HANDL

HandlPay · Base · gru_s8

token id: #867
symbol: HANDL
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x3bbcb624cb9a1f73163a886f460f47603e5e4425
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 606

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

195

of 202 predictions shown

direction hit

59.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2745

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0342

actual +0.0214

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002587	0.002548	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-10-20	oos	0.002568	0.002535	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-19	oos	0.002577	0.002545	-1.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-18	oos	0.002627	0.002591	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-17	oos	0.00268	0.002638	-1.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-16	oos	0.002766	0.002715	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.002896	0.002833	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-14	oos	0.002931	0.002863	-2.33%	0.002587	-11.73%	0.1139	✓	0.92
2026-10-13	oos	0.003045	0.002961	-2.77%	0.002568	-15.68%	0.1406	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.00257	0.002534	-1.43%	0.002577	+0.26%	0.0160	✗	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.002744	0.002693	-1.84%	0.002627	-4.24%	0.0111	✓	0.68
2026-10-10	oos	0.002932	0.002865	-2.30%	0.00268	-8.60%	0.0516	✓	0.80
2026-10-09	oos	0.003323	0.003212	-3.37%	0.002766	-16.78%	0.1393	✓	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.003348	0.003233	-3.43%	0.002896	-13.52%	0.1144	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.003766	0.003594	-4.58%	0.002931	-22.18%	0.1878	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	0.004313	0.00404	-6.34%	0.003045	-29.39%	0.2622	✓	0.70
2026-10-05	oos	0.003204	0.003094	-3.43%	0.00257	-19.77%	0.1472	✓	0.80
2026-10-04	oos	0.002963	0.002883	-2.70%	0.002744	-7.40%	0.0190	✓	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.002505	0.002464	-1.65%	0.002932	+17.04%	0.1921	✗	0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.00233	0.002304	-1.11%	0.003323	+42.65%	0.3858	✗	0.83
2026-10-01	oos	0.002286	0.002267	-0.84%	0.003348	+46.45%	0.4203	✗	0.80
2026-09-30	oos	0.002259	0.00224	-0.85%	0.003766	+66.72%	0.5223	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.002245	0.002229	-0.72%	0.004313	+92.12%	0.6448	✗	0.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.002244	0.002229	-0.67%	0.003204	+42.74%	0.3455	✗	0.63
2026-09-27	oos	0.002407	0.002382	-1.02%	0.002963	+23.11%	0.2034	✗	0.62
2026-09-26	oos	0.002653	0.002607	-1.73%	0.002505	-5.57%	0.0424	✓	0.67
2026-09-25	oos	0.002693	0.002638	-2.03%	0.00233	-13.49%	0.1271	✓	0.56
2026-09-24	oos	0.002335	0.002313	-0.93%	0.002286	-2.10%	0.0150	✓	0.58
2026-09-23	oos	0.002356	0.002332	-1.00%	0.002259	-4.09%	0.0261	✓	0.58
2026-09-22	oos	0.002528	0.002498	-1.20%	0.002245	-11.21%	0.0900	✓	0.55
2026-09-21	oos	0.002459	0.002435	-0.98%	0.002244	-8.73%	0.0664	✓	0.41
2026-09-20	oos	0.002342	0.002311	-1.31%	0.002407	+2.77%	0.0275	✗	0.33
2026-09-19	oos	0.002353	0.002322	-1.33%	0.002653	+12.74%	0.1202	✗	0.34
2026-09-18	oos	0.002306	0.002278	-1.19%	0.002693	+16.79%	0.1540	✗	0.34
2026-09-17	oos	0.002375	0.002334	-1.69%	0.002335	-1.66%	0.0464	✓	0.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.002358	0.002318	-1.68%	0.002356	-0.11%	0.0359	✓	0.50
2026-09-15	oos	0.002162	0.002133	-1.35%	0.002528	+16.92%	0.0736	✗	0.73
2026-09-14	oos	0.002293	0.002266	-1.21%	0.002459	+7.24%	0.0187	✗	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.002153	0.00213	-1.04%	0.002342	+8.78%	0.0743	✗	0.37
2026-09-12	oos	0.002319	0.002292	-1.19%	0.002353	+1.44%	0.0059	✓	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	0.002513	0.002471	-1.65%	0.002306	-8.24%	0.0976	✓	0.61
2026-09-10	oos	0.002318	0.002291	-1.18%	0.002375	+2.45%	0.0375	✗	0.61
2026-09-09	oos	0.002295	0.00228	-0.65%	0.002358	+2.75%	0.0506	✗	0.61
2026-09-08	oos	0.002464	0.002443	-0.87%	0.002162	-12.25%	0.0960	✓	0.70
2026-09-07	oos	0.00247	0.002449	-0.85%	0.002293	-7.17%	0.0586	✓	0.62
2026-09-06	oos	0.002376	0.002371	-0.23%	0.002153	-9.40%	0.0717	✓	0.55
2026-09-05	oos	0.002098	0.002093	-0.21%	0.002319	+10.58%	0.1203	✗	0.54
2026-09-04	oos	0.00193	0.001924	-0.28%	0.002513	+30.24%	0.2873	✗	0.65
2026-09-03	oos	0.001971	0.001977	+0.29%	0.002318	+17.58%	0.1979	✓	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.001953	0.001943	-0.53%	0.002295	+17.50%	0.1562	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.002051	0.002044	-0.35%	0.002464	+20.17%	0.1761	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.002147	0.002148	+0.03%	0.00247	+15.06%	0.1347	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.002273	0.002274	+0.04%	0.002376	+4.55%	0.0038	✗	1.42
2026-08-29	oos	0.002369	0.002375	+0.26%	0.002098	-11.46%	0.1531	✗	1.42
2026-08-28	oos	0.002286	0.002286	+0.01%	0.00193	-15.60%	0.2029	✗	1.42
2026-08-27	oos	0.002201	0.002204	+0.14%	0.001971	-10.45%	0.1299	✗	1.48
2026-08-26	oos	0.002561	0.002564	+0.11%	0.001953	-23.72%	0.2371	✗	1.58
2026-08-25	oos	0.002741	0.002742	+0.02%	0.002051	-25.19%	0.2674	✗	1.59
2026-08-24	oos	0.002813	0.002812	-0.03%	0.002147	-23.68%	0.2614	✓	1.62
2026-08-23	oos	0.002679	0.002676	-0.11%	0.002273	-15.17%	0.1621	✓	1.59
2026-08-22	oos	0.002623	0.002614	-0.33%	0.002369	-9.68%	0.1226	✓	1.59
2026-08-21	oos	0.002321	0.002315	-0.30%	0.002286	-1.52%	0.0021	✓	1.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.00222	0.002194	-1.16%	0.002201	-0.83%	0.1639	✓	1.76
2026-08-19	oos	0.002071	0.002031	-1.93%	0.002561	+23.66%	0.0101	✓	1.84
2026-08-18	oos	0.002001	0.001986	-0.74%	0.002741	+36.99%	0.0877	✓	2.11
2026-08-17	oos	0.002435	0.002378	-2.33%	0.002813	+15.54%	0.2706	✓	2.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.002721	0.002642	-2.89%	0.002679	-1.54%	0.4850	✓	2.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.002724	0.002654	-2.57%	0.002623	-3.70%	0.4838	✓	2.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.002768	0.0027	-2.46%	0.002321	-16.13%	0.6668	✓	2.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.002774	0.002704	-2.51%	0.00222	-19.98%	0.5411	✓	2.44
2026-08-12	oos	0.002908	0.002832	-2.62%	0.002071	-28.79%	0.5061	✓	2.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.002851	0.002772	-2.78%	0.002001	-29.81%	0.3626	✓	2.05
2026-08-10	oos	0.002879	0.002791	-3.05%	0.002435	-15.42%	0.1546	✓	2.05
2026-08-09	oos	0.002784	0.0027	-3.01%	0.002721	-2.27%	0.0731	✗	2.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.003008	0.002906	-3.38%	0.002724	-9.45%	0.0033	✓	2.08
2026-08-07	oos	0.002899	0.002803	-3.32%	0.002768	-4.52%	0.0452	✗	1.92
2026-08-06	oos	0.003063	0.002955	-3.51%	0.002774	-9.44%	0.0376	✓	1.96
2026-08-05	oos	0.00352	0.003384	-3.85%	0.002908	-17.38%	0.1152	✓	1.96
2026-08-04	oos	0.00322	0.003101	-3.71%	0.002851	-11.48%	0.0683	✓	1.95
2026-08-03	oos	0.003544	0.00341	-3.78%	0.002879	-18.77%	0.1832	✓	1.98
2026-08-02	oos	0.003796	0.00365	-3.84%	0.002784	-26.65%	0.3127	✓	1.99
2026-08-01	oos	0.003897	0.003745	-3.91%	0.003008	-22.82%	0.2865	✓	2.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.004087	0.003923	-4.00%	0.002899	-29.06%	0.3676	✓	2.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.004026	0.003861	-4.08%	0.003063	-23.91%	0.2176	✓	2.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.003978	0.003808	-4.29%	0.00352	-11.53%	0.1000	✓	1.95
2026-07-28	oos	0.00384	0.003671	-4.40%	0.00322	-16.14%	0.1372	✓	1.95
2026-07-27	oos	0.004067	0.003887	-4.42%	0.003544	-12.86%	0.0854	✓	1.96
2026-07-26	oos	0.004159	0.003974	-4.44%	0.003796	-8.72%	0.0139	✓	2.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.004036	0.003787	-6.19%	0.003897	-3.44%	0.0797	✗	2.11
2026-07-24	oos	0.003914	0.003669	-6.26%	0.004087	+4.42%	0.1518	✗	2.21
2026-07-23	oos	0.004071	0.003821	-6.15%	0.004026	-1.12%	0.0635	✗	2.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.004379	0.004104	-6.28%	0.003978	-9.15%	0.0431	✓	2.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.004947	0.004596	-7.09%	0.00384	-22.37%	0.0911	✓	2.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.004109	0.003845	-6.42%	0.004067	-1.02%	0.1025	✗	1.97
2026-07-19	oos	0.004335	0.004052	-6.54%	0.004159	-4.07%	0.0059	✓	1.99
2026-07-18	oos	0.004966	0.004589	-7.59%	0.004036	-18.72%	0.1134	✓	1.92
2026-07-17	oos	0.003998	0.003728	-6.76%	0.003914	-2.12%	0.0431	✓	1.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.003851	0.003596	-6.62%	0.004071	+5.70%	0.0878	✗	1.82
2026-07-15	oos	0.003984	0.003708	-6.92%	0.004379	+9.92%	0.1300	✗	1.73
2026-07-14	oos	0.003652	0.003411	-6.60%	0.004947	+35.47%	0.3314	✗	1.74
2026-07-13	oos	0.003994	0.003727	-6.69%	0.004109	+2.88%	0.0055	✓	1.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.004789	0.004412	-7.86%	0.004335	-9.47%	0.0450	✓	1.87
2026-07-11	oos	0.004183	0.003871	-7.46%	0.004966	+18.73%	0.2229	✗	1.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.003775	0.003494	-7.46%	0.003998	+5.90%	0.1407	✗	1.61
2026-07-09	oos	0.003099	0.002908	-6.17%	0.003851	+24.29%	0.2669	✗	1.52
2026-07-08	oos	0.002817	0.002667	-5.32%	0.003984	+41.40%	0.3411	✗	1.54
2026-07-07	oos	0.003076	0.002904	-5.60%	0.003652	+18.71%	0.1904	✗	1.49
2026-07-06	oos	0.003946	0.003694	-6.40%	0.003994	+1.21%	0.1173	✗	1.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.004679	0.004344	-7.16%	0.004789	+2.34%	0.0940	✗	1.38
2026-07-04	oos	0.004555	0.004232	-7.10%	0.004183	-8.17%	0.0265	✓	1.38
2026-07-03	oos	0.005829	0.005327	-8.61%	0.003775	-35.23%	0.3812	✓	1.45
2026-07-02	oos	0.006024	0.005513	-8.48%	0.003099	-48.56%	0.6163	✓	1.48
2026-07-01	oos	0.00711	0.006431	-9.55%	0.002817	-60.37%	0.8873	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.007826	0.007006	-10.48%	0.003076	-60.69%	0.9646	✓	1.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.008166	0.007186	-12.00%	0.003946	-51.67%	0.7095	✓	1.78
2026-06-28	oos	0.006209	0.005506	-11.32%	0.004679	-24.64%	0.2722	✓	1.64
2026-06-27	oos	0.004459	0.004059	-8.98%	0.004555	+2.16%	0.0330	✓	1.61
2026-06-26	oos	0.003925	0.003601	-8.26%	0.005829	+48.49%	0.4153	✗	1.61
2026-06-25	oos	0.00388	0.003546	-8.59%	0.006024	+55.28%	0.4824	✗	1.62
2026-06-24	oos	0.004037	0.00361	-10.59%	0.00711	+76.11%	0.7199	✗	2.49
2026-06-23	oos	0.003414	0.003091	-9.45%	0.007826	+129.22%	1.0785	✗	2.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.00327	0.002937	-10.20%	0.008166	+149.67%	1.1596	✗	2.24
2026-06-21	oos	0.003061	0.002771	-9.48%	0.006209	+102.83%	0.9437	✗	2.23
2026-06-20	oos	0.003072	0.002729	-11.16%	0.004459	+45.13%	0.6457	✗	2.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.002581	0.002319	-10.15%	0.003925	+52.11%	0.6496	✗	2.19
2026-06-18	oos	0.002174	0.001988	-8.53%	0.00388	+78.45%	0.7793	✗	2.14
2026-06-17	oos	0.002988	0.002632	-11.91%	0.004037	+35.12%	0.5355	✗	1.95
2026-06-16	oos	0.002667	0.002334	-12.47%	0.003414	+28.02%	0.4740	✗	2.02
2026-06-15	oos	0.001445	0.001323	-8.45%	0.00327	+126.27%	0.9833	✗	2.20
2026-06-14	oos	0.001098	0.001018	-7.27%	0.003061	+178.77%	1.1820	✗	2.12
2026-06-13	oos	0.0007385	0.000714901	-3.20%	0.003072	+316.02%	1.4641	✗	1.89
2026-06-12	oos	0.0006968	0.00067745	-2.78%	0.002581	+270.35%	1.3393	✗	1.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.0006502	0.000633731	-2.53%	0.002174	+234.36%	1.2529	✗	1.87
2026-06-10	oos	0.0005672	0.000558123	-1.60%	0.002988	+426.75%	1.5932	✗	1.77
2026-06-09	oos	0.000395	0.000397992	+0.76%	0.002667	+575.14%	1.7912	✓	1.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.0003471	0.000351603	+1.30%	0.001445	+316.42%	1.3182	✓	1.92
2026-06-07	oos	0.0003432	0.000347679	+1.31%	0.001098	+219.96%	1.0784	✓	1.92
2026-06-06	oos	0.0002984	0.000304112	+1.91%	0.0007385	+147.49%	0.7842	✓	1.80
2026-06-05	oos	0.00033	0.000336728	+2.04%	0.0006968	+111.15%	0.6547	✓	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.0003641	0.000370641	+1.80%	0.0006502	+78.58%	0.5689	✓	1.80
2026-06-03	oos	0.0003851	0.000392163	+1.83%	0.0005672	+47.29%	0.4434	✓	1.80
2026-06-02	oos	0.0003871	0.000394526	+1.92%	0.000395	+2.04%	0.1510	✓	1.93
2026-06-01	oos	0.0005712	0.000569454	-0.31%	0.0003471	-39.23%	0.3520	✓	1.16
2026-05-31	oos	0.0006019	0.000598503	-0.56%	0.0003432	-42.98%	0.3811	✓	1.16
2026-05-30	oos	0.0006	0.000598837	-0.19%	0.0002984	-50.27%	0.4718	✓	1.17
2026-05-29	oos	0.0005629	0.000569052	+1.09%	0.00033	-41.38%	0.3335	✗	1.15
2026-05-28	oos	0.000873	0.000850178	-2.61%	0.0003641	-58.29%	0.6927	✓	1.10
2026-05-27	oos	0.000875	0.00087082	-0.48%	0.0003851	-55.99%	0.6509	✓	1.11
2026-05-26	oos	0.0009405	0.000930567	-1.06%	0.0003871	-58.84%	0.7396	✓	1.07
2026-05-25	oos	0.000918	0.000908019	-1.09%	0.0005712	-37.78%	0.3736	✓	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.000931	0.000920618	-1.12%	0.0006019	-35.35%	0.3741	✓	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.0009455	0.000932101	-1.42%	0.0006	-36.54%	0.3974	✓	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.000992	0.000972462	-1.97%	0.0005629	-43.26%	0.5141	✓	1.17
2026-05-21	oos	0.001069	0.001039	-2.78%	0.000873	-18.33%	0.1145	✓	1.12
2026-05-20	oos	0.000905	0.000891667	-1.47%	0.000875	-3.31%	0.0280	✗	1.12
2026-05-19	oos	0.000854	0.000842934	-1.30%	0.0009405	+10.13%	0.1231	✗	1.10
2026-05-18	oos	0.000854	0.000843361	-1.25%	0.000918	+7.49%	0.0804	✗	1.10
2026-05-17	oos	0.000867	0.000856725	-1.19%	0.000931	+7.38%	0.0893	✗	1.10
2026-05-16	oos	0.000918	0.000904639	-1.46%	0.0009455	+3.00%	0.0646	✗	1.08
2026-05-15	oos	0.00116	0.001121	-3.39%	0.000992	-14.48%	0.0790	✓	0.92
2026-05-14	oos	0.0008585	0.000850657	-0.91%	0.001069	+24.52%	0.2940	✗	1.47
2026-05-13	oos	0.000924	0.000913588	-1.13%	0.000905	-2.06%	0.0271	✗	1.58
2026-05-12	oos	0.000926	0.000917649	-0.90%	0.000854	-7.78%	0.0048	✓	1.62
2026-05-11	oos	0.000965	0.000955697	-0.96%	0.000854	-11.50%	0.0146	✓	1.62
2026-05-10	oos	0.000975	0.000964697	-1.06%	0.000867	-11.08%	0.0087	✓	1.63
2026-05-09	oos	0.001147	0.001123	-2.12%	0.000918	-19.97%	0.1429	✓	1.82
2026-05-08	oos	0.001138	0.00111	-2.50%	0.00116	+1.93%	0.0702	✗	1.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.0009895	0.000969058	-2.07%	0.0008585	-13.24%	0.1454	✓	1.82
2026-05-06	oos	0.00103	0.001012	-1.84%	0.000924	-10.33%	0.0414	✓	1.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.001073	0.001046	-2.51%	0.000926	-13.66%	0.1118	✓	1.84
2026-05-04	oos	0.001025	0.000998241	-2.61%	0.000965	-5.85%	0.0760	✓	1.81
2026-05-03	oos	0.001002	0.000973607	-2.83%	0.000975	-2.69%	0.0803	✓	1.80
2026-05-02	oos	0.0009	0.000876831	-2.57%	0.001147	+27.44%	0.2230	✗	1.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.0011	0.001067	-2.99%	0.001138	+3.45%	0.0179	✓	1.88
2026-04-30	oos	0.001102	0.00106	-3.80%	0.0009895	-10.21%	0.1604	✓	1.93
2026-04-29	oos	0.001077	0.001032	-4.20%	0.00103	-4.32%	0.1404	✓	1.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.00107	0.001034	-3.39%	0.001073	+0.23%	0.0770	✓	1.95
2026-04-27	oos	0.001478	0.001374	-7.06%	0.001025	-30.65%	0.3442	✓	1.62
2026-04-26	oos	0.001527	0.001412	-7.54%	0.001002	-34.38%	0.3405	✓	1.63
2026-04-25	oos	0.001183	0.001126	-4.85%	0.0009	-23.92%	0.2427	✓	1.44
2026-04-24	oos	0.000974	0.000963257	-1.10%	0.0011	+12.94%	0.1184	✗	1.44
2026-04-23	oos	0.000981	0.000970948	-1.02%	0.001102	+12.33%	0.1522	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.00115	0.001128	-1.89%	0.001077	-6.35%	0.0146	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.001214	0.001181	-2.71%	0.00107	-11.86%	0.0984	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.001189	0.001155	-2.82%	0.001478	+24.31%	0.2266	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.00119	0.001152	-3.17%	0.001527	+28.32%	0.2180	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.001277	0.001233	-3.46%	0.001183	-7.36%	0.0662	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.001192	0.001159	-2.74%	0.000974	-18.29%	0.1789	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.001225	0.001182	-3.48%	0.000981	-19.92%	0.2274	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.001178	0.001137	-3.47%	0.00115	-2.38%	0.0328	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.001206	0.001159	-3.89%	0.001214	+0.66%	0.0175	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.001043	0.001013	-2.83%	0.001189	+14.00%	0.1408	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.001063	0.001026	-3.48%	0.00119	+11.89%	0.1054	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.001047	0.001012	-3.39%	0.001277	+21.97%	0.1974	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.001208	0.001153	-4.52%	0.001192	-1.32%	0.0217	✓	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.001066	0.001025	-3.81%	0.001225	+14.92%	0.1320	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.001055	0.001012	-4.04%	0.001178	+11.66%	0.1001	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.001057	0.001013	-4.14%	0.001206	+14.10%	0.1431	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.001048	0.001001	-4.50%	0.001043	-0.48%	0.0368	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.001042	0.000992176	-4.78%	0.001063	+2.06%	0.0444	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.00099	0.00094343	-4.70%	0.001047	+5.76%	0.0216	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.001044	0.000989715	-5.20%	0.001208	+15.71%	0.1130	✗	1.00