QUAI

Quai Network · native · gru_s7

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +30d

assessed

157

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

89.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3345

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0319

actual -0.2561

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.007306	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007674	-4.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008081	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008302	-4.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008574	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008568	-4.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008686	-4.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008512	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008687	-3.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.008724	-4.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009192	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009264	-4.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.008974	-4.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.008973	-4.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.008888	-4.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009487	-4.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.009748	-4.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010615	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.010955	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010466	-4.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.009807	-4.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.009951	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010361	-3.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.010921	-3.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010433	-3.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.010837	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.009903	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009686	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.009832	-2.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.00972	-2.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009504	-2.07%	0.00768	-20.87%	0.1678	✓	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008282	-3.19%	0.008005	-6.43%	0.0538	✓	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008414	-3.40%	0.00846	-2.87%	0.0013	✓	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008421	-3.21%	0.008665	-0.40%	0.0164	✓	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.00828	-4.16%	0.008945	+3.53%	0.0186	✓	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008296	-4.32%	0.008945	+3.17%	0.0140	✓	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008409	-4.82%	0.00905	+2.43%	0.0052	✓	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008315	-4.53%	0.00887	+1.84%	0.0287	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008529	-4.44%	0.00902	+1.06%	0.0136	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009377	-4.47%	0.00913	-6.98%	0.0747	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.009679	-4.26%	0.009625	-4.80%	0.0725	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010204	-4.10%	0.009735	-8.51%	0.1120	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.010973	-2.94%	0.00943	-16.59%	0.1932	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.010874	-2.39%	0.009405	-15.57%	0.1766	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.01254	-2.30%	0.00934	-27.23%	0.3333	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010737	-0.45%	0.00993	-7.93%	0.1333	✓	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.01086	-0.00%	0.010215	-5.94%	0.1238	✓	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009799	+0.66%	0.01106	+13.61%	0.0516	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008375	+0.66%	0.011445	+37.56%	0.2712	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.00727	-2.87%	0.010955	+46.36%	0.3360	✗	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.007738	-2.66%	0.01027	+29.18%	0.2065	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008394	-1.83%	0.01042	+21.87%	0.1678	✗	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.008649	-2.27%	0.010775	+21.75%	0.1661	✗	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.00883	-1.56%	0.01136	+26.64%	0.2059	✗	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009252	-1.99%	0.01082	+14.62%	0.0983	✗	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.01065	+1.24%	0.011225	+6.70%	0.0200	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.010023	+0.08%	0.01026	+2.45%	0.0155	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011148	+0.16%	0.01001	-10.06%	0.1539	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011592	-0.20%	0.01013	-12.79%	0.1784	✓	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011536	-1.40%	0.00994	-15.04%	0.2145	✓	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011508	-2.31%	0.009705	-17.61%	0.2442	✓	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.011858	-0.94%	0.008555	-28.53%	0.3491	✓	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011434	-5.11%	0.00871	-27.72%	0.3446	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011222	-6.79%	0.0087	-27.74%	0.3654	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011048	-7.78%	0.00864	-27.88%	0.3790	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.010778	-7.48%	0.00867	-25.58%	0.3527	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.010758	-7.10%	0.008835	-23.70%	0.3483	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.010541	-6.71%	0.00871	-22.92%	0.3680	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.010726	-6.73%	0.008925	-22.39%	0.3460	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.010737	-7.12%	0.009815	-15.10%	0.2501	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010288	-6.39%	0.01011	-8.01%	0.1703	✓	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010429	-6.38%	0.01064	-4.49%	0.1176	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.01091	-6.75%	0.011305	-3.38%	0.1092	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011108	-6.85%	0.01114	-6.58%	0.1314	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011056	-6.70%	0.012835	+8.31%	0.0104	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011088	-6.51%	0.010785	-9.06%	0.1694	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.010997	-6.17%	0.01086	-7.34%	0.1551	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.010794	-6.06%	0.009735	-15.27%	0.2410	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.010924	-6.03%	0.00832	-28.43%	0.4257	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.010712	-5.70%	0.007485	-34.11%	0.4833	✓	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.011582	-5.69%	0.00795	-35.26%	0.5006	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.011593	-5.37%	0.00855	-30.20%	0.4471	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011073	-5.36%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.3581	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.011505	-6.04%	0.00897	-26.75%	0.3654	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.0125	-5.59%	0.00944	-28.70%	0.4007	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013187	-5.74%	0.01052	-24.80%	0.3634	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.01321	-5.64%	0.010015	-28.46%	0.4050	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.01487	-5.29%	0.01113	-29.11%	0.3863	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.014422	-5.25%	0.011615	-23.69%	0.3181	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.013936	-5.71%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2660	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.015993	-5.31%	0.01178	-30.25%	0.3774	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016063	-5.06%	0.01197	-29.26%	0.3684	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016325	-4.56%	0.01205	-29.55%	0.3448	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.016646	-4.58%	0.01204	-30.98%	0.3532	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016342	-4.49%	0.01198	-29.98%	0.3105	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.017669	-4.10%	0.01165	-36.77%	0.4144	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.017877	-3.68%	0.01158	-37.61%	0.4272	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.019163	-4.19%	0.0113	-43.50%	0.5232	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.016636	-3.70%	0.0115	-33.43%	0.3549	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.018313	-4.27%	0.01156	-39.57%	0.4467	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013113	-2.65%	0.01099	-18.41%	0.1774	✓	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016554	-3.33%	0.01114	-34.95%	0.3965	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.028379	-9.19%	0.0117	-62.56%	0.8859	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.013002	-1.12%	0.011925	-9.32%	0.0868	✓	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013386	-1.07%	0.01185	-12.42%	0.1228	✓	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012681	-0.23%	0.01186	-6.69%	0.0653	✓	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.011984	+0.08%	0.01172	-2.13%	0.0222	✗	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012671	+0.17%	0.01149	-9.17%	0.0977	✗	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012889	+0.11%	0.011625	-9.71%	0.1031	✗	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012398	+0.59%	0.01136	-7.83%	0.0873	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.012129	+0.99%	0.01228	+2.25%	0.0130	✓	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011216	+1.13%	0.01225	+10.46%	0.0902	✓	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014527	-1.78%	0.0117	-20.89%	0.2230	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010323	+1.40%	0.012245	+20.28%	0.1903	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009234	+1.36%	0.01324	+45.33%	0.3657	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010395	+1.61%	0.01399	+36.75%	0.3001	✓	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009655	+1.52%	0.014	+47.21%	0.3733	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009851	+1.82%	0.0157	+62.27%	0.4684	✓	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009681	+1.80%	0.01522	+60.04%	0.4551	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.01058	+1.24%	0.01478	+41.44%	0.3386	✓	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.011113	+1.03%	0.01689	+53.55%	0.4232	✓	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012179	+0.74%	0.01692	+39.95%	0.3346	✓	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012256	+0.92%	0.017105	+40.84%	0.3425	✓	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011833	+1.13%	0.017445	+49.10%	0.3906	✓	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012702	+1.33%	0.01711	+36.50%	0.3004	✓	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013527	+1.25%	0.018425	+37.91%	0.3124	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012521	+1.14%	0.01856	+49.92%	0.3933	✓	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.012202	+1.30%	0.02	+66.04%	0.4938	✓	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.012993	+0.88%	0.017275	+34.12%	0.2842	✓	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013493	+0.70%	0.01913	+42.76%	0.3489	✓	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013875	+0.94%	0.01347	-2.00%	0.0300	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014968	+0.79%	0.017125	+15.32%	0.1345	✓	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015615	+0.68%	0.03125	+101.48%	0.6937	✓	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015601	+1.14%	0.01315	-14.75%	0.1711	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.01711	+0.38%	0.01353	-20.62%	0.2348	✗	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017938	-0.18%	0.01271	-29.27%	0.3450	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017766	-0.25%	0.011975	-32.76%	0.3945	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017984	+0.30%	0.01265	-29.45%	0.3497	✗	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019572	-0.19%	0.012875	-34.34%	0.4171	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019811	-0.80%	0.012325	-38.28%	0.4753	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.020761	-1.19%	0.01201	-42.84%	0.5490	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.021095	-2.02%	0.01109	-48.49%	0.6515	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021298	-3.41%	0.01479	-32.93%	0.4011	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.021512	-4.12%	0.01018	-54.62%	0.8048	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.020613	-3.99%	0.00911	-57.57%	0.8646	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.021454	-4.05%	0.01023	-54.25%	0.7876	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.020282	-3.88%	0.00951	-54.93%	0.8007	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.020717	-4.36%	0.009675	-55.33%	0.8103	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.021922	-5.12%	0.00951	-58.84%	0.9133	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.020974	-5.18%	0.01045	-52.76%	0.7570	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.02192	-5.21%	0.011	-52.43%	0.7409	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.021111	-4.86%	0.01209	-45.52%	0.6046	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.023239	-5.25%	0.012145	-50.48%	0.6767	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.023614	-5.73%	0.0117	-53.29%	0.7407	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.025459	-5.98%	0.012535	-53.71%	0.7504	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.024486	-6.06%	0.01336	-48.74%	0.6536	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.026232	-6.15%	0.01238	-55.71%	0.7974	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.026906	-6.09%	0.012045	-57.96%	0.8496	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.026742	-5.95%	0.01288	-54.70%	0.7747	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.026729	-5.87%	0.0134	-52.81%	0.7398	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.026497	-5.81%	0.013745	-51.14%	0.7133	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.027515	-5.55%	0.01485	-49.02%	0.6607	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.026724	-5.53%	0.01551	-45.17%	0.5774	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.026787	-5.38%	0.015425	-45.51%	0.5911	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.026504	-5.04%	0.017045	-38.93%	0.4751	✓	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.02796	-4.48%	0.01797	-38.61%	0.4543	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.028084	-4.54%	0.01781	-39.46%	0.2190	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.028949	-4.46%	0.01793	-40.83%	0.2054	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.028816	-4.01%	0.01961	-34.68%	0.0965	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.029096	-4.04%	0.01997	-34.14%	0.1389	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.029478	-4.54%	0.02101	-31.96%	0.1180	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.028904	-4.86%	0.02153	-29.13%	0.1303	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.030331	-4.11%	0.02205	-30.29%	0.2205	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.030738	-3.88%	0.022435	-29.85%	0.2535	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.032112	-3.86%	0.02147	-35.72%	0.3688	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.033345	-4.29%	0.02236	-35.82%	0.3676	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.032837	-4.21%	0.0211	-38.45%	0.4048	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.033797	-4.01%	0.02166	-38.48%	0.4047	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.033722	-3.43%	0.023105	-33.83%	0.3412	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.034769	-3.57%	0.02212	-38.65%	0.4470	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.034381	-3.64%	0.023125	-35.19%	0.3903	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.036168	-2.70%	0.02219	-40.30%	0.4675	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.034909	-2.71%	0.024525	-31.65%	0.3171	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.03353	-3.50%	0.02505	-27.90%	0.3071	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.032693	-3.50%	0.02708	-20.07%	0.2094	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.033926	-4.00%	0.026065	-26.25%	0.3027	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.034302	-2.77%	0.02795	-20.78%	0.2206	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.