GITCOIN

GITCOIN · · gru_s8

token id: #910
symbol: GITCOIN
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,274

Track record at +1d

assessed

396

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0363

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0064

actual +0.0010

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.305135	0.299639	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-20	oos	0.3197	0.310832	-2.77%	0.305135	-4.56%	0.0177	✓	0.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.34262	0.329681	-3.78%	0.3197	-6.69%	0.0347	✓	0.30
2026-10-18	oos	0.262905	0.254855	-3.06%	0.34262	+30.32%	0.2966	✗	0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.236285	0.228764	-3.18%	0.262905	+11.27%	0.1367	✗	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.194295	0.191989	-1.19%	0.236285	+21.61%	0.2081	✗	0.34
2026-10-15	oos	0.19959	0.196164	-1.72%	0.194295	-2.65%	0.0071	✓	0.32
2026-10-14	oos	0.22069	0.215583	-2.31%	0.19959	-9.56%	0.0794	✓	0.34
2026-10-13	oos	0.22483	0.218493	-2.82%	0.22069	-1.84%	0.0163	✓	0.34
2026-10-12	oos	0.28174	0.269564	-4.32%	0.22483	-20.20%	0.1887	✓	0.44
2026-10-11	oos	0.181495	0.179045	-1.35%	0.28174	+55.23%	0.4715	✗	0.78
2026-10-10	oos	0.18555	0.181352	-2.26%	0.181495	-2.19%	0.0065	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	0.191325	0.186726	-2.40%	0.18555	-3.02%	0.0098	✓	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.21178	0.204397	-3.49%	0.191325	-9.66%	0.0746	✓	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.190335	0.183823	-3.42%	0.21178	+11.27%	0.1587	✗	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.14877	0.145679	-2.08%	0.190335	+27.94%	0.2970	✗	1.10
2026-10-05	oos	0.187335	0.181062	-3.35%	0.14877	-20.59%	0.1938	✓	1.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.17482	0.168623	-3.54%	0.187335	+7.16%	0.1150	✗	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.11475	0.112721	-1.77%	0.17482	+52.35%	0.4199	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.13424	0.131022	-2.40%	0.11475	-14.52%	0.1352	✓	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.143895	0.139416	-3.11%	0.13424	-6.71%	0.0342	✓	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.09422	0.092866	-1.44%	0.143895	+52.72%	0.4260	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.08629	0.085335	-1.11%	0.09422	+9.19%	0.0998	✗	0.78
2026-09-28	oos	0.085545	0.084671	-1.02%	0.08629	+0.87%	0.0171	✗	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.0909	0.090421	-0.53%	0.085545	-5.89%	0.0457	✓	0.81
2026-09-26	oos	0.091	0.090358	-0.71%	0.0909	-0.11%	0.0055	✓	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.092755	0.09139	-1.47%	0.091	-1.89%	0.0074	✓	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.086435	0.08609	-0.40%	0.092755	+7.31%	0.0774	✗	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.083	0.082667	-0.40%	0.086435	+4.14%	0.0445	✗	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.088195	0.087626	-0.65%	0.083	-5.89%	0.0371	✓	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.087215	0.086192	-1.17%	0.088195	+1.12%	0.0267	✗	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.083935	0.083408	-0.63%	0.087215	+3.91%	0.0112	✓	0.86
2026-09-19	oos	0.08571	0.085027	-0.80%	0.083935	-2.07%	0.0121	✓	0.86
2026-09-18	oos	0.081885	0.080729	-1.41%	0.08571	+4.67%	0.0560	✗	0.87
2026-09-17	oos	0.07708	0.076113	-1.25%	0.081885	+6.23%	0.0237	✗	0.86
2026-09-16	oos	0.0758	0.0749	-1.19%	0.07708	+1.69%	0.0264	✗	0.85
2026-09-15	oos	0.07503	0.074233	-1.06%	0.0758	+1.03%	0.0144	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077365	0.076737	-0.81%	0.07503	-3.02%	0.0072	✓	0.88
2026-09-13	oos	0.07788	0.077143	-0.95%	0.077365	-0.66%	0.0128	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.077905	0.077509	-0.51%	0.07788	-0.03%	0.0101	✗	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.07607	0.075772	-0.39%	0.077905	+2.41%	0.0271	✗	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.075515	0.075251	-0.35%	0.07607	+0.73%	0.0030	✓	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.078425	0.077993	-0.55%	0.075515	-3.71%	0.0123	✓	0.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.082695	0.082289	-0.49%	0.078425	-5.16%	0.0461	✓	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.080165	0.079728	-0.54%	0.082695	+3.16%	0.0443	✗	0.95
2026-09-06	oos	0.08248	0.082196	-0.34%	0.080165	-2.81%	0.0102	✓	0.95
2026-09-05	oos	0.08222	0.081887	-0.41%	0.08248	+0.32%	0.0012	✓	0.95
2026-09-04	oos	0.079325	0.079038	-0.36%	0.08222	+3.65%	0.0377	✗	0.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.08127	0.081044	-0.28%	0.079325	-2.39%	0.0033	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.078745	0.078418	-0.42%	0.08127	+3.21%	0.0116	✓	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.07956	0.079069	-0.62%	0.078745	-1.02%	0.0030	✓	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.08127	0.080411	-1.06%	0.07956	-2.10%	0.0031	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.08009	0.079316	-0.97%	0.08127	+1.47%	0.0131	✗	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.083185	0.082783	-0.48%	0.08009	-3.72%	0.0265	✓	0.91
2026-08-28	oos	0.0849	0.084449	-0.53%	0.083185	-2.02%	0.0197	✓	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.08845	0.087481	-1.10%	0.0849	-4.01%	0.0022	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.085315	0.084573	-0.87%	0.08845	+3.67%	0.0308	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.08244	0.08165	-0.96%	0.085315	+3.49%	0.0382	✗	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.08557	0.084969	-0.70%	0.08244	-3.66%	0.0252	✓	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.08864	0.087816	-0.93%	0.08557	-3.46%	0.0402	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.08692	0.085879	-1.20%	0.08864	+1.98%	0.0239	✗	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.09159	0.090471	-1.22%	0.08692	-5.10%	0.0258	✓	0.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.085985	0.085484	-0.58%	0.09159	+6.52%	0.0090	✗	0.85
2026-08-19	oos	0.084035	0.083515	-0.62%	0.085985	+2.32%	0.0155	✓	0.86
2026-08-18	oos	0.08141	0.08092	-0.60%	0.084035	+3.22%	0.0258	✓	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.08341	0.08286	-0.66%	0.08141	-2.40%	0.0206	✓	0.93
2026-08-16	oos	0.085125	0.084482	-0.76%	0.08341	-2.01%	0.0379	✓	0.97
2026-08-15	oos	0.08596	0.085276	-0.80%	0.085125	-0.97%	0.0011	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.084925	0.083724	-1.41%	0.08596	+1.22%	0.0257	✗	0.98
2026-08-13	oos	0.08063	0.080098	-0.66%	0.084925	+5.33%	0.0656	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.081675	0.08111	-0.69%	0.08063	-1.28%	0.0062	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	0.083095	0.082481	-0.74%	0.081675	-1.71%	0.0079	✓	1.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.086115	0.08541	-0.82%	0.083095	-3.51%	0.0212	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.088645	0.08747	-1.33%	0.086115	-2.85%	0.0013	✓	1.16
2026-08-08	oos	0.088445	0.087453	-1.12%	0.088645	+0.23%	0.0146	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.084405	0.083569	-0.99%	0.088445	+4.79%	0.0564	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.08178	0.080871	-1.11%	0.084405	+3.21%	0.0324	✗	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.079185	0.078559	-0.79%	0.08178	+3.28%	0.0458	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.07476	0.074203	-0.75%	0.079185	+5.92%	0.0561	✗	1.04
2026-08-03	oos	0.077655	0.076954	-0.90%	0.07476	-3.73%	0.0387	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.07726	0.076834	-0.55%	0.077655	+0.51%	0.0112	✗	1.03
2026-08-01	oos	0.07626	0.075853	-0.53%	0.07726	+1.31%	0.0065	✗	1.02
2026-07-31	oos	0.07421	0.073824	-0.52%	0.07626	+2.76%	0.0335	✗	1.02
2026-07-30	oos	0.073465	0.073078	-0.53%	0.07421	+1.01%	0.0469	✗	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.073065	0.072691	-0.51%	0.073465	+0.55%	0.0031	✓	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.07689	0.076378	-0.67%	0.073065	-4.97%	0.0452	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.07114	0.07069	-0.63%	0.07689	+8.08%	0.0815	✗	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.068975	0.068598	-0.55%	0.07114	+3.14%	0.0646	✗	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.0688	0.068429	-0.54%	0.068975	+0.25%	0.0094	✓	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.065655	0.065325	-0.50%	0.0688	+4.79%	0.0484	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.06713	0.066789	-0.51%	0.065655	-2.20%	0.0021	✓	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.06796	0.067633	-0.48%	0.06713	-1.22%	0.0081	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.06845	0.06809	-0.53%	0.06796	-0.72%	0.0045	✓	0.99
2026-07-20	oos	0.06732	0.066999	-0.48%	0.06845	+1.68%	0.0030	✓	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.06641	0.066117	-0.44%	0.06732	+1.37%	0.0106	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.06636	0.06601	-0.53%	0.06641	+0.08%	0.0077	✗	0.93
2026-07-17	oos	0.066405	0.066014	-0.59%	0.06636	-0.07%	0.0063	✓	0.82
2026-07-16	oos	0.067165	0.066822	-0.51%	0.066405	-1.13%	0.0078	✓	0.77
2026-07-15	oos	0.06929	0.068904	-0.56%	0.067165	-3.07%	0.0143	✓	0.76
2026-07-14	oos	0.070405	0.069712	-0.98%	0.06929	-1.58%	0.0028	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.0674	0.067003	-0.59%	0.070405	+4.46%	0.0166	✗	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.06919	0.068706	-0.70%	0.0674	-2.59%	0.0012	✓	0.77
2026-07-11	oos	0.068475	0.068011	-0.68%	0.06919	+1.04%	0.0176	✗	0.87
2026-07-10	oos	0.069415	0.068844	-0.82%	0.068475	-1.35%	0.0005	✓	0.88
2026-07-09	oos	0.06843	0.067937	-0.72%	0.069415	+1.44%	0.0084	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.069165	0.068718	-0.65%	0.06843	-1.06%	0.0174	✓	0.88
2026-07-07	oos	0.070535	0.069973	-0.80%	0.069165	-1.94%	0.0034	✓	0.87
2026-07-06	oos	0.074435	0.073765	-0.90%	0.070535	-5.24%	0.0356	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.07528	0.074537	-0.99%	0.074435	-1.12%	0.0068	✓	0.83
2026-07-04	oos	0.07538	0.074748	-0.84%	0.07528	-0.13%	0.0006	✓	0.83
2026-07-03	oos	0.08036	0.079339	-1.27%	0.07538	-6.20%	0.0585	✓	0.81
2026-07-02	oos	0.07374	0.07317	-0.77%	0.08036	+8.98%	0.0807	✗	0.78
2026-07-01	oos	0.073425	0.072533	-1.22%	0.07374	+0.43%	0.0033	✓	0.79
2026-06-30	oos	0.066145	0.065552	-0.90%	0.073425	+11.01%	0.0955	✗	0.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.068145	0.067508	-0.94%	0.066145	-2.93%	0.0001	✓	0.73
2026-06-28	oos	0.06846	0.068039	-0.61%	0.068145	-0.46%	0.0070	✓	0.74
2026-06-27	oos	0.068265	0.067479	-1.15%	0.06846	+0.29%	0.0201	✗	0.74
2026-06-26	oos	0.06861	0.067809	-1.17%	0.068265	-0.50%	0.0075	✓	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.068195	0.067427	-1.13%	0.06861	+0.61%	0.0137	✗	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.06986	0.069024	-1.20%	0.068195	-2.38%	0.0027	✓	0.70
2026-06-23	oos	0.07161	0.070708	-1.26%	0.06986	-2.44%	0.0078	✓	0.74
2026-06-22	oos	0.07623	0.075667	-0.74%	0.07161	-6.06%	0.0406	✓	0.70
2026-06-21	oos	0.075245	0.074689	-0.74%	0.07623	+1.31%	0.0126	✗	0.70
2026-06-20	oos	0.07835	0.077698	-0.83%	0.075245	-3.96%	0.0215	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.075955	0.07498	-1.28%	0.07835	+3.15%	0.0362	✗	0.66
2026-06-18	oos	0.076205	0.075526	-0.89%	0.075955	-0.33%	0.0008	✓	0.68
2026-06-17	oos	0.080185	0.079339	-1.05%	0.076205	-4.96%	0.0245	✓	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	0.082235	0.081246	-1.20%	0.080185	-2.49%	0.0016	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	0.08092	0.079475	-1.79%	0.082235	+1.63%	0.0406	✗	0.65
2026-06-14	oos	0.081315	0.079877	-1.77%	0.08092	-0.49%	0.0074	✓	0.65
2026-06-13	oos	0.07894	0.07776	-1.50%	0.081315	+3.01%	0.0325	✗	0.62
2026-06-12	oos	0.07697	0.076191	-1.01%	0.07894	+2.56%	0.0270	✗	0.61
2026-06-11	oos	0.0787	0.078627	-0.09%	0.07697	-2.20%	0.0211	✓	0.61
2026-06-10	oos	0.072485	0.072604	+0.16%	0.0787	+8.57%	0.0632	✓	0.52
2026-06-09	oos	0.07651	0.076606	+0.13%	0.072485	-5.26%	0.0532	✗	0.54
2026-06-07	oos	0.07432	0.074461	+0.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.0741	0.07435	+0.34%	0.07432	+0.30%	0.0243	✗	0.60
2026-06-05	oos	0.07737	0.077576	+0.27%	0.0741	-4.23%	0.0441	✗	0.60
2026-06-04	oos	0.08171	0.081696	-0.02%	0.07737	-5.31%	0.0291	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.08873	0.088657	-0.08%	0.08171	-7.91%	0.0794	✓	0.59
2026-06-02	oos	0.08961	0.089412	-0.22%	0.08873	-0.98%	0.0169	✗	0.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.09889	0.098289	-0.61%	0.08961	-9.38%	0.0629	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.094545	0.09399	-0.59%	0.09889	+4.60%	0.0659	✗	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.09347	0.09295	-0.56%	0.094545	+1.15%	0.0183	✗	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.092475	0.091959	-0.56%	0.09347	+1.08%	0.0136	✗	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.09348	0.092966	-0.55%	0.092475	-1.08%	0.0043	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.09646	0.095904	-0.58%	0.09348	-3.09%	0.0204	✓	0.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.093435	0.092802	-0.68%	0.09646	+3.24%	0.0487	✗	0.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.09847	0.097788	-0.69%	0.093435	-5.11%	0.0359	✓	0.52
2026-05-24	oos	0.10152	0.100824	-0.69%	0.09847	-3.00%	0.0255	✓	0.52
2026-05-23	oos	0.109445	0.108561	-0.81%	0.10152	-7.24%	0.0694	✓	0.54
2026-05-22	oos	0.10947	0.108352	-1.02%	0.109445	-0.02%	0.0013	✓	0.55
2026-05-21	oos	0.108555	0.107767	-0.73%	0.10947	+0.84%	0.0313	✗	0.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.104355	0.103582	-0.74%	0.108555	+4.02%	0.0464	✗	0.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.10251	0.101679	-0.81%	0.104355	+1.80%	0.0208	✗	0.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.095495	0.09485	-0.68%	0.10251	+7.35%	0.0790	✗	0.58
2026-05-17	oos	0.09797	0.097184	-0.80%	0.095495	-2.53%	0.0140	✓	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.10234	0.101084	-1.23%	0.09797	-4.27%	0.0261	✓	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.10441	0.102799	-1.54%	0.10234	-1.98%	0.0026	✓	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.11545	0.1132	-1.95%	0.10441	-9.56%	0.0674	✓	0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.11943	0.117583	-1.55%	0.11545	-3.33%	0.0314	✓	0.59
2026-05-12	oos	0.1365	0.133212	-2.41%	0.11943	-12.51%	0.1013	✓	0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.177745	0.170927	-3.84%	0.1365	-23.20%	0.2185	✓	0.42
2026-05-10	oos	0.10148	0.10068	-0.79%	0.177745	+75.15%	0.5714	✗	0.52
2026-05-09	oos	0.10086	0.100062	-0.79%	0.10148	+0.61%	0.0042	✓	0.52
2026-05-07	oos	0.092805	0.092413	-0.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-05-06	oos	0.09127	0.090892	-0.41%	0.092805	+1.68%	0.0322	✗	0.64
2026-05-05	oos	0.088365	0.088083	-0.32%	0.09127	+3.29%	0.0307	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.09352	0.093086	-0.46%	0.088365	-5.51%	0.0618	✓	0.74
2026-05-03	oos	0.09292	0.092469	-0.48%	0.09352	+0.65%	0.0009	✓	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	0.09292	0.092429	-0.53%	0.09292	+0.00%	0.0065	✗	0.76
2026-04-30	oos	0.093425	0.092924	-0.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-04-29	oos	0.093435	0.092949	-0.52%	0.093425	-0.01%	0.0007	✓	0.80
2026-04-28	oos	0.095645	0.095143	-0.52%	0.093435	-2.31%	0.0120	✓	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.09717	0.096692	-0.49%	0.095645	-1.57%	0.0003	✓	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.09153	0.091275	-0.28%	0.09717	+6.16%	0.0766	✗	0.83
2026-04-25	oos	0.094655	0.094366	-0.31%	0.09153	-3.30%	0.0416	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.116335	0.115364	-0.83%	0.094655	-18.64%	0.2000	✓	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.109425	0.108633	-0.72%	0.116335	+6.31%	0.0778	✗	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.102415	0.101811	-0.59%	0.109425	+6.84%	0.0713	✗	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.10705	0.106183	-0.81%	0.102415	-4.33%	0.0578	✓	0.90
2026-04-20	oos	0.11432	0.113205	-0.97%	0.10705	-6.36%	0.0617	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.109585	0.108404	-1.08%	0.11432	+4.32%	0.0279	✗	0.93
2026-04-18	oos	0.097545	0.096931	-0.63%	0.109585	+12.34%	0.1473	✗	0.96
2026-04-17	oos	0.0899	0.089499	-0.45%	0.097545	+8.50%	0.1036	✗	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.08841	0.087933	-0.54%	0.0899	+1.69%	0.0029	✓	0.99
2026-04-15	oos	0.08242	0.082109	-0.38%	0.08841	+7.27%	0.0697	✗	0.98
2026-04-14	oos	0.07959	0.079308	-0.35%	0.08242	+3.56%	0.0298	✗	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.08342	0.083052	-0.44%	0.07959	-4.59%	0.0391	✓	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.07559	0.075279	-0.41%	0.08342	+10.36%	0.0537	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.078515	0.078215	-0.38%	0.07559	-3.73%	0.0030	✓	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.07798	0.07769	-0.37%	0.078515	+0.69%	0.0094	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.07821	0.077893	-0.41%	0.07798	-0.29%	0.0148	✓	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.07942	0.07907	-0.44%	0.07821	-1.52%	0.0205	✓	0.96
2026-04-07	oos	0.08039	0.080019	-0.46%	0.07942	-1.21%	0.0036	✓	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.07956	0.079134	-0.54%	0.08039	+1.04%	0.0269	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.07457	0.074238	-0.45%	0.07956	+6.69%	0.0714	✗	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.0766	0.076229	-0.48%	0.07457	-2.65%	0.0471	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.07325	0.072941	-0.42%	0.0766	+4.57%	0.0440	✗	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.0744	0.074083	-0.43%	0.07325	-1.55%	0.0123	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.07843	0.078068	-0.46%	0.0744	-5.14%	0.0301	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.07749	0.077152	-0.44%	0.07843	+1.21%	0.0180	✗	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	0.07634	0.076037	-0.40%	0.07749	+1.51%	0.0033	✓	1.01
2026-03-29	oos	0.07582	0.075554	-0.35%	0.07634	+0.69%	0.0016	✓	1.01
2026-03-28	oos	0.07925	0.078952	-0.38%	0.07582	-4.33%	0.0349	✓	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.07896	0.078687	-0.35%	0.07925	+0.37%	0.0076	✗	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.07768	0.077439	-0.31%	0.07896	+1.65%	0.0565	✗	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.0836	0.083316	-0.34%	0.07768	-7.08%	0.0330	✓	1.03
2026-03-24	oos	0.08545	0.08513	-0.38%	0.0836	-2.17%	0.0293	✓	1.03
2026-03-23	oos	0.08246	0.082191	-0.33%	0.08545	+3.63%	0.0439	✗	1.03
2026-03-22	oos	0.08039	0.080156	-0.29%	0.08246	+2.57%	0.0171	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.07959	0.079379	-0.27%	0.08039	+1.01%	0.0290	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.083455	0.083209	-0.30%	0.07959	-4.63%	0.0209	✓	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.089	0.088693	-0.35%	0.083455	-6.23%	0.0695	✓	1.05
2026-03-18	oos	0.09065	0.090329	-0.35%	0.089	-1.82%	0.0051	✗	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.09312	0.092765	-0.38%	0.09065	-2.65%	0.0165	✗	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.09414	0.093758	-0.41%	0.09312	-1.08%	0.0069	✗	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09439	0.094001	-0.41%	0.09414	-0.26%	0.0285	✓	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.09464	0.094245	-0.42%	0.09439	-0.26%	0.0224	✓	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.0955	0.095025	-0.50%	0.09464	-0.90%	0.0085	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.108195	0.107143	-0.97%	0.0955	-11.73%	0.1215	✓	1.10
2026-03-11	oos	0.09188	0.091528	-0.38%	0.108195	+17.76%	0.1623	✗	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.08344	0.083234	-0.25%	0.09188	+10.12%	0.0950	✗	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.08216	0.081984	-0.21%	0.08344	+1.56%	0.0063	✓	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.078635	0.078527	-0.14%	0.08216	+4.48%	0.0055	✗	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.07856	0.078457	-0.13%	0.078635	+0.10%	0.0234	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.08108	0.080958	-0.15%	0.07856	-3.11%	0.0165	✓	1.08
2026-03-05	oos	0.08471	0.084541	-0.20%	0.08108	-4.29%	0.0017	✓	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.08731	0.087098	-0.24%	0.08471	-2.98%	0.0004	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.08708	0.086916	-0.19%	0.08731	+0.26%	0.0662	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.08459	0.084457	-0.16%	0.08708	+2.94%	0.0389	✗	1.14
2026-03-01	oos	0.08345	0.08336	-0.11%	0.08459	+1.37%	0.0370	✓	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.08748	0.087362	-0.14%	0.08345	-4.61%	0.0250	✓	1.15
2026-02-27	oos	0.08944	0.089322	-0.13%	0.08748	-2.19%	0.0402	✓	1.16
2026-02-26	oos	0.09121	0.09106	-0.16%	0.08944	-1.94%	0.0105	✗	1.16
2026-02-25	oos	0.0915	0.091347	-0.17%	0.09121	-0.32%	0.0071	✗	1.16
2026-02-24	oos	0.08644	0.086412	-0.03%	0.0915	+5.85%	0.0125	✓	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.08701	0.086984	-0.03%	0.08644	-0.66%	0.0038	✗	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09035	0.090258	-0.10%	0.08701	-3.70%	0.0163	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.093555	0.093428	-0.14%	0.09035	-3.43%	0.0277	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.09345	0.093337	-0.12%	0.093555	+0.11%	0.0028	✗	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.09335	0.093268	-0.09%	0.09345	+0.11%	0.0155	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.09564	0.095555	-0.09%	0.09335	-2.39%	0.0331	✓	1.17
2026-02-17	oos	0.10139	0.101215	-0.17%	0.09564	-5.67%	0.0395	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.104625	0.104381	-0.23%	0.10139	-3.09%	0.0067	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.10273	0.102526	-0.20%	0.104625	+1.84%	0.0192	✗	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	0.1054	0.105135	-0.25%	0.10273	-2.53%	0.0074	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.10411	0.103889	-0.21%	0.1054	+1.24%	0.0010	✓	1.10
2026-02-12	oos	0.09806	0.098015	-0.05%	0.10411	+6.17%	0.0185	✗	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.09563	0.095654	+0.03%	0.09806	+2.54%	0.0380	✓	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.09579	0.095791	+0.00%	0.09563	-0.17%	0.0266	✓	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.09841	0.098367	-0.04%	0.09579	-2.66%	0.0064	✓	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.0974	0.097401	+0.00%	0.09841	+1.04%	0.0131	✓	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.10021	0.100223	+0.01%	0.0974	-2.80%	0.0449	✗	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.101	0.101001	+0.00%	0.10021	-0.78%	0.0123	✓	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.0899	0.090416	+0.57%	0.101	+12.35%	0.0189	✗	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.10425	0.10424	-0.01%	0.0899	-13.76%	0.0383	✗	1.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.1073	0.107166	-0.12%	0.10425	-2.84%	0.0170	✗	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.1112	0.110906	-0.26%	0.1073	-3.51%	0.0164	✗	1.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.1046	0.10454	-0.06%	0.1112	+6.31%	0.0354	✗	1.16
2026-01-31	oos	0.1058	0.105683	-0.11%	0.1046	-1.13%	0.0171	✗	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	0.1176	0.117188	-0.35%	0.1058	-10.03%	0.0231	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.1196	0.119183	-0.35%	0.1176	-1.67%	0.0077	✓	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.1301	0.129525	-0.44%	0.1196	-8.07%	0.0180	✓	1.15
2026-01-27	oos	0.1314	0.130809	-0.45%	0.1301	-0.99%	0.0060	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.1307	0.130119	-0.44%	0.1314	+0.54%	0.0017	✓	1.17
2026-01-25	oos	0.12455	0.124102	-0.36%	0.1307	+4.94%	0.0294	✗	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.1358	0.135163	-0.47%	0.12455	-8.28%	0.0494	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.1314	0.130885	-0.39%	0.1358	+3.35%	0.0418	✗	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.1265	0.1261	-0.32%	0.1314	+3.87%	0.0410	✗	1.13
2026-01-21	oos	0.1297	0.129254	-0.34%	0.1265	-2.47%	0.0228	✓	1.13
2026-01-20	oos	0.1263	0.125918	-0.30%	0.1297	+2.69%	0.0162	✗	1.13
2026-01-19	oos	0.1382	0.137692	-0.37%	0.1263	-8.61%	0.0351	✓	1.09
2026-01-18	oos	0.1387	0.13825	-0.32%	0.1382	-0.36%	0.0123	✗	1.10
2026-01-17	oos	0.1472	0.146614	-0.40%	0.1387	-5.77%	0.0387	✓	1.07
2026-01-16	oos	0.1408	0.140355	-0.32%	0.1472	+4.55%	0.0521	✗	1.08
2026-01-15	oos	0.1368	0.136431	-0.27%	0.1408	+2.92%	0.0325	✗	1.08
2026-01-14	oos	0.1429	0.142463	-0.31%	0.1368	-4.27%	0.0254	✓	1.07
2026-01-13	oos	0.1487	0.148041	-0.44%	0.1429	-3.90%	0.0534	✓	1.11
2026-01-12	oos	0.1361	0.13559	-0.38%	0.1487	+9.26%	0.0448	✗	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.1414	0.140802	-0.42%	0.1361	-3.75%	0.0377	✓	1.08
2026-01-10	oos	0.1427	0.142076	-0.44%	0.1414	-0.91%	0.0107	✓	1.09
2026-01-09	oos	0.1446	0.143936	-0.46%	0.1427	-1.31%	0.0068	✓	1.14
2026-01-08	oos	0.1451	0.144384	-0.49%	0.1446	-0.34%	0.0077	✗	1.10
2026-01-07	oos	0.1457	0.145022	-0.47%	0.1451	-0.41%	0.0047	✗	1.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.1516	0.150819	-0.52%	0.1457	-3.89%	0.0054	✗	1.51
2026-01-05	oos	0.1541	0.153226	-0.57%	0.1516	-1.62%	0.0083	✓	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.1497	0.148871	-0.55%	0.1541	+2.94%	0.0047	✓	1.53
2026-01-03	oos	0.1473	0.146493	-0.55%	0.1497	+1.63%	0.0066	✗	1.53
2026-01-02	oos	0.1445	0.143718	-0.54%	0.1473	+1.94%	0.0138	✗	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.1407	0.139973	-0.52%	0.1445	+2.70%	0.0111	✗	1.52
2025-12-31	oos	0.1303	0.129771	-0.41%	0.1407	+7.98%	0.0599	✗	1.49
2025-12-30	oos	0.1337	0.133126	-0.43%	0.1303	-2.54%	0.0062	✓	1.49
2025-12-29	oos	0.1317	0.13118	-0.39%	0.1337	+1.52%	0.0032	✓	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.1333	0.132755	-0.41%	0.1317	-1.20%	0.0053	✗	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.1347	0.134105	-0.44%	0.1333	-1.04%	0.0072	✓	1.48
2025-12-26	oos	0.1287	0.128215	-0.38%	0.1347	+4.66%	0.0408	✗	1.46
2025-12-25	oos	0.1252	0.12478	-0.34%	0.1287	+2.80%	0.0289	✗	1.46
2025-12-24	oos	0.1287	0.128228	-0.37%	0.1252	-2.72%	0.0166	✓	1.47
2025-12-23	oos	0.1291	0.12862	-0.37%	0.1287	-0.31%	0.0024	✓	1.49
2025-12-22	oos	0.1286	0.128116	-0.38%	0.1291	+0.39%	0.0268	✗	1.49
2025-12-21	oos	0.126	0.125559	-0.35%	0.1286	+2.06%	0.0253	✗	1.49
2025-12-20	oos	0.1281	0.127636	-0.36%	0.126	-1.64%	0.0183	✓	1.51
2025-12-19	oos	0.1271	0.126657	-0.35%	0.1281	+0.79%	0.0074	✗	1.51
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.119011	-0.24%	0.1271	+6.54%	0.0204	✗	1.50
2025-12-17	oos	0.122	0.121683	-0.26%	0.1193	-2.21%	0.0066	✓	1.51
2025-12-16	oos	0.126	0.125625	-0.30%	0.122	-3.17%	0.0007	✓	1.51
2025-12-15	oos	0.12745	0.127095	-0.28%	0.126	-1.14%	0.0338	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.12835	0.127979	-0.29%	0.12745	-0.70%	0.0267	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.1368	0.136312	-0.36%	0.12835	-6.18%	0.0246	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.1387	0.13819	-0.37%	0.1368	-1.37%	0.0097	✓	1.53
2025-12-11	oos	0.1407	0.140145	-0.39%	0.1387	-1.42%	0.0279	✗	1.54
2025-12-10	oos	0.1427	0.14212	-0.41%	0.1407	-1.40%	0.0186	✓	1.55
2025-12-09	oos	0.1517	0.150859	-0.55%	0.1427	-5.93%	0.0447	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	0.14445	0.143889	-0.39%	0.1517	+5.02%	0.0193	✗	1.51
2025-12-07	oos	0.1409	0.140415	-0.34%	0.14445	+2.52%	0.0241	✗	1.51
2025-12-06	oos	0.1435	0.143	-0.35%	0.1409	-1.81%	0.0340	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	0.1362	0.13582	-0.28%	0.1435	+5.36%	0.0563	✗	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	0.1435	0.142981	-0.36%	0.1362	-5.09%	0.0025	✓	1.52
2025-12-03	oos	0.1448	0.144308	-0.34%	0.1435	-0.90%	0.0168	✗	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	0.143	0.142595	-0.28%	0.1448	+1.26%	0.0205	✓	1.54
2025-12-01	oos	0.14	0.139765	-0.17%	0.143	+2.14%	0.0699	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	0.1531	0.152625	-0.31%	0.14	-8.56%	0.0116	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	0.1539	0.153408	-0.32%	0.1531	-0.52%	0.0062	✗	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.1578	0.157258	-0.34%	0.1539	-2.47%	0.0203	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	0.1612	0.160608	-0.37%	0.1578	-2.11%	0.0103	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.1578	0.157285	-0.33%	0.1612	+2.15%	0.0093	✗	1.63
2025-11-25	oos	0.1562	0.155862	-0.22%	0.1578	+1.02%	0.0478	✓	1.70
2025-11-24	oos	0.1593	0.158899	-0.25%	0.1562	-1.95%	0.0011	✓	1.70
2025-11-23	oos	0.1603	0.159923	-0.24%	0.1593	-0.62%	0.0326	✓	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.156	0.155807	-0.12%	0.1603	+2.76%	0.0151	✓	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.154	0.153871	-0.08%	0.156	+1.30%	0.0217	✗	1.75
2025-11-20	oos	0.1607	0.160419	-0.17%	0.154	-4.17%	0.0109	✓	1.75
2025-11-19	oos	0.155	0.154687	-0.20%	0.1607	+3.68%	0.1456	✗	1.94
2025-11-18	oos	0.16	0.159592	-0.25%	0.155	-3.12%	0.0011	✓	1.92
2025-11-17	oos	0.159	0.158673	-0.21%	0.16	+0.63%	0.0086	✓	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.1628	0.16237	-0.26%	0.159	-2.33%	0.0211	✗	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.1658	0.165294	-0.31%	0.1628	-1.81%	0.0121	✗	1.90
2025-11-14	oos	0.1648	0.164384	-0.25%	0.1658	+0.61%	0.0123	✓	1.91
2025-11-13	oos	0.1699	0.169292	-0.36%	0.1648	-3.00%	0.0794	✗	2.02
2025-11-12	oos	0.1754	0.174685	-0.41%	0.1699	-3.14%	0.0131	✗	2.03
2025-11-11	oos	0.1778	0.177015	-0.44%	0.1754	-1.35%	0.0186	✗	2.07
2025-11-10	oos	0.1908	0.189743	-0.55%	0.1778	-6.81%	0.0001	✓	2.28
2025-11-09	oos	0.18975	0.188647	-0.58%	0.1908	+0.55%	0.0168	✓	2.31
2025-11-08	oos	0.1872	0.186212	-0.53%	0.18975	+1.36%	0.0356	✓	2.34
2025-11-07	oos	0.1896	0.188543	-0.56%	0.1872	-1.27%	0.0151	✗	2.29
2025-11-06	oos	0.1712	0.170629	-0.33%	0.1896	+10.75%	0.0614	✗	2.26
2025-11-05	oos	0.1747	0.17401	-0.40%	0.1712	-2.00%	0.0410	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.1662	0.165783	-0.25%	0.1747	+5.11%	0.0008	✓	2.28
2025-11-03	oos	0.1627	0.162229	-0.29%	0.1662	+2.15%	0.1456	✗	2.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.1818	0.181007	-0.44%	0.1627	-10.51%	0.0164	✓	2.46
2025-11-01	oos	0.1838	0.18302	-0.42%	0.1818	-1.09%	0.0175	✓	2.46
2025-10-31	oos	0.1805	0.179828	-0.37%	0.1838	+1.83%	0.0107	✗	2.47
2025-10-30	oos	0.1788	0.178214	-0.33%	0.1805	+0.95%	0.0156	✓	2.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.1883	0.187551	-0.40%	0.1788	-5.05%	0.0092	✓	2.44
2025-10-28	oos	0.1962	0.195429	-0.39%	0.1883	-4.03%	0.0265	✗	2.47
2025-10-27	oos	0.2055	0.204678	-0.40%	0.1962	-4.53%	0.0167	✓	2.46
2025-10-26	oos	0.214	0.213051	-0.44%	0.2055	-3.97%	0.0262	✓	2.46
2025-10-25	oos	0.2071	0.206264	-0.40%	0.214	+3.33%	0.0270	✓	2.51
2025-10-24	oos	0.20795	0.207132	-0.39%	0.2071	-0.41%	0.0142	✓	2.51
2025-10-23	oos	0.2065	0.205756	-0.36%	0.20795	+0.70%	0.0105	✓	2.52
2025-10-22	oos	0.2004	0.199833	-0.28%	0.2065	+3.04%	0.0260	✓	2.53
2025-10-21	oos	0.2095	0.208809	-0.33%	0.2004	-4.34%	0.0229	✓	2.53
2025-10-20	oos	0.2176	0.216746	-0.39%	0.2095	-3.72%	0.0175	✗	2.55
2025-10-19	oos	0.22035	0.219433	-0.42%	0.2176	-1.25%	0.0520	✓	2.53
2025-10-18	oos	0.2146	0.213865	-0.34%	0.22035	+2.68%	0.0046	✓	2.53
2025-10-17	oos	0.2137	0.213031	-0.31%	0.2146	+0.42%	0.0103	✓	2.52
2025-10-16	oos	0.2164	0.215712	-0.32%	0.2137	-1.25%	0.0317	✗	2.54
2025-10-15	oos	0.2265	0.22563	-0.38%	0.2164	-4.46%	0.0188	✗	2.55
2025-10-14	oos	0.2356	0.234648	-0.40%	0.2265	-3.86%	0.0164	✗	2.56
2025-10-13	oos	0.24855	0.24749	-0.43%	0.2356	-5.21%	0.0001	✓	2.54
2025-10-12	oos	0.2306	0.229713	-0.38%	0.24855	+7.78%	0.0744	✗	2.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.212	0.211406	-0.28%	0.2306	+8.77%	0.0075	✓	2.48
2025-10-10	oos	0.20085	0.20046	-0.19%	0.212	+5.55%	0.1065	✗	2.55
2025-10-09	oos	0.2782	0.277389	-0.29%	0.20085	-27.80%	0.1686	✓	2.07
2025-10-08	oos	0.28345	0.282622	-0.29%	0.2782	-1.85%	0.0117	✗	2.07
2025-10-07	oos	0.2716	0.27088	-0.27%	0.28345	+4.36%	0.0124	✗	2.07
2025-10-06	oos	0.2847	0.283897	-0.28%	0.2716	-4.60%	0.0122	✗	2.09
2025-10-05	oos	0.2785	0.277694	-0.29%	0.2847	+2.23%	0.0047	✗	2.09
2025-10-04	oos	0.2827	0.281756	-0.33%	0.2785	-1.49%	0.0297	✓	2.09
2025-10-03	oos	0.2881	0.287029	-0.37%	0.2827	-1.87%	0.0176	✓	2.09
2025-10-02	oos	0.28665	0.285544	-0.39%	0.2881	+0.51%	0.0204	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.2778	0.276794	-0.36%	0.28665	+3.19%	0.0000	✓	2.13
2025-09-30	oos	0.2555	0.254795	-0.28%	0.2778	+8.73%	0.0026	✓	2.13
2025-09-29	oos	0.2643	0.263512	-0.30%	0.2555	-3.33%	0.0252	✓	2.17
2025-09-28	oos	0.2784	0.277458	-0.34%	0.2643	-5.06%	0.0921	✓	2.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.275	0.274196	-0.29%	0.2784	+1.24%	0.0372	✓	2.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.2823	0.281421	-0.31%	0.275	-2.59%	0.0227	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.2714	0.270734	-0.25%	0.2823	+4.02%	0.0279	✗	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.299	0.297942	-0.35%	0.2714	-9.23%	0.0044	✓	2.29
2025-09-23	oos	0.3021	0.301064	-0.34%	0.299	-1.03%	0.0342	✓	2.32
2025-09-22	oos	0.3062	0.305152	-0.34%	0.3021	-1.34%	0.0046	✗	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.33405	0.332582	-0.44%	0.3062	-8.34%	0.0325	✓	2.24
2025-09-20	oos	0.3417	0.340178	-0.45%	0.33405	-2.24%	0.0090	✓	2.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.3364	0.335	-0.42%	0.3417	+1.58%	0.0186	✗	2.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.36885	0.366859	-0.54%	0.3364	-8.80%	0.0591	✓	2.25
2025-09-17	oos	0.3637	0.361791	-0.52%	0.36885	+1.42%	0.0071	✗	2.25
2025-09-16	oos	0.35105	0.349364	-0.48%	0.3637	+3.60%	0.0470	✗	2.26
2025-09-15	oos	0.34875	0.347131	-0.46%	0.35105	+0.66%	0.0172	✓	2.27
2025-09-14	oos	0.3584	0.356617	-0.50%	0.34875	-2.69%	0.0236	✓	2.26

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.