APTM

Apertum · native · gru_s8

token id: #738
symbol: APTM
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-29
predictions: 1,569

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

60.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0397

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0040

actual -0.0075

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05044	0.050191	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.050485	0.05024	-0.49%	0.05044	-0.09%	0.0037	✓	-0.11
2026-10-19	oos	0.04955	0.04932	-0.46%	0.050485	+1.89%	0.0250	✗	-0.12
2026-10-18	oos	0.051575	0.051283	-0.57%	0.04955	-3.93%	0.0346	✓	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.051415	0.051127	-0.56%	0.051575	+0.31%	0.0094	✗	-0.09
2026-10-16	oos	0.05148	0.051204	-0.54%	0.051415	-0.13%	0.0040	✓	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.05166	0.051359	-0.58%	0.05148	-0.35%	0.0017	✓	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.05095	0.050629	-0.63%	0.05166	+1.39%	0.0207	✗	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.04801	0.047703	-0.64%	0.05095	+6.12%	0.0640	✗	-0.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.04597	0.045699	-0.59%	0.04801	+4.44%	0.0517	✗	-0.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.043545	0.043263	-0.65%	0.04597	+5.57%	0.0613	✗	0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.038075	0.037889	-0.49%	0.043545	+14.37%	0.1394	✗	-0.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.04453	0.044273	-0.58%	0.038075	-14.50%	0.1507	✓	-0.02
2026-10-08	oos	0.039705	0.039532	-0.44%	0.04453	+12.15%	0.1197	✗	-0.06
2026-10-07	oos	0.048795	0.048534	-0.53%	0.039705	-18.63%	0.2042	✓	-0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.05007	0.049813	-0.51%	0.048795	-2.55%	0.0258	✓	-0.19
2026-10-05	oos	0.05562	0.055339	-0.50%	0.05007	-9.98%	0.1006	✓	-0.22
2026-10-04	oos	0.05554	0.055285	-0.46%	0.05562	+0.14%	0.0040	✓	-0.23
2026-10-03	oos	0.05556	0.055309	-0.45%	0.05554	-0.04%	0.0091	✗	-0.24
2026-10-02	oos	0.059785	0.059525	-0.43%	0.05556	-7.07%	0.0683	✓	-0.24
2026-10-01	oos	0.067895	0.067619	-0.41%	0.059785	-11.94%	0.1242	✓	-0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.069685	0.069344	-0.49%	0.067895	-2.57%	0.0169	✓	-0.28
2026-09-29	oos	0.07139	0.071055	-0.47%	0.069685	-2.39%	0.0197	✓	-0.26
2026-09-28	oos	0.06487	0.064662	-0.32%	0.07139	+10.05%	0.0994	✗	-0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.07234	0.0721	-0.33%	0.06487	-10.33%	0.1108	✓	-0.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.078755	0.078467	-0.37%	0.07234	-8.15%	0.0811	✓	-0.44
2026-09-25	oos	0.08103	0.08073	-0.37%	0.078755	-2.81%	0.0233	✓	-0.39
2026-09-24	oos	0.08097	0.080673	-0.37%	0.08103	+0.07%	0.0030	✓	-0.39
2026-09-23	oos	0.08203	0.081736	-0.36%	0.08097	-1.29%	0.0094	✓	-0.39
2026-09-22	oos	0.08513	0.084807	-0.38%	0.08203	-3.64%	0.0417	✓	-0.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.07953	0.079302	-0.29%	0.08513	+7.04%	0.0693	✗	-0.36
2026-09-20	oos	0.0812	0.080919	-0.35%	0.07953	-2.06%	0.0031	✓	-0.32
2026-09-19	oos	0.085365	0.085025	-0.40%	0.0812	-4.88%	0.0463	✓	-0.33
2026-09-18	oos	0.08565	0.085308	-0.40%	0.085365	-0.33%	0.0021	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.08507	0.084688	-0.45%	0.08565	+0.68%	0.0335	✗	-0.39
2026-09-16	oos	0.08344	0.083095	-0.41%	0.08507	+1.95%	0.0245	✗	-0.39
2026-09-15	oos	0.08708	0.08664	-0.51%	0.08344	-4.18%	0.0353	✓	-0.32
2026-09-14	oos	0.08585	0.085491	-0.42%	0.08708	+1.43%	0.0079	✗	-0.31
2026-09-13	oos	0.079525	0.07927	-0.32%	0.08585	+7.95%	0.0858	✗	-0.34
2026-09-12	oos	0.083605	0.083309	-0.35%	0.079525	-4.88%	0.0486	✓	-0.35
2026-09-11	oos	0.08481	0.08449	-0.38%	0.083605	-1.42%	0.0103	✓	-0.34
2026-09-10	oos	0.090155	0.089683	-0.52%	0.08481	-5.93%	0.0530	✓	-0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.08912	0.088751	-0.41%	0.090155	+1.16%	0.0086	✗	-0.32
2026-09-08	oos	0.0919	0.091467	-0.47%	0.08912	-3.03%	0.0266	✓	-0.28
2026-09-07	oos	0.09638	0.095815	-0.59%	0.0919	-4.65%	0.0441	✓	-0.29
2026-09-06	oos	0.087055	0.08667	-0.44%	0.09638	+10.71%	0.1027	✗	-0.22
2026-09-05	oos	0.088895	0.088474	-0.47%	0.087055	-2.07%	0.0148	✓	-0.22
2026-09-04	oos	0.089055	0.088645	-0.46%	0.088895	-0.18%	0.0032	✓	-0.18
2026-09-03	oos	0.09121	0.090822	-0.43%	0.089055	-2.36%	0.0235	✓	-0.19
2026-09-02	oos	0.09298	0.092496	-0.52%	0.09121	-1.90%	0.0061	✓	-0.16
2026-09-01	oos	0.16979	0.165432	-2.57%	0.09298	-45.24%	0.5764	✓	-0.22
2026-08-31	oos	0.08124	0.081088	-0.19%	0.16979	+109.00%	0.7413	✗	0.15
2026-08-30	oos	0.07423	0.074077	-0.21%	0.08124	+9.44%	0.0914	✗	0.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.07457	0.074433	-0.18%	0.07423	-0.46%	0.0019	✓	0.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.07422	0.074081	-0.19%	0.07457	+0.47%	0.0060	✗	0.11
2026-08-27	oos	0.08533	0.085307	-0.03%	0.07422	-13.02%	0.1388	✓	0.01
2026-08-26	oos	0.10211	0.102106	-0.00%	0.08533	-16.43%	0.1807	✓	0.08
2026-08-25	oos	0.10665	0.106641	-0.01%	0.10211	-4.26%	0.0439	✓	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.11217	0.112142	-0.02%	0.10665	-4.92%	0.0499	✓	0.05
2026-08-23	oos	0.12435	0.124196	-0.12%	0.11217	-9.79%	0.1034	✓	0.10
2026-08-22	oos	0.12235	0.122204	-0.12%	0.12435	+1.63%	0.0166	✗	0.09
2026-08-21	oos	0.1212	0.121073	-0.11%	0.12235	+0.95%	0.0121	✗	0.10
2026-08-20	oos	0.12097	0.120756	-0.18%	0.1212	+0.19%	0.0033	✓	0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.12915	0.128703	-0.35%	0.12097	-6.33%	0.0726	✓	0.20
2026-08-18	oos	0.13144	0.130856	-0.44%	0.12915	-1.74%	0.0318	✓	0.27
2026-08-17	oos	0.13321	0.132605	-0.45%	0.13144	-1.33%	0.0097	✓	0.28
2026-08-16	oos	0.13581	0.135158	-0.48%	0.13321	-1.91%	0.0225	✓	0.31
2026-08-15	oos	0.13355	0.132948	-0.45%	0.13581	+1.69%	0.0222	✗	0.31
2026-08-14	oos	0.1315	0.130963	-0.41%	0.13355	+1.56%	0.0193	✗	0.32
2026-08-13	oos	0.14032	0.139624	-0.50%	0.1315	-6.29%	0.0578	✓	0.30
2026-08-12	oos	0.14456	0.143797	-0.53%	0.14032	-2.93%	0.0245	✓	0.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.14696	0.146126	-0.57%	0.14456	-1.63%	0.0102	✓	0.32
2026-08-10	oos	0.14592	0.145081	-0.57%	0.14696	+0.71%	0.0148	✗	0.32
2026-08-09	oos	0.13868	0.138019	-0.48%	0.14592	+5.22%	0.0610	✗	0.37
2026-08-08	oos	0.14461	0.143822	-0.54%	0.13868	-4.10%	0.0361	✓	0.37
2026-08-07	oos	0.1437	0.142963	-0.51%	0.14461	+0.63%	0.0114	✗	0.32
2026-08-06	oos	0.14603	0.145242	-0.54%	0.1437	-1.60%	0.0139	✓	0.33
2026-08-05	oos	0.14513	0.144369	-0.52%	0.14603	+0.62%	0.0132	✗	0.33
2026-08-04	oos	0.14826	0.14744	-0.55%	0.14513	-2.11%	0.0185	✓	0.32
2026-08-03	oos	0.15172	0.150813	-0.60%	0.14826	-2.28%	0.0201	✓	0.33
2026-08-02	oos	0.15604	0.155029	-0.65%	0.15172	-2.77%	0.0214	✓	0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.15091	0.149938	-0.64%	0.15604	+3.40%	0.0366	✗	0.28
2026-07-31	oos	0.13661	0.135923	-0.50%	0.15091	+10.47%	0.1049	✗	0.28
2026-07-30	oos	0.14276	0.142056	-0.49%	0.13661	-4.31%	0.0315	✓	0.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.14754	0.146774	-0.52%	0.14276	-3.24%	0.0317	✓	0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.15216	0.151319	-0.55%	0.14754	-3.04%	0.0255	✓	0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.15277	0.151908	-0.56%	0.15216	-0.40%	0.0009	✓	0.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.15221	0.151387	-0.54%	0.15277	+0.37%	0.0175	✗	0.33
2026-07-25	oos	0.14016	0.139544	-0.44%	0.15221	+8.60%	0.0826	✗	0.27
2026-07-24	oos	0.14238	0.141768	-0.43%	0.14016	-1.56%	0.0123	✓	0.26
2026-07-23	oos	0.14741	0.146758	-0.44%	0.14238	-3.41%	0.0266	✓	0.24
2026-07-22	oos	0.15841	0.157561	-0.54%	0.14741	-6.94%	0.0630	✓	0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.15839	0.157537	-0.54%	0.15841	+0.01%	0.0070	✗	0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.15106	0.150336	-0.48%	0.15839	+4.85%	0.0484	✗	0.19
2026-07-19	oos	0.14672	0.146076	-0.44%	0.15106	+2.96%	0.0323	✗	0.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.1545	0.153695	-0.52%	0.14672	-5.04%	0.0461	✓	0.17
2026-07-17	oos	0.15717	0.156279	-0.57%	0.1545	-1.70%	0.0146	✓	0.22
2026-07-16	oos	0.16458	0.163364	-0.74%	0.15717	-4.50%	0.0391	✓	0.26
2026-07-15	oos	0.14785	0.146974	-0.59%	0.16458	+11.32%	0.1174	✗	0.29
2026-07-14	oos	0.13584	0.13522	-0.46%	0.14785	+8.84%	0.0906	✗	0.30
2026-07-13	oos	0.12405	0.12362	-0.35%	0.13584	+9.50%	0.0867	✗	0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.11991	0.119547	-0.30%	0.12405	+3.45%	0.0419	✗	0.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.1254	0.124981	-0.33%	0.11991	-4.38%	0.0413	✓	0.16
2026-07-10	oos	0.12225	0.121879	-0.30%	0.1254	+2.58%	0.0298	✗	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.12308	0.122702	-0.31%	0.12225	-0.67%	0.0072	✓	0.23
2026-07-08	oos	0.12313	0.122771	-0.29%	0.12308	-0.04%	0.0015	✓	0.27
2026-07-07	oos	0.12172	0.121368	-0.29%	0.12313	+1.16%	0.0191	✗	0.27
2026-07-06	oos	0.11802	0.117723	-0.25%	0.12172	+3.14%	0.0360	✗	0.24
2026-07-05	oos	0.12421	0.123855	-0.29%	0.11802	-4.98%	0.0511	✓	0.44
2026-07-04	oos	0.12789	0.127491	-0.31%	0.12421	-2.88%	0.0296	✓	0.45
2026-07-03	oos	0.12756	0.127173	-0.30%	0.12789	+0.26%	0.0018	✓	0.42
2026-07-02	oos	0.13462	0.134124	-0.37%	0.12756	-5.24%	0.0578	✓	0.45
2026-07-01	oos	0.1334	0.132893	-0.38%	0.13462	+0.91%	0.0016	✓	0.45
2026-06-30	oos	0.1241	0.123777	-0.26%	0.1334	+7.49%	0.0647	✗	0.42
2026-06-29	oos	0.10165	0.101612	-0.04%	0.1241	+22.09%	0.2162	✗	0.59
2026-06-28	oos	0.10748	0.10743	-0.05%	0.10165	-5.42%	0.0622	✓	0.60
2026-06-27	oos	0.12679	0.126507	-0.22%	0.10748	-15.23%	0.1589	✓	0.54
2026-06-26	oos	0.12502	0.124764	-0.21%	0.12679	+1.42%	0.0167	✗	0.54
2026-06-25	oos	0.1193	0.119149	-0.13%	0.12502	+4.79%	0.0455	✗	0.53
2026-06-24	oos	0.12379	0.123556	-0.19%	0.1193	-3.63%	0.0230	✓	0.57
2026-06-23	oos	0.12526	0.124977	-0.23%	0.12379	-1.17%	0.0006	✓	0.38
2026-06-22	oos	0.13626	0.135846	-0.30%	0.12526	-8.07%	0.0746	✓	0.31
2026-06-21	oos	0.1432	0.142735	-0.32%	0.13626	-4.85%	0.0502	✓	0.33
2026-06-20	oos	0.14425	0.143763	-0.34%	0.1432	-0.73%	0.0017	✓	0.37
2026-06-19	oos	0.14924	0.148742	-0.33%	0.14425	-3.34%	0.0352	✓	0.38
2026-06-18	oos	0.152465	0.151974	-0.32%	0.14924	-2.12%	0.0219	✓	0.39
2026-06-17	oos	0.16544	0.164737	-0.42%	0.152465	-7.84%	0.0691	✓	0.34
2026-06-16	oos	0.1638	0.163125	-0.41%	0.16544	+1.00%	0.0204	✗	0.35
2026-06-15	oos	0.17088	0.170081	-0.47%	0.1638	-4.14%	0.0336	✓	0.40
2026-06-14	oos	0.17032	0.169542	-0.46%	0.17088	+0.33%	0.0043	✓	0.42
2026-06-13	oos	0.16995	0.169219	-0.43%	0.17032	+0.22%	0.0023	✓	0.45
2026-06-12	oos	0.16892	0.16823	-0.41%	0.16995	+0.61%	0.0042	✗	0.43
2026-06-11	oos	0.16948	0.168803	-0.40%	0.16892	-0.33%	0.0009	✓	0.43
2026-06-10	oos	0.16501	0.164465	-0.33%	0.16948	+2.71%	0.0146	✗	0.46
2026-06-09	oos	0.16981	0.169207	-0.36%	0.16501	-2.83%	0.0233	✓	0.47
2026-06-08	oos	0.17186	0.171153	-0.41%	0.16981	-1.19%	0.0022	✓	0.46
2026-06-07	oos	0.17355	0.172787	-0.44%	0.17186	-0.97%	0.0038	✓	0.42
2026-06-06	oos	0.16966	0.16916	-0.29%	0.17355	+2.29%	0.0132	✗	0.31
2026-06-05	oos	0.16953	0.169061	-0.28%	0.16966	+0.08%	0.0045	✗	0.33
2026-06-04	oos	0.17312	0.172481	-0.37%	0.16953	-2.07%	0.0024	✓	0.33
2026-06-03	oos	0.17071	0.170104	-0.35%	0.17312	+1.41%	0.0188	✗	0.34
2026-06-02	oos	0.17298	0.172164	-0.47%	0.17071	-1.31%	0.0060	✗	0.36
2026-06-01	oos	0.17134	0.170462	-0.51%	0.17298	+0.96%	0.0391	✗	0.36
2026-05-31	oos	0.180875	0.179844	-0.57%	0.17134	-5.27%	0.0385	✓	0.32
2026-05-30	oos	0.18247	0.181328	-0.63%	0.180875	-0.87%	0.0017	✓	0.31
2026-05-29	oos	0.18313	0.18203	-0.60%	0.18247	-0.36%	0.0007	✓	0.32
2026-05-28	oos	0.18267	0.181596	-0.59%	0.18313	+0.25%	0.0090	✗	0.31
2026-05-27	oos	0.18145	0.180495	-0.53%	0.18267	+0.67%	0.0155	✗	0.32
2026-05-26	oos	0.17662	0.175885	-0.42%	0.18145	+2.73%	0.0383	✗	0.35
2026-05-25	oos	0.18038	0.17963	-0.42%	0.17662	-2.08%	0.0095	✓	0.40
2026-05-24	oos	0.18253	0.181723	-0.44%	0.18038	-1.18%	0.0088	✓	0.40
2026-05-23	oos	0.1803	0.179605	-0.39%	0.18253	+1.24%	0.0143	✗	0.44
2026-05-22	oos	0.18214	0.18142	-0.40%	0.1803	-1.01%	0.0132	✓	0.44
2026-05-21	oos	0.18351	0.18285	-0.36%	0.18214	-0.75%	0.0086	✗	0.45
2026-05-20	oos	0.19035	0.189594	-0.40%	0.18351	-3.59%	0.0330	✓	0.45
2026-05-19	oos	0.18468	0.184016	-0.36%	0.19035	+3.07%	0.0297	✗	0.45
2026-05-18	oos	0.19254	0.191752	-0.41%	0.18468	-4.08%	0.0366	✓	0.44
2026-05-17	oos	0.19675	0.195917	-0.42%	0.19254	-2.14%	0.0148	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.20489	0.203903	-0.48%	0.19675	-3.97%	0.0320	✓	0.42
2026-05-15	oos	0.20193	0.201025	-0.45%	0.20489	+1.47%	0.0244	✗	0.44
2026-05-14	oos	0.19072	0.190111	-0.32%	0.20193	+5.88%	0.0727	✗	0.49
2026-05-13	oos	0.17412	0.173673	-0.26%	0.19072	+9.53%	0.0849	✗	0.39
2026-05-12	oos	0.17421	0.173829	-0.22%	0.17412	-0.05%	0.0075	✗	0.39
2026-05-11	oos	0.18395	0.183539	-0.22%	0.17421	-5.29%	0.0466	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.18566	0.185277	-0.21%	0.18395	-0.92%	0.0048	✓	0.41
2026-05-09	oos	0.19691	0.19634	-0.29%	0.18566	-5.71%	0.0643	✓	0.44
2026-05-08	oos	0.19567	0.195115	-0.28%	0.19691	+0.63%	0.0067	✗	0.43
2026-05-07	oos	0.19909	0.198536	-0.28%	0.19567	-1.72%	0.0155	✓	0.44
2026-05-06	oos	0.19352	0.193164	-0.18%	0.19909	+2.88%	0.0366	✗	0.36
2026-05-05	oos	0.19238	0.192051	-0.17%	0.19352	+0.59%	0.0048	✗	0.43
2026-05-04	oos	0.20175	0.201301	-0.22%	0.19238	-4.64%	0.0510	✓	0.43
2026-05-03	oos	0.20465	0.204115	-0.26%	0.20175	-1.42%	0.0177	✓	0.37
2026-05-02	oos	0.20929	0.208692	-0.29%	0.20465	-2.22%	0.0190	✓	0.37
2026-05-01	oos	0.20161	0.201067	-0.27%	0.20929	+3.81%	0.0379	✗	0.37
2026-04-30	oos	0.19292	0.192372	-0.28%	0.20161	+4.50%	0.0383	✗	0.34
2026-04-29	oos	0.19468	0.19409	-0.30%	0.19292	-0.90%	0.0085	✓	0.34
2026-04-28	oos	0.20541	0.204737	-0.33%	0.19468	-5.22%	0.0481	✓	0.30
2026-04-27	oos	0.20654	0.20596	-0.28%	0.20541	-0.55%	0.0015	✓	0.31
2026-04-26	oos	0.20357	0.203134	-0.21%	0.20654	+1.46%	0.0219	✗	0.32
2026-04-25	oos	0.20785	0.207303	-0.26%	0.20357	-2.06%	0.0224	✓	0.32
2026-04-24	oos	0.21439	0.213793	-0.28%	0.20785	-3.05%	0.0291	✓	0.35
2026-04-23	oos	0.22594	0.225308	-0.28%	0.21439	-5.11%	0.0460	✓	0.35
2026-04-22	oos	0.21641	0.215884	-0.24%	0.22594	+4.40%	0.0452	✗	0.35
2026-04-21	oos	0.21717	0.216526	-0.30%	0.21641	-0.35%	0.0089	✓	0.35
2026-04-20	oos	0.24333	0.242444	-0.36%	0.21717	-10.75%	0.1123	✓	0.35
2026-04-19	oos	0.23956	0.238546	-0.42%	0.24333	+1.57%	0.0095	✗	0.38
2026-04-18	oos	0.25684	0.255803	-0.40%	0.23956	-6.73%	0.0562	✓	0.37
2026-04-17	oos	0.27491	0.273681	-0.45%	0.25684	-6.57%	0.0572	✓	0.36
2026-04-16	oos	0.28018	0.278656	-0.54%	0.27491	-1.88%	0.0228	✓	0.36
2026-04-15	oos	0.27333	0.271898	-0.52%	0.28018	+2.51%	0.0284	✗	0.36
2026-04-14	oos	0.27129	0.269826	-0.54%	0.27333	+0.75%	0.0097	✗	0.36
2026-04-13	oos	0.26811	0.266728	-0.52%	0.27129	+1.19%	0.0183	✗	0.36
2026-04-12	oos	0.27622	0.274487	-0.63%	0.26811	-2.94%	0.0435	✓	0.39
2026-04-11	oos	0.29991	0.29743	-0.83%	0.27622	-7.90%	0.0619	✓	0.37
2026-04-10	oos	0.28573	0.283565	-0.76%	0.29991	+4.96%	0.0556	✗	0.37
2026-04-09	oos	0.26827	0.266416	-0.69%	0.28573	+6.51%	0.0641	✗	0.35
2026-04-08	oos	0.27586	0.273491	-0.86%	0.26827	-2.75%	0.0228	✓	0.36
2026-04-07	oos	0.24535	0.243651	-0.69%	0.27586	+12.44%	0.1284	✗	0.37
2026-04-06	oos	0.21158	0.210522	-0.50%	0.24535	+15.96%	0.1403	✗	0.29
2026-04-05	oos	0.19818	0.197352	-0.42%	0.21158	+6.76%	0.0703	✗	0.29
2026-04-04	oos	0.2031	0.202255	-0.42%	0.19818	-2.42%	0.0282	✓	0.31
2026-04-03	oos	0.19894	0.198197	-0.37%	0.2031	+2.09%	0.0229	✗	0.31
2026-04-02	oos	0.20104	0.200352	-0.34%	0.19894	-1.04%	0.0074	✓	0.31
2026-04-01	oos	0.21028	0.209471	-0.38%	0.20104	-4.39%	0.0355	✓	0.31
2026-03-31	oos	0.2115	0.21074	-0.36%	0.21028	-0.58%	0.0017	✓	0.32
2026-03-30	oos	0.21399	0.213272	-0.34%	0.2115	-1.16%	0.0154	✓	0.32
2026-03-29	oos	0.23271	0.231703	-0.43%	0.21399	-8.04%	0.0836	✓	0.35
2026-03-28	oos	0.23595	0.234938	-0.43%	0.23271	-1.37%	0.0076	✓	0.35
2026-03-27	oos	0.24364	0.242442	-0.49%	0.23595	-3.16%	0.0270	✓	0.35
2026-03-26	oos	0.2636	0.261835	-0.67%	0.24364	-7.57%	0.0602	✓	0.33
2026-03-25	oos	0.22177	0.221031	-0.33%	0.2636	+18.86%	0.1910	✗	0.41
2026-03-24	oos	0.237085	0.236187	-0.38%	0.22177	-6.46%	0.0675	✓	0.42
2026-03-23	oos	0.24136	0.240393	-0.40%	0.237085	-1.77%	0.0118	✓	0.42
2026-03-22	oos	0.2329	0.232153	-0.32%	0.24136	+3.63%	0.0220	✗	0.39
2026-03-21	oos	0.23942	0.238614	-0.34%	0.2329	-2.72%	0.0182	✓	0.38
2026-03-20	oos	0.24414	0.243294	-0.35%	0.23942	-1.93%	0.0074	✓	0.38
2026-03-19	oos	0.25525	0.254324	-0.36%	0.24414	-4.35%	0.0441	✓	0.39
2026-03-18	oos	0.25961	0.258634	-0.38%	0.25525	-1.68%	0.0040	✓	0.49
2026-03-17	oos	0.28038	0.279225	-0.41%	0.25961	-7.41%	0.0556	✓	0.47
2026-03-16	oos	0.300425	0.29888	-0.51%	0.28038	-6.67%	0.0584	✓	0.43
2026-03-15	oos	0.28623	0.284903	-0.46%	0.300425	+4.96%	0.0412	✗	0.42
2026-03-14	oos	0.29323	0.291723	-0.51%	0.28623	-2.39%	0.0285	✓	0.43
2026-03-13	oos	0.30095	0.299046	-0.63%	0.29323	-2.57%	0.0214	✓	0.44
2026-03-12	oos	0.238945	0.238283	-0.28%	0.30095	+25.95%	0.2311	✗	0.41
2026-03-11	oos	0.21947	0.219047	-0.19%	0.238945	+8.87%	0.0851	✗	0.39
2026-03-10	oos	0.24161	0.241084	-0.22%	0.21947	-9.16%	0.0953	✓	0.40
2026-03-09	oos	0.2527	0.252237	-0.18%	0.24161	-4.39%	0.0522	✓	0.42
2026-03-08	oos	0.275275	0.274832	-0.16%	0.2527	-8.20%	0.1007	✓	0.46
2026-03-07	oos	0.285105	0.284582	-0.18%	0.275275	-3.45%	0.0243	✓	0.46
2026-03-06	oos	0.29572	0.295122	-0.20%	0.285105	-3.59%	0.0289	✓	0.45
2026-03-05	oos	0.30314	0.302398	-0.24%	0.29572	-2.45%	0.0044	✓	0.45
2026-03-04	oos	0.31296	0.312084	-0.28%	0.30314	-3.14%	0.0181	✓	0.44
2026-03-03	oos	0.32191	0.321196	-0.22%	0.31296	-2.78%	0.0555	✓	0.48
2026-03-02	oos	0.30972	0.309173	-0.18%	0.32191	+3.94%	0.0440	✗	0.50
2026-03-01	oos	0.30922	0.308948	-0.09%	0.30972	+0.16%	0.0216	✓	0.53
2026-02-28	oos	0.31967	0.319301	-0.12%	0.30922	-3.27%	0.0225	✓	0.53
2026-02-27	oos	0.32496	0.324719	-0.07%	0.31967	-1.63%	0.0246	✓	0.54
2026-02-26	oos	0.33098	0.330642	-0.10%	0.32496	-1.82%	0.0042	✓	0.54
2026-02-25	oos	0.34717	0.346691	-0.14%	0.33098	-4.66%	0.0424	✓	0.53
2026-02-24	oos	0.33162	0.331748	+0.04%	0.34717	+4.69%	0.0142	✓	0.53
2026-02-23	oos	0.33904	0.339159	+0.03%	0.33162	-2.19%	0.0181	✗	0.50
2026-02-22	oos	0.36056	0.360313	-0.07%	0.33904	-5.97%	0.0392	✓	0.48
2026-02-21	oos	0.36987	0.369642	-0.06%	0.36056	-2.52%	0.0225	✓	0.48
2026-02-20	oos	0.3689	0.368838	-0.02%	0.36987	+0.26%	0.0030	✗	0.47
2026-02-19	oos	0.37199	0.372078	+0.02%	0.3689	-0.83%	0.0157	✗	0.47
2026-02-18	oos	0.36234	0.362777	+0.12%	0.37199	+2.66%	0.0211	✓	0.48
2026-02-17	oos	0.36101	0.361529	+0.14%	0.36234	+0.37%	0.0097	✓	0.48
2026-02-16	oos	0.35947	0.360032	+0.16%	0.36101	+0.43%	0.0127	✓	0.49
2026-02-15	oos	0.3796	0.380121	+0.14%	0.35947	-5.30%	0.0563	✗	0.49
2026-02-14	oos	0.39839	0.398748	+0.09%	0.3796	-4.72%	0.0421	✗	0.50
2026-02-13	oos	0.39596	0.396631	+0.17%	0.39839	+0.61%	0.0024	✗	0.49
2026-02-12	oos	0.42051	0.42143	+0.22%	0.39596	-5.84%	0.0823	✗	0.52
2026-02-11	oos	0.41563	0.416662	+0.25%	0.42051	+1.17%	0.0157	✓	0.53
2026-02-10	oos	0.419	0.419944	+0.23%	0.41563	-0.80%	0.0038	✓	0.54
2026-02-09	oos	0.47437	0.474733	+0.08%	0.419	-11.67%	0.1153	✗	0.51
2026-02-08	oos	0.49868	0.498888	+0.04%	0.47437	-4.87%	0.0490	✗	0.54
2026-02-07	oos	0.51882	0.519089	+0.05%	0.49868	-3.88%	0.0483	✗	0.55
2026-02-06	oos	0.54166	0.541567	-0.02%	0.51882	-4.22%	0.0329	✓	0.54
2026-02-05	oos	0.54685	0.548331	+0.27%	0.54166	-0.95%	0.0921	✗	0.69
2026-02-04	oos	0.60577	0.604236	-0.25%	0.54685	-9.73%	0.0023	✓	0.68
2026-02-03	oos	0.62096	0.618327	-0.42%	0.60577	-2.45%	0.0029	✓	0.65
2026-02-02	oos	0.56247	0.561347	-0.20%	0.62096	+10.40%	0.1304	✗	0.76
2026-02-01	oos	0.56928	0.568567	-0.13%	0.56247	-1.20%	0.0274	✓	0.73
2026-01-31	oos	0.5988	0.597304	-0.25%	0.56928	-4.93%	0.0317	✓	0.73
2026-01-30	oos	0.60888	0.606152	-0.45%	0.5988	-1.66%	0.0398	✗	0.77
2026-01-29	oos	0.59124	0.588953	-0.39%	0.60888	+2.98%	0.0370	✗	0.77
2026-01-28	oos	0.57403	0.571552	-0.43%	0.59124	+3.00%	0.0804	✗	0.87
2026-01-27	oos	0.57841	0.575785	-0.45%	0.57403	-0.76%	0.0035	✓	0.87
2026-01-26	oos	0.56422	0.56261	-0.29%	0.57841	+2.51%	0.0195	✗	0.84
2026-01-25	oos	0.55145	0.550612	-0.15%	0.56422	+2.32%	0.0079	✗	0.85
2026-01-24	oos	0.61442	0.61223	-0.36%	0.55145	-10.25%	0.0818	✓	0.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.63296	0.630508	-0.39%	0.61442	-2.93%	0.0229	✓	0.68
2026-01-22	oos	0.66735	0.664547	-0.42%	0.63296	-5.15%	0.0488	✓	0.68
2026-01-21	oos	0.67395	0.671195	-0.41%	0.66735	-0.98%	0.0065	✓	0.67
2026-01-20	oos	0.69983	0.696934	-0.41%	0.67395	-3.70%	0.0415	✓	0.67
2026-01-19	oos	0.77066	0.76604	-0.60%	0.69983	-9.19%	0.0626	✓	0.59
2026-01-18	oos	0.77974	0.774893	-0.62%	0.77066	-1.16%	0.0017	✓	0.62
2026-01-17	oos	0.78625	0.781424	-0.61%	0.77974	-0.83%	0.0076	✗	0.62
2026-01-16	oos	0.84274	0.836699	-0.72%	0.78625	-6.70%	0.0597	✓	0.60
2026-01-15	oos	0.80277	0.797452	-0.66%	0.84274	+4.98%	0.0558	✗	0.61
2026-01-14	oos	0.80498	0.799773	-0.65%	0.80277	-0.27%	0.0123	✗	0.60
2026-01-13	oos	0.79915	0.793948	-0.65%	0.80498	+0.73%	0.0036	✓	0.63
2026-01-12	oos	0.77905	0.774282	-0.61%	0.79915	+2.58%	0.0032	✓	0.63
2026-01-11	oos	0.78271	0.77798	-0.60%	0.77905	-0.47%	0.0008	✓	0.64
2026-01-10	oos	0.81372	0.808112	-0.69%	0.78271	-3.81%	0.0355	✓	0.64
2026-01-09	oos	0.77048	0.76591	-0.59%	0.81372	+5.61%	0.0615	✗	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.80087	0.795794	-0.63%	0.77048	-3.79%	0.0291	✓	0.58
2026-01-07	oos	0.81518	0.809873	-0.65%	0.80087	-1.76%	0.0098	✓	0.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.83361	0.827936	-0.68%	0.81518	-2.21%	0.0018	✓	0.52
2026-01-05	oos	0.8552	0.848806	-0.75%	0.83361	-2.52%	0.0173	✓	0.49
2026-01-04	oos	0.82596	0.820056	-0.71%	0.8552	+3.54%	0.0289	✗	0.51
2026-01-03	oos	0.8105	0.804781	-0.71%	0.82596	+1.91%	0.0211	✗	0.49
2026-01-02	oos	0.81724	0.811093	-0.75%	0.8105	-0.82%	0.0042	✓	0.49
2026-01-01	oos	0.82222	0.816037	-0.75%	0.81724	-0.61%	0.0052	✓	0.49
2025-12-31	oos	0.79806	0.792554	-0.69%	0.82222	+3.03%	0.0301	✗	0.47
2025-12-30	oos	0.84257	0.835893	-0.79%	0.79806	-5.28%	0.0417	✓	0.45
2025-12-29	oos	0.805	0.7992	-0.72%	0.84257	+4.67%	0.0465	✗	0.43
2025-12-28	oos	0.83292	0.826313	-0.79%	0.805	-3.35%	0.0224	✓	0.43
2025-12-27	oos	0.84932	0.841885	-0.88%	0.83292	-1.93%	0.0110	✓	0.43
2025-12-26	oos	0.83272	0.825528	-0.86%	0.84932	+1.99%	0.0260	✗	0.42
2025-12-25	oos	0.83327	0.825326	-0.95%	0.83272	-0.07%	0.0083	✓	0.42
2025-12-24	oos	0.80289	0.795575	-0.91%	0.83327	+3.78%	0.0484	✗	0.42
2025-12-23	oos	0.79958	0.791867	-0.96%	0.80289	+0.41%	0.0130	✗	0.42
2025-12-22	oos	0.71958	0.71416	-0.75%	0.79958	+11.12%	0.1185	✗	0.43
2025-12-21	oos	0.7579	0.751035	-0.91%	0.71958	-5.06%	0.0424	✓	0.43
2025-12-20	oos	0.8103	0.799966	-1.28%	0.7579	-6.47%	0.0556	✓	0.44
2025-12-19	oos	0.729805	0.720895	-1.22%	0.8103	+11.03%	0.1158	✗	0.43
2025-12-18	oos	0.56897	0.565541	-0.60%	0.729805	+28.27%	0.2474	✗	0.25
2025-12-17	oos	0.56168	0.558239	-0.61%	0.56897	+1.30%	0.0213	✗	0.25
2025-12-16	oos	0.50399	0.501573	-0.48%	0.56168	+11.45%	0.1190	✗	0.31
2025-12-15	oos	0.48578	0.483722	-0.42%	0.50399	+3.75%	0.0362	✗	0.29
2025-12-14	oos	0.48116	0.4791	-0.43%	0.48578	+0.96%	0.0198	✗	0.30
2025-12-13	oos	0.50201	0.499456	-0.51%	0.48116	-4.15%	0.0307	✓	0.29
2025-12-12	oos	0.49457	0.492093	-0.50%	0.50201	+1.50%	0.0200	✗	0.28
2025-12-11	oos	0.48276	0.480374	-0.49%	0.49457	+2.45%	0.0367	✗	0.31
2025-12-10	oos	0.48155	0.479217	-0.48%	0.48276	+0.25%	0.0057	✗	0.31
2025-12-09	oos	0.48623	0.483635	-0.53%	0.48155	-0.96%	0.0022	✓	0.30
2025-12-08	oos	0.49425	0.491476	-0.56%	0.48623	-1.62%	0.0179	✓	0.32
2025-12-07	oos	0.44899	0.447156	-0.41%	0.49425	+10.08%	0.0993	✗	0.31
2025-12-06	oos	0.46421	0.462288	-0.41%	0.44899	-3.28%	0.0333	✓	0.33
2025-12-05	oos	0.47895	0.47664	-0.48%	0.46421	-3.08%	0.0261	✓	0.32
2025-12-04	oos	0.48164	0.479204	-0.51%	0.47895	-0.56%	0.0096	✗	0.33
2025-12-03	oos	0.46809	0.465756	-0.50%	0.48164	+2.89%	0.0386	✗	0.35
2025-12-02	oos	0.4468	0.444998	-0.40%	0.46809	+4.76%	0.0432	✗	0.32
2025-12-01	oos	0.42344	0.422393	-0.25%	0.4468	+5.52%	0.0424	✗	0.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.44	0.438407	-0.36%	0.42344	-3.76%	0.0242	✓	0.23
2025-11-29	oos	0.41408	0.412975	-0.27%	0.44	+6.26%	0.0646	✗	0.24
2025-11-28	oos	0.40946	0.408424	-0.25%	0.41408	+1.13%	0.0139	✗	0.23
2025-11-27	oos	0.40698	0.406026	-0.23%	0.40946	+0.61%	0.0095	✗	0.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.39521	0.394612	-0.15%	0.40698	+2.98%	0.0291	✗	0.19
2025-11-25	oos	0.40539	0.40491	-0.12%	0.39521	-2.51%	0.0317	✓	0.21
2025-11-24	oos	0.40428	0.40387	-0.10%	0.40539	+0.27%	0.0060	✗	0.21
2025-11-23	oos	0.39642	0.39643	+0.00%	0.40428	+1.98%	0.0162	✓	0.20
2025-11-22	oos	0.40187	0.402148	+0.07%	0.39642	-1.36%	0.0192	✗	0.20
2025-11-21	oos	0.4076	0.407958	+0.09%	0.40187	-1.41%	0.0142	✗	0.19
2025-11-20	oos	0.42	0.420147	+0.03%	0.4076	-2.95%	0.0272	✗	0.18
2025-11-19	oos	0.431	0.430555	-0.10%	0.42	-2.55%	0.0150	✓	0.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.457	0.456025	-0.21%	0.431	-5.69%	0.0539	✓	0.16
2025-11-17	oos	0.457	0.456328	-0.15%	0.457	+0.00%	0.0001	✓	0.16
2025-11-16	oos	0.484	0.482644	-0.28%	0.457	-5.58%	0.0516	✓	0.13
2025-11-15	oos	0.454	0.45332	-0.15%	0.484	+6.61%	0.0677	✗	0.16
2025-11-14	oos	0.486	0.485083	-0.19%	0.454	-6.58%	0.0681	✓	0.18
2025-11-13	oos	0.508	0.506325	-0.33%	0.486	-4.33%	0.0334	✓	0.14
2025-11-12	oos	0.532	0.529868	-0.40%	0.508	-4.51%	0.0396	✓	0.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.52	0.518135	-0.36%	0.532	+2.31%	0.0283	✗	0.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.58	0.577006	-0.52%	0.52	-10.34%	0.1022	✓	0.06
2025-11-09	oos	0.581	0.578025	-0.51%	0.58	-0.17%	0.0027	✓	0.06
2025-11-08	oos	0.58	0.577326	-0.46%	0.581	+0.17%	0.0052	✗	0.05
2025-11-07	oos	0.589	0.586205	-0.47%	0.58	-1.53%	0.0102	✓	0.05
2025-11-06	oos	0.583	0.580583	-0.41%	0.589	+1.03%	0.0137	✗	0.03
2025-11-05	oos	0.568	0.565697	-0.41%	0.583	+2.64%	0.0318	✗	0.07
2025-11-04	oos	0.562	0.56039	-0.29%	0.568	+1.07%	0.0125	✗	0.04
2025-11-03	oos	0.557	0.55516	-0.33%	0.562	+0.90%	0.0171	✗	0.10
2025-11-02	oos	0.581	0.578357	-0.45%	0.557	-4.13%	0.0354	✓	0.06
2025-11-01	oos	0.574	0.571943	-0.36%	0.581	+1.22%	0.0155	✗	0.05
2025-10-31	oos	0.582	0.580119	-0.32%	0.574	-1.37%	0.0109	✓	0.06
2025-10-30	oos	0.574	0.57282	-0.21%	0.582	+1.39%	0.0153	✗	0.05
2025-10-29	oos	0.582	0.580812	-0.20%	0.574	-1.37%	0.0108	✓	0.06
2025-10-28	oos	0.566	0.565215	-0.14%	0.582	+2.83%	0.0317	✗	0.09
2025-10-27	oos	0.63	0.627968	-0.32%	0.566	-10.16%	0.1033	✓	0.06
2025-10-26	oos	0.628	0.626349	-0.26%	0.63	+0.32%	0.0061	✗	0.06
2025-10-25	oos	0.713	0.710054	-0.41%	0.628	-11.92%	0.1267	✓	0.15
2025-10-24	oos	0.721	0.718317	-0.37%	0.713	-1.11%	0.0084	✓	0.18
2025-10-23	oos	0.754	0.750983	-0.40%	0.721	-4.38%	0.0423	✓	0.19
2025-10-22	oos	0.752	0.749945	-0.27%	0.754	+0.27%	0.0023	✓	0.13
2025-10-21	oos	0.752	0.750332	-0.22%	0.752	+0.00%	0.0031	✗	0.12
2025-10-20	oos	0.807	0.803666	-0.41%	0.752	-6.82%	0.0651	✓	0.07
2025-10-19	oos	0.796	0.793953	-0.26%	0.807	+1.38%	0.0140	✗	0.14
2025-10-18	oos	0.818	0.816086	-0.23%	0.796	-2.69%	0.0270	✓	0.15
2025-10-17	oos	0.792	0.791594	-0.05%	0.818	+3.28%	0.0317	✗	0.16
2025-10-16	oos	0.789	0.788816	-0.02%	0.792	+0.38%	0.0066	✗	0.16
2025-10-15	oos	0.827	0.825578	-0.17%	0.789	-4.59%	0.0423	✓	0.13
2025-10-14	oos	0.839	0.836877	-0.25%	0.827	-1.43%	0.0096	✓	0.11
2025-10-13	oos	0.854	0.851138	-0.34%	0.839	-1.76%	0.0120	✓	0.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.867	0.864104	-0.33%	0.854	-1.50%	0.0120	✓	0.14
2025-10-11	oos	0.883	0.88123	-0.20%	0.867	-1.81%	0.0228	✓	0.17
2025-10-10	oos	0.872	0.870246	-0.20%	0.883	+1.26%	0.0184	✗	0.19
2025-10-09	oos	0.872	0.868527	-0.40%	0.872	+0.00%	0.0242	✗	0.27
2025-10-08	oos	0.95	0.945839	-0.44%	0.872	-8.21%	0.0787	✓	0.19
2025-10-07	oos	1.01	1.0052	-0.48%	0.95	-5.94%	0.0625	✓	0.38
2025-10-06	oos	1.09	1.0853	-0.43%	1.01	-7.34%	0.0627	✓	0.34
2025-10-05	oos	1.141	1.1357	-0.47%	1.09	-4.47%	0.0447	✓	0.38
2025-10-04	oos	1.165	1.1594	-0.48%	1.141	-2.06%	0.0193	✓	0.38
2025-10-03	oos	1.175	1.1694	-0.48%	1.165	-0.85%	0.0042	✓	0.37
2025-10-02	oos	1.198	1.1919	-0.51%	1.175	-1.92%	0.0197	✓	0.39
2025-10-01	oos	1.223	1.216	-0.57%	1.198	-2.04%	0.0236	✓	0.53
2025-09-30	oos	1.204	1.1969	-0.59%	1.223	+1.58%	0.0019	✓	0.59
2025-09-29	oos	1.219	1.2118	-0.59%	1.204	-1.23%	0.0041	✓	0.88
2025-09-28	oos	1.21	1.2031	-0.57%	1.219	+0.74%	0.0032	✓	0.85
2025-09-27	oos	1.22	1.2134	-0.54%	1.21	-0.82%	0.0246	✓	0.96
2025-09-26	oos	1.223	1.2166	-0.52%	1.22	-0.25%	0.0029	✓	0.96
2025-09-25	oos	1.249	1.2422	-0.55%	1.223	-2.08%	0.0214	✓	0.96
2025-09-24	oos	1.271	1.2639	-0.56%	1.249	-1.73%	0.0269	✗	1.00
2025-09-23	oos	1.3	1.2921	-0.61%	1.271	-2.23%	0.0286	✓	1.03
2025-09-22	oos	1.29	1.282	-0.62%	1.3	+0.78%	0.0204	✗	1.01
2025-09-21	oos	1.31	1.3021	-0.60%	1.29	-1.53%	0.0132	✗	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	1.325	1.317	-0.61%	1.31	-1.13%	0.0019	✓	0.85
2025-09-19	oos	1.336	1.3276	-0.63%	1.325	-0.82%	0.0024	✓	0.85
2025-09-18	oos	1.363	1.3544	-0.63%	1.336	-1.98%	0.0035	✓	0.83
2025-09-17	oos	1.283	1.2746	-0.66%	1.363	+6.24%	0.0625	✗	0.85

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.