4STOCK
4Stock · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s8
- token id
- #596
- symbol
- 4STOCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd270d4e1ec6e6e0d28c0ecb8be966ec75997ffff
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 102
Track record at +1d
assessed
33
of 34 predictions shown
direction hit
57.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0949
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0079
actual -0.0334
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.00411 | 0.004036 | -1.81% | – | pending | – | – | 4.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004111 | 0.004045 | -1.61% | 0.00411 | -0.02% | 0.0068 | ✓ | 4.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.003528 | 0.003508 | -0.58% | 0.004111 | +16.54% | 0.1085 | ✗ | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003593 | 0.003578 | -0.44% | 0.003528 | -1.82% | 0.0657 | ✓ | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0032 | 0.003198 | -0.05% | 0.003593 | +12.31% | 0.1247 | ✗ | 3.93 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003746 | 0.003737 | -0.25% | 0.0032 | -14.59% | 0.1857 | ✓ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.003468 | 0.003468 | +0.02% | 0.003746 | +8.03% | 0.0829 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003481 | 0.003488 | +0.18% | 0.003468 | -0.40% | 0.0253 | ✓ | 4.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00381 | 0.003819 | +0.25% | 0.003481 | -8.62% | 0.1206 | ✗ | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004392 | 0.004395 | +0.06% | 0.00381 | -13.26% | 0.0661 | ✗ | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004583 | 0.004587 | +0.07% | 0.004392 | -4.17% | 0.1119 | ✗ | 4.16 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005344 | 0.005327 | -0.31% | 0.004583 | -14.22% | 0.0522 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005176 | 0.005176 | +0.00% | 0.005344 | +3.24% | 0.0065 | ✗ | 4.15 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005327 | 0.005335 | +0.16% | 0.005176 | -2.83% | 0.0348 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.004808 | 0.004831 | +0.48% | 0.005327 | +10.79% | 0.0873 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005606 | 0.005621 | +0.28% | 0.004808 | -14.23% | 0.1370 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.007086 | 0.007037 | -0.70% | 0.005606 | -20.89% | 0.2005 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.006889 | 0.006856 | -0.49% | 0.007086 | +2.85% | 0.0354 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.007242 | 0.007195 | -0.65% | 0.006889 | -4.87% | 0.0345 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.007364 | 0.007325 | -0.52% | 0.007242 | -1.65% | 0.0321 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.007354 | 0.007319 | -0.48% | 0.007364 | +0.13% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.009011 | 0.008907 | -1.15% | 0.007354 | -18.39% | 0.1876 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.009411 | 0.009294 | -1.24% | 0.009011 | -4.25% | 0.0463 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008594 | 0.008513 | -0.94% | 0.009411 | +9.51% | 0.1012 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.009772 | 0.009649 | -1.26% | 0.008594 | -12.06% | 0.1180 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011118 | 0.010939 | -1.61% | 0.009772 | -12.11% | 0.1008 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.010767 | 0.01059 | -1.64% | 0.011118 | +3.26% | 0.0481 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010275 | 0.01012 | -1.51% | 0.010767 | +4.78% | 0.0581 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.011434 | 0.011242 | -1.68% | 0.010275 | -10.13% | 0.0864 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.013476 | 0.013205 | -2.01% | 0.011434 | -15.15% | 0.1441 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.015175 | 0.014741 | -2.86% | 0.013476 | -11.20% | 0.0684 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.011248 | 0.011049 | -1.77% | 0.015175 | +34.91% | 0.3219 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.009298 | 0.009148 | -1.62% | 0.011248 | +20.97% | 0.1419 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011466 | 0.011234 | -2.02% | 0.009298 | -18.91% | 0.1883 | ✓ | 1.00 |