | -0.97% | 0.2595 | -3.92% | 0.0276 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-29 | oos | 0.2474 | 0.245449 | -0.79% | 0.2701 | +9.18% | 0.0902 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-28 | oos | 0.2056 | 0.20492 | -0.33% | 0.2474 | +20.33% | 0.1904 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-27 | oos | 0.1846 | 0.184166 | -0.24% | 0.2056 | +11.38% | 0.1210 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-26 | oos | 0.2346 | 0.233266 | -0.57% | 0.1846 | -21.31% | 0.2139 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-25 | oos | 0.2073 | 0.206401 | -0.43% | 0.2346 | +13.17% | 0.1467 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-24 | oos | 0.2618 | 0.259994 | -0.69% | 0.2073 | -20.82% | 0.2300 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-23 | oos | 0.2748 | 0.272386 | -0.88% | 0.2618 | -4.73% | 0.0439 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-22 | oos | 0.205 | 0.204043 | -0.47% | 0.2748 | +34.05% | 0.2819 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-21 | oos | 0.2729 | 0.271339 | -0.57% | 0.205 | -24.88% | 0.2529 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-20 | oos | 0.2854 | 0.283709 | -0.59% | 0.2729 | -4.38% | 0.0398 | ✓ | 1.00 |