SPYB
SPY (bStocks Tokenized Stock) · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s7
- token id
- #357
- symbol
- SPYB
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x7138b48df7d98d7e3cc221bfe7192d0a178182d8
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-07
- predictions
- 297
Track record at +1d
assessed
98
of 99 predictions shown
direction hit
52.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0067
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0046
actual -0.0002
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 771.035 | 766.6456 | -0.57% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 769.995 | 766.0396 | -0.51% | 771.035 | +0.14% | 0.0063 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 771.485 | 767.0315 | -0.58% | 769.995 | -0.19% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 768.255 | 762.5697 | -0.74% | 771.485 | +0.42% | 0.0102 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 767.73 | 763.4333 | -0.56% | 768.255 | +0.07% | 0.0065 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 760.825 | 756.7071 | -0.54% | 767.73 | +0.91% | 0.0136 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 762.325 | 757.9617 | -0.57% | 760.825 | -0.20% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 771.365 | 766.9751 | -0.57% | 762.325 | -1.17% | 0.0053 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 768.04 | 763.0845 | -0.65% | 771.365 | +0.43% | 0.0101 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 778.575 | 774.0575 | -0.58% | 768.04 | -1.35% | 0.0060 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 778.155 | 773.1905 | -0.64% | 778.575 | +0.05% | 0.0053 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 780.995 | 776.4768 | -0.58% | 778.155 | -0.36% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 779.025 | 774.7204 | -0.55% | 780.995 | +0.25% | 0.0071 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 779.035 | 775.209 | -0.49% | 779.025 | -0.00% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 774.915 | 771.3011 | -0.47% | 779.035 | +0.53% | 0.0089 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 777.815 | 774.0589 | -0.48% | 774.915 | -0.37% | 0.0031 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 779.94 | 777.2136 | -0.35% | 777.815 | -0.27% | 0.0036 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 775.085 | 771.9849 | -0.40% | 779.94 | +0.63% | 0.0105 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 770.915 | 769.3419 | -0.20% | 775.085 | +0.54% | 0.0084 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 770.925 | 768.9823 | -0.25% | 770.915 | -0.00% | 0.0003 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 769.8 | 768.3809 | -0.18% | 770.925 | +0.15% | 0.0030 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 765.105 | 764.116 | -0.13% | 769.8 | +0.61% | 0.0079 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 765.845 | 764.3162 | -0.20% | 765.105 | -0.10% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 766.09 | 764.7353 | -0.18% | 765.845 | -0.03% | 0.0016 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 766.2 | 764.7179 | -0.19% | 766.09 | -0.01% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 769.91 | 768.725 | -0.15% | 766.2 | -0.48% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 770.34 | 769.1162 | -0.16% | 769.91 | -0.06% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 771.89 | 770.4299 | -0.19% | 770.34 | -0.20% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 766.21 | 764.8708 | -0.17% | 771.89 | +0.74% | 0.0095 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 767.7 | 766.2017 | -0.20% | 766.21 | -0.19% | 0.0000 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 773.525 | 772.4867 | -0.13% | 767.7 | -0.75% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 773.705 | 772.6018 | -0.14% | 773.525 | -0.02% | 0.0017 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 763.305 | 759.6815 | -0.47% | 773.705 | +1.36% | 0.0121 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 762.725 | 757.6965 | -0.66% | 763.305 | +0.08% | 0.0075 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 763.025 | 757.0924 | -0.78% | 762.725 | -0.04% | 0.0070 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 762.5 | 759.4618 | -0.40% | 763.025 | +0.07% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 757.98 | 755.2456 | -0.36% | 762.5 | +0.60% | 0.0093 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 758.605 | 755.9862 | -0.35% | 757.98 | -0.08% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 761.035 | 758.925 | -0.28% | 758.605 | -0.32% | 0.0031 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 760.005 | 757.759 | -0.30% | 761.035 | +0.14% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 765.035 | 763.1581 | -0.25% | 760.005 | -0.66% | 0.0035 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 764.985 | 764.0472 | -0.12% | 765.035 | +0.01% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 757.865 | 757.3461 | -0.07% | 764.985 | +0.94% | 0.0091 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 763.135 | 763.248 | +0.01% | 757.865 | -0.69% | 0.0049 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 765.76 | 765.9453 | +0.02% | 763.135 | -0.34% | 0.0035 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 769.03 | 769.7374 | +0.09% | 765.76 | -0.43% | 0.0044 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 769.955 | 771.1442 | +0.15% | 769.03 | -0.12% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 771.335 | 772.9414 | +0.21% | 769.955 | -0.18% | 0.0045 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 769.845 | 771.6964 | +0.24% | 771.335 | +0.19% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 772.18 | 774.5166 | +0.30% | 769.845 | -0.30% | 0.0042 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 765.52 | 766.646 | +0.15% | 772.18 | +0.87% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 762.065 | 763.0974 | +0.14% | 765.52 | +0.45% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 767.635 | 768.6782 | +0.14% | 762.065 | -0.73% | 0.0074 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 766.5 | 766.9512 | +0.06% | 767.635 | +0.15% | 0.0000 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 770.89 | 771.5478 | +0.09% | 766.5 | -0.57% | 0.0060 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 769.17 | 769.7862 | +0.08% | 770.89 | +0.22% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 769.72 | 771.0962 | +0.18% | 769.17 | -0.07% | 0.0000 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 770.475 | 771.0141 | +0.07% | 769.72 | -0.10% | 0.0030 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 765.15 | 765.3468 | +0.03% | 770.475 | +0.70% | 0.0062 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 763.8 | 763.8179 | +0.00% | 765.15 | +0.18% | 0.0022 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 766.01 | 764.9683 | -0.14% | 763.8 | -0.29% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 765.34 | 763.5568 | -0.23% | 766.01 | +0.09% | 0.0025 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 766.75 | 765.4985 | -0.16% | 765.34 | -0.18% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 763.06 | 760.0458 | -0.40% | 766.75 | +0.48% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 770.3 | 766.2648 | -0.52% | 763.06 | -0.94% | 0.0119 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 767.375 | 762.2625 | -0.67% | 770.3 | +0.38% | 0.0037 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 773.335 | 768.4445 | -0.63% | 767.375 | -0.77% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 777.65 | 772.8028 | -0.62% | 773.335 | -0.55% | 0.0058 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 777.08 | 772.3473 | -0.61% | 777.65 | +0.07% | 0.0076 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 776.58 | 771.5866 | -0.64% | 777.08 | +0.06% | 0.0069 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 778.54 | 771.7716 | -0.87% | 776.58 | -0.25% | 0.0080 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 772.95 | 766.887 | -0.78% | 778.54 | +0.72% | 0.0150 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 771.53 | 765.0945 | -0.83% | 772.95 | +0.18% | 0.0107 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 773.14 | 765.5201 | -0.99% | 771.53 | -0.21% | 0.0093 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 770.34 | 763.675 | -0.87% | 773.14 | +0.36% | 0.0161 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 773.83 | 765.9779 | -1.01% | 770.34 | -0.45% | 0.0059 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 773.54 | 765.1358 | -1.09% | 773.83 | +0.04% | 0.0112 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 769.85 | 760.9311 | -1.16% | 773.54 | +0.48% | 0.0139 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 771.95 | 764.4572 | -0.97% | 769.85 | -0.27% | 0.0122 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 773.64 | 763.288 | -1.34% | 771.95 | -0.22% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 759.05 | 747.8028 | -1.48% | 773.64 | +1.92% | 0.0248 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 750.47 | 745.5347 | -0.66% | 759.05 | +1.14% | 0.0185 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 745.165 | 738.3563 | -0.91% | 750.47 | +0.71% | 0.0046 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 745.49 | 738.2855 | -0.97% | 745.165 | -0.04% | 0.0103 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 744.68 | 738.0359 | -0.89% | 745.49 | +0.11% | 0.0398 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 733.825 | 725.8622 | -1.09% | 744.68 | +1.48% | 0.0128 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 743.59 | 735.6786 | -1.06% | 733.825 | -1.31% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 739.94 | 733.6209 | -0.85% | 743.59 | +0.49% | 0.0111 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 745.955 | 740.5977 | -0.72% | 739.94 | -0.81% | 0.0246 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 742.375 | 736.5756 | -0.78% | 745.955 | +0.48% | 0.0035 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 740.185 | 734.4982 | -0.77% | 742.375 | +0.30% | 0.0074 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 739.95 | 734.3247 | -0.76% | 740.185 | +0.03% | 0.0229 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 747.53 | 741.9662 | -0.74% | 739.95 | -1.01% | 0.0131 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 749.28 | 743.7486 | -0.74% | 747.53 | -0.23% | 0.0116 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 743.3 | 734.4632 | -1.19% | 749.28 | +0.80% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 746.62 | 740.7648 | -0.78% | 743.3 | -0.44% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 744.91 | 739.4541 | -0.73% | 746.62 | +0.23% | 0.0114 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 744.45 | 738.72 | -0.77% | 744.91 | +0.06% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 750.69 | 744.5498 | -0.82% | 744.45 | -0.83% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 1.00 |