ARX

Arcium · Solana · gru_s8

token id: #310
symbol: ARX
variant: –
chain: Solana
address: ARXwZkNAtzPfdcoqQiduJn8EPv9fKiDfGn2KyggyDrFs
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-22
predictions: 342

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 114 predictions shown

direction hit

48.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3586

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0897

actual +0.0950

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.2378	0.215746	-9.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-10-21	oos	0.2364	0.215639	-8.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-10-20	oos	0.23045	0.21087	-8.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-19	oos	0.22725	0.209056	-8.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-18	oos	0.23265	0.214462	-7.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-17	oos	0.23705	0.218734	-7.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-16	oos	0.23935	0.2208	-7.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-15	oos	0.2303	0.212816	-7.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-14	oos	0.2421	0.222569	-8.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-13	oos	0.25125	0.230588	-8.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.2508	0.229033	-8.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-11	oos	0.2821	0.255377	-9.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.2784	0.251194	-9.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-09	oos	0.25605	0.231496	-9.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-08	oos	0.26245	0.236059	-10.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-07	oos	0.27185	0.243875	-10.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.27005	0.243322	-9.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-05	oos	0.2923	0.262034	-10.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-04	oos	0.2751	0.246224	-10.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.2819	0.251308	-10.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.2895	0.259003	-10.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-01	oos	0.284	0.254424	-10.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.2786	0.24875	-10.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-29	oos	0.27045	0.241998	-10.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.25885	0.231503	-10.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-27	oos	0.2513	0.224758	-10.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-09-26	oos	0.2266	0.203687	-10.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-25	oos	0.2494	0.223652	-10.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-24	oos	0.2518	0.227317	-9.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-23	oos	0.2311	0.209457	-9.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-22	oos	0.2222	0.203757	-8.30%	0.2378	+7.02%	0.1702	✗	0.67
2026-09-21	oos	0.20055	0.18553	-7.49%	0.2364	+17.88%	0.2672	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.19665	0.177119	-9.93%	0.23045	+17.19%	0.2460	✗	0.80
2026-09-19	oos	0.19445	0.17542	-9.79%	0.22725	+16.87%	0.2530	✗	0.80
2026-09-18	oos	0.1914	0.172574	-9.84%	0.23265	+21.55%	0.2876	✗	0.80
2026-09-17	oos	0.1731	0.156034	-9.86%	0.23705	+36.94%	0.3742	✗	0.69
2026-09-16	oos	0.1693	0.152986	-9.64%	0.23935	+41.38%	0.4008	✗	0.69
2026-09-15	oos	0.1623	0.147442	-9.15%	0.2303	+41.90%	0.3894	✗	0.68
2026-09-14	oos	0.16235	0.148756	-8.37%	0.2421	+49.12%	0.4565	✗	0.72
2026-09-13	oos	0.15375	0.141855	-7.74%	0.25125	+63.41%	0.5170	✗	0.69
2026-09-12	oos	0.15455	0.142683	-7.68%	0.2508	+62.28%	0.5249	✗	0.69
2026-09-11	oos	0.1391	0.130724	-6.02%	0.2821	+102.80%	0.7128	✗	0.70
2026-09-10	oos	0.13475	0.126995	-5.75%	0.2784	+106.60%	0.7295	✗	0.69
2026-09-09	oos	0.1473	0.138783	-5.78%	0.25605	+73.83%	0.5785	✗	0.64
2026-09-08	oos	0.1524	0.14288	-6.25%	0.26245	+72.21%	0.5822	✗	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.14595	0.139056	-4.72%	0.27185	+86.26%	0.6364	✗	0.66
2026-09-06	oos	0.1413	0.136707	-3.25%	0.27005	+91.12%	0.6373	✗	0.69
2026-09-05	oos	0.1321	0.128675	-2.59%	0.2923	+121.27%	0.7715	✗	0.68
2026-09-04	oos	0.1363	0.133066	-2.37%	0.2751	+101.83%	0.6700	✗	0.68
2026-09-03	oos	0.129	0.127366	-1.27%	0.2819	+118.53%	0.7631	✗	0.75
2026-09-02	oos	0.1263	0.121368	-3.91%	0.2895	+129.22%	0.8023	✗	0.75
2026-09-01	oos	0.1232	0.119177	-3.27%	0.284	+130.52%	0.7986	✗	0.76
2026-08-31	oos	0.12885	0.126267	-2.00%	0.2786	+116.22%	0.7454	✗	0.75
2026-08-30	oos	0.11945	0.115623	-3.20%	0.27045	+126.41%	0.7965	✗	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.12315	0.120079	-2.49%	0.25885	+110.19%	0.7219	✗	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.1217	0.118809	-2.38%	0.2513	+106.49%	0.6909	✗	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.132	0.132212	+0.16%	0.2266	+71.67%	0.5059	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.1292	0.127606	-1.23%	0.2494	+93.03%	0.6304	✗	0.64
2026-08-25	oos	0.13065	0.128983	-1.28%	0.2518	+92.73%	0.6229	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.13355	0.13392	+0.28%	0.2311	+73.04%	0.5034	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	0.1465	0.145904	-0.41%	0.2222	+51.67%	0.3498	✗	0.68
2026-08-22	oos	0.1243	0.122875	-1.15%	0.20055	+61.34%	0.4146	✗	0.64
2026-08-21	oos	0.1294	0.129405	+0.00%	0.19665	+51.97%	0.3959	✓	0.63
2026-08-20	oos	0.117	0.10851	-7.26%	0.19445	+66.20%	0.5426	✗	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.1163	0.104357	-10.27%	0.1914	+64.57%	0.5490	✗	0.37
2026-08-18	oos	0.1134	0.102559	-9.56%	0.1731	+52.65%	0.4769	✗	0.28
2026-08-17	oos	0.1128	0.102086	-9.50%	0.1693	+50.09%	0.4601	✗	0.28
2026-08-16	oos	0.1097	0.100358	-8.52%	0.1623	+47.95%	0.4458	✗	0.19
2026-08-15	oos	0.10755	0.098697	-8.23%	0.16235	+50.95%	0.4551	✗	0.20
2026-08-14	oos	0.11125	0.101663	-8.62%	0.15375	+38.20%	0.3742	✗	0.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.1114	0.101765	-8.65%	0.15455	+38.73%	0.3763	✗	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.1143	0.104083	-8.94%	0.1391	+21.70%	0.2485	✗	0.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.11885	0.107512	-9.54%	0.13475	+13.38%	0.1872	✗	0.21
2026-08-10	oos	0.1269	0.113508	-10.55%	0.1473	+16.08%	0.2233	✗	0.18
2026-08-09	oos	0.1266	0.11298	-10.76%	0.1524	+20.38%	0.2586	✗	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.13015	0.115705	-11.10%	0.14595	+12.14%	0.1902	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.14055	0.123675	-12.01%	0.1413	+0.53%	0.0879	✓	0.21
2026-08-06	oos	0.1461	0.128182	-12.26%	0.1321	-9.58%	0.0204	✓	0.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.15025	0.130953	-12.84%	0.1363	-9.28%	0.0077	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.14175	0.124232	-12.36%	0.129	-8.99%	0.0034	✓	0.17
2026-08-03	oos	0.1479	0.129155	-12.67%	0.1263	-14.60%	0.0608	✓	0.19
2026-08-02	oos	0.1524	0.132469	-13.08%	0.1232	-19.16%	0.1110	✓	0.19
2026-08-01	oos	0.16225	0.140621	-13.33%	0.12885	-20.59%	0.1431	✓	0.25
2026-07-31	oos	0.15805	0.136674	-13.52%	0.11945	-24.42%	0.1877	✓	0.25
2026-07-30	oos	0.1536	0.13144	-14.43%	0.12315	-19.82%	0.1423	✓	0.41
2026-07-29	oos	0.156	0.133688	-14.30%	0.1217	-21.99%	0.1750	✓	0.41
2026-07-28	oos	0.1527	0.13091	-14.27%	0.132	-13.56%	0.0850	✓	0.41
2026-07-27	oos	0.1502	0.129191	-13.99%	0.1292	-13.98%	0.0859	✓	0.40
2026-07-26	oos	0.16	0.135443	-15.35%	0.13065	-18.34%	0.0920	✓	0.30
2026-07-25	oos	0.1795	0.151933	-15.36%	0.13355	-25.60%	0.2287	✓	0.48
2026-07-24	oos	0.1715	0.145868	-14.95%	0.1465	-14.58%	0.0851	✓	0.46
2026-07-23	oos	0.17255	0.146627	-15.02%	0.1243	-27.96%	0.2492	✓	0.50
2026-07-22	oos	0.16805	0.143169	-14.81%	0.1294	-23.00%	0.2033	✓	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	0.1516	0.130933	-13.63%	0.117	-22.82%	0.2057	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.15445	0.134528	-12.90%	0.1163	-24.70%	0.2064	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.1477	0.129625	-12.24%	0.1134	-23.22%	0.1337	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.1512	0.133197	-11.91%	0.1128	-25.40%	0.1613	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.1625	0.143603	-11.63%	0.1097	-32.49%	0.2526	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.1622	0.143677	-11.42%	0.10755	-33.69%	0.2778	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.16265	0.144945	-10.89%	0.11125	-31.60%	0.2373	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.16555	0.148017	-10.59%	0.1114	-32.71%	0.2599	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.1726	0.155472	-9.92%	0.1143	-33.78%	0.3259	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.1679	0.151099	-10.01%	0.11885	-29.21%	0.2368	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.1814	0.164685	-9.21%	0.1269	-30.04%	0.2628	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.1783	0.162323	-8.96%	0.1266	-29.00%	0.2597	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.17915	0.16423	-8.33%	0.13015	-27.35%	0.2597	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.18075	0.166575	-7.84%	0.14055	-22.24%	0.2116	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.1964	0.18153	-7.57%	0.1461	-25.61%	0.2319	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.2184	0.203154	-6.98%	0.15025	-31.20%	0.3110	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.2388	0.221633	-7.19%	0.14175	-40.64%	0.4543	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.2062	0.191245	-7.25%	0.1479	-28.27%	0.2630	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.2145	0.198801	-7.32%	0.1524	-28.95%	0.2813	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.2256	0.209409	-7.18%	0.16225	-28.08%	0.2758	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.2228	0.206363	-7.38%	0.15805	-29.06%	0.3134	✓	1.00