EMBER
embercurve · Solana · gru_s8
- token id
- #783
- symbol
- EMBER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 5dvXTZ5qwgafnHtwu3Ls3QrWx1U4LQsFeCuJgkk4QEC6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-11
- predictions
- 96
Track record at +1d
assessed
31
of 32 predictions shown
direction hit
54.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1343
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0031
actual -0.0513
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002465 | 0.002467 | +0.09% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.002424 | 0.002429 | +0.21% | 0.002465 | +1.69% | 0.0192 | ✓ | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.002855 | 0.002858 | +0.09% | 0.002424 | -15.11% | 0.1873 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003005 | 0.003008 | +0.09% | 0.002855 | -4.98% | 0.0485 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003031 | 0.003037 | +0.17% | 0.003005 | -0.87% | 0.0234 | ✗ | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002896 | 0.002903 | +0.27% | 0.003031 | +4.70% | 0.0457 | ✓ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003313 | 0.00332 | +0.21% | 0.002896 | -12.60% | 0.1243 | ✗ | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002646 | 0.002652 | +0.22% | 0.003313 | +25.18% | 0.2119 | ✓ | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003509 | 0.00352 | +0.32% | 0.002646 | -24.58% | 0.2630 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00415 | 0.004159 | +0.22% | 0.003509 | -15.45% | 0.1926 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005229 | 0.005217 | -0.24% | 0.00415 | -20.64% | 0.2052 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005076 | 0.005072 | -0.08% | 0.005229 | +3.02% | 0.0214 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005148 | 0.005145 | -0.05% | 0.005076 | -1.40% | 0.0180 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005587 | 0.005577 | -0.17% | 0.005148 | -7.86% | 0.0905 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.006234 | 0.006208 | -0.41% | 0.005587 | -10.38% | 0.0862 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005932 | 0.005913 | -0.32% | 0.006234 | +5.09% | 0.0797 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.004325 | 0.004323 | -0.05% | 0.005932 | +37.16% | 0.3189 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.004877 | 0.004872 | -0.09% | 0.004325 | -11.32% | 0.1104 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005381 | 0.005376 | -0.11% | 0.004877 | -9.37% | 0.1180 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006784 | 0.006768 | -0.25% | 0.005381 | -20.68% | 0.2320 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007134 | 0.007106 | -0.39% | 0.006784 | -4.89% | 0.0422 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006565 | 0.006537 | -0.43% | 0.007134 | +8.66% | 0.0720 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00693 | 0.006898 | -0.46% | 0.006565 | -5.27% | 0.0485 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00905 | 0.009011 | -0.43% | 0.00693 | -23.43% | 0.2647 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01286 | 0.01277 | -0.70% | 0.00905 | -29.63% | 0.3323 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013545 | 0.013441 | -0.77% | 0.01286 | -5.06% | 0.0447 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013896 | -0.81% | 0.013545 | -3.32% | 0.0294 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0134 | 0.013301 | -0.74% | 0.01401 | +4.55% | 0.0554 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01968 | 0.019355 | -1.65% | 0.0134 | -31.91% | 0.3678 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01742 | 0.017175 | -1.41% | 0.01968 | +12.97% | 0.1575 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.01335 | 0.013239 | -0.83% | 0.01742 | +30.49% | 0.2790 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011735 | 0.011616 | -1.01% | 0.01335 | +13.76% | 0.0743 | ✗ | 1.00 |