TROLLSOL

? · · gru_s7

token id: #917
symbol: TROLLSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-23
predictions: 1,590

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3792

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0396

actual -0.0127

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.033085	0.031302	-5.39%	–	pending	–	–	2.24
2026-10-21	oos	0.032839	0.0313	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-20	oos	0.037984	0.035931	-5.40%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.033794	0.032089	-5.05%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-10-18	oos	0.033843	0.032152	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-10-17	oos	0.035389	0.033526	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-10-16	oos	0.035893	0.033989	-5.30%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.036152	0.034248	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	2.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.037653	0.035571	-5.53%	–	pending	–	–	2.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.037875	0.035838	-5.38%	–	pending	–	–	2.36
2026-10-12	oos	0.036243	0.034337	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	2.36
2026-10-11	oos	0.03961	0.037409	-5.56%	–	pending	–	–	2.25
2026-10-10	oos	0.037829	0.035736	-5.53%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.038198	0.036024	-5.69%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.037308	0.035197	-5.66%	–	pending	–	–	2.25
2026-10-07	oos	0.039808	0.037333	-6.22%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-06	oos	0.042549	0.039963	-6.08%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-05	oos	0.042647	0.040031	-6.13%	–	pending	–	–	2.23
2026-10-04	oos	0.045871	0.043046	-6.16%	–	pending	–	–	2.23
2026-10-03	oos	0.044561	0.041554	-6.75%	–	pending	–	–	2.23
2026-10-02	oos	0.044541	0.041422	-7.00%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-01	oos	0.046943	0.043568	-7.19%	–	pending	–	–	2.20
2026-09-30	oos	0.04658	0.043022	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	2.21
2026-09-29	oos	0.045724	0.0421	-7.93%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-09-28	oos	0.044871	0.041161	-8.27%	–	pending	–	–	2.29
2026-09-27	oos	0.047287	0.043311	-8.41%	–	pending	–	–	2.25
2026-09-26	oos	0.049391	0.045137	-8.61%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-09-25	oos	0.051838	0.047365	-8.63%	–	pending	–	–	2.28
2026-09-24	oos	0.05056	0.046185	-8.65%	–	pending	–	–	2.28
2026-09-23	oos	0.04971	0.045421	-8.63%	–	pending	–	–	2.29
2026-09-22	oos	0.05964	0.054733	-8.23%	0.033085	-44.53%	0.4526	✓	2.19
2026-09-21	oos	0.05641	0.051576	-8.57%	0.032839	-41.79%	0.3839	✓	2.24
2026-09-20	oos	0.050383	0.045746	-9.20%	0.037984	-24.61%	0.2357	✓	2.29
2026-09-19	oos	0.047696	0.043561	-8.67%	0.033794	-29.15%	0.2708	✓	2.29
2026-09-18	oos	0.049463	0.045082	-8.86%	0.033843	-31.58%	0.3185	✓	2.28
2026-09-17	oos	0.043573	0.041	-5.91%	0.035389	-18.78%	0.2928	✓	2.28
2026-09-16	oos	0.042624	0.040382	-5.26%	0.035893	-15.79%	0.2728	✓	2.28
2026-09-15	oos	0.042855	0.040738	-4.94%	0.036152	-15.64%	0.3065	✓	2.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.047112	0.044179	-6.22%	0.037653	-20.08%	0.2557	✓	2.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.046599	0.043965	-5.65%	0.037875	-18.72%	0.3284	✓	2.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.048266	0.045494	-5.74%	0.036243	-24.91%	0.3545	✓	2.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.048729	0.046057	-5.48%	0.03961	-18.71%	0.3332	✓	2.27
2026-09-10	oos	0.047248	0.044832	-5.11%	0.037829	-19.94%	0.3528	✓	2.29
2026-09-09	oos	0.049799	0.047097	-5.43%	0.038198	-23.29%	0.3307	✓	2.29
2026-09-08	oos	0.052052	0.049408	-5.08%	0.037308	-28.33%	0.3719	✓	2.24
2026-09-07	oos	0.048497	0.046111	-4.92%	0.039808	-17.92%	0.2650	✓	2.29
2026-09-06	oos	0.052082	0.050049	-3.90%	0.042549	-18.31%	0.3057	✓	2.28
2026-09-05	oos	0.061653	0.059805	-3.00%	0.042647	-30.83%	0.5020	✓	2.29
2026-09-04	oos	0.076665	0.072805	-5.04%	0.045871	-40.17%	0.6443	✓	2.22
2026-09-03	oos	0.055088	0.054192	-1.63%	0.044561	-19.11%	0.2987	✓	2.46
2026-09-02	oos	0.041738	0.040581	-2.77%	0.044541	+6.72%	0.0913	✓	2.07
2026-09-01	oos	0.043203	0.042144	-2.45%	0.046943	+8.66%	0.0837	✓	2.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.044504	0.043675	-1.86%	0.04658	+4.66%	0.0506	✓	1.87
2026-08-30	oos	0.047096	0.046199	-1.90%	0.045724	-2.91%	0.1427	✓	1.79
2026-08-29	oos	0.050108	0.049527	-1.16%	0.044871	-10.45%	0.2118	✓	1.75
2026-08-28	oos	0.04966	0.049182	-0.96%	0.047287	-4.78%	0.1827	✓	1.76
2026-08-27	oos	0.053453	0.053949	+0.93%	0.049391	-7.60%	0.1760	✗	1.74
2026-08-26	oos	0.051848	0.052019	+0.33%	0.051838	-0.02%	0.1110	✗	1.73
2026-08-25	oos	0.049368	0.04943	+0.13%	0.05056	+2.41%	0.0974	✗	1.67
2026-08-24	oos	0.051194	0.051338	+0.28%	0.04971	-2.90%	0.1502	✗	1.79
2026-08-23	oos	0.052031	0.05196	-0.14%	0.05964	+14.62%	0.0564	✓	1.88
2026-08-22	oos	0.054691	0.0544	-0.53%	0.05641	+3.14%	0.1840	✓	1.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.059058	0.058916	-0.24%	0.050383	-14.69%	0.2228	✓	1.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.048109	0.047069	-2.16%	0.047696	-0.86%	0.1731	✓	1.75
2026-08-19	oos	0.047886	0.045904	-4.14%	0.049463	+3.29%	0.2236	✓	1.93
2026-08-18	oos	0.041719	0.039566	-5.16%	0.043573	+4.44%	0.2190	✓	1.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.039132	0.037196	-4.95%	0.042624	+8.92%	0.1816	✓	1.91
2026-08-16	oos	0.041845	0.039559	-5.46%	0.042855	+2.41%	0.2931	✓	2.02
2026-08-15	oos	0.039066	0.037109	-5.01%	0.047112	+20.60%	0.1957	✓	2.02
2026-08-14	oos	0.037082	0.035323	-4.74%	0.046599	+25.66%	0.1225	✓	2.01
2026-08-13	oos	0.037614	0.035844	-4.71%	0.048266	+28.32%	0.0992	✓	2.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.038149	0.036322	-4.79%	0.048729	+27.73%	0.1097	✓	2.05
2026-08-11	oos	0.037296	0.035567	-4.64%	0.047248	+26.68%	0.0912	✓	2.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.038765	0.036973	-4.62%	0.049799	+28.46%	0.0873	✓	1.90
2026-08-09	oos	0.040031	0.038249	-4.45%	0.052052	+30.03%	0.0611	✓	1.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.043324	0.041153	-5.01%	0.048497	+11.94%	0.2197	✓	1.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.038756	0.03711	-4.25%	0.052082	+34.39%	0.1866	✓	2.46
2026-08-06	oos	0.037333	0.035762	-4.21%	0.061653	+65.14%	0.0064	✓	2.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.038876	0.037196	-4.32%	0.076665	+97.21%	0.2012	✗	2.49
2026-08-04	oos	0.038449	0.036789	-4.32%	0.055088	+43.28%	0.1990	✓	2.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.037962	0.036317	-4.33%	0.041738	+9.95%	0.3716	✓	2.59
2026-08-02	oos	0.038423	0.036787	-4.26%	0.043203	+12.44%	0.3444	✓	2.55
2026-08-01	oos	0.038862	0.037157	-4.39%	0.044504	+14.52%	0.3713	✓	2.46
2026-07-31	oos	0.039347	0.037683	-4.23%	0.047096	+19.69%	0.3022	✓	2.48
2026-07-30	oos	0.043061	0.041142	-4.46%	0.050108	+16.37%	0.2803	✓	2.52
2026-07-29	oos	0.043863	0.04198	-4.29%	0.04966	+13.22%	0.3596	✓	2.67
2026-07-28	oos	0.04822	0.045874	-4.86%	0.053453	+10.85%	0.4584	✓	2.67
2026-07-27	oos	0.042755	0.041067	-3.95%	0.051848	+21.27%	0.3441	✓	2.68
2026-07-26	oos	0.05082	0.04797	-5.61%	0.049368	-2.86%	0.4379	✓	2.54
2026-07-25	oos	0.038615	0.037416	-3.10%	0.051194	+32.58%	0.1932	✓	2.46
2026-07-24	oos	0.038026	0.036964	-2.79%	0.052031	+36.83%	0.1257	✓	2.42
2026-07-23	oos	0.0385	0.037377	-2.92%	0.054691	+42.05%	0.0288	✓	2.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.040317	0.03903	-3.19%	0.059058	+46.48%	0.0067	✓	2.40
2026-07-21	oos	0.044366	0.042866	-3.38%	0.048109	+8.44%	0.1072	✓	2.39
2026-07-20	oos	0.043322	0.041902	-3.28%	0.047886	+10.54%	0.0105	✓	2.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.043592	0.04219	-3.22%	0.041719	-4.30%	0.0112	✓	2.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.046336	0.044783	-3.35%	0.039132	-15.55%	0.1237	✓	2.27
2026-07-17	oos	0.041387	0.040009	-3.33%	0.041845	+1.11%	0.0780	✗	1.98
2026-07-16	oos	0.043618	0.04215	-3.37%	0.039066	-10.44%	0.0531	✓	1.93
2026-07-15	oos	0.047648	0.046009	-3.44%	0.037082	-22.18%	0.1684	✓	1.73
2026-07-14	oos	0.050717	0.048969	-3.45%	0.037614	-25.84%	0.2216	✓	1.73
2026-07-13	oos	0.050208	0.04871	-2.98%	0.038149	-24.02%	0.2781	✓	1.85
2026-07-12	oos	0.054903	0.05309	-3.30%	0.037296	-32.07%	0.3472	✓	1.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.054401	0.052518	-3.46%	0.038765	-28.74%	0.3075	✓	1.78
2026-07-10	oos	0.051832	0.049934	-3.66%	0.040031	-22.77%	0.2415	✓	1.83
2026-07-09	oos	0.054605	0.052701	-3.49%	0.043324	-20.66%	0.2466	✓	1.87
2026-07-08	oos	0.052663	0.050784	-3.57%	0.038756	-26.41%	0.3558	✓	2.05
2026-07-07	oos	0.055374	0.053266	-3.81%	0.037333	-32.58%	0.3852	✓	2.01
2026-07-06	oos	0.059639	0.057467	-3.64%	0.038876	-34.81%	0.4095	✓	2.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.059466	0.057547	-3.23%	0.038449	-35.34%	0.4179	✓	2.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.064273	0.062069	-3.43%	0.037962	-40.94%	0.5038	✓	2.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.06707	0.064608	-3.67%	0.038423	-42.71%	0.5505	✓	1.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.064804	0.062339	-3.80%	0.038862	-40.03%	0.5136	✓	1.99
2026-07-01	oos	0.061492	0.059197	-3.73%	0.039347	-36.01%	0.5020	✓	2.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.052371	0.051176	-2.28%	0.043061	-17.78%	0.3692	✓	1.95
2026-06-29	oos	0.054438	0.052798	-3.01%	0.043863	-19.43%	0.3027	✓	1.95
2026-06-28	oos	0.050641	0.04924	-2.77%	0.04822	-4.78%	0.1567	✓	1.91
2026-06-27	oos	0.054499	0.052557	-3.56%	0.042755	-21.55%	0.3212	✓	1.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.055757	0.053696	-3.70%	0.05082	-8.85%	0.2164	✓	1.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.053004	0.051188	-3.43%	0.038615	-27.15%	0.4219	✓	1.89
2026-06-24	oos	0.05462	0.052503	-3.88%	0.038026	-30.38%	0.4134	✓	1.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.061169	0.05827	-4.74%	0.0385	-37.06%	0.4827	✓	1.81
2026-06-22	oos	0.065839	0.062351	-5.30%	0.040317	-38.76%	0.4939	✓	1.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.068421	0.064726	-5.40%	0.044366	-35.16%	0.4683	✓	1.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.070529	0.066425	-5.82%	0.043322	-38.58%	0.4537	✓	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.067218	0.063482	-5.56%	0.043592	-35.15%	0.4087	✓	1.75
2026-06-18	oos	0.066817	0.06321	-5.40%	0.046336	-30.65%	0.3636	✓	1.77
2026-06-17	oos	0.068936	0.064917	-5.83%	0.041387	-39.96%	0.4351	✓	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.074075	0.069288	-6.46%	0.043618	-41.12%	0.4134	✓	1.73
2026-06-15	oos	0.07769	0.072104	-7.19%	0.047648	-38.67%	0.3725	✓	1.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.082312	0.07568	-8.06%	0.050717	-38.38%	0.3808	✓	1.77
2026-06-13	oos	0.07797	0.072186	-7.42%	0.050208	-35.61%	0.3043	✓	1.72
2026-06-12	oos	0.071386	0.066766	-6.47%	0.054903	-23.09%	0.2010	✓	1.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.067829	0.063897	-5.80%	0.054401	-19.80%	0.1665	✓	1.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.066021	0.062703	-5.03%	0.051832	-21.49%	0.2646	✓	1.74
2026-06-09	oos	0.071643	0.067597	-5.65%	0.054605	-23.78%	0.2546	✓	1.73
2026-06-08	oos	0.077125	0.072136	-6.47%	0.052663	-31.72%	0.2924	✓	1.69
2026-06-07	oos	0.073677	0.069291	-5.95%	0.055374	-24.84%	0.2247	✓	1.66
2026-06-06	oos	0.072464	0.068618	-5.31%	0.059639	-17.70%	0.2257	✓	1.69
2026-06-05	oos	0.067914	0.064801	-4.58%	0.059466	-12.44%	0.1561	✓	1.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.06834	0.065048	-4.82%	0.064273	-5.95%	0.0082	✓	1.78
2026-06-03	oos	0.076015	0.071749	-5.61%	0.06707	-11.77%	0.0246	✓	1.78
2026-06-02	oos	0.069034	0.065585	-5.00%	0.064804	-6.13%	0.1436	✗	1.93
2026-06-01	oos	0.074536	0.069856	-6.28%	0.061492	-17.50%	0.1791	✗	1.77
2026-05-31	oos	0.07637	0.071078	-6.93%	0.052371	-31.42%	0.1018	✗	1.78
2026-05-30	oos	0.08534	0.0789	-7.55%	0.054438	-36.21%	0.0278	✓	1.68
2026-05-29	oos	0.086672	0.08011	-7.57%	0.050641	-41.57%	0.1014	✓	1.70
2026-05-28	oos	0.075982	0.070427	-7.31%	0.054499	-28.27%	0.0893	✗	1.69
2026-05-27	oos	0.063912	0.058278	-8.81%	0.055757	-12.76%	0.3308	✗	1.75
2026-05-26	oos	0.084221	0.076563	-9.09%	0.053004	-37.07%	0.0194	✓	1.62
2026-05-25	oos	0.103826	0.093569	-9.88%	0.05462	-47.39%	0.1978	✓	1.44
2026-05-24	oos	0.10912	0.098218	-9.99%	0.061169	-43.94%	0.1766	✓	1.44
2026-05-23	oos	0.114713	0.103001	-10.21%	0.065839	-42.61%	0.1878	✓	1.43
2026-05-22	oos	0.102325	0.092412	-9.69%	0.068421	-33.13%	0.0502	✓	1.42
2026-05-21	oos	0.116733	0.104876	-10.16%	0.070529	-39.58%	0.1428	✓	1.35
2026-05-20	oos	0.115211	0.103488	-10.18%	0.067218	-41.66%	0.1584	✓	1.37
2026-05-19	oos	0.108436	0.097796	-9.81%	0.066817	-38.38%	0.1077	✓	1.37
2026-05-18	oos	0.113559	0.102149	-10.05%	0.068936	-39.29%	0.1555	✓	1.34
2026-05-17	oos	0.11052	0.099619	-9.86%	0.074075	-32.98%	0.0736	✓	1.35
2026-05-16	oos	0.115287	0.103724	-10.03%	0.07769	-32.61%	0.0698	✓	1.33
2026-05-15	oos	0.117633	0.105743	-10.11%	0.082312	-30.03%	0.0041	✓	1.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.13098	0.116591	-10.99%	0.07797	-40.47%	0.0949	✓	1.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.1313	0.115192	-12.27%	0.071386	-45.63%	0.1835	✓	1.33
2026-05-12	oos	0.10436	0.092993	-10.89%	0.067829	-35.00%	0.0237	✓	1.44
2026-05-11	oos	0.118506	0.103522	-12.64%	0.066021	-44.29%	0.0511	✓	1.40
2026-05-10	oos	0.119429	0.101602	-14.93%	0.071643	-40.01%	0.0565	✓	1.41
2026-05-09	oos	0.055455	0.050228	-9.43%	0.077125	+39.08%	0.7056	✗	1.12
2026-05-08	oos	0.049767	0.045166	-9.24%	0.073677	+48.04%	0.7496	✗	1.10
2026-05-07	oos	0.04613	0.041989	-8.98%	0.072464	+57.09%	0.8518	✗	1.12
2026-05-06	oos	0.051663	0.046496	-10.00%	0.067914	+31.46%	0.7064	✗	1.14
2026-05-05	oos	0.042961	0.039036	-9.14%	0.06834	+59.07%	0.8176	✗	1.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.044384	0.039815	-10.29%	0.076015	+71.27%	0.8872	✗	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.051022	0.043814	-14.13%	0.069034	+35.30%	0.6469	✗	1.17
2026-05-02	oos	0.027771	0.025855	-6.90%	0.074536	+168.40%	1.1779	✗	1.21
2026-05-01	oos	0.021138	0.020025	-5.26%	0.07637	+261.29%	1.4118	✗	1.19
2026-04-30	oos	0.017079	0.016119	-5.62%	0.08534	+399.68%	1.7048	✗	1.13
2026-04-29	oos	0.017214	0.016211	-5.83%	0.086672	+403.50%	1.7127	✗	1.13
2026-04-28	oos	0.019348	0.018293	-5.45%	0.075982	+292.71%	1.4668	✗	1.14
2026-04-27	oos	0.017751	0.016716	-5.83%	0.063912	+260.05%	1.3875	✗	1.15
2026-04-26	oos	0.020579	0.019567	-4.92%	0.084221	+309.26%	1.5017	✗	1.14
2026-04-25	oos	0.021359	0.020296	-4.98%	0.103826	+386.10%	1.6383	✗	1.15
2026-04-24	oos	0.022413	0.021291	-5.01%	0.10912	+386.86%	1.6416	✗	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.021945	0.020931	-4.62%	0.114713	+422.73%	1.7260	✗	1.18
2026-04-22	oos	0.020439	0.019561	-4.29%	0.102325	+400.64%	1.6968	✗	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.020099	0.019181	-4.57%	0.116733	+480.79%	1.7875	✗	1.19
2026-04-20	oos	0.021041	0.020042	-4.75%	0.115211	+447.55%	1.7232	✗	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.021534	0.020276	-5.84%	0.108436	+403.56%	1.6243	✗	1.34
2026-04-18	oos	0.016351	0.015799	-3.38%	0.113559	+594.51%	1.9498	✗	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.014813	0.014448	-2.46%	0.11052	+646.10%	2.0288	✗	1.45
2026-04-16	oos	0.016833	0.01621	-3.70%	0.115287	+584.89%	1.9041	✗	1.50
2026-04-15	oos	0.015971	0.0154	-3.58%	0.117633	+636.54%	1.9511	✗	1.50
2026-04-14	oos	0.01568	0.015118	-3.58%	0.13098	+735.33%	2.0258	✗	1.50
2026-04-13	oos	0.0162	0.015626	-3.54%	0.1313	+710.49%	2.0349	✗	1.49
2026-04-12	oos	0.014801	0.014192	-4.11%	0.10436	+605.09%	1.8017	✗	1.50
2026-04-11	oos	0.016225	0.015575	-4.00%	0.118506	+630.39%	1.8633	✗	1.49
2026-04-10	oos	0.016809	0.01596	-5.05%	0.119429	+610.51%	1.8359	✗	1.49
2026-04-09	oos	0.011796	0.011513	-2.40%	0.055455	+370.12%	1.4074	✗	1.42
2026-04-08	oos	0.011923	0.01162	-2.54%	0.049767	+317.40%	1.2836	✗	1.42
2026-04-07	oos	0.012256	0.011959	-2.42%	0.04613	+276.39%	1.1986	✗	1.42
2026-04-06	oos	0.011104	0.010758	-3.12%	0.051663	+365.26%	1.3316	✗	1.41
2026-04-05	oos	0.011418	0.011055	-3.18%	0.042961	+276.26%	1.1323	✗	1.41
2026-04-04	oos	0.011593	0.011211	-3.29%	0.044384	+282.85%	1.1360	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.01142	0.011056	-3.19%	0.051022	+346.78%	1.3015	✗	1.43
2026-04-02	oos	0.011454	0.011077	-3.29%	0.027771	+142.46%	0.6872	✗	1.43
2026-04-01	oos	0.012049	0.011627	-3.50%	0.021138	+75.43%	0.3980	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.012335	0.011907	-3.47%	0.017079	+38.46%	0.1961	✗	1.47
2026-03-30	oos	0.01199	0.011633	-2.98%	0.017214	+43.57%	0.2049	✗	1.48
2026-03-29	oos	0.01185	0.011561	-2.44%	0.019348	+63.27%	0.2995	✗	1.48
2026-03-28	oos	0.012297	0.012032	-2.16%	0.017751	+44.35%	0.1610	✗	1.48
2026-03-27	oos	0.011262	0.011086	-1.56%	0.020579	+82.73%	0.3671	✗	1.48
2026-03-26	oos	0.011196	0.011029	-1.49%	0.021359	+90.77%	0.4786	✗	1.50
2026-03-25	oos	0.012216	0.012105	-0.91%	0.022413	+83.47%	0.4924	✗	1.49
2026-03-24	oos	0.01236	0.012282	-0.63%	0.021945	+77.55%	0.4246	✗	1.50
2026-03-23	oos	0.01244	0.012397	-0.35%	0.020439	+64.30%	0.3529	✗	1.49
2026-03-22	oos	0.011844	0.011792	-0.44%	0.020099	+69.70%	0.3553	✗	1.51
2026-03-21	oos	0.012769	0.012703	-0.52%	0.021041	+64.78%	0.3605	✗	1.50
2026-03-20	oos	0.013328	0.013275	-0.40%	0.021534	+61.57%	0.4146	✗	1.50
2026-03-19	oos	0.01359	0.013544	-0.34%	0.016351	+20.32%	0.0685	✗	1.50
2026-03-18	oos	0.014035	0.013987	-0.34%	0.014813	+5.54%	0.0586	✓	1.47
2026-03-17	oos	0.015245	0.015189	-0.37%	0.016833	+10.42%	0.0787	✗	1.46
2026-03-16	oos	0.014646	0.01461	-0.25%	0.015971	+9.05%	0.0900	✗	1.47
2026-03-15	oos	0.014532	0.014519	-0.09%	0.01568	+7.90%	0.0492	✗	1.51
2026-03-14	oos	0.013737	0.013759	+0.16%	0.0162	+17.93%	0.0967	✓	1.51
2026-03-13	oos	0.013603	0.013635	+0.23%	0.014801	+8.81%	0.0861	✓	1.52
2026-03-12	oos	0.013909	0.013954	+0.32%	0.016225	+16.65%	0.0965	✓	1.53
2026-03-11	oos	0.013887	0.013948	+0.44%	0.016809	+21.04%	0.1286	✓	1.49
2026-03-10	oos	0.014101	0.014173	+0.51%	0.011796	-16.35%	0.2225	✗	1.50
2026-03-09	oos	0.013936	0.014019	+0.60%	0.011923	-14.44%	0.2193	✗	1.51
2026-03-08	oos	0.013428	0.013531	+0.77%	0.012256	-8.73%	0.2301	✗	1.52
2026-03-07	oos	0.0141	0.01421	+0.78%	0.011104	-21.25%	0.2825	✗	1.53
2026-03-06	oos	0.014489	0.014611	+0.84%	0.011418	-21.20%	0.2667	✗	1.54
2026-03-05	oos	0.015377	0.015507	+0.84%	0.011593	-24.61%	0.2107	✗	1.54
2026-03-04	oos	0.015364	0.015482	+0.77%	0.01142	-25.67%	0.1784	✗	1.53
2026-03-03	oos	0.015245	0.015371	+0.83%	0.011454	-24.87%	0.2594	✗	1.63
2026-03-02	oos	0.015028	0.015154	+0.84%	0.012049	-19.82%	0.2122	✗	1.63
2026-03-01	oos	0.014585	0.01473	+0.99%	0.012335	-15.43%	0.2384	✗	1.67
2026-02-28	oos	0.015156	0.015287	+0.87%	0.01199	-20.89%	0.2371	✗	1.71
2026-02-27	oos	0.015152	0.015269	+0.77%	0.01185	-21.79%	0.2560	✗	1.71
2026-02-26	oos	0.015637	0.015727	+0.57%	0.012297	-21.36%	0.2160	✗	1.72
2026-02-25	oos	0.016497	0.016529	+0.19%	0.011262	-31.73%	0.3418	✗	1.71
2026-02-24	oos	0.015577	0.015662	+0.54%	0.011196	-28.12%	0.4586	✗	1.74
2026-02-23	oos	0.015402	0.015494	+0.60%	0.012216	-20.69%	0.4048	✗	1.70
2026-02-22	oos	0.015946	0.015992	+0.29%	0.01236	-22.49%	0.3304	✗	1.73
2026-02-21	oos	0.016789	0.016787	-0.01%	0.01244	-25.90%	0.3729	✓	1.74
2026-02-20	oos	0.018878	0.018689	-1.00%	0.011844	-37.26%	0.4525	✓	1.74
2026-02-19	oos	0.016883	0.01688	-0.02%	0.012769	-24.37%	0.3280	✓	1.71
2026-02-18	oos	0.015944	0.016015	+0.44%	0.013328	-16.41%	0.2858	✗	1.71
2026-02-17	oos	0.015125	0.01524	+0.76%	0.01359	-10.15%	0.1735	✗	1.65
2026-02-16	oos	0.015343	0.015432	+0.58%	0.014035	-8.53%	0.1514	✗	1.66
2026-02-15	oos	0.014757	0.014883	+0.85%	0.015245	+3.31%	0.0975	✗	1.69
2026-02-14	oos	0.016816	0.016802	-0.08%	0.014646	-12.90%	0.2562	✓	1.69
2026-02-13	oos	0.015044	0.01516	+0.77%	0.014532	-3.40%	0.1368	✗	1.67
2026-02-12	oos	0.014501	0.014691	+1.31%	0.013737	-5.27%	0.1901	✗	1.68
2026-02-11	oos	0.015041	0.015192	+1.00%	0.013603	-9.56%	0.2106	✗	1.76
2026-02-10	oos	0.015571	0.015658	+0.56%	0.013909	-10.67%	0.1623	✗	1.77
2026-02-09	oos	0.01632	0.016342	+0.14%	0.013887	-14.91%	0.1655	✗	1.76
2026-02-08	oos	0.016504	0.016523	+0.11%	0.014101	-14.56%	0.1503	✗	1.81
2026-02-07	oos	0.016871	0.016911	+0.24%	0.013936	-17.40%	0.1720	✗	1.82
2026-02-06	oos	0.01778	0.0177	-0.45%	0.013428	-24.48%	0.1517	✓	1.86
2026-02-05	oos	0.015059	0.015338	+1.85%	0.0141	-6.37%	0.2188	✗	1.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.017318	0.01723	-0.51%	0.014489	-16.34%	0.0062	✗	2.59
2026-02-03	oos	0.017718	0.017516	-1.14%	0.015377	-13.21%	0.0454	✗	2.69
2026-02-02	oos	0.020235	0.019684	-2.72%	0.015364	-24.07%	0.0399	✓	2.63
2026-02-01	oos	0.017641	0.017434	-1.17%	0.015245	-13.58%	0.1726	✗	2.60
2026-01-31	oos	0.017935	0.017646	-1.61%	0.015028	-16.21%	0.2055	✗	2.75
2026-01-30	oos	0.01915	0.018518	-3.30%	0.014585	-23.84%	0.4856	✗	2.94
2026-01-29	oos	0.02071	0.019988	-3.49%	0.015156	-26.82%	0.4062	✗	2.93
2026-01-28	oos	0.022679	0.021738	-4.15%	0.015152	-33.19%	0.5549	✗	3.02
2026-01-27	oos	0.024479	0.02345	-4.20%	0.015637	-36.12%	0.4412	✗	3.05
2026-01-26	oos	0.022605	0.02174	-3.83%	0.016497	-27.02%	0.5060	✗	3.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.022063	0.021271	-3.59%	0.015577	-29.40%	0.5963	✗	3.02
2026-01-24	oos	0.024473	0.023441	-4.22%	0.015402	-37.07%	0.5460	✗	3.01
2026-01-23	oos	0.026456	0.025262	-4.51%	0.015946	-39.73%	0.4043	✗	3.09
2026-01-22	oos	0.032191	0.030143	-6.36%	0.016789	-47.85%	0.2650	✗	3.09
2026-01-21	oos	0.023171	0.022169	-4.32%	0.018878	-18.53%	0.6763	✗	3.06
2026-01-20	oos	0.018313	0.017591	-3.94%	0.016883	-7.81%	0.7796	✗	2.97
2026-01-19	oos	0.023505	0.022278	-5.22%	0.015944	-32.17%	0.6109	✗	2.85
2026-01-18	oos	0.02579	0.024401	-5.39%	0.015125	-41.35%	0.4559	✗	2.85
2026-01-17	oos	0.02673	0.025331	-5.23%	0.015343	-42.60%	0.4179	✗	2.85
2026-01-16	oos	0.027192	0.025698	-5.50%	0.014757	-45.73%	0.3699	✗	2.82
2026-01-15	oos	0.029237	0.027798	-4.92%	0.016816	-42.48%	0.3946	✗	2.85
2026-01-14	oos	0.030749	0.029469	-4.16%	0.015044	-51.07%	0.3077	✗	2.86
2026-01-13	oos	0.031931	0.030464	-4.59%	0.014501	-54.59%	0.3131	✗	2.89
2026-01-12	oos	0.028533	0.02703	-5.27%	0.015041	-47.29%	0.3189	✗	2.94
2026-01-11	oos	0.029619	0.028128	-5.04%	0.015571	-47.43%	0.2365	✗	2.98
2026-01-10	oos	0.029067	0.027607	-5.02%	0.01632	-43.85%	0.2333	✗	2.99
2026-01-09	oos	0.030445	0.029012	-4.71%	0.016504	-45.79%	0.2328	✗	3.15
2026-01-08	oos	0.032313	0.030852	-4.52%	0.016871	-47.79%	0.2650	✗	3.18
2026-01-07	oos	0.032088	0.030674	-4.41%	0.01778	-44.59%	0.2772	✗	3.19
2026-01-06	oos	0.036131	0.034564	-4.34%	0.015059	-58.32%	0.4398	✗	3.17
2026-01-05	oos	0.03737	0.035744	-4.35%	0.017318	-53.66%	0.0756	✗	3.18
2026-01-04	oos	0.039302	0.037296	-5.10%	0.017718	-54.92%	0.1200	✓	3.29
2026-01-03	oos	0.033125	0.031837	-3.89%	0.020235	-38.91%	0.0032	✓	3.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.032199	0.030957	-3.86%	0.017641	-45.21%	0.0578	✓	3.22
2026-01-01	oos	0.029207	0.028238	-3.32%	0.017935	-38.59%	0.0700	✓	3.18
2025-12-31	oos	0.024929	0.024208	-2.89%	0.01915	-23.18%	0.1119	✓	3.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.027256	0.026386	-3.19%	0.02071	-24.02%	0.1024	✓	3.11
2025-12-29	oos	0.026787	0.025989	-2.98%	0.022679	-15.34%	0.2076	✓	3.07
2025-12-28	oos	0.028949	0.028013	-3.23%	0.024479	-15.44%	0.1777	✓	3.06
2025-12-27	oos	0.029139	0.028165	-3.34%	0.022605	-22.42%	0.2351	✓	3.03
2025-12-26	oos	0.029035	0.028074	-3.31%	0.022063	-24.01%	0.2149	✓	3.09
2025-12-25	oos	0.029036	0.028103	-3.21%	0.024473	-15.71%	0.2050	✓	3.08
2025-12-24	oos	0.029699	0.028703	-3.35%	0.026456	-10.92%	0.1468	✓	3.10
2025-12-23	oos	0.030548	0.029556	-3.25%	0.032191	+5.38%	0.0186	✓	2.91
2025-12-22	oos	0.033229	0.032093	-3.42%	0.023171	-30.27%	0.3518	✓	2.87
2025-12-21	oos	0.03253	0.03144	-3.35%	0.018313	-43.70%	0.5298	✓	2.87
2025-12-20	oos	0.032407	0.031425	-3.03%	0.023505	-27.47%	0.4184	✓	2.73
2025-12-19	oos	0.034559	0.033605	-2.76%	0.02579	-25.38%	0.4318	✓	2.74
2025-12-18	oos	0.035919	0.034996	-2.57%	0.02673	-25.58%	0.5710	✓	2.82
2025-12-17	oos	0.037548	0.036494	-2.81%	0.027192	-27.58%	0.5822	✓	2.81
2025-12-16	oos	0.038119	0.036964	-3.03%	0.029237	-23.30%	0.4707	✓	2.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.032456	0.031901	-1.71%	0.030749	-5.26%	0.3527	✓	2.75
2025-12-14	oos	0.035177	0.03458	-1.70%	0.031931	-9.23%	0.2953	✓	2.74
2025-12-13	oos	0.038643	0.037829	-2.11%	0.028533	-26.16%	0.3101	✓	2.73
2025-12-12	oos	0.03879	0.037989	-2.07%	0.029619	-23.64%	0.2668	✓	2.73
2025-12-11	oos	0.035229	0.034786	-1.26%	0.029067	-17.49%	0.1127	✓	2.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.031928	0.031638	-0.91%	0.030445	-4.64%	0.0083	✓	2.80
2025-12-09	oos	0.034859	0.034467	-1.12%	0.032313	-7.30%	0.0137	✓	2.81
2025-12-08	oos	0.033084	0.032822	-0.79%	0.032088	-3.01%	0.0416	✓	2.76
2025-12-07	oos	0.027594	0.027541	-0.19%	0.036131	+30.94%	0.1726	✗	2.74
2025-12-06	oos	0.025938	0.025959	+0.08%	0.03737	+44.07%	0.2264	✓	2.74
2025-12-05	oos	0.028883	0.028978	+0.33%	0.039302	+36.07%	0.2394	✓	2.75
2025-12-04	oos	0.028854	0.028865	+0.04%	0.033125	+14.80%	0.1838	✓	2.82
2025-12-03	oos	0.033821	0.033764	-0.17%	0.032199	-4.80%	0.0586	✗	2.78
2025-12-02	oos	0.032976	0.033041	+0.20%	0.029207	-11.43%	0.0440	✗	2.78
2025-12-01	oos	0.029651	0.029948	+1.00%	0.024929	-15.93%	0.2234	✗	2.86
2025-11-30	oos	0.034603	0.034633	+0.09%	0.027256	-21.23%	0.1740	✗	2.97
2025-11-29	oos	0.035765	0.035736	-0.08%	0.026787	-25.10%	0.1655	✓	2.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.038231	0.038151	-0.21%	0.028949	-24.28%	0.1767	✓	2.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.039315	0.039191	-0.31%	0.029139	-25.88%	0.1821	✓	2.92
2025-11-26	oos	0.041459	0.041133	-0.79%	0.029035	-29.97%	0.2423	✓	2.97
2025-11-25	oos	0.042225	0.041873	-0.83%	0.029036	-31.24%	0.3607	✓	3.10
2025-11-24	oos	0.042309	0.041926	-0.91%	0.029699	-29.80%	0.3215	✓	3.11
2025-11-23	oos	0.03884	0.038841	+0.00%	0.030548	-21.35%	0.2622	✗	3.09
2025-11-22	oos	0.038014	0.038151	+0.36%	0.033229	-12.59%	0.2799	✗	3.17
2025-11-21	oos	0.035996	0.036312	+0.88%	0.03253	-9.63%	0.2398	✗	3.16
2025-11-20	oos	0.038646	0.03872	+0.19%	0.032407	-16.14%	0.2427	✗	3.17
2025-11-19	oos	0.038101	0.038015	-0.23%	0.034559	-9.30%	0.0381	✗	3.56
2025-11-18	oos	0.039606	0.039349	-0.65%	0.035919	-9.31%	0.2051	✗	3.54
2025-11-17	oos	0.032313	0.0326	+0.89%	0.037548	+16.20%	0.3783	✓	3.59
2025-11-16	oos	0.035815	0.035949	+0.37%	0.038119	+6.43%	0.2985	✓	3.45
2025-11-15	oos	0.036976	0.037053	+0.21%	0.032456	-12.22%	0.2163	✓	3.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.03601	0.036298	+0.80%	0.035177	-2.31%	0.2096	✓	3.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.044999	0.044456	-1.21%	0.038643	-14.12%	0.1982	✗	3.43
2025-11-12	oos	0.04727	0.046466	-1.70%	0.03879	-17.94%	0.2279	✗	3.45
2025-11-11	oos	0.047855	0.046991	-1.80%	0.035229	-26.38%	0.0828	✗	3.46
2025-11-10	oos	0.057997	0.055565	-4.19%	0.031928	-44.95%	0.0756	✓	3.39
2025-11-09	oos	0.056993	0.054957	-3.57%	0.034859	-38.84%	0.0414	✓	3.40
2025-11-08	oos	0.047953	0.047437	-1.08%	0.033084	-31.01%	0.0402	✗	3.32
2025-11-07	oos	0.052006	0.051169	-1.61%	0.027594	-46.94%	0.1769	✓	3.31
2025-11-06	oos	0.043195	0.043221	+0.06%	0.025938	-39.95%	0.1039	✗	3.22
2025-11-05	oos	0.050941	0.050403	-1.06%	0.028883	-43.30%	0.0802	✓	3.16
2025-11-04	oos	0.051417	0.051026	-0.76%	0.028854	-43.88%	0.2731	✓	3.06
2025-11-03	oos	0.059831	0.058102	-2.89%	0.033821	-43.47%	0.1260	✓	3.16
2025-11-02	oos	0.078164	0.073532	-5.93%	0.032976	-57.81%	0.2549	✓	2.86
2025-11-01	oos	0.079799	0.075035	-5.97%	0.029651	-62.84%	0.2189	✓	2.92
2025-10-31	oos	0.082447	0.077351	-6.18%	0.034603	-58.03%	0.2353	✓	2.96
2025-10-30	oos	0.083171	0.078112	-6.08%	0.035765	-57.00%	0.2636	✓	2.94
2025-10-29	oos	0.092022	0.085462	-7.13%	0.038231	-58.45%	0.2852	✓	2.72
2025-10-28	oos	0.095911	0.088783	-7.43%	0.039315	-59.01%	0.2503	✓	2.66
2025-10-27	oos	0.101254	0.093302	-7.85%	0.041459	-59.05%	0.1976	✓	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.101013	0.092986	-7.95%	0.042225	-58.20%	0.0749	✓	2.63
2025-10-25	oos	0.084765	0.079895	-5.75%	0.042309	-50.09%	0.0211	✓	2.61
2025-10-24	oos	0.086585	0.081884	-5.43%	0.03884	-55.14%	0.0409	✓	2.86
2025-10-23	oos	0.084859	0.08081	-4.77%	0.038014	-55.20%	0.0075	✓	2.90
2025-10-22	oos	0.081677	0.07866	-3.69%	0.035996	-55.93%	0.0924	✓	2.94
2025-10-21	oos	0.08843	0.084704	-4.21%	0.038646	-56.30%	0.1280	✓	2.92
2025-10-20	oos	0.097409	0.092288	-5.26%	0.038101	-60.89%	0.3301	✓	2.92
2025-10-19	oos	0.095651	0.091245	-4.61%	0.039606	-58.59%	0.3934	✓	2.82
2025-10-18	oos	0.099645	0.095102	-4.56%	0.032313	-67.57%	0.6420	✓	2.88
2025-10-17	oos	0.085138	0.082731	-2.83%	0.035815	-57.93%	0.4911	✓	2.82
2025-10-16	oos	0.091482	0.088194	-3.59%	0.036976	-59.58%	0.5215	✓	2.80
2025-10-15	oos	0.098	0.093345	-4.75%	0.03601	-63.26%	0.5048	✓	2.81
2025-10-14	oos	0.112299	0.105842	-5.75%	0.044999	-59.93%	0.5085	✓	2.74
2025-10-13	oos	0.127404	0.119106	-6.51%	0.04727	-62.90%	0.5890	✓	2.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.113702	0.106404	-6.42%	0.047855	-57.91%	0.5003	✓	2.70
2025-10-11	oos	0.088263	0.083522	-5.37%	0.057997	-34.29%	0.2559	✓	2.46
2025-10-10	oos	0.100527	0.093733	-6.76%	0.056993	-43.31%	0.3233	✓	2.29
2025-10-09	oos	0.128993	0.120094	-6.90%	0.047953	-62.83%	0.5927	✓	1.87
2025-10-08	oos	0.135084	0.126056	-6.68%	0.052006	-61.50%	0.5773	✓	1.74
2025-10-07	oos	0.126468	0.116633	-7.78%	0.043195	-65.85%	0.6648	✓	1.81
2025-10-06	oos	0.142165	0.132567	-6.75%	0.050941	-64.17%	0.6448	✓	1.70
2025-10-05	oos	0.141855	0.132157	-6.84%	0.051417	-63.75%	0.6032	✓	1.73
2025-10-04	oos	0.145562	0.135533	-6.89%	0.059831	-58.90%	0.5687	✓	1.79
2025-10-03	oos	0.160385	0.149821	-6.59%	0.078164	-51.26%	0.4682	✓	1.80
2025-10-02	oos	0.164899	0.15332	-7.02%	0.079799	-51.61%	0.4834	✓	1.85
2025-10-01	oos	0.152239	0.140804	-7.51%	0.082447	-45.84%	0.3801	✓	1.94
2025-09-30	oos	0.143427	0.132722	-7.46%	0.083171	-42.01%	0.3661	✓	1.96
2025-09-29	oos	0.1601	0.148044	-7.53%	0.092022	-42.52%	0.3801	✓	2.47
2025-09-28	oos	0.163044	0.151235	-7.24%	0.095911	-41.17%	0.4718	✓	2.61
2025-09-27	oos	0.138059	0.129516	-6.19%	0.101254	-26.66%	0.3382	✓	2.34
2025-09-26	oos	0.169959	0.157902	-7.09%	0.101013	-40.57%	0.5464	✓	2.30
2025-09-25	oos	0.153142	0.142961	-6.65%	0.084765	-44.65%	0.5772	✓	2.29
2025-09-24	oos	0.136167	0.12689	-6.81%	0.086585	-36.41%	0.3263	✓	2.72
2025-09-23	oos	0.142865	0.132215	-7.45%	0.084859	-40.60%	0.3949	✓	2.83
2025-09-22	oos	0.137713	0.12781	-7.19%	0.081677	-40.69%	0.3128	✓	2.89
2025-09-21	oos	0.107217	0.10152	-5.31%	0.08843	-17.52%	0.0683	✗	3.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.109754	0.103715	-5.50%	0.097409	-11.25%	0.0940	✗	3.42
2025-09-19	oos	0.121625	0.113783	-6.45%	0.095651	-21.36%	0.0478	✓	3.54
2025-09-18	oos	0.123611	0.11466	-7.24%	0.099645	-19.39%	0.1666	✗	3.47

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.