MARSCOIN

MarsCoin · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s8

token id: #52
symbol: MARSCOIN
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0xfe189e97832da1573e4e4ff034f4ffc3a15c7777
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 117

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 39 predictions shown

direction hit

57.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0734

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0093

actual -0.0078

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07975	0.07919	-0.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	0.07935	0.078825	-0.66%	0.07975	+0.50%	0.0141	✗	0.83
2026-10-19	oos	0.07795	0.077545	-0.52%	0.07935	+1.80%	0.0123	✗	0.80
2026-10-18	oos	0.07555	0.075271	-0.37%	0.07795	+3.18%	0.0366	✗	0.81
2026-10-17	oos	0.07685	0.076597	-0.33%	0.07555	-1.69%	0.0200	✓	0.81
2026-10-16	oos	0.07985	0.079543	-0.38%	0.07685	-3.76%	0.0333	✓	0.81
2026-10-15	oos	0.07715	0.076951	-0.26%	0.07985	+3.50%	0.0434	✗	0.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.08255	0.082226	-0.39%	0.07715	-6.54%	0.0697	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.07945	0.079203	-0.31%	0.08255	+3.90%	0.0597	✗	0.98
2026-10-12	oos	0.08085	0.080634	-0.27%	0.07945	-1.73%	0.0312	✓	0.99
2026-10-11	oos	0.09555	0.094761	-0.83%	0.08085	-15.38%	0.1410	✓	0.76
2026-10-10	oos	0.09625	0.095464	-0.82%	0.09555	-0.73%	0.0061	✓	0.76
2026-10-09	oos	0.09325	0.092582	-0.72%	0.09625	+3.22%	0.0356	✗	0.74
2026-10-08	oos	0.09105	0.090488	-0.62%	0.09325	+2.42%	0.0226	✗	0.71
2026-10-07	oos	0.09505	0.094297	-0.79%	0.09105	-4.21%	0.0216	✓	0.70
2026-10-06	oos	0.10535	0.104217	-1.08%	0.09505	-9.78%	0.0774	✓	0.55
2026-10-05	oos	0.10525	0.104125	-1.07%	0.10535	+0.10%	0.0130	✗	0.55
2026-10-04	oos	0.10865	0.107443	-1.11%	0.10525	-3.13%	0.0158	✓	0.55
2026-10-03	oos	0.11095	0.109688	-1.14%	0.10865	-2.07%	0.0301	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.1074	0.106228	-1.09%	0.11095	+3.31%	0.0407	✗	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.12765	0.126071	-1.24%	0.1074	-15.86%	0.1562	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.1371	0.135248	-1.35%	0.12765	-6.89%	0.0732	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.14065	0.138607	-1.45%	0.1371	-2.52%	0.0099	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.15785	0.154012	-2.43%	0.14065	-10.90%	0.0929	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.1233	0.121654	-1.34%	0.15785	+28.02%	0.2724	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.13445	0.132288	-1.61%	0.1233	-8.29%	0.0709	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.11835	0.1167	-1.39%	0.13445	+13.60%	0.1377	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.1152	0.113653	-1.34%	0.11835	+2.73%	0.0440	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.1364	0.134089	-1.69%	0.1152	-15.54%	0.1519	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.14165	0.138358	-2.32%	0.1364	-3.71%	0.0071	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.10195	0.10078	-1.15%	0.14165	+38.94%	0.3450	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.09225	0.091677	-0.62%	0.10195	+10.51%	0.0414	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.09905	0.098252	-0.81%	0.09225	-6.87%	0.0621	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.11315	0.111775	-1.22%	0.09905	-12.46%	0.1253	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.1172	0.115713	-1.27%	0.11315	-3.46%	0.0800	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.092	0.091745	-0.28%	0.1172	+27.39%	0.2422	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.08655	0.086395	-0.18%	0.092	+6.30%	0.0555	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.09165	0.091357	-0.32%	0.08655	-5.56%	0.0204	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.09765	0.097315	-0.34%	0.09165	-6.14%	0.0777	✓	1.00