NEX

Nexus · Ethereum · gru_s8

token id: #668
symbol: NEX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xf57d49646621f563b0b905afc8336923ac569ec5
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-20
predictions: 438

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

139

of 146 predictions shown

direction hit

72.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1186

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0158

actual -0.0853

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	6.85e-7	6.79e-7	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	6.85e-7	6.81e-7	-0.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-19	oos	6.75e-7	6.70e-7	-0.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	7.15e-7	7.06e-7	-1.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-17	oos	7.15e-7	7.10e-7	-0.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	7.35e-7	7.29e-7	-0.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-15	oos	7.45e-7	7.40e-7	-0.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	7.75e-7	7.68e-7	-0.84%	6.85e-7	-11.61%	0.1223	✓	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	7.75e-7	7.69e-7	-0.77%	6.85e-7	-11.61%	0.1146	✓	0.54
2026-10-12	oos	8.05e-7	7.97e-7	-1.03%	6.75e-7	-16.15%	0.1664	✓	0.55
2026-10-11	oos	8.15e-7	8.09e-7	-0.73%	7.15e-7	-12.27%	0.1123	✓	0.56
2026-10-10	oos	8.15e-7	8.08e-7	-0.90%	7.15e-7	-12.27%	0.1112	✓	0.57
2026-10-09	oos	7.95e-7	7.87e-7	-1.01%	7.35e-7	-7.55%	0.0608	✓	0.59
2026-10-08	oos	7.95e-7	7.86e-7	-1.16%	7.45e-7	-6.29%	0.0564	✓	0.58
2026-10-07	oos	8.05e-7	7.98e-7	-0.93%	7.75e-7	-3.73%	0.0169	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	8.15e-7	8.10e-7	-0.56%	7.75e-7	-4.91%	0.0288	✓	0.55
2026-10-05	oos	8.25e-7	8.25e-7	+0.00%	8.05e-7	-2.42%	0.0019	✓	0.55
2026-10-04	oos	8.25e-7	8.26e-7	+0.16%	8.15e-7	-1.21%	0.0049	✓	0.56
2026-10-03	oos	8.35e-7	8.34e-7	-0.08%	8.15e-7	-2.40%	0.0111	✓	0.56
2026-10-02	oos	8.40e-7	8.40e-7	-0.03%	7.95e-7	-5.36%	0.0416	✓	0.56
2026-10-01	oos	8.15e-7	8.13e-7	-0.19%	7.95e-7	-2.45%	0.0009	✓	0.58
2026-09-30	oos	8.25e-7	8.24e-7	-0.13%	8.05e-7	-2.42%	0.0208	✓	0.74
2026-09-29	oos	8.35e-7	8.35e-7	+0.06%	8.15e-7	-2.40%	0.0414	✗	0.74
2026-09-28	oos	8.25e-7	8.25e-7	+0.01%	8.25e-7	+0.00%	0.0201	✗	0.74
2026-09-27	oos	8.40e-7	8.41e-7	+0.08%	8.25e-7	-1.79%	0.0364	✗	0.73
2026-09-26	oos	8.35e-7	8.34e-7	-0.09%	8.35e-7	+0.00%	0.0020	✓	0.73
2026-09-25	oos	8.35e-7	8.35e-7	-0.05%	8.40e-7	+0.60%	0.0029	✗	0.73
2026-09-24	oos	8.30e-7	8.30e-7	-0.04%	8.15e-7	-1.81%	0.0219	✓	0.74
2026-09-23	oos	8.50e-7	8.49e-7	-0.13%	8.25e-7	-2.94%	0.0213	✓	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.000001065	0.000001068	+0.27%	8.35e-7	-21.60%	0.2267	✗	0.64
2026-09-21	oos	0.000001075	0.000001077	+0.21%	8.25e-7	-23.26%	0.2413	✗	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.000001055	0.000001049	-0.53%	8.40e-7	-20.38%	0.2517	✓	0.73
2026-09-19	oos	0.000001085	0.000001079	-0.56%	8.35e-7	-23.04%	0.2840	✓	0.72
2026-09-18	oos	0.000001065	0.000001063	-0.23%	8.35e-7	-21.60%	0.2689	✓	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.00000104	0.000001033	-0.71%	8.30e-7	-20.19%	0.2912	✓	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.000001015	0.000001007	-0.79%	8.50e-7	-16.26%	0.2420	✓	0.71
2026-09-15	oos	9.95e-7	9.90e-7	-0.46%	0.000001065	+7.04%	0.0322	✓	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.000001025	0.000001022	-0.25%	0.000001075	+4.88%	0.0254	✓	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.000001005	0.000001	-0.46%	0.000001055	+4.98%	0.0126	✗	0.73
2026-09-12	oos	0.000001015	0.000001011	-0.35%	0.000001085	+6.90%	0.0330	✗	0.74
2026-09-11	oos	0.000001025	0.00000102	-0.45%	0.000001065	+3.90%	0.0075	✗	0.76
2026-09-10	oos	0.000001045	0.000001036	-0.83%	0.00000104	-0.48%	0.0054	✓	0.76
2026-09-09	oos	0.00000107	0.000001065	-0.48%	0.000001015	-5.14%	0.0265	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.000001425	0.000001424	-0.09%	9.95e-7	-30.18%	0.3307	✓	0.74
2026-09-07	oos	0.000001445	0.000001447	+0.12%	0.000001025	-29.07%	0.3362	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00000145	0.00000146	+0.69%	0.000001005	-30.69%	0.3410	✗	0.72
2026-09-05	oos	0.00000147	0.000001478	+0.55%	0.000001015	-30.95%	0.3522	✗	0.73
2026-09-04	oos	0.00000145	0.000001459	+0.61%	0.000001025	-29.31%	0.3306	✗	0.71
2026-09-03	oos	0.00000145	0.000001464	+1.00%	0.000001045	-27.93%	0.2937	✗	0.73
2026-09-02	oos	0.00000143	0.000001427	-0.19%	0.00000107	-25.17%	0.2961	✓	0.64
2026-09-01	oos	0.00000144	0.00000144	-0.02%	0.000001425	-1.04%	0.0189	✓	0.64
2026-08-31	oos	0.000001435	0.000001438	+0.23%	0.000001445	+0.70%	0.0002	✓	0.73
2026-08-30	oos	0.000001435	0.000001433	-0.16%	0.00000145	+1.05%	0.0106	✓	0.67
2026-08-29	oos	0.000001445	0.000001444	-0.04%	0.00000147	+1.73%	0.0044	✗	0.65
2026-08-28	oos	0.000001455	0.000001455	-0.00%	0.00000145	-0.34%	0.0185	✓	0.65
2026-08-27	oos	0.00000148	0.00000149	+0.66%	0.00000145	-2.03%	0.0350	✗	0.66
2026-08-26	oos	0.000001465	0.000001469	+0.26%	0.00000143	-2.39%	0.0124	✗	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.000001475	0.000001476	+0.05%	0.00000144	-2.37%	0.0151	✗	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.000001465	0.000001467	+0.12%	0.000001435	-2.05%	0.0186	✗	0.62
2026-08-23	oos	0.00000149	0.000001485	-0.30%	0.000001435	-3.69%	0.0340	✓	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.0000015	0.000001492	-0.53%	0.000001445	-3.67%	0.0418	✓	0.64
2026-08-21	oos	0.00000154	0.000001533	-0.43%	0.000001455	-5.52%	0.0485	✓	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.000001505	0.000001484	-1.39%	0.00000148	-1.66%	0.0671	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.00000149	0.000001465	-1.67%	0.000001465	-1.68%	0.1178	✓	0.90
2026-08-18	oos	0.000001435	0.000001406	-2.00%	0.000001475	+2.79%	0.1324	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.000001515	0.000001484	-2.07%	0.000001465	-3.30%	0.2026	✓	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.000001485	0.000001453	-2.12%	0.00000149	+0.34%	0.1726	✓	0.93
2026-08-15	oos	0.000001495	0.000001459	-2.38%	0.0000015	+0.33%	0.1592	✓	0.93
2026-08-14	oos	0.000001545	0.000001506	-2.50%	0.00000154	-0.32%	0.1810	✓	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.000001545	0.000001507	-2.44%	0.000001505	-2.59%	0.1330	✓	0.93
2026-08-12	oos	0.000001555	0.000001512	-2.79%	0.00000149	-4.18%	0.0973	✓	0.93
2026-08-11	oos	0.000001635	0.000001569	-4.04%	0.000001435	-12.23%	0.1060	✓	0.93
2026-08-10	oos	0.000001645	0.000001568	-4.69%	0.000001515	-7.90%	0.0426	✓	0.94
2026-08-09	oos	0.000001435	0.000001414	-1.47%	0.000001485	+3.48%	0.0808	✗	1.01
2026-08-08	oos	0.000001445	0.000001421	-1.63%	0.000001495	+3.46%	0.0802	✗	1.01
2026-08-07	oos	0.000001475	0.000001451	-1.62%	0.000001545	+4.75%	0.0929	✗	1.01
2026-08-06	oos	0.000001475	0.000001452	-1.58%	0.000001545	+4.75%	0.0755	✗	1.01
2026-08-05	oos	0.000001455	0.000001433	-1.50%	0.000001555	+6.87%	0.1004	✗	1.01
2026-08-04	oos	0.000001445	0.000001424	-1.49%	0.000001635	+13.15%	0.1467	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.000001465	0.000001441	-1.61%	0.000001645	+12.29%	0.1250	✗	1.01
2026-08-02	oos	0.00000149	0.000001466	-1.59%	0.000001435	-3.69%	0.0428	✓	1.01
2026-08-01	oos	0.00000145	0.000001429	-1.45%	0.000001445	-0.34%	0.0221	✓	0.99
2026-07-31	oos	0.000001455	0.000001433	-1.52%	0.000001475	+1.37%	0.0031	✓	0.99
2026-07-30	oos	0.000001495	0.000001469	-1.74%	0.000001475	-1.34%	0.0112	✓	1.01
2026-07-29	oos	0.000001505	0.000001476	-1.91%	0.000001455	-3.32%	0.0256	✓	1.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.000001505	0.000001479	-1.72%	0.000001445	-3.99%	0.0265	✓	1.01
2026-07-27	oos	0.000001505	0.000001479	-1.75%	0.000001465	-2.66%	0.0057	✓	1.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.000001575	0.000001544	-1.95%	0.00000149	-5.40%	0.0071	✓	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	0.000001565	0.000001533	-2.05%	0.00000145	-7.35%	0.0315	✓	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	0.000001575	0.000001541	-2.15%	0.000001455	-7.62%	0.0377	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.000001595	0.00000156	-2.21%	0.000001495	-6.27%	0.0373	✓	1.01
2026-07-22	oos	0.000001635	0.000001597	-2.31%	0.000001505	-7.95%	0.0254	✓	1.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.000001635	0.000001595	-2.44%	0.000001505	-7.95%	0.0165	✓	1.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.000001695	0.000001646	-2.86%	0.000001505	-11.21%	0.0651	✓	1.05
2026-07-19	oos	0.000001715	0.000001659	-3.28%	0.000001575	-8.16%	0.0625	✓	1.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.000001705	0.000001642	-3.68%	0.000001565	-8.21%	0.0400	✓	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	0.000001705	0.000001638	-3.94%	0.000001575	-7.62%	0.0423	✓	1.05
2026-07-16	oos	0.000001775	0.000001701	-4.20%	0.000001595	-10.14%	0.0851	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.000001775	0.000001697	-4.39%	0.000001635	-7.89%	0.0597	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.000001785	0.000001706	-4.42%	0.000001635	-8.40%	0.0675	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.000001755	0.000001681	-4.23%	0.000001695	-3.42%	0.0424	✓	1.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.000001825	0.000001736	-4.88%	0.000001715	-6.03%	0.0283	✓	1.10
2026-07-11	oos	0.000002225	0.000002093	-5.94%	0.000001705	-23.37%	0.2229	✓	1.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.0000022	0.000002066	-6.09%	0.000001705	-22.50%	0.1879	✓	1.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.000002355	0.000002177	-7.54%	0.000001775	-24.63%	0.2156	✓	1.20
2026-07-08	oos	0.000002615	0.000002449	-6.33%	0.000001775	-32.12%	0.3730	✓	1.30
2026-07-07	oos	0.00000269	0.000002474	-8.02%	0.000001785	-33.64%	0.3604	✓	1.31
2026-07-06	oos	0.00000276	0.000002512	-8.98%	0.000001755	-36.41%	0.3227	✓	1.31
2026-07-05	oos	0.00000285	0.000002587	-9.22%	0.000001825	-35.96%	0.3523	✓	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	0.000002975	0.000002682	-9.84%	0.000002225	-25.21%	0.2015	✓	1.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.00000283	0.00000256	-9.52%	0.0000022	-22.26%	0.1852	✓	1.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.00000185	0.00000184	-0.56%	0.000002355	+27.30%	0.2241	✗	0.84
2026-07-01	oos	0.00000185	0.00000185	+0.01%	0.000002615	+41.35%	0.3145	✓	0.85
2026-06-30	oos	0.00000184	0.000001851	+0.60%	0.00000269	+46.20%	0.3080	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.000001885	0.000001893	+0.41%	0.00000276	+46.42%	0.3240	✓	0.86
2026-06-28	oos	0.000001885	0.000001901	+0.86%	0.00000285	+51.19%	0.3482	✓	0.85
2026-06-27	oos	0.000001905	0.000001923	+0.97%	0.000002975	+56.17%	0.3926	✓	0.85
2026-06-26	oos	0.00000201	0.000002026	+0.80%	0.00000283	+40.80%	0.2988	✓	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.00000199	0.000002015	+1.25%	0.00000185	-7.04%	0.1101	✗	0.84
2026-06-24	oos	0.000002145	0.000002156	+0.52%	0.00000185	-13.75%	0.1394	✗	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.000002345	0.000002337	-0.33%	0.00000184	-21.54%	0.1884	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.000002455	0.000002435	-0.81%	0.000001885	-23.22%	0.2110	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.000002535	0.000002515	-0.79%	0.000001885	-25.64%	0.2417	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.000002575	0.00000255	-0.96%	0.000001905	-26.02%	0.2385	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.00000258	0.000002563	-0.67%	0.00000201	-22.09%	0.2001	✓	0.76
2026-06-18	oos	0.000002835	0.000002797	-1.33%	0.00000199	-29.81%	0.2887	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.0000033	0.000003203	-2.93%	0.000002145	-35.00%	0.3458	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.00000302	0.00000295	-2.31%	0.000002345	-22.35%	0.1833	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.00000314	0.000003054	-2.74%	0.000002455	-21.82%	0.1826	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.00000308	0.000003007	-2.38%	0.000002535	-17.69%	0.1324	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.000002975	0.000002923	-1.74%	0.000002575	-13.45%	0.1237	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.000002985	0.00000294	-1.52%	0.00000258	-13.57%	0.1295	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.00000318	0.000003113	-2.12%	0.000002835	-10.85%	0.0826	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.000003115	0.000003074	-1.31%	0.0000033	+5.94%	0.0233	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.00000282	0.000002818	-0.09%	0.00000302	+7.09%	0.0076	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.00000286	0.000002852	-0.28%	0.00000314	+9.79%	0.0465	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.00000296	0.000002948	-0.41%	0.00000308	+4.05%	0.0066	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.00000295	0.000002961	+0.37%	0.000002975	+0.85%	0.0524	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.00000305	0.000003056	+0.20%	0.000002985	-2.13%	0.0637	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.00000294	0.000002942	+0.06%	0.00000318	+8.16%	0.0817	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.00000306	0.000003052	-0.26%	0.000003115	+1.80%	0.0617	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.00000337	0.000003313	-1.70%	0.00000282	-16.32%	0.0835	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.00000346	0.000003354	-3.07%	0.00000286	-17.34%	0.0363	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.000003485	0.000003368	-3.35%	0.00000296	-15.06%	0.0212	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.000003395	0.000003287	-3.18%	0.00000295	-13.11%	0.0843	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.0000035	0.000003386	-3.25%	0.00000305	-12.86%	0.0795	✗	1.00