KAG

Kinesis Silver · Ethereum · gru_s8

token id: #785
symbol: KAG
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x56ba8b58b7d1f6d384a1c4dd553f39ebc8741b8e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-23
predictions: 519

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

172

of 173 predictions shown

direction hit

51.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0278

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0028

actual -0.0058

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	27.74	27.6132	-0.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-20	oos	27.825	27.7127	-0.40%	27.74	-0.31%	0.0006	✓	-0.12
2026-10-19	oos	28.18	28.0611	-0.42%	27.825	-1.26%	0.0069	✓	-0.12
2026-10-18	oos	30.12	29.9719	-0.49%	28.18	-6.44%	0.0618	✓	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	30.15	29.989	-0.53%	30.12	-0.10%	0.0050	✓	-0.09
2026-10-16	oos	29.58	29.4359	-0.49%	30.15	+1.93%	0.0238	✗	-0.09
2026-10-15	oos	29.41	29.2764	-0.45%	29.58	+0.58%	0.0097	✗	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	31.765	31.5918	-0.55%	29.41	-7.41%	0.0711	✓	-0.07
2026-10-13	oos	30.485	30.3488	-0.45%	31.765	+4.20%	0.0448	✗	-0.04
2026-10-12	oos	30.34	30.1935	-0.48%	30.485	+0.48%	0.0104	✗	-0.05
2026-10-11	oos	29.825	29.7086	-0.39%	30.34	+1.73%	0.0209	✗	-0.00
2026-10-10	oos	29.98	29.8582	-0.41%	29.825	-0.52%	0.0012	✓	0.00
2026-10-09	oos	29.955	29.8312	-0.41%	29.98	+0.08%	0.0050	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	29.255	29.1353	-0.41%	29.955	+2.39%	0.0278	✗	-0.01
2026-10-07	oos	30.26	30.1453	-0.38%	29.255	-3.32%	0.0305	✓	-0.03
2026-10-06	oos	29.98	29.9015	-0.26%	30.26	+0.93%	0.0116	✗	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	30.38	30.2999	-0.26%	29.98	-1.32%	0.0106	✓	0.00
2026-10-04	oos	30.95	30.8726	-0.25%	30.38	-1.84%	0.0161	✓	-0.00
2026-10-03	oos	29.06	28.9852	-0.26%	30.95	+6.50%	0.0662	✗	-0.03
2026-10-02	oos	31.045	30.9477	-0.31%	29.06	-6.39%	0.0628	✓	-0.04
2026-10-01	oos	29.5	29.4295	-0.24%	31.045	+5.24%	0.0533	✗	-0.03
2026-09-30	oos	30.325	30.2389	-0.28%	29.5	-2.72%	0.0247	✓	-0.00
2026-09-29	oos	31.27	31.1742	-0.31%	30.325	-3.02%	0.0276	✓	0.01
2026-09-28	oos	29.085	29.0203	-0.22%	31.27	+7.51%	0.0746	✗	0.04
2026-09-27	oos	31.03	30.9652	-0.21%	29.085	-6.27%	0.0629	✓	-0.02
2026-09-26	oos	31.54	31.4781	-0.20%	31.03	-1.62%	0.0143	✓	-0.03
2026-09-25	oos	33.335	33.252	-0.25%	31.54	-5.38%	0.0527	✓	-0.05
2026-09-24	oos	29.52	29.4863	-0.11%	33.335	+12.92%	0.1226	✗	-0.02
2026-09-23	oos	30.95	30.9168	-0.11%	29.52	-4.62%	0.0462	✓	-0.02
2026-09-22	oos	31.25	31.2343	-0.05%	30.95	-0.96%	0.0099	✓	-0.04
2026-09-21	oos	32.68	32.6674	-0.04%	31.25	-4.38%	0.0446	✓	-0.04
2026-09-20	oos	33.755	33.7187	-0.11%	32.68	-3.18%	0.0317	✓	0.01
2026-09-19	oos	33.65	33.6267	-0.07%	33.755	+0.31%	0.0038	✗	0.01
2026-09-18	oos	31.665	31.6707	+0.02%	33.65	+6.27%	0.0606	✓	-0.00
2026-09-17	oos	32.73	32.7526	+0.07%	31.665	-3.25%	0.0367	✗	0.05
2026-09-16	oos	35.65	35.672	+0.06%	32.73	-8.19%	0.0862	✗	0.04
2026-09-15	oos	36.865	36.898	+0.09%	35.65	-3.30%	0.0346	✗	0.03
2026-09-14	oos	36.82	36.8681	+0.13%	36.865	+0.12%	0.0024	✓	0.07
2026-09-13	oos	39.435	39.4853	+0.13%	36.82	-6.63%	0.0718	✗	0.11
2026-09-12	oos	40.14	40.2023	+0.16%	39.435	-1.76%	0.0186	✗	0.10
2026-09-11	oos	42.95	43.0084	+0.14%	40.14	-6.54%	0.0691	✗	0.10
2026-09-10	oos	44.08	44.1412	+0.14%	42.95	-2.56%	0.0281	✗	0.08
2026-09-09	oos	44.52	44.6027	+0.19%	44.08	-0.99%	0.0101	✗	0.08
2026-09-08	oos	44.79	44.884	+0.21%	44.52	-0.60%	0.0079	✗	0.13
2026-09-07	oos	45.01	45.1201	+0.24%	44.79	-0.49%	0.0062	✗	0.14
2026-09-06	oos	47.2	47.3139	+0.24%	45.01	-4.64%	0.0476	✗	0.15
2026-09-05	oos	50.33	50.4142	+0.17%	47.2	-6.22%	0.0669	✗	0.16
2026-09-04	oos	50.62	50.7167	+0.19%	50.33	-0.57%	0.0080	✗	0.16
2026-09-03	oos	48.38	48.5012	+0.25%	50.62	+4.63%	0.0466	✓	0.20
2026-09-02	oos	49.67	49.766	+0.19%	48.38	-2.60%	0.0439	✗	0.31
2026-09-01	oos	51.44	51.5296	+0.17%	49.67	-3.44%	0.0364	✗	0.31
2026-08-31	oos	52.65	52.7391	+0.17%	51.44	-2.30%	0.0203	✗	0.31
2026-08-30	oos	55.07	55.1	+0.05%	52.65	-4.39%	0.0489	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	49.1	49.1978	+0.20%	55.07	+12.16%	0.1150	✓	0.31
2026-08-28	oos	49.09	49.1745	+0.17%	49.1	+0.02%	0.0031	✗	0.31
2026-08-27	oos	51.32	51.3946	+0.15%	49.09	-4.35%	0.0371	✗	0.28
2026-08-26	oos	50.15	50.2079	+0.12%	51.32	+2.33%	0.0176	✓	0.28
2026-08-25	oos	49.19	49.2373	+0.10%	50.15	+1.95%	0.0167	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	48.74	48.7806	+0.08%	49.19	+0.92%	0.0099	✓	0.26
2026-08-23	oos	51.23	51.2234	-0.01%	48.74	-4.86%	0.0541	✓	0.27
2026-08-22	oos	51.04	51.0153	-0.05%	51.23	+0.37%	0.0019	✗	0.27
2026-08-21	oos	48.94	48.9437	+0.01%	51.04	+4.29%	0.0467	✓	0.29
2026-08-20	oos	49.33	49.2827	-0.10%	48.94	-0.79%	0.0309	✓	0.34
2026-08-19	oos	49.5	49.3941	-0.21%	49.33	-0.34%	0.0211	✓	0.38
2026-08-18	oos	47.82	47.6788	-0.30%	49.5	+3.51%	0.0134	✗	0.35
2026-08-17	oos	49.56	49.3927	-0.34%	47.82	-3.51%	0.0335	✓	0.36
2026-08-16	oos	51.76	51.5454	-0.41%	49.56	-4.25%	0.0499	✓	0.41
2026-08-15	oos	48.79	48.626	-0.34%	51.76	+6.09%	0.0636	✗	0.41
2026-08-14	oos	47.88	47.7303	-0.31%	48.79	+1.90%	0.0217	✗	0.41
2026-08-13	oos	47.76	47.6125	-0.31%	47.88	+0.25%	0.0085	✗	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	50.7	50.5084	-0.38%	47.76	-5.80%	0.0561	✓	0.47
2026-08-11	oos	50.11	49.9325	-0.35%	50.7	+1.18%	0.0160	✗	0.42
2026-08-10	oos	50.56	50.3766	-0.36%	50.11	-0.89%	0.0029	✓	0.41
2026-08-09	oos	51.32	51.1315	-0.37%	50.56	-1.48%	0.0054	✓	0.40
2026-08-08	oos	51.87	51.6736	-0.38%	51.32	-1.06%	0.0065	✓	0.39
2026-08-07	oos	49.98	49.8038	-0.35%	51.87	+3.78%	0.0406	✗	0.37
2026-08-06	oos	51.19	51.0009	-0.37%	49.98	-2.36%	0.0239	✓	0.39
2026-08-05	oos	53.97	53.7374	-0.43%	51.19	-5.15%	0.0466	✓	0.39
2026-08-04	oos	52.79	52.5551	-0.45%	53.97	+2.24%	0.0234	✗	0.36
2026-08-03	oos	51.93	51.7084	-0.43%	52.79	+1.66%	0.0173	✗	0.38
2026-08-02	oos	51.15	50.9441	-0.40%	51.93	+1.52%	0.0194	✗	0.38
2026-08-01	oos	50.17	49.9746	-0.39%	51.15	+1.95%	0.0191	✗	0.36
2026-07-31	oos	49.93	49.7462	-0.37%	50.17	+0.48%	0.0088	✗	0.36
2026-07-30	oos	50.12	49.9679	-0.30%	49.93	-0.38%	0.0101	✗	0.37
2026-07-29	oos	50.39	50.2384	-0.30%	50.12	-0.54%	0.0071	✓	0.37
2026-07-28	oos	50.9	50.7557	-0.28%	50.39	-1.00%	0.0075	✓	0.38
2026-07-27	oos	51.75	51.6078	-0.27%	50.9	-1.64%	0.0147	✓	0.38
2026-07-26	oos	53.22	53.0751	-0.27%	51.75	-2.76%	0.0155	✓	0.38
2026-07-25	oos	55.71	55.5328	-0.32%	53.22	-4.47%	0.0490	✓	0.40
2026-07-24	oos	55.07	54.9036	-0.30%	55.71	+1.16%	0.0132	✗	0.41
2026-07-23	oos	54.58	54.4296	-0.28%	55.07	+0.90%	0.0179	✗	0.41
2026-07-22	oos	56.23	56.0687	-0.29%	54.58	-2.93%	0.0206	✓	0.40
2026-07-21	oos	57.7	57.5167	-0.32%	56.23	-2.55%	0.0200	✓	0.40
2026-07-20	oos	54.24	54.0862	-0.28%	57.7	+6.38%	0.0576	✗	0.36
2026-07-19	oos	53.9	53.7579	-0.26%	54.24	+0.63%	0.0060	✗	0.35
2026-07-18	oos	53.98	53.834	-0.27%	53.9	-0.15%	0.0019	✓	0.35
2026-07-17	oos	53.79	53.6472	-0.27%	53.98	+0.35%	0.0012	✓	0.35
2026-07-16	oos	55.32	55.1575	-0.29%	53.79	-2.77%	0.0258	✓	0.36
2026-07-15	oos	55.75	55.5864	-0.29%	55.32	-0.77%	0.0004	✓	0.36
2026-07-14	oos	56.4	56.2444	-0.28%	55.75	-1.15%	0.0073	✓	0.36
2026-07-13	oos	55.59	55.4423	-0.27%	56.4	+1.46%	0.0020	✓	0.35
2026-07-12	oos	56.69	56.5337	-0.28%	55.59	-1.94%	0.0087	✓	0.35
2026-07-11	oos	57.56	57.394	-0.29%	56.69	-1.51%	0.0122	✓	0.35
2026-07-10	oos	56.68	56.5337	-0.26%	57.56	+1.55%	0.0199	✗	0.35
2026-07-09	oos	57.88	57.7159	-0.28%	56.68	-2.07%	0.0236	✓	0.37
2026-07-08	oos	57.64	57.4863	-0.27%	57.88	+0.42%	0.0014	✓	0.36
2026-07-07	oos	59.51	59.3273	-0.31%	57.64	-3.14%	0.0228	✓	0.35
2026-07-06	oos	59.58	59.3917	-0.32%	59.51	-0.12%	0.0057	✗	0.35
2026-07-05	oos	56.22	56.0808	-0.25%	59.58	+5.98%	0.0584	✗	0.33
2026-07-04	oos	59.06	58.8835	-0.30%	56.22	-4.81%	0.0491	✓	0.35
2026-07-03	oos	61.3	61.0789	-0.36%	59.06	-3.65%	0.0370	✓	0.37
2026-07-02	oos	58.55	58.3784	-0.29%	61.3	+4.70%	0.0432	✗	0.34
2026-07-01	oos	57.1	56.9626	-0.24%	58.55	+2.54%	0.0196	✗	0.31
2026-06-30	oos	55.55	55.4536	-0.17%	57.1	+2.79%	0.0224	✗	0.28
2026-06-29	oos	53.7	53.6203	-0.15%	55.55	+3.45%	0.0445	✗	0.33
2026-06-28	oos	56.38	56.2786	-0.18%	53.7	-4.75%	0.0511	✓	0.37
2026-06-27	oos	54.23	54.151	-0.15%	56.38	+3.96%	0.0432	✗	0.37
2026-06-26	oos	55.55	55.4599	-0.16%	54.23	-2.38%	0.0220	✓	0.38
2026-06-25	oos	55.46	55.3762	-0.15%	55.55	+0.16%	0.0013	✓	0.38
2026-06-24	oos	54.98	54.8977	-0.15%	55.46	+0.87%	0.0185	✗	0.39
2026-06-23	oos	55.25	55.1597	-0.16%	54.98	-0.49%	0.0076	✗	0.40
2026-06-22	oos	56.25	56.144	-0.19%	55.25	-1.78%	0.0079	✓	0.40
2026-06-21	oos	55.81	55.717	-0.17%	56.25	+0.79%	0.0051	✗	0.39
2026-06-20	oos	55.25	55.1564	-0.17%	55.81	+1.01%	0.0180	✗	0.40
2026-06-19	oos	54.39	54.3155	-0.14%	55.25	+1.58%	0.0125	✗	0.39
2026-06-18	oos	58.61	58.4934	-0.20%	54.39	-7.20%	0.0769	✓	0.44
2026-06-17	oos	58.31	58.1823	-0.22%	58.61	+0.51%	0.0187	✗	0.46
2026-06-16	oos	61.91	61.7194	-0.31%	58.31	-5.81%	0.0492	✓	0.43
2026-06-15	oos	62.39	62.1588	-0.37%	61.91	-0.77%	0.0002	✓	0.43
2026-06-14	oos	62.61	62.3958	-0.34%	62.39	-0.35%	0.0038	✓	0.43
2026-06-13	oos	62.58	62.3956	-0.29%	62.61	+0.05%	0.0051	✓	0.44
2026-06-12	oos	67.69	67.4374	-0.37%	62.58	-7.55%	0.0820	✓	0.52
2026-06-11	oos	66.39	66.1517	-0.36%	67.69	+1.96%	0.0232	✗	0.51
2026-06-10	oos	62.67	62.5522	-0.19%	66.39	+5.94%	0.0453	✗	0.42
2026-06-09	oos	64.56	64.4204	-0.22%	62.67	-2.93%	0.0259	✓	0.42
2026-06-08	oos	68.12	67.8755	-0.36%	64.56	-5.23%	0.0418	✓	0.38
2026-06-07	oos	68.27	68.0337	-0.35%	68.12	-0.22%	0.0027	✓	0.38
2026-06-06	oos	67.69	67.5511	-0.21%	68.27	+0.86%	0.0050	✓	0.39
2026-06-05	oos	68.08	67.9373	-0.21%	67.69	-0.57%	0.0025	✓	0.39
2026-06-04	oos	72.77	72.4812	-0.40%	68.08	-6.44%	0.0518	✓	0.24
2026-06-03	oos	72.45	72.1271	-0.45%	72.77	+0.44%	0.0098	✗	0.24
2026-06-02	oos	74.19	73.7977	-0.53%	72.45	-2.35%	0.0105	✓	0.20
2026-06-01	oos	74.83	74.3358	-0.66%	74.19	-0.86%	0.0140	✗	0.24
2026-05-31	oos	75.29	74.7682	-0.69%	74.83	-0.61%	0.0083	✗	0.24
2026-05-30	oos	74.14	73.6386	-0.68%	75.29	+1.55%	0.0228	✗	0.24
2026-05-29	oos	75.39	74.8518	-0.71%	74.14	-1.66%	0.0110	✓	0.26
2026-05-28	oos	75.53	74.9531	-0.76%	75.39	-0.19%	0.0063	✓	0.26
2026-05-27	oos	73.51	73.0183	-0.67%	75.53	+2.75%	0.0371	✗	0.31
2026-05-26	oos	73.92	73.4191	-0.68%	73.51	-0.55%	0.0074	✗	0.31
2026-05-25	oos	73.11	72.6238	-0.67%	73.92	+1.11%	0.0244	✗	0.36
2026-05-24	oos	76.94	76.3927	-0.71%	73.11	-4.98%	0.0453	✓	0.40
2026-05-23	oos	75.13	74.613	-0.69%	76.94	+2.41%	0.0291	✗	0.38
2026-05-22	oos	74.68	74.1754	-0.68%	75.13	+0.60%	0.0031	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	76.83	76.3134	-0.67%	74.68	-2.80%	0.0059	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	75.56	75.0427	-0.68%	76.83	+1.68%	0.0226	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	73.85	73.3721	-0.65%	75.56	+2.32%	0.0202	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	78.89	78.301	-0.75%	73.85	-6.39%	0.0562	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	76.87	76.3257	-0.71%	78.89	+2.63%	0.0391	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	76.84	76.3657	-0.62%	76.87	+0.04%	0.0156	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	76.54	76.103	-0.57%	76.84	+0.39%	0.0218	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	83.61	83.1408	-0.56%	76.54	-8.46%	0.0575	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	87.95	87.3358	-0.70%	83.61	-4.93%	0.0659	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	87.08	86.4968	-0.67%	87.95	+1.00%	0.0316	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	86.93	86.3753	-0.64%	87.08	+0.17%	0.0234	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	79.97	79.6332	-0.42%	86.93	+8.70%	0.0934	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	81.29	80.8878	-0.49%	79.97	-1.62%	0.0304	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	81.16	80.7305	-0.53%	81.29	+0.16%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	78.74	78.3328	-0.52%	81.16	+3.07%	0.0332	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	77.49	77.1739	-0.41%	78.74	+1.61%	0.0378	✗	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	73.22	73.032	-0.26%	77.49	+5.83%	0.0527	✗	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	72.92	72.7332	-0.26%	73.22	+0.41%	0.0065	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	73.69	73.4596	-0.31%	72.92	-1.04%	0.0237	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	73.92	73.7008	-0.30%	73.69	-0.31%	0.0014	✓	1.00