NES

Nesa · Ethereum · gru_s8

token id: #366
symbol: NES
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x863F08A3d3B14fbD3D42fFD061D0e290F7dBC538
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-24
predictions: 333

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 111 predictions shown

direction hit

81.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2522

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0517

actual -0.2719

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.11832	0.115073	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.12
2026-10-20	oos	0.12079	0.118001	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.12
2026-10-19	oos	0.114105	0.111608	-2.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.05
2026-10-18	oos	0.118045	0.115688	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-10-17	oos	0.11967	0.117189	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-16	oos	0.122125	0.119562	-2.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.138695	0.134853	-2.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-14	oos	0.146385	0.141499	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.136455	0.132864	-2.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-10-12	oos	0.13391	0.130282	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-11	oos	0.14095	0.137181	-2.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.14031	0.136793	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.05
2026-10-09	oos	0.13735	0.134224	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.13322	0.130411	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.137455	0.134683	-2.02%	–	pending	–	–	-0.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.137615	0.135528	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.07
2026-10-05	oos	0.14428	0.141544	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.14974	0.146476	-2.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-03	oos	0.14604	0.142476	-2.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-02	oos	0.14854	0.144279	-2.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-01	oos	0.1514	0.146744	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.16
2026-09-30	oos	0.15126	0.14681	-2.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.15
2026-09-29	oos	0.16081	0.154932	-3.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-09-28	oos	0.1614	0.155938	-3.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.16563	0.159725	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.163905	0.158887	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.15964	0.155288	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.16505	0.160304	-2.88%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-09-23	oos	0.16465	0.159392	-3.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-09-22	oos	0.168615	0.163812	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.14
2026-09-21	oos	0.16943	0.165145	-2.53%	0.11832	-30.17%	0.3270	✓	0.14
2026-09-20	oos	0.16252	0.156774	-3.54%	0.12079	-25.68%	0.2622	✓	0.07
2026-09-19	oos	0.162175	0.156618	-3.43%	0.114105	-29.64%	0.3172	✓	0.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.15727	0.15214	-3.26%	0.118045	-24.94%	0.2547	✓	0.07
2026-09-17	oos	0.15382	0.147287	-4.25%	0.11967	-22.20%	0.2092	✓	0.02
2026-09-16	oos	0.16251	0.15434	-5.03%	0.122125	-24.85%	0.2358	✓	0.02
2026-09-15	oos	0.1658	0.156141	-5.83%	0.138695	-16.35%	0.1207	✓	0.03
2026-09-14	oos	0.15123	0.1456	-3.72%	0.146385	-3.20%	0.0010	✓	0.15
2026-09-13	oos	0.14991	0.143825	-4.06%	0.136455	-8.98%	0.0639	✓	0.14
2026-09-12	oos	0.15991	0.152197	-4.82%	0.13391	-16.26%	0.1351	✓	0.13
2026-09-11	oos	0.149955	0.143149	-4.54%	0.14095	-6.01%	0.0261	✓	0.13
2026-09-10	oos	0.144685	0.138378	-4.36%	0.14031	-3.02%	0.0040	✓	0.12
2026-09-09	oos	0.11554	0.114392	-0.99%	0.13735	+18.88%	0.1650	✗	0.34
2026-09-08	oos	0.1225	0.120999	-1.22%	0.13322	+8.75%	0.0828	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.13114	0.129407	-1.32%	0.137455	+4.82%	0.0445	✗	0.31
2026-09-06	oos	0.1288	0.127649	-0.89%	0.137615	+6.84%	0.0544	✗	0.33
2026-09-05	oos	0.12945	0.127586	-1.44%	0.14428	+11.46%	0.0993	✗	0.33
2026-09-04	oos	0.1378	0.13582	-1.44%	0.14974	+8.66%	0.0706	✗	0.33
2026-09-03	oos	0.13944	0.138385	-0.76%	0.14604	+4.73%	0.0399	✗	0.33
2026-09-02	oos	0.13736	0.133637	-2.71%	0.14854	+8.14%	0.0777	✗	0.31
2026-09-01	oos	0.14057	0.136737	-2.73%	0.1514	+7.70%	0.0731	✗	0.31
2026-08-31	oos	0.14442	0.141011	-2.36%	0.15126	+4.74%	0.0514	✗	0.30
2026-08-30	oos	0.156	0.152379	-2.32%	0.16081	+3.08%	0.0297	✗	0.33
2026-08-29	oos	0.15359	0.150668	-1.90%	0.1614	+5.08%	0.0469	✗	0.34
2026-08-28	oos	0.14335	0.140311	-2.12%	0.16563	+15.54%	0.1385	✗	0.33
2026-08-27	oos	0.14355	0.143745	+0.14%	0.163905	+14.18%	0.1129	✓	0.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.1493	0.149237	-0.04%	0.15964	+6.93%	0.0436	✗	0.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.1605	0.160086	-0.26%	0.16505	+2.83%	0.0026	✗	0.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.13701	0.137209	+0.14%	0.16465	+20.17%	0.1518	✓	0.46
2026-08-23	oos	0.195165	0.191681	-1.79%	0.168615	-13.60%	0.1947	✓	0.64
2026-08-22	oos	0.205345	0.200332	-2.44%	0.16943	-17.49%	0.2438	✓	0.65
2026-08-21	oos	0.220915	0.216002	-2.22%	0.16252	-26.43%	0.3059	✓	0.60
2026-08-20	oos	0.215955	0.20723	-4.04%	0.162175	-24.90%	0.3147	✓	0.65
2026-08-19	oos	0.21345	0.20276	-5.01%	0.15727	-26.32%	0.3626	✓	0.70
2026-08-18	oos	0.20579	0.193759	-5.85%	0.15382	-25.25%	0.3531	✓	0.74
2026-08-17	oos	0.21233	0.198855	-6.35%	0.16251	-23.46%	0.3254	✓	0.74
2026-08-16	oos	0.214555	0.200747	-6.44%	0.1658	-22.72%	0.3391	✓	0.80
2026-08-15	oos	0.20837	0.195573	-6.14%	0.15123	-27.42%	0.4323	✓	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.20957	0.196413	-6.28%	0.14991	-28.47%	0.4315	✓	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.20644	0.193868	-6.09%	0.15991	-22.54%	0.3569	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.200645	0.189302	-5.65%	0.149955	-25.26%	0.3974	✓	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.203145	0.191526	-5.72%	0.144685	-28.78%	0.4358	✓	0.83
2026-08-10	oos	0.204145	0.19245	-5.73%	0.11554	-43.40%	0.6803	✓	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.20451	0.193048	-5.60%	0.1225	-40.10%	0.6198	✓	0.87
2026-08-08	oos	0.208985	0.196998	-5.74%	0.13114	-37.25%	0.5776	✓	0.86
2026-08-07	oos	0.20336	0.192237	-5.47%	0.1288	-36.66%	0.5857	✓	0.87
2026-08-06	oos	0.20365	0.192706	-5.37%	0.12945	-36.44%	0.5863	✓	0.87
2026-08-05	oos	0.19656	0.186848	-4.94%	0.1378	-29.89%	0.4933	✓	0.90
2026-08-04	oos	0.2043	0.193374	-5.35%	0.13944	-31.75%	0.5479	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.20654	0.195216	-5.48%	0.13736	-33.49%	0.5364	✓	0.94
2026-08-02	oos	0.204585	0.193705	-5.32%	0.14057	-31.29%	0.5067	✓	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.211265	0.199585	-5.53%	0.14442	-31.64%	0.5432	✓	0.98
2026-07-31	oos	0.20703	0.196112	-5.27%	0.156	-24.65%	0.4374	✓	0.98
2026-07-30	oos	0.214655	0.203665	-5.12%	0.15359	-28.45%	0.4698	✓	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	0.219455	0.207509	-5.44%	0.14335	-34.68%	0.5721	✓	1.02
2026-07-28	oos	0.217385	0.205671	-5.39%	0.14355	-33.97%	0.5944	✓	1.03
2026-07-27	oos	0.22475	0.211823	-5.75%	0.1493	-33.57%	0.5717	✓	1.03
2026-07-26	oos	0.241925	0.226293	-6.46%	0.1605	-33.66%	0.5071	✓	0.89
2026-07-25	oos	0.2425	0.226026	-6.79%	0.13701	-43.50%	0.6878	✓	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.253825	0.234592	-7.58%	0.195165	-23.11%	0.3614	✓	0.92
2026-07-23	oos	0.2701	0.247446	-8.39%	0.205345	-23.97%	0.3558	✓	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.270695	0.247917	-8.41%	0.220915	-18.39%	0.2852	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.23121	0.215916	-6.61%	0.215955	-6.60%	0.0930	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.22897	0.213635	-6.70%	0.21345	-6.78%	0.0617	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.223245	0.20892	-6.42%	0.20579	-7.82%	0.0151	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.225605	0.211033	-6.46%	0.21233	-5.88%	0.0111	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.238	0.220979	-7.15%	0.214555	-9.85%	0.0128	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.24992	0.230902	-7.61%	0.20837	-16.63%	0.0908	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.23956	0.222756	-7.01%	0.20957	-12.52%	0.0337	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.242325	0.225835	-6.80%	0.20644	-14.81%	0.0654	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.246155	0.226744	-7.89%	0.200645	-18.49%	0.1405	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.2359	0.218827	-7.24%	0.203145	-13.89%	0.0711	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.266755	0.244209	-8.45%	0.204145	-23.47%	0.1814	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.276415	0.251642	-8.96%	0.20451	-26.01%	0.2186	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.273545	0.247599	-9.49%	0.208985	-23.60%	0.1966	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.29756	0.264629	-11.07%	0.20336	-31.66%	0.3051	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.27962	0.251498	-10.06%	0.20365	-27.17%	0.2258	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.252165	0.231003	-8.39%	0.19656	-22.05%	0.1708	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.27204	0.244474	-10.13%	0.2043	-24.90%	0.1868	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.236725	0.219034	-7.47%	0.20654	-12.75%	0.0647	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.22291	0.207238	-7.03%	0.204585	-8.22%	0.0284	✓	1.00