EMBER
embercurve · Solana · gru_s8
- token id
- #783
- symbol
- EMBER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 5dvXTZ5qwgafnHtwu3Ls3QrWx1U4LQsFeCuJgkk4QEC6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-11
- predictions
- 96
Track record at +7d
assessed
25
of 32 predictions shown
direction hit
84.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4407
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0290
actual -0.4493
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002465 | 0.002448 | -0.69% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.002424 | 0.002422 | -0.08% | – | pending | – | – | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.002855 | 0.002837 | -0.64% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003005 | 0.002985 | -0.66% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003031 | 0.003025 | -0.21% | – | pending | – | – | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002896 | 0.002903 | +0.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003313 | 0.003312 | -0.03% | – | pending | – | – | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002646 | 0.002634 | -0.48% | 0.002465 | -6.86% | 0.0875 | ✓ | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003509 | 0.003526 | +0.48% | 0.002424 | -30.92% | 0.3723 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00415 | 0.004148 | -0.04% | 0.002855 | -31.19% | 0.3750 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005229 | 0.005095 | -2.57% | 0.003005 | -42.54% | 0.5077 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005076 | 0.004984 | -1.81% | 0.003031 | -40.28% | 0.4786 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005148 | 0.00506 | -1.71% | 0.002896 | -43.75% | 0.5455 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005587 | 0.005457 | -2.32% | 0.003313 | -40.70% | 0.5044 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.006234 | 0.006019 | -3.45% | 0.002646 | -57.55% | 0.8009 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005932 | 0.005757 | -2.94% | 0.003509 | -40.85% | 0.4663 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.004325 | 0.004234 | -2.11% | 0.00415 | -4.05% | 0.0279 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.004877 | 0.004766 | -2.28% | 0.005229 | +7.23% | 0.1261 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005381 | 0.005257 | -2.31% | 0.005076 | -5.68% | 0.0133 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006784 | 0.006606 | -2.63% | 0.005148 | -24.12% | 0.2259 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007134 | 0.006899 | -3.29% | 0.005587 | -21.68% | 0.1730 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006565 | 0.006303 | -3.99% | 0.006234 | -5.04% | 0.0076 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00693 | 0.006638 | -4.21% | 0.005932 | -14.40% | 0.1350 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00905 | 0.008761 | -3.20% | 0.004325 | -52.21% | 0.7330 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01286 | 0.012424 | -3.39% | 0.004877 | -62.08% | 0.9590 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013545 | 0.013056 | -3.61% | 0.005381 | -60.27% | 0.8901 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013478 | -3.80% | 0.006784 | -51.57% | 0.6913 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0134 | 0.012926 | -3.54% | 0.007134 | -46.76% | 0.5999 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01968 | 0.018545 | -5.77% | 0.006565 | -66.64% | 1.0287 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01742 | 0.016654 | -4.39% | 0.00693 | -60.22% | 0.8467 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.01335 | 0.012947 | -3.02% | 0.00905 | -32.21% | 0.3212 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011735 | 0.011164 | -4.87% | 0.01286 | +9.59% | 0.1015 | ✗ | 1.00 |