KNOTS
KNOTS · Solana · gru_s8
- token id
- #767
- symbol
- KNOTS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 8RVBk8vxLiUHueLUW1f4izFVqN3nWippLhkohKg6EGkS
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
59.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2007
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0083
actual -0.0582
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.003417 | 0.003362 | -1.62% | – | pending | – | – | 4.25 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00358 | 0.00351 | -1.95% | 0.003417 | -4.54% | 0.0143 | ✓ | 4.26 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003164 | 0.003118 | -1.47% | 0.00358 | +13.15% | 0.0830 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.002509 | 0.002495 | -0.55% | 0.003164 | +26.11% | 0.2462 | ✗ | 4.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002929 | 0.002903 | -0.90% | 0.002509 | -14.34% | 0.1786 | ✓ | 4.29 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002911 | 0.002889 | -0.77% | 0.002929 | +0.62% | 0.0202 | ✗ | 4.31 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003261 | 0.003225 | -1.10% | 0.002911 | -10.73% | 0.0697 | ✓ | 4.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.003038 | 0.003014 | -0.79% | 0.003261 | +7.34% | 0.0497 | ✗ | 4.26 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.002995 | 0.002975 | -0.69% | 0.003038 | +1.42% | 0.1058 | ✗ | 4.55 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.003356 | 0.003328 | -0.85% | 0.002995 | -10.74% | 0.1822 | ✓ | 4.67 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0045 | 0.004412 | -1.93% | 0.003356 | -25.41% | 0.1699 | ✓ | 4.43 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.003239 | 0.003218 | -0.63% | 0.0045 | +38.92% | 0.2961 | ✗ | 4.23 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.002974 | 0.002962 | -0.41% | 0.003239 | +8.91% | 0.0850 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.003605 | 0.003579 | -0.71% | 0.002974 | -17.50% | 0.1957 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.003288 | 0.003269 | -0.59% | 0.003605 | +9.64% | 0.1171 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005163 | 0.005082 | -1.56% | 0.003288 | -36.31% | 0.4086 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.002456 | 0.002437 | -0.79% | 0.005163 | +110.16% | 0.7531 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.003661 | 0.003635 | -0.71% | 0.002456 | -32.90% | 0.3831 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.002535 | 0.002508 | -1.07% | 0.003661 | +44.39% | 0.3575 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.002868 | 0.002836 | -1.12% | 0.002535 | -11.59% | 0.1148 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.004975 | 0.004947 | -0.55% | 0.002868 | -42.35% | 0.5412 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006722 | 0.006703 | -0.28% | 0.004975 | -25.99% | 0.3135 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.007297 | 0.007272 | -0.34% | 0.006722 | -7.87% | 0.0776 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006679 | 0.006643 | -0.55% | 0.007297 | +9.24% | 0.0917 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00815 | 0.008109 | -0.50% | 0.006679 | -18.04% | 0.1820 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.011331 | 0.011271 | -0.53% | 0.00815 | -28.07% | 0.3247 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.00964 | 0.009582 | -0.60% | 0.011331 | +17.54% | 0.1638 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01419 | 0.014117 | -0.52% | 0.00964 | -32.06% | 0.3780 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01521 | 0.015128 | -0.54% | 0.01419 | -6.71% | 0.0641 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01505 | 0.014982 | -0.45% | 0.01521 | +1.06% | 0.0364 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.02248 | 0.022311 | -0.75% | 0.01505 | -33.05% | 0.3891 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.02179 | 0.021568 | -1.02% | 0.02248 | +3.17% | 0.0234 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021875 | 0.021634 | -1.10% | 0.02179 | -0.39% | 0.0081 | ✓ | 1.00 |