HAJIMI

? · · gru_s8

token id: #996
symbol: HAJIMI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-04
predictions: 516

Track record at +1d

assessed

168

of 172 predictions shown

direction hit

53.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0698

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0043

actual +0.0060

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.020435	0.020366	-0.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.020605	0.020538	-0.32%	0.020435	-0.83%	0.0021	✓	1.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.01981	0.019786	-0.12%	0.020605	+4.01%	0.0278	✗	0.96
2026-10-18	oos	0.01918	0.019181	+0.01%	0.01981	+3.28%	0.0343	✓	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.02	0.020002	+0.01%	0.01918	-4.10%	0.0495	✗	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.02154	0.021522	-0.08%	0.02	-7.15%	0.0719	✓	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.02146	0.021452	-0.04%	0.02154	+0.37%	0.0117	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.02186	0.021864	+0.02%	0.02146	-1.83%	0.0255	✗	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.025095	0.025026	-0.27%	0.02186	-12.89%	0.1192	✓	0.86
2026-10-12	oos	0.02587	0.025806	-0.25%	0.025095	-3.00%	0.0426	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.02807	0.027948	-0.43%	0.02587	-7.84%	0.0582	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.028755	0.028623	-0.46%	0.02807	-2.38%	0.0271	✓	0.82
2026-10-09	oos	0.02823	0.028121	-0.39%	0.028755	+1.86%	0.0187	✗	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	0.02805	0.02796	-0.32%	0.02823	+0.64%	0.0014	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	0.02808	0.027991	-0.32%	0.02805	-0.11%	0.0186	✗	0.86
2026-10-06	oos	0.0278	0.027725	-0.27%	0.02808	+1.01%	0.0398	✗	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.025615	0.025595	-0.08%	0.0278	+8.53%	0.0851	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.02911	0.029037	-0.25%	0.025615	-12.01%	0.1166	✓	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.030485	0.030384	-0.33%	0.02911	-4.51%	0.0635	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.030735	0.030635	-0.33%	0.030485	-0.81%	0.0077	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.03306	0.032914	-0.44%	0.030735	-7.03%	0.0644	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.030975	0.030876	-0.32%	0.03306	+6.73%	0.0530	✗	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.03383	0.033668	-0.48%	0.030975	-8.44%	0.0824	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.03435	0.034171	-0.52%	0.03383	-1.51%	0.0122	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.03413	0.033966	-0.48%	0.03435	+0.64%	0.0232	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.03457	0.0344	-0.49%	0.03413	-1.27%	0.0084	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.03425	0.034086	-0.48%	0.03457	+0.93%	0.0103	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.03382	0.033674	-0.43%	0.03425	+1.27%	0.0204	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.03548	0.035296	-0.52%	0.03382	-4.68%	0.0428	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.03985	0.03955	-0.75%	0.03548	-10.97%	0.0873	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.033935	0.033818	-0.35%	0.03985	+17.43%	0.1687	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.034595	0.03441	-0.54%	0.033935	-1.91%	0.0787	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.033255	0.033112	-0.43%	0.034595	+4.03%	0.0447	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0348	0.034621	-0.51%	0.033255	-4.44%	0.0447	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.03351	0.03338	-0.39%	0.0348	+3.85%	0.0159	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.03063	0.03058	-0.16%	0.03351	+9.40%	0.0888	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.03338	0.033292	-0.26%	0.03063	-8.24%	0.0907	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.013255	0.013223	-0.24%	–	pending	–	–	3.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.013	0.012967	-0.25%	0.013255	+1.96%	0.0979	✗	3.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.01248	0.012454	-0.21%	0.013	+4.17%	0.0996	✗	3.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.013	0.012965	-0.27%	0.01248	-4.00%	0.0066	✓	3.14
2026-06-14	oos	0.01264	0.012613	-0.21%	0.013	+2.85%	0.0030	✗	3.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.01348	0.013442	-0.28%	0.01264	-6.23%	0.1261	✓	3.29
2026-06-12	oos	0.01236	0.012348	-0.10%	0.01348	+9.06%	0.0422	✗	3.27
2026-06-11	oos	0.01294	0.012919	-0.16%	0.01236	-4.48%	0.0430	✓	3.27
2026-06-10	oos	0.01202	0.012029	+0.07%	0.01294	+7.65%	0.0410	✗	3.37
2026-06-09	oos	0.01261	0.012614	+0.03%	0.01202	-4.68%	0.0351	✗	3.37
2026-06-08	oos	0.01487	0.014822	-0.32%	0.01261	-15.20%	0.0896	✓	3.26
2026-06-07	oos	0.01372	0.013702	-0.13%	0.01487	+8.38%	0.0942	✗	3.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.01441	0.014391	-0.13%	0.01372	-4.79%	0.1964	✓	3.76
2026-06-05	oos	0.01224	0.012268	+0.23%	0.01441	+17.73%	0.1721	✓	3.75
2026-06-04	oos	0.0133	0.0133	+0.00%	0.01224	-7.97%	0.0918	✓	3.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.0137	0.013695	-0.04%	0.0133	-2.92%	0.0149	✓	3.93
2026-06-02	oos	0.01373	0.013712	-0.13%	0.0137	-0.22%	0.1719	✗	4.31
2026-06-01	oos	0.01548	0.015406	-0.48%	0.01373	-11.30%	0.2500	✗	5.41
2026-05-31	oos	0.01792	0.017761	-0.88%	0.01548	-13.62%	0.0326	✗	5.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.01655	0.01642	-0.79%	0.01792	+8.28%	0.1020	✗	5.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.01367	0.013619	-0.37%	0.01655	+21.07%	0.1655	✗	5.36
2026-05-28	oos	0.01434	0.014277	-0.44%	0.01367	-4.67%	0.0328	✓	5.35
2026-05-27	oos	0.01417	0.01411	-0.43%	0.01434	+1.20%	0.0752	✗	5.43
2026-05-26	oos	0.01463	0.014561	-0.47%	0.01417	-3.14%	0.0857	✗	5.61
2026-05-25	oos	0.01469	0.014622	-0.46%	0.01463	-0.41%	0.1094	✗	5.86
2026-05-24	oos	0.0155	0.01542	-0.51%	0.01469	-5.23%	0.0694	✓	5.89
2026-05-23	oos	0.01662	0.016515	-0.63%	0.0155	-6.74%	0.0886	✓	5.93
2026-05-22	oos	0.0159	0.015815	-0.53%	0.01662	+4.53%	0.0463	✓	6.05
2026-05-21	oos	0.01805	0.01791	-0.78%	0.0159	-11.91%	0.0513	✗	6.19
2026-05-20	oos	0.01789	0.017753	-0.77%	0.01805	+0.89%	0.0109	✗	6.19
2026-05-19	oos	0.01798	0.017836	-0.80%	0.01789	-0.50%	0.0547	✓	6.28
2026-05-18	oos	0.0198	0.019573	-1.15%	0.01798	-9.19%	0.0706	✓	6.24
2026-05-17	oos	0.01949	0.019208	-1.45%	0.0198	+1.59%	0.0364	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.01506	0.014957	-0.68%	0.01949	+29.42%	0.2737	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01473	0.014631	-0.67%	0.01506	+2.24%	0.0410	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.0176	0.017294	-1.74%	0.01473	-16.31%	0.1353	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01145	0.011422	-0.25%	0.0176	+53.71%	0.4100	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01212	0.012088	-0.27%	0.01145	-5.53%	0.0392	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.01232	0.012291	-0.23%	0.01212	-1.62%	0.0013	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.01407	0.01402	-0.36%	0.01232	-12.44%	0.1235	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01243	0.012403	-0.22%	0.01407	+13.19%	0.1072	✗	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.0131	0.013066	-0.26%	0.01243	-5.11%	0.0557	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01278	0.012754	-0.20%	0.0131	+2.50%	0.0245	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01372	0.013691	-0.21%	0.01278	-6.85%	0.0511	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01414	0.014105	-0.25%	0.01372	-2.97%	0.0342	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.0147	0.014651	-0.33%	0.01414	-3.81%	0.0486	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01436	0.014311	-0.34%	0.0147	+2.37%	0.0105	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01562	0.015538	-0.53%	0.01436	-8.07%	0.0772	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01347	0.013433	-0.27%	0.01562	+15.96%	0.1451	✗	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01318	0.01314	-0.30%	0.01347	+2.20%	0.0002	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.01246	0.01243	-0.24%	0.01318	+5.78%	0.0513	✗	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.01247	0.012446	-0.19%	0.01246	-0.08%	0.0085	✗	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.01326	0.013239	-0.16%	0.01247	-5.96%	0.0462	✓	1.00
2026-02-13	oos	0.02087	0.02078	-0.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-02-12	oos	0.01921	0.019157	-0.27%	0.02087	+8.64%	0.0211	✗	1.67
2026-02-11	oos	0.01657	0.016552	-0.11%	0.01921	+15.93%	0.1671	✗	1.48
2026-02-10	oos	0.01683	0.016806	-0.14%	0.01657	-1.54%	0.0233	✗	1.43
2026-02-09	oos	0.01782	0.017786	-0.19%	0.01683	-5.56%	0.0288	✓	1.41
2026-02-08	oos	0.01952	0.019471	-0.25%	0.01782	-8.71%	0.0850	✓	1.45
2026-02-07	oos	0.0161	0.016104	+0.02%	0.01952	+21.24%	0.1719	✓	1.38
2026-02-06	oos	0.01679	0.016789	-0.00%	0.0161	-4.11%	0.0163	✓	1.39
2026-02-05	oos	0.01441	0.014482	+0.50%	0.01679	+16.52%	0.0192	✗	1.44
2026-02-04	oos	0.01967	0.019679	+0.05%	0.01441	-26.74%	0.1525	✗	1.06
2026-02-03	oos	0.02106	0.021057	-0.01%	0.01967	-6.60%	0.0257	✓	1.18
2026-02-02	oos	0.02438	0.024353	-0.11%	0.02106	-13.62%	0.0924	✓	1.36
2026-02-01	oos	0.02551	0.025511	+0.00%	0.02438	-4.43%	0.0777	✗	1.42
2026-01-31	oos	0.02839	0.028377	-0.05%	0.02551	-10.14%	0.0757	✓	1.37
2026-01-30	oos	0.02879	0.028738	-0.18%	0.02839	-1.39%	0.0892	✗	1.51
2026-01-18	oos	0.04019	0.040001	-0.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-01-17	oos	0.0415	0.041279	-0.53%	0.04019	-3.16%	0.0033	✓	1.50
2026-01-16	oos	0.04227	0.042019	-0.59%	0.0415	-1.82%	0.0063	✓	1.50
2026-01-15	oos	0.04026	0.040046	-0.53%	0.04227	+4.99%	0.0554	✗	1.50
2026-01-14	oos	0.04247	0.042191	-0.66%	0.04026	-5.20%	0.0259	✓	1.48
2026-01-13	oos	0.04033	0.040075	-0.63%	0.04247	+5.31%	0.0341	✗	1.47
2026-01-12	oos	0.03617	0.036008	-0.45%	0.04033	+11.50%	0.0496	✗	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.03813	0.037927	-0.53%	0.03617	-5.14%	0.0524	✓	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.03571	0.035547	-0.46%	0.03813	+6.78%	0.0624	✗	1.42
2026-01-09	oos	0.03562	0.035455	-0.46%	0.03571	+0.25%	0.0094	✗	1.42
2026-01-08	oos	0.03617	0.035993	-0.49%	0.03562	-1.52%	0.0024	✓	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.03658	0.036403	-0.48%	0.03617	-1.12%	0.0025	✓	1.42
2026-01-06	oos	0.04091	0.04063	-0.68%	0.03658	-10.58%	0.0699	✓	1.33
2026-01-05	oos	0.04253	0.04218	-0.82%	0.04091	-3.81%	0.0285	✓	1.33
2026-01-04	oos	0.04192	0.041507	-0.98%	0.04253	+1.46%	0.0107	✓	1.37
2026-01-03	oos	0.03634	0.036066	-0.75%	0.04192	+15.35%	0.1375	✗	1.32
2026-01-02	oos	0.03165	0.03148	-0.54%	0.03634	+14.82%	0.1345	✗	1.28
2026-01-01	oos	0.02802	0.027918	-0.36%	0.03165	+12.96%	0.1089	✗	1.22
2025-12-31	oos	0.02892	0.028803	-0.41%	0.02802	-3.11%	0.0453	✓	1.26
2025-12-30	oos	0.02701	0.026921	-0.33%	0.02892	+7.07%	0.0847	✗	1.28
2025-12-29	oos	0.02795	0.027855	-0.34%	0.02701	-3.36%	0.0502	✓	1.33
2025-12-28	oos	0.02852	0.028417	-0.36%	0.02795	-2.00%	0.0050	✓	1.32
2025-12-27	oos	0.03008	0.029956	-0.41%	0.02852	-5.19%	0.0502	✓	1.33
2025-12-26	oos	0.03048	0.030355	-0.41%	0.03008	-1.31%	0.0170	✓	1.34
2025-12-25	oos	0.03247	0.032313	-0.48%	0.03048	-6.13%	0.0603	✓	1.36
2025-12-24	oos	0.03236	0.032203	-0.48%	0.03247	+0.34%	0.0151	✗	1.36
2025-12-23	oos	0.03228	0.032127	-0.47%	0.03236	+0.25%	0.0044	✓	1.36
2025-12-22	oos	0.03319	0.033018	-0.52%	0.03228	-2.74%	0.0053	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.03697	0.036694	-0.75%	0.03319	-10.22%	0.0991	✓	1.36
2025-12-20	oos	0.03573	0.035461	-0.75%	0.03697	+3.47%	0.0368	✗	1.36
2025-12-19	oos	0.03309	0.032872	-0.66%	0.03573	+7.98%	0.0798	✗	1.35
2025-12-18	oos	0.03151	0.03133	-0.57%	0.03309	+5.01%	0.0133	✗	1.36
2025-12-17	oos	0.03225	0.032013	-0.73%	0.03151	-2.29%	0.0040	✓	1.36
2025-12-16	oos	0.02812	0.02798	-0.50%	0.03225	+14.69%	0.1695	✗	1.45
2025-12-15	oos	0.02815	0.028006	-0.51%	0.02812	-0.11%	0.0206	✓	1.49
2025-12-14	oos	0.02679	0.026668	-0.46%	0.02815	+5.08%	0.0850	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.02917	0.02899	-0.62%	0.02679	-8.16%	0.0444	✓	1.48
2025-12-12	oos	0.02983	0.029616	-0.72%	0.02917	-2.21%	0.0148	✓	1.48
2025-12-11	oos	0.02945	0.029197	-0.86%	0.02983	+1.29%	0.0589	✗	1.51
2025-12-10	oos	0.02442	0.024294	-0.52%	0.02945	+20.60%	0.1845	✗	1.45
2025-12-09	oos	0.02448	0.024346	-0.55%	0.02442	-0.25%	0.0133	✗	1.45
2025-12-08	oos	0.02409	0.023963	-0.53%	0.02448	+1.62%	0.0117	✓	1.49
2025-12-07	oos	0.02244	0.022343	-0.43%	0.02409	+7.35%	0.0712	✗	1.47
2025-12-06	oos	0.02155	0.021473	-0.36%	0.02244	+4.13%	0.0255	✗	1.47
2025-12-05	oos	0.0227	0.022611	-0.39%	0.02155	-5.07%	0.0468	✓	1.48
2025-12-04	oos	0.02301	0.022914	-0.42%	0.0227	-1.35%	0.0360	✗	1.50
2025-12-03	oos	0.02497	0.02484	-0.52%	0.02301	-7.85%	0.0619	✓	1.00
2025-12-02	oos	0.02613	0.025977	-0.59%	0.02497	-4.44%	0.0628	✓	1.00
2025-12-01	oos	0.02323	0.023152	-0.34%	0.02613	+12.48%	0.0644	✗	1.00
2025-11-30	oos	0.02678	0.026627	-0.57%	0.02323	-13.26%	0.0902	✓	1.00
2025-11-29	oos	0.0263	0.026147	-0.58%	0.02678	+1.83%	0.0290	✗	1.00
2025-11-28	oos	0.02881	0.028556	-0.88%	0.0263	-8.71%	0.0815	✓	1.00
2025-11-27	oos	0.02423	0.024101	-0.53%	0.02881	+18.90%	0.1830	✗	1.00
2025-11-26	oos	0.02497	0.024815	-0.62%	0.02423	-2.96%	0.0332	✓	1.00
2025-11-25	oos	0.02264	0.022544	-0.42%	0.02497	+10.29%	0.0668	✗	1.00
2025-11-24	oos	0.02171	0.021629	-0.37%	0.02264	+4.28%	0.0564	✗	1.00
2025-11-23	oos	0.0226	0.022511	-0.39%	0.02171	-3.94%	0.0529	✓	1.00
2025-11-22	oos	0.02268	0.022602	-0.34%	0.0226	-0.35%	0.0249	✓	1.00
2025-11-21	oos	0.02678	0.026571	-0.78%	0.02268	-15.31%	0.1538	✓	1.00
2025-11-20	oos	0.02092	0.020858	-0.30%	0.02678	+28.01%	0.2670	✗	1.00
2025-11-19	oos	0.01944	0.019381	-0.31%	0.02092	+7.61%	0.1318	✗	1.00
2025-11-18	oos	0.0214	0.021312	-0.41%	0.01944	-9.16%	0.0762	✓	1.00
2025-11-17	oos	0.02315	0.023046	-0.45%	0.0214	-7.56%	0.0829	✓	1.00
2025-11-16	oos	0.03151	0.031166	-1.09%	0.02315	-26.53%	0.2750	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.03674	0.036008	-1.99%	0.03151	-14.24%	0.1191	✓	1.00
2025-11-14	oos	0.02743	0.027073	-1.30%	0.03674	+33.94%	0.2944	✗	1.00
2025-11-13	oos	0.02199	0.021789	-0.91%	0.02743	+24.74%	0.2829	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.