MON

Monad · native · gru_s7

token id: #168
symbol: MON
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-24
predictions: 969

Track record at +7d

assessed

316

of 323 predictions shown

direction hit

51.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0950

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0202

actual +0.0011

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.021918	0.02126	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.022084	0.021504	-2.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-19	oos	0.0209	0.020516	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.021073	0.020688	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-17	oos	0.021746	0.021352	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-16	oos	0.022843	0.022423	-1.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.022939	0.022481	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-14	oos	0.024094	0.023616	-1.98%	0.021918	-9.03%	0.0965	✓	1.59
2026-10-13	oos	0.024401	0.023808	-2.43%	0.022084	-9.50%	0.0720	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.024261	0.023634	-2.59%	0.0209	-13.86%	0.1248	✓	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.027548	0.026744	-2.92%	0.021073	-23.51%	0.2082	✓	1.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.025129	0.024255	-3.48%	0.021746	-13.46%	0.0819	✓	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.024415	0.023394	-4.18%	0.022843	-6.44%	0.0052	✓	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.023977	0.022841	-4.74%	0.022939	-4.33%	0.0034	✓	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.025431	0.024268	-4.57%	0.024094	-5.26%	0.0227	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.028428	0.027374	-3.71%	0.024401	-14.16%	0.0751	✓	1.38
2026-10-05	oos	0.031459	0.03047	-3.14%	0.024261	-22.88%	0.1618	✓	1.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.03334	0.032366	-2.92%	0.027548	-17.37%	0.1157	✓	1.37
2026-10-03	oos	0.033871	0.032866	-2.97%	0.025129	-25.81%	0.2378	✓	1.40
2026-10-02	oos	0.032313	0.031302	-3.13%	0.024415	-24.44%	0.2155	✓	1.40
2026-10-01	oos	0.033663	0.032495	-3.47%	0.023977	-28.77%	0.2509	✓	1.40
2026-09-30	oos	0.031757	0.030622	-3.57%	0.025431	-19.92%	0.1811	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	0.026859	0.025791	-3.97%	0.028428	+5.84%	0.0662	✗	1.39
2026-09-28	oos	0.028539	0.027395	-4.01%	0.031459	+10.23%	0.1000	✗	1.42
2026-09-27	oos	0.02811	0.027	-3.95%	0.03334	+18.60%	0.1769	✗	1.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.026738	0.025671	-3.99%	0.033871	+26.68%	0.2717	✗	1.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.026401	0.025293	-4.20%	0.032313	+22.39%	0.2380	✗	1.43
2026-09-24	oos	0.02498	0.023928	-4.21%	0.033663	+34.76%	0.3335	✗	1.44
2026-09-23	oos	0.023997	0.02298	-4.24%	0.031757	+32.34%	0.3376	✗	1.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.027307	0.026194	-4.08%	0.026859	-1.64%	0.0665	✗	1.38
2026-09-21	oos	0.025628	0.024569	-4.13%	0.028539	+11.36%	0.2006	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.023953	-4.15%	0.02811	+12.49%	0.1008	✗	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.024811	0.023811	-4.03%	0.026738	+7.76%	0.0590	✗	1.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.024673	0.023751	-3.74%	0.026401	+7.00%	0.0487	✗	1.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.023255	0.022987	-1.15%	0.02498	+7.42%	0.0668	✓	1.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.022142	0.02217	+0.13%	0.023997	+8.38%	0.0738	✗	1.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.021684	0.021872	+0.86%	0.027307	+25.93%	0.0272	✓	1.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.022915	0.022832	-0.36%	0.025628	+11.84%	0.0375	✓	1.50
2026-09-13	oos	0.022645	0.022787	+0.62%	0.02499	+10.35%	0.0101	✓	1.49
2026-09-12	oos	0.023138	0.023307	+0.73%	0.024811	+7.23%	0.0119	✗	1.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.023311	0.023598	+1.23%	0.024673	+5.84%	0.0245	✗	1.49
2026-09-10	oos	0.022922	0.023322	+1.74%	0.023255	+1.45%	0.0008	✓	1.49
2026-09-09	oos	0.024977	0.025159	+0.73%	0.022142	-11.35%	0.0874	✗	1.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.025632	0.025808	+0.69%	0.021684	-15.40%	0.1209	✗	1.43
2026-09-07	oos	0.027005	0.027162	+0.58%	0.022915	-15.15%	0.1535	✗	1.42
2026-09-06	oos	0.027105	0.027302	+0.73%	0.022645	-16.45%	0.1243	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.024932	0.025275	+1.38%	0.023138	-7.20%	0.0428	✗	1.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.025037	0.025405	+1.47%	0.023311	-6.89%	0.0423	✗	1.39
2026-09-03	oos	0.027102	0.027525	+1.56%	0.022922	-15.42%	0.1017	✗	1.36
2026-09-02	oos	0.025364	0.025648	+1.12%	0.024977	-1.52%	0.0428	✗	1.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.026479	0.026717	+0.90%	0.025632	-3.20%	0.0588	✗	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.026459	0.026661	+0.76%	0.027005	+2.06%	0.0045	✓	1.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.02655	0.026604	+0.20%	0.027105	+2.09%	0.0241	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.026721	0.026834	+0.42%	0.024932	-6.70%	0.0993	✗	1.28
2026-08-28	oos	0.027336	0.027406	+0.26%	0.025037	-8.41%	0.1202	✗	1.28
2026-08-27	oos	0.028608	0.028694	+0.30%	0.027102	-5.26%	0.0726	✗	1.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.028582	0.028461	-0.42%	0.025364	-11.26%	0.0870	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.027753	0.027535	-0.79%	0.026479	-4.59%	0.0207	✓	1.27
2026-08-24	oos	0.031585	0.031312	-0.86%	0.026459	-16.23%	0.1616	✓	1.27
2026-08-23	oos	0.03043	0.030099	-1.09%	0.02655	-12.75%	0.1244	✓	1.28
2026-08-22	oos	0.028133	0.027784	-1.24%	0.026721	-5.02%	0.0583	✓	1.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.028652	0.028243	-1.43%	0.027336	-4.59%	0.0248	✓	1.27
2026-08-20	oos	0.026718	0.026024	-2.60%	0.028608	+7.07%	0.0277	✓	1.29
2026-08-19	oos	0.022569	0.02195	-2.74%	0.028582	+26.64%	0.1098	✗	1.17
2026-08-18	oos	0.021228	0.020589	-3.01%	0.027753	+30.74%	0.0606	✗	1.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.021767	0.021032	-3.38%	0.031585	+45.10%	0.1546	✗	1.24
2026-08-16	oos	0.02028	0.019713	-2.80%	0.03043	+50.05%	0.1781	✗	1.20
2026-08-15	oos	0.020882	0.020294	-2.82%	0.028133	+34.72%	0.0841	✗	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.02112	0.020536	-2.76%	0.028652	+35.66%	0.0703	✗	1.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.021522	0.020924	-2.78%	0.026718	+24.14%	0.0750	✗	1.20
2026-08-12	oos	0.021804	0.021196	-2.79%	0.022569	+3.51%	0.0457	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.021406	0.020812	-2.78%	0.021228	-0.83%	0.0015	✓	1.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.021747	0.021084	-3.05%	0.021767	+0.09%	0.0214	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.020972	0.020398	-2.74%	0.02028	-3.30%	0.0332	✗	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.020865	0.020302	-2.70%	0.020882	+0.08%	0.0649	✗	1.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.020895	0.020334	-2.69%	0.02112	+1.08%	0.0752	✗	1.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.020439	0.019912	-2.58%	0.021522	+5.30%	0.0941	✗	1.24
2026-08-05	oos	0.020988	0.020421	-2.70%	0.021804	+3.89%	0.0887	✗	1.25
2026-08-04	oos	0.020531	0.020001	-2.58%	0.021406	+4.26%	0.0779	✗	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.021527	0.020935	-2.75%	0.021747	+1.02%	0.0292	✗	1.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.02096	0.020417	-2.59%	0.020972	+0.06%	0.0001	✓	1.28
2026-08-01	oos	0.02046	0.019982	-2.34%	0.020865	+1.98%	0.0005	✓	1.27
2026-07-31	oos	0.02071	0.020221	-2.36%	0.020895	+0.89%	0.0083	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.0217	0.021136	-2.60%	0.020439	-5.81%	0.0246	✓	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.02076	0.02029	-2.27%	0.020988	+1.10%	0.0194	✓	1.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.021235	0.020783	-2.13%	0.020531	-3.32%	0.0164	✓	1.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.02011	0.019759	-1.74%	0.021527	+7.05%	0.0904	✗	1.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.021355	0.020955	-1.87%	0.02096	-1.85%	0.0377	✗	1.31
2026-07-25	oos	0.0206	0.020278	-1.56%	0.02046	-0.68%	0.0405	✗	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.02186	0.021515	-1.58%	0.02071	-5.26%	0.0119	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.022335	0.022002	-1.49%	0.0217	-2.84%	0.0071	✓	1.33
2026-07-22	oos	0.02292	0.02258	-1.48%	0.02076	-9.42%	0.0389	✓	1.34
2026-07-21	oos	0.022935	0.022599	-1.47%	0.021235	-7.41%	0.0075	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.02287	0.022531	-1.48%	0.02011	-12.07%	0.0818	✓	1.35
2026-07-19	oos	0.02122	0.020947	-1.29%	0.021355	+0.64%	0.0057	✓	1.34
2026-07-18	oos	0.02157	0.021299	-1.26%	0.0206	-4.50%	0.0228	✓	1.36
2026-07-17	oos	0.02194	0.021674	-1.21%	0.02186	-0.36%	0.0044	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.02156	0.021294	-1.23%	0.022335	+3.59%	0.0193	✗	1.43
2026-07-15	oos	0.02229	0.022001	-1.30%	0.02292	+2.83%	0.0115	✓	1.41
2026-07-14	oos	0.02266	0.022348	-1.38%	0.022935	+1.21%	0.0066	✓	1.40
2026-07-13	oos	0.02229	0.022017	-1.22%	0.02287	+2.60%	0.0297	✓	1.46
2026-07-12	oos	0.022805	0.022509	-1.30%	0.02122	-6.95%	0.0806	✓	1.48
2026-07-11	oos	0.02227	0.02199	-1.26%	0.02157	-3.14%	0.0434	✓	1.51
2026-07-10	oos	0.02296	0.022672	-1.25%	0.02194	-4.44%	0.0272	✓	1.54
2026-07-09	oos	0.02308	0.022801	-1.21%	0.02156	-6.59%	0.0706	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.02309	0.022813	-1.20%	0.02229	-3.46%	0.0853	✓	1.59
2026-07-07	oos	0.02438	0.024024	-1.46%	0.02266	-7.05%	0.0998	✓	1.59
2026-07-06	oos	0.02497	0.024433	-2.15%	0.02229	-10.73%	0.0484	✓	1.58
2026-07-05	oos	0.02159	0.021311	-1.29%	0.022805	+5.63%	0.0638	✗	1.61
2026-07-04	oos	0.02112	0.020871	-1.18%	0.02227	+5.45%	0.0475	✗	1.61
2026-07-03	oos	0.0205	0.020265	-1.15%	0.02296	+12.00%	0.0842	✗	1.60
2026-07-02	oos	0.019985	0.019767	-1.09%	0.02308	+15.49%	0.1116	✗	1.60
2026-07-01	oos	0.02004	0.019779	-1.30%	0.02309	+15.22%	0.0939	✗	1.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.01833	0.01822	-0.60%	0.02438	+33.01%	0.1683	✗	1.56
2026-06-29	oos	0.01892	0.018777	-0.75%	0.02497	+31.98%	0.1880	✗	1.57
2026-06-28	oos	0.01866	0.018543	-0.63%	0.02159	+15.70%	0.0438	✗	1.62
2026-06-27	oos	0.01883	0.018719	-0.59%	0.02112	+12.16%	0.0377	✗	1.62
2026-06-26	oos	0.01934	0.019218	-0.63%	0.0205	+6.00%	0.0022	✓	1.63
2026-06-25	oos	0.01915	0.019034	-0.60%	0.019985	+4.36%	0.0009	✓	1.63
2026-06-24	oos	0.019675	0.019513	-0.82%	0.02004	+1.86%	0.0546	✗	1.66
2026-06-23	oos	0.020095	0.019903	-0.96%	0.01833	-8.78%	0.0330	✗	1.70
2026-06-22	oos	0.02063	0.020391	-1.16%	0.01892	-8.29%	0.0312	✗	1.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.02075	0.020513	-1.14%	0.01866	-10.07%	0.0119	✗	1.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.020585	0.020335	-1.21%	0.01883	-8.53%	0.0417	✗	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.02066	0.020424	-1.14%	0.01934	-6.39%	0.0429	✗	1.73
2026-06-18	oos	0.02108	0.020849	-1.10%	0.01915	-9.16%	0.0055	✓	1.75
2026-06-17	oos	0.02177	0.021488	-1.30%	0.019675	-9.62%	0.0088	✓	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.02304	0.022655	-1.67%	0.020095	-12.78%	0.0388	✓	1.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.02261	0.022243	-1.62%	0.02063	-8.76%	0.0138	✓	1.72
2026-06-14	oos	0.02249	0.02214	-1.56%	0.02075	-7.74%	0.0016	✓	1.73
2026-06-13	oos	0.02182	0.02152	-1.38%	0.020585	-5.66%	0.0388	✓	1.74
2026-06-12	oos	0.02108	0.020839	-1.14%	0.02066	-1.99%	0.0069	✓	1.74
2026-06-11	oos	0.02161	0.021342	-1.24%	0.02108	-2.45%	0.0065	✓	1.75
2026-06-10	oos	0.02105	0.020888	-0.77%	0.02177	+3.42%	0.0436	✓	1.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.02127	0.021087	-0.86%	0.02304	+8.32%	0.0213	✓	1.78
2026-06-08	oos	0.02086	0.02069	-0.82%	0.02261	+8.39%	0.0012	✓	1.81
2026-06-07	oos	0.02217	0.021912	-1.16%	0.02249	+1.44%	0.0406	✓	1.79
2026-06-06	oos	0.02108	0.021077	-0.01%	0.02182	+3.51%	0.0673	✓	1.78
2026-06-05	oos	0.02106	0.021089	+0.14%	0.02108	+0.09%	0.0727	✗	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.02153	0.021375	-0.72%	0.02161	+0.37%	0.0180	✗	1.86
2026-06-03	oos	0.02044	0.020469	+0.14%	0.02105	+2.98%	0.1019	✓	1.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.02045	0.020383	-0.33%	0.02127	+4.01%	0.1867	✗	1.86
2026-06-01	oos	0.02251	0.021981	-2.35%	0.02086	-7.33%	0.1801	✗	1.89
2026-05-31	oos	0.02378	0.023107	-2.83%	0.02217	-6.77%	0.2444	✗	1.90
2026-05-30	oos	0.023235	0.022635	-2.58%	0.02108	-9.27%	0.2792	✗	1.82
2026-05-29	oos	0.02328	0.022736	-2.33%	0.02106	-9.54%	0.2566	✗	1.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.02368	0.023102	-2.44%	0.02153	-9.08%	0.1853	✗	1.81
2026-05-27	oos	0.02331	0.02277	-2.31%	0.02044	-12.31%	0.1597	✗	1.80
2026-05-26	oos	0.02503	0.024252	-3.11%	0.02045	-18.30%	0.0591	✗	1.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.02627	0.025343	-3.53%	0.02251	-14.31%	0.0196	✓	1.73
2026-05-24	oos	0.02527	0.02447	-3.17%	0.02378	-5.90%	0.0496	✗	1.73
2026-05-23	oos	0.02577	0.024973	-3.09%	0.023235	-9.84%	0.0106	✓	1.61
2026-05-22	oos	0.02615	0.025421	-2.79%	0.02328	-10.98%	0.0426	✓	1.63
2026-05-21	oos	0.02865	0.027576	-3.75%	0.02368	-17.35%	0.0672	✓	1.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.026905	0.026064	-3.13%	0.02331	-13.36%	0.0452	✓	1.60
2026-05-19	oos	0.02591	0.025271	-2.47%	0.02503	-3.40%	0.0101	✓	1.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.02698	0.026219	-2.82%	0.02627	-2.63%	0.0045	✓	1.62
2026-05-17	oos	0.0278	0.026951	-3.06%	0.02527	-9.10%	0.0553	✓	1.63
2026-05-16	oos	0.02775	0.026885	-3.12%	0.02577	-7.14%	0.0117	✓	1.63
2026-05-15	oos	0.02828	0.027336	-3.34%	0.02615	-7.53%	0.0311	✓	1.61
2026-05-14	oos	0.02977	0.02868	-3.66%	0.02865	-3.76%	0.0706	✗	1.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.0302	0.029148	-3.48%	0.026905	-10.91%	0.0411	✓	1.68
2026-05-12	oos	0.03085	0.029784	-3.46%	0.02591	-16.01%	0.0609	✓	1.66
2026-05-11	oos	0.03362	0.032555	-3.17%	0.02698	-19.75%	0.0896	✓	1.63
2026-05-10	oos	0.03549	0.034428	-2.99%	0.0278	-21.67%	0.1199	✓	1.56
2026-05-09	oos	0.03467	0.033581	-3.14%	0.02775	-19.96%	0.1403	✓	1.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.03425	0.033163	-3.17%	0.02828	-17.43%	0.1372	✓	1.55
2026-05-07	oos	0.03238	0.031376	-3.10%	0.02977	-8.06%	0.0731	✓	1.54
2026-05-06	oos	0.03229	0.031303	-3.06%	0.0302	-6.47%	0.0003	✓	1.33
2026-05-05	oos	0.03131	0.030384	-2.96%	0.03085	-1.47%	0.0216	✓	1.21
2026-05-04	oos	0.02945	0.028745	-2.39%	0.03362	+14.16%	0.1304	✗	1.13
2026-05-03	oos	0.02913	0.028593	-1.84%	0.03549	+21.83%	0.1644	✗	1.14
2026-05-02	oos	0.03011	0.029531	-1.92%	0.03467	+15.14%	0.1322	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.03008	0.029582	-1.66%	0.03425	+13.86%	0.1184	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.02716	0.027159	-0.00%	0.03238	+19.22%	0.1213	✗	1.15
2026-04-29	oos	0.027	0.027022	+0.08%	0.03229	+19.59%	0.0948	✓	1.15
2026-04-28	oos	0.02915	0.028827	-1.11%	0.03131	+7.41%	0.0155	✗	1.15
2026-04-27	oos	0.03062	0.03004	-1.89%	0.02945	-3.82%	0.0560	✓	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.03209	0.031345	-2.32%	0.02913	-9.22%	0.0716	✓	1.16
2026-04-25	oos	0.0313	0.030603	-2.23%	0.03011	-3.80%	0.0316	✓	1.16
2026-04-24	oos	0.03069	0.02996	-2.38%	0.03008	-1.99%	0.0076	✓	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.03248	0.031696	-2.41%	0.02716	-16.38%	0.1246	✓	1.17
2026-04-22	oos	0.033715	0.032891	-2.44%	0.027	-19.92%	0.1601	✓	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.03274	0.031896	-2.58%	0.02915	-10.97%	0.0896	✓	1.17
2026-04-20	oos	0.031895	0.031013	-2.76%	0.03062	-4.00%	0.0357	✓	1.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.03008	0.029172	-3.02%	0.03209	+6.68%	0.0189	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.03245	0.031492	-2.95%	0.0313	-3.54%	0.0359	✓	1.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.03479	0.033886	-2.60%	0.03069	-11.78%	0.1047	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	0.0343	0.033367	-2.72%	0.03248	-5.31%	0.0755	✓	1.19
2026-04-15	oos	0.03514	0.034208	-2.65%	0.033715	-4.06%	0.0673	✓	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.0345	0.033574	-2.68%	0.03274	-5.10%	0.0598	✓	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.03603	0.035065	-2.68%	0.031895	-11.48%	0.1171	✓	1.18
2026-04-12	oos	0.03271	0.031799	-2.79%	0.03008	-8.04%	0.1052	✓	1.17
2026-04-11	oos	0.03556	0.034628	-2.62%	0.03245	-8.75%	0.1059	✓	1.15
2026-04-10	oos	0.03511	0.034145	-2.75%	0.03479	-0.91%	0.0439	✓	1.15
2026-04-09	oos	0.03296	0.032063	-2.72%	0.0343	+4.07%	0.0154	✓	1.14
2026-04-08	oos	0.03114	0.030249	-2.86%	0.03514	+12.85%	0.0916	✗	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.0304	0.029561	-2.76%	0.0345	+13.49%	0.1192	✗	1.14
2026-04-06	oos	0.0271	0.026393	-2.61%	0.03603	+32.95%	0.2235	✗	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.02828	0.027538	-2.62%	0.03271	+15.66%	0.1439	✗	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.02726	0.026569	-2.54%	0.03556	+30.45%	0.2000	✗	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.02727	0.026508	-2.79%	0.03511	+28.75%	0.1857	✗	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.02499	0.024417	-2.29%	0.03296	+31.89%	0.2219	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.02383	0.023306	-2.20%	0.03114	+30.68%	0.2409	✗	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02487	0.024335	-2.15%	0.0304	+22.24%	0.1620	✗	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02231	0.021919	-1.75%	0.0271	+21.47%	0.1771	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.02204	0.021704	-1.52%	0.02828	+28.31%	0.2135	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.02328	0.022924	-1.53%	0.02726	+17.10%	0.1568	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.02239	0.022099	-1.30%	0.02727	+21.80%	0.2000	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.02432	0.023957	-1.49%	0.02499	+2.75%	0.0729	✗	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.02642	0.025892	-2.00%	0.02383	-9.80%	0.0330	✓	1.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.023335	0.023028	-1.31%	0.02487	+6.58%	0.1127	✗	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.02156	0.021334	-1.05%	0.02231	+3.48%	0.1097	✗	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.02053	0.020346	-0.90%	0.02204	+7.36%	0.1104	✗	1.08
2026-03-21	oos	0.02141	0.021211	-0.93%	0.02328	+8.73%	0.1341	✗	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.02244	0.022235	-0.91%	0.02239	-0.22%	0.0718	✗	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.02198	0.0218	-0.82%	0.02432	+10.65%	0.1271	✗	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.02305	0.022842	-0.90%	0.02642	+14.62%	0.1447	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.0236	0.023377	-0.94%	0.023335	-1.12%	0.0503	✗	1.11
2026-03-16	oos	0.02476	0.024499	-1.05%	0.02156	-12.92%	0.0657	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.02346	0.023231	-0.98%	0.02053	-12.49%	0.0432	✓	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.02218	0.021982	-0.89%	0.02141	-3.47%	0.0111	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.021915	0.02173	-0.84%	0.02244	+2.40%	0.0395	✗	1.16
2026-03-12	oos	0.0212	0.02102	-0.85%	0.02198	+3.68%	0.0547	✗	1.15
2026-03-11	oos	0.02141	0.021211	-0.93%	0.02305	+7.66%	0.0660	✗	1.17
2026-03-10	oos	0.02157	0.021364	-0.95%	0.0236	+9.41%	0.0349	✗	1.17
2026-03-09	oos	0.02123	0.021017	-1.00%	0.02476	+16.63%	0.0581	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	0.02042	0.020224	-0.96%	0.02346	+14.89%	0.0338	✗	1.16
2026-03-07	oos	0.02168	0.021456	-1.03%	0.02218	+2.31%	0.0332	✓	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.02174	0.021507	-1.07%	0.021915	+0.80%	0.0279	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.02174	0.021501	-1.10%	0.0212	-2.48%	0.0082	✓	1.17
2026-03-04	oos	0.02256	0.02228	-1.24%	0.02141	-5.10%	0.0003	✓	1.16
2026-03-03	oos	0.02038	0.020142	-1.17%	0.02157	+5.84%	0.0416	✗	1.14
2026-03-02	oos	0.02121	0.020936	-1.29%	0.02123	+0.09%	0.0205	✗	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.02085	0.020581	-1.29%	0.02042	-2.06%	0.0113	✓	1.11
2026-02-28	oos	0.02113	0.020842	-1.36%	0.02168	+2.60%	0.0349	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.02067	0.020395	-1.33%	0.02174	+5.18%	0.0293	✗	1.03
2026-02-26	oos	0.02104	0.020742	-1.42%	0.02174	+3.33%	0.0036	✓	1.03
2026-02-25	oos	0.02156	0.021229	-1.53%	0.02256	+4.64%	0.0081	✓	1.03
2026-02-24	oos	0.02003	0.019779	-1.25%	0.02038	+1.75%	0.0341	✓	0.99
2026-02-23	oos	0.02053	0.020243	-1.40%	0.02121	+3.31%	0.0155	✓	0.99
2026-02-22	oos	0.019855	0.01957	-1.43%	0.02085	+5.01%	0.0908	✗	0.99
2026-02-21	oos	0.02062	0.020306	-1.52%	0.02113	+2.47%	0.0543	✗	0.99
2026-02-20	oos	0.02104	0.020701	-1.61%	0.02067	-1.76%	0.0299	✗	0.99
2026-02-19	oos	0.02044	0.020138	-1.48%	0.02104	+2.94%	0.0362	✗	0.99
2026-02-18	oos	0.02016	0.019877	-1.40%	0.02156	+6.94%	0.0582	✗	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.02213	0.021762	-1.66%	0.02003	-9.49%	0.0327	✓	0.97
2026-02-16	oos	0.02351	0.023052	-1.95%	0.02053	-12.68%	0.0549	✓	0.96
2026-02-15	oos	0.02402	0.023495	-2.19%	0.019855	-17.34%	0.1518	✓	0.96
2026-02-14	oos	0.02339	0.022885	-2.16%	0.02062	-11.84%	0.0785	✓	0.97
2026-02-13	oos	0.02278	0.022273	-2.22%	0.02104	-7.64%	0.0453	✓	0.97
2026-02-12	oos	0.02015	0.019884	-1.32%	0.02044	+1.44%	0.0171	✗	0.91
2026-02-11	oos	0.01905	0.018833	-1.14%	0.02016	+5.83%	0.0765	✗	0.92
2026-02-10	oos	0.01969	0.019328	-1.84%	0.02213	+12.39%	0.1535	✗	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.01796	0.017777	-1.02%	0.02351	+30.90%	0.2964	✗	0.95
2026-02-08	oos	0.01812	0.017954	-0.92%	0.02402	+32.56%	0.3113	✗	0.95
2026-02-07	oos	0.01861	0.018469	-0.76%	0.02339	+25.69%	0.2287	✗	0.96
2026-02-06	oos	0.01856	0.018402	-0.85%	0.02278	+22.74%	0.2371	✗	0.96
2026-02-05	oos	0.01724	0.017386	+0.85%	0.02015	+16.88%	0.0925	✓	1.04
2026-02-04	oos	0.01973	0.019464	-1.35%	0.01905	-3.45%	0.0766	✗	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.01754	0.017398	-0.81%	0.01969	+12.26%	0.2495	✗	1.32
2026-02-02	oos	0.01847	0.018205	-1.44%	0.01796	-2.76%	0.1398	✗	1.33
2026-02-01	oos	0.01783	0.017705	-0.70%	0.01812	+1.63%	0.1421	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.01804	0.017879	-0.89%	0.01861	+3.16%	0.2105	✗	1.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.02019	0.019708	-2.39%	0.01856	-8.07%	0.1675	✗	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.02001	0.019577	-2.16%	0.01724	-13.84%	0.2576	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	0.02128	0.020578	-3.30%	0.01973	-7.28%	0.2236	✗	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.02218	0.021318	-3.88%	0.01754	-20.92%	0.0224	✓	1.33
2026-01-26	oos	0.01881	0.018498	-1.66%	0.01847	-1.81%	0.1430	✗	1.26
2026-01-25	oos	0.01779	0.017661	-0.72%	0.01783	+0.22%	0.1541	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01909	0.018791	-1.57%	0.01804	-5.50%	0.1065	✗	1.18
2026-01-23	oos	0.018315	0.018087	-1.24%	0.02019	+10.24%	0.1839	✗	1.19
2026-01-22	oos	0.0181	0.017902	-1.10%	0.02001	+10.55%	0.1794	✗	1.20
2026-01-21	oos	0.01876	0.018513	-1.32%	0.02128	+13.43%	0.1420	✗	1.20
2026-01-20	oos	0.01789	0.017704	-1.04%	0.02218	+23.98%	0.2147	✗	1.17
2026-01-19	oos	0.02012	0.019579	-2.69%	0.01881	-6.51%	0.0090	✓	1.03
2026-01-18	oos	0.02176	0.021047	-3.28%	0.01779	-18.24%	0.0905	✓	0.99
2026-01-17	oos	0.02211	0.021289	-3.71%	0.01909	-13.66%	0.0439	✓	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.02229	0.021404	-3.97%	0.018315	-17.83%	0.0909	✓	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.02213	0.021174	-4.32%	0.0181	-18.21%	0.0907	✓	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.023185	0.022123	-4.58%	0.01876	-19.09%	0.0854	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.02475	0.023654	-4.43%	0.01789	-27.72%	0.1992	✓	1.04
2026-01-12	oos	0.02307	0.022063	-4.36%	0.02012	-12.79%	0.1064	✓	0.95
2026-01-11	oos	0.02384	0.022783	-4.43%	0.02176	-8.72%	0.0747	✓	0.96
2026-01-10	oos	0.02425	0.023171	-4.45%	0.02211	-8.82%	0.0961	✓	0.96
2026-01-09	oos	0.02612	0.025022	-4.20%	0.02229	-14.66%	0.1669	✓	0.96
2026-01-08	oos	0.0278	0.026681	-4.02%	0.02213	-20.40%	0.2326	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	0.02681	0.025692	-4.17%	0.023185	-13.52%	0.1595	✓	0.94
2026-01-06	oos	0.02984	0.028607	-4.13%	0.02475	-17.06%	0.1587	✓	0.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.0283	0.02712	-4.17%	0.02307	-18.48%	0.1385	✓	0.80
2026-01-04	oos	0.02875	0.027557	-4.15%	0.02384	-17.08%	0.1390	✓	0.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.02932	0.02802	-4.44%	0.02425	-17.29%	0.1423	✓	0.88
2026-01-02	oos	0.02795	0.026489	-5.23%	0.02612	-6.55%	0.0193	✓	0.86
2026-01-01	oos	0.0237	0.022616	-4.57%	0.0278	+17.30%	0.1885	✗	0.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.0227	0.021703	-4.39%	0.02681	+18.11%	0.1836	✗	0.66
2025-12-30	oos	0.0226	0.021573	-4.55%	0.02984	+32.04%	0.2852	✗	0.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.02147	0.020581	-4.14%	0.0283	+31.81%	0.2727	✗	0.61
2025-12-28	oos	0.02244	0.021429	-4.51%	0.02875	+28.12%	0.2700	✗	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	0.0231	0.022031	-4.63%	0.02932	+26.93%	0.2672	✗	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	0.02333	0.022227	-4.73%	0.02795	+19.80%	0.2112	✗	0.60
2025-12-25	oos	0.02315	0.022064	-4.69%	0.0237	+2.38%	0.0609	✗	0.59
2025-12-24	oos	0.02169	0.020847	-3.88%	0.0227	+4.66%	0.0859	✗	0.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.01976	0.019289	-2.38%	0.0226	+14.37%	0.1474	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.01921	0.018813	-2.07%	0.02147	+11.76%	0.1486	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.0205	0.019962	-2.62%	0.02244	+9.46%	0.1256	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.01877	0.018552	-1.16%	0.0231	+23.07%	0.2251	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.01905	0.018869	-0.95%	0.02333	+22.47%	0.2213	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.01691	0.017089	+1.06%	0.02315	+36.90%	0.2837	✓	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.01873	0.018776	+0.25%	0.02169	+15.80%	0.1282	✓	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.02155	0.021251	-1.39%	0.01976	-8.31%	0.0679	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.01987	0.019833	-0.19%	0.01921	-3.32%	0.0564	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.02064	0.020452	-0.91%	0.0205	-0.68%	0.0030	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.02351	0.022996	-2.19%	0.01877	-20.16%	0.1814	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.02407	0.023542	-2.19%	0.01905	-20.86%	0.1872	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.02624	0.02556	-2.59%	0.01691	-35.56%	0.3335	✓	1.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.02691	0.026201	-2.63%	0.01873	-30.40%	0.2703	✓	1.00
2025-12-09	oos	0.02737	0.026622	-2.73%	0.02155	-21.26%	0.1578	✓	1.00
2025-12-08	oos	0.02811	0.027338	-2.75%	0.01987	-29.31%	0.2712	✓	1.00
2025-12-07	oos	0.02558	0.02487	-2.78%	0.02064	-19.31%	0.1614	✓	1.00
2025-12-06	oos	0.02719	0.026456	-2.70%	0.02351	-13.53%	0.1291	✓	1.00
2025-12-05	oos	0.02723	0.026484	-2.74%	0.02407	-11.60%	0.1060	✓	1.00
2025-12-04	oos	0.02769	0.02687	-2.96%	0.02624	-5.24%	0.0286	✓	1.00
2025-12-03	oos	0.03054	0.029692	-2.78%	0.02691	-11.89%	0.0831	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.