SIGN

Sign · Ethereum · gru_s7

token id: #520
symbol: SIGN
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x868fced65edbf0056c4163515dd840e9f287a4c3
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-21
predictions: 525

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

145

of 175 predictions shown

direction hit

74.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1792

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0246

actual -0.0395

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.010474	0.010096	-3.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-20	oos	0.010772	0.010441	-3.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-19	oos	0.011014	0.010633	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-18	oos	0.011069	0.010721	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.011685	0.011325	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.011774	0.01144	-2.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.012009	0.011663	-2.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.011812	0.011453	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.0128	0.012401	-3.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-12	oos	0.012991	0.012536	-3.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-11	oos	0.012905	0.012464	-3.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-10	oos	0.012919	0.01246	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-09	oos	0.012907	0.012442	-3.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-08	oos	0.012345	0.011883	-3.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-07	oos	0.01225	0.011801	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-06	oos	0.012594	0.012122	-3.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.012734	0.012245	-3.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-04	oos	0.012807	0.012298	-3.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.012649	0.01215	-3.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.012734	0.012248	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.01223	0.011729	-4.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-30	oos	0.012499	0.011981	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.012441	0.011933	-4.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.012654	0.012111	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.013821	0.013132	-4.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.013853	0.013117	-5.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-25	oos	0.013473	0.012797	-5.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-24	oos	0.012913	0.01236	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.012528	0.012024	-4.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.012568	0.01205	-4.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.012193	0.011689	-4.14%	0.010474	-14.10%	0.0646	✓	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.011562	0.011117	-3.85%	0.010772	-6.83%	0.0537	✓	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.011772	0.011316	-3.88%	0.011014	-6.44%	0.0346	✓	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.011794	0.01136	-3.68%	0.011069	-6.16%	0.0405	✓	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.010752	0.010365	-3.60%	0.011685	+8.68%	0.0568	✗	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.010675	0.010327	-3.26%	0.011774	+10.29%	0.0640	✗	0.99
2026-09-15	oos	0.010572	0.010215	-3.38%	0.012009	+13.59%	0.0801	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.010665	0.010334	-3.11%	0.011812	+10.75%	0.0931	✗	0.96
2026-09-13	oos	0.009751	0.009401	-3.59%	0.0128	+31.26%	0.2361	✗	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.010795	0.010418	-3.49%	0.012991	+20.35%	0.1705	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.010615	0.010328	-2.71%	0.012905	+21.57%	0.1499	✗	0.91
2026-09-10	oos	0.01031	0.010092	-2.12%	0.012919	+25.31%	0.1751	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.010932	0.01077	-1.49%	0.012907	+18.06%	0.1350	✗	0.87
2026-09-08	oos	0.011235	0.011097	-1.23%	0.012345	+9.88%	0.0715	✗	0.87
2026-09-07	oos	0.010951	0.010855	-0.88%	0.01225	+11.86%	0.0754	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.010757	0.010788	+0.29%	0.012594	+17.08%	0.0964	✓	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.010377	0.010443	+0.64%	0.012734	+22.72%	0.1327	✓	0.92
2026-09-04	oos	0.009716	0.009823	+1.11%	0.012807	+31.81%	0.1916	✓	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.009525	0.0097	+1.84%	0.012649	+32.79%	0.2266	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.008784	0.008792	+0.10%	0.012734	+44.97%	0.2873	✓	0.93
2026-09-01	oos	0.008936	0.00896	+0.26%	0.01223	+36.86%	0.2243	✓	0.95
2026-08-31	oos	0.008794	0.008907	+1.28%	0.012499	+42.13%	0.2842	✓	0.89
2026-08-30	oos	0.008705	0.008817	+1.28%	0.012441	+42.92%	0.2784	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.008386	0.008549	+1.94%	0.012654	+50.89%	0.3317	✓	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.008235	0.008406	+2.08%	0.013821	+67.83%	0.4212	✓	0.93
2026-08-27	oos	0.008145	0.00844	+3.62%	0.013853	+70.08%	0.4470	✓	0.96
2026-08-26	oos	0.008134	0.008432	+3.67%	0.013473	+65.65%	0.4087	✓	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.007845	0.008077	+2.96%	0.012913	+64.60%	0.3994	✓	0.97
2026-08-24	oos	0.0078	0.008058	+3.31%	0.012528	+60.62%	0.3772	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.007819	0.007996	+2.26%	0.012568	+60.74%	0.3504	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	0.007708	0.007926	+2.82%	0.012193	+58.19%	0.3159	✓	0.98
2026-08-21	oos	0.007736	0.008001	+3.42%	0.011562	+49.45%	0.3330	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.007216	0.007232	+0.22%	0.011772	+63.13%	0.3822	✓	0.98
2026-08-19	oos	0.007008	0.006831	-2.52%	0.011794	+68.30%	0.3873	✗	1.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00654	0.006211	-5.02%	0.010752	+64.42%	0.3792	✗	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.006674	0.00634	-5.00%	0.010675	+59.94%	0.3498	✗	1.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.006659	0.006297	-5.45%	0.010572	+58.75%	0.3245	✗	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.006515	0.006156	-5.53%	0.010665	+63.69%	0.3229	✗	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.006387	0.006048	-5.31%	0.009751	+52.67%	0.2688	✗	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.006477	0.006156	-4.97%	0.010795	+66.65%	0.3507	✗	1.07
2026-08-12	oos	0.006531	0.006223	-4.71%	0.010615	+62.54%	0.3167	✗	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006685	0.006382	-4.53%	0.01031	+54.23%	0.2731	✗	1.11
2026-08-10	oos	0.00678	0.006511	-3.97%	0.010932	+61.25%	0.2903	✗	1.12
2026-08-09	oos	0.00686	0.006634	-3.29%	0.011235	+63.78%	0.3144	✗	1.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.00682	0.006627	-2.83%	0.010951	+60.57%	0.2823	✗	1.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006835	0.00663	-3.00%	0.010757	+57.38%	0.2457	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.006515	0.00631	-3.14%	0.010377	+59.28%	0.2591	✗	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.006635	0.006424	-3.19%	0.009716	+46.44%	0.1827	✗	1.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.00663	0.006418	-3.20%	0.009525	+43.67%	0.1332	✗	1.10
2026-08-03	oos	0.00678	0.006605	-2.58%	0.008784	+29.56%	0.0659	✗	1.11
2026-08-02	oos	0.00679	0.006605	-2.72%	0.008936	+31.61%	0.0830	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.00675	0.006576	-2.57%	0.008794	+30.28%	0.0395	✗	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.00686	0.006655	-2.99%	0.008705	+26.90%	0.0314	✗	1.12
2026-07-30	oos	0.007055	0.006823	-3.28%	0.008386	+18.87%	0.0082	✓	1.13
2026-07-29	oos	0.00702	0.006768	-3.58%	0.008235	+17.31%	0.0231	✓	1.11
2026-07-28	oos	0.007615	0.00733	-3.74%	0.008145	+6.96%	0.1496	✓	1.11
2026-07-27	oos	0.00772	0.007419	-3.90%	0.008134	+5.36%	0.1484	✓	1.11
2026-07-26	oos	0.00839	0.008047	-4.08%	0.007845	-6.50%	0.2221	✓	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.0083	0.007945	-4.28%	0.0078	-6.02%	0.2453	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.00824	0.007887	-4.28%	0.007819	-5.11%	0.2205	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.008445	0.008079	-4.34%	0.007708	-8.73%	0.2324	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.00858	0.008233	-4.04%	0.007736	-9.84%	0.2478	✓	1.09
2026-07-21	oos	0.00864	0.008302	-3.91%	0.007216	-16.48%	0.2419	✓	1.09
2026-07-20	oos	0.008565	0.008231	-3.90%	0.007008	-18.18%	0.2260	✓	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.008405	0.008064	-4.06%	0.00654	-22.20%	0.2095	✓	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.008395	0.008089	-3.65%	0.006674	-20.49%	0.1869	✓	1.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.00853	0.008261	-3.15%	0.006659	-21.93%	0.1975	✓	1.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.008395	0.00813	-3.15%	0.006515	-22.39%	0.2087	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.00866	0.008399	-3.02%	0.006387	-26.24%	0.2444	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.00869	0.00847	-2.53%	0.006477	-25.46%	0.2421	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.008555	0.008345	-2.46%	0.006531	-23.66%	0.2654	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.008585	0.008384	-2.34%	0.006685	-22.13%	0.2228	✓	1.14
2026-07-11	oos	0.008775	0.00857	-2.33%	0.00678	-22.74%	0.2368	✓	1.14
2026-07-10	oos	0.00876	0.008532	-2.60%	0.00686	-21.69%	0.2309	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.00867	0.00843	-2.77%	0.00682	-21.34%	0.2428	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008372	-2.60%	0.006835	-20.48%	0.2505	✓	1.14
2026-07-07	oos	0.00869	0.008452	-2.73%	0.006515	-25.03%	0.2774	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.00864	0.008406	-2.71%	0.006635	-23.21%	0.2474	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.00864	0.008399	-2.79%	0.00663	-23.26%	0.2450	✓	1.16
2026-07-04	oos	0.0087	0.0085	-2.30%	0.00678	-22.07%	0.2331	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.00871	0.008534	-2.02%	0.00679	-22.04%	0.2467	✓	1.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.008665	0.008511	-1.77%	0.00675	-22.10%	0.2560	✓	1.17
2026-07-01	oos	0.00844	0.008288	-1.80%	0.00686	-18.72%	0.2435	✓	1.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.00814	0.008	-1.72%	0.007055	-13.33%	0.2413	✓	1.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.00857	0.008395	-2.04%	0.00702	-18.09%	0.2472	✓	1.13
2026-06-28	oos	0.0083	0.008126	-2.10%	0.007615	-8.25%	0.1442	✓	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.008405	0.008238	-1.99%	0.00772	-8.15%	0.1329	✓	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.00864	0.008515	-1.45%	0.00839	-2.89%	0.1102	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.00832	0.008232	-1.05%	0.0083	-0.24%	0.0737	✓	1.10
2026-06-24	oos	0.008405	0.0083	-1.25%	0.00824	-1.96%	0.0629	✓	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.008755	0.008638	-1.34%	0.008445	-3.54%	0.0647	✓	1.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.0093	0.009161	-1.50%	0.00858	-7.74%	0.1014	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.009075	0.008957	-1.30%	0.00864	-4.79%	0.0907	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.0095	0.009368	-1.39%	0.008565	-9.84%	0.1059	✓	1.07
2026-06-19	oos	0.00932	0.009211	-1.16%	0.008405	-9.82%	0.1115	✓	1.06
2026-06-18	oos	0.00928	0.009184	-1.04%	0.008395	-9.54%	0.1215	✓	1.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.00949	0.009366	-1.30%	0.00853	-10.12%	0.0843	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.008815	0.008745	-0.79%	0.008395	-4.76%	0.0082	✓	1.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.008885	0.008821	-0.72%	0.00866	-2.53%	0.0090	✗	1.15
2026-06-14	oos	0.009	0.008941	-0.66%	0.00869	-3.44%	0.0157	✓	1.16
2026-06-13	oos	0.008615	0.008586	-0.34%	0.008555	-0.70%	0.0348	✗	1.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.00858	0.008546	-0.39%	0.008585	+0.06%	0.0009	✓	1.12
2026-06-11	oos	0.00857	0.008535	-0.41%	0.008775	+2.39%	0.0241	✗	1.12
2026-06-10	oos	0.0083	0.008288	-0.14%	0.00876	+5.54%	0.0079	✗	1.11
2026-06-09	oos	0.008605	0.008591	-0.17%	0.00867	+0.76%	0.0174	✓	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.00913	0.009069	-0.67%	0.008595	-5.86%	0.0394	✓	1.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.00876	0.008715	-0.51%	0.00869	-0.80%	0.0032	✓	1.09
2026-06-06	oos	0.00866	0.008649	-0.12%	0.00864	-0.23%	0.0589	✓	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.00885	0.008851	+0.02%	0.00864	-2.37%	0.0711	✗	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.00966	0.009598	-0.64%	0.0087	-9.94%	0.0861	✓	1.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.01054	0.010404	-1.29%	0.00871	-17.36%	0.1520	✓	1.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.01031	0.01016	-1.46%	0.008665	-15.96%	0.0550	✓	1.29
2026-06-01	oos	0.01101	0.010645	-3.31%	0.00844	-23.34%	0.0343	✗	1.54
2026-05-31	oos	0.0119	0.011322	-4.86%	0.00814	-31.60%	0.0022	✓	1.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.011635	0.011123	-4.40%	0.00857	-26.34%	0.0369	✓	1.46
2026-05-29	oos	0.011735	0.011225	-4.35%	0.0083	-29.27%	0.0059	✓	1.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.01153	0.011032	-4.32%	0.008405	-27.10%	0.0282	✓	1.47
2026-05-27	oos	0.01209	0.011534	-4.60%	0.00864	-28.54%	0.0192	✓	1.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.01232	0.011711	-4.94%	0.00832	-32.47%	0.0168	✓	1.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.01291	0.012226	-5.30%	0.008405	-34.90%	0.0259	✓	1.48
2026-05-24	oos	0.01273	0.01206	-5.26%	0.008755	-31.23%	0.0184	✓	1.47
2026-05-23	oos	0.013085	0.012394	-5.28%	0.0093	-28.93%	0.0190	✓	1.48
2026-05-22	oos	0.01276	0.012122	-5.00%	0.009075	-28.88%	0.0338	✓	1.45
2026-05-21	oos	0.01351	0.012795	-5.29%	0.0095	-29.68%	0.0314	✓	1.41
2026-05-20	oos	0.012955	0.01229	-5.14%	0.00932	-28.06%	0.0773	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.01279	0.012167	-4.87%	0.00928	-27.44%	0.0713	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.012985	0.012408	-4.44%	0.00949	-26.92%	0.0909	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.013405	0.01281	-4.44%	0.008815	-34.24%	0.2085	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0138	0.013215	-4.24%	0.008885	-35.62%	0.2328	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01476	0.014138	-4.22%	0.009	-39.02%	0.2666	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.01595	0.015372	-3.63%	0.008615	-45.99%	0.3492	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01559	0.014921	-4.29%	0.00858	-44.96%	0.3319	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01654	0.015837	-4.25%	0.00857	-48.19%	0.3781	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.016455	0.015826	-3.82%	0.0083	-49.56%	0.3602	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.016415	0.0159	-3.14%	0.008605	-47.58%	0.3269	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01612	0.015562	-3.46%	0.00913	-43.36%	0.2872	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.01606	0.015496	-3.51%	0.00876	-45.45%	0.3339	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01576	0.01522	-3.43%	0.00866	-45.05%	0.2902	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01607	0.015642	-2.66%	0.00885	-44.93%	0.2811	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01597	0.015497	-2.96%	0.00966	-39.51%	0.2352	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.01593	0.015405	-3.29%	0.01054	-33.84%	0.1589	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01549	0.014896	-3.83%	0.01031	-33.44%	0.2037	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01572	0.015132	-3.74%	0.01101	-29.96%	0.2197	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01564	0.015049	-3.78%	0.0119	-23.91%	0.1734	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01568	0.015036	-4.11%	0.011635	-25.80%	0.2227	✓	1.00