BP

Backpack · Solana · gru_s8

token id: #474
symbol: BP
variant: –
chain: Solana
address: BPxxfRCXkUVhig4HS1Lh7kZqV6SPJhzfEk4x6fVBjPCy
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-23
predictions: 612

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

197

of 204 predictions shown

direction hit

54.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1621

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0276

actual +0.0676

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.0984	1.0628	-3.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-20	oos	1.0962	1.0627	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-19	oos	1.1594	1.1211	-3.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-18	oos	1.1091	1.0703	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-17	oos	0.97705	0.949257	-2.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	1.0034	0.970531	-3.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-15	oos	1.0144	0.978288	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	1.0044	0.968147	-3.60%	1.0984	+9.37%	0.1083	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	1.0445	1.0036	-3.91%	1.0962	+4.96%	0.0910	✗	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	1.0973	1.0516	-4.16%	1.1594	+5.66%	0.0959	✗	1.36
2026-10-11	oos	1.1975	1.1444	-4.44%	1.1091	-7.39%	0.0059	✓	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	1.1394	1.0898	-4.35%	0.97705	-14.24%	0.0855	✓	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	1.2027	1.1487	-4.49%	1.0034	-16.57%	0.1189	✓	1.28
2026-10-08	oos	1.126	1.0759	-4.45%	1.0144	-9.91%	0.0655	✓	1.26
2026-10-07	oos	1.0901	1.0436	-4.26%	1.0044	-7.87%	0.0114	✓	1.30
2026-10-06	oos	1.1856	1.1338	-4.37%	1.0445	-11.90%	0.0461	✓	1.24
2026-10-05	oos	1.2399	1.1846	-4.46%	1.0973	-11.50%	0.0162	✓	1.26
2026-10-04	oos	1.2509	1.1956	-4.42%	1.1975	-4.26%	0.0433	✓	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	1.2619	1.2	-4.91%	1.1394	-9.72%	0.0239	✓	1.28
2026-10-02	oos	1.1594	1.1056	-4.64%	1.2027	+3.74%	0.1141	✗	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	1.268	1.1978	-5.54%	1.126	-11.21%	0.0148	✓	1.24
2026-09-30	oos	1.2865	1.2115	-5.83%	1.0901	-15.26%	0.1015	✓	1.22
2026-09-29	oos	1.1463	1.0889	-5.01%	1.1856	+3.42%	0.0576	✗	1.22
2026-09-28	oos	1.2709	1.2001	-5.57%	1.2399	-2.44%	0.0012	✓	1.25
2026-09-27	oos	1.3501	1.2657	-6.25%	1.2509	-7.35%	0.0391	✓	1.14
2026-09-26	oos	1.3079	1.2271	-6.18%	1.2619	-3.51%	0.0236	✓	1.15
2026-09-25	oos	1.3502	1.2396	-8.20%	1.1594	-14.14%	0.0727	✓	1.19
2026-09-24	oos	1.0486	0.989362	-5.65%	1.268	+20.93%	0.2414	✗	1.25
2026-09-23	oos	0.848	0.810915	-4.37%	1.2865	+51.70%	0.4739	✗	1.27
2026-09-22	oos	0.76025	0.733522	-3.52%	1.1463	+50.78%	0.4903	✗	1.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.89395	0.845846	-5.38%	1.2709	+42.16%	0.4577	✗	1.37
2026-09-20	oos	0.82965	0.776839	-6.37%	1.3501	+62.73%	0.4948	✗	1.45
2026-09-19	oos	0.64225	0.622552	-3.07%	1.3079	+103.64%	0.6860	✗	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.57225	0.558453	-2.41%	1.3502	+135.95%	0.8272	✗	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.5342	0.522141	-2.26%	1.0486	+96.29%	0.5498	✗	1.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.4646	0.460241	-0.94%	0.848	+82.52%	0.4607	✗	1.46
2026-09-15	oos	0.4664	0.462139	-0.91%	0.76025	+63.00%	0.3329	✗	1.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.5093	0.501981	-1.44%	0.89395	+75.53%	0.4629	✗	1.12
2026-09-13	oos	0.4988	0.492695	-1.22%	0.82965	+66.33%	0.4595	✗	1.11
2026-09-12	oos	0.5479	0.537112	-1.97%	0.64225	+17.22%	0.1256	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.56005	0.548205	-2.11%	0.57225	+2.18%	0.0152	✓	1.25
2026-09-10	oos	0.5563	0.544851	-2.06%	0.5342	-3.97%	0.0166	✓	1.30
2026-09-09	oos	0.59295	0.577324	-2.64%	0.4646	-21.65%	0.1823	✓	1.26
2026-09-08	oos	0.573	0.559987	-2.27%	0.4664	-18.60%	0.1336	✓	1.32
2026-09-07	oos	0.51165	0.506918	-0.92%	0.5093	-0.46%	0.0207	✗	1.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.4892	0.48898	-0.04%	0.4988	+1.96%	0.0838	✗	1.42
2026-09-05	oos	0.43585	0.440168	+0.99%	0.5479	+25.71%	0.2649	✓	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.4332	0.438135	+1.14%	0.56005	+29.28%	0.2919	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.45165	0.457218	+1.23%	0.5563	+23.17%	0.2842	✓	1.47
2026-09-02	oos	0.42545	0.428827	+0.79%	0.59295	+39.37%	0.3062	✓	1.42
2026-09-01	oos	0.3946	0.398984	+1.11%	0.573	+45.21%	0.3423	✓	1.46
2026-08-31	oos	0.4092	0.414412	+1.27%	0.51165	+25.04%	0.2052	✓	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.4054	0.409657	+1.05%	0.4892	+20.67%	0.1622	✓	0.45
2026-08-29	oos	0.4135	0.417591	+0.99%	0.43585	+5.41%	0.0325	✓	0.51
2026-08-28	oos	0.4334	0.436287	+0.67%	0.4332	-0.05%	0.0192	✗	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.4455	0.449805	+0.97%	0.45165	+1.38%	0.0022	✓	0.51
2026-08-26	oos	0.4339	0.436925	+0.70%	0.42545	-1.95%	0.0155	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.4389	0.440808	+0.43%	0.3946	-10.09%	0.1033	✗	0.51
2026-08-24	oos	0.4103	0.412749	+0.60%	0.4092	-0.27%	0.0060	✗	0.50
2026-08-23	oos	0.4431	0.443085	-0.00%	0.4054	-8.51%	0.0884	✓	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.4304	0.429985	-0.10%	0.4135	-3.93%	0.0472	✓	0.53
2026-08-21	oos	0.4728	0.46999	-0.59%	0.4334	-8.33%	0.0780	✓	0.49
2026-08-20	oos	0.4026	0.400663	-0.48%	0.4455	+10.66%	0.0825	✗	0.25
2026-08-19	oos	0.4004	0.395742	-1.16%	0.4339	+8.37%	0.0534	✗	0.29
2026-08-18	oos	0.3608	0.355294	-1.53%	0.4389	+21.65%	0.1885	✗	0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.3692	0.363153	-1.64%	0.4103	+11.13%	0.0999	✗	0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.3661	0.359885	-1.70%	0.4431	+21.03%	0.1835	✗	0.12
2026-08-15	oos	0.3707	0.364169	-1.76%	0.4304	+16.10%	0.1432	✗	0.12
2026-08-14	oos	0.3817	0.374394	-1.91%	0.4728	+23.87%	0.2050	✗	0.13
2026-08-13	oos	0.3807	0.373374	-1.92%	0.4026	+5.75%	0.0564	✗	0.13
2026-08-12	oos	0.3817	0.374181	-1.97%	0.4004	+4.90%	0.0526	✗	0.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.3759	0.36822	-2.04%	0.3608	-4.02%	0.0230	✓	0.15
2026-08-10	oos	0.3539	0.347308	-1.86%	0.3692	+4.32%	0.0598	✗	0.15
2026-08-09	oos	0.4022	0.393064	-2.27%	0.3661	-8.98%	0.0672	✓	0.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.3854	0.376988	-2.18%	0.3707	-3.81%	0.0133	✓	0.12
2026-08-07	oos	0.4063	0.396688	-2.37%	0.3817	-6.05%	0.0350	✓	0.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.4411	0.428848	-2.78%	0.3807	-13.69%	0.1171	✓	0.15
2026-08-05	oos	0.4013	0.391986	-2.32%	0.3817	-4.88%	0.0235	✓	0.17
2026-08-04	oos	0.3902	0.381505	-2.23%	0.3759	-3.66%	0.0133	✓	0.18
2026-08-03	oos	0.3691	0.362903	-1.68%	0.3539	-4.12%	0.0263	✓	0.17
2026-08-02	oos	0.3812	0.374437	-1.77%	0.4022	+5.51%	0.0685	✗	0.14
2026-08-01	oos	0.3678	0.363627	-1.13%	0.3854	+4.79%	0.0550	✗	0.09
2026-07-31	oos	0.3676	0.364088	-0.96%	0.4063	+10.53%	0.1066	✗	0.10
2026-07-30	oos	0.4028	0.395384	-1.84%	0.4411	+9.51%	0.1095	✗	0.02
2026-07-29	oos	0.4315	0.423383	-1.88%	0.4013	-7.00%	0.0543	✓	0.07
2026-07-28	oos	0.4521	0.443088	-1.99%	0.3902	-13.69%	0.1273	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.4452	0.437214	-1.79%	0.3691	-17.09%	0.1691	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.4715	0.460916	-2.24%	0.3812	-19.15%	0.1890	✓	0.03
2026-07-25	oos	0.4618	0.452492	-2.02%	0.3678	-20.36%	0.2067	✓	0.02
2026-07-24	oos	0.4467	0.439615	-1.59%	0.3676	-17.71%	0.1785	✓	0.02
2026-07-23	oos	0.4334	0.427397	-1.39%	0.4028	-7.06%	0.0591	✓	0.03
2026-07-22	oos	0.4646	0.454534	-2.17%	0.4315	-7.12%	0.0523	✓	-0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.4645	0.456312	-1.76%	0.4521	-2.67%	0.0097	✓	-0.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.4481	0.443006	-1.14%	0.4452	-0.65%	0.0040	✓	-0.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.4327	0.430258	-0.56%	0.4715	+8.97%	0.0920	✗	-0.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.4838	0.476153	-1.58%	0.4618	-4.55%	0.0309	✓	-0.03
2026-07-17	oos	0.472	0.466323	-1.20%	0.4467	-5.36%	0.0430	✓	-0.01
2026-07-16	oos	0.5022	0.493597	-1.71%	0.4334	-13.70%	0.1301	✓	-0.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.5499	0.536303	-2.47%	0.4646	-15.51%	0.1409	✓	-0.13
2026-07-14	oos	0.5377	0.524721	-2.41%	0.4645	-13.61%	0.1193	✓	-0.11
2026-07-13	oos	0.5299	0.518302	-2.19%	0.4481	-15.44%	0.1392	✓	-0.14
2026-07-12	oos	0.556	0.541383	-2.63%	0.4327	-22.18%	0.2214	✓	-0.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.5853	0.567612	-3.02%	0.4838	-17.34%	0.1577	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.5659	0.549141	-2.96%	0.472	-16.59%	0.1517	✓	-0.09
2026-07-09	oos	0.544	0.529142	-2.73%	0.5022	-7.68%	0.0513	✓	-0.10
2026-07-08	oos	0.5505	0.53456	-2.90%	0.5499	-0.11%	0.0321	✗	-0.10
2026-07-07	oos	0.5861	0.566274	-3.38%	0.5377	-8.26%	0.0480	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.5768	0.557277	-3.38%	0.5299	-8.13%	0.0540	✓	-0.13
2026-07-05	oos	0.5198	0.503131	-3.21%	0.556	+6.96%	0.1002	✗	-0.12
2026-07-04	oos	0.5456	0.526572	-3.49%	0.5853	+7.28%	0.1068	✗	-0.10
2026-07-03	oos	0.5821	0.559473	-3.89%	0.5659	-2.78%	0.0144	✓	-0.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.616	0.589469	-4.31%	0.544	-11.69%	0.0781	✓	-0.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.6116	0.58316	-4.65%	0.5505	-9.99%	0.0549	✓	-0.07
2026-06-30	oos	0.5575	0.53325	-4.35%	0.5861	+5.13%	0.1029	✗	-0.11
2026-06-29	oos	0.5169	0.494348	-4.36%	0.5768	+11.59%	0.1579	✗	-0.06
2026-06-28	oos	0.4789	0.458756	-4.21%	0.5198	+8.54%	0.1321	✗	-0.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.5447	0.517589	-4.98%	0.5456	+0.17%	0.0589	✗	-0.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.5608	0.530861	-5.34%	0.5821	+3.80%	0.0968	✗	-0.11
2026-06-25	oos	0.5105	0.485746	-4.85%	0.616	+20.67%	0.2413	✗	-0.13
2026-06-24	oos	0.6027	0.56806	-5.75%	0.6116	+1.48%	0.0691	✗	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.59	0.555568	-5.84%	0.5575	-5.51%	0.0021	✓	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.6595	0.613543	-6.97%	0.5169	-21.62%	0.1789	✓	-0.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.6834	0.630034	-7.81%	0.4789	-29.92%	0.2796	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.6577	0.606424	-7.80%	0.5447	-17.18%	0.1126	✓	-0.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.5807	0.540092	-6.99%	0.5608	-3.43%	0.0309	✓	-0.12
2026-06-18	oos	0.592	0.539688	-8.84%	0.5105	-13.77%	0.0613	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.4729	0.437035	-7.58%	0.6027	+27.45%	0.3235	✗	0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.4182	0.391969	-6.27%	0.59	+41.08%	0.4135	✗	0.10
2026-06-15	oos	0.4219	0.394936	-6.39%	0.6595	+56.32%	0.5161	✗	0.09
2026-06-14	oos	0.4896	0.445025	-9.10%	0.6834	+39.58%	0.4343	✗	0.14
2026-06-13	oos	0.335	0.314927	-5.99%	0.6577	+96.33%	0.7361	✗	-0.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.291	0.275466	-5.34%	0.5807	+99.55%	0.7456	✗	-0.16
2026-06-11	oos	0.2692	0.256231	-4.82%	0.592	+119.91%	0.8357	✗	-0.16
2026-06-10	oos	0.2411	0.23139	-4.03%	0.4729	+96.14%	0.7288	✗	-0.29
2026-06-09	oos	0.2476	0.236291	-4.57%	0.4182	+68.90%	0.5892	✗	-0.30
2026-06-08	oos	0.2589	0.246156	-4.92%	0.4219	+62.96%	0.5552	✗	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.2575	0.243416	-5.47%	0.4896	+90.14%	0.7111	✗	-0.33
2026-06-06	oos	0.2271	0.217083	-4.41%	0.335	+47.51%	0.4640	✗	-0.53
2026-06-05	oos	0.2316	0.219737	-5.12%	0.291	+25.65%	0.3021	✗	-0.53
2026-06-04	oos	0.2341	0.221411	-5.42%	0.2692	+14.99%	0.1932	✗	-0.58
2026-06-03	oos	0.2857	0.258949	-9.36%	0.2411	-15.61%	0.0961	✓	-0.60
2026-06-02	oos	0.1773	0.170984	-3.56%	0.2476	+39.65%	0.3774	✗	0.09
2026-06-01	oos	0.149	0.146022	-2.00%	0.2589	+73.76%	0.6564	✗	0.68
2026-05-31	oos	0.163	0.158676	-2.65%	0.2575	+57.98%	0.5717	✗	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.1626	0.157403	-3.20%	0.2271	+39.67%	0.4790	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.1421	0.139405	-1.90%	0.2316	+62.98%	0.6089	✗	0.55
2026-05-28	oos	0.1254	0.123823	-1.26%	0.2341	+86.68%	0.7172	✗	0.57
2026-05-27	oos	0.1253	0.123766	-1.22%	0.2857	+128.01%	0.9223	✗	0.58
2026-05-26	oos	0.12	0.118774	-1.02%	0.1773	+47.75%	0.4839	✗	0.65
2026-05-25	oos	0.1201	0.118975	-0.94%	0.149	+24.06%	0.2785	✗	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.124	0.122774	-0.99%	0.163	+31.45%	0.3138	✗	0.67
2026-05-23	oos	0.1315	0.129932	-1.19%	0.1626	+23.65%	0.2503	✗	0.68
2026-05-22	oos	0.1326	0.130912	-1.27%	0.1421	+7.16%	0.1012	✗	0.69
2026-05-21	oos	0.1343	0.132532	-1.32%	0.1254	-6.63%	0.0172	✓	0.71
2026-05-20	oos	0.132	0.130363	-1.24%	0.1253	-5.08%	0.0099	✓	0.71
2026-05-19	oos	0.1354	0.133575	-1.35%	0.12	-11.37%	0.0982	✓	0.72
2026-05-18	oos	0.1376	0.135679	-1.40%	0.1201	-12.72%	0.1248	✓	0.72
2026-05-17	oos	0.1406	0.138549	-1.46%	0.124	-11.81%	0.1069	✓	0.72
2026-05-16	oos	0.1434	0.141251	-1.50%	0.1315	-8.30%	0.0580	✓	0.72
2026-05-15	oos	0.1443	0.142196	-1.46%	0.1326	-8.11%	0.0359	✓	0.73
2026-05-14	oos	0.1495	0.147338	-1.45%	0.1343	-10.17%	0.0608	✓	0.72
2026-05-13	oos	0.151	0.148472	-1.67%	0.132	-12.58%	0.1006	✓	0.74
2026-05-12	oos	0.1476	0.145467	-1.44%	0.1354	-8.27%	0.0347	✓	0.78
2026-05-11	oos	0.1573	0.154723	-1.64%	0.1376	-12.52%	0.0729	✓	0.74
2026-05-10	oos	0.151	0.148968	-1.35%	0.1406	-6.89%	0.0118	✓	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.1504	0.148075	-1.55%	0.1434	-4.65%	0.0075	✓	0.77
2026-05-08	oos	0.1498	0.147378	-1.62%	0.1443	-3.67%	0.0103	✓	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.1431	0.141076	-1.41%	0.1495	+4.47%	0.0478	✗	0.77
2026-05-06	oos	0.1475	0.145572	-1.31%	0.151	+2.37%	0.0569	✗	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.1451	0.143236	-1.28%	0.1476	+1.72%	0.0340	✗	0.75
2026-05-04	oos	0.1507	0.148323	-1.58%	0.1573	+4.38%	0.0407	✗	0.78
2026-05-03	oos	0.1578	0.154569	-2.05%	0.151	-4.31%	0.0606	✓	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.1554	0.152318	-1.98%	0.1504	-3.22%	0.0332	✓	0.83
2026-05-01	oos	0.1461	0.143565	-1.74%	0.1498	+2.53%	0.0224	✗	0.81
2026-04-30	oos	0.1427	0.139997	-1.89%	0.1431	+0.28%	0.0153	✓	0.79
2026-04-29	oos	0.1429	0.140096	-1.96%	0.1475	+3.22%	0.0053	✓	0.78
2026-04-28	oos	0.1479	0.144833	-2.07%	0.1451	-1.89%	0.0434	✓	0.77
2026-04-27	oos	0.1495	0.146554	-1.97%	0.1507	+0.80%	0.0029	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.1465	0.1441	-1.64%	0.1578	+7.71%	0.0921	✗	0.86
2026-04-25	oos	0.1442	0.141666	-1.76%	0.1554	+7.77%	0.0814	✗	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.1421	0.139674	-1.71%	0.1461	+2.81%	0.0366	✗	0.85
2026-04-23	oos	0.1417	0.139559	-1.51%	0.1427	+0.71%	0.0447	✗	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.1404	0.13836	-1.45%	0.1429	+1.78%	0.0604	✗	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.1404	0.137876	-1.80%	0.1479	+5.34%	0.0706	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.1408	0.138172	-1.87%	0.1495	+6.18%	0.0592	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.1367	0.133953	-2.01%	0.1465	+7.17%	0.0259	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.1404	0.137929	-1.76%	0.1442	+2.71%	0.0195	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.1379	0.136049	-1.34%	0.1421	+3.05%	0.0388	✗	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.1495	0.146377	-2.09%	0.1417	-5.22%	0.0731	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.1394	0.13698	-1.74%	0.1404	+0.72%	0.0194	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.1439	0.141032	-1.99%	0.1404	-2.43%	0.0333	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.1496	0.146452	-2.10%	0.1408	-5.88%	0.0582	✓	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.1443	0.140664	-2.52%	0.1367	-5.27%	0.0710	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.1479	0.144527	-2.28%	0.1404	-5.07%	0.0646	✓	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.1474	0.144094	-2.24%	0.1379	-6.45%	0.0986	✓	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.1478	0.144173	-2.45%	0.1495	+1.15%	0.0095	✓	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.1503	0.146321	-2.65%	0.1394	-7.25%	0.0999	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.1543	0.150177	-2.67%	0.1439	-6.74%	0.0738	✓	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.1488	0.144736	-2.73%	0.1496	+0.54%	0.0450	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.1473	0.143424	-2.63%	0.1443	-2.04%	0.0190	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.1534	0.148917	-2.92%	0.1479	-3.59%	0.0894	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.1494	0.145249	-2.78%	0.1474	-1.34%	0.0716	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.1444	0.140732	-2.54%	0.1478	+2.35%	0.0217	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.1506	0.146597	-2.66%	0.1503	-0.20%	0.0178	✓	1.00