MCAT
Marscat Token · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s8
- token id
- #456
- symbol
- MCAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd69a4b260ef021ccd4e1c5f5a4fb522b032ce831
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 102
Track record at +7d
assessed
27
of 34 predictions shown
direction hit
59.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1489
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0401
actual -0.0024
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.718485 | 0.694904 | -3.28% | – | pending | – | – | 3.76 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.71641 | 0.694525 | -3.05% | – | pending | – | – | 3.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.759515 | 0.734343 | -3.31% | – | pending | – | – | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.774195 | 0.747251 | -3.48% | – | pending | – | – | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.7811 | 0.752245 | -3.69% | – | pending | – | – | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.74617 | 0.71912 | -3.63% | – | pending | – | – | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.646255 | 0.627575 | -2.89% | – | pending | – | – | 3.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.62541 | 0.608102 | -2.77% | 0.718485 | +14.88% | 0.0664 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.60864 | 0.592819 | -2.60% | 0.71641 | +17.71% | 0.0711 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.599125 | 0.583932 | -2.54% | 0.759515 | +26.77% | 0.2711 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.596775 | 0.581822 | -2.51% | 0.774195 | +29.73% | 0.2808 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.608905 | 0.592849 | -2.64% | 0.7811 | +28.28% | 0.3644 | ✗ | 4.39 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.611255 | 0.594825 | -2.69% | 0.74617 | +22.07% | 0.3089 | ✗ | 4.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.563305 | 0.550518 | -2.27% | 0.646255 | +14.73% | 0.1731 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.51154 | 0.502521 | -1.76% | 0.62541 | +22.26% | 0.2135 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.54838 | 0.53642 | -2.18% | 0.60864 | +10.99% | 0.1470 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.689605 | 0.669759 | -2.88% | 0.599125 | -13.12% | 0.0825 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.65254 | 0.634537 | -2.76% | 0.596775 | -8.55% | 0.0135 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.6717 | 0.652416 | -2.87% | 0.608905 | -9.35% | 0.0358 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.704355 | 0.680924 | -3.33% | 0.611255 | -13.22% | 0.0861 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.70984 | 0.684689 | -3.54% | 0.563305 | -20.64% | 0.1717 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.722985 | 0.695815 | -3.76% | 0.51154 | -29.25% | 0.2698 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.745455 | 0.713997 | -4.22% | 0.54838 | -26.44% | 0.2605 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.796315 | 0.759846 | -4.58% | 0.689605 | -13.40% | 0.1195 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.780635 | 0.742609 | -4.87% | 0.65254 | -16.41% | 0.1564 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.77554 | 0.736232 | -5.07% | 0.6717 | -13.39% | 0.1157 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.76579 | 0.724459 | -5.40% | 0.704355 | -8.02% | 0.0320 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.77739 | 0.733307 | -5.67% | 0.70984 | -8.69% | 0.0374 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.73189 | 0.691218 | -5.56% | 0.722985 | -1.22% | 0.0395 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.82997 | 0.781943 | -5.79% | 0.745455 | -10.18% | 0.0380 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.91021 | 0.854601 | -6.11% | 0.796315 | -12.51% | 0.0405 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.72185 | 0.683804 | -5.27% | 0.780635 | +8.14% | 0.1693 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.51745 | 0.492575 | -4.81% | 0.77554 | +49.88% | 0.4140 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.829055 | 0.767865 | -7.38% | 0.76579 | -7.63% | 0.0411 | ✓ | 1.00 |