XCH

Chia · native · gru_s7

token id: #626
symbol: XCH
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-05-06
predictions: 3,642

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

80.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1425

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0218

actual -0.0875

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.5025	1.483	-1.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	1.512	1.4867	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	1.5675	1.5297	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-18	oos	1.57	1.5316	-2.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-17	oos	1.6035	1.554	-3.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-16	oos	1.6015	1.5548	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-15	oos	1.5965	1.5529	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	1.576	1.5319	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	1.6315	1.5843	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	1.586	1.5386	-2.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-11	oos	1.5905	1.5489	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-10	oos	1.5935	1.545	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-09	oos	1.521	1.4791	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	1.469	1.4276	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-07	oos	1.495	1.4511	-2.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-06	oos	1.5675	1.5257	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-05	oos	1.5835	1.5375	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-04	oos	1.5855	1.5488	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-03	oos	1.5745	1.5333	-2.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	1.534	1.4941	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	1.599	1.5471	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	1.625	1.5622	-3.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	1.593	1.5319	-3.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-28	oos	1.558	1.5007	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.5795	1.5214	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-26	oos	1.649	1.5761	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-25	oos	1.6535	1.5784	-4.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-24	oos	1.63	1.5747	-3.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	1.544	1.5038	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-22	oos	1.626	1.588	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-21	oos	1.721	1.6777	-2.52%	1.5025	-12.70%	0.0905	✓	0.66
2026-09-20	oos	1.5395	1.4846	-3.56%	1.512	-1.79%	0.0064	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	1.5355	1.4848	-3.30%	1.5675	+2.08%	0.0501	✗	0.55
2026-09-18	oos	1.5045	1.4576	-3.12%	1.57	+4.35%	0.0668	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	1.4215	1.3696	-3.65%	1.6035	+12.80%	0.1269	✗	0.48
2026-09-16	oos	1.3805	1.3366	-3.18%	1.6015	+16.01%	0.1487	✗	0.47
2026-09-15	oos	1.367	1.3216	-3.32%	1.5965	+16.79%	0.1503	✗	0.47
2026-09-14	oos	1.471	1.42	-3.46%	1.576	+7.14%	0.0867	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	1.479	1.4263	-3.57%	1.6315	+10.31%	0.1015	✗	0.42
2026-09-12	oos	1.494	1.4505	-2.91%	1.586	+6.16%	0.0660	✗	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	1.489	1.4469	-2.83%	1.5905	+6.82%	0.0621	✗	0.40
2026-09-10	oos	1.493	1.4593	-2.26%	1.5935	+6.73%	0.0537	✗	0.43
2026-09-09	oos	1.5705	1.5341	-2.32%	1.521	-3.15%	0.0298	✓	0.40
2026-09-08	oos	1.6185	1.5826	-2.22%	1.469	-9.24%	0.0908	✓	0.40
2026-09-07	oos	1.645	1.6204	-1.50%	1.495	-9.12%	0.1015	✓	0.41
2026-09-06	oos	1.4935	1.5047	+0.75%	1.5675	+4.95%	0.0094	✓	0.50
2026-09-05	oos	1.4495	1.4801	+2.11%	1.5835	+9.24%	0.0319	✓	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	1.416	1.4591	+3.05%	1.5855	+11.97%	0.0353	✓	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	1.441	1.5017	+4.21%	1.5745	+9.26%	0.0226	✓	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	1.419	1.4592	+2.83%	1.534	+8.10%	0.0009	✓	0.57
2026-09-01	oos	1.448	1.5002	+3.60%	1.599	+10.43%	0.0115	✓	0.57
2026-08-31	oos	1.4235	1.4785	+3.87%	1.625	+14.16%	0.0590	✓	0.57
2026-08-30	oos	1.413	1.4967	+5.92%	1.593	+12.74%	0.0139	✓	0.65
2026-08-29	oos	1.3835	1.511	+9.22%	1.558	+12.61%	0.0080	✓	0.60
2026-08-28	oos	1.3995	1.5194	+8.57%	1.5795	+12.86%	0.0101	✓	0.60
2026-08-27	oos	1.411	1.5699	+11.26%	1.649	+16.87%	0.0186	✓	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	1.3785	1.5096	+9.51%	1.6535	+19.95%	0.0541	✓	0.60
2026-08-25	oos	1.387	1.5125	+9.05%	1.63	+17.52%	0.0300	✓	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	1.388	1.5359	+10.66%	1.544	+11.24%	0.0368	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	1.495	1.5949	+6.68%	1.626	+8.76%	0.0530	✓	0.70
2026-08-22	oos	1.506	1.6205	+7.60%	1.721	+14.28%	0.0223	✓	0.71
2026-08-21	oos	1.5215	1.7018	+11.85%	1.5395	+1.18%	0.1252	✗	0.70
2026-08-20	oos	1.4405	1.5288	+6.13%	1.5355	+6.59%	0.0680	✗	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	1.446	1.454	+0.55%	1.5045	+4.05%	0.0917	✗	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	1.379	1.3397	-2.85%	1.4215	+3.08%	0.0748	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	1.383	1.3455	-2.71%	1.3805	-0.18%	0.1141	✓	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	1.3765	1.3232	-3.87%	1.367	-0.69%	0.1243	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	1.328	1.2845	-3.27%	1.471	+10.77%	0.0455	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	1.3045	1.2649	-3.04%	1.479	+13.38%	0.0084	✓	0.83
2026-08-13	oos	1.315	1.277	-2.89%	1.494	+13.61%	0.0001	✓	0.79
2026-08-12	oos	1.301	1.2682	-2.52%	1.489	+14.45%	0.0014	✓	0.82
2026-08-11	oos	1.3435	1.3122	-2.33%	1.493	+11.13%	0.0233	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	1.373	1.3361	-2.69%	1.5705	+14.38%	0.0087	✓	0.75
2026-08-09	oos	1.333	1.3101	-1.72%	1.6185	+21.42%	0.0618	✗	0.79
2026-08-08	oos	1.4055	1.375	-2.17%	1.645	+17.04%	0.0226	✗	0.79
2026-08-07	oos	1.3115	1.3058	-0.44%	1.4935	+13.88%	0.0379	✓	0.81
2026-08-06	oos	1.364	1.3502	-1.02%	1.4495	+6.27%	0.1060	✓	0.82
2026-08-05	oos	1.4595	1.4289	-2.09%	1.416	-2.98%	0.1823	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	1.5125	1.4649	-3.15%	1.441	-4.73%	0.2106	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	1.5395	1.4766	-4.09%	1.419	-7.83%	0.2021	✓	0.82
2026-08-02	oos	1.73	1.6109	-6.88%	1.448	-16.30%	0.2704	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	1.456	1.3968	-4.06%	1.4235	-2.23%	0.1462	✓	0.74
2026-07-31	oos	1.416	1.3634	-3.72%	1.413	-0.21%	0.1199	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	1.4355	1.395	-2.82%	1.3835	-3.62%	0.1487	✓	0.74
2026-07-29	oos	1.3685	1.3309	-2.75%	1.3995	+2.27%	0.0823	✓	0.67
2026-07-28	oos	1.334	1.2993	-2.60%	1.411	+5.77%	0.0704	✓	0.67
2026-07-27	oos	1.2615	1.2449	-1.32%	1.3785	+9.27%	0.0397	✓	0.66
2026-07-26	oos	1.32	1.3178	-0.17%	1.387	+5.08%	0.0653	✓	0.63
2026-07-25	oos	1.2785	1.2744	-0.32%	1.388	+8.56%	0.0442	✓	0.63
2026-07-24	oos	1.156	1.1665	+0.91%	1.495	+29.33%	0.1300	✓	0.61
2026-07-23	oos	1.1585	1.1776	+1.65%	1.506	+30.00%	0.1423	✓	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	1.2395	1.2654	+2.09%	1.5215	+22.75%	0.0821	✓	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	1.2055	1.2299	+2.02%	1.4405	+19.49%	0.1020	✓	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	1.206	1.2178	+0.98%	1.446	+19.90%	0.1315	✓	0.66
2026-07-19	oos	1.2805	1.2777	-0.22%	1.379	+7.69%	0.0763	✗	0.70
2026-07-18	oos	1.3235	1.3181	-0.40%	1.383	+4.50%	0.0516	✗	0.71
2026-07-17	oos	1.367	1.3506	-1.20%	1.3765	+0.69%	0.0312	✗	0.73
2026-07-16	oos	1.3915	1.3675	-1.72%	1.328	-4.56%	0.0211	✓	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	1.4815	1.4546	-1.81%	1.3045	-11.95%	0.0912	✓	0.65
2026-07-14	oos	1.4045	1.3915	-0.92%	1.315	-6.37%	0.0404	✓	0.66
2026-07-13	oos	1.4	1.3624	-2.68%	1.301	-7.07%	0.0590	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	1.427	1.3944	-2.28%	1.3435	-5.85%	0.0349	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	1.4505	1.4141	-2.51%	1.373	-5.34%	0.0310	✓	0.66
2026-07-10	oos	1.4865	1.4483	-2.57%	1.333	-10.33%	0.0904	✓	0.67
2026-07-09	oos	1.537	1.4791	-3.77%	1.4055	-8.56%	0.0697	✓	0.69
2026-07-08	oos	1.5135	1.4785	-2.32%	1.3115	-13.35%	0.1470	✓	0.65
2026-07-07	oos	1.5565	1.5313	-1.62%	1.364	-12.37%	0.1254	✓	0.66
2026-07-06	oos	1.6195	1.5894	-1.86%	1.4595	-9.88%	0.0914	✓	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	1.601	1.573	-1.75%	1.5125	-5.53%	0.0440	✓	0.66
2026-07-04	oos	1.656	1.6243	-1.92%	1.5395	-7.04%	0.0576	✓	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	1.6795	1.6407	-2.31%	1.73	+3.01%	0.0426	✗	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	1.7305	1.678	-3.03%	1.456	-15.86%	0.1560	✓	0.69
2026-07-01	oos	1.753	1.6799	-4.17%	1.416	-19.22%	0.2038	✓	0.71
2026-06-30	oos	1.7225	1.6408	-4.75%	1.4355	-16.66%	0.2055	✓	0.71
2026-06-29	oos	1.5645	1.5265	-2.43%	1.3685	-12.53%	0.1579	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	1.617	1.5679	-3.04%	1.334	-17.50%	0.2193	✓	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	1.611	1.5889	-1.37%	1.2615	-21.69%	0.2801	✓	0.81
2026-06-26	oos	1.692	1.6646	-1.62%	1.32	-21.99%	0.3012	✓	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	1.705	1.6752	-1.75%	1.2785	-25.01%	0.3306	✓	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	1.706	1.689	-1.00%	1.156	-32.24%	0.4224	✓	0.87
2026-06-23	oos	1.813	1.7931	-1.10%	1.1585	-36.10%	0.4677	✓	0.82
2026-06-22	oos	1.902	1.8763	-1.35%	1.2395	-34.83%	0.4411	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	1.9005	1.8664	-1.80%	1.2055	-36.57%	0.4778	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	1.889	1.8598	-1.54%	1.206	-36.16%	0.4458	✓	0.83
2026-06-19	oos	1.9255	1.8864	-2.03%	1.2805	-33.50%	0.4031	✓	0.83
2026-06-18	oos	1.999	1.9519	-2.36%	1.3235	-33.79%	0.4137	✓	0.84
2026-06-17	oos	2.022	1.9779	-2.18%	1.367	-32.39%	0.3621	✓	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	2.0645	2.0161	-2.34%	1.3915	-32.60%	0.3465	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	2.088	2.0365	-2.47%	1.4815	-29.05%	0.2963	✓	0.92
2026-06-14	oos	2.1335	2.0676	-3.09%	1.4045	-34.17%	0.3768	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	2.164	2.0844	-3.68%	1.4	-35.30%	0.3653	✓	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	2.022	1.9662	-2.76%	1.427	-29.43%	0.3235	✓	0.93
2026-06-11	oos	2.037	1.9747	-3.06%	1.4505	-28.79%	0.3116	✓	0.94
2026-06-10	oos	2.0015	1.937	-3.23%	1.4865	-25.73%	0.3054	✓	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	2.0585	1.9913	-3.26%	1.537	-25.33%	0.2817	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	2.193	2.102	-4.15%	1.5135	-30.98%	0.3162	✓	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	2.216	2.118	-4.42%	1.5565	-29.76%	0.3083	✓	0.92
2026-06-06	oos	2.026	1.9528	-3.61%	1.6195	-20.06%	0.2283	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	2.179	2.0754	-4.76%	1.601	-26.53%	0.2920	✓	0.79
2026-06-04	oos	2.201	2.0954	-4.80%	1.656	-24.76%	0.2259	✓	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	2.203	2.0907	-5.10%	1.6795	-23.76%	0.1985	✓	0.85
2026-06-02	oos	2.25	2.1317	-5.26%	1.7305	-23.09%	0.1371	✓	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	2.469	2.3258	-5.80%	1.753	-29.00%	0.1365	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	2.3375	2.2222	-4.93%	1.7225	-26.31%	0.0453	✓	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	2.356	2.2371	-5.05%	1.5645	-33.60%	0.1775	✓	0.88
2026-05-29	oos	2.447	2.312	-5.52%	1.617	-33.92%	0.1686	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	2.33	2.2069	-5.28%	1.611	-30.86%	0.1299	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	2.5915	2.4357	-6.01%	1.692	-34.71%	0.1827	✓	0.85
2026-05-26	oos	2.707	2.5352	-6.34%	1.705	-37.02%	0.1982	✓	0.83
2026-05-25	oos	2.9605	2.7556	-6.92%	1.706	-42.37%	0.2782	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	2.755	2.5668	-6.83%	1.813	-34.19%	0.1689	✓	0.87
2026-05-23	oos	2.946	2.7229	-7.57%	1.902	-35.44%	0.1988	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	2.939	2.7214	-7.40%	1.9005	-35.34%	0.2032	✓	0.88
2026-05-21	oos	3.3705	3.1146	-7.59%	1.889	-43.95%	0.3485	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	3.6355	3.3152	-8.81%	1.9255	-47.04%	0.3832	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	3.3495	3.0476	-9.01%	1.999	-40.32%	0.2656	✓	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	2.8305	2.6346	-6.92%	2.022	-28.56%	0.1189	✓	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	2.6575	2.5126	-5.45%	2.0645	-22.31%	0.0599	✓	0.83
2026-05-16	oos	2.614	2.4812	-5.08%	2.088	-20.12%	0.0358	✓	0.83
2026-05-15	oos	2.3905	2.3055	-3.55%	2.1335	-10.75%	0.0845	✗	0.88
2026-05-14	oos	2.5435	2.4548	-3.49%	2.164	-14.92%	0.0737	✗	0.87
2026-05-13	oos	2.524	2.4017	-4.85%	2.022	-19.89%	0.0216	✓	0.87
2026-05-12	oos	2.214	2.1848	-1.32%	2.037	-7.99%	0.1541	✗	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	2.32	2.3053	-0.63%	2.0015	-13.73%	0.1255	✗	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	2.433	2.4068	-1.08%	2.0585	-15.39%	0.1075	✗	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	2.34	2.3356	-0.19%	2.193	-6.28%	0.1618	✗	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	2.404	2.39	-0.58%	2.216	-7.82%	0.1368	✗	0.90
2026-05-07	oos	2.1825	2.2152	+1.50%	2.026	-7.17%	0.1498	✓	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	2.1115	2.1899	+3.71%	2.179	+3.20%	0.2439	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	2.1215	2.2027	+3.83%	2.201	+3.75%	0.1807	✓	0.76
2026-05-04	oos	2.115	2.164	+2.32%	2.203	+4.16%	0.1836	✓	0.75
2026-05-03	oos	2.138	2.1801	+1.97%	2.25	+5.24%	0.1550	✓	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	2.148	2.1952	+2.20%	2.469	+14.94%	0.1913	✓	0.75
2026-05-01	oos	2.174	2.2041	+1.39%	2.3375	+7.52%	0.1050	✓	0.75
2026-04-30	oos	2.2595	2.2299	-1.31%	2.356	+4.27%	0.0810	✗	0.77
2026-04-29	oos	2.269	2.2303	-1.70%	2.447	+7.84%	0.1174	✗	0.77
2026-04-28	oos	2.262	2.2624	+0.02%	2.33	+3.01%	0.0580	✓	0.76
2026-04-27	oos	2.2705	2.3176	+2.07%	2.5915	+14.14%	0.1424	✓	0.76
2026-04-26	oos	2.366	2.4207	+2.31%	2.707	+14.41%	0.1398	✓	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	2.354	2.4333	+3.37%	2.9605	+25.76%	0.2001	✓	0.77
2026-04-24	oos	2.456	2.5672	+4.53%	2.755	+12.17%	0.0755	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	2.5985	2.7103	+4.30%	2.946	+13.37%	0.0997	✓	0.77
2026-04-22	oos	2.781	2.8524	+2.57%	2.939	+5.68%	0.0578	✓	0.77
2026-04-21	oos	2.5855	2.6498	+2.49%	3.3705	+30.36%	0.2288	✓	0.76
2026-04-20	oos	2.4755	2.5511	+3.06%	3.6355	+46.86%	0.3384	✓	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	2.393	2.4228	+1.24%	3.3495	+39.97%	0.2951	✓	0.74
2026-04-18	oos	2.4445	2.5006	+2.29%	2.8305	+15.79%	0.1122	✓	0.74
2026-04-17	oos	2.288	2.405	+5.11%	2.6575	+16.15%	0.0968	✓	0.76
2026-04-16	oos	2.315	2.3851	+3.03%	2.614	+12.92%	0.0623	✓	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	2.1945	2.2734	+3.60%	2.3905	+8.93%	0.0085	✓	0.76
2026-04-14	oos	2.156	2.2408	+3.93%	2.5435	+17.97%	0.0589	✓	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	2.2415	2.3283	+3.87%	2.524	+12.60%	0.0329	✓	0.76
2026-04-12	oos	2.2345	2.2469	+0.56%	2.214	-0.92%	0.1162	✗	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	2.3175	2.3491	+1.37%	2.32	+0.11%	0.0999	✗	0.78
2026-04-10	oos	2.278	2.3039	+1.14%	2.433	+6.80%	0.0392	✗	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	2.3985	2.3894	-0.38%	2.34	-2.44%	0.1142	✓	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	2.3195	2.3248	+0.23%	2.404	+3.64%	0.0623	✗	0.80
2026-04-07	oos	2.3875	2.3879	+0.02%	2.1825	-8.59%	0.1747	✗	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	2.316	2.2822	-1.46%	2.1115	-8.83%	0.2096	✓	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	2.3695	2.3292	-1.70%	2.1215	-10.47%	0.2184	✓	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	2.3455	2.2835	-2.64%	2.115	-9.83%	0.2159	✓	0.81
2026-04-03	oos	2.391	2.3224	-2.87%	2.138	-10.58%	0.2130	✓	0.82
2026-04-02	oos	2.4115	2.3547	-2.35%	2.148	-10.93%	0.2239	✓	0.81
2026-04-01	oos	2.504	2.4518	-2.08%	2.174	-13.18%	0.2329	✓	0.81
2026-03-31	oos	2.606	2.5426	-2.43%	2.2595	-13.30%	0.2097	✓	0.82
2026-03-30	oos	2.6065	2.5368	-2.67%	2.269	-12.95%	0.2159	✓	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	2.6315	2.5557	-2.88%	2.262	-14.04%	0.2422	✓	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	2.673	2.5977	-2.82%	2.2705	-15.06%	0.2616	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	2.605	2.5416	-2.43%	2.366	-9.17%	0.2115	✓	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	2.8185	2.74	-2.78%	2.354	-16.48%	0.2506	✓	0.81
2026-03-25	oos	2.842	2.7884	-1.89%	2.456	-13.58%	0.1950	✓	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	2.818	2.7563	-2.19%	2.5985	-7.79%	0.1446	✓	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	2.7335	2.6897	-1.60%	2.781	+1.74%	0.0477	✓	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	2.6205	2.559	-2.35%	2.5855	-1.34%	0.0861	✓	0.82
2026-03-21	oos	2.6535	2.5907	-2.37%	2.4755	-6.71%	0.1241	✓	0.82
2026-03-20	oos	2.6915	2.6378	-1.99%	2.393	-11.09%	0.1351	✓	0.82
2026-03-19	oos	2.731	2.6678	-2.31%	2.4445	-10.49%	0.1530	✓	0.82
2026-03-18	oos	2.837	2.7863	-1.79%	2.288	-19.35%	0.2635	✓	0.84
2026-03-17	oos	3.1505	3.0766	-2.35%	2.315	-26.52%	0.2978	✓	0.81
2026-03-16	oos	2.982	2.9591	-0.77%	2.1945	-26.41%	0.2984	✓	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	2.779	2.7629	-0.58%	2.156	-22.42%	0.2628	✓	0.81
2026-03-14	oos	2.734	2.7002	-1.24%	2.2415	-18.01%	0.2218	✓	0.81
2026-03-13	oos	2.655	2.6284	-1.00%	2.2345	-15.84%	0.1602	✓	0.81
2026-03-12	oos	2.6	2.5915	-0.33%	2.3175	-10.87%	0.1404	✓	0.81
2026-03-11	oos	2.569	2.5656	-0.13%	2.278	-11.33%	0.1504	✓	0.81
2026-03-10	oos	2.5265	2.538	+0.46%	2.3985	-5.07%	0.0773	✗	0.80
2026-03-09	oos	2.5375	2.5436	+0.24%	2.3195	-8.59%	0.1229	✗	0.81
2026-03-08	oos	2.558	2.5423	-0.61%	2.3875	-6.67%	0.1348	✓	0.83
2026-03-07	oos	2.5055	2.5015	-0.16%	2.316	-7.56%	0.0968	✓	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	2.6015	2.5865	-0.58%	2.3695	-8.92%	0.0986	✓	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	2.74	2.7187	-0.78%	2.3455	-14.40%	0.1044	✓	0.83
2026-03-04	oos	2.873	2.8348	-1.33%	2.391	-16.78%	0.1023	✓	0.83
2026-03-03	oos	2.694	2.6493	-1.66%	2.4115	-10.49%	0.0767	✓	0.81
2026-03-02	oos	2.6565	2.6252	-1.18%	2.504	-5.74%	0.0389	✓	0.80
2026-03-01	oos	2.6205	2.5909	-1.13%	2.606	-0.55%	0.0256	✓	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	2.7305	2.6876	-1.57%	2.6065	-4.54%	0.0276	✓	0.87
2026-02-27	oos	2.6915	2.6616	-1.11%	2.6315	-2.23%	0.0127	✓	0.87
2026-02-26	oos	2.6535	2.6482	-0.20%	2.673	+0.73%	0.0247	✗	0.88
2026-02-25	oos	2.631	2.6336	+0.10%	2.605	-0.99%	0.0106	✓	0.88
2026-02-24	oos	2.4055	2.4321	+1.10%	2.8185	+17.17%	0.0882	✓	0.84
2026-02-23	oos	2.605	2.6013	-0.14%	2.842	+9.10%	0.0078	✗	0.82
2026-02-22	oos	2.7395	2.7212	-0.67%	2.818	+2.87%	0.0004	✓	0.82
2026-02-21	oos	2.665	2.6609	-0.15%	2.7335	+2.57%	0.0075	✓	0.82
2026-02-20	oos	2.656	2.6522	-0.14%	2.6205	-1.34%	0.0104	✓	0.81
2026-02-19	oos	2.6135	2.6221	+0.33%	2.6535	+1.53%	0.0112	✗	0.81
2026-02-18	oos	2.717	2.7078	-0.34%	2.6915	-0.94%	0.0550	✓	0.82
2026-02-17	oos	2.919	2.8949	-0.82%	2.731	-6.44%	0.0866	✓	0.79
2026-02-16	oos	2.927	2.9037	-0.80%	2.837	-3.07%	0.0505	✓	0.80
2026-02-15	oos	2.9665	2.9368	-1.00%	3.1505	+6.20%	0.0125	✗	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	3.097	3.0494	-1.54%	2.982	-3.71%	0.0786	✓	0.80
2026-02-13	oos	2.907	2.8763	-1.05%	2.779	-4.40%	0.0790	✓	0.79
2026-02-12	oos	2.814	2.784	-1.07%	2.734	-2.84%	0.0748	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	2.993	2.9485	-1.49%	2.655	-11.29%	0.1470	✓	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	3.068	3.0115	-1.84%	2.6	-15.25%	0.1652	✓	0.74
2026-02-09	oos	3.0715	3.0086	-2.05%	2.569	-16.36%	0.1591	✓	0.74
2026-02-08	oos	3.255	3.1635	-2.81%	2.5265	-22.38%	0.2214	✓	0.76
2026-02-07	oos	3.4235	3.3126	-3.24%	2.5375	-25.88%	0.2576	✓	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	3.331	3.2297	-3.04%	2.558	-23.21%	0.1781	✓	0.82
2026-02-05	oos	3.074	2.9874	-2.82%	2.5055	-18.49%	0.2340	✓	0.85
2026-02-04	oos	3.346	3.2247	-3.63%	2.6015	-22.25%	0.1348	✓	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	3.36	3.2348	-3.73%	2.74	-18.45%	0.0920	✓	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	3.4535	3.3227	-3.79%	2.873	-16.81%	0.0538	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	3.429	3.2994	-3.78%	2.694	-21.43%	0.0610	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	3.547	3.3887	-4.46%	2.6565	-25.11%	0.0808	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	3.751	3.5819	-4.51%	2.6205	-30.14%	0.0009	✓	1.27
2026-01-29	oos	3.924	3.7323	-4.88%	2.7305	-30.42%	0.0152	✓	1.28
2026-01-28	oos	4.0465	3.8864	-3.96%	2.6915	-33.49%	0.0330	✓	1.32
2026-01-27	oos	4.2235	4.0529	-4.04%	2.6535	-37.17%	0.0523	✓	1.34
2026-01-26	oos	4.199	4.0529	-3.48%	2.631	-37.34%	0.0899	✓	1.31
2026-01-25	oos	4.0075	3.883	-3.11%	2.4055	-39.98%	0.0872	✓	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	4.211	4.0824	-3.05%	2.605	-38.14%	0.0341	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	4.183	4.0593	-2.96%	2.7395	-34.51%	0.0289	✓	1.30
2026-01-22	oos	4.332	4.1895	-3.29%	2.665	-38.48%	0.0959	✓	1.30
2026-01-21	oos	4.5925	4.4132	-3.90%	2.656	-42.17%	0.1542	✓	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	4.52	4.3587	-3.57%	2.6135	-42.18%	0.1584	✓	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	4.6155	4.502	-2.46%	2.717	-41.13%	0.0640	✓	1.33
2026-01-18	oos	4.9	4.7537	-2.99%	2.919	-40.43%	0.0557	✓	1.32
2026-01-17	oos	4.973	4.8382	-2.71%	2.927	-41.14%	0.0809	✓	1.31
2026-01-16	oos	4.9755	4.8461	-2.60%	2.9665	-40.38%	0.0615	✓	1.31
2026-01-15	oos	5.1055	4.9815	-2.43%	3.097	-39.34%	0.0644	✓	1.31
2026-01-14	oos	5.4265	5.2757	-2.78%	2.907	-46.43%	0.1492	✓	1.30
2026-01-13	oos	5.465	5.2771	-3.44%	2.814	-48.51%	0.1557	✓	1.30
2026-01-12	oos	5.2145	4.9834	-4.43%	2.993	-42.60%	0.1091	✓	1.30
2026-01-11	oos	5.5495	5.2414	-5.55%	3.068	-44.72%	0.1703	✓	1.31
2026-01-10	oos	5.079	4.8077	-5.34%	3.0715	-39.53%	0.1194	✓	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	5.2175	4.9789	-4.57%	3.255	-37.61%	0.0837	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	4.982	4.7763	-4.13%	3.4235	-31.28%	0.0232	✓	1.30
2026-01-07	oos	5.072	4.8383	-4.61%	3.331	-34.33%	0.0455	✓	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	5.076	4.8641	-4.18%	3.074	-39.44%	0.2014	✗	1.65
2026-01-05	oos	5.218	4.9746	-4.66%	3.346	-35.88%	0.0173	✓	1.65
2026-01-04	oos	4.747	4.5266	-4.64%	3.36	-29.22%	0.0052	✓	1.60
2026-01-03	oos	4.73	4.5174	-4.49%	3.4535	-26.99%	0.0416	✓	1.61
2026-01-02	oos	4.828	4.5741	-5.26%	3.429	-28.98%	0.0350	✓	1.61
2026-01-01	oos	4.732	4.4623	-5.70%	3.547	-25.04%	0.0351	✓	1.61
2025-12-31	oos	4.5695	4.3703	-4.36%	3.751	-17.91%	0.0899	✓	1.59
2025-12-30	oos	4.6425	4.444	-4.28%	3.924	-15.48%	0.0530	✓	1.59
2025-12-29	oos	4.6655	4.4652	-4.29%	4.0465	-13.27%	0.1356	✓	1.59
2025-12-28	oos	4.8	4.5932	-4.31%	4.2235	-12.01%	0.1062	✓	1.59
2025-12-27	oos	5.0015	4.7123	-5.78%	4.199	-16.05%	0.1232	✓	1.57
2025-12-26	oos	4.573	4.3852	-4.11%	4.0075	-12.37%	0.0771	✓	1.54
2025-12-25	oos	4.7875	4.5296	-5.39%	4.211	-12.04%	0.1064	✓	1.54
2025-12-24	oos	4.957	4.7237	-4.71%	4.183	-15.61%	0.1541	✓	1.55
2025-12-23	oos	4.8195	4.6104	-4.34%	4.332	-10.12%	0.0978	✓	1.54
2025-12-22	oos	4.836	4.6439	-3.97%	4.5925	-5.04%	0.0251	✓	1.54
2025-12-21	oos	4.821	4.6214	-4.14%	4.52	-6.24%	0.0165	✓	1.54
2025-12-20	oos	4.882	4.658	-4.59%	4.6155	-5.46%	0.0818	✓	1.55
2025-12-19	oos	4.9075	4.6831	-4.57%	4.9	-0.15%	0.0493	✓	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	4.5095	4.3304	-3.97%	4.973	+10.28%	0.0243	✓	1.52
2025-12-17	oos	4.5915	4.3959	-4.26%	4.9755	+8.36%	0.0319	✓	1.52
2025-12-16	oos	4.8285	4.6145	-4.43%	5.1055	+5.74%	0.0267	✓	1.52
2025-12-15	oos	4.872	4.6171	-5.23%	5.4265	+11.38%	0.0144	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	5.046	4.8283	-4.31%	5.465	+8.30%	0.0046	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	5.239	5.0146	-4.28%	5.2145	-0.47%	0.0235	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	5.2955	5.0725	-4.21%	5.5495	+4.80%	0.0799	✗	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	5.487	5.2419	-4.47%	5.079	-7.44%	0.0045	✓	1.52
2025-12-10	oos	5.652	5.3305	-5.69%	5.2175	-7.69%	0.0041	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	5.751	5.4725	-4.84%	4.982	-13.37%	0.0662	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	5.4915	5.2316	-4.73%	5.072	-7.64%	0.0414	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	5.517	5.242	-4.99%	5.076	-7.99%	0.0869	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	5.589	5.312	-4.96%	5.218	-6.64%	0.0944	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	5.5295	5.2802	-4.51%	4.747	-14.15%	0.1426	✓	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	5.752	5.4909	-4.54%	4.73	-17.77%	0.1242	✓	1.53
2025-12-03	oos	5.891	5.6202	-4.60%	4.828	-18.04%	0.0936	✓	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	6.0995	5.7654	-5.48%	4.732	-22.42%	0.1528	✓	1.57
2025-12-01	oos	5.5045	5.2417	-4.77%	4.5695	-16.99%	0.1588	✓	1.54
2025-11-30	oos	5.899	5.6278	-4.60%	4.6425	-21.30%	0.1587	✓	1.53
2025-11-29	oos	5.9695	5.7026	-4.47%	4.6655	-21.84%	0.1370	✓	1.52
2025-11-28	oos	5.8865	5.6354	-4.27%	4.8	-18.46%	0.1088	✓	1.52
2025-11-27	oos	5.9625	5.715	-4.15%	5.0015	-16.12%	0.0739	✓	1.52
2025-11-26	oos	6.1045	5.821	-4.64%	4.573	-25.09%	0.1894	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	6.1065	5.7921	-5.15%	4.7875	-21.60%	0.1878	✓	1.51
2025-11-24	oos	6.259	5.9493	-4.95%	4.957	-20.80%	0.1712	✓	1.51
2025-11-23	oos	6.237	5.9413	-4.74%	4.8195	-22.73%	0.2203	✓	1.54
2025-11-22	oos	6.247	5.9217	-5.21%	4.836	-22.59%	0.2735	✓	1.59
2025-11-21	oos	6.4365	6.0879	-5.42%	4.821	-25.10%	0.2985	✓	1.58
2025-11-20	oos	6.7905	6.3955	-5.82%	4.882	-28.11%	0.3020	✓	1.56
2025-11-19	oos	6.9525	6.5668	-5.55%	4.9075	-29.41%	0.2299	✓	1.63
2025-11-18	oos	7.2165	6.7949	-5.84%	4.5095	-37.51%	0.2739	✓	1.63
2025-11-17	oos	7.2635	6.8408	-5.82%	4.5915	-36.79%	0.2909	✓	1.63
2025-11-16	oos	7.48	7.0487	-5.77%	4.8285	-35.45%	0.2662	✓	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	7.709	7.26	-5.82%	4.872	-36.80%	0.2374	✓	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	7.9205	7.4083	-6.47%	5.046	-36.29%	0.2713	✓	1.63
2025-11-13	oos	7.9425	7.4203	-6.57%	5.239	-34.04%	0.1759	✓	1.75
2025-11-12	oos	8.0225	7.4166	-7.55%	5.2955	-33.99%	0.1277	✓	1.76
2025-11-11	oos	8.044	7.5599	-6.02%	5.487	-31.79%	0.1362	✓	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	8.6855	8.1096	-6.63%	5.652	-34.93%	0.1248	✓	1.67
2025-11-09	oos	9.31	8.4319	-9.43%	5.751	-38.23%	0.1730	✓	1.72
2025-11-08	oos	7.776	7.2714	-6.49%	5.4915	-29.38%	0.0846	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	8.262	7.5103	-9.10%	5.517	-33.22%	0.0960	✓	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	6.3575	6.1228	-3.69%	5.589	-12.09%	0.0925	✗	1.45
2025-11-05	oos	5.9865	5.8566	-2.17%	5.5295	-7.63%	0.1706	✗	1.51
2025-11-04	oos	5.8015	5.7126	-1.53%	5.752	-0.85%	0.1545	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	6.351	6.1928	-2.49%	5.891	-7.24%	0.1468	✗	1.50
2025-11-02	oos	6.8345	6.6418	-2.82%	6.0995	-10.75%	0.1987	✗	1.49
2025-11-01	oos	6.798	6.5938	-3.00%	5.5045	-19.03%	0.1836	✗	1.50
2025-10-31	oos	6.3335	6.2017	-2.08%	5.899	-6.86%	0.2357	✗	1.48
2025-10-30	oos	6.438	6.3159	-1.90%	5.9695	-7.28%	0.2062	✗	1.49
2025-10-29	oos	6.7925	6.6474	-2.14%	5.8865	-13.34%	0.1577	✗	1.46
2025-10-28	oos	6.761	6.694	-0.99%	5.9625	-11.81%	0.2025	✗	1.50
2025-10-27	oos	6.979	6.9035	-1.08%	6.1045	-12.53%	0.2241	✗	1.50
2025-10-26	oos	6.848	6.7974	-0.74%	6.1065	-10.83%	0.2995	✗	1.50
2025-10-25	oos	6.5785	6.5148	-0.97%	6.259	-4.86%	0.3158	✗	1.51
2025-10-24	oos	6.7495	6.6379	-1.65%	6.237	-7.59%	0.3121	✗	1.52
2025-10-23	oos	6.898	6.7281	-2.46%	6.247	-9.44%	0.3279	✗	1.53
2025-10-22	oos	6.8625	6.6559	-3.01%	6.4365	-6.21%	0.3304	✗	1.55
2025-10-21	oos	6.979	6.816	-2.34%	6.7905	-2.70%	0.3453	✗	1.55
2025-10-20	oos	7.1875	7.0445	-1.99%	6.9525	-3.27%	0.2848	✗	1.57
2025-10-19	oos	7.2525	7.0835	-2.33%	7.2165	-0.50%	0.2615	✗	1.55
2025-10-18	oos	7.099	6.925	-2.45%	7.2635	+2.32%	0.2826	✗	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	7.1315	6.9692	-2.28%	7.48	+4.89%	0.2597	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	7.506	7.3058	-2.67%	7.709	+2.70%	0.2439	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	7.5005	7.3171	-2.45%	7.9205	+5.60%	0.3234	✗	1.53
2025-10-14	oos	7.594	7.4499	-1.90%	7.9425	+4.59%	0.2604	✗	1.55
2025-10-13	oos	7.798	7.6628	-1.73%	8.0225	+2.88%	0.2436	✗	1.57
2025-10-12	oos	7.799	7.6411	-2.02%	8.044	+3.14%	0.2227	✗	1.55
2025-10-11	oos	7.0715	6.9365	-1.91%	8.6855	+22.82%	0.2897	✗	1.47
2025-10-10	oos	6.5135	6.4906	-0.35%	9.31	+42.93%	0.4819	✗	1.59
2025-10-09	oos	8.6805	8.5596	-1.39%	7.776	-10.42%	0.0791	✗	1.01
2025-10-08	oos	8.906	8.8134	-1.04%	8.262	-7.23%	0.1186	✗	1.03
2025-10-07	oos	8.751	8.6856	-0.75%	6.3575	-27.35%	0.1382	✓	0.96
2025-10-06	oos	8.952	8.9788	+0.30%	5.9865	-33.13%	0.2200	✗	1.01
2025-10-05	oos	8.6195	8.6493	+0.35%	5.8015	-32.69%	0.2026	✗	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	8.5425	8.5301	-0.14%	6.351	-25.65%	0.1559	✓	1.00
2025-10-03	oos	8.7265	8.7066	-0.23%	6.8345	-21.68%	0.1408	✓	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	8.787	8.7881	+0.01%	6.798	-22.64%	0.1641	✗	1.01
2025-10-01	oos	8.6355	8.5907	-0.52%	6.3335	-26.66%	0.2234	✓	1.02
2025-09-30	oos	8.1965	8.1124	-1.03%	6.438	-21.45%	0.1800	✓	0.99
2025-09-29	oos	8.4545	8.3204	-1.59%	6.7925	-19.66%	0.1635	✓	1.02
2025-09-28	oos	8.698	8.4806	-2.50%	6.761	-22.27%	0.2334	✓	1.08
2025-09-27	oos	8.565	8.3217	-2.84%	6.979	-18.52%	0.2187	✓	1.09
2025-09-26	oos	8.7575	8.5141	-2.78%	6.848	-21.80%	0.2647	✓	1.08
2025-09-25	oos	8.533	8.2958	-2.78%	6.5785	-22.91%	0.2577	✓	1.08
2025-09-24	oos	9.082	8.8064	-3.04%	6.7495	-25.68%	0.2446	✓	1.04
2025-09-23	oos	9.0605	8.74	-3.54%	6.898	-23.87%	0.2187	✓	1.05
2025-09-22	oos	9.1175	8.7527	-4.00%	6.8625	-24.73%	0.1952	✓	1.03
2025-09-21	oos	9.628	9.2602	-3.82%	6.979	-27.51%	0.2202	✓	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	9.532	9.1538	-3.97%	7.1875	-24.60%	0.1948	✓	1.03
2025-09-19	oos	9.596	9.2072	-4.05%	7.2525	-24.42%	0.1728	✓	1.05
2025-09-18	oos	9.864	9.4886	-3.81%	7.099	-28.03%	0.1962	✓	1.06
2025-09-17	oos	9.817	9.4848	-3.38%	7.1315	-27.36%	0.1903	✓	1.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.