ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · gru_s7
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 285
Track record at +1d
assessed
93
of 95 predictions shown
direction hit
65.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1526
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0122
actual -0.0300
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.03943 | 0.038665 | -1.94% | – | pending | – | – | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.03956 | 0.038679 | -2.23% | 0.03943 | -0.33% | 0.0131 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.040272 | -4.50% | 0.03956 | -6.19% | 0.0537 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.021349 | -0.38% | 0.04217 | +96.78% | 0.6497 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.020704 | -0.70% | 0.02143 | +2.78% | 0.0393 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.027655 | -0.06% | 0.02085 | -24.65% | 0.3012 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.033076 | -0.34% | 0.02767 | -16.63% | 0.1749 | ✓ | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.029286 | -0.31% | 0.033189 | +12.98% | 0.1439 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.033566 | -0.27% | 0.029376 | -12.72% | 0.1506 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.036019 | -0.62% | 0.033658 | -7.13% | 0.0221 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.036274 | -0.71% | 0.036243 | -0.79% | 0.0426 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.053276 | -0.94% | 0.036532 | -32.08% | 0.3322 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.060422 | -1.35% | 0.053783 | -12.19% | 0.1350 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.05868 | -1.86% | 0.061248 | +2.43% | 0.0339 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.041682 | -1.74% | 0.059795 | +40.96% | 0.3413 | ✗ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.049279 | -2.19% | 0.04242 | -15.80% | 0.1190 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.051953 | -2.71% | 0.050383 | -5.65% | 0.0083 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.06625 | -2.13% | 0.0534 | -21.12% | 0.2124 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.092394 | -1.39% | 0.067695 | -27.75% | 0.3023 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.103787 | -2.16% | 0.093694 | -11.67% | 0.1289 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.07675 | -1.59% | 0.106073 | +36.01% | 0.3199 | ✗ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.084877 | -1.60% | 0.077989 | -9.58% | 0.0806 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.087896 | -2.28% | 0.086255 | -4.11% | 0.0342 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.065658 | -1.82% | 0.089951 | +34.50% | 0.3158 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.069774 | -1.68% | 0.066876 | -5.76% | 0.0446 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.08973 | -2.33% | 0.070965 | -22.75% | 0.2226 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.071941 | -1.72% | 0.09187 | +25.50% | 0.2440 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.074057 | -2.34% | 0.073202 | -3.47% | 0.0155 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.060174 | -1.82% | 0.075834 | +23.73% | 0.2348 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.064683 | -2.16% | 0.06129 | -7.30% | 0.0540 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.059833 | -1.87% | 0.066113 | +8.43% | 0.1211 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.076378 | -4.05% | 0.06097 | -23.41% | 0.2207 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.053819 | -2.76% | 0.079604 | +43.83% | 0.3266 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.05332 | -4.37% | 0.055348 | -0.73% | 0.0382 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.038472 | -2.48% | 0.055756 | +41.33% | 0.3666 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.04765 | -5.55% | 0.039451 | -21.80% | 0.2464 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.027285 | -4.42% | 0.05045 | +76.73% | 0.6120 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.015752 | -2.02% | 0.028547 | +77.56% | 0.5872 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.013925 | -2.03% | 0.016078 | +13.11% | 0.1774 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.015071 | -1.82% | 0.014214 | -7.41% | 0.0763 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.016937 | -1.73% | 0.015351 | -10.93% | 0.0923 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.019325 | -1.77% | 0.017236 | -12.39% | 0.1151 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001561 | -3.91% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 0.000001078 | -4.57% | 0.000001625 | +43.81% | 0.4235 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 7.32e-7 | -4.88% | 0.00000113 | +46.75% | 0.4186 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001411 | -4.32% | 7.70e-7 | -47.80% | 0.5978 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010455 | -0.57% | 0.000001475 | -85.97% | 1.9594 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.00000936 | -0.42% | 0.000010515 | +11.86% | 0.1093 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000010081 | -0.44% | 0.0000094 | -7.16% | 0.0716 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010504 | -0.43% | 0.000010125 | -4.03% | 0.0308 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010872 | -0.44% | 0.00001055 | -3.39% | 0.0326 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000010967 | -0.44% | 0.00001092 | -0.86% | 0.0113 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000011158 | -0.42% | 0.000011015 | -1.70% | 0.0118 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012611 | -0.59% | 0.000011205 | -11.67% | 0.1226 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011624 | -0.48% | 0.000012685 | +8.60% | 0.0841 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009543 | -0.18% | 0.00001168 | +22.18% | 0.1733 | ✗ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010351 | -0.19% | 0.00000956 | -7.81% | 0.0712 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011676 | -0.25% | 0.00001037 | -11.41% | 0.1015 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011682 | -0.11% | 0.000011705 | +0.09% | 0.0127 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012655 | -0.12% | 0.000011695 | -7.70% | 0.0613 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.00001353 | -0.22% | 0.00001267 | -6.56% | 0.0455 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014615 | -0.38% | 0.00001356 | -7.57% | 0.0747 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015314 | -0.56% | 0.00001467 | -4.74% | 0.0212 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015352 | -0.51% | 0.0000154 | -0.19% | 0.0016 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000015585 | -0.55% | 0.00001543 | -1.53% | 0.0038 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000014945 | -0.17% | 0.00001567 | +4.68% | 0.0297 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015238 | -0.08% | 0.00001497 | -1.84% | 0.0199 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016521 | -0.18% | 0.00001525 | -7.85% | 0.0906 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016585 | -0.03% | 0.00001655 | -0.24% | 0.0014 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017411 | -0.22% | 0.00001659 | -4.93% | 0.0228 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000017882 | -0.21% | 0.00001745 | -2.62% | 0.0120 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.000017293 | +0.31% | 0.00001792 | +3.94% | 0.0177 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000019779 | +0.40% | 0.00001724 | -12.49% | 0.2096 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000023905 | -0.06% | 0.0000197 | -17.64% | 0.1463 | ✓ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027647 | -0.19% | 0.00002392 | -13.65% | 0.1397 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029451 | -0.17% | 0.0000277 | -6.10% | 0.0605 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000032961 | -0.30% | 0.0000295 | -10.77% | 0.1064 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031736 | -0.11% | 0.00003306 | +4.06% | 0.0315 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033368 | -0.10% | 0.00003177 | -4.88% | 0.0844 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035852 | -0.13% | 0.0000334 | -6.96% | 0.0601 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000038127 | -0.19% | 0.0000359 | -6.02% | 0.0768 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000040195 | -0.26% | 0.0000382 | -5.21% | 0.0757 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000040113 | -0.22% | 0.0000403 | +0.25% | 0.0092 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000042156 | -0.34% | 0.0000402 | -4.96% | 0.0304 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000044147 | -0.57% | 0.0000423 | -4.73% | 0.0126 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000045826 | -0.81% | 0.0000444 | -3.90% | 0.0159 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000042865 | -0.55% | 0.0000462 | +7.19% | 0.0661 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.00004188 | -0.52% | 0.0000431 | +2.38% | 0.0511 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000040521 | -0.44% | 0.0000421 | +3.44% | 0.0526 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000039353 | -0.37% | 0.0000407 | +3.04% | 0.0227 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000040691 | -0.75% | 0.0000395 | -3.66% | 0.0230 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000041737 | -1.10% | 0.000041 | -2.84% | 0.0023 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000036534 | -1.26% | 0.0000422 | +14.05% | 0.1576 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.00004649 | -0.87% | 0.000037 | -21.11% | 0.1999 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000055309 | -0.70% | 0.0000469 | -15.80% | 0.1771 | ✓ | 1.00 |