VTHO

VeThor · native · gru_s7

token id: #321
symbol: VTHO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-13
predictions: 3,372

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

70.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0556

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0090

actual -0.0088

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.000680015	0.000654333	-3.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-21	oos	0.000678765	0.000652902	-3.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.000643555	0.000622124	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-19	oos	0.00062431	0.000607229	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-18	oos	0.00063368	0.00061653	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.00065124	0.000633356	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-16	oos	0.00063382	0.000617678	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.00063741	0.000619544	-2.80%	0.000680015	+6.68%	0.0824	✗	0.42
2026-10-14	oos	0.00064007	0.000622826	-2.69%	0.000678765	+6.05%	0.0733	✗	0.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.000689545	0.000665306	-3.52%	0.000643555	-6.67%	0.0325	✓	0.39
2026-10-12	oos	0.00069641	0.000672844	-3.38%	0.00062431	-10.35%	0.0753	✓	0.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.000739555	0.000710474	-3.93%	0.00063368	-14.32%	0.1072	✓	0.36
2026-10-10	oos	0.00070241	0.00067452	-3.97%	0.00065124	-7.28%	0.0286	✓	0.35
2026-10-09	oos	0.00065773	0.000635329	-3.41%	0.00063382	-3.64%	0.0021	✓	0.35
2026-10-08	oos	0.000671515	0.000648924	-3.36%	0.00063741	-5.08%	0.0198	✓	0.35
2026-10-07	oos	0.000688965	0.000662485	-3.84%	0.00064007	-7.10%	0.0274	✓	0.34
2026-10-06	oos	0.00073003	0.000695136	-4.78%	0.000689545	-5.55%	0.0003	✓	0.29
2026-10-05	oos	0.000666415	0.000640795	-3.84%	0.00069641	+4.50%	0.0980	✗	0.31
2026-10-04	oos	0.00065977	0.000633674	-3.96%	0.000739555	+12.09%	0.1654	✗	0.33
2026-10-03	oos	0.00065726	0.000630388	-4.09%	0.00070241	+6.87%	0.1154	✗	0.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.0006719	0.000643739	-4.19%	0.00065773	-2.11%	0.0292	✓	0.33
2026-10-01	oos	0.00067236	0.000643238	-4.33%	0.000671515	-0.13%	0.0554	✗	0.33
2026-09-30	oos	0.000684145	0.000654364	-4.35%	0.000688965	+0.70%	0.0527	✗	0.34
2026-09-29	oos	0.00069047	0.000660099	-4.40%	0.00073003	+5.73%	0.0931	✗	0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.000709025	0.000679013	-4.23%	0.000666415	-6.01%	0.0281	✓	0.35
2026-09-27	oos	0.00075311	0.000723156	-3.98%	0.00065977	-12.39%	0.1000	✓	0.35
2026-09-26	oos	0.000795955	0.000764589	-3.94%	0.00065726	-17.42%	0.1526	✓	0.34
2026-09-25	oos	0.000798705	0.000767505	-3.91%	0.0006719	-15.88%	0.1347	✓	0.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.00075238	0.000719977	-4.31%	0.00067236	-10.64%	0.0704	✓	0.35
2026-09-23	oos	0.00071115	0.000680142	-4.36%	0.000684145	-3.80%	0.0094	✓	0.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.00070052	0.000670305	-4.31%	0.00069047	-1.43%	0.0413	✓	0.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.000695975	0.000665679	-4.35%	0.000709025	+1.88%	0.0780	✗	0.40
2026-09-20	oos	0.00066688	0.000640463	-3.96%	0.00075311	+12.93%	0.1458	✗	0.41
2026-09-19	oos	0.000711465	0.000685686	-3.62%	0.000795955	+11.88%	0.1337	✗	0.40
2026-09-18	oos	0.00071238	0.000684971	-3.85%	0.000798705	+12.12%	0.1375	✗	0.41
2026-09-17	oos	0.00067768	0.000658526	-2.83%	0.00075238	+11.02%	0.0951	✗	0.38
2026-09-16	oos	0.000689695	0.000668885	-3.02%	0.00071115	+3.11%	0.0225	✓	0.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.00074268	0.000715451	-3.67%	0.00070052	-5.68%	0.0763	✓	0.42
2026-09-14	oos	0.00063838	0.000617322	-3.30%	0.000695975	+9.02%	0.0589	✗	0.60
2026-09-13	oos	0.00078042	0.000743896	-4.68%	0.00066688	-14.55%	0.1484	✓	0.71
2026-09-12	oos	0.000666995	0.000637455	-4.43%	0.000711465	+6.67%	0.0724	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.00058528	0.000563407	-3.74%	0.00071238	+21.72%	0.1999	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.000582645	0.000549746	-5.65%	0.00067768	+16.31%	0.2111	✗	0.75
2026-09-09	oos	0.000433455	0.000433441	-0.00%	0.000689695	+59.12%	0.4920	✗	0.99
2026-09-08	oos	0.00045428	0.000451896	-0.52%	0.00074268	+63.49%	0.5337	✗	0.99
2026-09-07	oos	0.00041766	0.000424691	+1.68%	0.00063838	+52.85%	0.4195	✓	1.03
2026-09-06	oos	0.00042541	0.000435788	+2.44%	0.00078042	+83.45%	0.6286	✓	1.02
2026-09-05	oos	0.00041448	0.000430188	+3.79%	0.000666995	+60.92%	0.4718	✓	1.02
2026-09-04	oos	0.00040222	0.000423357	+5.26%	0.00058528	+45.51%	0.3549	✓	0.99
2026-09-03	oos	0.00040285	0.000429948	+6.73%	0.000582645	+44.63%	0.3640	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.000382395	0.000408684	+6.87%	0.000433455	+13.35%	0.0456	✓	1.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.00038735	0.000416073	+7.42%	0.00045428	+17.28%	0.0736	✓	1.06
2026-08-31	oos	0.000402	0.000432804	+7.66%	0.00041766	+3.90%	0.0422	✓	0.98
2026-08-30	oos	0.000395	0.00042402	+7.35%	0.00042541	+7.70%	0.0310	✓	1.01
2026-08-29	oos	0.0004105	0.000436146	+6.25%	0.00041448	+0.97%	0.0714	✗	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.0003975	0.000418753	+5.35%	0.00040222	+1.19%	0.0640	✗	1.02
2026-08-27	oos	0.000415	0.000433759	+4.52%	0.00040285	-2.93%	0.0865	✗	1.03
2026-08-26	oos	0.000403	0.000416372	+3.32%	0.000382395	-5.11%	0.0626	✗	1.02
2026-08-25	oos	0.0003725	0.000383086	+2.84%	0.00038735	+3.99%	0.0258	✓	1.02
2026-08-24	oos	0.0003775	0.000384906	+1.96%	0.000402	+6.49%	0.0488	✓	1.01
2026-08-23	oos	0.000373	0.000377225	+1.13%	0.000395	+5.90%	0.0469	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.000368	0.00037027	+0.62%	0.0004105	+11.55%	0.0878	✓	1.01
2026-08-21	oos	0.000377	0.000378793	+0.48%	0.0003975	+5.44%	0.0544	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.000353	0.000353401	+0.11%	0.000415	+17.56%	0.0649	✓	1.01
2026-08-19	oos	0.00033	0.000329387	-0.19%	0.000403	+22.12%	0.0719	✗	0.99
2026-08-18	oos	0.0003095	0.000307587	-0.62%	0.0003725	+20.36%	0.0007	✓	0.99
2026-08-17	oos	0.0003135	0.000311326	-0.69%	0.0003775	+20.41%	0.0089	✓	0.99
2026-08-16	oos	0.0003135	0.00031057	-0.93%	0.000373	+18.98%	0.0330	✓	1.02
2026-08-15	oos	0.0003195	0.000316373	-0.98%	0.000368	+15.18%	0.0529	✓	1.01
2026-08-14	oos	0.000316	0.000313136	-0.91%	0.000377	+19.30%	0.0361	✓	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	0.000323	0.000319594	-1.05%	0.000353	+9.29%	0.0437	✓	1.02
2026-08-12	oos	0.0003205	0.000317551	-0.92%	0.00033	+2.96%	0.0539	✓	1.04
2026-08-11	oos	0.0003265	0.000323114	-1.04%	0.0003095	-5.21%	0.0613	✓	1.02
2026-08-10	oos	0.000336	0.000332015	-1.19%	0.0003135	-6.70%	0.0663	✓	1.01
2026-08-09	oos	0.0003425	0.00033823	-1.25%	0.0003135	-8.47%	0.0436	✓	1.03
2026-08-08	oos	0.000342	0.00033744	-1.33%	0.0003195	-6.58%	0.0244	✓	1.02
2026-08-07	oos	0.0003325	0.000329081	-1.03%	0.000316	-4.96%	0.0095	✓	1.04
2026-08-06	oos	0.0003325	0.000328602	-1.17%	0.000323	-2.86%	0.0035	✓	1.04
2026-08-05	oos	0.0003305	0.000327189	-1.00%	0.0003205	-3.03%	0.0013	✓	1.04
2026-08-04	oos	0.000329	0.000325385	-1.10%	0.0003265	-0.76%	0.0118	✗	1.03
2026-08-03	oos	0.00033	0.000326001	-1.21%	0.000336	+1.82%	0.0229	✗	1.04
2026-08-02	oos	0.000333	0.000329141	-1.16%	0.0003425	+2.85%	0.0176	✗	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.0003305	0.000326785	-1.12%	0.000342	+3.48%	0.0104	✓	1.05
2026-07-31	oos	0.0003335	0.000329934	-1.07%	0.0003325	-0.30%	0.0261	✓	1.05
2026-07-30	oos	0.000333	0.000330318	-0.81%	0.0003325	-0.15%	0.0142	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.0003275	0.000324648	-0.87%	0.0003305	+0.92%	0.0062	✓	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.00034	0.000336782	-0.95%	0.000329	-3.24%	0.0267	✓	1.06
2026-07-27	oos	0.0003425	0.000338774	-1.09%	0.00033	-3.65%	0.0224	✓	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.000363	0.000360102	-0.80%	0.000333	-8.26%	0.0487	✓	1.03
2026-07-25	oos	0.0003595	0.000355908	-1.00%	0.0003305	-8.07%	0.0492	✓	1.03
2026-07-24	oos	0.0003575	0.000354152	-0.94%	0.0003335	-6.71%	0.0397	✓	1.03
2026-07-23	oos	0.0003615	0.00035881	-0.74%	0.000333	-7.88%	0.0694	✓	1.03
2026-07-22	oos	0.0003655	0.000364514	-0.27%	0.0003275	-10.40%	0.0724	✓	1.03
2026-07-21	oos	0.0003705	0.000369437	-0.29%	0.00034	-8.23%	0.0410	✓	1.03
2026-07-20	oos	0.000367	0.000365065	-0.53%	0.0003425	-6.68%	0.0399	✓	1.01
2026-07-19	oos	0.0003685	0.000365929	-0.70%	0.000363	-1.49%	0.0183	✓	1.01
2026-07-18	oos	0.0003755	0.00037174	-1.00%	0.0003595	-4.26%	0.0256	✓	1.02
2026-07-17	oos	0.0003655	0.00036315	-0.64%	0.0003575	-2.19%	0.0187	✓	1.01
2026-07-16	oos	0.0003675	0.000364878	-0.71%	0.0003615	-1.63%	0.0296	✓	1.02
2026-07-15	oos	0.0003755	0.000373453	-0.55%	0.0003655	-2.66%	0.0429	✓	1.02
2026-07-14	oos	0.000372	0.000370727	-0.34%	0.0003705	-0.40%	0.0244	✓	1.03
2026-07-13	oos	0.0003645	0.000361025	-0.95%	0.000367	+0.69%	0.0327	✓	1.06
2026-07-12	oos	0.000365	0.000362732	-0.62%	0.0003685	+0.96%	0.0001	✓	1.08
2026-07-11	oos	0.0003705	0.000367761	-0.74%	0.0003755	+1.35%	0.0040	✓	1.05
2026-07-10	oos	0.0003675	0.000365123	-0.65%	0.0003655	-0.54%	0.0048	✓	1.04
2026-07-09	oos	0.000364	0.000361158	-0.78%	0.0003675	+0.96%	0.0076	✓	1.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.0003625	0.000359439	-0.84%	0.0003755	+3.59%	0.0030	✓	1.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.0003655	0.000363395	-0.58%	0.000372	+1.78%	0.0039	✓	1.05
2026-07-06	oos	0.00038	0.000377441	-0.67%	0.0003645	-4.08%	0.0061	✓	1.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.0003735	0.000371113	-0.64%	0.000365	-2.28%	0.0192	✓	1.03
2026-07-04	oos	0.0003785	0.000375021	-0.92%	0.0003705	-2.11%	0.0234	✓	1.04
2026-07-03	oos	0.000376	0.000373012	-0.79%	0.0003675	-2.26%	0.0408	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.0003655	0.000362606	-0.79%	0.000364	-0.41%	0.0236	✓	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.000361	0.000357739	-0.90%	0.0003625	+0.42%	0.0247	✓	1.02
2026-06-30	oos	0.00035	0.000347361	-0.75%	0.0003655	+4.43%	0.0277	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.0003615	0.000359343	-0.60%	0.00038	+5.12%	0.0057	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.0003595	0.000357307	-0.61%	0.0003735	+3.89%	0.0222	✓	0.99
2026-06-27	oos	0.0003595	0.000357762	-0.48%	0.0003785	+5.29%	0.0054	✗	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.000363	0.000361366	-0.45%	0.000376	+3.58%	0.0012	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.000356	0.000354963	-0.29%	0.0003655	+2.67%	0.0001	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.0003665	0.00036549	-0.28%	0.000361	-1.50%	0.0041	✗	0.97
2026-06-23	oos	0.0003755	0.000374539	-0.26%	0.00035	-6.79%	0.0001	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.0003905	0.000388881	-0.41%	0.0003615	-7.43%	0.0133	✓	0.98
2026-06-21	oos	0.0003855	0.000383935	-0.41%	0.0003595	-6.74%	0.0060	✓	0.97
2026-06-20	oos	0.000395	0.000392863	-0.54%	0.0003595	-8.99%	0.0229	✓	0.95
2026-06-19	oos	0.000388	0.000386029	-0.51%	0.000363	-6.44%	0.0081	✓	0.95
2026-06-18	oos	0.0003905	0.000388058	-0.63%	0.000356	-8.83%	0.0370	✓	0.95
2026-06-17	oos	0.000406	0.0004023	-0.91%	0.0003665	-9.73%	0.0409	✓	0.95
2026-06-16	oos	0.0004075	0.000403432	-1.00%	0.0003755	-7.85%	0.0273	✓	0.96
2026-06-15	oos	0.0004125	0.000407536	-1.20%	0.0003905	-5.33%	0.0083	✓	0.96
2026-06-14	oos	0.000405	0.000400491	-1.11%	0.0003855	-4.81%	0.0017	✓	0.95
2026-06-13	oos	0.0004005	0.000396272	-1.06%	0.000395	-1.37%	0.0001	✓	0.97
2026-06-12	oos	0.0003925	0.000388841	-0.93%	0.000388	-1.15%	0.0012	✓	0.97
2026-06-11	oos	0.000398	0.000393608	-1.10%	0.0003905	-1.88%	0.0025	✓	0.96
2026-06-10	oos	0.0003835	0.000380826	-0.70%	0.000406	+5.87%	0.0185	✗	0.96
2026-06-09	oos	0.0003925	0.000390094	-0.61%	0.0004075	+3.82%	0.0153	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	0.000399	0.00039736	-0.41%	0.0004125	+3.38%	0.0103	✓	0.96
2026-06-07	oos	0.0004	0.000398934	-0.27%	0.000405	+1.25%	0.0206	✓	0.96
2026-06-06	oos	0.000396	0.000397987	+0.50%	0.0004005	+1.14%	0.0494	✗	0.97
2026-06-05	oos	0.0004	0.000402221	+0.56%	0.0003925	-1.88%	0.0636	✗	0.97
2026-06-04	oos	0.000438	0.000436894	-0.25%	0.000398	-9.13%	0.0898	✓	0.92
2026-06-03	oos	0.00046	0.000458028	-0.43%	0.0003835	-16.63%	0.1410	✓	0.89
2026-06-02	oos	0.000453	0.000449185	-0.84%	0.0003925	-13.36%	0.0617	✓	0.94
2026-06-01	oos	0.000496	0.000486937	-1.83%	0.000399	-19.56%	0.0958	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	0.0005175	0.000502883	-2.82%	0.0004	-22.71%	0.1044	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.000565	0.000536599	-5.03%	0.000396	-29.91%	0.1556	✓	0.77
2026-05-29	oos	0.000478	0.000469712	-1.73%	0.0004	-16.32%	0.0233	✓	0.75
2026-05-28	oos	0.0004765	0.000469494	-1.47%	0.000438	-8.08%	0.0362	✗	0.75
2026-05-27	oos	0.000489	0.000481724	-1.49%	0.00046	-5.93%	0.0613	✗	0.72
2026-05-26	oos	0.000497	0.000489617	-1.49%	0.000453	-8.85%	0.0159	✗	0.73
2026-05-25	oos	0.0005055	0.00049866	-1.35%	0.000496	-1.88%	0.0538	✗	0.74
2026-05-24	oos	0.000507	0.000501078	-1.17%	0.0005175	+2.07%	0.0662	✗	0.75
2026-05-23	oos	0.0005215	0.000513978	-1.44%	0.000565	+8.34%	0.1222	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.000509	0.000504019	-0.98%	0.000478	-6.09%	0.0333	✓	0.71
2026-05-21	oos	0.0005305	0.000524505	-1.13%	0.0004765	-10.18%	0.0589	✓	0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.0005185	0.000514192	-0.83%	0.000489	-5.69%	0.0213	✓	0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.0005145	0.000511015	-0.68%	0.000497	-3.40%	0.0193	✓	0.69
2026-05-18	oos	0.000521	0.000517481	-0.68%	0.0005055	-2.98%	0.0262	✓	0.69
2026-05-17	oos	0.000522	0.000519004	-0.57%	0.000507	-2.87%	0.0195	✓	0.70
2026-05-16	oos	0.0005355	0.000531852	-0.68%	0.0005215	-2.61%	0.0066	✓	0.69
2026-05-15	oos	0.0005475	0.00054324	-0.78%	0.000509	-7.03%	0.0324	✓	0.70
2026-05-14	oos	0.000581	0.000573561	-1.28%	0.0005305	-8.69%	0.0478	✓	0.68
2026-05-13	oos	0.0005865	0.000581268	-0.89%	0.0005185	-11.59%	0.0982	✓	0.69
2026-05-12	oos	0.0006	0.000595539	-0.74%	0.0005145	-14.25%	0.1151	✓	0.66
2026-05-11	oos	0.000627	0.000622226	-0.76%	0.000521	-16.91%	0.1390	✓	0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.000621	0.000618003	-0.48%	0.000522	-15.94%	0.1297	✓	0.65
2026-05-09	oos	0.000598	0.000596735	-0.21%	0.0005355	-10.45%	0.0877	✓	0.64
2026-05-08	oos	0.000603	0.000601704	-0.21%	0.0005475	-9.20%	0.0855	✓	0.63
2026-05-07	oos	0.000597	0.000596331	-0.11%	0.000581	-2.68%	0.0344	✓	0.63
2026-05-06	oos	0.0006015	0.000602747	+0.21%	0.0005865	-2.49%	0.0079	✗	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.0005865	0.000588664	+0.37%	0.0006	+2.30%	0.0236	✓	0.87
2026-05-04	oos	0.000566	0.000568647	+0.47%	0.000627	+10.78%	0.0778	✓	0.86
2026-05-03	oos	0.000567	0.000568107	+0.20%	0.000621	+9.52%	0.0507	✓	0.85
2026-05-02	oos	0.000569	0.000570447	+0.25%	0.000598	+5.10%	0.0261	✓	0.85
2026-05-01	oos	0.000563	0.000565261	+0.40%	0.000603	+7.10%	0.0437	✓	0.85
2026-04-30	oos	0.0005615	0.000561999	+0.09%	0.000597	+6.32%	0.0195	✓	0.86
2026-04-29	oos	0.000569	0.000568217	-0.14%	0.0006015	+5.71%	0.0058	✓	0.87
2026-04-28	oos	0.000576	0.000575249	-0.13%	0.0005865	+1.82%	0.0317	✓	0.87
2026-04-27	oos	0.0005795	0.000579799	+0.05%	0.000566	-2.33%	0.0518	✗	0.87
2026-04-26	oos	0.0005865	0.000588203	+0.29%	0.000567	-3.32%	0.0354	✗	0.87
2026-04-25	oos	0.0005835	0.000584174	+0.12%	0.000569	-2.49%	0.0379	✗	0.88
2026-04-24	oos	0.0005835	0.00058437	+0.15%	0.000563	-3.51%	0.0460	✗	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.0005775	0.000580104	+0.45%	0.0005615	-2.77%	0.0100	✗	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.0005745	0.0005771	+0.45%	0.000569	-0.96%	0.0140	✓	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.0005755	0.000575096	-0.07%	0.000576	+0.09%	0.0019	✗	0.89
2026-04-20	oos	0.0005795	0.00057826	-0.21%	0.0005795	+0.00%	0.0153	✓	0.89
2026-04-19	oos	0.000563	0.000559795	-0.57%	0.0005865	+4.17%	0.0107	✓	0.90
2026-04-18	oos	0.000583	0.000580723	-0.39%	0.0005835	+0.09%	0.0177	✓	0.90
2026-04-17	oos	0.000605	0.000602361	-0.44%	0.0005835	-3.55%	0.0361	✓	0.90
2026-04-16	oos	0.000593	0.000588357	-0.78%	0.0005775	-2.61%	0.0552	✓	0.90
2026-04-15	oos	0.0005735	0.00056974	-0.66%	0.0005745	+0.17%	0.0313	✓	0.90
2026-04-14	oos	0.000562	0.000558067	-0.70%	0.0005755	+2.40%	0.0049	✓	0.90
2026-04-13	oos	0.000572	0.000567346	-0.81%	0.0005795	+1.31%	0.0043	✓	0.90
2026-04-12	oos	0.0005525	0.000545311	-1.30%	0.000563	+1.90%	0.0067	✓	0.91
2026-04-11	oos	0.000564	0.000557945	-1.07%	0.000583	+3.37%	0.0114	✗	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.0005665	0.00055986	-1.17%	0.000605	+6.80%	0.0278	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.000561	0.000553452	-1.35%	0.000593	+5.70%	0.0273	✗	0.91
2026-04-08	oos	0.0005535	0.000545767	-1.40%	0.0005735	+3.61%	0.0027	✓	0.91
2026-04-07	oos	0.0005615	0.000553198	-1.48%	0.000562	+0.09%	0.0125	✓	0.91
2026-04-06	oos	0.000542	0.000533444	-1.58%	0.000572	+5.54%	0.0018	✓	0.92
2026-04-05	oos	0.0005425	0.000533844	-1.60%	0.0005525	+1.84%	0.0114	✓	0.92
2026-04-04	oos	0.0005435	0.000533748	-1.79%	0.000564	+3.77%	0.0214	✓	0.93
2026-04-03	oos	0.000546	0.000535054	-2.00%	0.0005665	+3.75%	0.0234	✓	0.93
2026-04-02	oos	0.000544	0.000528842	-2.79%	0.000561	+3.12%	0.0068	✓	0.93
2026-04-01	oos	0.0005415	0.00053343	-1.49%	0.0005535	+2.22%	0.0031	✓	0.94
2026-03-31	oos	0.000535	0.000528275	-1.26%	0.0005615	+4.95%	0.0112	✓	0.95
2026-03-30	oos	0.000527	0.000521454	-1.05%	0.000542	+2.85%	0.0090	✓	0.95
2026-03-29	oos	0.0005265	0.000521389	-0.97%	0.0005425	+3.04%	0.0032	✓	0.95
2026-03-28	oos	0.000537	0.000531966	-0.94%	0.0005435	+1.21%	0.0076	✓	0.95
2026-03-27	oos	0.0005385	0.000534424	-0.76%	0.000546	+1.39%	0.0128	✗	0.95
2026-03-26	oos	0.0005515	0.000548735	-0.50%	0.000544	-1.36%	0.0177	✗	0.95
2026-03-25	oos	0.0005845	0.000582218	-0.39%	0.0005415	-7.36%	0.0293	✓	0.94
2026-03-24	oos	0.000599	0.000595924	-0.51%	0.000535	-10.68%	0.0762	✓	0.95
2026-03-23	oos	0.000595	0.000593329	-0.28%	0.000527	-11.43%	0.0615	✓	0.95
2026-03-22	oos	0.0005815	0.000578178	-0.57%	0.0005265	-9.46%	0.0664	✓	0.97
2026-03-21	oos	0.0005925	0.000589763	-0.46%	0.000537	-9.37%	0.0567	✓	0.97
2026-03-20	oos	0.000604	0.000602643	-0.22%	0.0005385	-10.84%	0.0533	✓	0.98
2026-03-19	oos	0.0005865	0.000586154	-0.06%	0.0005515	-5.97%	0.0448	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.000604	0.000603979	-0.00%	0.0005845	-3.23%	0.0336	✓	0.99
2026-03-17	oos	0.00063	0.000630363	+0.06%	0.000599	-4.92%	0.0045	✗	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.000622	0.000623088	+0.17%	0.000595	-4.34%	0.0088	✓	1.00
2026-03-15	oos	0.0005975	0.000598419	+0.15%	0.0005815	-2.68%	0.0411	✓	0.98
2026-03-14	oos	0.0005835	0.000584064	+0.10%	0.0005925	+1.54%	0.0472	✓	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.0005885	0.000587949	-0.09%	0.000604	+2.63%	0.0332	✗	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.000591	0.000589204	-0.30%	0.0005865	-0.76%	0.0041	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.0005915	0.000586975	-0.77%	0.000604	+2.11%	0.0141	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.0005835	0.000584464	+0.17%	0.00063	+7.97%	0.0207	✓	0.98
2026-03-09	oos	0.000575	0.000575346	+0.06%	0.000622	+8.17%	0.0110	✗	0.99
2026-03-08	oos	0.000563	0.000562477	-0.09%	0.0005975	+6.13%	0.0388	✓	1.00
2026-03-07	oos	0.000572	0.000572167	+0.03%	0.0005835	+2.01%	0.0381	✗	1.01
2026-03-06	oos	0.000579	0.000579245	+0.04%	0.0005885	+1.64%	0.0250	✗	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000587	0.000588185	+0.20%	0.000591	+0.68%	0.0099	✓	1.02
2026-03-04	oos	0.000602	0.00060289	+0.15%	0.0005915	-1.74%	0.0160	✓	1.01
2026-03-03	oos	0.000588	0.000587749	-0.04%	0.0005835	-0.77%	0.0319	✓	1.05
2026-03-02	oos	0.000594	0.000593166	-0.14%	0.000575	-3.20%	0.0251	✓	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.000597	0.000593561	-0.58%	0.000563	-5.70%	0.0561	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.000602	0.000598482	-0.58%	0.000572	-4.98%	0.0500	✓	1.08
2026-02-27	oos	0.000598	0.000593939	-0.68%	0.000579	-3.18%	0.0619	✓	1.08
2026-02-26	oos	0.000594	0.000590791	-0.54%	0.000587	-1.18%	0.0601	✓	1.09
2026-02-25	oos	0.000609	0.000604178	-0.79%	0.000602	-1.15%	0.0765	✓	1.09
2026-02-24	oos	0.0005795	0.00057449	-0.86%	0.000588	+1.47%	0.0482	✓	1.11
2026-02-23	oos	0.000611	0.000602543	-1.38%	0.000594	-2.78%	0.0826	✓	1.08
2026-02-22	oos	0.000615	0.000604523	-1.70%	0.000597	-2.93%	0.0182	✗	1.11
2026-02-21	oos	0.0005905	0.000588086	-0.41%	0.000602	+1.95%	0.0398	✗	1.12
2026-02-20	oos	0.000599	0.000595605	-0.57%	0.000598	-0.17%	0.0393	✗	1.11
2026-02-19	oos	0.0005915	0.000587808	-0.62%	0.000594	+0.42%	0.0019	✓	1.11
2026-02-18	oos	0.000598	0.000593308	-0.78%	0.000609	+1.84%	0.0001	✓	1.12
2026-02-17	oos	0.0006095	0.000603644	-0.96%	0.0005795	-4.92%	0.0156	✗	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.000623	0.000615775	-1.16%	0.000611	-1.93%	0.0615	✗	1.09
2026-02-15	oos	0.0006145	0.000606944	-1.23%	0.000615	+0.08%	0.0320	✗	1.09
2026-02-14	oos	0.000638	0.000627266	-1.68%	0.0005905	-7.45%	0.0313	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.0006215	0.000610557	-1.76%	0.000599	-3.62%	0.0059	✓	1.09
2026-02-12	oos	0.000604	0.000589368	-2.42%	0.0005915	-2.07%	0.0090	✓	1.10
2026-02-11	oos	0.000556	0.000555342	-0.12%	0.000598	+7.55%	0.0840	✗	1.10
2026-02-10	oos	0.0005605	0.000559624	-0.16%	0.0006095	+8.74%	0.1071	✗	1.11
2026-02-09	oos	0.0005805	0.000578997	-0.26%	0.000623	+7.32%	0.0930	✗	1.10
2026-02-08	oos	0.0005805	0.000579923	-0.10%	0.0006145	+5.86%	0.0814	✗	1.10
2026-02-07	oos	0.000605	0.00060397	-0.17%	0.000638	+5.45%	0.0462	✗	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.000611	0.000609097	-0.31%	0.0006215	+1.72%	0.0474	✗	1.11
2026-02-05	oos	0.000542	0.000556785	+2.73%	0.000604	+11.44%	0.0221	✓	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.0006525	0.000649442	-0.47%	0.000556	-14.79%	0.0581	✓	1.14
2026-02-03	oos	0.000667	0.000660775	-0.93%	0.0005605	-15.97%	0.0572	✓	1.13
2026-02-02	oos	0.0006695	0.000663518	-0.89%	0.0005805	-13.29%	0.0032	✓	1.19
2026-02-01	oos	0.000647	0.000646246	-0.12%	0.0005805	-10.28%	0.0044	✓	1.14
2026-01-31	oos	0.000653	0.000652117	-0.14%	0.000605	-7.35%	0.0764	✗	1.19
2026-01-30	oos	0.0007045	0.000699557	-0.70%	0.000611	-13.27%	0.0748	✗	1.19
2026-01-29	oos	0.0007105	0.000705465	-0.71%	0.000542	-23.72%	0.0910	✗	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0007555	0.000751422	-0.54%	0.0006525	-13.63%	0.0964	✗	1.19
2026-01-27	oos	0.000766	0.000761816	-0.55%	0.000667	-12.92%	0.0635	✗	1.20
2026-01-26	oos	0.0007715	0.000765624	-0.76%	0.0006695	-13.22%	0.0034	✓	1.20
2026-01-25	oos	0.0007515	0.000745178	-0.84%	0.000647	-13.91%	0.0003	✓	1.20
2026-01-24	oos	0.000783	0.000777585	-0.69%	0.000653	-16.60%	0.0260	✓	1.19
2026-01-23	oos	0.000777	0.000772528	-0.58%	0.0007045	-9.33%	0.0172	✓	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.000761	0.000757401	-0.47%	0.0007105	-6.64%	0.0049	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0007765	0.00077171	-0.62%	0.0007555	-2.70%	0.0185	✓	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.00076	0.00075481	-0.68%	0.000766	+0.79%	0.0038	✓	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.0008115	0.000807957	-0.44%	0.0007715	-4.93%	0.0111	✗	1.20
2026-01-18	oos	0.000831	0.000827283	-0.45%	0.0007515	-9.57%	0.0023	✓	1.19
2026-01-17	oos	0.0008725	0.000868512	-0.46%	0.000783	-10.26%	0.0269	✓	1.17
2026-01-16	oos	0.000869	0.000865463	-0.41%	0.000777	-10.59%	0.0303	✓	1.19
2026-01-15	oos	0.000851	0.000848129	-0.34%	0.000761	-10.58%	0.0296	✓	1.19
2026-01-14	oos	0.0008665	0.000863941	-0.30%	0.0007765	-10.39%	0.0094	✓	1.19
2026-01-13	oos	0.0008615	0.000856856	-0.54%	0.00076	-11.78%	0.0275	✓	1.20
2026-01-12	oos	0.000816	0.000808661	-0.90%	0.0008115	-0.55%	0.0145	✓	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0008315	0.000822178	-1.12%	0.000831	-0.06%	0.0256	✓	1.21
2026-01-10	oos	0.0008425	0.000831498	-1.31%	0.0008725	+3.56%	0.0144	✓	1.22
2026-01-09	oos	0.0008495	0.000837546	-1.41%	0.000869	+2.30%	0.0317	✓	1.28
2026-01-08	oos	0.000858	0.000845351	-1.47%	0.000851	-0.82%	0.0574	✓	1.31
2026-01-07	oos	0.000829	0.000820219	-1.06%	0.0008665	+4.52%	0.0342	✓	1.48
2026-01-06	oos	0.000867	0.000856835	-1.17%	0.0008615	-0.63%	0.0205	✓	1.48
2026-01-05	oos	0.000862	0.000851591	-1.21%	0.000816	-5.34%	0.0001	✓	1.47
2026-01-04	oos	0.000837	0.000825226	-1.41%	0.0008315	-0.66%	0.0177	✗	1.48
2026-01-03	oos	0.000803	0.000792376	-1.32%	0.0008425	+4.92%	0.0650	✗	1.47
2026-01-02	oos	0.000814	0.000798928	-1.85%	0.0008495	+4.36%	0.0523	✗	1.47
2026-01-01	oos	0.000795	0.000780295	-1.85%	0.000858	+7.92%	0.0575	✗	1.47
2025-12-31	oos	0.0007505	0.000741773	-1.16%	0.000829	+10.46%	0.0501	✗	1.44
2025-12-30	oos	0.000773	0.000762796	-1.32%	0.000867	+12.16%	0.0436	✗	1.44
2025-12-29	oos	0.000767	0.000756033	-1.43%	0.000862	+12.39%	0.0234	✗	1.44
2025-12-28	oos	0.000788	0.000777428	-1.34%	0.000837	+6.22%	0.0157	✗	1.44
2025-12-27	oos	0.000785	0.000775895	-1.16%	0.000803	+2.29%	0.0101	✓	1.42
2025-12-26	oos	0.00078	0.000770785	-1.18%	0.000814	+4.36%	0.0121	✗	1.41
2025-12-25	oos	0.0008	0.000789923	-1.26%	0.000795	-0.63%	0.0188	✓	1.42
2025-12-24	oos	0.000826	0.000812357	-1.65%	0.0007505	-9.14%	0.0774	✓	1.42
2025-12-23	oos	0.000861	0.000844398	-1.93%	0.000773	-10.22%	0.1041	✓	1.43
2025-12-22	oos	0.000933	0.000904503	-3.05%	0.000767	-17.79%	0.1417	✓	1.41
2025-12-21	oos	0.00094	0.000897217	-4.55%	0.000788	-16.17%	0.1176	✓	1.41
2025-12-20	oos	0.0008195	0.00081387	-0.69%	0.000785	-4.21%	0.0279	✓	1.41
2025-12-19	oos	0.000822	0.000816615	-0.66%	0.00078	-5.11%	0.0331	✓	1.41
2025-12-18	oos	0.000768	0.00076559	-0.31%	0.0008	+4.17%	0.0165	✗	1.38
2025-12-17	oos	0.000802	0.000798424	-0.45%	0.000826	+2.99%	0.0117	✗	1.38
2025-12-16	oos	0.000842	0.00083723	-0.57%	0.000861	+2.26%	0.0347	✗	1.38
2025-12-15	oos	0.000864	0.000857086	-0.80%	0.000933	+7.99%	0.0507	✗	1.40
2025-12-14	oos	0.000922	0.000912523	-1.03%	0.00094	+1.95%	0.0223	✗	1.38
2025-12-13	oos	0.000947	0.000937116	-1.04%	0.0008195	-13.46%	0.1041	✓	1.39
2025-12-12	oos	0.000941	0.000931605	-1.00%	0.000822	-12.65%	0.0912	✓	1.39
2025-12-11	oos	0.00094	0.000932228	-0.83%	0.000768	-18.30%	0.0817	✓	1.41
2025-12-10	oos	0.000957	0.00094787	-0.95%	0.000802	-16.20%	0.0747	✓	1.41
2025-12-09	oos	0.000999	0.000987447	-1.16%	0.000842	-15.72%	0.0838	✓	1.41
2025-12-08	oos	0.000949	0.000938706	-1.08%	0.000864	-8.96%	0.0166	✓	1.39
2025-12-07	oos	0.0009315	0.000922205	-1.00%	0.000922	-1.02%	0.0343	✗	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.000945	0.000934624	-1.10%	0.000947	+0.21%	0.0022	✓	1.39
2025-12-05	oos	0.0009455	0.000935456	-1.06%	0.000941	-0.48%	0.0086	✓	1.39
2025-12-04	oos	0.0009705	0.000961481	-0.93%	0.00094	-3.14%	0.0294	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.000997	0.000987986	-0.90%	0.000957	-4.01%	0.0103	✓	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.000997	0.000987614	-0.94%	0.000999	+0.20%	0.0100	✓	1.43
2025-12-01	oos	0.000938	0.000929572	-0.90%	0.000949	+1.17%	0.0510	✓	1.45
2025-11-30	oos	0.0009965	0.000987102	-0.94%	0.0009315	-6.52%	0.0585	✓	1.46
2025-11-29	oos	0.001011	0.001001	-0.99%	0.000945	-6.53%	0.0324	✓	1.45
2025-11-28	oos	0.001032	0.00102	-1.08%	0.0009455	-8.34%	0.0511	✓	1.45
2025-11-27	oos	0.00104	0.001029	-1.15%	0.0009705	-6.73%	0.0704	✓	1.45
2025-11-26	oos	0.001007	0.000997053	-1.04%	0.000997	-1.04%	0.0464	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.001012	0.001	-1.22%	0.000997	-1.53%	0.0694	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.001017	0.001004	-1.29%	0.000938	-7.77%	0.0340	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.000955	0.00094701	-0.84%	0.0009965	+4.35%	0.0084	✓	1.47
2025-11-22	oos	0.000959	0.000950899	-0.84%	0.001011	+5.42%	0.0450	✓	1.52
2025-11-21	oos	0.000963	0.000954516	-0.88%	0.001032	+7.11%	0.0229	✓	1.51
2025-11-20	oos	0.001002	0.000989652	-1.28%	0.00104	+3.79%	0.0308	✓	1.50
2025-11-19	oos	0.001028	0.001016	-1.17%	0.001007	-2.04%	0.0086	✓	1.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.001043	0.001031	-1.22%	0.001012	-2.97%	0.0819	✗	1.61
2025-11-17	oos	0.001015	0.001004	-1.12%	0.001017	+0.15%	0.0815	✗	1.62
2025-11-16	oos	0.001058	0.001044	-1.37%	0.000955	-9.78%	0.0424	✗	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	0.001091	0.001076	-1.40%	0.000959	-12.10%	0.0796	✗	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	0.00108	0.001065	-1.41%	0.000963	-10.83%	0.0692	✗	1.61
2025-11-13	oos	0.001128	0.001107	-1.82%	0.001002	-11.13%	0.1371	✗	1.68
2025-11-12	oos	0.00116	0.00114	-1.75%	0.001028	-11.34%	0.0749	✗	1.68
2025-11-11	oos	0.001171	0.001147	-2.01%	0.001043	-10.89%	0.0788	✗	1.68
2025-11-10	oos	0.001192	0.001173	-1.57%	0.001015	-14.81%	0.0914	✗	1.68
2025-11-09	oos	0.001195	0.001173	-1.85%	0.001058	-11.42%	0.0776	✗	1.70
2025-11-08	oos	0.001185	0.001159	-2.16%	0.001091	-7.93%	0.0571	✗	1.73
2025-11-07	oos	0.001216	0.00118	-2.97%	0.00108	-11.18%	0.0620	✗	1.69
2025-11-06	oos	0.00105	0.00103	-1.87%	0.001128	+7.43%	0.1176	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.001031	0.001018	-1.28%	0.00116	+12.51%	0.1668	✗	1.66
2025-11-04	oos	0.0009715	0.00096292	-0.88%	0.001171	+20.54%	0.1707	✗	1.66
2025-11-03	oos	0.000993	0.000986168	-0.69%	0.001192	+20.04%	0.1991	✗	1.75
2025-11-02	oos	0.001089	0.001082	-0.73%	0.001195	+9.68%	0.1938	✗	1.73
2025-11-01	oos	0.001109	0.001101	-0.74%	0.001185	+6.85%	0.2009	✗	1.74
2025-10-31	oos	0.001103	0.001096	-0.65%	0.001216	+10.24%	0.2068	✗	1.74
2025-10-30	oos	0.001123	0.001114	-0.85%	0.00105	-6.54%	0.0586	✗	1.76
2025-10-29	oos	0.001184	0.001173	-0.90%	0.001031	-12.92%	0.0293	✓	1.74
2025-10-28	oos	0.001206	0.001197	-0.75%	0.0009715	-19.44%	0.0204	✓	1.76
2025-10-27	oos	0.001233	0.001223	-0.78%	0.000993	-19.46%	0.0882	✓	1.76
2025-10-26	oos	0.001275	0.001262	-1.06%	0.001089	-14.58%	0.0842	✓	1.76
2025-10-25	oos	0.001209	0.001197	-0.98%	0.001109	-8.27%	0.0508	✓	1.77
2025-10-24	oos	0.001216	0.001203	-1.13%	0.001103	-9.33%	0.0628	✓	1.77
2025-10-23	oos	0.001211	0.001197	-1.18%	0.001123	-7.23%	0.0338	✓	1.77
2025-10-22	oos	0.001181	0.001167	-1.16%	0.001184	+0.25%	0.0257	✓	1.77
2025-10-21	oos	0.00123	0.001214	-1.33%	0.001206	-1.95%	0.0790	✓	1.77
2025-10-20	oos	0.001249	0.001231	-1.41%	0.001233	-1.28%	0.0552	✓	1.80
2025-10-19	oos	0.001254	0.001234	-1.63%	0.001275	+1.71%	0.0601	✓	1.78
2025-10-18	oos	0.001188	0.001176	-1.00%	0.001209	+1.77%	0.0442	✓	1.76
2025-10-17	oos	0.001172	0.001163	-0.75%	0.001216	+3.80%	0.0290	✓	1.75
2025-10-16	oos	0.001205	0.001196	-0.74%	0.001211	+0.50%	0.0185	✓	1.76
2025-10-15	oos	0.001244	0.001234	-0.77%	0.001181	-5.06%	0.0077	✓	1.76
2025-10-14	oos	0.001297	0.001285	-0.91%	0.00123	-5.17%	0.0309	✗	1.76
2025-10-13	oos	0.001346	0.001332	-1.02%	0.001249	-7.21%	0.0088	✓	1.76
2025-10-12	oos	0.001277	0.00127	-0.53%	0.001254	-1.76%	0.0862	✗	1.73
2025-10-11	oos	0.001161	0.001158	-0.24%	0.001188	+2.33%	0.0801	✗	1.67
2025-10-10	oos	0.001273	0.001267	-0.47%	0.001172	-7.93%	0.0192	✗	1.63
2025-10-09	oos	0.001552	0.001546	-0.36%	0.001205	-22.36%	0.0874	✓	1.38
2025-10-08	oos	0.0016	0.001597	-0.22%	0.001244	-22.27%	0.1042	✓	1.36
2025-10-07	oos	0.001596	0.001588	-0.52%	0.001297	-18.73%	0.1054	✓	1.36
2025-10-06	oos	0.001682	0.001675	-0.36%	0.001346	-19.95%	0.1114	✓	1.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.001629	0.001623	-0.35%	0.001277	-21.64%	0.1440	✓	1.36
2025-10-04	oos	0.001643	0.001635	-0.46%	0.001161	-29.32%	0.2055	✓	1.36
2025-10-03	oos	0.001683	0.001673	-0.61%	0.001273	-24.36%	0.1647	✓	1.37
2025-10-02	oos	0.001687	0.00167	-1.01%	0.001552	-8.03%	0.0859	✓	1.38
2025-10-01	oos	0.001652	0.001639	-0.80%	0.0016	-3.12%	0.0774	✓	1.39
2025-09-30	oos	0.001575	0.001562	-0.79%	0.001596	+1.33%	0.0657	✓	1.40
2025-09-29	oos	0.00161	0.001595	-0.90%	0.001682	+4.44%	0.0711	✓	1.43
2025-09-28	oos	0.00163	0.001611	-1.15%	0.001629	-0.06%	0.1307	✓	1.47
2025-09-27	oos	0.001605	0.001586	-1.14%	0.001643	+2.37%	0.1304	✓	1.50
2025-09-26	oos	0.001628	0.001608	-1.23%	0.001683	+3.38%	0.1185	✓	1.51
2025-09-25	oos	0.001575	0.001557	-1.15%	0.001687	+7.14%	0.0714	✓	1.50
2025-09-24	oos	0.001677	0.001657	-1.24%	0.001652	-1.52%	0.0715	✓	1.50
2025-09-23	oos	0.001676	0.001654	-1.32%	0.001575	-6.03%	0.0763	✓	1.51
2025-09-22	oos	0.00168	0.001658	-1.36%	0.00161	-4.20%	0.0505	✓	1.49
2025-09-21	oos	0.001798	0.001774	-1.38%	0.00163	-9.37%	0.0451	✓	1.45
2025-09-20	oos	0.001816	0.001791	-1.39%	0.001605	-11.65%	0.0287	✓	1.50
2025-09-19	oos	0.001817	0.001791	-1.45%	0.001628	-10.40%	0.0142	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.001881	0.001853	-1.49%	0.001575	-16.29%	0.0541	✓	1.52

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.