TMX

TermMax · Ethereum · gru_s7

token id: #846
symbol: TMX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

52.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1104

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0027

actual -0.0513

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00942	0.009373	-0.50%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.00918	0.00914	-0.44%	0.00942	+2.61%	0.0394	✗	3.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.00918	0.009141	-0.42%	0.00918	+0.00%	0.0379	✓	3.15
2026-10-18	oos	0.008945	0.008908	-0.42%	0.00918	+2.63%	0.0366	✗	3.16
2026-10-17	oos	0.008375	0.008344	-0.37%	0.008945	+6.81%	0.0456	✗	3.13
2026-10-16	oos	0.007985	0.007957	-0.35%	0.008375	+4.88%	0.0557	✗	3.14
2026-10-15	oos	0.00795	0.007926	-0.31%	0.007985	+0.44%	0.0317	✗	3.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.00869	0.008668	-0.26%	0.00795	-8.52%	0.1082	✓	3.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.010375	0.010342	-0.32%	0.00869	-16.24%	0.1156	✓	3.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.01041	0.010379	-0.30%	0.010375	-0.34%	0.0520	✓	3.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.01259	0.012503	-0.69%	0.01041	-17.32%	0.1120	✓	3.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.011045	0.011006	-0.35%	0.01259	+13.99%	0.1071	✗	2.97
2026-10-09	oos	0.010635	0.010608	-0.25%	0.011045	+3.86%	0.0273	✗	2.95
2026-10-08	oos	0.010685	0.010665	-0.19%	0.010635	-0.47%	0.0333	✓	2.94
2026-10-07	oos	0.01237	0.012322	-0.39%	0.010685	-13.62%	0.0868	✓	2.90
2026-10-06	oos	0.012635	0.012586	-0.39%	0.01237	-2.10%	0.0664	✗	3.12
2026-10-05	oos	0.014305	0.014208	-0.68%	0.012635	-11.67%	0.1098	✓	3.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.01564	0.015309	-2.12%	0.014305	-8.54%	0.0404	✓	3.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.011575	0.011557	-0.16%	0.01564	+35.12%	0.2461	✗	2.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0112	0.01117	-0.26%	0.011575	+3.35%	0.0279	✗	2.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.01535	0.014985	-2.38%	0.0112	-27.04%	0.2804	✓	2.64
2026-09-30	oos	0.00878	0.008782	+0.02%	0.01535	+74.83%	0.5259	✓	2.12
2026-09-29	oos	0.008885	0.008886	+0.01%	0.00878	-1.18%	0.0099	✗	2.13
2026-09-28	oos	0.008805	0.008802	-0.04%	0.008885	+0.91%	0.0048	✗	2.13
2026-09-27	oos	0.01078	0.010806	+0.24%	0.008805	-18.32%	0.1803	✗	2.04
2026-09-26	oos	0.012155	0.012197	+0.34%	0.01078	-11.31%	0.1246	✗	2.04
2026-09-25	oos	0.011725	0.011754	+0.25%	0.012155	+3.67%	0.0258	✓	2.03
2026-09-24	oos	0.01571	0.01573	+0.13%	0.011725	-25.37%	0.2871	✗	1.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.01868	0.01865	-0.16%	0.01571	-15.90%	0.1717	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.02111	0.020989	-0.57%	0.01868	-11.51%	0.0952	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02088	0.020758	-0.58%	0.02111	+1.10%	0.0214	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.02122	0.021194	-0.12%	0.02088	-1.60%	0.0797	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.02048	0.020468	-0.06%	0.02122	+3.61%	0.0370	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.02102	0.021024	+0.02%	0.02048	-2.57%	0.0306	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.022235	0.022316	+0.36%	0.02102	-5.46%	0.1174	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02379	0.023872	+0.34%	0.022235	-6.54%	0.0737	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.026725	0.026805	+0.30%	0.02379	-10.98%	0.1267	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.032755	0.03273	-0.08%	0.026725	-18.41%	0.1690	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.02957	0.029557	-0.04%	0.032755	+10.77%	0.0850	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.03304	0.032989	-0.15%	0.02957	-10.50%	0.1034	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.03	0.029878	-0.41%	0.03304	+10.13%	0.0999	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.030845	0.030698	-0.48%	0.03	-2.74%	0.0318	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.036275	0.036125	-0.41%	0.030845	-14.97%	0.1354	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.04783	0.047688	-0.30%	0.036275	-24.16%	0.2715	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.055525	0.055418	-0.19%	0.04783	-13.86%	0.1391	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.078715	0.078596	-0.15%	0.055525	-29.46%	0.3318	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.094865	0.094706	-0.17%	0.078715	-17.02%	0.1913	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.0947	0.094625	-0.08%	0.094865	+0.17%	0.0006	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.11449	0.11438	-0.10%	0.0947	-17.29%	0.1691	✓	1.00