BATON
baton · Solana · gru_s8
- token id
- #670
- symbol
- BATON
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- Hg5Ja55T5wESq4vyFoiVCMeHXtGyVA69X2UHq8hgpump
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-13
- predictions
- 93
Track record at +1d
assessed
30
of 31 predictions shown
direction hit
50.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2650
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0302
actual +0.0460
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.00808 | 0.007924 | -1.93% | – | pending | – | – | 3.82 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0081 | 0.007947 | -1.89% | 0.00808 | -0.25% | 0.0078 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00768 | 0.007546 | -1.75% | 0.0081 | +5.47% | 0.0213 | ✗ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.007125 | 0.007012 | -1.59% | 0.00768 | +7.79% | 0.0404 | ✗ | 3.79 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.00669 | 0.006583 | -1.61% | 0.007125 | +6.50% | 0.0870 | ✗ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00824 | 0.008078 | -1.96% | 0.00669 | -18.81% | 0.2185 | ✓ | 3.92 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.009189 | 0.008995 | -2.11% | 0.00824 | -10.33% | 0.0820 | ✓ | 3.89 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.011797 | 0.011406 | -3.31% | 0.009189 | -22.11% | 0.1878 | ✓ | 3.72 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.008406 | 0.008253 | -1.82% | 0.011797 | +40.34% | 0.3327 | ✗ | 3.61 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.012632 | 0.012331 | -2.38% | 0.008406 | -33.45% | 0.3267 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.012615 | 0.012328 | -2.28% | 0.012632 | +0.13% | 0.0078 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.016412 | 0.015774 | -3.89% | 0.012615 | -23.13% | 0.2000 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.012334 | 0.011985 | -2.83% | 0.016412 | +33.06% | 0.3051 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.012115 | 0.01177 | -2.85% | 0.012334 | +1.81% | 0.0424 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.014529 | 0.013787 | -5.11% | 0.012115 | -16.61% | 0.1396 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.008748 | 0.008507 | -2.75% | 0.014529 | +66.08% | 0.5544 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.009494 | 0.009141 | -3.72% | 0.008748 | -7.86% | 0.0171 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.008108 | 0.00787 | -2.95% | 0.009494 | +17.09% | 0.1901 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01241 | 0.01164 | -6.21% | 0.008108 | -34.66% | 0.3527 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.003733 | 0.003609 | -3.30% | 0.01241 | +232.50% | 1.2144 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0029 | 0.002829 | -2.44% | 0.003733 | +28.71% | 0.2743 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.004281 | 0.004083 | -4.62% | 0.0029 | -32.26% | 0.3381 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00275 | 0.002678 | -2.61% | 0.004281 | +55.67% | 0.4537 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.004067 | 0.003905 | -4.01% | 0.00275 | -32.39% | 0.3496 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.003193 | 0.003072 | -3.80% | 0.004067 | +27.39% | 0.2787 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.002944 | 0.002797 | -4.98% | 0.003193 | +8.46% | 0.1442 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.001742 | 0.0017 | -2.40% | 0.002944 | +69.00% | 0.5485 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.002018 | 0.001931 | -4.27% | 0.001742 | -13.66% | 0.1070 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.001114 | 0.001094 | -1.80% | 0.002018 | +81.10% | 0.6155 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.001269 | 0.001246 | -1.84% | 0.001114 | -12.21% | 0.1118 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.001973 | 0.001936 | -1.86% | 0.001269 | -35.68% | 0.4012 | ✓ | 1.00 |