MHA
Magic Hash · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s8
- token id
- #375
- symbol
- MHA
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x37c563cdf4606d4302abb395cdb94e79d31233ed
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-17
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +1d
assessed
26
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
57.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0961
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0103
actual -0.0398
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.004878 | 0.004743 | -2.77% | – | pending | – | – | 2.49 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00488 | 0.00475 | -2.66% | 0.004878 | -0.04% | 0.0208 | ✓ | 2.49 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004452 | 0.004375 | -1.75% | 0.00488 | +9.60% | 0.0786 | ✗ | 2.36 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004386 | 0.004325 | -1.41% | 0.004452 | +1.50% | 0.0016 | ✓ | 2.30 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004248 | 0.004201 | -1.12% | 0.004386 | +3.25% | 0.0481 | ✗ | 2.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004329 | 0.004286 | -1.00% | 0.004248 | -1.86% | 0.0265 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005066 | 0.004981 | -1.67% | 0.004329 | -14.55% | 0.1389 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003665 | 0.003657 | -0.23% | 0.005066 | +38.21% | 0.3335 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002988 | 0.002985 | -0.09% | 0.003665 | +22.67% | 0.1984 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003361 | 0.003361 | -0.01% | 0.002988 | -11.11% | 0.0990 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.003776 | 0.003782 | +0.15% | 0.003361 | -10.98% | 0.1342 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004693 | 0.004696 | +0.05% | 0.003776 | -19.54% | 0.1945 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005151 | 0.005152 | +0.00% | 0.004693 | -8.90% | 0.1025 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.006203 | 0.006181 | -0.36% | 0.005151 | -16.96% | 0.1867 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.006659 | -0.54% | 0.006203 | -7.35% | 0.0813 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00735 | 0.00728 | -0.95% | 0.006696 | -8.90% | 0.0645 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.007624 | 0.007529 | -1.24% | 0.00735 | -3.60% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.007561 | 0.007469 | -1.21% | 0.007624 | +0.84% | 0.0230 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.007475 | 0.007383 | -1.23% | 0.007561 | +1.14% | 0.0326 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.007325 | 0.007239 | -1.17% | 0.007475 | +2.05% | 0.0115 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00776 | 0.007662 | -1.27% | 0.007325 | -5.61% | 0.0478 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007845 | 0.007741 | -1.32% | 0.00776 | -1.08% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.008263 | 0.008161 | -1.23% | 0.007845 | -5.06% | 0.0549 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008261 | 0.008131 | -1.58% | 0.008263 | +0.02% | 0.0171 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.009286 | 0.009141 | -1.57% | 0.008261 | -11.03% | 0.1033 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.014172 | 0.013967 | -1.44% | 0.009286 | -34.48% | 0.3962 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013131 | 0.012908 | -1.70% | 0.014172 | +7.93% | 0.0929 | ✗ | 1.00 |