NOCK
Nockchain · Base · gru_s7
- token id
- #744
- symbol
- NOCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-25
- predictions
- 333
Track record at +7d
assessed
104
of 111 predictions shown
direction hit
63.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2332
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0304
actual -0.0266
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.02273 | 0.021272 | -6.42% | – | pending | – | – | 1.59 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.02224 | 0.020757 | -6.67% | – | pending | – | – | 1.58 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.02115 | 0.020045 | -5.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.01957 | 0.018927 | -3.29% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.018735 | 0.018303 | -2.30% | – | pending | – | – | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.01787 | 0.017685 | -1.03% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.01995 | 0.01946 | -2.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.01899 | 0.018782 | -1.09% | 0.02273 | +19.69% | 0.1579 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.02035 | 0.020017 | -1.64% | 0.02224 | +9.29% | 0.0663 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.02241 | 0.021715 | -3.10% | 0.02115 | -5.62% | 0.0238 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.02193 | 0.021521 | -1.87% | 0.01957 | -10.76% | 0.0965 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.024565 | 0.023612 | -3.88% | 0.018735 | -23.73% | 0.2016 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.027275 | 0.025891 | -5.07% | 0.01787 | -34.48% | 0.3444 | ✓ | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.02348 | 0.023076 | -1.72% | 0.01995 | -15.03% | 0.1275 | ✓ | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.020085 | 0.020307 | +1.11% | 0.01899 | -5.45% | 0.0745 | ✗ | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.023665 | 0.023325 | -1.44% | 0.02035 | -14.01% | 0.1092 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.024845 | 0.024189 | -2.64% | 0.02241 | -9.80% | 0.0388 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.025125 | 0.02445 | -2.69% | 0.02193 | -12.72% | 0.0441 | ✓ | 1.35 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01995 | 0.020071 | +0.61% | 0.024565 | +23.13% | 0.2484 | ✓ | 1.39 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01937 | 0.019639 | +1.39% | 0.027275 | +40.81% | 0.3586 | ✓ | 1.38 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01954 | 0.019763 | +1.14% | 0.02348 | +20.16% | 0.2043 | ✓ | 1.36 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.020375 | 0.020385 | +0.05% | 0.020085 | -1.42% | 0.0370 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.022815 | 0.022682 | -0.58% | 0.023665 | +3.73% | 0.0472 | ✗ | 1.41 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.024225 | 0.023984 | -0.99% | 0.024845 | +2.56% | 0.0022 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.022935 | 0.022576 | -1.57% | 0.025125 | +9.55% | 0.0675 | ✗ | 1.46 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.02204 | 0.021271 | -3.49% | 0.01995 | -9.48% | 0.1017 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.030865 | 0.02936 | -4.88% | 0.01937 | -37.24% | 0.4218 | ✓ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.031395 | 0.029697 | -5.41% | 0.01954 | -37.76% | 0.4263 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.03092 | 0.029023 | -6.14% | 0.020375 | -34.10% | 0.3624 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.0308 | 0.028805 | -6.48% | 0.022815 | -25.93% | 0.2178 | ✓ | 1.57 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.036775 | 0.034628 | -5.84% | 0.024225 | -34.13% | 0.3128 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.04147 | 0.039181 | -5.52% | 0.022935 | -44.69% | 0.4821 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.038625 | 0.036494 | -5.52% | 0.02204 | -42.94% | 0.5635 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.043515 | 0.041181 | -5.36% | 0.030865 | -29.07% | 0.3448 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.048125 | 0.045119 | -6.25% | 0.031395 | -34.76% | 0.4200 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0388 | 0.036801 | -5.15% | 0.03092 | -20.31% | 0.2975 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.03942 | 0.037328 | -5.31% | 0.0308 | -21.87% | 0.3187 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.036105 | 0.034311 | -4.97% | 0.036775 | +1.86% | 0.0910 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.03963 | 0.037639 | -5.02% | 0.04147 | +4.64% | 0.0213 | ✓ | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.051235 | 0.048188 | -5.95% | 0.038625 | -24.61% | 0.2928 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050925 | 0.047077 | -7.56% | 0.043515 | -14.55% | 0.1439 | ✓ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.03621 | 0.034379 | -5.06% | 0.048125 | +32.91% | 0.2746 | ✗ | 1.33 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.033195 | 0.031755 | -4.34% | 0.0388 | +16.89% | 0.2036 | ✗ | 1.32 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.030795 | 0.029706 | -3.54% | 0.03942 | +28.01% | 0.3222 | ✗ | 1.42 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.038595 | 0.03643 | -5.61% | 0.036105 | -6.45% | 0.0422 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.03316 | 0.031653 | -4.54% | 0.03963 | +19.51% | 0.2416 | ✗ | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.032875 | 0.031014 | -5.66% | 0.051235 | +55.85% | 0.5684 | ✗ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.0209 | 0.020677 | -1.07% | 0.050925 | +143.66% | 0.9483 | ✗ | 1.44 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.02251 | 0.022235 | -1.22% | 0.03621 | +60.86% | 0.5326 | ✗ | 1.43 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.01819 | 0.018144 | -0.25% | 0.033195 | +82.49% | 0.7035 | ✗ | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.01672 | 0.016582 | -0.83% | 0.030795 | +84.18% | 0.5986 | ✗ | 1.63 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.0209 | 0.020611 | -1.38% | 0.038595 | +84.67% | 0.6059 | ✗ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.016965 | 0.016936 | -0.17% | 0.03316 | +95.46% | 0.6600 | ✗ | 1.78 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01601 | 0.015924 | -0.54% | 0.032875 | +105.34% | 0.6653 | ✗ | 1.76 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01545 | 0.015325 | -0.81% | 0.0209 | +35.28% | 0.2740 | ✗ | 1.79 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014115 | 0.0139 | -1.52% | 0.02251 | +59.48% | 0.4404 | ✗ | 1.79 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016785 | 0.016685 | -0.59% | 0.01819 | +8.37% | 0.0663 | ✗ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.01661 | 0.016433 | -1.07% | 0.01672 | +0.66% | 0.0533 | ✗ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.0199 | 0.019654 | -1.24% | 0.0209 | +5.03% | 0.0853 | ✗ | 1.65 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.01984 | 0.019589 | -1.27% | 0.016965 | -14.49% | 0.1350 | ✓ | 1.66 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.02078 | 0.020396 | -1.85% | 0.01601 | -22.95% | 0.2407 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.0206 | 0.02011 | -2.38% | 0.01545 | -25.00% | 0.2893 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.02013 | 0.019708 | -2.10% | 0.014115 | -29.88% | 0.3229 | ✓ | 1.75 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.017805 | 0.017137 | -3.75% | 0.016785 | -5.73% | 0.1811 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.01454 | 0.014049 | -3.37% | 0.01661 | +14.24% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 1.26 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.01529 | 0.014512 | -5.09% | 0.0199 | +30.15% | 0.0757 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.01648 | 0.015384 | -6.65% | 0.01984 | +20.39% | 0.1571 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.00971 | 0.009417 | -3.01% | 0.02078 | +114.01% | 0.6197 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.01037 | 0.01005 | -3.08% | 0.0206 | +98.65% | 0.5584 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.009505 | 0.009212 | -3.09% | 0.02013 | +111.78% | 0.6081 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.00902 | 0.008729 | -3.22% | 0.017805 | +97.39% | 0.5908 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.011985 | 0.011594 | -3.26% | 0.01454 | +21.32% | 0.1518 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.01267 | 0.012208 | -3.65% | 0.01529 | +20.68% | 0.2102 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.01093 | 0.010562 | -3.37% | 0.01648 | +50.78% | 0.4364 | ✗ | 0.96 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.009845 | 0.009503 | -3.48% | 0.00971 | -1.37% | 0.0596 | ✗ | 1.21 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.010245 | 0.009871 | -3.65% | 0.01037 | +1.22% | 0.0849 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.010525 | 0.010098 | -4.06% | 0.009505 | -9.69% | 0.0244 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.01052 | 0.010138 | -3.63% | 0.00902 | -14.26% | 0.1012 | ✓ | 1.19 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.011685 | 0.011257 | -3.66% | 0.011985 | +2.57% | 0.0838 | ✗ | 1.14 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.012345 | 0.011921 | -3.44% | 0.01267 | +2.63% | 0.0704 | ✗ | 1.16 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.011605 | 0.011246 | -3.09% | 0.01093 | -5.82% | 0.0362 | ✓ | 1.10 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.0113 | 0.010954 | -3.06% | 0.009845 | -12.88% | 0.1302 | ✓ | 1.11 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.01103 | 0.010728 | -2.74% | 0.010245 | -7.12% | 0.0819 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.012835 | 0.012476 | -2.80% | 0.010525 | -18.00% | 0.2036 | ✓ | 1.04 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.01223 | 0.011846 | -3.14% | 0.01052 | -13.98% | 0.1085 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.012565 | 0.012223 | -2.73% | 0.011685 | -7.00% | 0.0611 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.013 | 0.012653 | -2.67% | 0.012345 | -5.04% | 0.0293 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.01546 | 0.014982 | -3.09% | 0.011605 | -24.94% | 0.2501 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.01542 | 0.014929 | -3.19% | 0.0113 | -26.72% | 0.2289 | ✓ | 1.73 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.015505 | 0.015067 | -2.82% | 0.01103 | -28.86% | 0.2699 | ✓ | 1.74 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.01597 | 0.015536 | -2.71% | 0.012835 | -19.63% | 0.1712 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.0161 | 0.015625 | -2.95% | 0.01223 | -24.04% | 0.2399 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.014495 | 0.014055 | -3.04% | 0.012565 | -13.31% | 0.0783 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.01253 | 0.012098 | -3.45% | 0.013 | +3.75% | 0.1128 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.015555 | 0.015104 | -2.90% | 0.01546 | -0.61% | 0.0469 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.01812 | 0.017615 | -2.79% | 0.01542 | -14.90% | 0.1432 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.01853 | 0.018034 | -2.68% | 0.015505 | -16.32% | 0.1434 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.01878 | 0.018317 | -2.47% | 0.01597 | -14.96% | 0.1401 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.020335 | 0.019829 | -2.49% | 0.0161 | -20.83% | 0.2282 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.022055 | 0.021478 | -2.62% | 0.014495 | -34.28% | 0.4142 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.02333 | 0.022663 | -2.86% | 0.01253 | -46.29% | 0.6158 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.01811 | 0.01765 | -2.54% | 0.015555 | -14.11% | 0.1726 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.016905 | 0.016403 | -2.97% | 0.01812 | +7.19% | 0.0849 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.01807 | 0.017553 | -2.86% | 0.01853 | +2.55% | 0.0382 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.020035 | 0.019538 | -2.48% | 0.01878 | -6.26% | 0.0359 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.02064 | 0.020128 | -2.48% | 0.020335 | -1.48% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.02032 | 0.019811 | -2.50% | 0.022055 | +8.54% | 0.0682 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.02279 | 0.022248 | -2.38% | 0.02333 | +2.37% | 0.0215 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.020825 | 0.020309 | -2.48% | 0.01811 | -13.04% | 0.0871 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.02308 | 0.022512 | -2.46% | 0.016905 | -26.75% | 0.2889 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.02652 | 0.025824 | -2.63% | 0.01807 | -31.86% | 0.3679 | ✓ | 1.00 |