INIT

Initia · Initia · gru_s8

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,611

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

56.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0982

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0212

actual -0.0065

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.12675	0.121152	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.121664	-4.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.118403	-4.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.120525	-4.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.118704	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.119971	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.133859	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.120781	-4.71%	0.12675	+0.00%	0.0405	✓	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.117823	-4.90%	0.1272	+2.66%	0.0777	✗	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.114574	-5.11%	0.12365	+2.40%	0.0756	✗	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.112449	-4.46%	0.12605	+7.09%	0.1264	✗	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.111813	-5.08%	0.1242	+5.43%	0.1167	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.104866	-4.41%	0.1256	+14.49%	0.1884	✗	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.108908	-4.93%	0.14145	+23.48%	0.2581	✗	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.111709	-4.52%	0.12675	+8.33%	0.1395	✗	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.108326	-3.97%	0.1239	+9.84%	0.1538	✗	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.113384	-4.48%	0.12075	+1.73%	0.0948	✗	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.112412	-4.45%	0.1177	+0.04%	0.0687	✗	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.107421	-4.81%	0.1178	+4.39%	0.1069	✗	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.10504	-4.64%	0.1097	-0.41%	0.0591	✗	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.100574	-4.26%	0.11455	+9.04%	0.1558	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.09864	-4.88%	0.117	+12.83%	0.1730	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.097124	-5.66%	0.1128	+9.57%	0.1347	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.086174	-3.93%	0.1187	+32.33%	0.3010	✗	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.086576	-3.48%	0.11765	+31.16%	0.2895	✗	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.090576	-3.85%	0.11285	+19.80%	0.2171	✗	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.095526	-4.33%	0.11015	+10.32%	0.1389	✗	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.095099	-4.81%	0.10505	+5.16%	0.0956	✗	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.08536	-3.77%	0.1037	+16.91%	0.2018	✗	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.086542	-4.06%	0.10295	+14.14%	0.1961	✗	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.079652	-3.63%	0.0897	+8.53%	0.1496	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.072158	-1.96%	0.0897	+21.87%	0.1894	✗	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.074155	-2.17%	0.0942	+24.27%	0.2118	✗	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.074383	-2.26%	0.09985	+31.21%	0.2663	✗	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.073695	-3.03%	0.0999	+31.45%	0.2258	✗	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.067316	-1.44%	0.0887	+29.87%	0.1964	✗	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.066238	-1.43%	0.0902	+34.23%	0.2091	✗	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.068525	-1.69%	0.08265	+18.58%	0.1114	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.064198	-0.85%	0.0736	+13.67%	0.0980	✗	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.068755	-1.85%	0.0758	+8.21%	0.0636	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.068902	-1.85%	0.0761	+8.40%	0.0679	✗	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.068561	-2.20%	0.076	+8.42%	0.1046	✗	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.065511	-0.82%	0.0683	+3.41%	0.0617	✗	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.065373	-0.80%	0.0672	+1.97%	0.0557	✗	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.06671	-1.02%	0.0697	+3.41%	0.0527	✗	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.066935	-0.91%	0.06475	-4.15%	0.0014	✓	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.067024	-1.00%	0.07005	+3.47%	0.0689	✗	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.063192	-0.33%	0.0702	+10.73%	0.1286	✗	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.061888	+0.06%	0.0701	+13.34%	0.1712	✓	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.060706	-0.89%	0.06605	+7.84%	0.0738	✗	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.05882	-0.89%	0.0659	+11.04%	0.1020	✗	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.058353	-0.76%	0.0674	+14.63%	0.1387	✗	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.054022	-0.51%	0.06755	+24.40%	0.1930	✗	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.056713	-0.59%	0.0677	+18.67%	0.1591	✗	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.053282	-0.59%	0.0634	+18.28%	0.1535	✗	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.054572	-0.14%	0.06185	+13.17%	0.1143	✗	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.05428	-0.77%	0.06125	+11.97%	0.1406	✗	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.053144	-1.03%	0.05935	+10.52%	0.1236	✗	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.053856	-1.09%	0.0588	+7.99%	0.0930	✗	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.055763	-1.83%	0.0543	-4.40%	0.0257	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.054454	-1.80%	0.05705	+2.89%	0.0313	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.056568	-2.05%	0.0536	-7.19%	0.0477	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.05342	-2.61%	0.05465	-0.36%	0.0745	✓	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.051752	-3.00%	0.0547	+2.53%	0.0869	✓	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.049666	-2.90%	0.0537	+4.99%	0.1462	✓	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.049886	-2.85%	0.05445	+6.04%	0.1485	✓	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.049394	-2.96%	0.0568	+11.59%	0.1116	✓	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.050026	-2.86%	0.05545	+7.67%	0.1343	✓	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.04959	-3.15%	0.05775	+12.79%	0.1048	✓	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.049981	-3.14%	0.05485	+6.30%	0.0740	✓	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.049662	-3.00%	0.05335	+4.20%	0.0362	✓	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.050704	-3.24%	0.05115	-2.39%	0.0122	✓	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.050971	-3.00%	0.05135	-2.28%	0.0031	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.051931	-3.29%	0.0509	-5.21%	0.0169	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.051221	-3.54%	0.0515	-3.01%	0.0401	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.049739	-2.66%	0.0512	+0.20%	0.0625	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.049378	-2.89%	0.0516	+1.47%	0.0591	✗	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.04928	-2.71%	0.0512	+1.09%	0.0593	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.047943	-2.95%	0.0524	+6.07%	0.0975	✗	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.048548	-2.51%	0.05255	+5.52%	0.0715	✗	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.048856	-2.48%	0.0537	+7.19%	0.0715	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.050072	-2.58%	0.0531	+3.31%	0.0215	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.048137	-2.46%	0.0511	+3.55%	0.0240	✓	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.047318	-2.23%	0.05085	+5.06%	0.0801	✗	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.047092	-2.10%	0.05065	+5.30%	0.0604	✗	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.048225	-2.28%	0.0494	+0.10%	0.0205	✓	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.049878	-2.01%	0.0498	-2.16%	0.0025	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.053237	-2.14%	0.0501	-7.90%	0.0297	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.054112	-2.33%	0.0514	-7.22%	0.0249	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.053857	-2.26%	0.04935	-10.44%	0.0656	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.054397	-2.51%	0.0484	-13.26%	0.1112	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.054398	-2.16%	0.0481	-13.49%	0.0867	✓	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.054163	-1.79%	0.04935	-10.52%	0.0489	✓	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.052948	-1.95%	0.0509	-5.74%	0.0149	✓	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.05183	-0.99%	0.0544	+3.92%	0.0381	✗	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.052183	-0.98%	0.0554	+5.12%	0.0681	✗	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.052054	-0.94%	0.0551	+4.85%	0.0537	✗	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.052507	-0.93%	0.0558	+5.28%	0.0398	✗	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.054026	-0.87%	0.0556	+2.02%	0.0063	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.054446	-0.74%	0.05515	+0.55%	0.0122	✓	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.052932	-0.88%	0.054	+1.12%	0.0315	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.054736	-0.84%	0.05235	-5.16%	0.0608	✓	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.05575	-0.89%	0.0527	-6.31%	0.0736	✓	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.056399	-0.97%	0.05255	-7.73%	0.0666	✓	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.054946	-1.00%	0.053	-4.50%	0.0465	✓	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.054166	-0.98%	0.0545	-0.37%	0.0380	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.054474	-0.96%	0.05485	-0.27%	0.0224	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.056723	-1.09%	0.0534	-6.89%	0.0297	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.057318	-1.18%	0.0552	-4.83%	0.0402	✓	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.057632	-1.31%	0.05625	-3.68%	0.0352	✓	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.057515	-1.35%	0.05695	-2.32%	0.0347	✓	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.056326	-1.36%	0.0555	-2.80%	0.0411	✓	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.056549	-1.48%	0.0547	-4.70%	0.0702	✓	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.051869	-1.01%	0.055	+4.96%	0.0138	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.05297	-1.08%	0.05735	+7.10%	0.0223	✗	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.051581	-0.90%	0.058	+11.43%	0.0579	✗	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.052014	-0.93%	0.0584	+11.24%	0.0707	✗	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.054577	-1.04%	0.0583	+5.71%	0.0297	✗	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.051344	-0.78%	0.0571	+10.34%	0.0806	✗	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.052879	-0.98%	0.0574	+7.49%	0.0975	✗	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.058334	-1.46%	0.0524	-11.49%	0.0525	✓	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.057575	-1.58%	0.05355	-8.46%	0.0231	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.054956	-1.34%	0.05205	-6.55%	0.0061	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.056093	-1.50%	0.0525	-7.81%	0.0104	✓	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.056984	-1.50%	0.05515	-4.67%	0.0129	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.058694	-1.60%	0.05175	-13.24%	0.0830	✓	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.058721	-1.80%	0.0534	-10.70%	0.0489	✓	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.059078	-2.03%	0.0592	-1.82%	0.0416	✗	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.057543	-1.97%	0.0585	-0.34%	0.0489	✗	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.058442	-2.11%	0.0557	-6.70%	0.0136	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.057737	-1.89%	0.05695	-3.23%	0.0109	✓	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.058817	-2.38%	0.05785	-3.98%	0.0157	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.057063	-1.61%	0.05965	+2.84%	0.0539	✗	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.054	-0.92%	0.0598	+9.72%	0.0622	✗	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.056177	-1.36%	0.0603	+5.88%	0.0194	✗	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.057456	-1.11%	0.0587	+1.03%	0.0204	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.054178	-0.04%	0.0597	+10.15%	0.0650	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.053579	+0.71%	0.05885	+10.62%	0.0453	✓	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.05573	+0.60%	0.06025	+8.75%	0.0435	✓	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.058557	-0.07%	0.058	-1.02%	0.0063	✓	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.06444	-0.86%	0.0545	-16.15%	0.1377	✓	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.06311	-1.24%	0.05695	-10.88%	0.0451	✓	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.069197	-3.89%	0.0581	-19.31%	0.1212	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.070916	-4.17%	0.0542	-26.76%	0.2065	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.066938	-2.56%	0.0532	-22.56%	0.1378	✓	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.062819	+0.03%	0.0554	-11.78%	0.0355	✗	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.063285	+0.13%	0.0586	-7.28%	0.0089	✗	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.066821	-0.49%	0.065	-3.20%	0.0408	✗	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.076467	-1.65%	0.0639	-17.81%	0.1304	✓	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.07991	-2.19%	0.072	-11.87%	0.0782	✓	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.079539	-2.17%	0.074	-8.98%	0.0570	✓	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.081012	-2.39%	0.0687	-17.23%	0.1506	✓	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.079218	-2.08%	0.0628	-22.37%	0.2218	✓	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.083745	-2.62%	0.0632	-26.51%	0.2632	✓	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.082802	-2.59%	0.06715	-21.00%	0.1954	✓	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.081108	-2.34%	0.07775	-6.38%	0.0382	✓	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.082438	-2.21%	0.0817	-3.08%	0.0105	✓	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.082416	-2.18%	0.0813	-3.50%	0.0112	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.083511	-2.04%	0.083	-2.64%	0.0019	✓	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.086866	-1.79%	0.0809	-8.54%	0.0594	✓	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.093177	-1.87%	0.086	-9.43%	0.0707	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.095608	-2.14%	0.085	-13.00%	0.1130	✓	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.101689	-2.41%	0.08305	-20.30%	0.1944	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.099978	-1.98%	0.0843	-17.35%	0.1627	✓	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.103026	-2.07%	0.08425	-19.91%	0.1933	✓	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.107446	-3.03%	0.08525	-23.06%	0.2264	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.099964	-2.38%	0.08845	-13.62%	0.1205	✓	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.105729	-3.84%	0.09495	-13.64%	0.1092	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.097893	-1.96%	0.0977	-2.15%	0.0082	✓	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.089409	-1.31%	0.1042	+15.01%	0.1562	✗	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.088651	-1.50%	0.102	+13.33%	0.1260	✗	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.087321	-1.89%	0.1052	+18.20%	0.1580	✗	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.087377	-1.93%	0.1108	+24.35%	0.2222	✗	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.088692	-2.00%	0.1024	+13.15%	0.1281	✗	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.088762	-2.35%	0.10995	+20.96%	0.1780	✗	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.088759	-2.36%	0.09985	+9.85%	0.0632	✗	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.092197	-2.59%	0.0906	-4.28%	0.0633	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.088481	-2.07%	0.09	-0.39%	0.0081	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.088973	-1.90%	0.089	-1.87%	0.0015	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.087421	-2.05%	0.0891	-0.17%	0.0086	✓	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.090705	-2.31%	0.0905	-2.53%	0.0100	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.083783	-1.55%	0.0909	+6.82%	0.1017	✗	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.086947	-1.75%	0.0909	+2.71%	0.0697	✗	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.088022	-2.09%	0.09465	+5.28%	0.0729	✗	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.092331	-2.45%	0.09035	-4.54%	0.0375	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.086294	-2.38%	0.0907	+2.60%	0.0020	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.091284	-2.99%	0.08925	-5.15%	0.0428	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.088661	-1.92%	0.09285	+2.71%	0.0423	✗	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.085282	-1.86%	0.0851	-2.07%	0.0351	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.081973	-1.77%	0.0885	+6.05%	0.0410	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.078752	-1.68%	0.0899	+12.23%	0.1093	✗	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.078355	-1.69%	0.09465	+18.76%	0.1738	✗	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.075122	-1.80%	0.0884	+15.56%	0.1273	✗	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.080932	-2.02%	0.0941	+13.92%	0.1218	✗	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.081914	-2.13%	0.0904	+8.00%	0.0542	✗	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.078563	-2.04%	0.0869	+8.35%	0.0640	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.080248	-2.20%	0.08345	+1.71%	0.0025	✓	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.080093	-2.21%	0.0801	-2.20%	0.0251	✓	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.082622	-2.85%	0.0797	-6.29%	0.1028	✓	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.078039	-2.08%	0.0765	-4.02%	0.0413	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.080158	-2.13%	0.0826	+0.85%	0.0412	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.080606	-2.30%	0.0837	+1.45%	0.0369	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.07844	-2.38%	0.0802	-0.19%	0.0390	✓	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.077038	-1.93%	0.08205	+4.46%	0.0255	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.074059	-1.78%	0.0819	+8.62%	0.0542	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.075649	-1.75%	0.08505	+10.45%	0.0892	✗	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.07668	-1.82%	0.0797	+2.05%	0.0018	✓	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.077907	-2.00%	0.0819	+3.02%	0.0370	✗	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.075506	-1.81%	0.0825	+7.28%	0.0805	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.081435	-2.36%	0.08035	-3.66%	0.0103	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.080119	-2.29%	0.07855	-4.21%	0.0207	✓	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.082085	-3.20%	0.0754	-11.08%	0.0553	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.079046	-2.05%	0.077	-4.58%	0.0273	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.075297	-1.83%	0.0781	+1.83%	0.0615	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.075636	-1.77%	0.0795	+3.25%	0.0838	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.078207	-1.75%	0.0769	-3.39%	0.0364	✗	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.08015	-1.66%	0.0834	+2.33%	0.0544	✗	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.083986	-1.77%	0.082	-4.09%	0.0246	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.090983	-1.96%	0.0848	-8.62%	0.0286	✓	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.088488	-1.57%	0.0807	-10.23%	0.0425	✓	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.090173	-1.99%	0.0767	-16.63%	0.0963	✓	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.089497	-2.19%	0.077	-15.85%	0.1196	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.083029	-1.74%	0.0796	-5.80%	0.0363	✓	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.087404	-2.45%	0.0815	-9.04%	0.0617	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.087531	-2.20%	0.0855	-4.47%	0.0374	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.082853	-1.83%	0.0928	+9.95%	0.0615	✗	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.079849	-1.78%	0.0899	+10.58%	0.0341	✗	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.079605	-1.84%	0.092	+13.44%	0.0496	✗	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.0828	-2.13%	0.0915	+8.16%	0.0449	✗	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.08445	-3.04%	0.0845	-2.99%	0.0376	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.079893	-1.37%	0.0896	+10.62%	0.1196	✗	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.077923	-1.24%	0.0895	+13.43%	0.1731	✗	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.082238	-1.75%	0.0844	+0.84%	0.0000	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.078995	-1.62%	0.0813	+1.25%	0.0351	✗	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.074336	-1.41%	0.0811	+7.56%	0.0839	✗	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.078332	-1.65%	0.0846	+6.21%	0.0722	✗	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.079535	-1.81%	0.0871	+7.53%	0.0540	✗	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.080126	-1.93%	0.081	-0.86%	0.0433	✓	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.080167	-1.94%	0.0789	-3.49%	0.0895	✓	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.080276	-1.98%	0.0837	+2.20%	0.0341	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.08362	-2.20%	0.0803	-6.08%	0.1141	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.087469	-2.54%	0.0754	-15.99%	0.1161	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.091438	-2.98%	0.07965	-15.49%	0.1210	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.096965	-3.56%	0.081	-19.44%	0.1431	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.097246	-3.76%	0.0817	-19.15%	0.1832	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.097099	-4.62%	0.08175	-19.70%	0.2001	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.106607	-5.99%	0.0819	-27.78%	0.2075	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.115749	-9.07%	0.0855	-32.84%	0.2356	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.100921	-7.58%	0.08975	-17.81%	0.0992	✓	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.069762	-1.40%	0.09425	+33.22%	0.3304	✗	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.068532	-1.04%	0.10055	+45.20%	0.3968	✗	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.070351	-1.05%	0.10105	+42.12%	0.3488	✗	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.069909	-1.12%	0.1018	+43.99%	0.3861	✗	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.065608	-0.22%	0.1134	+72.47%	0.5701	✗	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.066277	-0.41%	0.1273	+91.28%	0.6736	✗	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.067544	-0.45%	0.1092	+60.94%	0.5056	✗	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.070399	-0.57%	0.07075	-0.07%	0.0043	✓	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.069144	-0.51%	0.06925	-0.36%	0.0308	✗	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.062052	+1.47%	0.0711	+16.27%	0.0723	✓	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.071372	-1.01%	0.0707	-1.94%	0.1042	✗	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.076719	-1.77%	0.06575	-15.81%	0.0307	✓	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.079451	-2.21%	0.06655	-18.09%	0.0263	✓	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.080291	-2.20%	0.06785	-17.36%	0.0493	✓	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.084962	-2.79%	0.0708	-18.99%	0.0090	✓	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.102303	-4.57%	0.0695	-35.17%	0.1791	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.086162	-2.64%	0.06115	-30.90%	0.0103	✓	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.094097	-3.49%	0.0721	-26.05%	0.0395	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.08939	-2.84%	0.0781	-15.11%	0.0559	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.086955	-2.95%	0.08125	-9.32%	0.0650	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.086693	-3.99%	0.0821	-9.08%	0.0845	✗	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.086439	-3.42%	0.0874	-2.35%	0.1615	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.079076	-2.86%	0.1072	+31.70%	0.3791	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.078141	-2.93%	0.0885	+9.94%	0.1931	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.078264	-3.14%	0.0975	+20.67%	0.2225	✗	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.076567	-3.20%	0.092	+16.31%	0.1725	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.082587	-3.07%	0.0896	+5.16%	0.1393	✗	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.090601	-3.41%	0.0903	-3.73%	0.0921	✗	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.089716	-3.01%	0.0895	-3.24%	0.0775	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.093082	-2.94%	0.0814	-15.12%	0.0541	✓	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.091684	-3.59%	0.0805	-15.35%	0.0487	✓	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.08989	-2.93%	0.0808	-12.74%	0.0050	✓	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.087651	-2.83%	0.0791	-12.31%	0.0068	✓	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.079405	-3.05%	0.0852	+4.03%	0.0526	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.083252	-3.98%	0.0938	+8.19%	0.0827	✗	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.086445	-2.87%	0.0925	+3.93%	0.0043	✓	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.088645	-2.91%	0.0959	+5.04%	0.0083	✓	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.089377	-2.85%	0.0951	+3.37%	0.0039	✓	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.090023	-2.89%	0.0926	-0.11%	0.0892	✓	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.093762	-2.74%	0.0902	-6.43%	0.0732	✓	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.095191	-2.67%	0.0819	-16.26%	0.0934	✓	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.095318	-2.94%	0.0867	-11.71%	0.0811	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.094036	-2.65%	0.089	-7.87%	0.0500	✓	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.091859	-2.59%	0.0913	-3.18%	0.0185	✓	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.087816	-2.53%	0.092	+2.11%	0.0043	✓	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.085114	-2.39%	0.0927	+6.31%	0.0018	✓	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.086934	-2.54%	0.0964	+8.07%	0.0131	✓	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.086723	-2.89%	0.0978	+9.52%	0.0271	✓	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.085921	-2.47%	0.0982	+11.46%	0.0539	✗	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.09032	-3.19%	0.0966	+3.54%	0.0061	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.098129	-5.28%	0.0943	-8.98%	0.0991	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.087676	-3.55%	0.0901	-0.88%	0.0077	✓	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.081934	-2.11%	0.0872	+4.18%	0.0648	✗	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.081949	-1.74%	0.0892	+6.95%	0.0631	✗	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.082681	-1.92%	0.0893	+5.93%	0.1096	✗	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.082212	-1.78%	0.0881	+5.26%	0.0863	✗	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.084973	-2.44%	0.0933	+7.12%	0.1052	✗	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.082539	-2.44%	0.1036	+22.46%	0.2455	✗	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.076044	-1.11%	0.0909	+18.21%	0.1394	✗	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.08071	-1.09%	0.0837	+2.57%	0.0046	✓	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.084994	-1.40%	0.0834	-3.25%	0.0093	✓	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.082177	-1.11%	0.0843	+1.44%	0.0228	✓	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.083853	-1.23%	0.0837	-1.41%	0.0124	✓	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.087738	-1.53%	0.0871	-2.24%	0.0359	✗	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.085315	-1.37%	0.0846	-2.20%	0.0405	✗	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.08938	-1.35%	0.0769	-15.12%	0.0090	✓	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.092298	-1.50%	0.0816	-12.91%	0.0084	✓	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.096683	-1.74%	0.0862	-12.40%	0.0070	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.092443	-1.55%	0.0831	-11.50%	0.0111	✓	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.089119	-1.53%	0.0849	-6.19%	0.0012	✓	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.097537	-1.68%	0.0891	-10.18%	0.1129	✓	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.098715	-1.68%	0.0865	-13.84%	0.1534	✓	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.100874	-1.87%	0.0906	-11.87%	0.1175	✓	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.100318	-2.03%	0.0937	-8.50%	0.0362	✓	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.102091	-1.84%	0.0984	-5.38%	0.0688	✓	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.100373	-1.40%	0.0939	-7.76%	0.1789	✓	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.113777	-2.04%	0.0905	-22.08%	0.2297	✓	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.112313	-2.08%	0.0992	-13.51%	0.0855	✓	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.114502	-2.14%	0.1004	-14.19%	0.0928	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.118964	-2.45%	0.1028	-15.70%	0.1649	✓	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.108463	-2.02%	0.1024	-7.50%	0.1280	✓	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.106299	-1.25%	0.104	-3.39%	0.1208	✓	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.106156	-1.43%	0.1018	-5.48%	0.0087	✓	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.105392	-1.32%	0.11615	+8.75%	0.0066	✓	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.103647	-0.91%	0.1147	+9.66%	0.0617	✓	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.109453	-1.26%	0.117	+5.55%	0.0872	✓	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.125666	-2.40%	0.12195	-5.28%	0.1523	✓	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.117917	-1.24%	0.1107	-7.29%	0.0347	✓	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.117224	-1.29%	0.10765	-9.35%	0.0774	✗	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.117289	-1.27%	0.1077	-9.34%	0.0267	✗	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.118552	-1.45%	0.1068	-11.22%	0.1113	✗	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.123248	-1.60%	0.1046	-16.49%	0.1559	✗	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.118969	-1.31%	0.11085	-8.05%	0.2077	✗	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.121762	-1.84%	0.12875	+3.79%	0.4532	✗	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.124146	-1.86%	0.1194	-5.61%	0.2621	✗	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.121075	-1.84%	0.11875	-3.73%	0.2775	✗	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.130057	-1.84%	0.1188	-10.34%	0.3148	✗	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.128871	-2.22%	0.1203	-8.73%	0.2394	✗	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.129418	-1.25%	0.12525	-4.43%	0.1688	✗	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.131167	-1.42%	0.12055	-9.39%	0.1741	✗	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.116183	-0.31%	0.12405	+6.44%	0.1132	✗	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.118488	-0.60%	0.1265	+6.12%	0.1281	✗	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.115832	-0.06%	0.12335	+6.43%	0.0194	✗	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.121433	-0.75%	0.1325	+8.30%	0.1038	✗	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.136173	-1.11%	0.1318	-4.28%	0.1327	✗	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.135464	-0.83%	0.13105	-4.06%	0.1909	✗	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.133491	-0.86%	0.13305	-1.19%	0.1788	✗	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.136115	-0.68%	0.11655	-14.96%	0.0528	✗	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.153569	-0.89%	0.1192	-23.07%	0.0751	✓	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.157586	-0.86%	0.1159	-27.08%	0.0248	✗	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.161019	-0.97%	0.12235	-24.75%	0.0620	✓	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.17208	-1.13%	0.1377	-20.88%	0.1120	✓	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.16846	-1.08%	0.1366	-19.79%	0.1636	✓	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.170454	-1.04%	0.13465	-21.83%	0.1930	✓	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.164771	-0.95%	0.13705	-17.61%	0.1318	✓	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.158628	-0.67%	0.15495	-2.97%	0.0947	✓	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.16615	-0.84%	0.15895	-5.13%	0.1749	✓	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.178604	-1.19%	0.1626	-10.04%	0.1930	✓	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.178993	-1.03%	0.17405	-3.76%	0.1921	✓	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.173751	-0.83%	0.1703	-2.80%	0.1471	✓	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.172104	-0.60%	0.17225	-0.52%	0.1296	✓	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.175836	-0.85%	0.16635	-6.20%	0.1102	✓	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.182626	-1.04%	0.1597	-13.47%	0.0410	✓	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.193616	-1.29%	0.16755	-14.58%	0.0103	✓	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.207033	-1.58%	0.18075	-14.07%	0.0047	✓	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.190725	-1.46%	0.18085	-6.56%	0.1253	✗	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.172557	-0.94%	0.1752	+0.57%	0.1170	✗	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.191665	-1.36%	0.17315	-10.89%	0.0826	✗	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.301508	-2.09%	0.17735	-42.41%	0.2588	✓	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.314985	-2.21%	0.18455	-42.70%	0.2900	✓	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.304779	-2.44%	0.19615	-37.21%	0.2489	✓	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.329869	-2.69%	0.21035	-37.95%	0.2382	✓	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.311103	-2.90%	0.19355	-39.59%	0.2860	✓	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.317079	-2.56%	0.1742	-46.47%	0.3277	✓	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.326681	-2.93%	0.1943	-42.27%	0.3047	✓	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.327702	-4.21%	0.30795	-9.98%	0.0868	✓	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.314439	-2.92%	0.3221	-0.56%	0.0823	✓	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.303945	-2.25%	0.3124	+0.47%	0.1496	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.30482	-2.33%	0.339	+8.62%	0.1517	✓	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.31168	-2.62%	0.3204	+0.11%	0.2672	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.300339	-2.47%	0.3254	+5.67%	0.2601	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.305559	-2.27%	0.33655	+7.64%	0.2395	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.293001	-1.99%	0.3421	+14.43%	0.1561	✓	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.316958	-2.35%	0.3239	-0.22%	0.1233	✓	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.310479	-2.24%	0.31095	-2.09%	0.0561	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.318029	-2.37%	0.3121	-4.19%	0.0634	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.352269	-2.63%	0.32005	-11.54%	0.0123	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.358503	-2.77%	0.30795	-16.48%	0.0124	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.360077	-3.17%	0.31265	-15.92%	0.0214	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.382069	-3.63%	0.29895	-24.59%	0.0274	✓	3.05
2025-09-17	oos	0.3719	0.361488	-2.80%	0.3246	-12.72%	0.0239	✓	3.07

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.