NXPC

Nexpace · native · gru_s8

token id: #128
symbol: NXPC
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-05-15
predictions: 1,548

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

53.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0272

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0045

actual -0.0022

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.16985	0.168437	-0.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-20	oos	0.16395	0.16299	-0.59%	0.16985	+3.60%	0.0435	✗	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	0.1543	0.154112	-0.12%	0.16395	+6.25%	0.0521	✗	0.73
2026-10-18	oos	0.1604	0.1601	-0.19%	0.1543	-3.80%	0.0354	✓	0.73
2026-10-17	oos	0.17375	0.172977	-0.45%	0.1604	-7.68%	0.0811	✓	0.74
2026-10-16	oos	0.1803	0.179501	-0.44%	0.17375	-3.63%	0.0315	✓	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	0.2088	0.206281	-1.21%	0.1803	-13.65%	0.1293	✓	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.19985	0.198295	-0.78%	0.2088	+4.48%	0.0469	✗	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.20695	0.205782	-0.56%	0.19985	-3.43%	0.0166	✓	0.68
2026-10-12	oos	0.2041	0.20226	-0.90%	0.20695	+1.40%	0.0118	✗	0.67
2026-10-11	oos	0.22075	0.219265	-0.67%	0.2041	-7.54%	0.0566	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.22145	0.219831	-0.73%	0.22075	-0.32%	0.0019	✓	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.218	0.21632	-0.77%	0.22145	+1.58%	0.0205	✗	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.21005	0.208853	-0.57%	0.218	+3.78%	0.0361	✗	0.66
2026-10-07	oos	0.21965	0.218065	-0.72%	0.21005	-4.37%	0.0253	✓	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.2337	0.232517	-0.51%	0.21965	-6.01%	0.0405	✓	0.61
2026-10-05	oos	0.2375	0.236207	-0.54%	0.2337	-1.60%	0.0092	✓	0.61
2026-10-04	oos	0.23555	0.234335	-0.52%	0.2375	+0.83%	0.0189	✗	0.62
2026-10-03	oos	0.23625	0.235019	-0.52%	0.23555	-0.30%	0.0107	✓	0.63
2026-10-02	oos	0.2364	0.23524	-0.49%	0.23625	-0.06%	0.0025	✓	0.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.23185	0.23085	-0.43%	0.2364	+1.96%	0.0263	✗	0.63
2026-09-30	oos	0.23215	0.23099	-0.50%	0.23185	-0.13%	0.0060	✓	0.63
2026-09-29	oos	0.23105	0.229807	-0.54%	0.23215	+0.48%	0.0108	✗	0.64
2026-09-28	oos	0.22985	0.228789	-0.46%	0.23105	+0.52%	0.0084	✗	0.64
2026-09-27	oos	0.25125	0.249643	-0.64%	0.22985	-8.52%	0.0755	✓	0.60
2026-09-26	oos	0.25525	0.253679	-0.62%	0.25125	-1.57%	0.0099	✓	0.60
2026-09-25	oos	0.25915	0.257347	-0.70%	0.25525	-1.50%	0.0105	✓	0.60
2026-09-24	oos	0.2528	0.251055	-0.69%	0.25915	+2.51%	0.0339	✗	0.61
2026-09-23	oos	0.2439	0.241541	-0.97%	0.2528	+3.65%	0.0455	✗	0.62
2026-09-22	oos	0.2501	0.247602	-1.00%	0.2439	-2.48%	0.0015	✓	0.64
2026-09-21	oos	0.23475	0.233503	-0.53%	0.2501	+6.54%	0.0718	✗	0.67
2026-09-20	oos	0.22315	0.221857	-0.58%	0.23475	+5.20%	0.0145	✗	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.2278	0.226098	-0.75%	0.22315	-2.04%	0.0125	✓	0.65
2026-09-18	oos	0.22645	0.224156	-1.01%	0.2278	+0.60%	0.0132	✗	0.66
2026-09-17	oos	0.21435	0.213029	-0.62%	0.22645	+5.64%	0.0252	✗	0.62
2026-09-16	oos	0.2123	0.211561	-0.35%	0.21435	+0.97%	0.0115	✗	0.62
2026-09-15	oos	0.21095	0.209891	-0.50%	0.2123	+0.64%	0.0069	✗	0.61
2026-09-14	oos	0.2135	0.212108	-0.65%	0.21095	-1.19%	0.0154	✗	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.2123	0.211301	-0.47%	0.2135	+0.57%	0.0008	✓	0.63
2026-09-12	oos	0.2137	0.212864	-0.39%	0.2123	-0.66%	0.0011	✓	0.63
2026-09-11	oos	0.2065	0.206072	-0.21%	0.2137	+3.49%	0.0359	✗	0.63
2026-09-10	oos	0.2009	0.200129	-0.38%	0.2065	+2.79%	0.0258	✗	0.63
2026-09-09	oos	0.2179	0.216904	-0.46%	0.2009	-7.80%	0.0633	✓	0.59
2026-09-08	oos	0.21245	0.211998	-0.21%	0.2179	+2.57%	0.0288	✗	0.62
2026-09-07	oos	0.2077	0.207425	-0.13%	0.21245	+2.29%	0.0290	✗	0.62
2026-09-06	oos	0.20925	0.20912	-0.06%	0.2077	-0.74%	0.0030	✗	0.62
2026-09-05	oos	0.20925	0.209201	-0.02%	0.20925	+0.00%	0.0036	✓	0.60
2026-09-04	oos	0.2075	0.207394	-0.05%	0.20925	+0.84%	0.0076	✗	0.65
2026-09-03	oos	0.2044	0.204401	+0.00%	0.2075	+1.52%	0.0290	✓	0.71
2026-09-02	oos	0.1978	0.197646	-0.08%	0.2044	+3.34%	0.0048	✓	0.77
2026-09-01	oos	0.20225	0.202092	-0.08%	0.1978	-2.20%	0.0206	✓	0.77
2026-08-31	oos	0.2058	0.205743	-0.03%	0.20225	-1.72%	0.0064	✓	0.72
2026-08-30	oos	0.20305	0.202826	-0.11%	0.2058	+1.35%	0.0075	✗	0.62
2026-08-29	oos	0.20745	0.207155	-0.14%	0.20305	-2.12%	0.0157	✓	0.59
2026-08-28	oos	0.2117	0.211181	-0.25%	0.20745	-2.01%	0.0208	✓	0.59
2026-08-27	oos	0.21225	0.211394	-0.40%	0.2117	-0.26%	0.0204	✗	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	0.2026	0.201867	-0.36%	0.21225	+4.76%	0.0408	✗	0.59
2026-08-25	oos	0.1974	0.196937	-0.23%	0.2026	+2.63%	0.0247	✗	0.57
2026-08-24	oos	0.2054	0.204541	-0.42%	0.1974	-3.89%	0.0322	✓	0.57
2026-08-23	oos	0.21475	0.213811	-0.44%	0.2054	-4.35%	0.0493	✓	0.57
2026-08-22	oos	0.2144	0.213159	-0.58%	0.21475	+0.16%	0.0024	✓	0.58
2026-08-21	oos	0.2238	0.221366	-1.09%	0.2144	-4.20%	0.0227	✓	0.57
2026-08-20	oos	0.21315	0.211592	-0.73%	0.2238	+5.00%	0.0166	✗	0.56
2026-08-19	oos	0.21085	0.209011	-0.87%	0.21315	+1.09%	0.0094	✓	0.56
2026-08-18	oos	0.207	0.205748	-0.60%	0.21085	+1.86%	0.0166	✓	0.60
2026-08-17	oos	0.20595	0.204408	-0.75%	0.207	+0.51%	0.0107	✗	0.61
2026-08-16	oos	0.19605	0.195393	-0.34%	0.20595	+5.05%	0.0379	✗	0.57
2026-08-15	oos	0.19415	0.193698	-0.23%	0.19605	+0.98%	0.0137	✗	0.57
2026-08-14	oos	0.18295	0.1826	-0.19%	0.19415	+6.12%	0.0609	✗	0.57
2026-08-13	oos	0.17885	0.178554	-0.17%	0.18295	+2.29%	0.0284	✗	0.57
2026-08-12	oos	0.1886	0.18819	-0.22%	0.17885	-5.17%	0.0510	✓	0.61
2026-08-11	oos	0.21435	0.213514	-0.39%	0.1886	-12.01%	0.1228	✓	0.67
2026-08-10	oos	0.226	0.224866	-0.50%	0.21435	-5.15%	0.0441	✓	0.64
2026-08-09	oos	0.2321	0.230658	-0.62%	0.226	-2.63%	0.0109	✓	0.65
2026-08-08	oos	0.2375	0.235773	-0.73%	0.2321	-2.27%	0.0151	✓	0.66
2026-08-07	oos	0.23625	0.234163	-0.88%	0.2375	+0.53%	0.0140	✗	0.67
2026-08-06	oos	0.2374	0.236246	-0.49%	0.23625	-0.48%	0.0065	✓	0.67
2026-08-05	oos	0.237	0.236011	-0.42%	0.2374	+0.17%	0.0094	✗	0.68
2026-08-04	oos	0.2397	0.238575	-0.47%	0.237	-1.13%	0.0121	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.23855	0.23706	-0.62%	0.2397	+0.48%	0.0051	✓	0.65
2026-08-02	oos	0.24135	0.240404	-0.39%	0.23855	-1.16%	0.0074	✓	0.65
2026-08-01	oos	0.2472	0.246239	-0.39%	0.24135	-2.37%	0.0278	✓	0.66
2026-07-31	oos	0.2507	0.249685	-0.40%	0.2472	-1.40%	0.0094	✓	0.66
2026-07-30	oos	0.2482	0.247181	-0.41%	0.2507	+1.01%	0.0348	✗	0.70
2026-07-29	oos	0.2455	0.244762	-0.30%	0.2482	+1.10%	0.0054	✗	0.66
2026-07-28	oos	0.265	0.263906	-0.41%	0.2455	-7.36%	0.0728	✓	0.67
2026-07-27	oos	0.2701	0.268752	-0.50%	0.265	-1.89%	0.0157	✓	0.67
2026-07-26	oos	0.2573	0.256456	-0.33%	0.2701	+4.97%	0.0701	✗	0.71
2026-07-25	oos	0.25935	0.258397	-0.37%	0.2573	-0.79%	0.0161	✓	0.73
2026-07-24	oos	0.2601	0.259073	-0.39%	0.25935	-0.29%	0.0013	✓	0.73
2026-07-23	oos	0.25695	0.255966	-0.38%	0.2601	+1.23%	0.0271	✗	0.74
2026-07-22	oos	0.25715	0.256146	-0.39%	0.25695	-0.08%	0.0148	✗	0.74
2026-07-21	oos	0.2445	0.243572	-0.38%	0.25715	+5.17%	0.0591	✗	0.75
2026-07-20	oos	0.24215	0.240829	-0.55%	0.2445	+0.97%	0.0008	✓	0.72
2026-07-19	oos	0.2427	0.241735	-0.40%	0.24215	-0.23%	0.0042	✓	0.73
2026-07-18	oos	0.24965	0.248552	-0.44%	0.2427	-2.78%	0.0225	✓	0.73
2026-07-17	oos	0.2505	0.249536	-0.38%	0.24965	-0.34%	0.0096	✓	0.72
2026-07-16	oos	0.25445	0.253399	-0.41%	0.2505	-1.55%	0.0129	✓	0.73
2026-07-15	oos	0.25695	0.25538	-0.61%	0.25445	-0.97%	0.0070	✗	0.72
2026-07-14	oos	0.25805	0.25717	-0.34%	0.25695	-0.43%	0.0022	✓	0.73
2026-07-13	oos	0.2491	0.248134	-0.39%	0.25805	+3.59%	0.0082	✗	0.72
2026-07-12	oos	0.26	0.258751	-0.48%	0.2491	-4.19%	0.0215	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	0.2634	0.262332	-0.41%	0.26	-1.29%	0.0086	✓	0.68
2026-07-10	oos	0.2669	0.265741	-0.43%	0.2634	-1.31%	0.0050	✓	0.69
2026-07-09	oos	0.2684	0.267107	-0.48%	0.2669	-0.56%	0.0112	✓	0.69
2026-07-08	oos	0.2569	0.255431	-0.57%	0.2684	+4.48%	0.0394	✗	0.68
2026-07-07	oos	0.2599	0.258965	-0.36%	0.2569	-1.15%	0.0037	✗	0.68
2026-07-06	oos	0.26715	0.265968	-0.44%	0.2599	-2.71%	0.0159	✓	0.67
2026-07-05	oos	0.26885	0.2677	-0.43%	0.26715	-0.63%	0.0065	✓	0.68
2026-07-04	oos	0.27615	0.274868	-0.46%	0.26885	-2.64%	0.0275	✓	0.69
2026-07-03	oos	0.2783	0.277046	-0.45%	0.27615	-0.77%	0.0093	✓	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	0.27285	0.271614	-0.45%	0.2783	+2.00%	0.0132	✗	0.67
2026-07-01	oos	0.2688	0.267656	-0.43%	0.27285	+1.51%	0.0024	✓	0.67
2026-06-30	oos	0.2648	0.263798	-0.38%	0.2688	+1.51%	0.0028	✓	0.66
2026-06-29	oos	0.2669	0.265348	-0.58%	0.2648	-0.79%	0.0163	✗	0.66
2026-06-28	oos	0.2612	0.260462	-0.28%	0.2669	+2.18%	0.0169	✗	0.65
2026-06-27	oos	0.26685	0.266142	-0.27%	0.2612	-2.12%	0.0137	✓	0.65
2026-06-26	oos	0.2754	0.274654	-0.27%	0.26685	-3.10%	0.0281	✓	0.65
2026-06-25	oos	0.26805	0.267401	-0.24%	0.2754	+2.74%	0.0262	✗	0.65
2026-06-24	oos	0.2828	0.281895	-0.32%	0.26805	-5.22%	0.0372	✓	0.62
2026-06-23	oos	0.2969	0.295702	-0.40%	0.2828	-4.75%	0.0281	✓	0.62
2026-06-22	oos	0.30115	0.299867	-0.43%	0.2969	-1.41%	0.0028	✓	0.62
2026-06-21	oos	0.2973	0.296221	-0.36%	0.30115	+1.29%	0.0095	✗	0.62
2026-06-20	oos	0.3105	0.30908	-0.46%	0.2973	-4.25%	0.0293	✓	0.62
2026-06-19	oos	0.31175	0.310499	-0.40%	0.3105	-0.40%	0.0072	✓	0.62
2026-06-18	oos	0.3233	0.322004	-0.40%	0.31175	-3.57%	0.0384	✓	0.64
2026-06-17	oos	0.32895	0.327418	-0.47%	0.3233	-1.72%	0.0028	✓	0.63
2026-06-16	oos	0.32995	0.328206	-0.53%	0.32895	-0.30%	0.0133	✗	0.62
2026-06-15	oos	0.3466	0.344608	-0.57%	0.32995	-4.80%	0.0377	✓	0.57
2026-06-14	oos	0.3584	0.35644	-0.55%	0.3466	-3.29%	0.0330	✓	0.58
2026-06-13	oos	0.3533	0.351204	-0.59%	0.3584	+1.44%	0.0087	✗	0.59
2026-06-12	oos	0.3498	0.348164	-0.47%	0.3533	+1.00%	0.0067	✗	0.57
2026-06-11	oos	0.3839	0.381114	-0.73%	0.3498	-8.88%	0.0855	✓	0.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.3697	0.367868	-0.50%	0.3839	+3.84%	0.0236	✗	0.56
2026-06-09	oos	0.35515	0.353861	-0.36%	0.3697	+4.10%	0.0460	✗	0.57
2026-06-08	oos	0.3623	0.360505	-0.50%	0.35515	-1.97%	0.0026	✓	0.56
2026-06-07	oos	0.3306	0.329623	-0.30%	0.3623	+9.59%	0.0967	✗	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.3107	0.310451	-0.08%	0.3306	+6.40%	0.0428	✗	0.51
2026-06-05	oos	0.3762	0.374911	-0.34%	0.3107	-17.41%	0.1864	✓	0.50
2026-06-04	oos	0.4126	0.410659	-0.47%	0.3762	-8.82%	0.0693	✓	0.41
2026-06-03	oos	0.432	0.429581	-0.56%	0.4126	-4.49%	0.0388	✓	0.42
2026-06-02	oos	0.4285	0.424954	-0.83%	0.432	+0.82%	0.0332	✗	0.42
2026-06-01	oos	0.4286	0.425466	-0.73%	0.4285	-0.02%	0.0374	✗	0.45
2026-05-31	oos	0.42685	0.423575	-0.77%	0.4286	+0.41%	0.0263	✗	0.47
2026-05-30	oos	0.41585	0.412366	-0.84%	0.42685	+2.65%	0.0358	✗	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.39675	0.394011	-0.69%	0.41585	+4.81%	0.0513	✗	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.383	0.380221	-0.73%	0.39675	+3.59%	0.0435	✗	0.49
2026-05-27	oos	0.36445	0.361887	-0.70%	0.383	+5.09%	0.0621	✗	0.49
2026-05-26	oos	0.37475	0.371349	-0.91%	0.36445	-2.75%	0.0090	✓	0.48
2026-05-25	oos	0.3688	0.366141	-0.72%	0.37475	+1.61%	0.0326	✗	0.51
2026-05-24	oos	0.3563	0.353839	-0.69%	0.3688	+3.51%	0.0396	✗	0.50
2026-05-23	oos	0.35115	0.348269	-0.82%	0.3563	+1.47%	0.0206	✗	0.51
2026-05-22	oos	0.3327	0.330526	-0.65%	0.35115	+5.55%	0.0527	✗	0.49
2026-05-21	oos	0.32735	0.325127	-0.68%	0.3327	+1.63%	0.0371	✗	0.51
2026-05-20	oos	0.3242	0.321429	-0.85%	0.32735	+0.97%	0.0178	✗	0.53
2026-05-19	oos	0.3142	0.312744	-0.46%	0.3242	+3.18%	0.0312	✗	0.52
2026-05-18	oos	0.32435	0.322984	-0.42%	0.3142	-3.13%	0.0263	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.33155	0.32998	-0.47%	0.32435	-2.17%	0.0140	✓	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.3396	0.337978	-0.48%	0.33155	-2.37%	0.0145	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.33935	0.337746	-0.47%	0.3396	+0.07%	0.0122	✗	0.55
2026-05-14	oos	0.3608	0.357851	-0.82%	0.33935	-5.95%	0.0398	✓	0.52
2026-05-13	oos	0.3349	0.332731	-0.65%	0.3608	+7.73%	0.0694	✗	0.52
2026-05-12	oos	0.32225	0.321339	-0.28%	0.3349	+3.93%	0.0491	✗	0.52
2026-05-11	oos	0.3415	0.340215	-0.38%	0.32225	-5.64%	0.0464	✓	0.51
2026-05-10	oos	0.351	0.349299	-0.48%	0.3415	-2.71%	0.0194	✓	0.55
2026-05-09	oos	0.3403	0.338729	-0.46%	0.351	+3.14%	0.0254	✗	0.53
2026-05-08	oos	0.3409	0.338551	-0.69%	0.3403	-0.18%	0.0022	✓	0.51
2026-05-07	oos	0.33195	0.33058	-0.41%	0.3409	+2.70%	0.0295	✗	0.53
2026-05-06	oos	0.3081	0.30741	-0.22%	0.33195	+7.74%	0.0859	✗	0.51
2026-05-05	oos	0.29865	0.298018	-0.21%	0.3081	+3.16%	0.0283	✗	0.76
2026-05-04	oos	0.296	0.295138	-0.29%	0.29865	+0.90%	0.0020	✓	0.75
2026-05-03	oos	0.2932	0.29268	-0.18%	0.296	+0.95%	0.0007	✓	0.73
2026-05-02	oos	0.2969	0.296304	-0.20%	0.2932	-1.25%	0.0094	✓	0.74
2026-05-01	oos	0.2905	0.289937	-0.19%	0.2969	+2.20%	0.0195	✗	0.74
2026-04-30	oos	0.29555	0.294584	-0.33%	0.2905	-1.71%	0.0321	✓	0.73
2026-04-29	oos	0.2971	0.296168	-0.31%	0.29555	-0.52%	0.0074	✓	0.73
2026-04-28	oos	0.2984	0.297499	-0.30%	0.2971	-0.44%	0.0040	✗	0.71
2026-04-27	oos	0.2949	0.294241	-0.22%	0.2984	+1.19%	0.0238	✗	0.72
2026-04-26	oos	0.3035	0.302812	-0.23%	0.2949	-2.83%	0.0145	✓	0.72
2026-04-25	oos	0.3064	0.305414	-0.32%	0.3035	-0.95%	0.0158	✓	0.73
2026-04-24	oos	0.29915	0.298142	-0.34%	0.3064	+2.42%	0.0255	✗	0.74
2026-04-23	oos	0.29525	0.294233	-0.34%	0.29915	+1.32%	0.0243	✗	0.74
2026-04-22	oos	0.2968	0.295757	-0.35%	0.29525	-0.52%	0.0024	✓	0.74
2026-04-21	oos	0.30045	0.299136	-0.44%	0.2968	-1.21%	0.0258	✓	0.75
2026-04-20	oos	0.30085	0.299355	-0.50%	0.30045	-0.13%	0.0012	✓	0.76
2026-04-19	oos	0.29295	0.291329	-0.55%	0.30085	+2.70%	0.0118	✗	0.75
2026-04-18	oos	0.2905	0.289327	-0.40%	0.29295	+0.84%	0.0319	✗	0.76
2026-04-17	oos	0.298	0.29667	-0.45%	0.2905	-2.52%	0.0074	✓	0.77
2026-04-16	oos	0.2947	0.293229	-0.50%	0.298	+1.12%	0.0034	✓	0.77
2026-04-15	oos	0.2843	0.282721	-0.56%	0.2947	+3.66%	0.0382	✗	0.77
2026-04-14	oos	0.2809	0.279765	-0.40%	0.2843	+1.21%	0.0093	✗	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	0.2854	0.284161	-0.43%	0.2809	-1.58%	0.0088	✓	0.76
2026-04-12	oos	0.27995	0.278587	-0.49%	0.2854	+1.95%	0.0152	✓	0.77
2026-04-11	oos	0.2891	0.287636	-0.51%	0.27995	-3.16%	0.0021	✓	0.77
2026-04-10	oos	0.29295	0.291561	-0.47%	0.2891	-1.31%	0.0094	✓	0.77
2026-04-09	oos	0.2887	0.287186	-0.52%	0.29295	+1.47%	0.0071	✗	0.77
2026-04-08	oos	0.28675	0.285366	-0.48%	0.2887	+0.68%	0.0040	✓	0.77
2026-04-07	oos	0.2897	0.288274	-0.49%	0.28675	-1.02%	0.0035	✓	0.77
2026-04-06	oos	0.28035	0.278895	-0.52%	0.2897	+3.34%	0.0044	✓	0.77
2026-04-05	oos	0.2805	0.278327	-0.77%	0.28035	-0.05%	0.0089	✗	0.77
2026-04-04	oos	0.2821	0.280877	-0.43%	0.2805	-0.57%	0.0210	✓	0.78
2026-04-03	oos	0.28545	0.284066	-0.49%	0.2821	-1.17%	0.0108	✓	0.78
2026-04-02	oos	0.28435	0.282585	-0.62%	0.28545	+0.39%	0.0093	✗	0.78
2026-04-01	oos	0.27965	0.278432	-0.44%	0.28435	+1.68%	0.0353	✗	0.79
2026-03-31	oos	0.27795	0.276686	-0.45%	0.27965	+0.61%	0.0119	✗	0.80
2026-03-30	oos	0.2778	0.276463	-0.48%	0.27795	+0.05%	0.0125	✓	0.81
2026-03-29	oos	0.27115	0.26984	-0.48%	0.2778	+2.45%	0.0196	✗	0.80
2026-03-28	oos	0.2746	0.273312	-0.47%	0.27115	-1.26%	0.0035	✓	0.80
2026-03-27	oos	0.27685	0.275672	-0.43%	0.2746	-0.81%	0.0035	✓	0.80
2026-03-26	oos	0.28225	0.281037	-0.43%	0.27685	-1.91%	0.0139	✗	0.81
2026-03-25	oos	0.2933	0.291691	-0.55%	0.28225	-3.77%	0.0038	✓	0.81
2026-03-24	oos	0.28945	0.288074	-0.48%	0.2933	+1.33%	0.0093	✗	0.81
2026-03-23	oos	0.3037	0.302037	-0.55%	0.28945	-4.69%	0.0387	✓	0.80
2026-03-22	oos	0.29255	0.29029	-0.77%	0.3037	+3.81%	0.0101	✗	0.80
2026-03-21	oos	0.2938	0.292525	-0.43%	0.29255	-0.43%	0.0126	✗	0.80
2026-03-20	oos	0.3009	0.299443	-0.48%	0.2938	-2.36%	0.0008	✓	0.80
2026-03-19	oos	0.3062	0.304063	-0.70%	0.3009	-1.73%	0.0171	✓	0.80
2026-03-18	oos	0.2984	0.295136	-1.09%	0.3062	+2.61%	0.0523	✗	0.82
2026-03-17	oos	0.2953	0.294434	-0.29%	0.2984	+1.05%	0.0446	✗	0.84
2026-03-16	oos	0.294	0.292996	-0.34%	0.2953	+0.44%	0.0187	✗	0.85
2026-03-15	oos	0.2858	0.284965	-0.29%	0.294	+2.87%	0.0074	✗	0.85
2026-03-14	oos	0.29	0.289129	-0.30%	0.2858	-1.45%	0.0315	✓	0.90
2026-03-13	oos	0.2895	0.288628	-0.30%	0.29	+0.17%	0.0010	✓	0.92
2026-03-12	oos	0.28125	0.280421	-0.29%	0.2895	+2.93%	0.0265	✗	0.91
2026-03-11	oos	0.27825	0.277491	-0.27%	0.28125	+1.08%	0.0093	✗	0.91
2026-03-10	oos	0.27755	0.276962	-0.21%	0.27825	+0.25%	0.0014	✓	0.91
2026-03-09	oos	0.2755	0.274919	-0.21%	0.27755	+0.74%	0.0107	✓	0.92
2026-03-08	oos	0.2725	0.271926	-0.21%	0.2755	+1.10%	0.0209	✓	0.93
2026-03-07	oos	0.27555	0.274856	-0.25%	0.2725	-1.11%	0.0094	✗	0.93
2026-03-06	oos	0.2789	0.278228	-0.24%	0.27555	-1.20%	0.0019	✓	0.92
2026-03-05	oos	0.28435	0.283551	-0.28%	0.2789	-1.92%	0.0208	✗	0.93
2026-03-04	oos	0.27715	0.276366	-0.28%	0.28435	+2.60%	0.0517	✗	0.93
2026-03-03	oos	0.27075	0.270211	-0.20%	0.27715	+2.36%	0.0327	✓	0.94
2026-03-02	oos	0.27645	0.275863	-0.21%	0.27075	-2.06%	0.0121	✓	0.92
2026-03-01	oos	0.26875	0.268322	-0.16%	0.27645	+2.87%	0.0117	✓	0.91
2026-02-28	oos	0.2802	0.279601	-0.21%	0.26875	-4.09%	0.0231	✓	0.91
2026-02-27	oos	0.27575	0.275258	-0.18%	0.2802	+1.61%	0.0026	✗	0.91
2026-02-26	oos	0.2721	0.271622	-0.18%	0.27575	+1.34%	0.0376	✗	0.92
2026-02-25	oos	0.2758	0.27525	-0.20%	0.2721	-1.34%	0.0047	✓	0.92
2026-02-24	oos	0.2652	0.264861	-0.13%	0.2758	+4.00%	0.0155	✓	0.94
2026-02-23	oos	0.265	0.264648	-0.13%	0.2652	+0.08%	0.0100	✗	0.91
2026-02-22	oos	0.2718	0.271199	-0.22%	0.265	-2.50%	0.0188	✗	0.93
2026-02-21	oos	0.26925	0.268822	-0.16%	0.2718	+0.95%	0.0156	✗	0.92
2026-02-20	oos	0.2766	0.275993	-0.22%	0.26925	-2.66%	0.0243	✓	0.93
2026-02-19	oos	0.2568	0.256543	-0.10%	0.2766	+7.71%	0.0616	✗	0.91
2026-02-18	oos	0.2632	0.262889	-0.12%	0.2568	-2.43%	0.0310	✓	0.92
2026-02-17	oos	0.27485	0.274315	-0.19%	0.2632	-4.24%	0.0285	✓	0.82
2026-02-16	oos	0.2772	0.276579	-0.22%	0.27485	-0.85%	0.0107	✗	0.83
2026-02-15	oos	0.2687	0.26818	-0.19%	0.2772	+3.16%	0.0323	✗	0.86
2026-02-14	oos	0.289	0.288021	-0.34%	0.2687	-7.02%	0.0572	✓	0.85
2026-02-13	oos	0.2837	0.283054	-0.23%	0.289	+1.87%	0.0087	✗	0.86
2026-02-12	oos	0.27035	0.270155	-0.07%	0.2837	+4.94%	0.0163	✗	0.84
2026-02-11	oos	0.2583	0.258172	-0.05%	0.27035	+4.67%	0.0562	✗	0.82
2026-02-10	oos	0.2658	0.265452	-0.13%	0.2583	-2.82%	0.0054	✓	0.84
2026-02-09	oos	0.2927	0.292067	-0.22%	0.2658	-9.19%	0.0790	✓	0.82
2026-02-08	oos	0.2806	0.28015	-0.16%	0.2927	+4.31%	0.0458	✗	0.80
2026-02-07	oos	0.3002	0.299694	-0.17%	0.2806	-6.53%	0.0781	✓	0.83
2026-02-06	oos	0.3127	0.311721	-0.31%	0.3002	-4.00%	0.0226	✓	0.82
2026-02-05	oos	0.3005	0.300964	+0.15%	0.3127	+4.06%	0.0696	✗	0.93
2026-02-04	oos	0.36945	0.368246	-0.33%	0.3005	-18.66%	0.0919	✓	0.74
2026-02-03	oos	0.37555	0.373929	-0.43%	0.36945	-1.62%	0.0145	✗	0.74
2026-02-02	oos	0.3761	0.374231	-0.50%	0.37555	-0.15%	0.0337	✗	0.77
2026-02-01	oos	0.3661	0.364599	-0.41%	0.3761	+2.73%	0.0135	✗	0.77
2026-01-31	oos	0.3761	0.374094	-0.53%	0.3661	-2.66%	0.0030	✓	0.83
2026-01-30	oos	0.38595	0.382635	-0.86%	0.3761	-2.55%	0.0410	✗	0.87
2026-01-29	oos	0.3637	0.361429	-0.62%	0.38595	+6.12%	0.0698	✗	0.87
2026-01-28	oos	0.37105	0.369083	-0.53%	0.3637	-1.98%	0.0336	✗	0.90
2026-01-27	oos	0.3782	0.376192	-0.53%	0.37105	-1.89%	0.0142	✓	0.92
2026-01-26	oos	0.3727	0.370565	-0.57%	0.3782	+1.48%	0.0114	✗	0.92
2026-01-25	oos	0.35515	0.353161	-0.56%	0.3727	+4.94%	0.0365	✗	0.90
2026-01-24	oos	0.3788	0.376493	-0.61%	0.35515	-6.24%	0.0334	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.3558	0.354263	-0.43%	0.3788	+6.46%	0.0708	✗	0.88
2026-01-22	oos	0.3517	0.350201	-0.43%	0.3558	+1.17%	0.0157	✗	0.89
2026-01-21	oos	0.35155	0.350064	-0.42%	0.3517	+0.04%	0.0037	✓	0.89
2026-01-20	oos	0.33185	0.330614	-0.37%	0.35155	+5.94%	0.0509	✗	0.89
2026-01-19	oos	0.3384	0.336971	-0.42%	0.33185	-1.94%	0.0277	✗	0.92
2026-01-18	oos	0.371	0.369272	-0.47%	0.3384	-8.79%	0.0769	✓	0.90
2026-01-17	oos	0.3928	0.390648	-0.55%	0.371	-5.55%	0.0376	✓	0.89
2026-01-16	oos	0.37775	0.375216	-0.67%	0.3928	+3.98%	0.0495	✗	0.90
2026-01-15	oos	0.382	0.38019	-0.47%	0.37775	-1.11%	0.0057	✓	0.90
2026-01-14	oos	0.3868	0.384491	-0.60%	0.382	-1.24%	0.0063	✗	0.90
2026-01-13	oos	0.39715	0.3951	-0.52%	0.3868	-2.61%	0.0367	✓	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.37965	0.377493	-0.57%	0.39715	+4.61%	0.0073	✗	0.97
2026-01-11	oos	0.3837	0.381615	-0.54%	0.37965	-1.06%	0.0086	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.39095	0.389013	-0.50%	0.3837	-1.85%	0.0192	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.3956	0.393682	-0.48%	0.39095	-1.18%	0.0053	✓	1.08
2026-01-08	oos	0.3871	0.385096	-0.52%	0.3956	+2.20%	0.0330	✗	1.09
2026-01-07	oos	0.3861	0.384198	-0.49%	0.3871	+0.26%	0.0118	✗	1.53
2026-01-06	oos	0.4036	0.401549	-0.51%	0.3861	-4.34%	0.0012	✓	1.53
2026-01-05	oos	0.3984	0.396587	-0.46%	0.4036	+1.31%	0.0199	✗	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.3919	0.390007	-0.48%	0.3984	+1.66%	0.0182	✓	1.54
2026-01-03	oos	0.3893	0.387582	-0.44%	0.3919	+0.67%	0.0042	✓	1.55
2026-01-02	oos	0.3907	0.388912	-0.46%	0.3893	-0.36%	0.0100	✓	1.55
2026-01-01	oos	0.3747	0.373239	-0.39%	0.3907	+4.27%	0.0248	✗	1.53
2025-12-31	oos	0.3528	0.351837	-0.27%	0.3747	+6.21%	0.0415	✗	1.52
2025-12-30	oos	0.3687	0.367454	-0.34%	0.3528	-4.31%	0.0252	✓	1.51
2025-12-29	oos	0.37165	0.370472	-0.32%	0.3687	-0.79%	0.0271	✓	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.37905	0.377694	-0.36%	0.37165	-1.95%	0.0028	✓	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.3852	0.383878	-0.34%	0.37905	-1.60%	0.0138	✓	1.49
2025-12-26	oos	0.38	0.378886	-0.29%	0.3852	+1.37%	0.0079	✗	1.48
2025-12-25	oos	0.37525	0.374346	-0.24%	0.38	+1.27%	0.0129	✗	1.48
2025-12-24	oos	0.3825	0.38145	-0.27%	0.37525	-1.90%	0.0090	✓	1.48
2025-12-23	oos	0.3796	0.378717	-0.23%	0.3825	+0.76%	0.0068	✗	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.38065	0.379719	-0.24%	0.3796	-0.28%	0.0191	✗	1.52
2025-12-21	oos	0.3792	0.378281	-0.24%	0.38065	+0.38%	0.0077	✗	1.52
2025-12-20	oos	0.3859	0.384947	-0.25%	0.3792	-1.74%	0.0205	✓	1.54
2025-12-19	oos	0.3814	0.380575	-0.22%	0.3859	+1.18%	0.0099	✗	1.54
2025-12-18	oos	0.364	0.363617	-0.11%	0.3814	+4.78%	0.0010	✓	1.54
2025-12-17	oos	0.3759	0.375268	-0.17%	0.364	-3.17%	0.0170	✓	1.54
2025-12-16	oos	0.3936	0.392603	-0.25%	0.3759	-4.50%	0.0144	✓	1.54
2025-12-15	oos	0.37875	0.37782	-0.25%	0.3936	+3.92%	0.0157	✗	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.4455	0.443686	-0.41%	0.37875	-14.98%	0.1286	✓	1.48
2025-12-13	oos	0.4965	0.493706	-0.56%	0.4455	-10.27%	0.0691	✓	1.44
2025-12-12	oos	0.49	0.487408	-0.53%	0.4965	+1.33%	0.0188	✗	1.44
2025-12-11	oos	0.49465	0.49201	-0.53%	0.49	-0.94%	0.0320	✗	1.46
2025-12-10	oos	0.4831	0.480603	-0.52%	0.49465	+2.39%	0.0208	✗	1.46
2025-12-09	oos	0.50045	0.4976	-0.57%	0.4831	-3.47%	0.0194	✓	1.44
2025-12-08	oos	0.49095	0.488232	-0.55%	0.50045	+1.94%	0.0072	✓	1.43
2025-12-07	oos	0.465	0.462545	-0.53%	0.49095	+5.58%	0.0556	✗	1.43
2025-12-06	oos	0.4865	0.48373	-0.57%	0.465	-4.42%	0.0578	✓	1.45
2025-12-05	oos	0.4809	0.477514	-0.70%	0.4865	+1.16%	0.0199	✗	1.45
2025-12-04	oos	0.46835	0.465351	-0.64%	0.4809	+2.68%	0.0782	✗	1.50
2025-12-03	oos	0.438	0.435965	-0.46%	0.46835	+6.93%	0.0940	✗	1.52
2025-12-02	oos	0.45605	0.453698	-0.52%	0.438	-3.96%	0.0717	✓	1.57
2025-12-01	oos	0.441	0.438847	-0.49%	0.45605	+3.41%	0.0552	✓	1.65
2025-11-30	oos	0.46325	0.46049	-0.60%	0.441	-4.80%	0.0344	✗	1.68
2025-11-29	oos	0.4538	0.451163	-0.58%	0.46325	+2.08%	0.0348	✗	1.66
2025-11-28	oos	0.44925	0.446615	-0.59%	0.4538	+1.01%	0.0173	✗	1.66
2025-11-27	oos	0.4551	0.452103	-0.66%	0.44925	-1.29%	0.0012	✓	1.66
2025-11-26	oos	0.4303	0.427876	-0.56%	0.4551	+5.76%	0.0466	✗	1.62
2025-11-25	oos	0.4418	0.439451	-0.53%	0.4303	-2.60%	0.0815	✓	1.71
2025-11-24	oos	0.45905	0.456413	-0.57%	0.4418	-3.76%	0.0143	✓	1.71
2025-11-23	oos	0.4609	0.457924	-0.65%	0.45905	-0.40%	0.0262	✓	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.4443	0.441842	-0.55%	0.4609	+3.74%	0.0013	✓	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.4375	0.434354	-0.72%	0.4443	+1.55%	0.0306	✗	1.76
2025-11-20	oos	0.447	0.443762	-0.72%	0.4375	-2.13%	0.0159	✗	1.76
2025-11-19	oos	0.41175	0.409268	-0.60%	0.447	+8.56%	0.1993	✗	2.01
2025-11-18	oos	0.445	0.440709	-0.96%	0.41175	-7.47%	0.0366	✓	1.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.36565	0.36442	-0.34%	0.445	+21.70%	0.1828	✗	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.37135	0.369992	-0.37%	0.36565	-1.53%	0.0319	✗	1.95
2025-11-15	oos	0.3904	0.388654	-0.45%	0.37135	-4.88%	0.0175	✓	1.95
2025-11-14	oos	0.3922	0.390252	-0.50%	0.3904	-0.46%	0.0211	✓	1.96
2025-11-13	oos	0.394	0.391781	-0.56%	0.3922	-0.46%	0.1124	✗	2.11
2025-11-12	oos	0.4315	0.427239	-0.99%	0.394	-8.69%	0.0390	✓	2.09
2025-11-11	oos	0.4116	0.408132	-0.84%	0.4315	+4.83%	0.0839	✗	2.10
2025-11-10	oos	0.4004	0.397454	-0.74%	0.4116	+2.80%	0.0958	✗	2.14
2025-11-09	oos	0.3827	0.38019	-0.66%	0.4004	+4.63%	0.0257	✗	2.14
2025-11-08	oos	0.3752	0.372666	-0.68%	0.3827	+2.00%	0.0237	✓	2.16
2025-11-07	oos	0.36	0.358439	-0.43%	0.3752	+4.22%	0.0664	✗	2.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.31965	0.318911	-0.23%	0.36	+12.62%	0.0807	✗	2.08
2025-11-05	oos	0.32265	0.321867	-0.24%	0.31965	-0.93%	0.0460	✗	2.11
2025-11-04	oos	0.3093	0.308739	-0.18%	0.32265	+4.32%	0.0050	✓	2.10
2025-11-03	oos	0.31955	0.318797	-0.24%	0.3093	-3.21%	0.0784	✗	2.22
2025-11-02	oos	0.35495	0.353567	-0.39%	0.31955	-9.97%	0.0203	✓	2.21
2025-11-01	oos	0.35435	0.353339	-0.29%	0.35495	+0.17%	0.0052	✓	2.22
2025-10-31	oos	0.34855	0.347631	-0.26%	0.35435	+1.66%	0.0091	✗	2.22
2025-10-30	oos	0.3476	0.346659	-0.27%	0.34855	+0.27%	0.0200	✓	2.22
2025-10-29	oos	0.3728	0.371441	-0.36%	0.3476	-6.76%	0.0319	✓	2.18
2025-10-28	oos	0.37705	0.375513	-0.41%	0.3728	-1.13%	0.0501	✗	2.22
2025-10-27	oos	0.37605	0.3739	-0.57%	0.37705	+0.27%	0.0316	✗	2.23
2025-10-26	oos	0.38165	0.380138	-0.40%	0.37605	-1.47%	0.0018	✓	2.24
2025-10-25	oos	0.3682	0.36664	-0.42%	0.38165	+3.65%	0.0175	✓	2.26
2025-10-24	oos	0.34635	0.345332	-0.29%	0.3682	+6.31%	0.0516	✗	2.24
2025-10-23	oos	0.34575	0.344725	-0.30%	0.34635	+0.17%	0.0141	✓	2.24
2025-10-22	oos	0.33165	0.330834	-0.25%	0.34575	+4.25%	0.0082	✓	2.25
2025-10-21	oos	0.3432	0.342131	-0.31%	0.33165	-3.37%	0.0150	✓	2.25
2025-10-20	oos	0.3554	0.35405	-0.38%	0.3432	-3.43%	0.0140	✗	2.24
2025-10-19	oos	0.3429	0.341902	-0.29%	0.3554	+3.65%	0.0009	✓	2.19
2025-10-18	oos	0.33625	0.33541	-0.25%	0.3429	+1.98%	0.0078	✓	2.20
2025-10-17	oos	0.33425	0.333872	-0.11%	0.33625	+0.60%	0.0082	✓	2.19
2025-10-16	oos	0.34305	0.342548	-0.15%	0.33425	-2.57%	0.0111	✗	2.20
2025-10-15	oos	0.36395	0.363198	-0.21%	0.34305	-5.74%	0.0049	✓	2.19
2025-10-14	oos	0.38285	0.3817	-0.30%	0.36395	-4.94%	0.0033	✓	2.19
2025-10-13	oos	0.40455	0.40283	-0.43%	0.38285	-5.36%	0.0084	✓	2.20
2025-10-12	oos	0.3839	0.382425	-0.38%	0.40455	+5.38%	0.0524	✗	2.14
2025-10-11	oos	0.34325	0.342415	-0.24%	0.3839	+11.84%	0.0354	✗	2.07
2025-10-10	oos	0.3535	0.352551	-0.27%	0.34325	-2.90%	0.0144	✗	2.07
2025-10-09	oos	0.4968	0.494365	-0.49%	0.3535	-28.84%	0.2273	✓	1.45
2025-10-08	oos	0.51605	0.51334	-0.53%	0.4968	-3.73%	0.0130	✓	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.51545	0.512466	-0.58%	0.51605	+0.12%	0.0170	✓	1.50
2025-10-06	oos	0.53975	0.536435	-0.61%	0.51545	-4.50%	0.0009	✓	1.51
2025-10-05	oos	0.51755	0.514926	-0.51%	0.53975	+4.29%	0.0326	✗	1.50
2025-10-04	oos	0.5253	0.522578	-0.52%	0.51755	-1.48%	0.0226	✓	1.50
2025-10-03	oos	0.55385	0.550677	-0.57%	0.5253	-5.15%	0.0489	✓	1.50
2025-10-02	oos	0.53225	0.529096	-0.59%	0.55385	+4.06%	0.0250	✗	1.48
2025-10-01	oos	0.5235	0.520367	-0.60%	0.53225	+1.67%	0.0019	✓	1.49
2025-09-30	oos	0.4957	0.493682	-0.41%	0.5235	+5.61%	0.0002	✓	1.48
2025-09-29	oos	0.55205	0.549263	-0.50%	0.4957	-10.21%	0.0987	✓	1.49
2025-09-28	oos	0.5672	0.564082	-0.55%	0.55205	-2.67%	0.0509	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.55865	0.556266	-0.43%	0.5672	+1.53%	0.0153	✓	1.53
2025-09-26	oos	0.56465	0.562253	-0.42%	0.55865	-1.06%	0.0062	✓	1.55
2025-09-25	oos	0.5571	0.554923	-0.39%	0.56465	+1.36%	0.0080	✗	1.55
2025-09-24	oos	0.61925	0.615874	-0.55%	0.5571	-10.04%	0.0434	✓	1.47
2025-09-23	oos	0.6186	0.614868	-0.60%	0.61925	+0.11%	0.0103	✓	1.48
2025-09-22	oos	0.6258	0.620959	-0.77%	0.6186	-1.15%	0.0054	✓	1.44
2025-09-21	oos	0.68405	0.679446	-0.67%	0.6258	-8.52%	0.0517	✓	1.37
2025-09-20	oos	0.6945	0.689664	-0.70%	0.68405	-1.50%	0.0024	✓	1.43
2025-09-19	oos	0.67305	0.668508	-0.67%	0.6945	+3.19%	0.0374	✗	1.46
2025-09-18	oos	0.70085	0.695597	-0.75%	0.67305	-3.97%	0.0149	✓	1.47
2025-09-17	oos	0.6932	0.68767	-0.80%	0.70085	+1.10%	0.0110	✗	1.47

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.