ASSET

REAL · Ethereum · gru_s8

token id: #914
symbol: ASSET
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99e980265bf36516c442be982df1772a6ccb3233
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

159

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

53.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1031

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0281

actual +0.0347

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.18042	0.178287	-1.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.18043	0.178471	-1.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.18359	0.181738	-1.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.184295	0.182734	-0.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.182895	0.181243	-0.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-16	oos	0.178165	0.176723	-0.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.18046	-0.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-14	oos	0.18487	0.182895	-1.07%	0.18042	-2.41%	0.0139	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.182	0.180189	-1.00%	0.18043	-0.86%	0.0013	✓	-0.02
2026-10-12	oos	0.1805	0.178416	-1.15%	0.18359	+1.71%	0.0286	✗	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.18504	0.182679	-1.28%	0.184295	-0.40%	0.0085	✓	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.18501	0.182949	-1.11%	0.182895	-1.14%	0.0004	✓	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.182435	0.180355	-1.14%	0.178165	-2.34%	0.0123	✓	-0.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.1874	0.185207	-1.17%	0.18215	-2.80%	0.0166	✓	-0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.185	0.18278	-1.20%	0.18487	-0.07%	0.0117	✓	0.02
2026-10-06	oos	0.19033	0.187884	-1.29%	0.182	-4.38%	0.0321	✓	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.178	0.1759	-1.18%	0.1805	+1.40%	0.0268	✗	0.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.1936	0.190658	-1.52%	0.18504	-4.42%	0.0302	✓	-0.01
2026-10-03	oos	0.194695	0.191273	-1.76%	0.18501	-4.97%	0.0335	✓	-0.01
2026-10-02	oos	0.202175	0.199427	-1.36%	0.182435	-9.76%	0.0892	✓	-0.01
2026-10-01	oos	0.197955	0.195319	-1.33%	0.1874	-5.33%	0.0415	✓	-0.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.2008	0.197956	-1.42%	0.185	-7.87%	0.0677	✓	0.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.19782	0.195448	-1.20%	0.19033	-3.79%	0.0276	✓	0.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.195415	0.193201	-1.13%	0.178	-8.91%	0.0829	✓	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.2026	0.199906	-1.33%	0.1936	-4.44%	0.0299	✓	-0.09
2026-09-26	oos	0.22275	0.219769	-1.34%	0.194695	-12.59%	0.1208	✓	-0.10
2026-09-25	oos	0.22897	0.225552	-1.49%	0.202175	-11.70%	0.1089	✓	-0.10
2026-09-24	oos	0.23369	0.230566	-1.34%	0.197955	-15.29%	0.1520	✓	-0.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.24311	0.23997	-1.29%	0.2008	-17.40%	0.1792	✓	-0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.238275	0.235862	-1.01%	0.19782	-16.98%	0.1781	✓	-0.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.245076	-1.12%	0.195415	-21.16%	0.2318	✓	-0.15
2026-09-20	oos	0.24671	0.242517	-1.70%	0.2026	-17.88%	0.1741	✓	-0.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.23124	0.228544	-1.17%	0.22275	-3.67%	0.0204	✓	-0.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.23163	0.229118	-1.08%	0.22897	-1.15%	0.0049	✓	-0.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.23271	0.229952	-1.19%	0.23369	+0.42%	0.0307	✗	-0.15
2026-09-16	oos	0.2335	0.230126	-1.44%	0.24311	+4.12%	0.0702	✗	-0.15
2026-09-15	oos	0.24225	0.239389	-1.18%	0.238275	-1.64%	0.0077	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.24074	0.238227	-1.04%	0.24785	+2.95%	0.0476	✗	-0.08
2026-09-13	oos	0.240105	0.237184	-1.22%	0.24671	+2.75%	0.0435	✗	-0.08
2026-09-12	oos	0.2405	0.237048	-1.44%	0.23124	-3.85%	0.0211	✓	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.24871	0.24422	-1.81%	0.23163	-6.87%	0.0496	✓	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.25068	0.24613	-1.82%	0.23271	-7.17%	0.0563	✓	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.24441	0.241823	-1.06%	0.2335	-4.46%	0.0368	✓	-0.06
2026-09-08	oos	0.245365	0.243095	-0.93%	0.24225	-1.27%	0.0035	✓	-0.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.24287	0.241177	-0.70%	0.24074	-0.88%	0.0018	✓	-0.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.245	0.243437	-0.64%	0.240105	-2.00%	0.0173	✓	-0.08
2026-09-05	oos	0.245875	0.244055	-0.74%	0.2405	-2.19%	0.0177	✓	-0.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.252975	0.250706	-0.90%	0.24871	-1.69%	0.0103	✓	-0.07
2026-09-03	oos	0.26135	0.259526	-0.70%	0.25068	-4.08%	0.0403	✓	-0.09
2026-09-02	oos	0.25512	0.253182	-0.76%	0.24441	-4.20%	0.0346	✓	-0.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.26499	0.262125	-1.08%	0.245365	-7.41%	0.0650	✓	-0.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.252875	0.250653	-0.88%	0.24287	-3.96%	0.0307	✓	-0.13
2026-08-30	oos	0.259595	0.255662	-1.51%	0.245	-5.62%	0.0337	✓	-0.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.24012	0.239205	-0.38%	0.245875	+2.40%	0.0319	✗	-0.22
2026-08-28	oos	0.233425	0.233135	-0.12%	0.252975	+8.38%	0.0868	✗	-0.22
2026-08-27	oos	0.24205	0.242085	+0.01%	0.26135	+7.97%	0.0797	✓	-0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.2484	0.247876	-0.21%	0.25512	+2.71%	0.0234	✗	-0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.24627	0.245554	-0.29%	0.26499	+7.60%	0.0726	✗	-0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.25147	0.250823	-0.26%	0.252875	+0.56%	0.0066	✗	-0.29
2026-08-23	oos	0.25364	0.253017	-0.25%	0.259595	+2.35%	0.0255	✗	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.258565	0.257927	-0.25%	0.24012	-7.13%	0.0677	✓	-0.25
2026-08-21	oos	0.253835	0.253309	-0.21%	0.233425	-8.04%	0.0834	✓	-0.26
2026-08-20	oos	0.2488	0.247409	-0.56%	0.24205	-2.71%	0.0086	✗	-0.32
2026-08-19	oos	0.251865	0.249198	-1.06%	0.2484	-1.38%	0.0404	✗	-0.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.257515	0.252628	-1.90%	0.24627	-4.37%	0.0368	✗	-0.32
2026-08-17	oos	0.263055	0.25782	-1.99%	0.25147	-4.40%	0.0450	✗	-0.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.261825	0.256009	-2.22%	0.25364	-3.13%	0.0662	✗	-0.36
2026-08-15	oos	0.26281	0.257061	-2.19%	0.258565	-1.62%	0.0792	✗	-0.36
2026-08-14	oos	0.26914	0.263084	-2.25%	0.253835	-5.69%	0.0376	✗	-0.34
2026-08-13	oos	0.26543	0.259775	-2.13%	0.2488	-6.27%	0.0156	✓	-0.42
2026-08-12	oos	0.257655	0.252652	-1.94%	0.251865	-2.25%	0.0522	✗	-0.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.26611	0.26021	-2.22%	0.257515	-3.23%	0.0010	✓	-0.53
2026-08-10	oos	0.258425	0.252819	-2.17%	0.263055	+1.79%	0.0435	✗	-0.43
2026-08-09	oos	0.258105	0.252709	-2.09%	0.261825	+1.44%	0.0188	✓	-0.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.262765	0.256908	-2.23%	0.26281	+0.02%	0.0065	✓	-0.55
2026-08-07	oos	0.2584	0.252494	-2.29%	0.26914	+4.16%	0.0460	✗	-0.60
2026-08-06	oos	0.2601	0.253853	-2.40%	0.26543	+2.05%	0.0370	✗	-0.58
2026-08-05	oos	0.26411	0.257496	-2.50%	0.257655	-2.44%	0.0100	✓	-0.57
2026-08-04	oos	0.25658	0.250135	-2.51%	0.26611	+3.71%	0.0576	✗	-0.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.267695	0.260555	-2.67%	0.258425	-3.46%	0.0049	✓	-0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.266015	0.258756	-2.73%	0.258105	-2.97%	0.0082	✓	-0.51
2026-08-01	oos	0.258765	0.251735	-2.72%	0.262765	+1.55%	0.0578	✗	-0.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.26543	0.257916	-2.83%	0.2584	-2.65%	0.0164	✓	-0.45
2026-07-30	oos	0.26337	0.256025	-2.79%	0.2601	-1.24%	0.0125	✓	-0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.27105	0.263165	-2.91%	0.26411	-2.56%	0.0058	✓	-0.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.27033	0.26316	-2.65%	0.25658	-5.09%	0.0247	✓	-0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.27	0.262935	-2.62%	0.267695	-0.85%	0.0172	✓	-0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.27424	0.266322	-2.89%	0.266015	-3.00%	0.0078	✓	-0.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.285335	0.277013	-2.92%	0.258765	-9.31%	0.0730	✓	-0.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.27427	0.266748	-2.74%	0.26543	-3.22%	0.0090	✓	-0.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.28433	0.275844	-2.98%	0.26337	-7.37%	0.0474	✓	-0.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.27796	0.270458	-2.70%	0.27105	-2.49%	0.0055	✓	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.28398	0.275569	-2.96%	0.27033	-4.81%	0.0288	✓	-0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.28799	0.279135	-3.07%	0.27	-6.25%	0.0383	✓	-0.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.27379	0.26706	-2.46%	0.27424	+0.16%	0.0288	✗	-0.23
2026-07-18	oos	0.281705	0.274723	-2.48%	0.285335	+1.29%	0.0361	✗	-0.23
2026-07-17	oos	0.28486	0.277351	-2.64%	0.27427	-3.72%	0.0105	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.27849	0.271287	-2.59%	0.28433	+2.10%	0.0512	✗	-0.21
2026-07-15	oos	0.252995	0.248378	-1.83%	0.27796	+9.87%	0.1162	✗	-0.18
2026-07-14	oos	0.26841	0.262901	-2.05%	0.28398	+5.80%	0.0814	✗	-0.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.26562	0.260104	-2.08%	0.28799	+8.42%	0.1103	✗	-0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.26993	0.264088	-2.16%	0.27379	+1.43%	0.0392	✗	-0.22
2026-07-11	oos	0.27867	0.271712	-2.50%	0.281705	+1.09%	0.0395	✗	-0.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.27803	0.27227	-2.07%	0.28486	+2.46%	0.0444	✗	-0.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.27415	0.268799	-1.95%	0.27849	+1.58%	0.0374	✗	-0.21
2026-07-08	oos	0.28	0.274295	-2.04%	0.252995	-9.64%	0.0736	✓	-0.18
2026-07-07	oos	0.29089	0.284804	-2.09%	0.26841	-7.73%	0.0535	✓	-0.22
2026-07-06	oos	0.28952	0.283251	-2.17%	0.26562	-8.26%	0.0705	✓	-0.23
2026-07-05	oos	0.29238	0.285622	-2.31%	0.26993	-7.68%	0.0560	✓	-0.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.29104	0.284204	-2.35%	0.27867	-4.25%	0.0174	✓	-0.21
2026-07-03	oos	0.29352	0.28585	-2.61%	0.27803	-5.28%	0.0228	✓	-0.19
2026-07-02	oos	0.292	0.283632	-2.87%	0.27415	-6.11%	0.0291	✓	-0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.27333	0.266802	-2.39%	0.28	+2.44%	0.0573	✗	-0.24
2026-06-30	oos	0.280855	0.273048	-2.78%	0.29089	+3.57%	0.0779	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.24758	0.242115	-2.21%	0.28952	+16.94%	0.1835	✗	-0.08
2026-06-28	oos	0.25	0.244987	-2.01%	0.29238	+16.95%	0.1804	✗	-0.05
2026-06-27	oos	0.250875	0.245491	-2.15%	0.29104	+16.01%	0.1732	✗	-0.06
2026-06-26	oos	0.25667	0.250227	-2.51%	0.29352	+14.36%	0.1617	✗	-0.05
2026-06-25	oos	0.258	0.250828	-2.78%	0.292	+13.18%	0.1531	✗	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.26441	0.25473	-3.66%	0.27333	+3.37%	0.0691	✗	-0.08
2026-06-23	oos	0.243305	0.236361	-2.85%	0.280855	+15.43%	0.1714	✗	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.25176	0.24243	-3.71%	0.24758	-1.66%	0.0170	✓	-0.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.25175	0.244591	-2.84%	0.25	-0.70%	0.0189	✓	-0.05
2026-06-20	oos	0.24887	0.241578	-2.93%	0.250875	+0.81%	0.0338	✗	-0.06
2026-06-19	oos	0.245725	0.239214	-2.65%	0.25667	+4.45%	0.0678	✗	-0.05
2026-06-18	oos	0.25078	0.243716	-2.82%	0.258	+2.88%	0.0562	✗	-0.01
2026-06-17	oos	0.265975	0.256817	-3.44%	0.26441	-0.59%	0.0229	✓	-0.11
2026-06-16	oos	0.27077	0.260462	-3.81%	0.243305	-10.14%	0.0752	✓	-0.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.27511	0.26352	-4.21%	0.25176	-8.49%	0.0517	✓	-0.17
2026-06-14	oos	0.274525	0.263163	-4.14%	0.25175	-8.30%	0.0502	✓	-0.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.27333	0.261838	-4.20%	0.24887	-8.95%	0.0512	✓	-0.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.282715	0.269759	-4.58%	0.245725	-13.08%	0.0934	✓	-0.05
2026-06-11	oos	0.281995	0.267465	-5.15%	0.25078	-11.07%	0.0649	✓	-0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.26464	0.252917	-4.43%	0.265975	+0.50%	0.0561	✗	-0.12
2026-06-09	oos	0.256955	0.244296	-4.93%	0.27077	+5.38%	0.1103	✗	-0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.23368	0.224947	-3.74%	0.27511	+17.73%	0.2041	✗	-0.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.2178	0.210445	-3.38%	0.274525	+26.04%	0.2680	✗	-0.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.21444	0.208068	-2.97%	0.27333	+27.46%	0.2735	✗	-0.01
2026-06-05	oos	0.21939	0.211109	-3.77%	0.282715	+28.86%	0.2920	✗	0.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.23152	0.218233	-5.74%	0.281995	+21.80%	0.2552	✗	-0.29
2026-06-03	oos	0.1936	0.188208	-2.79%	0.26464	+36.69%	0.3283	✗	-0.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.18198	0.176122	-3.22%	0.256955	+41.20%	0.3592	✗	-0.24
2026-06-01	oos	0.16522	0.159788	-3.29%	0.23368	+41.44%	0.4119	✗	0.26
2026-05-31	oos	0.169535	0.162586	-4.10%	0.2178	+28.47%	0.2940	✗	0.01
2026-05-30	oos	0.17431	0.16623	-4.64%	0.21444	+23.02%	0.2538	✗	-0.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.177695	0.168637	-5.10%	0.21939	+23.46%	0.4472	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.178315	0.16827	-5.63%	0.23152	+29.84%	0.4607	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.180295	0.169055	-6.23%	0.1936	+7.38%	0.2844	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.164055	0.153661	-6.34%	0.18198	+10.93%	0.2980	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.17311	0.161384	-6.77%	0.16522	-4.56%	0.1034	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.17411	0.161664	-7.15%	0.169535	-2.63%	0.0927	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.18742	0.172995	-7.70%	0.17431	-6.99%	0.0459	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.185295	0.170265	-8.11%	0.177695	-4.10%	0.0706	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.181295	0.166221	-8.31%	0.178315	-1.64%	0.1237	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.17322	0.158682	-8.39%	0.180295	+4.08%	0.1693	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.18601	0.169599	-8.82%	0.164055	-11.80%	0.0209	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.19024	0.171954	-9.61%	0.17311	-9.00%	0.0027	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.17619	0.159161	-9.67%	0.17411	-1.18%	0.0954	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.19502	0.172217	-11.69%	0.18742	-3.90%	0.1034	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.15268	0.138341	-9.39%	0.185295	+21.36%	0.3390	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.116155	0.109563	-5.68%	0.181295	+56.08%	0.5482	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10455	0.099044	-5.27%	0.17322	+65.68%	0.5821	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.12761	0.117341	-8.05%	0.18601	+45.76%	0.5080	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.10276	0.098673	-3.98%	0.19024	+85.13%	0.7168	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.08032	0.07891	-1.76%	0.17619	+119.36%	0.8633	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.08549	0.083294	-2.57%	0.19502	+128.12%	0.8829	✗	1.00