MEMEROBINHOOD

? · · gru_s8

token id: #770
symbol: MEMEROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 117

Track record at +1d

assessed

38

of 39 predictions shown

direction hit

50.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1129

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0003

actual -0.0488

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.009054	0.009052	-0.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-20	oos	0.009211	0.009215	+0.04%	0.009054	-1.72%	0.0175	✗	0.08
2026-10-19	oos	0.011556	0.011505	-0.44%	0.009211	-20.29%	0.2256	✓	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.010901	0.010883	-0.17%	0.011556	+6.00%	0.0606	✗	0.26
2026-10-17	oos	0.010958	0.010953	-0.05%	0.010901	-0.52%	0.0066	✓	0.25
2026-10-16	oos	0.012207	0.012175	-0.26%	0.010958	-10.23%	0.1049	✓	0.24
2026-10-15	oos	0.014254	0.014127	-0.89%	0.012207	-14.36%	0.1448	✓	0.17
2026-10-14	oos	0.01064	0.010687	+0.45%	0.014254	+33.97%	0.2878	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.0117	0.011738	+0.33%	0.01064	-9.06%	0.0992	✗	-0.05
2026-10-12	oos	0.01209	0.012137	+0.39%	0.0117	-3.23%	0.0356	✗	-0.06
2026-10-11	oos	0.012425	0.012476	+0.41%	0.01209	-2.70%	0.0323	✗	-0.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.012195	0.012262	+0.55%	0.012425	+1.89%	0.0139	✓	-0.08
2026-10-09	oos	0.012895	0.012967	+0.56%	0.012195	-5.43%	0.0611	✗	-0.07
2026-10-08	oos	0.012035	0.012123	+0.73%	0.012895	+7.15%	0.0634	✓	-0.16
2026-10-07	oos	0.01357	0.013655	+0.63%	0.012035	-11.31%	0.1319	✗	-0.29
2026-10-06	oos	0.01678	0.016829	+0.29%	0.01357	-19.13%	0.2351	✗	-0.74
2026-10-05	oos	0.017965	0.018005	+0.22%	0.01678	-6.60%	0.0723	✗	-0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.017285	0.01735	+0.38%	0.017965	+3.93%	0.0288	✓	-0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.01557	0.015665	+0.61%	0.017285	+11.01%	0.0778	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.0164	0.016506	+0.65%	0.01557	-5.06%	0.0612	✗	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.017095	0.01721	+0.67%	0.0164	-4.07%	0.0442	✗	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.021475	0.021577	+0.48%	0.017095	-20.40%	0.2482	✗	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.02495	0.024984	+0.14%	0.021475	-13.93%	0.1504	✗	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.02912	0.029004	-0.40%	0.02495	-14.32%	0.1527	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.02693	0.026906	-0.09%	0.02912	+8.13%	0.0910	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.02853	0.028452	-0.27%	0.02693	-5.61%	0.0555	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.03015	0.030015	-0.45%	0.02853	-5.37%	0.0546	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.02773	0.027699	-0.11%	0.03015	+8.73%	0.0882	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.03443	0.034079	-1.02%	0.02773	-19.46%	0.2063	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.03152	0.031317	-0.64%	0.03443	+9.23%	0.1161	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02677	0.02674	-0.11%	0.03152	+17.74%	0.1691	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.027265	0.027281	+0.06%	0.02677	-1.82%	0.0837	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.03062	0.030594	-0.09%	0.027265	-10.96%	0.1143	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.03075	0.030719	-0.10%	0.03062	-0.42%	0.0077	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.03702	0.036938	-0.22%	0.03075	-16.94%	0.2409	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02977	0.029754	-0.05%	0.03702	+24.35%	0.2158	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.032345	0.032322	-0.07%	0.02977	-7.96%	0.0896	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.044095	0.043935	-0.36%	0.032345	-26.65%	0.2726	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04952	0.049214	-0.62%	0.044095	-10.96%	0.1276	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.